Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2018 Week 6 (through games of 9/29/2018)

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Alabama SEC-W 5 - 0 2 - 0 28.14
2 Ohio St BIG10-E 5 - 0 2 - 0 23.94
3 Georgia SEC-E 5 - 0 3 - 0 23.7
4 Oklahoma BIG12 5 - 0 2 - 0 21.87
5 Penn St BIG10-E 4 - 1 1 - 1 19.7
6 LSU SEC-W 5 - 0 2 - 0 19.02
7 Clemson ACC-A 5 - 0 2 - 0 17.91
8 Washington PAC12-N 4 - 1 2 - 0 16.99
9 Michigan BIG10-E 4 - 1 2 - 0 16.32
10 Auburn SEC-W 4 - 1 1 - 1 16.09
11 Notre Dame IND 5 - 0 0 - 0 15.69
12 West Virginia BIG12 4 - 0 2 - 0 15.49
13 Kentucky SEC-E 5 - 0 3 - 0 15.21
14 Wisconsin BIG10-W 3 - 1 1 - 0 14.04
15 Florida SEC-E 4 - 1 2 - 1 13.56
16 Oklahoma St BIG12 4 - 1 1 - 1 12.68
17 Miami FL ACC-C 4 - 1 1 - 0 11.88
18 UCF AAC-E 4 - 0 1 - 0 11.5
19 NC State ACC-A 4 - 0 1 - 0 11.18
20 TCU BIG12 3 - 2 1 - 1 10.9
21 Stanford PAC12-N 4 - 1 2 - 0 10.79
22 South Carolina SEC-E 2 - 2 1 - 2 10.65
23 Missouri SEC-E 3 - 1 0 - 1 10.54
24 Iowa BIG10-W 3 - 1 0 - 1 10.34
25 Texas BIG12 4 - 1 2 - 0 10.32
26 Mississippi St SEC-W 3 - 2 0 - 2 10.18
27 Boise St MWC-M 3 - 1 1 - 0 9.43
28 Texas Tech BIG12 3 - 2 1 - 1 9.2
29 Appalachian St SUN 3 - 1 1 - 0 8.9
30 Michigan St BIG10-E 3 - 1 1 - 0 7.93
31 Duke ACC-C 4 - 1 0 - 1 7.2
32 Virginia Tech ACC-C 3 - 1 2 - 0 7.06
33 Texas A&M SEC-W 3 - 2 1 - 1 7.04
34 Iowa St BIG12 1 - 3 0 - 2 6.77
35 Washington St PAC12-N 4 - 1 1 - 1 6.33
36 Fresno St MWC-W 3 - 1 0 - 0 6.2
37 Army IND 3 - 2 1 - 0 6.02
38 Arizona St PAC12-S 3 - 2 1 - 1 5.32
39 Utah PAC12-S 2 - 2 0 - 2 4.99
40 Syracuse ACC-A 4 - 1 1 - 1 4.84
41 Northwestern BIG10-W 1 - 3 1 - 1 4.79
42 USC PAC12-S 3 - 2 2 - 1 4.53
43 Boston College ACC-A 4 - 1 1 - 0 4.44
44 Oregon PAC12-N 4 - 1 1 - 1 4.11
45 Colorado PAC12-S 4 - 0 1 - 0 3.79
46 Houston AAC-W 3 - 1 0 - 0 3.7
47 North Texas CUSA-W 4 - 1 0 - 1 3.52
48 Vanderbilt SEC-E 3 - 2 0 - 1 3.49
49 San Diego St MWC-W 3 - 1 0 - 0 3.14
50 Temple AAC-E 2 - 3 1 - 0 3.05
51 Purdue BIG10-W 2 - 3 1 - 1 2.88
52 South Florida AAC-E 4 - 0 1 - 0 2.78
53 Florida St ACC-A 3 - 2 1 - 2 2.62
54 Maryland BIG10-E 3 - 1 1 - 0 2.43
55 Baylor BIG12 3 - 2 1 - 1 2.39
56 Kansas St BIG12 2 - 3 0 - 2 1.87
57 Virginia ACC-C 3 - 2 1 - 1 1.63
58 Minnesota BIG10-W 3 - 1 0 - 1 1.34
59 Indiana BIG10-E 4 - 1 1 - 1 1.31
60 Cincinnati AAC-E 5 - 0 1 - 0 0.94
61 Wake Forest ACC-A 3 - 2 0 - 1 0.75
62 Mississippi SEC-W 3 - 2 0 - 2 0.52
63 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 3 - 1 1 - 0 0.27
64 Utah St MWC-M 3 - 1 1 - 0 -0.13
65 BYU IND 3 - 2 1 - 0 -0.2
66 Georgia Tech ACC-C 2 - 3 0 - 2 -0.65
67 Memphis AAC-W 3 - 2 0 - 2 -0.91
68 Tennessee SEC-E 2 - 3 0 - 2 -1.61
69 Louisville ACC-A 2 - 3 0 - 2 -1.94
70 Toledo MAC-W 2 - 2 0 - 0 -2.76
71 Buffalo MAC-E 4 - 1 1 - 0 -3.15
72 Navy AAC-W 2 - 2 1 - 1 -3.73
73 Arizona PAC12-S 2 - 3 1 - 1 -4.29
74 Ohio MAC-E 2 - 2 0 - 0 -4.31
75 Kansas BIG12 2 - 3 0 - 2 -4.32
76 Florida Intl CUSA-E 3 - 2 1 - 0 -4.62
77 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 2 - 3 0 - 1 -4.64
78 Marshall CUSA-E 3 - 1 1 - 0 -4.72
79 California PAC12-N 3 - 1 0 - 1 -4.75
80 N Illinois MAC-W 2 - 3 2 - 0 -4.83
81 Akron MAC-E 2 - 1 0 - 0 -5.13
82 Troy SUN 4 - 1 2 - 0 -5.26
83 UCLA PAC12-S 0 - 4 0 - 1 -5.43
84 Tulane AAC-W 2 - 3 1 - 0 -5.65
85 East Carolina AAC-E 2 - 2 0 - 1 -5.75
86 Pittsburgh ACC-C 2 - 3 1 - 1 -5.81
87 Ga Southern SUN 3 - 1 1 - 0 -6.17
88 E Michigan MAC-W 2 - 3 0 - 2 -6.35
89 WKU CUSA-E 1 - 4 0 - 1 -6.46
90 Arkansas SEC-W 1 - 4 0 - 2 -6.46
91 W Michigan MAC-W 3 - 2 1 - 0 -6.64
92 Arkansas St SUN 3 - 2 0 - 1 -6.95
93 MTSU CUSA-E 2 - 2 1 - 0 -6.98
94 Nebraska BIG10-W 0 - 4 0 - 2 -7.1
95 Hawaii MWC-W 5 - 1 2 - 0 -7.12
96 Liberty IND 2 - 2 0 - 1 -7.65
97 Wyoming MWC-M 2 - 3 0 - 1 -7.8
98 Southern Miss CUSA-W 2 - 2 1 - 0 -7.95
99 Tulsa AAC-W 1 - 3 0 - 1 -8.44
100 SMU AAC-W 2 - 3 1 - 0 -8.62
101 C Michigan MAC-W 1 - 4 0 - 1 -8.83
102 Colorado St MWC-M 1 - 4 0 - 1 -9.28
103 Illinois BIG10-W 2 - 2 0 - 1 -9.76
104 North Carolina ACC-C 1 - 3 1 - 1 -10.12
105 Air Force MWC-M 1 - 3 0 - 2 -10.44
106 UAB CUSA-W 3 - 1 1 - 0 -10.54
107 Old Dominion CUSA-E 1 - 4 0 - 2 -12.11
108 UNLV MWC-W 2 - 2 0 - 0 -12.29
109 Ball St MAC-W 2 - 3 1 - 0 -12.41
110 Nevada MWC-W 3 - 2 1 - 0 -13.4
111 New Mexico MWC-M 2 - 2 0 - 0 -13.45
112 Miami OH MAC-E 1 - 4 1 - 1 -13.77
113 Coastal Car SUN 3 - 2 1 - 1 -14.1
114 Georgia St SUN 2 - 3 1 - 0 -14.88
115 San Jose St MWC-W 0 - 4 0 - 1 -15.04
116 Oregon St PAC12-N 1 - 4 0 - 2 -15.34
117 Rutgers BIG10-E 1 - 4 0 - 2 -15.84
118 ULL SUN 1 - 3 0 - 1 -16.3
119 South Alabama SUN 1 - 4 1 - 1 -17.9
120 Massachusetts IND 2 - 4 1 - 0 -18.32
121 UT San Antonio CUSA-W 2 - 3 1 - 0 -18.55
122 Rice CUSA-W 1 - 4 0 - 1 -19.42
123 Connecticut AAC-E 1 - 4 0 - 2 -21.96
124 ULM SUN 2 - 3 0 - 2 -22.46
125 Bowling Green MAC-E 1 - 4 0 - 1 -23.44
126 Kent MAC-E 1 - 4 0 - 1 -23.51
127 Charlotte CUSA-E 2 - 3 1 - 1 -23.67
128 New Mexico St IND 1 - 4 0 - 0 -25.53
129 UTEP CUSA-W 0 - 5 0 - 1 -28.42
130 Texas St SUN 1 - 3 0 - 1 -28.77