Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2009 Postseason

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Alabama SEC-W 14 - 0 9 - 0 32.95
2 Florida SEC-E 13 - 1 8 - 1 29.01
3 Texas BIG12 13 - 1 5 - 0 24.82
4 TCU BIG12 12 - 1 0 - 0 23.26
5 Virginia Tech ACC-C 10 - 3 5 - 2 22.61
6 Ohio St BIG10-E 11 - 2 7 - 1 20.66
7 Boise St MWC-M 14 - 0 5 - 0 19.09
8 Oklahoma BIG12 8 - 5 4 - 2 17.77
9 Penn St BIG10-E 11 - 2 6 - 2 17.28
10 Nebraska BIG10-W 10 - 4 0 - 0 16.5
11 Cincinnati AAC-E 12 - 1 2 - 0 16.45
12 Georgia Tech ACC-C 11 - 3 8 - 1 16.41
13 Oregon PAC12-N 10 - 3 9 - 1 16.29
14 Arkansas SEC-W 8 - 5 4 - 5 16.21
15 LSU SEC-W 9 - 4 5 - 3 15.74
16 Iowa BIG10-W 11 - 2 6 - 2 15.38
17 BYU IND 11 - 2 0 - 0 15.01
18 Mississippi SEC-W 9 - 4 4 - 4 14.72
19 Pittsburgh ACC-C 10 - 3 3 - 1 14.71
20 Miami FL ACC-C 9 - 4 5 - 3 14
21 Texas Tech BIG12 9 - 4 4 - 2 13.97
22 Clemson ACC-A 9 - 5 6 - 2 13.1
23 Wisconsin BIG10-W 10 - 3 5 - 3 12.46
24 Georgia SEC-E 8 - 5 5 - 4 11.72
25 Auburn SEC-W 8 - 5 3 - 5 10.4
26 Connecticut AAC-E 8 - 5 1 - 1 10.32
27 Tennessee SEC-E 7 - 6 4 - 4 10.19
28 Utah PAC12-S 10 - 3 1 - 1 10.06
29 North Carolina ACC-C 8 - 5 4 - 5 9.99
30 Stanford PAC12-N 8 - 5 6 - 3 9.93
31 West Virginia BIG12 9 - 4 0 - 0 9.4
32 USC PAC12-S 9 - 4 5 - 4 8.87
33 Mississippi St SEC-W 5 - 7 3 - 5 8.54
34 Oregon St PAC12-N 8 - 5 6 - 3 8.51
35 Air Force MWC-M 8 - 5 5 - 0 8.48
36 Rutgers BIG10-E 9 - 4 1 - 0 8.25
37 Florida St ACC-A 7 - 6 3 - 4 7.85
38 Oklahoma St BIG12 9 - 4 3 - 2 7.74
39 South Carolina SEC-E 7 - 6 3 - 5 7.37
40 Kentucky SEC-E 7 - 6 3 - 5 6.77
41 Arizona PAC12-S 8 - 5 6 - 3 5.94
42 C Michigan MAC-W 12 - 2 9 - 0 5.61
43 Navy AAC-W 10 - 4 1 - 1 5.43
44 East Carolina AAC-E 9 - 5 4 - 1 5.37
45 Boston College ACC-A 8 - 5 4 - 3 3.77
46 Houston AAC-W 10 - 4 4 - 2 3.52
47 Notre Dame IND 6 - 6 0 - 0 3.51
48 South Florida AAC-E 8 - 5 0 - 2 3.47
49 Nevada MWC-W 8 - 5 5 - 2 2.07
50 Michigan St BIG10-E 6 - 7 4 - 4 2.06
51 Missouri SEC-E 8 - 5 0 - 0 1.69
52 Texas A&M SEC-W 6 - 7 0 - 2 1.65
53 Washington PAC12-N 5 - 7 4 - 5 1.61
54 UCLA PAC12-S 7 - 6 3 - 6 1.57
55 Northwestern BIG10-W 8 - 5 5 - 3 1.48
56 California PAC12-N 8 - 5 5 - 5 0.83
57 UCF AAC-E 8 - 5 3 - 1 0.77
58 MTSU CUSA-E 10 - 3 5 - 0 0.71
59 Wake Forest ACC-A 5 - 7 2 - 5 0.53
60 Troy SUN 9 - 4 3 - 0 0.36
61 Minnesota BIG10-W 6 - 7 3 - 5 -0.85
62 Purdue BIG10-W 5 - 7 4 - 4 -1.21
63 Kansas St BIG12 6 - 6 2 - 2 -1.73
64 Fresno St MWC-W 8 - 5 3 - 3 -2.12
65 SMU AAC-W 8 - 5 3 - 2 -2.33
66 Virginia ACC-C 3 - 9 1 - 6 -2.8
67 Kansas BIG12 5 - 7 1 - 4 -2.85
68 Iowa St BIG12 7 - 6 1 - 3 -2.94
69 Temple AAC-E 9 - 4 1 - 0 -2.96
70 Southern Miss CUSA-W 7 - 6 1 - 2 -3.6
71 NC State ACC-A 5 - 7 2 - 6 -3.6
72 Duke ACC-C 5 - 7 2 - 5 -4.27
73 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 4 - 8 0 - 0 -4.38
74 Arizona St PAC12-S 4 - 8 2 - 7 -4.46
75 Ohio MAC-E 9 - 5 6 - 2 -4.73
76 Syracuse ACC-A 4 - 8 0 - 2 -5.3
77 Marshall CUSA-E 7 - 6 1 - 2 -5.86
78 Michigan BIG10-E 5 - 7 1 - 7 -6.05
79 Bowling Green MAC-E 7 - 6 6 - 2 -6.45
80 Colorado PAC12-S 3 - 9 0 - 0 -6.48
81 Wyoming MWC-M 7 - 6 5 - 1 -6.78
82 Illinois BIG10-W 3 - 9 2 - 6 -6.92
83 Indiana BIG10-E 4 - 8 1 - 7 -7.26
84 Louisville ACC-A 4 - 8 1 - 1 -7.28
85 Baylor BIG12 4 - 8 0 - 5 -7.43
86 Idaho SUN 8 - 5 1 - 0 -8.09
87 Alabama Birmingham CUSA-E 5 - 7 4 - 1 -8.73
88 Vanderbilt SEC-E 2 - 10 0 - 8 -8.75
89 UNLV MWC-W 5 - 7 4 - 3 -8.93
90 N Illinois MAC-W 7 - 6 5 - 3 -8.99
91 Maryland BIG10-E 2 - 10 0 - 1 -9.48
92 Utah St MWC-M 4 - 8 1 - 4 -10.02
93 Hawaii MWC-W 6 - 7 2 - 4 -10.67
94 Tulsa AAC-W 5 - 7 2 - 3 -11.26
95 Buffalo MAC-E 5 - 7 3 - 4 -11.35
96 San Diego St MWC-W 4 - 8 2 - 3 -12.23
97 UTEP CUSA-W 4 - 8 1 - 2 -13.15
98 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 5 - 7 3 - 2 -13.18
99 ULM SUN 6 - 6 1 - 2 -13.85
100 Colorado St MWC-M 3 - 9 1 - 5 -14.24
101 ULL SUN 6 - 6 2 - 1 -16.35
102 Army IND 5 - 7 1 - 0 -16.51
103 Arkansas St SUN 4 - 8 0 - 3 -16.78
104 Kent MAC-E 5 - 7 4 - 3 -17.08
105 Toledo MAC-W 5 - 7 3 - 4 -17.55
106 Florida Intl CUSA-E 3 - 9 2 - 2 -18.15
107 New Mexico MWC-M 1 - 11 1 - 4 -18.36
108 W Michigan MAC-W 5 - 7 4 - 4 -18.4
109 Memphis AAC-W 2 - 10 0 - 4 -19.29
110 Ball St MAC-W 2 - 10 2 - 5 -20.8
111 Akron MAC-E 3 - 9 2 - 5 -22.4
112 North Texas CUSA-W 2 - 10 1 - 3 -23.09
113 Miami OH MAC-E 1 - 11 1 - 6 -23.35
114 Rice CUSA-W 2 - 10 1 - 1 -23.6
115 Washington St PAC12-N 1 - 11 0 - 9 -24.12
116 San Jose St MWC-W 2 - 10 0 - 5 -24.6
117 Tulane AAC-W 3 - 9 0 - 4 -25.06
118 New Mexico St SUN 3 - 10 0 - 1 -26.21
119 W Kentucky CUSA-E 0 - 12 0 - 4 -27.97
120 E Michigan MAC-W 0 - 12 0 - 7 -33.04