Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2016 After Week 6 (10/10/2016)

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Michigan BIG10-E 6 - 0 3 - 0 29.27
2 Alabama SEC-W 6 - 0 3 - 0 28.04
3 Ohio St BIG10-E 5 - 0 2 - 0 26.55
4 Washington PAC12-N 6 - 0 3 - 0 23.68
5 Clemson ACC-A 6 - 0 3 - 0 22.48
6 Mississippi SEC-W 3 - 2 1 - 1 21.71
7 Louisville ACC-A 4 - 1 2 - 1 19.1
8 Virginia Tech ACC-C 4 - 1 2 - 0 18.51
9 Texas A&M SEC-W 6 - 0 4 - 0 18.05
10 Wisconsin BIG10-W 4 - 1 1 - 1 17.72
11 Auburn SEC-W 4 - 2 2 - 1 17.44
12 Washington St PAC12-N 3 - 2 2 - 0 17.37
13 LSU SEC-W 3 - 2 2 - 1 16.87
14 Tennessee SEC-E 5 - 1 2 - 1 13.67
15 Houston AAC-W 5 - 1 2 - 1 13.5
16 Florida St ACC-A 4 - 2 1 - 2 12.41
17 Stanford PAC12-N 3 - 2 2 - 2 12.37
18 Miami FL ACC-C 4 - 1 1 - 1 12.08
19 Memphis AAC-W 4 - 1 1 - 0 11.85
20 Oklahoma BIG12 3 - 2 2 - 0 10.99
21 USC PAC12-S 3 - 3 2 - 2 10.92
22 Nebraska BIG10-W 5 - 0 2 - 0 10.15
23 Colorado PAC12-S 4 - 2 2 - 1 9.68
24 Florida SEC-E 4 - 1 2 - 1 9.67
25 West Virginia BIG12 4 - 0 1 - 0 9.64
26 Boise St MWC-M 5 - 0 2 - 0 9.61
27 Georgia SEC-E 4 - 2 2 - 2 9.48
28 Kansas St BIG12 3 - 2 1 - 1 8.83
29 UCLA PAC12-S 3 - 3 1 - 2 8.69
30 Arkansas SEC-W 4 - 2 0 - 2 8.41
31 Baylor BIG12 5 - 0 2 - 0 8.1
32 NC State ACC-A 4 - 1 1 - 0 8
33 Oregon PAC12-N 2 - 4 0 - 3 7.96
34 W Michigan MAC-W 6 - 0 2 - 0 7.91
35 BYU IND 3 - 3 0 - 0 7.09
36 Penn St BIG10-E 4 - 2 2 - 1 6.95
37 Arizona St PAC12-S 5 - 1 2 - 1 6.6
38 Utah PAC12-S 5 - 1 2 - 1 6.31
39 Georgia Tech ACC-C 3 - 3 1 - 3 6.1
40 Iowa BIG10-W 4 - 2 2 - 1 6.05
41 Northwestern BIG10-W 2 - 3 1 - 1 6.05
42 South Florida AAC-E 5 - 1 2 - 0 6.01
43 North Carolina ACC-C 4 - 2 2 - 1 5.79
44 TCU BIG12 4 - 2 2 - 1 5.53
45 Mississippi St SEC-W 2 - 3 1 - 2 5.08
46 Oklahoma St BIG12 4 - 2 2 - 1 4.46
47 Navy AAC-W 4 - 1 3 - 0 4.38
48 Pittsburgh ACC-C 4 - 2 1 - 1 4.05
49 Michigan St BIG10-E 2 - 3 0 - 2 3.66
50 Toledo MAC-W 4 - 1 1 - 0 3.61
51 Texas Tech BIG12 3 - 2 1 - 1 3.45
52 Troy SUN 4 - 1 2 - 0 2.99
53 Notre Dame IND 2 - 4 0 - 0 2.66
54 Appalachian St SUN 3 - 2 1 - 0 2.63
55 Arizona PAC12-S 2 - 4 0 - 3 2.34
56 Air Force MWC-M 4 - 1 1 - 1 2.08
57 Missouri SEC-E 2 - 3 0 - 2 1.88
58 Minnesota BIG10-W 3 - 2 0 - 2 1.01
59 Maryland BIG10-E 4 - 1 1 - 1 0.84
60 Indiana BIG10-E 3 - 2 1 - 1 0.73
61 Wake Forest ACC-A 5 - 1 2 - 1 0.7
62 California PAC12-N 3 - 3 1 - 2 0.6
63 Virginia ACC-C 2 - 3 1 - 0 0.56
64 South Carolina SEC-E 2 - 4 1 - 4 0.48
65 UCF AAC-E 3 - 2 1 - 0 0.47
66 Temple AAC-E 3 - 3 1 - 1 0.14
67 Texas BIG12 2 - 3 0 - 2 -0.55
68 San Diego St MWC-W 4 - 1 1 - 0 -1.42
69 Duke ACC-C 3 - 3 0 - 2 -1.74
70 WKU CUSA-E 3 - 3 1 - 1 -2.02
71 Vanderbilt SEC-E 2 - 4 0 - 3 -3.19
72 Kentucky SEC-E 3 - 3 2 - 2 -3.31
73 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 3 - 3 2 - 1 -3.32
74 Boston College ACC-A 3 - 3 0 - 3 -4.9
75 East Carolina AAC-E 2 - 4 0 - 2 -4.92
76 Connecticut AAC-E 3 - 3 1 - 2 -4.92
77 Ga Southern SUN 3 - 2 2 - 1 -4.94
78 Wyoming MWC-M 4 - 2 2 - 0 -4.95
79 Iowa St BIG12 1 - 5 0 - 3 -5.17
80 Utah St MWC-M 2 - 4 0 - 3 -5.63
81 MTSU CUSA-E 4 - 1 2 - 0 -5.89
82 Oregon St PAC12-N 2 - 3 1 - 1 -5.91
83 Old Dominion CUSA-E 4 - 2 2 - 0 -6.37
84 Akron MAC-E 4 - 2 2 - 0 -6.54
85 Cincinnati AAC-E 3 - 3 0 - 3 -7.14
86 N Illinois MAC-W 1 - 5 1 - 1 -7.15
87 Syracuse ACC-A 2 - 4 0 - 2 -7.21
88 South Alabama SUN 3 - 2 0 - 2 -7.24
89 C Michigan MAC-W 4 - 2 1 - 1 -7.25
90 UT San Antonio CUSA-W 2 - 3 1 - 1 -7.44
91 Southern Miss CUSA-W 4 - 2 2 - 1 -7.74
92 Army IND 3 - 2 0 - 0 -7.87
93 Ohio MAC-E 4 - 2 2 - 0 -8.27
94 Colorado St MWC-M 3 - 3 1 - 1 -8.3
95 Tulsa AAC-W 4 - 1 1 - 0 -8.43
96 Arkansas St SUN 1 - 4 1 - 0 -8.81
97 Tulane AAC-W 3 - 2 0 - 1 -9.86
98 Illinois BIG10-W 1 - 4 0 - 2 -10.06
99 Rutgers BIG10-E 2 - 4 0 - 3 -10.16
100 Georgia St SUN 1 - 4 1 - 1 -11.6
101 Kent MAC-E 2 - 4 1 - 1 -11.71
102 Ball St MAC-W 3 - 3 0 - 2 -12.02
103 Hawaii MWC-W 3 - 3 2 - 0 -12.72
104 Marshall CUSA-E 1 - 4 0 - 1 -12.81
105 ULL SUN 2 - 3 1 - 1 -14.18
106 E Michigan MAC-W 4 - 2 1 - 1 -15.09
107 Kansas BIG12 1 - 4 0 - 2 -15.2
108 SMU AAC-W 2 - 4 0 - 2 -15.41
109 Idaho SUN 3 - 3 1 - 1 -15.46
110 UNLV MWC-W 2 - 4 1 - 1 -15.71
111 Purdue BIG10-W 3 - 2 1 - 1 -15.95
112 North Texas CUSA-W 3 - 3 2 - 1 -15.96
113 New Mexico MWC-M 2 - 3 1 - 1 -16.6
114 Bowling Green MAC-E 1 - 5 0 - 2 -16.77
115 Massachusetts IND 1 - 5 0 - 0 -16.89
116 Miami OH MAC-E 0 - 6 0 - 2 -17.4
117 Nevada MWC-W 3 - 3 1 - 1 -17.6
118 ULM SUN 1 - 4 0 - 2 -18.23
119 Rice CUSA-W 0 - 5 0 - 3 -19.74
120 Florida Intl CUSA-E 2 - 4 2 - 0 -20.77
121 Fresno St MWC-W 1 - 5 0 - 2 -21.26
122 San Jose St MWC-W 1 - 5 0 - 2 -21.28
123 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 1 - 5 0 - 2 -22.37
124 New Mexico St SUN 2 - 3 1 - 1 -22.97
125 Texas St SUN 2 - 3 0 - 1 -23.29
126 Buffalo MAC-E 1 - 4 0 - 1 -23.82
127 Charlotte CUSA-E 2 - 4 1 - 1 -26.42
128 UTEP CUSA-W 1 - 5 0 - 3 -26.66