Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2019 Week 8 (Through games of 10/12/19)

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Ohio St BIG10-E 6 - 0 3 - 0 32.54
2 Alabama SEC-W 6 - 0 3 - 0 28.84
3 Wisconsin BIG10-W 6 - 0 3 - 0 27.06
4 Penn St BIG10-E 6 - 0 3 - 0 23.37
5 Clemson ACC-A 6 - 0 4 - 0 23.04
6 LSU SEC-W 6 - 0 2 - 0 22.93
7 Oklahoma BIG12 6 - 0 3 - 0 22.41
8 Oregon PAC12-N 5 - 1 3 - 0 20.81
9 Auburn SEC-W 5 - 1 2 - 1 19.68
10 Georgia SEC-E 5 - 1 2 - 1 18.26
11 Iowa St BIG12 4 - 2 2 - 1 17.8
12 Missouri SEC-E 5 - 1 2 - 0 15.92
13 Iowa BIG10-W 4 - 2 1 - 2 15.45
14 Florida SEC-E 6 - 1 3 - 1 15.24
15 Washington PAC12-N 5 - 2 2 - 2 15.09
16 Notre Dame IND 5 - 1 0 - 0 14.92
17 Texas BIG12 4 - 2 2 - 1 14.92
18 Utah PAC12-S 5 - 1 2 - 1 14.76
19 Michigan BIG10-E 5 - 1 3 - 1 13.49
20 UCF AAC-E 4 - 2 1 - 1 12.18
21 TCU BIG12 3 - 2 1 - 1 11.34
22 Michigan St BIG10-E 4 - 3 2 - 2 10.48
23 Baylor BIG12 6 - 0 3 - 0 9.76
24 USC PAC12-S 3 - 3 2 - 1 9.52
25 Texas A&M SEC-W 3 - 3 1 - 2 9.5
26 Cincinnati AAC-E 5 - 1 2 - 0 9.46
27 Boise St MWC-M 6 - 0 3 - 0 8.85
28 South Carolina SEC-E 3 - 3 2 - 2 8.73
29 Minnesota BIG10-W 6 - 0 3 - 0 8.42
30 Oklahoma St BIG12 4 - 2 1 - 2 8.07
31 Memphis AAC-W 5 - 1 1 - 1 8.01
32 Stanford PAC12-N 3 - 3 2 - 2 7.43
33 Arizona St PAC12-S 5 - 1 2 - 1 7.38
34 Navy AAC-W 4 - 1 2 - 1 7.25
35 Duke ACC-C 4 - 2 2 - 1 7.14
36 Pittsburgh ACC-C 4 - 2 1 - 1 6.76
37 California PAC12-N 4 - 2 1 - 2 6.57
38 Tulane AAC-W 5 - 1 2 - 0 5.96
39 Appalachian St SUN 5 - 0 2 - 0 5.68
40 Mississippi SEC-W 3 - 4 2 - 2 5.15
41 North Carolina ACC-C 3 - 3 2 - 2 5.14
42 SMU AAC-W 6 - 0 2 - 0 4.76
43 Washington St PAC12-N 3 - 3 0 - 3 4.16
44 West Virginia BIG12 3 - 3 1 - 2 4.05
45 Mississippi St SEC-W 3 - 3 1 - 2 3.9
46 Kansas St BIG12 3 - 2 0 - 2 3.46
47 Northwestern BIG10-W 1 - 4 0 - 3 3.28
48 Indiana BIG10-E 4 - 2 1 - 2 3.01
49 Florida St ACC-A 3 - 3 2 - 2 2.53
50 Texas Tech BIG12 3 - 3 1 - 2 2.51
51 Air Force MWC-M 4 - 2 2 - 1 2.19
52 Miami FL ACC-C 3 - 3 1 - 2 2.11
53 Houston AAC-W 2 - 4 0 - 2 2.07
54 Purdue BIG10-W 2 - 4 1 - 2 2.06
55 Wake Forest ACC-A 5 - 1 2 - 1 1.67
56 Virginia ACC-C 4 - 2 2 - 1 1.35
57 Arizona PAC12-S 4 - 2 2 - 1 0.94
58 Wyoming MWC-M 4 - 2 1 - 1 0.56
59 Temple AAC-E 5 - 1 2 - 0 0.21
60 Kentucky SEC-E 3 - 3 1 - 3 0.13
61 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 4 - 2 2 - 0 -0.33
62 Utah St MWC-M 3 - 2 2 - 0 -0.49
63 Nebraska BIG10-W 4 - 3 2 - 2 -0.51
64 NC State ACC-A 4 - 2 1 - 1 -0.54
65 Louisville ACC-A 4 - 2 2 - 1 -0.71
66 San Diego St MWC-W 5 - 1 2 - 1 -0.78
67 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 5 - 1 2 - 0 -1.59
68 WKU CUSA-E 4 - 2 3 - 0 -1.73
69 Army IND 3 - 3 1 - 0 -1.92
70 Colorado PAC12-S 3 - 3 1 - 2 -2.08
71 Louisiana SUN 4 - 2 1 - 1 -2.56
72 Hawaii MWC-W 4 - 2 1 - 1 -2.78
73 Maryland BIG10-E 3 - 3 1 - 2 -2.87
74 Fresno St MWC-W 2 - 3 0 - 1 -3.08
75 Tennessee SEC-E 2 - 4 1 - 2 -3.41
76 Syracuse ACC-A 3 - 3 0 - 2 -3.58
77 UCLA PAC12-S 1 - 5 1 - 2 -3.65
78 W Michigan MAC-W 4 - 3 2 - 1 -4.03
79 Arkansas SEC-W 2 - 4 0 - 3 -4.08
80 UAB CUSA-W 5 - 1 2 - 1 -4.55
81 BYU IND 2 - 4 0 - 0 -4.56
82 Virginia Tech ACC-C 4 - 2 1 - 2 -4.65
83 Florida Intl CUSA-E 3 - 3 1 - 2 -5.11
84 Tulsa AAC-W 2 - 4 0 - 2 -5.25
85 Boston College ACC-A 3 - 3 1 - 2 -5.71
86 Southern Miss CUSA-W 4 - 2 2 - 0 -5.89
87 Oregon St PAC12-N 2 - 4 1 - 2 -5.94
88 Kansas BIG12 2 - 4 0 - 3 -6.19
89 Georgia Tech ACC-C 1 - 5 0 - 3 -6.42
90 South Florida AAC-E 3 - 3 1 - 1 -7.04
91 Illinois BIG10-W 2 - 4 0 - 3 -8.7
92 Arkansas St SUN 3 - 3 1 - 1 -8.85
93 Troy SUN 2 - 3 0 - 1 -8.94
94 Marshall CUSA-E 3 - 3 1 - 1 -8.96
95 Toledo MAC-W 4 - 2 1 - 1 -8.97
96 North Texas CUSA-W 2 - 4 1 - 1 -9.19
97 MTSU CUSA-E 2 - 4 1 - 1 -9.24
98 Ohio MAC-E 2 - 4 1 - 1 -9.53
99 Ga Southern SUN 2 - 3 1 - 1 -9.68
100 ULM SUN 3 - 3 2 - 0 -10.11
101 C Michigan MAC-W 4 - 3 2 - 1 -10.7
102 Buffalo MAC-E 2 - 4 0 - 2 -11.1
103 Vanderbilt SEC-E 1 - 5 0 - 3 -11.21
104 Kent MAC-E 3 - 3 2 - 0 -11.45
105 Miami OH MAC-E 2 - 4 1 - 1 -11.62
106 Ball St MAC-W 3 - 3 2 - 0 -12.01
107 Georgia St SUN 4 - 2 2 - 1 -12.42
108 Rice CUSA-W 0 - 6 0 - 2 -12.42
109 N Illinois MAC-W 2 - 4 1 - 1 -12.89
110 Colorado St MWC-M 2 - 5 1 - 2 -13.45
111 UNLV MWC-W 2 - 4 0 - 2 -13.96
112 Coastal Car SUN 3 - 3 0 - 2 -14.14
113 Liberty IND 4 - 2 2 - 0 -14.42
114 San Jose St MWC-W 3 - 3 1 - 2 -14.55
115 East Carolina AAC-E 3 - 3 0 - 2 -15.47
116 Charlotte CUSA-E 2 - 4 0 - 2 -15.49
117 E Michigan MAC-W 3 - 3 0 - 2 -16.02
118 Nevada MWC-W 4 - 2 1 - 1 -16.18
119 Texas St SUN 2 - 4 1 - 1 -16.44
120 Old Dominion CUSA-E 1 - 5 0 - 2 -17.94
121 South Alabama SUN 1 - 5 0 - 2 -20.43
122 Rutgers BIG10-E 1 - 5 0 - 4 -21.5
123 New Mexico MWC-M 2 - 4 0 - 2 -21.76
124 New Mexico St IND 0 - 7 0 - 1 -21.77
125 Bowling Green MAC-E 2 - 4 1 - 1 -22.92
126 Connecticut AAC-E 1 - 5 0 - 3 -23.32
127 UT San Antonio CUSA-W 2 - 4 1 - 2 -23.63
128 UTEP CUSA-W 1 - 4 0 - 2 -27.82
129 Akron MAC-E 0 - 6 0 - 2 -29.21
130 Massachusetts IND 1 - 6 0 - 1 -33.67