Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2005 Postseason

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Texas BIG12 13 - 0 5 - 0 37.79
2 USC PAC12-S 12 - 1 8 - 0 31.42
3 Ohio St BIG10-E 10 - 2 7 - 1 27.41
4 Penn St BIG10-E 11 - 1 7 - 1 24.74
5 Virginia Tech ACC-C 11 - 2 7 - 2 23.14
6 West Virginia BIG12 11 - 1 0 - 0 21.06
7 LSU SEC-W 11 - 2 7 - 2 18.71
8 Notre Dame IND 9 - 3 1 - 0 18.12
9 Texas Tech BIG12 9 - 3 4 - 2 17.9
10 Oklahoma BIG12 8 - 4 4 - 3 17.63
11 Oregon PAC12-N 10 - 2 7 - 1 17.62
12 Georgia SEC-E 10 - 3 7 - 2 17.54
13 TCU BIG12 11 - 1 2 - 0 16.11
14 Auburn SEC-W 9 - 3 7 - 1 15.97
15 Michigan BIG10-E 7 - 5 5 - 4 15.96
16 Boston College ACC-A 9 - 3 4 - 3 15.32
17 Miami FL ACC-C 9 - 3 6 - 2 15.26
18 Louisville ACC-A 9 - 3 3 - 1 15.16
19 Florida SEC-E 9 - 3 5 - 3 14.98
20 Alabama SEC-W 10 - 2 6 - 2 14.76
21 Wisconsin BIG10-W 10 - 3 5 - 3 14.45
22 Iowa BIG10-W 7 - 5 5 - 3 13.98
23 Clemson ACC-A 8 - 4 3 - 4 12.87
24 Iowa St BIG12 7 - 5 2 - 3 11.99
25 Nebraska BIG10-W 8 - 4 1 - 0 11.71
26 UCLA PAC12-S 10 - 2 6 - 2 10.78
27 California PAC12-N 8 - 4 4 - 4 10.26
28 Minnesota BIG10-W 7 - 5 4 - 4 9.72
29 Florida St ACC-A 8 - 5 6 - 3 8.64
30 Kansas BIG12 7 - 5 1 - 4 8.59
31 Arizona St PAC12-S 7 - 5 4 - 4 8.27
32 Northwestern BIG10-W 7 - 5 5 - 3 7.58
33 Tulsa AAC-W 9 - 4 5 - 1 7.17
34 NC State ACC-A 7 - 5 2 - 5 6.91
35 Purdue BIG10-W 5 - 6 3 - 5 6.85
36 Fresno St MWC-W 8 - 5 4 - 1 6.44
37 Colorado PAC12-S 7 - 6 0 - 0 6.37
38 Boise St MWC-M 9 - 4 4 - 1 5.96
39 South Carolina SEC-E 7 - 5 5 - 4 5.7
40 Virginia ACC-C 7 - 5 4 - 4 5.62
41 Texas A&M SEC-W 5 - 6 0 - 0 5.61
42 Missouri SEC-E 7 - 5 1 - 0 4.91
43 Georgia Tech ACC-C 7 - 5 5 - 3 4.59
44 Michigan St BIG10-E 5 - 6 2 - 6 4.41
45 N Illinois MAC-W 7 - 5 6 - 3 3.83
46 Stanford PAC12-N 5 - 6 4 - 4 3.52
47 Arkansas SEC-W 4 - 7 2 - 6 3.36
48 Maryland BIG10-E 5 - 6 0 - 0 3.34
49 Tennessee SEC-E 5 - 6 3 - 5 3.11
50 Utah PAC12-S 7 - 5 1 - 0 3.05
51 South Florida AAC-E 6 - 6 2 - 1 2.45
52 Toledo MAC-W 9 - 3 6 - 2 2.13
53 Pittsburgh ACC-C 5 - 6 1 - 1 1.45
54 BYU IND 6 - 6 1 - 1 1.41
55 Kansas St BIG12 5 - 6 1 - 3 1.16
56 Navy AAC-W 8 - 4 2 - 0 0.75
57 North Carolina ACC-C 5 - 6 4 - 4 0.53
58 Washington St PAC12-N 4 - 7 1 - 7 0.46
59 Rutgers BIG10-E 7 - 5 0 - 1 -0.02
60 Baylor BIG12 5 - 6 2 - 3 -0.41
61 Arizona PAC12-S 3 - 8 2 - 7 -0.5
62 Wake Forest ACC-A 4 - 7 3 - 4 -0.51
63 Miami OH MAC-E 7 - 4 5 - 3 -0.7
64 Southern Miss CUSA-W 7 - 5 2 - 0 -0.93
65 C Michigan MAC-W 6 - 5 5 - 3 -1.43
66 Memphis AAC-W 7 - 5 2 - 2 -1.7
67 San Diego St MWC-W 5 - 7 3 - 4 -1.97
68 Oregon St PAC12-N 5 - 6 3 - 5 -2.1
69 Nevada MWC-W 9 - 3 5 - 2 -2.28
70 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 7 - 4 1 - 0 -2.55
71 UCF AAC-E 7 - 5 3 - 2 -3.18
72 Vanderbilt SEC-E 5 - 6 3 - 5 -3.72
73 Bowling Green MAC-E 6 - 5 5 - 3 -4.03
74 Connecticut AAC-E 5 - 6 1 - 1 -4.42
75 Washington PAC12-N 2 - 9 1 - 7 -4.56
76 New Mexico MWC-M 6 - 5 3 - 2 -4.84
77 Oklahoma St BIG12 4 - 7 1 - 4 -5.19
78 Colorado St MWC-M 6 - 6 5 - 1 -5.42
79 Houston AAC-W 6 - 6 2 - 3 -5.47
80 Akron MAC-E 7 - 6 6 - 3 -5.69
81 W Michigan MAC-W 7 - 4 5 - 3 -5.77
82 Air Force MWC-M 4 - 7 3 - 2 -6.04
83 SMU AAC-W 5 - 6 1 - 3 -6.16
84 Alabama Birmingham CUSA-E 5 - 6 2 - 2 -6.29
85 Hawaii MWC-W 5 - 7 3 - 3 -6.31
86 Army IND 4 - 7 0 - 0 -6.44
87 UTEP CUSA-W 8 - 4 2 - 1 -7.24
88 East Carolina AAC-E 5 - 6 1 - 3 -7.33
89 Indiana BIG10-E 4 - 7 1 - 7 -8.02
90 Wyoming MWC-M 4 - 7 2 - 3 -10.29
91 Ball St MAC-W 4 - 7 4 - 4 -10.44
92 Kentucky SEC-E 3 - 8 2 - 6 -11.67
93 ULL SUN 6 - 5 2 - 1 -12.13
94 E Michigan MAC-W 4 - 7 3 - 5 -12.71
95 Mississippi St SEC-W 3 - 8 1 - 7 -13.02
96 Cincinnati AAC-E 4 - 7 1 - 1 -13.11
97 MTSU CUSA-E 4 - 7 1 - 2 -13.93
98 Mississippi SEC-W 3 - 8 1 - 7 -14.06
99 Marshall CUSA-E 4 - 7 1 - 2 -15.17
100 Illinois BIG10-W 2 - 9 1 - 8 -15.23
101 Syracuse ACC-A 1 - 10 0 - 4 -16.32
102 Ohio MAC-E 4 - 7 3 - 5 -17.68
103 Florida Intl CUSA-E 5 - 6 3 - 1 -18.36
104 Arkansas St SUN 6 - 6 2 - 1 -18.83
105 ULM SUN 5 - 6 2 - 1 -18.84
106 Duke ACC-C 1 - 10 0 - 8 -19.51
107 San Jose St MWC-W 3 - 8 0 - 6 -19.96
108 Rice CUSA-W 1 - 10 0 - 2 -19.97
109 Utah St MWC-M 3 - 8 2 - 4 -20.22
110 UNLV MWC-W 2 - 9 1 - 6 -21.52
111 Tulane AAC-W 2 - 8 1 - 3 -22.78
112 Troy SUN 4 - 7 0 - 3 -23.46
113 Idaho SUN 2 - 9 1 - 0 -24.05
114 Temple AAC-E 0 - 11 0 - 1 -26.72
115 North Texas CUSA-W 2 - 9 2 - 2 -27.16
116 Kent MAC-E 1 - 10 0 - 8 -28.13
117 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 2 - 9 1 - 2 -28.73
118 Buffalo MAC-E 1 - 10 1 - 7 -29.09
119 New Mexico St SUN 0 - 12 0 - 1 -29.57