Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2017 Week 5 (9/24/2017)

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Alabama SEC-W 4 - 0 1 - 0 29.68
2 Clemson ACC-A 4 - 0 2 - 0 23.13
3 Oklahoma BIG12 4 - 0 1 - 0 21.32
4 Washington PAC12-N 4 - 0 1 - 0 19.99
5 Ohio St BIG10-E 3 - 1 1 - 0 19.78
6 Notre Dame IND 3 - 1 0 - 0 18.61
7 Georgia SEC-E 4 - 0 1 - 0 17.97
8 Oklahoma St BIG12 3 - 1 0 - 1 17.31
9 Michigan BIG10-E 4 - 0 1 - 0 16.99
10 TCU BIG12 4 - 0 1 - 0 16.79
11 Penn St BIG10-E 4 - 0 1 - 0 16.4
12 USC PAC12-S 4 - 0 2 - 0 16.35
13 Wisconsin BIG10-W 3 - 0 0 - 0 14.97
14 Miami FL ACC-C 2 - 0 0 - 0 14.16
15 Virginia Tech ACC-C 4 - 0 0 - 0 14.12
16 Auburn SEC-W 3 - 1 1 - 0 13.49
17 Mississippi St SEC-W 3 - 1 1 - 1 13.04
18 Louisville ACC-A 3 - 1 1 - 1 12.84
19 Stanford PAC12-N 2 - 2 1 - 1 12.53
20 Washington St PAC12-N 4 - 0 1 - 0 12.1
21 Duke ACC-C 4 - 0 1 - 0 11.67
22 Florida St ACC-A 0 - 2 0 - 1 10.92
23 Georgia Tech ACC-C 2 - 1 1 - 0 10.46
24 Oregon PAC12-N 3 - 1 0 - 1 9.72
25 North Carolina ACC-C 1 - 3 0 - 2 9.55
26 South Florida AAC-E 4 - 0 1 - 0 9.09
27 West Virginia BIG12 3 - 1 1 - 0 8.2
28 Texas Tech BIG12 3 - 0 0 - 0 8.12
29 NC State ACC-A 3 - 1 1 - 0 7.8
30 Texas A&M SEC-W 3 - 1 1 - 0 7.71
31 Indiana BIG10-E 2 - 1 0 - 1 7.49
32 Florida SEC-E 2 - 1 2 - 0 7.26
33 Texas BIG12 1 - 2 0 - 0 7.1
34 UCF AAC-E 2 - 0 0 - 0 7
35 California PAC12-N 3 - 1 0 - 1 6.99
36 Iowa BIG10-W 3 - 1 0 - 1 6.58
37 LSU SEC-W 3 - 1 0 - 1 6.39
38 Baylor BIG12 0 - 4 0 - 1 6.35
39 Minnesota BIG10-W 3 - 0 0 - 0 6.21
40 San Diego St MWC-W 4 - 0 1 - 0 5.96
41 Colorado St MWC-M 2 - 2 0 - 0 5.74
42 Michigan St BIG10-E 2 - 1 0 - 0 5.49
43 Iowa St BIG12 2 - 1 0 - 0 5.47
44 Wake Forest ACC-A 4 - 0 1 - 0 5.33
45 Northwestern BIG10-W 2 - 1 0 - 0 4.31
46 Mississippi SEC-W 2 - 1 0 - 0 4.24
47 Kansas St BIG12 2 - 1 0 - 0 4.07
48 Arizona St PAC12-S 2 - 2 1 - 0 3.94
49 Utah PAC12-S 4 - 0 1 - 0 3.88
50 UCLA PAC12-S 2 - 2 0 - 1 3.69
51 Navy AAC-W 3 - 0 2 - 0 3.33
52 Colorado PAC12-S 3 - 1 0 - 1 3.31
53 Kentucky SEC-E 3 - 1 1 - 1 3.28
54 Tennessee SEC-E 3 - 1 0 - 1 3.27
55 Arkansas SEC-W 1 - 2 0 - 1 2.37
56 SMU AAC-W 3 - 1 0 - 0 1.97
57 Purdue BIG10-W 2 - 2 0 - 1 1.95
58 Toledo MAC-W 3 - 1 0 - 0 1.91
59 Houston AAC-W 2 - 1 0 - 0 1.86
60 South Carolina SEC-E 3 - 1 1 - 1 1.59
61 Air Force MWC-M 1 - 2 0 - 1 1.27
62 Pittsburgh ACC-C 1 - 3 0 - 1 1.16
63 Boise St MWC-M 2 - 2 1 - 0 1.06
64 Nebraska BIG10-W 2 - 2 1 - 0 0.93
65 Virginia ACC-C 3 - 1 0 - 0 0.82
66 Memphis AAC-W 3 - 0 0 - 0 0.65
67 W Michigan MAC-W 2 - 2 0 - 0 -0.2
68 Arizona PAC12-S 2 - 2 0 - 1 -0.3
69 Appalachian St SUN 2 - 2 1 - 0 -1.81
70 Maryland BIG10-E 2 - 1 0 - 0 -1.85
71 WKU CUSA-E 2 - 2 0 - 1 -1.96
72 Vanderbilt SEC-E 3 - 1 0 - 1 -2.1
73 Tulsa AAC-W 1 - 3 0 - 0 -2.41
74 UT San Antonio CUSA-W 3 - 0 0 - 0 -2.59
75 N Illinois MAC-W 2 - 1 0 - 0 -2.66
76 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 2 - 2 1 - 0 -2.92
77 Boston College ACC-A 1 - 3 0 - 2 -3.31
78 Syracuse ACC-A 2 - 2 0 - 0 -3.77
79 Illinois BIG10-W 2 - 1 0 - 0 -4.28
80 UNLV MWC-W 1 - 2 0 - 0 -4.63
81 Utah St MWC-M 2 - 2 1 - 0 -5.35
82 Cincinnati AAC-E 2 - 2 0 - 1 -5.35
83 Fresno St MWC-W 1 - 2 0 - 0 -6.31
84 BYU IND 1 - 3 1 - 0 -6.43
85 Arkansas St SUN 1 - 2 0 - 0 -7.05
86 Temple AAC-E 2 - 2 0 - 1 -7.06
87 Oregon St PAC12-N 1 - 3 0 - 1 -7.26
88 Marshall CUSA-E 2 - 1 0 - 0 -8.97
89 Ball St MAC-W 2 - 2 0 - 0 -9.3
90 Ohio MAC-E 3 - 1 1 - 0 -9.51
91 Missouri SEC-E 1 - 3 0 - 2 -9.64
92 Rutgers BIG10-E 1 - 3 0 - 1 -9.76
93 Tulane AAC-W 2 - 2 0 - 1 -9.94
94 Southern Miss CUSA-W 2 - 1 0 - 0 -10.1
95 Army IND 2 - 2 1 - 0 -10.2
96 Troy SUN 3 - 1 1 - 0 -10.26
97 New Mexico MWC-M 2 - 2 0 - 1 -10.54
98 MTSU CUSA-E 2 - 2 0 - 0 -11.27
99 East Carolina AAC-E 1 - 3 1 - 0 -12.1
100 North Texas CUSA-W 2 - 2 1 - 0 -12.34
101 Buffalo MAC-E 2 - 2 0 - 0 -12.46
102 Idaho SUN 2 - 2 1 - 0 -12.47
103 Nevada MWC-W 0 - 4 0 - 0 -12.49
104 Miami OH MAC-E 2 - 2 1 - 0 -12.57
105 Ga Southern SUN 0 - 3 0 - 0 -12.63
106 New Mexico St SUN 2 - 2 0 - 1 -12.89
107 Wyoming MWC-M 2 - 2 1 - 0 -12.93
108 Old Dominion CUSA-E 2 - 2 0 - 0 -12.96
109 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 1 - 3 0 - 0 -13.02
110 ULL SUN 1 - 3 0 - 1 -14.08
111 ULM SUN 1 - 2 1 - 0 -15.51
112 UAB CUSA-E 2 - 2 0 - 1 -15.54
113 South Alabama SUN 1 - 3 0 - 1 -15.7
114 Kansas BIG12 1 - 3 0 - 1 -16.16
115 C Michigan MAC-W 2 - 2 0 - 1 -16.16
116 Hawaii MWC-W 2 - 2 0 - 1 -16.29
117 E Michigan MAC-W 2 - 1 0 - 1 -16.42
118 Connecticut AAC-E 1 - 2 0 - 1 -16.73
119 Akron MAC-E 1 - 3 0 - 0 -16.86
120 Bowling Green MAC-E 0 - 4 0 - 0 -16.94
121 Georgia St SUN 1 - 2 0 - 0 -17.1
122 Massachusetts IND 0 - 5 0 - 0 -18.49
123 Coastal Car SUN 1 - 2 0 - 0 -19.65
124 Florida Intl CUSA-E 2 - 1 1 - 0 -19.92
125 Texas St SUN 1 - 3 0 - 1 -20.33
126 Kent MAC-E 1 - 3 0 - 0 -21.98
127 San Jose St MWC-W 1 - 4 0 - 1 -22.57
128 Rice CUSA-W 1 - 3 1 - 1 -22.67
129 UTEP CUSA-W 0 - 4 0 - 1 -27.15
130 Charlotte CUSA-E 0 - 4 0 - 0 -32.16