Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2017 Postseason (1/9/2018)

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Alabama SEC-W 13 - 1 8 - 1 26.7
2 Georgia SEC-E 13 - 2 8 - 2 25.72
3 Ohio St BIG10-E 12 - 2 9 - 1 23.88
4 Penn St BIG10-E 11 - 2 7 - 2 23.73
5 Clemson ACC-A 12 - 2 8 - 1 22.69
6 Auburn SEC-W 10 - 4 7 - 2 22.07
7 Wisconsin BIG10-W 13 - 1 9 - 1 21.14
8 Oklahoma BIG12 12 - 2 9 - 1 21.08
9 UCF AAC-E 13 - 0 9 - 0 17.9
10 Notre Dame IND 10 - 3 0 - 0 15.78
11 Washington PAC12-N 10 - 3 7 - 2 15.76
12 Oklahoma St BIG12 10 - 3 6 - 3 14.94
13 Iowa BIG10-W 8 - 5 4 - 5 14.61
14 TCU BIG12 11 - 3 7 - 3 14.23
15 Northwestern BIG10-W 10 - 3 7 - 2 12.55
16 Mississippi St SEC-W 9 - 4 4 - 4 12.52
17 LSU SEC-W 9 - 4 6 - 2 12.24
18 Memphis AAC-W 10 - 3 7 - 2 12
19 Louisville ACC-A 8 - 5 4 - 4 11.69
20 Virginia Tech ACC-C 9 - 4 5 - 3 11.61
21 NC State ACC-A 9 - 4 6 - 2 11.47
22 Miami FL ACC-C 10 - 3 7 - 2 11.32
23 Iowa St BIG12 8 - 5 5 - 4 11.04
24 Stanford PAC12-N 9 - 5 7 - 3 10.59
25 Boston College ACC-A 7 - 6 4 - 4 10.49
26 Michigan St BIG10-E 10 - 3 7 - 2 10.31
27 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 11 - 3 9 - 0 9.82
28 Texas BIG12 7 - 6 5 - 4 9.72
29 Wake Forest ACC-A 8 - 5 4 - 4 9.57
30 Michigan BIG10-E 8 - 5 5 - 4 9.27
31 USC PAC12-S 11 - 3 9 - 1 8.57
32 Florida St ACC-A 7 - 6 3 - 5 8.3
33 Purdue BIG10-W 7 - 6 4 - 5 7.23
34 South Carolina SEC-E 9 - 4 5 - 3 7.01
35 Missouri SEC-E 7 - 6 4 - 4 7.01
36 Kansas St BIG12 8 - 5 5 - 4 6.58
37 South Florida AAC-E 10 - 2 6 - 2 6.26
38 Duke ACC-C 7 - 6 3 - 5 5.76
39 Georgia Tech ACC-C 5 - 6 4 - 4 5.2
40 Boise St MWC-M 10 - 4 7 - 2 5.18
41 Utah PAC12-S 7 - 6 3 - 6 5.1
42 Texas A&M SEC-W 7 - 6 4 - 4 4.94
43 Navy AAC-W 7 - 6 4 - 4 4.4
44 Appalachian St SUN 9 - 4 7 - 1 3.89
45 Troy SUN 11 - 2 7 - 1 3.3
46 Indiana BIG10-E 5 - 7 2 - 7 3.07
47 Oregon PAC12-N 7 - 6 4 - 5 3.02
48 West Virginia BIG12 7 - 6 5 - 4 2.96
49 Texas Tech BIG12 6 - 7 3 - 6 2.89
50 Pittsburgh ACC-C 5 - 7 3 - 5 2.63
51 Washington St PAC12-N 9 - 4 6 - 3 2.26
52 Fresno St MWC-W 10 - 4 7 - 2 2.22
53 Army IND 10 - 3 1 - 0 1.8
54 Houston AAC-W 7 - 5 5 - 3 1.38
55 San Diego St MWC-W 10 - 3 6 - 2 1.26
56 Ohio MAC-E 9 - 4 5 - 3 1.24
57 Arizona St PAC12-S 7 - 6 6 - 3 1.01
58 Mississippi SEC-W 6 - 6 3 - 5 0.82
59 Kentucky SEC-E 7 - 6 4 - 4 0.53
60 Temple AAC-E 7 - 6 4 - 4 0.13
61 Arizona PAC12-S 7 - 6 5 - 4 0.06
62 Florida SEC-E 4 - 7 3 - 5 -0.6
63 Minnesota BIG10-W 5 - 7 2 - 7 -1.08
64 Toledo MAC-W 11 - 3 8 - 1 -1.12
65 UCLA PAC12-S 6 - 7 4 - 5 -1.59
66 California PAC12-N 5 - 7 2 - 7 -1.62
67 Syracuse ACC-A 4 - 8 2 - 6 -2.13
68 Wyoming MWC-M 8 - 5 5 - 3 -2.65
69 Arkansas SEC-W 4 - 8 1 - 7 -2.91
70 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 7 - 6 4 - 4 -2.94
71 Arkansas St SUN 7 - 5 6 - 2 -3.48
72 Nebraska BIG10-W 4 - 8 3 - 6 -3.61
73 Colorado St MWC-M 8 - 5 6 - 2 -3.99
74 Marshall CUSA-E 8 - 5 4 - 4 -4.01
75 Virginia ACC-C 6 - 7 3 - 5 -4.52
76 N Illinois MAC-W 8 - 5 6 - 2 -4.68
77 SMU AAC-W 7 - 6 4 - 4 -4.86
78 Tulane AAC-W 5 - 7 3 - 5 -4.99
79 North Carolina ACC-C 3 - 9 1 - 7 -5.34
80 Baylor BIG12 1 - 11 1 - 8 -5.77
81 Utah St MWC-M 6 - 7 4 - 4 -6.3
82 Vanderbilt SEC-E 5 - 7 1 - 7 -6.39
83 Colorado PAC12-S 5 - 7 2 - 7 -6.55
84 North Texas CUSA-W 9 - 5 7 - 2 -6.88
85 Maryland BIG10-E 4 - 8 2 - 7 -7.1
86 C Michigan MAC-W 8 - 5 6 - 2 -7.34
87 Buffalo MAC-E 6 - 6 4 - 4 -7.6
88 Massachusetts IND 4 - 8 2 - 0 -7.61
89 E Michigan MAC-W 5 - 7 3 - 5 -7.66
90 MTSU CUSA-E 7 - 6 4 - 4 -7.68
91 Tennessee SEC-E 4 - 8 0 - 8 -7.71
92 W Michigan MAC-W 6 - 6 4 - 4 -8.28
93 Air Force MWC-M 5 - 7 4 - 4 -8.81
94 Southern Miss CUSA-W 8 - 5 6 - 2 -9.25
95 Florida Intl CUSA-E 8 - 5 5 - 3 -9.51
96 Tulsa AAC-W 2 - 10 1 - 7 -9.56
97 Nevada MWC-W 3 - 9 3 - 5 -9.72
98 Rutgers BIG10-E 4 - 8 3 - 6 -10.21
99 UT San Antonio CUSA-W 6 - 5 3 - 5 -10.38
100 New Mexico St SUN 7 - 6 4 - 4 -10.73
101 Illinois BIG10-W 2 - 10 0 - 9 -11.16
102 Miami OH MAC-E 5 - 7 4 - 4 -11.19
103 BYU IND 4 - 9 1 - 1 -11.33
104 UNLV MWC-W 5 - 7 4 - 4 -11.77
105 ULM SUN 4 - 8 4 - 4 -12.19
106 Georgia St SUN 7 - 5 5 - 3 -12.2
107 Connecticut AAC-E 3 - 9 2 - 6 -12.48
108 UAB CUSA-W 8 - 5 6 - 2 -12.58
109 Idaho SUN 4 - 8 3 - 5 -12.98
110 Akron MAC-E 7 - 7 6 - 3 -13.11
111 Cincinnati AAC-E 4 - 8 2 - 6 -13.62
112 Ga Southern SUN 2 - 10 2 - 6 -14.08
113 East Carolina AAC-E 3 - 9 2 - 6 -14.42
114 Coastal Car SUN 3 - 9 2 - 6 -14.65
115 WKU CUSA-E 6 - 7 4 - 4 -15.34
116 Bowling Green MAC-E 2 - 10 2 - 6 -16.09
117 South Alabama SUN 4 - 8 3 - 5 -17
118 New Mexico MWC-M 3 - 9 1 - 7 -18.19
119 Kansas BIG12 1 - 11 0 - 9 -18.27
120 Oregon St PAC12-N 1 - 11 0 - 9 -18.3
121 Old Dominion CUSA-E 5 - 7 3 - 5 -18.95
122 ULL SUN 5 - 7 4 - 4 -19.85
123 Hawaii MWC-W 3 - 9 1 - 7 -20.73
124 Texas St SUN 2 - 10 1 - 7 -22.66
125 Rice CUSA-W 1 - 11 1 - 7 -23.66
126 Charlotte CUSA-E 1 - 11 1 - 7 -24.28
127 Kent MAC-E 2 - 10 1 - 7 -25.93
128 San Jose St MWC-W 2 - 11 1 - 7 -28.07
129 UTEP CUSA-W 0 - 12 0 - 8 -28.39
130 Ball St MAC-W 2 - 10 0 - 8 -33.27