Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2018 Week 8 (through games of 10/13/2018)

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Alabama SEC-W 7 - 0 4 - 0 29.45
2 Clemson ACC-A 6 - 0 3 - 0 23.12
3 Ohio St BIG10-E 7 - 0 4 - 0 22.09
4 Oklahoma BIG12 5 - 1 2 - 1 21.92
5 Georgia SEC-E 6 - 1 4 - 1 21.09
6 Michigan BIG10-E 6 - 1 4 - 0 20.37
7 LSU SEC-W 6 - 1 3 - 1 20.17
8 Penn St BIG10-E 4 - 2 1 - 2 17.62
9 Florida SEC-E 6 - 1 4 - 1 17.14
10 Iowa BIG10-W 5 - 1 2 - 1 14.35
11 Kentucky SEC-E 5 - 1 3 - 1 14.25
12 Mississippi St SEC-W 4 - 2 1 - 2 13.98
13 Notre Dame IND 7 - 0 0 - 0 13.24
14 Texas BIG12 6 - 1 4 - 0 13.1
15 Washington PAC12-N 5 - 2 3 - 1 12.26
16 Texas A&M SEC-W 5 - 2 3 - 1 12.05
17 West Virginia BIG12 5 - 1 3 - 1 11.84
18 Wisconsin BIG10-W 4 - 2 2 - 1 11.38
19 NC State ACC-A 5 - 0 2 - 0 10.86
20 UCF AAC-E 6 - 0 3 - 0 10.85
21 Appalachian St SUN 4 - 1 2 - 0 10.78
22 TCU BIG12 3 - 3 1 - 2 10.32
23 Utah PAC12-S 4 - 2 2 - 2 10.32
24 Iowa St BIG12 3 - 3 2 - 2 10.03
25 Auburn SEC-W 4 - 3 1 - 3 9.62
26 South Carolina SEC-E 3 - 3 2 - 3 9.39
27 Michigan St BIG10-E 4 - 2 2 - 1 9.02
28 Duke ACC-C 5 - 1 1 - 1 8.85
29 Texas Tech BIG12 4 - 2 2 - 1 8.64
30 Army IND 4 - 2 1 - 0 8.32
31 Missouri SEC-E 3 - 3 0 - 3 8.18
32 Miami FL ACC-C 5 - 2 2 - 1 8.02
33 Fresno St MWC-W 5 - 1 2 - 0 7.97
34 Stanford PAC12-N 4 - 2 2 - 1 7.37
35 Utah St MWC-M 5 - 1 2 - 0 7.19
36 Purdue BIG10-W 3 - 3 2 - 1 6.76
37 Northwestern BIG10-W 3 - 3 3 - 1 6.26
38 Oklahoma St BIG12 4 - 3 1 - 3 6.1
39 Temple AAC-E 4 - 3 3 - 0 5.56
40 Kansas St BIG12 3 - 4 1 - 3 5.49
41 USC PAC12-S 4 - 2 3 - 1 5.47
42 Washington St PAC12-N 5 - 1 2 - 1 5.44
43 Colorado PAC12-S 5 - 1 2 - 1 5.04
44 Boston College ACC-A 5 - 2 2 - 1 4.84
45 Oregon PAC12-N 5 - 1 2 - 1 4.47
46 Maryland BIG10-E 4 - 2 2 - 1 4.41
47 Baylor BIG12 4 - 3 2 - 2 4.32
48 Arizona St PAC12-S 3 - 3 1 - 2 4.27
49 San Diego St MWC-W 5 - 1 2 - 0 4.17
50 Minnesota BIG10-W 3 - 3 0 - 3 4.03
51 Boise St MWC-M 4 - 2 2 - 1 3.9
52 Georgia Tech ACC-C 3 - 4 1 - 3 3.59
53 Mississippi SEC-W 5 - 2 1 - 2 3.45
54 Vanderbilt SEC-E 3 - 4 0 - 3 3.45
55 Cincinnati AAC-E 6 - 0 2 - 0 3.1
56 Houston AAC-W 5 - 1 2 - 0 3.07
57 Syracuse ACC-A 4 - 2 1 - 2 2.89
58 Tennessee SEC-E 3 - 3 1 - 2 2.01
59 Virginia ACC-C 4 - 2 2 - 1 1.86
60 Virginia Tech ACC-C 4 - 2 3 - 0 1.36
61 Memphis AAC-W 4 - 3 1 - 3 1.36
62 Florida St ACC-A 3 - 3 1 - 3 1.2
63 North Texas CUSA-W 6 - 1 2 - 1 0.21
64 UCLA PAC12-S 1 - 5 1 - 2 -0.17
65 Indiana BIG10-E 4 - 3 1 - 3 -0.2
66 Buffalo MAC-E 6 - 1 3 - 0 -0.84
67 Pittsburgh ACC-C 3 - 4 2 - 1 -0.92
68 UAB CUSA-W 5 - 1 3 - 0 -0.95
69 South Florida AAC-E 6 - 0 2 - 0 -1.02
70 Air Force MWC-M 2 - 4 0 - 3 -1.66
71 BYU IND 4 - 3 1 - 0 -2.18
72 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 4 - 2 2 - 1 -2.6
73 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 3 - 3 1 - 1 -2.78
74 N Illinois MAC-W 4 - 3 4 - 0 -3.58
75 Toledo MAC-W 3 - 3 1 - 1 -3.66
76 Nebraska BIG10-W 0 - 6 0 - 4 -3.99
77 Arkansas SEC-W 1 - 6 0 - 4 -4.67
78 Florida Intl CUSA-E 4 - 2 2 - 0 -5.1
79 MTSU CUSA-E 3 - 3 2 - 1 -5.16
80 Kansas BIG12 2 - 4 0 - 3 -5.21
81 E Michigan MAC-W 3 - 4 1 - 3 -5.26
82 W Michigan MAC-W 5 - 2 3 - 0 -5.36
83 Marshall CUSA-E 4 - 2 2 - 1 -5.66
84 Wake Forest ACC-A 3 - 3 0 - 2 -5.77
85 Ga Southern SUN 5 - 1 3 - 0 -5.82
86 Tulane AAC-W 2 - 4 1 - 1 -5.87
87 Arizona PAC12-S 3 - 4 2 - 2 -6.09
88 Troy SUN 5 - 2 3 - 0 -6.71
89 Tulsa AAC-W 1 - 5 0 - 3 -7.08
90 Miami OH MAC-E 3 - 4 3 - 1 -7.1
91 Ohio MAC-E 3 - 3 1 - 1 -7.12
92 Navy AAC-W 2 - 4 1 - 2 -7.35
93 Louisville ACC-A 2 - 5 0 - 4 -7.5
94 Colorado St MWC-M 3 - 4 2 - 1 -7.9
95 Arkansas St SUN 3 - 3 0 - 2 -7.93
96 New Mexico MWC-M 3 - 3 1 - 1 -8.2
97 Nevada MWC-W 3 - 4 1 - 2 -8.88
98 SMU AAC-W 2 - 4 1 - 1 -9.71
99 C Michigan MAC-W 1 - 6 0 - 3 -9.82
100 Liberty IND 3 - 3 0 - 2 -9.93
101 Wyoming MWC-M 2 - 5 0 - 3 -10.34
102 North Carolina ACC-C 1 - 4 1 - 2 -10.66
103 California PAC12-N 3 - 3 0 - 3 -11.02
104 Hawaii MWC-W 6 - 2 3 - 0 -11.07
105 Akron MAC-E 2 - 3 0 - 2 -11.08
106 ULL SUN 3 - 3 1 - 1 -11.47
107 Illinois BIG10-W 3 - 3 1 - 2 -11.6
108 Southern Miss CUSA-W 2 - 3 1 - 1 -12.63
109 Ball St MAC-W 3 - 4 2 - 1 -12.78
110 East Carolina AAC-E 2 - 4 0 - 3 -13.32
111 WKU CUSA-E 1 - 5 0 - 2 -14.1
112 Oregon St PAC12-N 1 - 5 0 - 3 -14.88
113 Georgia St SUN 2 - 4 1 - 1 -15.2
114 Charlotte CUSA-E 3 - 3 2 - 1 -16.1
115 Old Dominion CUSA-E 1 - 6 0 - 4 -16.15
116 UNLV MWC-W 2 - 4 0 - 2 -16.85
117 UT San Antonio CUSA-W 3 - 4 2 - 1 -16.9
118 Massachusetts IND 2 - 5 1 - 0 -17.18
119 Rutgers BIG10-E 1 - 6 0 - 4 -18.33
120 Coastal Car SUN 3 - 3 1 - 2 -18.72
121 Bowling Green MAC-E 1 - 6 0 - 3 -18.72
122 San Jose St MWC-W 0 - 6 0 - 2 -19.45
123 South Alabama SUN 2 - 5 1 - 2 -20.59
124 ULM SUN 3 - 4 1 - 2 -20.61
125 New Mexico St IND 2 - 5 1 - 0 -20.93
126 Kent MAC-E 1 - 6 0 - 3 -22.07
127 UTEP CUSA-W 0 - 6 0 - 2 -22.36
128 Texas St SUN 1 - 5 0 - 3 -24.22
129 Connecticut AAC-E 1 - 5 0 - 3 -25.21
130 Rice CUSA-W 1 - 6 0 - 3 -26.9