Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2018 Week 15

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Alabama SEC-W 13 - 0 9 - 0 36.22
2 Clemson ACC-A 13 - 0 9 - 0 29.21
3 Georgia SEC-E 11 - 2 7 - 2 26.06
4 Missouri SEC-E 8 - 4 4 - 4 20.96
5 Mississippi St SEC-W 8 - 4 4 - 4 20.53
6 Michigan BIG10-E 10 - 2 8 - 1 18.61
7 Notre Dame IND 12 - 0 0 - 0 17.51
8 Oklahoma BIG12 12 - 1 9 - 1 16.76
9 Ohio St BIG10-E 12 - 1 9 - 1 16.6
10 Florida SEC-E 9 - 3 5 - 3 15.78
11 LSU SEC-W 9 - 3 5 - 3 15.67
12 UCF AAC-E 12 - 0 9 - 0 15
13 West Virginia BIG12 8 - 3 6 - 3 14.87
14 Texas A&M SEC-W 8 - 4 5 - 3 14.8
15 Kentucky SEC-E 9 - 3 5 - 3 14.03
16 Auburn SEC-W 7 - 5 3 - 5 13.22
17 Iowa BIG10-W 8 - 4 5 - 4 12.98
18 Penn St BIG10-E 9 - 3 6 - 3 12.8
19 Fresno St MWC-W 11 - 2 8 - 1 12.05
20 Washington St PAC12-N 10 - 2 7 - 2 11.54
21 Washington PAC12-N 10 - 3 8 - 2 11.19
22 South Carolina SEC-E 7 - 5 4 - 4 10.9
23 Vanderbilt SEC-E 6 - 6 3 - 5 10.73
24 Utah PAC12-S 9 - 4 6 - 4 10.41
25 Utah St MWC-M 10 - 2 7 - 1 9.93
26 Boise St MWC-M 10 - 3 7 - 2 9.37
27 NC State ACC-A 9 - 3 5 - 3 9.06
28 Texas BIG12 9 - 4 7 - 3 8.99
29 Cincinnati AAC-E 10 - 2 6 - 2 8.73
30 Iowa St BIG12 8 - 4 6 - 3 8.14
31 Syracuse ACC-A 9 - 3 6 - 2 8.04
32 Purdue BIG10-W 6 - 6 5 - 4 7.3
33 Stanford PAC12-N 8 - 4 6 - 3 7.26
34 Temple AAC-E 8 - 4 7 - 1 6.73
35 Ohio MAC-E 8 - 4 6 - 2 6.62
36 Army IND 10 - 2 3 - 0 6.38
37 Miami FL ACC-C 7 - 5 4 - 4 6.23
38 Appalachian St SUN 10 - 2 8 - 1 6.06
39 Oregon PAC12-N 8 - 4 5 - 4 4.89
40 Michigan St BIG10-E 7 - 5 5 - 4 4.56
41 Oklahoma St BIG12 6 - 6 3 - 6 4.54
42 Northwestern BIG10-W 8 - 5 8 - 2 4.53
43 Georgia Tech ACC-C 7 - 5 5 - 3 4.52
44 Pittsburgh ACC-C 7 - 6 6 - 3 4.43
45 Tennessee SEC-E 5 - 7 2 - 6 3.56
46 Arizona St PAC12-S 7 - 5 5 - 4 3.45
47 Boston College ACC-A 7 - 5 4 - 4 3.4
48 Memphis AAC-W 8 - 5 5 - 4 2.95
49 Wisconsin BIG10-W 7 - 5 5 - 4 2.65
50 Texas Tech BIG12 5 - 7 3 - 6 2.59
51 Minnesota BIG10-W 6 - 6 3 - 6 2.22
52 Nebraska BIG10-W 4 - 8 3 - 6 2.21
53 Mississippi SEC-W 5 - 7 1 - 7 1.95
54 Kansas St BIG12 5 - 7 3 - 6 1.81
55 MTSU CUSA-E 8 - 5 7 - 2 1.7
56 Virginia ACC-C 7 - 5 4 - 4 1.58
57 TCU BIG12 6 - 6 4 - 5 1.1
58 Maryland BIG10-E 5 - 7 3 - 6 0.74
59 BYU IND 6 - 6 3 - 0 0.68
60 Buffalo MAC-E 10 - 3 7 - 2 0.58
61 Indiana BIG10-E 5 - 7 2 - 7 0.42
62 California PAC12-N 7 - 5 4 - 5 0.39
63 USC PAC12-S 5 - 7 4 - 5 0.33
64 Wake Forest ACC-A 6 - 6 3 - 5 0.07
65 UAB CUSA-W 10 - 3 8 - 1 -0.11
66 Houston AAC-W 8 - 4 5 - 3 -0.34
67 Miami OH MAC-E 6 - 6 6 - 2 -0.78
68 Toledo MAC-W 7 - 5 5 - 3 -1.14
69 Wyoming MWC-M 6 - 6 4 - 4 -1.3
70 Baylor BIG12 6 - 6 4 - 5 -1.57
71 Arizona PAC12-S 5 - 7 4 - 5 -2.09
72 Ga Southern SUN 9 - 3 6 - 2 -2.13
73 Arkansas St SUN 8 - 4 5 - 3 -2.22
74 N Illinois MAC-W 8 - 5 7 - 2 -2.28
75 UCLA PAC12-S 3 - 9 3 - 6 -2.39
76 Duke ACC-C 7 - 5 3 - 5 -2.48
77 Air Force MWC-M 5 - 7 3 - 5 -2.64
78 Nevada MWC-W 7 - 5 5 - 3 -2.83
79 Troy SUN 9 - 3 7 - 1 -3
80 Florida St ACC-A 5 - 7 3 - 5 -3.07
81 Marshall CUSA-E 8 - 4 6 - 2 -3.23
82 Florida Intl CUSA-E 8 - 4 6 - 2 -4.04
83 Virginia Tech ACC-C 6 - 6 4 - 4 -4.1
84 San Diego St MWC-W 7 - 5 4 - 4 -4.17
85 E Michigan MAC-W 7 - 5 5 - 3 -4.39
86 Kansas BIG12 3 - 9 1 - 8 -4.54
87 North Texas CUSA-W 9 - 3 5 - 3 -4.94
88 Arkansas SEC-W 2 - 10 0 - 8 -5
89 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 5 - 7 3 - 5 -5.14
90 Colorado PAC12-S 5 - 7 2 - 7 -5.61
91 Louisiana SUN 7 - 6 5 - 4 -6.28
92 Tulane AAC-W 6 - 6 5 - 3 -6.78
93 Southern Miss CUSA-W 6 - 5 5 - 3 -7
94 North Carolina ACC-C 2 - 9 1 - 7 -7.02
95 SMU AAC-W 5 - 7 4 - 4 -7.39
96 Navy AAC-W 3 - 10 2 - 6 -8.14
97 Hawaii MWC-W 8 - 5 5 - 3 -9.47
98 W Michigan MAC-W 7 - 5 5 - 3 -9.48
99 South Florida AAC-E 7 - 5 3 - 5 -10.19
100 Charlotte CUSA-E 5 - 7 4 - 4 -10.37
101 ULM SUN 6 - 6 4 - 4 -10.49
102 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 7 - 5 5 - 3 -10.58
103 Tulsa AAC-W 3 - 9 2 - 6 -12.05
104 Rutgers BIG10-E 1 - 11 0 - 9 -12.31
105 Colorado St MWC-M 3 - 9 2 - 6 -13.12
106 Illinois BIG10-W 4 - 8 2 - 7 -13.43
107 San Jose St MWC-W 1 - 11 1 - 7 -14.16
108 UNLV MWC-W 4 - 8 2 - 6 -14.49
109 WKU CUSA-E 3 - 9 2 - 6 -14.78
110 Akron MAC-E 4 - 8 2 - 6 -15.55
111 Oregon St PAC12-N 2 - 10 1 - 8 -16.07
112 New Mexico MWC-M 3 - 9 1 - 7 -16.35
113 Ball St MAC-W 4 - 8 3 - 5 -16.36
114 Coastal Car SUN 5 - 7 2 - 6 -16.6
115 Massachusetts IND 4 - 8 2 - 1 -16.7
116 Liberty IND 6 - 6 3 - 3 -17.57
117 East Carolina AAC-E 3 - 9 1 - 7 -17.64
118 Georgia St SUN 2 - 10 1 - 7 -17.65
119 Louisville ACC-A 2 - 10 0 - 8 -17.91
120 Texas St SUN 3 - 9 1 - 7 -18.05
121 Bowling Green MAC-E 3 - 9 2 - 6 -18.23
122 Old Dominion CUSA-E 4 - 8 2 - 6 -18.8
123 Kent MAC-E 2 - 10 1 - 7 -18.87
124 C Michigan MAC-W 1 - 11 0 - 8 -20.63
125 South Alabama SUN 3 - 9 2 - 6 -21.63
126 UT San Antonio CUSA-W 3 - 9 2 - 6 -22.77
127 Rice CUSA-W 2 - 11 1 - 7 -23.04
128 UTEP CUSA-W 1 - 11 1 - 7 -23.67
129 New Mexico St IND 3 - 9 2 - 2 -23.75
130 Connecticut AAC-E 1 - 11 0 - 8 -28.74