Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

Week 4 (Through Games of 9/19/15)

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Alabama SEC-W 2 - 1 0 - 1 24.26
2 LSU SEC-W 2 - 0 2 - 0 19.67
3 Ohio St BIG10-E 3 - 0 0 - 0 19.02
4 Georgia SEC-E 3 - 0 2 - 0 18.75
5 Baylor BIG12 2 - 0 0 - 0 18.69
6 Mississippi SEC-W 3 - 0 1 - 0 18.56
7 Notre Dame IND 3 - 0 0 - 0 16.65
8 West Virginia BIG12 2 - 0 0 - 0 16.46
9 Stanford PAC12-N 2 - 1 1 - 0 16.31
10 Florida St ACC-A 3 - 0 1 - 0 15.54
11 Oregon PAC12-N 2 - 1 0 - 0 14.91
12 USC PAC12-S 2 - 1 0 - 1 14.74
13 Wisconsin BIG10-W 2 - 1 0 - 0 14.2
14 Oklahoma BIG12 3 - 0 0 - 0 14.15
15 Georgia Tech ACC-C 2 - 1 0 - 0 13.92
16 Texas A&M SEC-W 3 - 0 0 - 0 13.87
17 TCU BIG12 3 - 0 0 - 0 13.87
18 Oklahoma St BIG12 3 - 0 0 - 0 13.66
19 UCLA PAC12-S 3 - 0 0 - 0 13.35
20 Clemson ACC-A 3 - 0 1 - 0 13.34
21 Michigan St BIG10-E 3 - 0 0 - 0 12.97
22 Mississippi St SEC-W 2 - 1 0 - 1 12.75
23 Kansas St BIG12 3 - 0 0 - 0 11.38
24 BYU IND 2 - 1 0 - 0 10.3
25 Auburn SEC-W 2 - 1 0 - 1 10.1
26 Northwestern BIG10-W 3 - 0 0 - 0 9.55
27 Tennessee SEC-E 2 - 1 0 - 0 9.43
28 Texas Tech BIG12 3 - 0 0 - 0 9.12
29 Nebraska BIG10-W 1 - 2 0 - 0 8.9
30 Florida SEC-E 3 - 0 1 - 0 8.28
31 Miami FL ACC-C 3 - 0 0 - 0 7.28
32 Arkansas SEC-W 1 - 2 0 - 0 6.95
33 Virginia Tech ACC-C 2 - 1 0 - 0 6.83
34 North Carolina ACC-C 2 - 1 0 - 0 6.81
35 Boise St MWC-M 2 - 1 0 - 0 6.58
36 Louisville ACC-A 0 - 3 0 - 1 6.49
37 Washington PAC12-N 2 - 1 0 - 0 6.36
38 Utah PAC12-S 3 - 0 0 - 0 5.98
39 Iowa BIG10-W 3 - 0 0 - 0 5.96
40 South Carolina SEC-E 1 - 2 0 - 2 5.64
41 Michigan BIG10-E 2 - 1 0 - 0 5.53
42 Arizona St PAC12-S 2 - 1 0 - 0 5.29
43 Arizona PAC12-S 3 - 0 0 - 0 5.24
44 Navy AAC-W 2 - 0 1 - 0 4.58
45 Missouri SEC-E 3 - 0 0 - 0 4.51
46 Houston AAC-W 2 - 0 0 - 0 4.28
47 NC State ACC-A 3 - 0 0 - 0 4.25
48 Duke ACC-C 2 - 1 0 - 0 3.19
49 Pittsburgh ACC-C 2 - 1 0 - 0 3.03
50 Memphis AAC-W 3 - 0 0 - 0 2.85
51 Penn St BIG10-E 2 - 1 1 - 0 2.66
52 N Illinois MAC-W 2 - 1 0 - 0 2.55
53 Texas BIG12 1 - 2 0 - 0 2.33
54 Toledo MAC-W 2 - 0 0 - 0 2.19
55 California PAC12-N 3 - 0 0 - 0 2.07
56 Virginia ACC-C 1 - 2 0 - 0 1.81
57 Boston College ACC-A 2 - 1 0 - 1 0.86
58 Kentucky SEC-E 2 - 1 1 - 1 0.09
59 Marshall CUSA-E 2 - 1 0 - 0 -0.12
60 Ga Southern SUN 2 - 1 0 - 0 -0.36
61 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 1 - 2 0 - 1 -0.56
62 Minnesota BIG10-W 2 - 1 0 - 0 -0.71
63 Vanderbilt SEC-E 1 - 2 0 - 1 -1.09
64 Syracuse ACC-A 3 - 0 1 - 0 -1.11
65 Temple AAC-E 3 - 0 1 - 0 -1.34
66 UCF AAC-E 0 - 3 0 - 0 -1.38
67 Bowling Green MAC-E 1 - 2 0 - 0 -1.52
68 Indiana BIG10-E 3 - 0 0 - 0 -2.13
69 W Kentucky CUSA-E 2 - 1 1 - 0 -2.58
70 MTSU CUSA-E 2 - 1 1 - 0 -2.96
71 Utah St MWC-M 1 - 2 0 - 0 -3.18
72 Cincinnati AAC-E 2 - 1 0 - 1 -3.23
73 Illinois BIG10-W 2 - 1 0 - 0 -3.54
74 Ohio MAC-E 3 - 0 0 - 0 -3.94
75 Colorado PAC12-S 2 - 1 0 - 0 -4.09
76 East Carolina AAC-E 1 - 2 0 - 1 -4.37
77 Maryland BIG10-E 2 - 1 0 - 0 -4.45
78 Iowa St BIG12 1 - 2 0 - 0 -4.69
79 Air Force MWC-M 2 - 1 1 - 0 -4.79
80 Colorado St MWC-M 1 - 2 0 - 0 -5.42
81 C Michigan MAC-W 1 - 2 0 - 0 -5.97
82 Nevada MWC-W 1 - 2 0 - 0 -6.14
83 Washington St PAC12-N 2 - 1 0 - 0 -6.37
84 Tulsa AAC-W 2 - 1 0 - 0 -6.44
85 ULL SUN 1 - 1 0 - 0 -6.5
86 Oregon St PAC12-N 2 - 1 0 - 0 -6.58
87 Buffalo MAC-E 2 - 1 0 - 0 -7.08
88 SMU AAC-W 1 - 2 0 - 0 -8.03
89 Rice CUSA-W 2 - 1 1 - 0 -8.34
90 Rutgers BIG10-E 1 - 2 0 - 1 -8.75
91 W Michigan MAC-W 1 - 2 0 - 0 -8.8
92 Ball St MAC-W 2 - 1 1 - 0 -8.84
93 Connecticut AAC-E 2 - 1 0 - 0 -8.98
94 Appalachian St SUN 1 - 1 0 - 0 -9.1
95 Hawaii MWC-W 2 - 1 0 - 0 -9.59
96 Arkansas St SUN 1 - 2 0 - 0 -9.83
97 Wake Forest ACC-A 2 - 1 0 - 1 -10.21
98 Purdue BIG10-W 1 - 2 0 - 0 -10.22
99 Fresno St MWC-W 1 - 2 0 - 0 -10.44
100 South Florida AAC-E 1 - 2 0 - 0 -11.25
101 San Diego St MWC-W 1 - 2 0 - 0 -11.52
102 ULM SUN 1 - 1 0 - 0 -11.69
103 Kansas BIG12 0 - 2 0 - 0 -11.71
104 Florida Intl CUSA-E 2 - 1 0 - 0 -12.27
105 Southern Miss CUSA-W 2 - 1 0 - 0 -12.53
106 South Alabama SUN 2 - 1 0 - 0 -12.89
107 UNLV MWC-W 0 - 3 0 - 0 -14.29
108 Troy SUN 1 - 2 0 - 0 -14.35
109 Old Dominion CUSA-E 2 - 1 0 - 0 -14.39
110 Army IND 0 - 3 0 - 1 -14.82
111 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 0 - 3 0 - 0 -14.92
112 UT San Antonio CUSA-W 0 - 3 0 - 0 -15.9
113 Akron MAC-E 1 - 2 0 - 0 -16.35
114 Kent MAC-E 1 - 2 0 - 0 -16.88
115 Massachusetts MAC-E 0 - 2 0 - 0 -17.24
116 North Texas CUSA-W 0 - 2 0 - 1 -17.99
117 San Jose St MWC-W 1 - 2 0 - 1 -18.18
118 Texas St SUN 1 - 2 0 - 0 -18.3
119 Tulane AAC-W 1 - 2 0 - 0 -19.07
120 Miami OH MAC-E 1 - 2 0 - 0 -19.32
121 UTEP CUSA-W 1 - 2 0 - 0 -19.33
122 New Mexico MWC-M 1 - 2 0 - 0 -20.25
123 E Michigan MAC-W 1 - 2 0 - 1 -20.58
124 Idaho SUN 1 - 2 0 - 0 -22.33
125 Wyoming MWC-M 0 - 3 0 - 0 -22.5
126 Georgia St SUN 1 - 2 1 - 0 -25.46
127 New Mexico St SUN 0 - 3 0 - 1 -26.82
128 Charlotte CUSA-E 2 - 1 0 - 1 -35.41