Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2017 Week 11 (11/5/2017)

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Notre Dame IND 8 - 1 0 - 0 27.78
2 Alabama SEC-W 9 - 0 6 - 0 26.09
3 Georgia SEC-E 9 - 0 6 - 0 26.09
4 Penn St BIG10-E 7 - 2 4 - 2 25.89
5 Clemson ACC-A 8 - 1 6 - 1 23.04
6 Ohio St BIG10-E 7 - 2 5 - 1 22.94
7 Auburn SEC-W 7 - 2 5 - 1 20.17
8 Washington PAC12-N 8 - 1 5 - 1 19.44
9 TCU BIG12 8 - 1 5 - 1 19.27
10 Wisconsin BIG10-W 9 - 0 6 - 0 18.95
11 UCF AAC-E 8 - 0 5 - 0 18.54
12 Oklahoma BIG12 8 - 1 5 - 1 18.07
13 Virginia Tech ACC-C 7 - 2 3 - 2 18.03
14 Iowa BIG10-W 6 - 3 3 - 3 17.91
15 Oklahoma St BIG12 7 - 2 4 - 2 17.28
16 Miami FL ACC-C 8 - 0 6 - 0 17.21
17 Iowa St BIG12 6 - 3 4 - 2 15.9
18 Michigan St BIG10-E 7 - 2 5 - 1 14.02
19 NC State ACC-A 6 - 3 4 - 1 13.99
20 USC PAC12-S 8 - 2 6 - 1 13.35
21 Mississippi St SEC-W 7 - 2 3 - 2 13.3
22 Michigan BIG10-E 7 - 2 4 - 2 13.09
23 Boston College ACC-A 5 - 4 3 - 3 12.05
24 Texas BIG12 4 - 5 3 - 3 11.78
25 Northwestern BIG10-W 6 - 3 4 - 2 11.38
26 Georgia Tech ACC-C 4 - 4 3 - 3 11.11
27 Wake Forest ACC-A 5 - 4 2 - 3 10.1
28 West Virginia BIG12 6 - 3 4 - 2 9.18
29 Memphis AAC-W 8 - 1 5 - 1 8.82
30 Stanford PAC12-N 6 - 3 5 - 2 8.49
31 Purdue BIG10-W 4 - 5 2 - 4 7.83
32 Washington St PAC12-N 8 - 2 5 - 2 7.69
33 LSU SEC-W 6 - 3 3 - 2 7.68
34 Boise St MWC-M 7 - 2 5 - 0 7.38
35 South Florida AAC-E 8 - 1 5 - 1 7.01
36 Arizona PAC12-S 6 - 3 4 - 2 6.75
37 Syracuse ACC-A 4 - 5 2 - 3 6.69
38 Toledo MAC-W 8 - 1 5 - 0 6.34
39 Missouri SEC-E 4 - 5 1 - 4 5.99
40 South Carolina SEC-E 6 - 3 4 - 3 5.49
41 Louisville ACC-A 5 - 4 2 - 4 5.37
42 Florida St ACC-A 3 - 5 3 - 4 5.06
43 Arizona St PAC12-S 5 - 4 4 - 2 4.28
44 Texas A&M SEC-W 5 - 4 3 - 3 4.19
45 SMU AAC-W 6 - 3 3 - 2 3.38
46 Texas Tech BIG12 4 - 5 1 - 5 3.37
47 Kansas St BIG12 5 - 4 3 - 3 3.03
48 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 6 - 3 5 - 0 2.91
49 Pittsburgh ACC-C 4 - 5 2 - 3 2.89
50 Minnesota BIG10-W 4 - 5 1 - 5 2.68
51 Houston AAC-W 6 - 3 4 - 2 2.51
52 Nebraska BIG10-W 4 - 5 3 - 3 2.21
53 Arkansas St SUN 5 - 2 4 - 0 2.13
54 Utah PAC12-S 5 - 4 2 - 4 1.8
55 San Diego St MWC-W 8 - 2 4 - 2 1.61
56 Indiana BIG10-E 3 - 6 0 - 6 1.54
57 California PAC12-N 5 - 5 2 - 5 1.36
58 Navy AAC-W 5 - 3 3 - 3 1.31
59 Virginia ACC-C 6 - 3 3 - 2 1.26
60 Ohio MAC-E 7 - 2 4 - 1 0.83
61 Duke ACC-C 4 - 5 1 - 5 0.72
62 N Illinois MAC-W 6 - 3 4 - 1 0.63
63 Fresno St MWC-W 6 - 3 4 - 1 0.03
64 Army IND 7 - 2 1 - 0 -0.68
65 Oregon PAC12-N 5 - 5 2 - 5 -0.89
66 Wyoming MWC-M 6 - 3 4 - 1 -1.04
67 Kentucky SEC-E 6 - 3 3 - 3 -1.46
68 Marshall CUSA-E 6 - 3 3 - 2 -1.69
69 Colorado PAC12-S 5 - 5 2 - 5 -1.76
70 Maryland BIG10-E 4 - 5 2 - 4 -1.89
71 Rutgers BIG10-E 4 - 5 3 - 3 -2.05
72 Florida SEC-E 3 - 5 3 - 4 -2.1
73 UCLA PAC12-S 4 - 5 2 - 4 -2.2
74 E Michigan MAC-W 3 - 6 1 - 4 -2.56
75 Tennessee SEC-E 4 - 5 0 - 5 -3.14
76 W Michigan MAC-W 5 - 4 3 - 2 -3.17
77 Mississippi SEC-W 4 - 5 2 - 4 -3.53
78 Temple AAC-E 4 - 5 2 - 3 -3.82
79 C Michigan MAC-W 5 - 4 3 - 2 -4.41
80 North Carolina ACC-C 1 - 8 0 - 6 -4.5
81 Colorado St MWC-M 6 - 4 4 - 2 -4.73
82 Troy SUN 7 - 2 4 - 1 -4.92
83 Tulane AAC-W 3 - 6 1 - 4 -5.65
84 Utah St MWC-M 5 - 5 3 - 3 -5.81
85 Baylor BIG12 1 - 8 1 - 5 -5.89
86 Vanderbilt SEC-E 4 - 5 0 - 5 -6.11
87 Arkansas SEC-W 4 - 5 1 - 4 -6.42
88 Buffalo MAC-E 3 - 6 1 - 4 -7.66
89 Air Force MWC-M 4 - 5 3 - 2 -7.71
90 Florida Intl CUSA-E 6 - 2 4 - 1 -7.93
91 Massachusetts IND 2 - 7 0 - 0 -7.96
92 Akron MAC-E 5 - 4 4 - 1 -7.98
93 Tulsa AAC-W 2 - 8 1 - 5 -8.03
94 Cincinnati AAC-E 3 - 6 1 - 4 -8.14
95 Illinois BIG10-W 2 - 7 0 - 6 -8.41
96 Appalachian St SUN 5 - 4 4 - 1 -8.91
97 UNLV MWC-W 4 - 5 3 - 3 -9.16
98 MTSU CUSA-E 4 - 5 2 - 3 -9.55
99 North Texas CUSA-W 6 - 3 5 - 1 -9.82
100 Miami OH MAC-E 3 - 6 2 - 3 -9.93
101 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 4 - 5 2 - 3 -10.57
102 UT San Antonio CUSA-W 5 - 3 2 - 3 -10.68
103 Oregon St PAC12-N 1 - 8 0 - 6 -10.78
104 UAB CUSA-W 6 - 3 4 - 2 -11.12
105 Nevada MWC-W 1 - 8 1 - 4 -11.92
106 Georgia St SUN 5 - 3 4 - 1 -12.24
107 Southern Miss CUSA-W 5 - 4 3 - 2 -12.83
108 Connecticut AAC-E 3 - 6 2 - 4 -13.18
109 New Mexico St SUN 4 - 5 2 - 3 -13.19
110 BYU IND 2 - 8 1 - 0 -13.77
111 Bowling Green MAC-E 2 - 7 2 - 3 -13.91
112 ULM SUN 4 - 5 4 - 3 -14.58
113 WKU CUSA-E 5 - 4 3 - 2 -14.97
114 East Carolina AAC-E 2 - 7 1 - 4 -15.21
115 South Alabama SUN 3 - 6 2 - 3 -15.4
116 New Mexico MWC-M 3 - 6 1 - 5 -16.02
117 Idaho SUN 3 - 6 2 - 3 -16.16
118 ULL SUN 4 - 4 3 - 2 -18.62
119 Old Dominion CUSA-E 3 - 6 1 - 4 -19.02
120 Hawaii MWC-W 3 - 6 1 - 5 -19.47
121 Kansas BIG12 1 - 8 0 - 6 -20.04
122 Coastal Car SUN 1 - 8 0 - 5 -20.19
123 Ga Southern SUN 0 - 8 0 - 4 -22.3
124 Texas St SUN 2 - 7 1 - 4 -23.08
125 Charlotte CUSA-E 1 - 8 1 - 4 -23.63
126 Kent MAC-E 2 - 7 1 - 4 -25.25
127 Rice CUSA-W 1 - 8 1 - 4 -26.36
128 UTEP CUSA-W 0 - 9 0 - 5 -28.69
129 Ball St MAC-W 2 - 7 0 - 5 -30.56
130 San Jose St MWC-W 1 - 9 0 - 5 -30.89