Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2019 Week 9 (Through games of 10/19/19)

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Ohio St BIG10-E 7 - 0 4 - 0 33.24
2 Alabama SEC-W 7 - 0 4 - 0 26.13
3 Oklahoma BIG12 7 - 0 4 - 0 23.95
4 LSU SEC-W 7 - 0 3 - 0 23.49
5 Clemson ACC-A 7 - 0 5 - 0 23.3
6 Penn St BIG10-E 7 - 0 4 - 0 22.82
7 Wisconsin BIG10-W 6 - 1 3 - 1 21.44
8 Auburn SEC-W 6 - 1 3 - 1 19.82
9 Georgia SEC-E 6 - 1 3 - 1 19.11
10 Oregon PAC12-N 6 - 1 4 - 0 18
11 Utah PAC12-S 6 - 1 3 - 1 17.42
12 Notre Dame IND 5 - 1 0 - 0 16.38
13 Iowa St BIG12 5 - 2 3 - 1 15.86
14 Florida SEC-E 7 - 1 4 - 1 15.74
15 Iowa BIG10-W 5 - 2 2 - 2 14.33
16 Michigan BIG10-E 5 - 2 3 - 2 13.73
17 Washington PAC12-N 5 - 3 2 - 3 13.6
18 Texas BIG12 5 - 2 3 - 1 12.11
19 Baylor BIG12 7 - 0 4 - 0 11.99
20 USC PAC12-S 4 - 3 3 - 1 11.72
21 Memphis AAC-W 6 - 1 2 - 1 11.07
22 Navy AAC-W 5 - 1 3 - 1 10.9
23 Appalachian St SUN 6 - 0 3 - 0 10.27
24 Minnesota BIG10-W 7 - 0 4 - 0 10.01
25 Missouri SEC-E 5 - 2 2 - 1 9.31
26 TCU BIG12 3 - 3 1 - 2 9.26
27 UCF AAC-E 5 - 2 2 - 1 9.09
28 Michigan St BIG10-E 4 - 3 2 - 2 8.89
29 Cincinnati AAC-E 6 - 1 3 - 0 8.73
30 Texas A&M SEC-W 4 - 3 2 - 2 8.68
31 South Carolina SEC-E 3 - 4 2 - 3 6.99
32 Washington St PAC12-N 4 - 3 1 - 3 6.99
33 SMU AAC-W 7 - 0 3 - 0 6.84
34 Oklahoma St BIG12 4 - 3 1 - 3 6.42
35 Virginia ACC-C 5 - 2 3 - 1 6.16
36 Kansas St BIG12 4 - 2 1 - 2 6.15
37 Boise St MWC-M 6 - 1 3 - 0 5.71
38 Pittsburgh ACC-C 5 - 2 2 - 1 5.24
39 Arizona St PAC12-S 5 - 2 2 - 2 5.22
40 Air Force MWC-M 5 - 2 3 - 1 5.18
41 Mississippi St SEC-W 3 - 4 1 - 3 4.62
42 Indiana BIG10-E 5 - 2 2 - 2 4.1
43 North Carolina ACC-C 3 - 4 2 - 3 3.6
44 Texas Tech BIG12 3 - 4 1 - 3 3.41
45 Mississippi SEC-W 3 - 5 2 - 3 3.26
46 Purdue BIG10-W 2 - 5 1 - 3 3.15
47 Stanford PAC12-N 3 - 4 2 - 3 2.73
48 California PAC12-N 4 - 3 1 - 3 2.52
49 Wake Forest ACC-A 6 - 1 3 - 1 2.25
50 Duke ACC-C 4 - 3 2 - 2 2.2
51 Florida St ACC-A 3 - 4 2 - 3 1.82
52 Tulane AAC-W 5 - 2 2 - 1 1.65
53 West Virginia BIG12 3 - 4 1 - 3 0.6
54 Louisiana SUN 5 - 2 2 - 1 0.31
55 Miami FL ACC-C 3 - 4 1 - 3 0.31
56 Utah St MWC-M 4 - 2 3 - 0 0.23
57 Fresno St MWC-W 3 - 3 1 - 1 0.03
58 Northwestern BIG10-W 1 - 5 0 - 4 -0.02
59 UCLA PAC12-S 2 - 5 2 - 2 -0.03
60 Nebraska BIG10-W 4 - 3 2 - 2 -0.19
61 Temple AAC-E 5 - 2 2 - 1 -0.46
62 Kentucky SEC-E 3 - 4 1 - 4 -0.52
63 Louisville ACC-A 4 - 3 2 - 2 -0.65
64 Tennessee SEC-E 2 - 5 1 - 3 -0.96
65 San Diego St MWC-W 6 - 1 3 - 1 -1.14
66 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 6 - 1 3 - 0 -1.16
67 Houston AAC-W 3 - 4 1 - 2 -1.29
68 Boston College ACC-A 4 - 3 2 - 2 -1.3
69 WKU CUSA-E 5 - 2 4 - 0 -1.79
70 Wyoming MWC-M 5 - 2 2 - 1 -1.93
71 Arizona PAC12-S 4 - 3 2 - 2 -1.94
72 Illinois BIG10-W 3 - 4 1 - 3 -2.57
73 Maryland BIG10-E 3 - 4 1 - 3 -2.57
74 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 4 - 3 2 - 1 -2.7
75 Virginia Tech ACC-C 5 - 2 2 - 2 -2.71
76 BYU IND 3 - 4 0 - 0 -2.73
77 UAB CUSA-W 6 - 1 3 - 1 -3
78 Kansas BIG12 2 - 5 0 - 4 -3.24
79 NC State ACC-A 4 - 3 1 - 2 -3.4
80 Syracuse ACC-A 3 - 4 0 - 3 -4.05
81 Oregon St PAC12-N 3 - 4 2 - 2 -4.08
82 Tulsa AAC-W 2 - 5 0 - 3 -4.18
83 Army IND 3 - 4 1 - 0 -4.97
84 Georgia Tech ACC-C 2 - 5 1 - 3 -5.41
85 Colorado PAC12-S 3 - 4 1 - 3 -5.82
86 Arkansas SEC-W 2 - 5 0 - 4 -6.36
87 W Michigan MAC-W 4 - 4 2 - 2 -6.42
88 Ball St MAC-W 4 - 3 3 - 0 -6.56
89 Florida Intl CUSA-E 4 - 3 2 - 2 -6.81
90 Hawaii MWC-W 4 - 3 1 - 2 -6.89
91 Vanderbilt SEC-E 2 - 5 1 - 3 -7
92 Marshall CUSA-E 4 - 3 2 - 1 -7.26
93 Southern Miss CUSA-W 4 - 3 2 - 1 -7.41
94 Ohio MAC-E 3 - 4 2 - 1 -7.79
95 South Florida AAC-E 3 - 4 1 - 2 -8.09
96 Ga Southern SUN 3 - 3 2 - 1 -8.4
97 Troy SUN 3 - 3 1 - 1 -8.51
98 Arkansas St SUN 3 - 4 1 - 2 -8.82
99 Georgia St SUN 5 - 2 2 - 1 -9.24
100 North Texas CUSA-W 3 - 4 2 - 1 -9.43
101 MTSU CUSA-E 2 - 5 1 - 2 -10.53
102 C Michigan MAC-W 5 - 3 3 - 1 -10.58
103 Buffalo MAC-E 3 - 4 1 - 2 -10.72
104 N Illinois MAC-W 2 - 5 1 - 2 -11.07
105 E Michigan MAC-W 4 - 3 1 - 2 -11.16
106 Coastal Car SUN 3 - 4 0 - 3 -11.38
107 Miami OH MAC-E 3 - 4 2 - 1 -11.46
108 East Carolina AAC-E 3 - 4 0 - 3 -12.62
109 ULM SUN 3 - 4 2 - 1 -12.78
110 Liberty IND 5 - 2 3 - 0 -13.12
111 Kent MAC-E 3 - 4 2 - 1 -13.35
112 Toledo MAC-W 4 - 3 1 - 2 -13.78
113 San Jose St MWC-W 3 - 4 1 - 3 -13.93
114 Colorado St MWC-M 2 - 5 1 - 2 -14.57
115 Rice CUSA-W 0 - 7 0 - 3 -14.74
116 Charlotte CUSA-E 2 - 5 0 - 3 -15.91
117 UNLV MWC-W 2 - 5 0 - 3 -15.98
118 Texas St SUN 2 - 4 1 - 1 -16.44
119 Old Dominion CUSA-E 1 - 6 0 - 3 -17.24
120 Nevada MWC-W 4 - 3 1 - 2 -17.8
121 New Mexico MWC-M 2 - 5 0 - 3 -20.13
122 Rutgers BIG10-E 1 - 6 0 - 5 -20.45
123 UT San Antonio CUSA-W 3 - 4 2 - 2 -20.72
124 New Mexico St IND 0 - 7 0 - 1 -20.92
125 Connecticut AAC-E 1 - 6 0 - 4 -21.58
126 South Alabama SUN 1 - 6 0 - 3 -21.68
127 Bowling Green MAC-E 2 - 5 1 - 2 -24.12
128 UTEP CUSA-W 1 - 5 0 - 3 -25.9
129 Akron MAC-E 0 - 7 0 - 3 -28.86
130 Massachusetts IND 1 - 6 0 - 1 -33.59