Wilson Rankings - Basketball Predictions

Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings

College Basketball Predictions

ARCHIVED PREVIOUS YEAR PREDICTIONS

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CURRENT WEEK PREDICTIONS

Note: I'm going with a home court advantage of 3 points this year.

Note, as usual, that for bracket style tournaments since they were not scheduled when the season started, they will not appear in the single game list below. If you want to make your own predictions, just compare team rating points on the main rating page and add 3 points to the home team, if there is one.

GAMES OF 1-20

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Bethune Cookman 83 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 64	0.904
Chicago State 70 - Fairleigh Dickinson 72	0.561
Colgate 73 - Bucknell 66	0.68
Cornell 78 - Brown 70	0.725
East Texas AM 64 - Southeast Louisiana 74	0.814
Florida AM 77 - Mississippi Valley State 62	0.837
Harvard 73 - Pennsylvania 65	0.734
Houston Christian 67 - Texas AM CC 76	0.817
Howard 91 - Unranked 61
Incarnate Word 71 - UT Rio Grande Valley 73	0.56
Le Moyne 69 - Stonehill 74	0.628
LIU Brooklyn 70 - Mercyhurst 61	0.758
Mcneese State 76 - Stephen F Austin 57	0.947
Montana 75 - Idaho 69	0.643
Montana State 74 - Eastern Washington 68	0.67
Nicholls State 74 - Lamar 68	0.648
North Carolina AT 68 - Hampton 73	0.682
Northwestern State 76 - New Orleans 68	0.719
Penn State 80 - Rutgers 76	0.619
Prairie View 73 - Alcorn State 71	0.576
Princeton 79 - Columbia 69	0.747
Texas Southern 71 - Jackson State 72	0.545
Villanova 77 - Georgetown 70	0.654
Wagner 66 - Saint Francis Penn 65	0.528
Yale 82 - Dartmouth 64	0.865

GAMES OF 1-21

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 57 - San Diego State 80	0.944
Alabama 88 - Vanderbilt 76	0.786
Alabama Birmingham 83 - Texas San Antonio 70	0.82
Belmont 73 - Bradley 77	0.61
Buffalo 65 - Akron 81	0.888
Central Michigan 71 - Ball State 68	0.575
Cincinnati 70 - Texas Tech 75	0.63
Colorado 74 - Brigham Young 78	0.589
Colorado State 73 - Boise State 74	0.505
Connecticut 82 - Butler 70	0.794
Davidson 74 - Saint Josephs 73	0.505
DePaul 72 - Creighton 83	0.733
Duquesne 70 - Dayton 71	0.533
Eastern Michigan 68 - Ohio 79	0.783
Houston 82 - Utah 64	0.891
Illinois State 79 - Indiana State 73	0.645
Iowa 82 - Minnesota 74	0.717
Iowa State 85 - Central Florida 71	0.801
Miami OH 78 - Bowling Green 65	0.818
Nevada Las Vegas 77 - Wyoming 67	0.761
New Mexico 90 - Fresno State 68	0.945
Northern Iowa 76 - Missouri State 64	0.766
Oklahoma State 71 - Arizona 84	0.808
Oregon 83 - Washington 69	0.814
Purdue 82 - Ohio State 71	0.744
Rhode Island 70 - Virginia Commonwealth 75	0.665
Saint Bonaventure 68 - George Mason 67	0.511
Seton Hall 66 - Marquette 84	0.891
South Carolina 67 - Florida 80	0.793
Southern Methodist 77 - Louisville 79	0.53
Tennessee 77 - Mississippi State 71	0.633
Tennessee State 70 - Tennessee Martin 71	0.516
Texas 76 - Missouri 77	0.54
Toledo 72 - Kent State 69	0.558
Tulsa 67 - East Carolina 73	0.668
UCLA 73 - Wisconsin 76	0.583
Utah State 78 - Nevada 70	0.735
Virginia 73 - Boston College 66	0.711
Wake Forest 75 - North Carolina 77	0.57
West Virginia 78 - Arizona State 69	0.725
Western Michigan 76 - Northern Illinois 66	0.739

GAMES OF 1-22

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
American 72 - Lehigh 64	0.687
Arkansas 72 - Georgia 74	0.555
Baylor 84 - Kansas State 69	0.807
California 73 - Florida State 80	0.726
Charlotte 69 - South Florida 73	0.637
Chattanooga 74 - Samford 76	0.546
Clemson 83 - Syracuse 68	0.883
Cleveland State 76 - Detroit 60	0.838
Drake 77 - Valparaiso 60	0.907
East Tennessee State 78 - Western Carolina 61	0.88
Evansville 65 - Illinois Chicago 75	0.703
Gardner Webb 73 - UNC Asheville 75	0.565
Georgia Southern 73 - Coastal Carolina 68	0.67
Georgia Tech 75 - Virginia Tech 72	0.587
Green Bay 70 - IUPUI 71	0.506
Holy Cross 72 - Army 71	0.507
Loyola Ill 78 - Fordham 70	0.731
Loyola MD 69 - Lafayette 67	0.577
Massachusetts 75 - George Washington 77	0.565
Mississippi 74 - Texas AM 73	0.528
Navy 66 - Boston 67	0.528
Nebraska 76 - Southern California 73	0.568
North Texas 74 - Temple 66	0.779
Northwestern 75 - Indiana 74	0.537
Oakland 72 - IPFW 73	0.542
Old Dominion 66 - James Madison 74	0.701
Pacific 66 - Loyola Marymount 77	0.75
Presbyterian 71 - Charleston Southern 70	0.518
Radford 70 - Longwood 68	0.555
Saint Johns 81 - Xavier 73	0.728
Saint Louis 78 - La Salle 70	0.715
South Carolina 67 - Florida 80	0.793
South Carolina Upstate 65 - High Point 82	0.86
Southern Illinois 70 - Murray State 72	0.545
Stanford 84 - Miami 71	0.808
Texas Christian 69 - Kansas 78	0.714
UL Lafayette 68 - Texas State 75	0.698
UNC Greensboro 76 - Mercer 65	0.828
Virginia Military Institute 63 - Furman 77	0.84
Wofford 79 - The Citadel 57	0.906
Wright State 72 - Milwaukee 73	0.51
Youngstown State 72 - Robert Morris 70	0.541

GAMES OF 1-23

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 68 - Tarleton State 67	0.532
Albany 76 - UMBC 73	0.576
Arkansas State 71 - Appalachian State 68	0.597
Bellarmine 61 - Florida Gulf Coast 78	0.909
Cal Baptist 70 - Utah Valley 72	0.547
Cal State Fullerton 68 - Cal State Bakersfield 72	0.607
Cal State Northridge 80 - Long Beach State 67	0.798
Canisius 70 - Sacred Heart 74	0.595
Central Arkansas 68 - Austin Peay 71	0.594
College of Charleston 75 - UNC Wilmington 72	0.604
Eastern Illinois 61 - Morehead State 71	0.77
Eastern Kentucky 79 - Stetson 69	0.744
Eastern Washington 73 - Northern Arizona 70	0.601
Elon 75 - Monmouth 64	0.73
Georgia State 69 - Marshall 75	0.689
Hofstra 73 - Delaware 69	0.639
Idaho 71 - Northern Colorado 77	0.694
Illinois 83 - Maryland 75	0.661
Lindenwood 66 - SE Missouri State 70	0.635
Louisiana Tech 73 - Western Kentucky 71	0.555
Manhattan 74 - Fairfield 69	0.677
Memphis 86 - Wichita State 68	0.842
New Hampshire 63 - Bryant 79	0.847
New Mexico State 76 - Kennesaw St 70	0.637
Niagara 61 - Marist 68	0.736
North Alabama 68 - Lipscomb 74	0.657
North Dakota 79 - South Dakota 78	0.509
Northeastern 69 - Drexel 67	0.567
Omaha 70 - Saint Thomas 75	0.639
Oral Roberts 75 - Denver 70	0.678
Oregon State 81 - Pepperdine 65	0.806
Portland 73 - San Diego 72	0.527
Portland State 71 - Weber State 67	0.648
Queens 80 - North Florida 72	0.675
Rider 68 - Iona 69	0.543
Sacramento State 61 - Idaho State 71	0.768
Saint Marys 76 - San Francisco 67	0.703
Saint Peters 62 - Merrimack 65	0.583
Sam Houston State 70 - Middle Tennessee 78	0.732
Santa Clara 80 - Washington State 75	0.615
Siena 70 - Mt St Marys 68	0.546
SIU Edwardsville 72 - Southern Indiana 64	0.71
Southern Utah 67 - Grand Canyon 80	0.794
Stony Brook 66 - Campbell 70	0.629
Tennessee State 71 - Tennessee Tech 70	0.533
Texas Arlington 70 - Seattle 75	0.616
Texas El Paso 74 - Jacksonville State 68	0.667
Towson 78 - North Carolina AT 62	0.908
Troy 77 - Southern Miss 64	0.879
UC Davis 67 - Hawaii 71	0.588
UC Riverside 66 - UC Irvine 76	0.771
UC San Diego 75 - UC Santa Barbara 65	0.763
UL Monroe 57 - South Alabama 79	0.93
UMass Lowell 72 - Maine 68	0.596
UMKC 66 - South Dakota State 73	0.68
Vermont 71 - NJ Tech 55	0.861
West Georgia 61 - Jacksonville 75	0.861
Western Illinois 61 - Arkansas Little Rock 71	0.754
William and Mary 75 - Hampton 69	0.682

GAMES OF 1-24

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Dayton 76 - Saint Josephs 71	0.609
Iowa 83 - Penn State 81	0.56
Le Moyne 64 - Central Connecticut State 74	0.756
Marquette 81 - Villanova 72	0.712
Mercyhurst 64 - Wagner 63	0.512
Northern Kentucky 67 - Milwaukee 71	0.623
Purdue 80 - Michigan 75	0.616
Saint Francis Penn 66 - LIU Brooklyn 68	0.583
Stonehill 73 - Chicago State 63	0.751
Virginia Commonwealth 72 - Saint Bonaventure 65	0.731
Washington 70 - UCLA 76	0.639

GAMES OF 1-25

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 72 - Texas Arlington 71	0.517
Air Force 60 - Utah State 84	0.955
Akron 76 - Miami OH 71	0.671
Alabama 89 - Louisiana State 73	0.861
Alabama AM 68 - Texas Southern 75	0.719
Alabama State 76 - Prairie View 72	0.598
Albany 74 - NJ Tech 62	0.818
Alcorn State 72 - Florida AM 67	0.653
American 68 - Colgate 69	0.529
Arizona 85 - Colorado 70	0.83
Arizona State 70 - Iowa State 81	0.781
Arkansas 77 - Oklahoma 76	0.501
Arkansas Pine Bluff 64 - Southern 83	0.891
Arkansas State 78 - Texas State 69	0.759
Auburn 78 - Tennessee 71	0.693
Bellarmine 71 - Stetson 73	0.556
Boston 67 - Bucknell 66	0.506
Bowling Green 70 - Toledo 77	0.681
Bradley 77 - Illinois State 66	0.747
Brigham Young 74 - Cincinnati 72	0.561
Brown 74 - Dartmouth 68	0.644
Bryant 79 - Binghamton 64	0.837
Butler 79 - DePaul 74	0.625
Cal Poly 76 - Long Beach State 74	0.569
Cal State Bakersfield 69 - UC Riverside 73	0.583
Cal State Fullerton 65 - UC Santa Barbara 74	0.732
California 82 - Miami 74	0.692
Canisius 61 - Marist 73	0.794
Central Arkansas 60 - Lipscomb 81	0.939
Central Florida 78 - Texas Christian 75	0.556
Central Michigan 74 - Western Michigan 67	0.666
Charleston Southern 71 - UNC Asheville 77	0.664
Cleveland State 79 - Green Bay 60	0.903
Creighton 84 - Seton Hall 66	0.885
Drexel 72 - Delaware 71	0.552
East Carolina 72 - South Florida 71	0.558
East Tennessee State 72 - Chattanooga 71	0.546
Eastern Illinois 67 - Southern Indiana 70	0.575
Eastern Kentucky 70 - Florida Gulf Coast 74	0.643
Eastern Michigan 74 - Buffalo 70	0.618
Eastern Washington 71 - Northern Colorado 78	0.724
Elon 71 - College of Charleston 73	0.554
Fairfield 63 - Merrimack 71	0.75
Florida 79 - Georgia 69	0.72
Florida International 64 - Liberty 77	0.843
Fresno State 69 - Colorado State 83	0.847
George Washington 74 - Saint Louis 73	0.502
Georgia Southern 69 - Marshall 75	0.684
Georgia State 68 - James Madison 76	0.723
High Point 79 - Winthrop 71	0.704
Hofstra 71 - Campbell 62	0.716
Idaho 73 - Northern Arizona 70	0.609
Illinois Chicago 77 - Southern Illinois 69	0.679
Indiana State 74 - Northern Iowa 78	0.581
Iona 70 - Siena 68	0.553
IUPUI 67 - IPFW 81	0.824
Jackson State 70 - Bethune Cookman 69	0.538
Kansas 71 - Houston 73	0.564
Kansas State 68 - West Virginia 79	0.754
La Salle 72 - Rhode Island 77	0.624
Lamar 75 - East Texas AM 62	0.807
Lehigh 69 - Lafayette 68	0.519
Lindenwood 64 - Arkansas Little Rock 71	0.699
Longwood 80 - South Carolina Upstate 64	0.838
Louisiana Tech 70 - Middle Tennessee 72	0.56
Loyola MD 71 - Holy Cross 68	0.574
Maryland Eastern Shore 68 - Delaware State 73	0.649
Mercer 68 - Furman 75	0.711
Minnesota 69 - Oregon 80	0.801
Mississippi Valley State 61 - Grambling State 74	0.797
Missouri 74 - Mississippi 75	0.505
Missouri State 58 - Drake 75	0.883
Montana 72 - Montana State 70	0.561
Morgan State 77 - Coppin State 70	0.687
Mt St Marys 74 - Manhattan 69	0.657
Murray State 74 - Belmont 76	0.541
NC State 72 - Southern Methodist 79	0.679
Nevada 69 - San Diego State 73	0.605
Nevada Las Vegas 74 - New Mexico 79	0.633
New Mexico State 72 - Jacksonville State 69	0.592
New Orleans 72 - Houston Christian 73	0.544
Niagara 70 - Sacred Heart 69	0.543
Norfolk State 78 - Howard 69	0.766
North Alabama 76 - Austin Peay 63	0.806
North Carolina 87 - Boston College 67	0.91
North Carolina Central 69 - South Carolina State 72	0.579
North Dakota State 82 - North Dakota 66	0.813
Northeastern 68 - Towson 69	0.53
Northern Illinois 65 - Ball State 76	0.712
Ohio 72 - Kent State 68	0.613
Old Dominion 71 - Coastal Carolina 66	0.64
Oral Roberts 70 - Omaha 76	0.697
Oregon State 76 - Santa Clara 75	0.514
Pennsylvania 69 - Columbia 75	0.668
Pepperdine 78 - Pacific 69	0.695
Portland 65 - Gonzaga 91	0.931
Portland State 70 - Idaho State 68	0.54
Presbyterian 64 - Radford 72	0.69
Princeton 78 - Cornell 73	0.619
Providence 74 - Georgetown 72	0.535
Queens 70 - Jacksonville 69	0.525
Quinnipiac 76 - Rider 63	0.788
Rice 70 - Tulane 71	0.537
Richmond 68 - Davidson 73	0.67
Robert Morris 71 - Oakland 69	0.551
Rutgers 71 - Michigan State 82	0.801
Sacramento State 62 - Weber State 70	0.698
Sam Houston State 73 - Western Kentucky 77	0.593
Samford 74 - Wofford 70	0.619
San Francisco 83 - San Diego 62	0.913
San Jose State 74 - Wyoming 70	0.591
Seattle 70 - Utah Valley 71	0.513
SIU Edwardsville 66 - Morehead State 65	0.52
South Carolina 69 - Mississippi State 79	0.703
South Dakota State 84 - South Dakota 71	0.806
Southeast Louisiana 74 - Incarnate Word 65	0.785
Southern Utah 70 - Cal Baptist 74	0.633
Stanford 75 - Florida State 77	0.548
Stephen F Austin 67 - Northwestern State 66	0.54
Stony Brook 72 - North Carolina AT 70	0.578
Syracuse 73 - Pittsburgh 81	0.708
Tennessee Martin 71 - Tennessee Tech 67	0.599
Texas 73 - Texas AM 77	0.644
Texas AM CC 76 - Nicholls State 71	0.697
Texas El Paso 78 - Kennesaw St 69	0.71
Texas San Antonio 72 - Temple 80	0.717
The Citadel 68 - Western Carolina 69	0.533
Troy 67 - South Alabama 68	0.512
UC Irvine 78 - Hawaii 64	0.857
UC San Diego 78 - Cal State Northridge 69	0.73
UL Lafayette 70 - Southern Miss 71	0.517
UL Monroe 57 - Appalachian State 78	0.943
UMass Lowell 79 - New Hampshire 61	0.898
UMKC 66 - Saint Thomas 74	0.718
UNC Wilmington 75 - Hampton 64	0.794
UT Rio Grande Valley 65 - Mcneese State 78	0.825
Utah 74 - Baylor 80	0.621
Utah Tech 65 - Grand Canyon 81	0.857
Valparaiso 73 - Evansville 66	0.658
Vanderbilt 78 - Kentucky 83	0.615
Vermont 73 - UMBC 65	0.672
Virginia 71 - Notre Dame 70	0.508
Virginia Military Institute 62 - UNC Greensboro 76	0.861
Virginia Tech 67 - Clemson 80	0.857
Wake Forest 66 - Duke 80	0.842
Washington State 71 - Saint Marys 76	0.643
West Georgia 71 - North Florida 78	0.695
Western Illinois 63 - SE Missouri State 70	0.7
William and Mary 78 - Monmouth 69	0.696
Wright State 78 - Detroit 65	0.79
Xavier 76 - Connecticut 77	0.541
Yale 79 - Harvard 63	0.868

GAMES OF 1-26

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Army 74 - Navy 68	0.679
Central Connecticut State 73 - Chicago State 58	0.855
Fordham 67 - Duquesne 75	0.713
Illinois 83 - Northwestern 71	0.763
Indiana 75 - Maryland 77	0.532
Memphis 83 - Alabama Birmingham 71	0.798
Mercyhurst 63 - LIU Brooklyn 68	0.655
North Texas 76 - Florida Atlantic 67	0.798
Saint Francis Penn 67 - Wagner 64	0.6
Stonehill 75 - Fairleigh Dickinson 69	0.673
Texas Tech 84 - Oklahoma State 67	0.858
Tulsa 69 - Wichita State 76	0.655
Wisconsin 81 - Nebraska 71	0.703

Number of DI Games: 342
Expected Number Correct: 233.893 = 68.3%

PREVIOUS WEEK PREDICTIONS

GAMES OF 11-4

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 90 - Unranked 55		Abilene Christian 107 - Unranked 74
Air Force 72 - North Alabama 68	0.594	Air Force 57 - North Alabama 73	20
Alabama 88 - UNC Asheville 67	0.892	Alabama 110 - UNC Asheville 54	-35
Alabama Birmingham 72 - Vermont 68	0.606	Alabama Birmingham 62 - Vermont 67	9
Appalachian State 75 - Miami OH 62	0.807	Appalachian State 63 - Miami OH 77	27
Arizona 89 - Canisius 60	0.941	Arizona 93 - Canisius 64	0
Arkansas Little Rock 88 - Unranked 56		Arkansas Little Rock 84 - Unranked 64
Arkansas State 69 - Akron 71	0.552	Arkansas State 80 - Akron 75	-7
Army 68 - Albany 70	0.563	Army 67 - Albany 59	-10
Austin Peay 86 - Unranked 56		Austin Peay 95 - Unranked 75
Belmont 95 - Unranked 54		Belmont 93 - Unranked 70
Boston 68 - Northeastern 67	0.52	Boston 72 - Northeastern 80	9
Boston College 81 - The Citadel 64	0.876	Boston College 69 - The Citadel 60	8
Bradley 82 - SE Missouri State 57	0.941	Bradley 88 - SE Missouri State 60	-3
Bryant 91 - Unranked 56		Bryant 105 - Unranked 63
Butler 76 - Missouri State 69	0.68	Butler 72 - Missouri State 65	0
Cal Baptist 76 - Incarnate Word 59	0.883	Cal Baptist 83 - Incarnate Word 78	12
California 75 - Cal State Bakersfield 65	0.751	California 86 - Cal State Bakersfield 73	-3
Campbell 86 - Unranked 57		Campbell 96 - Unranked 49
Central Florida 73 - Texas AM 74	0.547	Central Florida 64 - Texas AM 61	-4
Charlotte 75 - Presbyterian 60	0.885	Charlotte 88 - Presbyterian 79	6
Cincinnati 87 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 59	0.965	Cincinnati 109 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 54	-27
Clemson 84 - Charleston Southern 57	0.946	Clemson 91 - Charleston Southern 64	0
Coastal Carolina 73 - Western Michigan 69	0.609	Coastal Carolina 60 - Western Michigan 56	0
Colorado 83 - Eastern Washington 68	0.839	Colorado 76 - Eastern Washington 56	-5
Colorado State 81 - North Dakota 61	0.889	Colorado State 82 - North Dakota 56	-6
Cornell 94 - Unranked 55		Cornell 93 - Unranked 52
Dartmouth 82 - Unranked 57		Dartmouth 129 - Unranked 47
Davidson 92 - Unranked 52		Davidson 88 - Unranked 47
Dayton 85 - Saint Francis Penn 53	0.98	Dayton 87 - Saint Francis Penn 57	2
Delaware 72 - Bucknell 64	0.724	Delaware 73 - Bucknell 85	20
DePaul 78 - Southern Indiana 68	0.77	DePaul 80 - Southern Indiana 78	8
Detroit 83 - Unranked 60		Detroit 91 - Unranked 52
Drake 98 - Unranked 50		Drake 93 - Unranked 41
Drexel 89 - Unranked 52		Drexel 95 - Unranked 43
Duke 84 - Maine 55	0.957	Duke 96 - Maine 62	-5
Duquesne 77 - Lipscomb 66	0.764	Duquesne 72 - Lipscomb 77	16
East Carolina 89 - Unranked 54		East Carolina 97 - Unranked 70
East Tennessee State 88 - Unranked 53		East Tennessee State 72 - Unranked 51
Eastern Kentucky 89 - Unranked 56		Eastern Kentucky 98 - Unranked 69
Florida State 78 - Northern Kentucky 67	0.773	Florida State 74 - Northern Kentucky 62	-1
Furman 93 - Unranked 54		Furman 104 - Unranked 46
George Mason 75 - North Carolina Central 62	0.83	George Mason 75 - North Carolina Central 58	-4
George Washington 76 - Mercyhurst 68	0.693	George Washington 76 - Mercyhurst 59	-9
Georgia 82 - Tennessee Tech 61	0.916	Georgia 83 - Tennessee Tech 78	16
Georgia Southern 74 - Northern Illinois 68	0.668	Georgia Southern 80 - Northern Illinois 65	-9
Georgia State 73 - Ball State 69	0.588	Georgia State 71 - Ball State 66	-1
Gonzaga 80 - Baylor 76	0.595	Gonzaga 101 - Baylor 63	-34
Grambling State 84 - Unranked 53		Grambling State 92 - Unranked 42
Grand Canyon 78 - Cal State Fullerton 62	0.899	Grand Canyon 89 - Cal State Fullerton 79	6
Hampton 83 - Unranked 61		Hampton 110 - Unranked 53
Harvard 67 - Marist 64	0.573	Harvard 79 - Marist 66	-10
Hofstra 92 - Unranked 51		Hofstra 89 - Unranked 62
Houston 86 - Jackson State 51	0.982	Houston 97 - Jackson State 40	-22
Houston Christian 82 - Unranked 65		Houston Christian 86 - Unranked 59
Idaho 82 - Unranked 59		Idaho 94 - Unranked 60
Illinois 89 - Eastern Illinois 57	0.988	Illinois 112 - Eastern Illinois 67	-13
Illinois Chicago 88 - Unranked 57		Illinois Chicago 91 - Unranked 43
Illinois State 74 - Tennessee Martin 69	0.638	Illinois State 65 - Tennessee Martin 67	7
Indiana State 76 - Florida Atlantic 77	0.527	Indiana State 64 - Florida Atlantic 97	32
Iowa 89 - Texas AM Commerce 62	0.958	Iowa 89 - Texas AM Commerce 67	5
Iowa State 90 - Mississippi Valley State 47	0.995	Iowa State 83 - Mississippi Valley State 44	4
IPFW 89 - Unranked 55		IPFW 99 - Unranked 47
IUPUI 79 - Unranked 63		IUPUI 100 - Unranked 44
Jacksonville 83 - Unranked 54		Jacksonville 78 - Unranked 65
Jacksonville State 86 - Unranked 55		Jacksonville State 112 - Unranked 48
James Madison 76 - Ohio 68	0.698	James Madison 88 - Ohio 78	-2
Kansas 87 - Howard 61	0.937	Kansas 87 - Howard 57	-4
Kentucky 88 - Wright State 71	0.853	Kentucky 103 - Wright State 62	-24
La Salle 74 - American 65	0.733	La Salle 65 - American 52	-4
Lamar 84 - Unranked 57		Lamar 113 - Unranked 42
Liberty 75 - Valparaiso 65	0.757	Liberty 83 - Valparaiso 63	-10
Long Beach State 92 - Unranked 57		Long Beach State 93 - Unranked 48
Longwood 88 - Unranked 53		Longwood 79 - Unranked 68
Louisiana Tech 92 - Unranked 51		Louisiana Tech 77 - Unranked 50
Louisville 70 - Morehead State 71	0.525	Louisville 93 - Morehead State 45	-49
Loyola Ill 80 - Chicago State 59	0.914	Loyola Ill 79 - Chicago State 72	14
Loyola Marymount 90 - Unranked 55		Loyola Marymount 99 - Unranked 55
Loyola MD 68 - Columbia 71	0.621	Loyola MD 78 - Columbia 81	0
Marquette 84 - Stony Brook 63	0.92	Marquette 102 - Stony Brook 62	-19
Marshall 90 - Unranked 56		Marshall 90 - Unranked 57
Maryland 83 - Manhattan 58	0.932	Maryland 79 - Manhattan 49	-5
Massachusetts 77 - New Hampshire 65	0.781	Massachusetts 103 - New Hampshire 74	-17
Memphis 81 - Missouri 71	0.769	Memphis 83 - Missouri 75	2
Miami 85 - Fairleigh Dickinson 64	0.913	Miami 113 - Fairleigh Dickinson 72	-20
Michigan 77 - Cleveland State 68	0.736	Michigan 101 - Cleveland State 53	-39
Michigan State 82 - Monmouth 61	0.903	Michigan State 81 - Monmouth 57	-3
Middle Tennessee 87 - Unranked 55		Middle Tennessee 97 - Unranked 51
Milwaukee 90 - Unranked 57		Milwaukee 118 - Unranked 62
Mississippi 84 - LIU Brooklyn 59	0.943	Mississippi 90 - LIU Brooklyn 60	-5
Mississippi State 81 - West Georgia 57	0.91	Mississippi State 95 - West Georgia 60	-11
Montana 89 - Unranked 54		Montana 92 - Unranked 61
Morgan State 84 - Unranked 60		Morgan State 89 - Unranked 76
Mt St Marys 86 - Unranked 56		Mt St Marys 98 - Unranked 62
Murray State 89 - Unranked 53		Murray State 113 - Unranked 37
NC State 84 - South Carolina Upstate 61	0.947	NC State 97 - South Carolina Upstate 66	-8
Nebraska 88 - UT Rio Grande Valley 63	0.932	Nebraska 87 - UT Rio Grande Valley 67	5
Nevada 77 - Sam Houston State 66	0.77	Nevada 91 - Sam Houston State 75	-5
Nevada Las Vegas 81 - Alabama State 57	0.941	Nevada Las Vegas 93 - Alabama State 79	10
New Mexico 82 - Nicholls State 65	0.876	New Mexico 91 - Nicholls State 84	10
New Mexico State 87 - Unranked 56		New Mexico State 93 - Unranked 57
Niagara 86 - Unranked 56		Niagara 100 - Unranked 65
NJ Tech 66 - Pennsylvania 74	0.721	NJ Tech 57 - Pennsylvania 58	-7
Norfolk State 87 - Unranked 53		Norfolk State 96 - Unranked 41
North Carolina 89 - Elon 58	0.975	North Carolina 90 - Elon 76	17
North Carolina AT 82 - Unranked 60		North Carolina AT 107 - Unranked 55
North Dakota State 87 - Unranked 56		North Dakota State 96 - Unranked 59
Northern Arizona 85 - Unranked 58		Northern Arizona 100 - Unranked 49
Northern Colorado 90 - Unranked 57		Northern Colorado 75 - Unranked 55
Northern Iowa 93 - Unranked 53		Northern Iowa 96 - Unranked 54
Northwestern 83 - Lehigh 61	0.926	Northwestern 90 - Lehigh 46	-22
Northwestern State 83 - Unranked 59		Northwestern State 96 - Unranked 55
Oakland 91 - Unranked 54		Oakland 75 - Unranked 52
Oklahoma 86 - Lindenwood 56	0.965	Oklahoma 93 - Lindenwood 60	-3
Oklahoma State 79 - Green Bay 62	0.883	Oklahoma State 89 - Green Bay 76	4
Old Dominion 74 - Buffalo 68	0.676	Old Dominion 82 - Buffalo 83	7
Omaha 85 - Unranked 59		Omaha 85 - Unranked 69
Oregon 81 - UC Riverside 64	0.879	Oregon 91 - UC Riverside 76	2
Oregon State 78 - Utah Tech 68	0.758	Oregon State 80 - Utah Tech 57	-13
Pacific 85 - Unranked 61		Pacific 92 - Unranked 65
Penn State 82 - Binghamton 63	0.907	Penn State 108 - Binghamton 66	-23
Pittsburgh 80 - Radford 61	0.892	Pittsburgh 96 - Radford 56	-21
Prairie View 82 - Unranked 59		Prairie View 111 - Unranked 90
Princeton 75 - Iona 66	0.751	Princeton 81 - Iona 80	8
Providence 81 - Central Connecticut State 59	0.945	Providence 59 - Central Connecticut State 55	18
Purdue 85 - Texas AM CC 57	0.963	Purdue 90 - Texas AM CC 73	11
Queens 88 - Unranked 59		Queens 90 - Unranked 39
Rhode Island 72 - Fairfield 71	0.537	Rhode Island 96 - Fairfield 58	-37
Saint Bonaventure 79 - Cal State Northridge 64	0.836	Saint Bonaventure 70 - Cal State Northridge 56	1
Saint Johns 83 - Fordham 67	0.868	Saint Johns 92 - Fordham 60	-16
Saint Josephs 77 - Navy 63	0.857	Saint Josephs 70 - Navy 63	7
Saint Louis 75 - Santa Clara 78	0.586	Saint Louis 78 - Santa Clara 85	4
Saint Marys 74 - Towson 57	0.852	Saint Marys 76 - Towson 69	10
Saint Thomas 86 - Unranked 53		Saint Thomas 96 - Unranked 71
Samford 95 - Unranked 54		Samford 100 - Unranked 58
San Jose State 71 - Western Illinois 67	0.616	San Jose State 55 - Western Illinois 59	8
Seton Hall 77 - Saint Peters 60	0.864	Seton Hall 57 - Saint Peters 53	13
Siena 64 - Brown 72	0.748	Siena 72 - Brown 71	-9
SIU Edwardsville 84 - Unranked 57		SIU Edwardsville 95 - Unranked 42
South Alabama 73 - Central Michigan 65	0.701	South Alabama 70 - Central Michigan 74	12
South Carolina 80 - North Florida 64	0.851	South Carolina 71 - North Florida 74	19
South Carolina State 83 - Unranked 59		South Carolina State 137 - Unranked 55
South Dakota 68 - Southern 69	0.527	South Dakota 93 - Southern 79	-15
South Dakota State 71 - Mcneese State 67	0.617	South Dakota State 80 - Mcneese State 73	-3
South Florida 72 - Florida 79	0.689	South Florida 83 - Florida 98	8
Southeast Louisiana 83 - Unranked 57		Southeast Louisiana 91 - Unranked 53
Southern California 78 - Chattanooga 68	0.725	Southern California 77 - Chattanooga 51	-16
Southern Illinois 70 - College of Charleston 74	0.625	Southern Illinois 80 - College of Charleston 90	6
Southern Methodist 75 - Tarleton State 69	0.668	Southern Methodist 96 - Tarleton State 62	-28
Southern Miss 72 - Bowling Green 68	0.585	Southern Miss 77 - Bowling Green 68	-5
Southern Utah 91 - Unranked 58		Southern Utah 96 - Unranked 68
Stanford 84 - Denver 67	0.849	Stanford 85 - Denver 62	-6
Stephen F Austin 91 - Unranked 54		Stephen F Austin 85 - Unranked 51
Stetson 88 - Unranked 56		Stetson 94 - Unranked 75
Stonehill 80 - Unranked 60		Stonehill 81 - Unranked 62
Syracuse 83 - Le Moyne 63	0.871	Syracuse 86 - Le Moyne 82	16
Temple 76 - Sacred Heart 65	0.79	Temple 81 - Sacred Heart 70	0
Tennessee 83 - Gardner Webb 58	0.942	Tennessee 80 - Gardner Webb 64	9
Tennessee State 85 - Unranked 57		Tennessee State 96 - Unranked 66
Texas 77 - Ohio State 74	0.582	Texas 72 - Ohio State 80	11
Texas Arlington 92 - Unranked 55		Texas Arlington 90 - Unranked 55
Texas Christian 86 - Florida AM 57	0.972	Texas Christian 105 - Florida AM 59	-17
Texas El Paso 89 - Unranked 53		Texas El Paso 102 - Unranked 55
Texas San Antonio 90 - Unranked 60		Texas San Antonio 103 - Unranked 77
Texas State 74 - Eastern Michigan 61	0.827	Texas State 64 - Eastern Michigan 44	-7
Troy 73 - Toledo 74	0.509	Troy 84 - Toledo 74	-11
Tulane 95 - Unranked 57		Tulane 76 - Unranked 42
Tulsa 90 - Unranked 57		Tulsa 82 - Unranked 68
UC Irvine 93 - Unranked 51		UC Irvine 82 - Unranked 52
UC Santa Barbara 90 - Unranked 55		UC Santa Barbara 96 - Unranked 47
UCLA 78 - Rider 62	0.858	UCLA 85 - Rider 50	-19
UL Lafayette 71 - Kent State 69	0.567	UL Lafayette 66 - Kent State 70	6
UL Monroe 85 - Unranked 58		UL Monroe 111 - Unranked 61
UMass Lowell 91 - Unranked 54		UMass Lowell 115 - Unranked 59
UMBC 89 - Unranked 59		UMBC 95 - Unranked 66
UMKC 85 - Unranked 54		UMKC 91 - Unranked 68
UNC Greensboro 72 - Florida Gulf Coast 62	0.731	UNC Greensboro 73 - Florida Gulf Coast 64	1
UNC Wilmington 91 - Unranked 53		UNC Wilmington 143 - Unranked 91
Utah 83 - Alcorn State 63	0.889	Utah 100 - Alcorn State 59	-21
Utah Valley 90 - Unranked 53		Utah Valley 92 - Unranked 57
Vanderbilt 78 - Maryland Eastern Shore 59	0.911	Vanderbilt 102 - Maryland Eastern Shore 63	-20
Villanova 81 - Lafayette 56	0.945	Villanova 75 - Lafayette 63	13
Virginia Commonwealth 80 - Bellarmine 57	0.946	Virginia Commonwealth 84 - Bellarmine 65	4
Virginia Military Institute 83 - Unranked 64		Virginia Military Institute 103 - Unranked 54
Virginia Tech 84 - Delaware State 59	0.935	Virginia Tech 83 - Delaware State 60	2
Wake Forest 87 - Coppin State 55	0.964	Wake Forest 64 - Coppin State 49	17
Washington State 81 - Portland State 60	0.906	Washington State 100 - Portland State 92	13
Weber State 89 - Unranked 54		Weber State 118 - Unranked 35
West Virginia 82 - Robert Morris 65	0.875	West Virginia 87 - Robert Morris 59	-11
Western Carolina 90 - Unranked 54		Western Carolina 100 - Unranked 61
Western Kentucky 75 - Wichita State 73	0.559	Western Kentucky 84 - Wichita State 91	9
William and Mary 83 - Unranked 58		William and Mary 84 - Unranked 36
Winthrop 90 - Unranked 56		Winthrop 125 - Unranked 65
Wisconsin 88 - Holy Cross 56	0.965	Wisconsin 85 - Holy Cross 61	8
Wofford 89 - Unranked 55		Wofford 112 - Unranked 58
Wyoming 93 - Unranked 56		Wyoming 108 - Unranked 85
Xavier 82 - Texas Southern 63	0.916	Xavier 78 - Texas Southern 69	10
Yale 75 - Quinnipiac 66	0.748	Yale 88 - Quinnipiac 62	-17

GAMES OF 11-5

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arizona State 78 - Idaho State 63	0.83	Arizona State 55 - Idaho State 48	8
Brigham Young 90 - Central Arkansas 59	0.961	Brigham Young 88 - Central Arkansas 50	-7
Colgate 91 - Unranked 51		Colgate 95 - Unranked 62
Kansas State 87 - New Orleans 60	0.951	Kansas State 89 - New Orleans 65	3
Kennesaw St 88 - Unranked 59		Kennesaw St 110 - Unranked 61
North Texas 77 - Evansville 59	0.892	North Texas 80 - Evansville 63	1
Rice 76 - Florida International 71	0.641	Rice 77 - Florida International 70	-2
Sacramento State 82 - Unranked 56		Sacramento State 106 - Unranked 44
San Francisco 82 - Cal Poly 57	0.954	San Francisco 86 - Cal Poly 78	17
Texas Tech 85 - Bethune Cookman 59	0.948	Texas Tech 94 - Bethune Cookman 61	-7
Washington 79 - UC Davis 69	0.774	Washington 79 - UC Davis 73	4

GAMES OF 11-6

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Appalachian State 92 - Unranked 50		Appalachian State 108 - Unranked 54
Arkansas 82 - Lipscomb 69	0.8	Arkansas 76 - Lipscomb 60	-3
Arkansas Pine Bluff 83 - Unranked 62		Arkansas Pine Bluff 99 - Unranked 57
Auburn 77 - Vermont 64	0.823	Auburn 94 - Vermont 43	-38
Boise State 79 - Oakland 65	0.822	Boise State 87 - Oakland 43	-30
Cleveland State 88 - Unranked 54		Cleveland State 91 - Unranked 53
Connecticut 90 - Sacred Heart 54	0.978	Connecticut 92 - Sacred Heart 56	0
Creighton 91 - UT Rio Grande Valley 59	0.965	Creighton 99 - UT Rio Grande Valley 86	19
Eastern Illinois 82 - Unranked 58		Eastern Illinois 97 - Unranked 61
Eastern Washington 71 - Seattle 72	0.504	Eastern Washington 93 - Seattle 86	-8
Georgetown 78 - Lehigh 70	0.743	Georgetown 85 - Lehigh 77	0
Georgia Tech 79 - West Georgia 63	0.823	Georgia Tech 85 - West Georgia 62	-7
High Point 80 - Coppin State 60	0.922	High Point 93 - Coppin State 51	-22
Indiana 82 - SIU Edwardsville 61	0.922	Indiana 80 - SIU Edwardsville 61	2
Le Moyne 69 - Cal State Northridge 70	0.507	Le Moyne 75 - Cal State Northridge 97	21
Louisiana State 82 - UL Monroe 63	0.901	Louisiana State 95 - UL Monroe 60	-16
Maine 83 - Unranked 54		Maine 98 - Unranked 47
Minnesota 79 - Oral Roberts 67	0.807	Minnesota 80 - Oral Roberts 57	-11
Morehead State 88 - Unranked 50		Morehead State 89 - Unranked 48
Morgan State 68 - Mercyhurst 69	0.521	Morgan State 73 - Mercyhurst 78	4
New Hampshire 86 - Unranked 56		New Hampshire 99 - Unranked 69
Norfolk State 87 - Unranked 53		Norfolk State 104 - Unranked 60
Notre Dame 80 - Stonehill 57	0.929	Notre Dame 89 - Stonehill 60	-6
Pepperdine 73 - Western Illinois 67	0.64	Pepperdine 77 - Western Illinois 64	-7
Portland 88 - Unranked 59		Portland 83 - Unranked 70
Presbyterian 84 - Unranked 58		Presbyterian 120 - Unranked 45
Richmond 94 - Unranked 50		Richmond 101 - Unranked 68
Rutgers 74 - Wagner 57	0.861	Rutgers 75 - Wagner 52	-6
San Diego 73 - Rider 72	0.507	San Diego 67 - Rider 68	2
San Diego State 81 - UC San Diego 61	0.905	San Diego State 63 - UC San Diego 58	15
South Carolina Upstate 85 - Unranked 58		South Carolina Upstate 103 - Unranked 70
South Dakota 72 - Texas AM Commerce 67	0.622	South Dakota 91 - Texas AM Commerce 83	-3
Texas Southern 85 - Unranked 55		Texas Southern 100 - Unranked 66
Utah State 85 - Alcorn State 62	0.937	Utah State 101 - Alcorn State 46	-32
Villanova 83 - Columbia 60	0.943	Villanova 80 - Columbia 90	33
Virginia 78 - Campbell 56	0.9	Virginia 65 - Campbell 56	13
Wright State 94 - Unranked 57		Wright State 89 - Unranked 60

GAMES OF 11-7

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 69 - Jacksonville State 68	0.522	Air Force 73 - Jacksonville State 67	-5
Alabama AM 82 - Unranked 57		Alabama AM 121 - Unranked 78
Alabama Birmingham 79 - Southern Miss 65	0.825	Alabama Birmingham 98 - Southern Miss 84	0
Binghamton 85 - Unranked 57		Binghamton 82 - Unranked 63
Cal State Bakersfield 84 - Unranked 55		Cal State Bakersfield 122 - Unranked 53
California 80 - Cal Poly 61	0.896	California 91 - Cal Poly 73	1
Central Michigan 66 - Stony Brook 70	0.6	Central Michigan 72 - Stony Brook 73	-3
Delaware 74 - Robert Morris 64	0.758	Delaware 81 - Robert Morris 77	6
DePaul 77 - Prairie View 67	0.79	DePaul 92 - Prairie View 59	-23
Fairleigh Dickinson 86 - Unranked 60		Fairleigh Dickinson 112 - Unranked 72
Florida 83 - Jacksonville 61	0.927	Florida 81 - Jacksonville 60	1
Idaho 63 - UC Davis 73	0.768	Idaho 75 - UC Davis 79	-6
Indiana State 99 - Unranked 52		Indiana State 93 - Unranked 48
Iowa 85 - Southern 63	0.918	Iowa 89 - Southern 74	7
Lindenwood 80 - Unranked 60		Lindenwood 98 - Unranked 30
Loyola Ill 81 - Detroit 59	0.934	Loyola Ill 87 - Detroit 65	0
Mcneese State 88 - Unranked 52		Mcneese State 111 - Unranked 57
Mercer 87 - Unranked 54		Mercer 125 - Unranked 54
Michigan State 82 - Niagara 59	0.93	Michigan State 96 - Niagara 60	-13
Mississippi Valley State 75 - Unranked 63		Mississippi Valley State 66 - Unranked 49
North Alabama 86 - Unranked 57		North Alabama 94 - Unranked 58
North Dakota State 68 - Illinois State 69	0.506	North Dakota State 68 - Illinois State 77	8
North Florida 73 - Charleston Southern 65	0.702	North Florida 90 - Charleston Southern 66	-16
North Texas 92 - Unranked 47		North Texas 80 - Unranked 38
Northern Illinois 85 - Unranked 59		Northern Illinois 105 - Unranked 37
Northern Iowa 78 - Milwaukee 68	0.746	Northern Iowa 87 - Milwaukee 68	-9
Pennsylvania 75 - Maryland Eastern Shore 62	0.829	Pennsylvania 85 - Maryland Eastern Shore 84	12
Portland State 86 - Unranked 57		Portland State 131 - Unranked 84
Quinnipiac 91 - Unranked 55		Quinnipiac 71 - Unranked 47
Saint Marys 77 - Chattanooga 61	0.831	Saint Marys 86 - Chattanooga 74	4
Southern California 81 - Idaho State 61	0.9	Southern California 75 - Idaho State 69	14
Southern Indiana 67 - Bucknell 69	0.566	Southern Indiana 69 - Bucknell 75	4
Southern Methodist 82 - Florida AM 58	0.941	Southern Methodist 102 - Florida AM 73	-5
Stetson 74 - Omaha 66	0.706	Stetson 76 - Omaha 79	11
Tennessee Martin 89 - Unranked 59		Tennessee Martin 114 - Unranked 61
Tennessee Tech 82 - Unranked 59		Tennessee Tech 89 - Unranked 74
The Citadel 85 - Unranked 58		The Citadel 86 - Unranked 56
UL Lafayette 91 - Unranked 54		UL Lafayette 82 - Unranked 65
Utah 87 - Central Arkansas 60	0.932	Utah 98 - Central Arkansas 63	-8
Wake Forest 86 - North Carolina AT 60	0.952	Wake Forest 80 - North Carolina AT 64	10
Western Michigan 84 - Unranked 59		Western Michigan 86 - Unranked 46
Wisconsin 81 - Montana State 63	0.891	Wisconsin 79 - Montana State 67	6

GAMES OF 11-8

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 91 - Unranked 51		Akron 88 - Unranked 57
Alabama 88 - Arkansas State 68	0.892	Alabama 88 - Arkansas State 79	11
Ball State 87 - Unranked 57		Ball State 87 - Unranked 60
Belmont 76 - Furman 72	0.604	Belmont 74 - Furman 76	6
Boston College 70 - Virginia Commonwealth 74	0.632	Boston College 55 - Virginia Commonwealth 80	21
Bowling Green 67 - Davidson 74	0.697	Bowling Green 85 - Davidson 91	-1
Brigham Young 83 - UC Riverside 65	0.874	Brigham Young 86 - UC Riverside 80	12
Bryant 76 - Siena 63	0.824	Bryant 88 - Siena 90	15
Buffalo 86 - Unranked 60		Buffalo 87 - Unranked 78
Butler 80 - Austin Peay 64	0.873	Butler 66 - Austin Peay 68	18
Central Florida 78 - IPFW 65	0.816	Central Florida 75 - IPFW 68	6
Cincinnati 75 - Morehead State 64	0.799	Cincinnati 83 - Morehead State 56	-16
Clemson 87 - Saint Francis Penn 55	0.963	Clemson 88 - Saint Francis Penn 62	6
College of Charleston 75 - South Florida 72	0.585	College of Charleston 86 - South Florida 71	-12
Colorado 84 - Northern Colorado 65	0.905	Colorado 90 - Northern Colorado 88	17
Colorado State 81 - Tennessee State 60	0.921	Colorado State 87 - Tennessee State 79	13
Cornell 75 - Samford 76	0.508	Cornell 88 - Samford 86	-3
Denver 87 - Unranked 61		Denver 97 - Unranked 80
Duke 86 - Army 53	0.964	Duke 100 - Army 58	-9
East Tennessee State 72 - Eastern Kentucky 68	0.611	East Tennessee State 78 - Eastern Kentucky 82	8
Eastern Michigan 83 - Unranked 59		Eastern Michigan 83 - Unranked 58
Florida Atlantic 98 - Unranked 51		Florida Atlantic 99 - Unranked 49
Fresno State 72 - Sacramento State 62	0.762	Fresno State 64 - Sacramento State 57	3
George Washington 80 - Hampton 67	0.815	George Washington 82 - Hampton 54	-15
Green Bay 64 - Saint Thomas 68	0.577	Green Bay 76 - Saint Thomas 90	10
Hawaii 89 - Unranked 53		Hawaii 96 - Unranked 61
Hofstra 73 - Iona 66	0.687	Hofstra 90 - Iona 76	-7
Illinois 89 - SIU Edwardsville 60	0.965	Illinois 90 - SIU Edwardsville 58	-3
Illinois Chicago 65 - Yale 75	0.771	Illinois Chicago 91 - Yale 79	-22
Incarnate Word 80 - Unranked 62		Incarnate Word 97 - Unranked 53
Kansas 76 - North Carolina 77	0.502	Kansas 92 - North Carolina 89	-4
Kent State 90 - Unranked 53		Kent State 98 - Unranked 53
Loyola Marymount 68 - UC Irvine 73	0.631	Loyola Marymount 51 - UC Irvine 66	10
Marquette 80 - George Mason 66	0.836	Marquette 82 - George Mason 63	-5
Maryland 79 - Mt St Marys 61	0.887	Maryland 86 - Mt St Marys 52	-16
Mississippi 76 - Grambling State 62	0.839	Mississippi 66 - Grambling State 64	12
Mississippi State 81 - Georgia State 62	0.885	Mississippi State 101 - Georgia State 66	-16
Missouri 79 - Howard 67	0.817	Missouri 77 - Howard 62	-3
Monmouth 69 - Temple 73	0.616	Monmouth 74 - Temple 103	25
Navy 66 - Harvard 68	0.57	Navy 85 - Harvard 80	-7
NC State 85 - Presbyterian 60	0.951	NC State 81 - Presbyterian 72	16
Nicholls State 69 - South Alabama 70	0.542	Nicholls State 64 - South Alabama 70	5
North Carolina Central 68 - Gardner Webb 69	0.551	North Carolina Central 82 - Gardner Webb 88	5
Northern Arizona 85 - Unranked 58		Northern Arizona 115 - Unranked 67
Oral Roberts 89 - Unranked 56		Oral Roberts 105 - Unranked 49
Oregon 80 - Montana 65	0.845	Oregon 79 - Montana 48	-16
Oregon State 73 - Weber State 68	0.602	Oregon State 76 - Weber State 48	-23
Penn State 84 - UMBC 67	0.886	Penn State 103 - UMBC 54	-32
Pittsburgh 79 - Murray State 64	0.795	Pittsburgh 83 - Murray State 68	0
Princeton 72 - Duquesne 70	0.561	Princeton 75 - Duquesne 68	-5
Purdue 84 - Northern Kentucky 59	0.947	Purdue 72 - Northern Kentucky 50	3
Queens 69 - Western Carolina 75	0.644	Queens 67 - Western Carolina 54	-19
Radford 72 - William and Mary 64	0.733	Radford 89 - William and Mary 77	-4
Rhode Island 79 - Holy Cross 65	0.841	Rhode Island 91 - Holy Cross 77	0
Saint Josephs 78 - Central Connecticut State 63	0.876	Saint Josephs 67 - Central Connecticut State 73	21
San Diego 73 - Boston 68	0.627	San Diego 74 - Boston 60	-9
San Jose State 76 - Pacific 69	0.684	San Jose State 67 - Pacific 80	20
Santa Clara 75 - Arizona State 74	0.515	Santa Clara 74 - Arizona State 81	8
South Carolina 82 - South Carolina State 59	0.928	South Carolina 86 - South Carolina State 64	1
South Dakota State 76 - Long Beach State 70	0.656	South Dakota State 80 - Long Beach State 79	5
Southern Illinois 91 - Unranked 52		Southern Illinois 86 - Unranked 64
Stanford 78 - Cal State Fullerton 67	0.786	Stanford 80 - Cal State Fullerton 53	-16
Texas 93 - Houston Christian 56	0.987	Texas 90 - Houston Christian 59	6
Texas AM 84 - Texas AM Commerce 57	0.952	Texas AM 87 - Texas AM Commerce 55	-5
Texas AM CC 86 - Unranked 54		Texas AM CC 87 - Unranked 36
Texas Christian 81 - Florida Gulf Coast 62	0.899	Texas Christian 67 - Florida Gulf Coast 51	3
Texas State 88 - Unranked 52		Texas State 102 - Unranked 62
Texas Tech 86 - Northwestern State 58	0.954	Texas Tech 86 - Northwestern State 65	7
Towson 88 - Unranked 50		Towson 89 - Unranked 34
Tulane 80 - UL Monroe 67	0.828	Tulane 80 - UL Monroe 64	-3
UCLA 74 - New Mexico 73	0.522	UCLA 64 - New Mexico 72	9
UMass Lowell 69 - Saint Peters 65	0.623	UMass Lowell 81 - Saint Peters 74	-3
UMKC 85 - Unranked 54		UMKC 124 - Unranked 36
UNC Wilmington 76 - Georgia Southern 67	0.726	UNC Wilmington 92 - Georgia Southern 84	1
Valparaiso 87 - Unranked 58		Valparaiso 111 - Unranked 46
Villanova 83 - NJ Tech 55	0.955	Villanova 91 - NJ Tech 54	-9
Virginia Tech 83 - South Carolina Upstate 61	0.918	Virginia Tech 93 - South Carolina Upstate 74	3
Washington State 74 - Bradley 68	0.632	Washington State 91 - Bradley 74	-11
West Virginia 78 - Massachusetts 75	0.578	West Virginia 75 - Massachusetts 69	-3
Xavier 89 - IUPUI 57	0.963	Xavier 94 - IUPUI 80	18

GAMES OF 11-9

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 72 - Middle Tennessee 67	0.624	Abilene Christian 56 - Middle Tennessee 79	28
Albany 88 - Unranked 59		Albany 89 - Unranked 69
Arizona 89 - Old Dominion 61	0.945	Arizona 102 - Old Dominion 44	-30
Baylor 83 - Arkansas 74	0.742	Baylor 72 - Arkansas 67	4
Bellarmine 74 - Virginia Military Institute 66	0.717	Bellarmine 71 - Virginia Military Institute 76	13
Cal Baptist 74 - Kennesaw St 67	0.683	Cal Baptist 88 - Kennesaw St 84	3
Canisius 65 - Saint Bonaventure 75	0.752	Canisius 78 - Saint Bonaventure 87	-1
Chicago State 65 - Youngstown State 75	0.756	Chicago State 60 - Youngstown State 80	10
Columbia 73 - Delaware State 66	0.681	Columbia 83 - Delaware State 62	-14
Connecticut 87 - New Hampshire 55	0.961	Connecticut 92 - New Hampshire 53	-7
Coppin State 61 - Rider 75	0.829	Coppin State 53 - Rider 64	-3
Dartmouth 67 - Sacred Heart 68	0.508	Dartmouth 81 - Sacred Heart 76	-6
Dayton 74 - Northwestern 71	0.609	Dayton 71 - Northwestern 66	-2
Drexel 68 - Colgate 69	0.514	Drexel 73 - Colgate 56	-18
East Carolina 75 - Coastal Carolina 66	0.746	East Carolina 63 - Coastal Carolina 59	5
Elon 84 - Unranked 58		Elon 103 - Unranked 66
Evansville 87 - Unranked 57		Evansville 96 - Unranked 49
Georgetown 75 - Fairfield 72	0.578	Georgetown 69 - Fairfield 57	-9
Grand Canyon 78 - Western Kentucky 69	0.772	Grand Canyon 74 - Western Kentucky 72	7
High Point 76 - Jackson State 65	0.791	High Point 80 - Jackson State 71	2
Houston 77 - Auburn 70	0.663	Houston 69 - Auburn 74	12
Kansas State 79 - Cleveland State 65	0.834	Kansas State 77 - Cleveland State 64	1
Kentucky 87 - Bucknell 61	0.94	Kentucky 100 - Bucknell 72	-2
La Salle 74 - Lafayette 64	0.78	La Salle 81 - Lafayette 60	-11
Le Moyne 84 - Unranked 57		Le Moyne 107 - Unranked 73
Lipscomb 72 - Wofford 70	0.551	Lipscomb 78 - Wofford 69	-7
LIU Brooklyn 82 - Unranked 62		LIU Brooklyn 102 - Unranked 42
Longwood 76 - Morgan State 63	0.801	Longwood 84 - Morgan State 66	-5
Louisville 65 - Tennessee 84	0.883	Louisville 55 - Tennessee 77	3
Loyola MD 81 - Unranked 60		Loyola MD 83 - Unranked 42
Marshall 73 - Toledo 76	0.597	Marshall 80 - Toledo 90	7
Maryland Eastern Shore 80 - Unranked 58		Maryland Eastern Shore 96 - Unranked 77
Mercyhurst 84 - Unranked 57		Mercyhurst 88 - Unranked 62
Merrimack 59 - Vermont 68	0.779	Merrimack 65 - Vermont 51	-23
Miami OH 70 - Wright State 75	0.621	Miami OH 68 - Wright State 81	8
Minnesota 81 - Omaha 64	0.89	Minnesota 68 - Omaha 64	13
Nebraska 84 - Bethune Cookman 62	0.919	Nebraska 63 - Bethune Cookman 58	17
Nevada 80 - Washington 73	0.67	Nevada 63 - Washington 53	-3
Nevada Las Vegas 75 - Memphis 76	0.519	Nevada Las Vegas 74 - Memphis 80	5
New Orleans 64 - Troy 78	0.849	New Orleans 61 - Troy 78	3
Nicholls State 87 - Unranked 55		Nicholls State 93 - Unranked 44
Norfolk State 66 - James Madison 74	0.696	Norfolk State 83 - James Madison 69	-22
Ohio 73 - UNC Asheville 69	0.62	Ohio 82 - UNC Asheville 76	-2
Portland 71 - UC Santa Barbara 74	0.601	Portland 53 - UC Santa Barbara 94	38
Providence 85 - Stonehill 55	0.961	Providence 76 - Stonehill 49	3
Rice 71 - Florida State 80	0.717	Rice 65 - Florida State 73	-1
Richmond 74 - Marist 60	0.828	Richmond 72 - Marist 79	21
Saint Johns 84 - Quinnipiac 68	0.849	Saint Johns 96 - Quinnipiac 73	-7
San Francisco 71 - Boise State 74	0.575	San Francisco 84 - Boise State 73	-14
Seattle 70 - Liberty 67	0.579	Seattle 64 - Liberty 66	5
Seton Hall 80 - Fordham 64	0.854	Seton Hall 56 - Fordham 57	17
Southern Utah 77 - Florida International 71	0.669	Southern Utah 80 - Florida International 75	1
Tarleton State 70 - Sam Houston State 69	0.519	Tarleton State 62 - Sam Houston State 91	30
Texas Arlington 71 - Louisiana Tech 72	0.549	Texas Arlington 77 - Louisiana Tech 92	14
Tulsa 80 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 65	0.848	Tulsa 103 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 80	-8
UC San Diego 75 - Pepperdine 71	0.594	UC San Diego 94 - Pepperdine 76	-14
Unranked 60 - Alcorn State 84		Unranked 62 - Alcorn State 56
Utah State 77 - Charlotte 66	0.792	Utah State 103 - Charlotte 74	-18
Utah Tech 70 - New Mexico State 71	0.507	Utah Tech 63 - New Mexico State 75	11
Utah Valley 71 - Texas El Paso 67	0.612	Utah Valley 89 - Texas El Paso 60	-25
Wagner 82 - Unranked 53		Wagner 94 - Unranked 52
Wichita State 75 - Montana State 67	0.706	Wichita State 89 - Montana State 69	-12
Winthrop 74 - Arkansas Little Rock 69	0.615	Winthrop 82 - Arkansas Little Rock 67	-10

GAMES OF 11-10

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 81 - Southeast Louisiana 60	0.91	Alabama Birmingham 82 - Southeast Louisiana 72	11
American 66 - Harvard 69	0.581	American 67 - Harvard 55	-15
Brown 71 - Maine 63	0.723	Brown 67 - Maine 69	10
Cal Poly 80 - Unranked 60		Cal Poly 99 - Unranked 66
Campbell 73 - Saint Francis Penn 63	0.761	Campbell 64 - Saint Francis Penn 65	11
Creighton 90 - Fairleigh Dickinson 59	0.964	Creighton 96 - Fairleigh Dickinson 70	5
Detroit 67 - Niagara 72	0.648	Detroit 84 - Niagara 78	-11
Drake 79 - Stephen F Austin 66	0.793	Drake 66 - Stephen F Austin 51	-2
Georgia 78 - Texas Southern 64	0.888	Georgia 92 - Texas Southern 64	-14
Georgia Tech 80 - North Florida 67	0.79	Georgia Tech 93 - North Florida 105	25
Gonzaga 84 - Arizona State 68	0.84	Gonzaga 88 - Arizona State 80	8
Hawaii 74 - San Jose State 67	0.705	Hawaii 80 - San Jose State 69	-4
Indiana 83 - Eastern Illinois 58	0.953	Indiana 90 - Eastern Illinois 55	-10
Louisiana State 82 - Alabama State 59	0.949	Louisiana State 74 - Alabama State 61	10
Loyola Ill 94 - Unranked 50		Loyola Ill 105 - Unranked 53
Miami 81 - Binghamton 64	0.871	Miami 88 - Binghamton 64	-7
Montana 89 - Unranked 54		Montana 94 - Unranked 44
Northeastern 64 - Princeton 75	0.793	Northeastern 76 - Princeton 79	-8
Northern Iowa 72 - UC Irvine 71	0.507	Northern Iowa 60 - UC Irvine 80	21
Oklahoma State 76 - Saint Thomas 65	0.782	Oklahoma State 80 - Saint Thomas 71	2
Pacific 84 - Unranked 62		Pacific 94 - Unranked 41
Robert Morris 84 - Unranked 58		Robert Morris 79 - Unranked 51
Saint Louis 95 - Unranked 56		Saint Louis 95 - Unranked 44
South Dakota 86 - Unranked 60		South Dakota 77 - Unranked 47
UT Rio Grande Valley 85 - Unranked 62		UT Rio Grande Valley 110 - Unranked 60
Vanderbilt 80 - SE Missouri State 62	0.916	Vanderbilt 85 - SE Missouri State 76	9
Wake Forest 81 - Michigan 73	0.68	Wake Forest 72 - Michigan 70	6
Wisconsin 77 - Appalachian State 66	0.776	Wisconsin 87 - Appalachian State 56	-20
Wyoming 77 - Tennessee State 66	0.785	Wyoming 81 - Tennessee State 66	-4

Number of DI Games: 306
Number Correct: 250 = 81.6%
Expected Number Correct: 238.013 = 77.7%
Average Error: 10.49
Average Signed Error: -0.88

GAMES OF 11-11

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 77 - LIU Brooklyn 65	0.796	Air Force 54 - LIU Brooklyn 63	21
Alabama 88 - Mcneese State 64	0.915	Alabama 72 - Mcneese State 64	16
Alabama AM 84 - Unranked 58		Alabama AM 103 - Unranked 57
Austin Peay 75 - Chattanooga 71	0.614	Austin Peay 67 - Chattanooga 61	-2
Bowling Green 88 - Unranked 59		Bowling Green 107 - Unranked 43
Butler 79 - Western Michigan 59	0.92	Butler 85 - Western Michigan 65	0
Cal State Bakersfield 74 - North Dakota State 67	0.714	Cal State Bakersfield 86 - North Dakota State 81	2
Central Connecticut State 90 - Unranked 53		Central Connecticut State 117 - Unranked 68
Charleston Southern 85 - Unranked 58		Charleston Southern 108 - Unranked 50
DePaul 72 - Mercer 70	0.543	DePaul 95 - Mercer 64	-29
Florida 84 - Grambling State 61	0.937	Florida 86 - Grambling State 62	-1
Furman 75 - Jacksonville 65	0.802	Furman 78 - Jacksonville 69	1
George Mason 75 - Stony Brook 65	0.777	George Mason 94 - Stony Brook 56	-28
Georgia Southern 90 - Unranked 57		Georgia Southern 79 - Unranked 69
Hawaii 78 - Pacific 68	0.752	Hawaii 76 - Pacific 66	0
Howard 88 - Unranked 59		Howard 91 - Unranked 73
Idaho State 89 - Unranked 55		Idaho State 87 - Unranked 63
Iowa State 80 - UMKC 58	0.904	Iowa State 82 - UMKC 56	-4
Marquette 87 - Central Michigan 58	0.961	Marquette 70 - Central Michigan 62	21
Marshall 76 - Southern Indiana 68	0.717	Marshall 77 - Southern Indiana 63	-6
Maryland 87 - Florida AM 56	0.982	Maryland 84 - Florida AM 53	0
Missouri 78 - Eastern Washington 74	0.651	Missouri 84 - Eastern Washington 77	-3
Missouri State 92 - Unranked 55		Missouri State 90 - Unranked 61
Montana State 92 - Unranked 56		Montana State 93 - Unranked 35
North Alabama 75 - Tennessee Martin 69	0.661	North Alabama 87 - Tennessee Martin 69	-12
Notre Dame 82 - Buffalo 64	0.915	Notre Dame 86 - Buffalo 77	9
Ohio State 81 - Youngstown State 66	0.853	Ohio State 81 - Youngstown State 47	-19
Oklahoma 84 - Northwestern State 62	0.942	Oklahoma 73 - Northwestern State 57	6
Pittsburgh 83 - Gardner Webb 66	0.882	Pittsburgh 83 - Gardner Webb 64	-2
Purdue 83 - Yale 64	0.883	Purdue 92 - Yale 84	11
Rutgers 76 - Saint Peters 59	0.894	Rutgers 75 - Saint Peters 65	7
South Carolina State 86 - Unranked 60		South Carolina State 94 - Unranked 48
Southern Methodist 78 - UNC Greensboro 70	0.72	Southern Methodist 81 - UNC Greensboro 68	-5
Texas AM 82 - Lamar 61	0.929	Texas AM 97 - Lamar 71	-5
The Citadel 71 - Stetson 75	0.639	The Citadel 74 - Stetson 52	-26
Tulane 82 - Alcorn State 64	0.913	Tulane 84 - Alcorn State 51	-15
UCLA 83 - Boston 55	0.964	UCLA 71 - Boston 40	-3
UMBC 86 - Unranked 61		UMBC 120 - Unranked 61
Unranked 60 - San Jose State 85		Unranked 56 - San Jose State 93
Virginia 78 - Coppin State 49	0.953	Virginia 62 - Coppin State 45	12
Virginia Tech 78 - Winthrop 68	0.778	Virginia Tech 58 - Winthrop 52	4
Washington State 89 - Idaho 61	0.961	Washington State 90 - Idaho 67	5

GAMES OF 11-12

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 87 - Unranked 58		Abilene Christian 101 - Unranked 55
Arkansas State 79 - Arkansas Little Rock 67	0.782	Arkansas State 80 - Arkansas Little Rock 63	-5
Army 85 - Unranked 56		Army 101 - Unranked 48
Baylor 81 - Sam Houston State 71	0.726	Baylor 104 - Sam Houston State 67	-27
Boise State 100 - Unranked 48		Boise State 100 - Unranked 65
Bradley 80 - Texas San Antonio 68	0.781	Bradley 85 - Texas San Antonio 72	-1
Cal Baptist 71 - UC Riverside 75	0.626	Cal Baptist 69 - UC Riverside 70	-3
Central Florida 71 - Florida Atlantic 76	0.643	Central Florida 100 - Florida Atlantic 94	-11
Clemson 82 - Eastern Kentucky 68	0.844	Clemson 75 - Eastern Kentucky 62	1
Colorado State 85 - Denver 64	0.918	Colorado State 74 - Denver 65	12
Columbia 80 - Lehigh 67	0.812	Columbia 76 - Lehigh 75	12
Delaware State 82 - Unranked 59		Delaware State 70 - Unranked 54
Duke 78 - Kentucky 79	0.529	Duke 72 - Kentucky 77	4
East Carolina 90 - Unranked 52		East Carolina 110 - Unranked 73
Florida State 82 - Tarleton State 62	0.902	Florida State 72 - Tarleton State 52	0
Fordham 77 - Binghamton 62	0.874	Fordham 78 - Binghamton 63	0
George Washington 80 - North Carolina AT 63	0.901	George Washington 85 - North Carolina AT 80	12
Georgia 78 - North Florida 76	0.566	Georgia 90 - North Florida 77	-11
Georgia Tech 80 - Texas Southern 66	0.877	Georgia Tech 81 - Texas Southern 62	-5
High Point 81 - North Carolina Central 68	0.827	High Point 76 - North Carolina Central 60	-3
Illinois State 70 - Ohio 71	0.533	Illinois State 85 - Ohio 75	-11
Incarnate Word 72 - Prairie View 66	0.673	Incarnate Word 84 - Prairie View 81	3
Indiana State 81 - SIU Edwardsville 64	0.868	Indiana State 72 - SIU Edwardsville 77	22
Iona 75 - Delaware 69	0.671	Iona 58 - Delaware 64	12
Iowa 86 - South Dakota 69	0.894	Iowa 96 - South Dakota 77	-2
IPFW 76 - Bethune Cookman 67	0.726	IPFW 91 - Bethune Cookman 69	-13
IUPUI 83 - Unranked 64		IUPUI 97 - Unranked 55
James Madison 94 - Unranked 53		James Madison 100 - Unranked 52
La Salle 74 - Cornell 73	0.51	La Salle 93 - Cornell 77	-15
Lafayette 68 - Pennsylvania 70	0.537	Lafayette 65 - Pennsylvania 63	-4
Liberty 93 - Unranked 50		Liberty 81 - Unranked 45
Lipscomb 76 - Belmont 73	0.593	Lipscomb 79 - Belmont 80	4
Manhattan 83 - Unranked 60		Manhattan 88 - Unranked 71
Miami OH 76 - Maryland Eastern Shore 62	0.804	Miami OH 88 - Maryland Eastern Shore 70	-4
Michigan State 73 - Kansas 76	0.605	Michigan State 69 - Kansas 77	5
Mississippi 77 - South Alabama 65	0.816	Mississippi 64 - South Alabama 54	2
Mississippi State 86 - Southeast Louisiana 59	0.96	Mississippi State 80 - Southeast Louisiana 59	6
Morgan State 83 - Unranked 61		Morgan State 90 - Unranked 64
Navy 71 - Rider 69	0.567	Navy 79 - Rider 90	13
New Hampshire 71 - Fairfield 68	0.561	New Hampshire 56 - Fairfield 62	9
New Mexico 85 - Texas AM CC 68	0.871	New Mexico 100 - Texas AM CC 81	-2
NJ Tech 64 - Loyola MD 69	0.651	NJ Tech 50 - Loyola MD 68	13
North Dakota 87 - Unranked 58		North Dakota 85 - Unranked 54
Northern Colorado 97 - Unranked 58		Northern Colorado 113 - Unranked 56
Northern Illinois 67 - Monmouth 72	0.63	Northern Illinois 79 - Monmouth 66	-18
Northwestern 80 - Illinois Chicago 66	0.823	Northwestern 83 - Illinois Chicago 74	5
Oregon 90 - Portland 59	0.954	Oregon 80 - Portland 70	21
Oregon State 97 - Unranked 50		Oregon State 94 - Unranked 58
Penn State 87 - Saint Francis Penn 61	0.96	Penn State 92 - Saint Francis Penn 62	-4
Providence 83 - Hampton 54	0.966	Providence 60 - Hampton 51	20
Radford 75 - Old Dominion 65	0.754	Radford 87 - Old Dominion 75	-2
Rhode Island 96 - Unranked 55		Rhode Island 105 - Unranked 73
Rice 77 - UL Monroe 65	0.843	Rice 66 - UL Monroe 50	-4
Saint Josephs 70 - Villanova 74	0.621	Saint Josephs 83 - Villanova 76	-11
Saint Marys 79 - Akron 62	0.89	Saint Marys 87 - Akron 68	-2
Samford 97 - Unranked 55		Samford 108 - Unranked 52
San Diego 76 - Portland State 75	0.509	San Diego 76 - Portland State 85	10
San Diego State 100 - Unranked 43		San Diego State 100 - Unranked 49
Siena 65 - American 67	0.563	Siena 74 - American 66	-10
South Carolina 73 - Towson 65	0.731	South Carolina 80 - Towson 54	-18
South Florida 86 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 61	0.949	South Florida 85 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 69	9
Southern Miss 90 - Unranked 57		Southern Miss 104 - Unranked 65
Southern Utah 92 - Unranked 57		Southern Utah 107 - Unranked 54
Stanford 86 - Northern Arizona 62	0.91	Stanford 90 - Northern Arizona 64	-2
Stephen F Austin 89 - Unranked 54		Stephen F Austin 87 - Unranked 68
Syracuse 76 - Colgate 69	0.693	Syracuse 74 - Colgate 72	5
Temple 73 - Drexel 71	0.565	Temple 69 - Drexel 61	-6
Tennessee Tech 73 - West Georgia 67	0.686	Tennessee Tech 76 - West Georgia 73	3
Texas 85 - Chicago State 59	0.963	Texas 105 - Chicago State 58	-21
Texas Christian 79 - Texas State 62	0.903	Texas Christian 76 - Texas State 71	12
Texas El Paso 89 - Unranked 56		Texas El Paso 78 - Unranked 58
UC Davis 95 - Unranked 55		UC Davis 80 - Unranked 70
UC San Diego 80 - Sacramento State 63	0.907	UC San Diego 64 - Sacramento State 54	7
Utah 83 - Queens 67	0.847	Utah 96 - Queens 65	-15
Valparaiso 71 - Cleveland State 72	0.519	Valparaiso 67 - Cleveland State 75	7
Virginia Military Institute 87 - Unranked 61		Virginia Military Institute 102 - Unranked 56
Western Kentucky 95 - Unranked 55		Western Kentucky 104 - Unranked 76
William and Mary 62 - Norfolk State 78	0.827	William and Mary 84 - Norfolk State 73	-27
Xavier 82 - Jackson State 63	0.894	Xavier 94 - Jackson State 57	-18

GAMES OF 11-13

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama AM 84 - Unranked 58		Alabama AM 103 - Unranked 69
Arkansas 78 - Troy 68	0.798	Arkansas 65 - Troy 49	-6
Auburn 87 - Kent State 59	0.953	Auburn 79 - Kent State 56	5
Bellarmine 72 - Southern Indiana 68	0.634	Bellarmine 69 - Southern Indiana 71	6
Brigham Young 83 - Queens 66	0.875	Brigham Young 99 - Queens 55	-27
Bucknell 75 - Mt St Marys 65	0.767	Bucknell 89 - Mt St Marys 93	14
Cal State Northridge 92 - Unranked 55		Cal State Northridge 98 - Unranked 50
Campbell 86 - Unranked 58		Campbell 83 - Unranked 40
Central Arkansas 86 - Unranked 61		Central Arkansas 108 - Unranked 49
Charlotte 74 - Richmond 69	0.637	Charlotte 65 - Richmond 48	-12
Colorado 84 - Cal State Fullerton 62	0.941	Colorado 83 - Cal State Fullerton 53	-8
Connecticut 90 - Le Moyne 56	0.967	Connecticut 90 - Le Moyne 49	-7
Creighton 92 - Houston Christian 60	0.981	Creighton 78 - Houston Christian 43	-3
Dartmouth 75 - Albany 67	0.718	Dartmouth 73 - Albany 87	22
Dayton 85 - Ball State 57	0.976	Dayton 77 - Ball State 69	20
East Tennessee State 89 - Unranked 55		East Tennessee State 82 - Unranked 54
Florida Gulf Coast 63 - Saint Bonaventure 75	0.8	Florida Gulf Coast 65 - Saint Bonaventure 74	-3
George Mason 75 - Central Michigan 62	0.853	George Mason 69 - Central Michigan 70	14
Houston 86 - UL Lafayette 57	0.958	Houston 91 - UL Lafayette 45	-17
Illinois 89 - Oakland 63	0.931	Illinois 66 - Oakland 54	14
Jacksonville State 71 - Georgia State 70	0.529	Jacksonville State 72 - Georgia State 67	-4
Kennesaw St 91 - Unranked 60		Kennesaw St 94 - Unranked 59
Longwood 77 - Milwaukee 67	0.762	Longwood 76 - Milwaukee 62	-4
Massachusetts 73 - Louisiana Tech 77	0.646	Massachusetts 66 - Louisiana Tech 76	6
Mercer 89 - Unranked 55		Mercer 101 - Unranked 43
Mercyhurst 69 - Canisius 71	0.577	Mercyhurst 62 - Canisius 52	-12
Middle Tennessee 76 - Evansville 65	0.762	Middle Tennessee 80 - Evansville 63	-6
Minnesota 70 - North Texas 71	0.548	Minnesota 51 - North Texas 54	2
NC State 83 - Coastal Carolina 61	0.942	NC State 82 - Coastal Carolina 70	10
Nebraska 85 - Fairleigh Dickinson 62	0.922	Nebraska 86 - Fairleigh Dickinson 60	-3
Nevada 84 - Weber State 60	0.929	Nevada 88 - Weber State 58	-6
Northeastern 73 - Harvard 68	0.64	Northeastern 78 - Harvard 56	-17
Presbyterian 71 - Wofford 72	0.556	Presbyterian 71 - Wofford 68	-4
Saint Johns 87 - Wagner 61	0.954	Saint Johns 66 - Wagner 45	5
San Francisco 83 - Long Beach State 71	0.812	San Francisco 84 - Long Beach State 54	-18
Santa Clara 83 - North Dakota State 66	0.912	Santa Clara 80 - North Dakota State 88	25
SE Missouri State 85 - Unranked 61		SE Missouri State 93 - Unranked 38
Seton Hall 69 - Hofstra 70	0.504	Seton Hall 48 - Hofstra 49	0
Southern California 85 - Texas Arlington 65	0.907	Southern California 98 - Texas Arlington 95	17
Tennessee 84 - Montana 58	0.935	Tennessee 92 - Montana 57	-9
Tennessee State 73 - Howard 72	0.538	Tennessee State 84 - Howard 88	5
Texas AM Commerce 69 - Southern 70	0.519	Texas AM Commerce 70 - Southern 68	-3
Texas Tech 82 - Wyoming 69	0.818	Texas Tech 96 - Wyoming 49	-34
Toledo 76 - Wright State 74	0.56	Toledo 86 - Wright State 77	-7
Tulsa 77 - Oral Roberts 70	0.707	Tulsa 85 - Oral Roberts 76	-2
UC Santa Barbara 77 - Fresno State 67	0.742	UC Santa Barbara 91 - Fresno State 86	5
Utah State 105 - Unranked 48		Utah State 117 - Unranked 53
Utah Tech 86 - Unranked 60		Utah Tech 90 - Unranked 59
Vanderbilt 76 - California 77	0.539	Vanderbilt 85 - California 69	-17
Virginia Commonwealth 74 - Merrimack 62	0.809	Virginia Commonwealth 63 - Merrimack 42	-9
Wake Forest 83 - South Carolina Upstate 63	0.916	Wake Forest 85 - South Carolina Upstate 80	15
Washington 99 - Unranked 51		Washington 77 - Unranked 62
Western Carolina 88 - Unranked 54		Western Carolina 99 - Unranked 64
Western Illinois 72 - Green Bay 67	0.662	Western Illinois 73 - Green Bay 87	19
Yale 95 - Unranked 52		Yale 100 - Unranked 46

GAMES OF 11-14

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Buffalo 74 - Bryant 76	0.542	Buffalo 64 - Bryant 87	21
Cal Poly 70 - Seattle 74	0.631	Cal Poly 75 - Seattle 71	-8
Chattanooga 75 - Morehead State 67	0.673	Chattanooga 76 - Morehead State 62	-6
Denver 90 - Unranked 60		Denver 86 - Unranked 63
Florida International 88 - Unranked 60		Florida International 110 - Unranked 55
Grand Canyon 72 - Arizona State 76	0.613	Grand Canyon 76 - Arizona State 87	7
IUPUI 68 - Eastern Michigan 69	0.518	IUPUI 71 - Eastern Michigan 74	2
Jacksonville 74 - South Carolina State 64	0.794	Jacksonville 71 - South Carolina State 62	1
Kansas State 75 - Louisiana State 74	0.529	Kansas State 65 - Louisiana State 76	12
Missouri 86 - Mississippi Valley State 56	0.989	Missouri 111 - Mississippi Valley State 39	-42
Nevada Las Vegas 80 - Omaha 68	0.822	Nevada Las Vegas 80 - Omaha 69	1
New Mexico State 73 - Texas AM CC 71	0.558	New Mexico State 83 - Texas AM CC 82	1
New Orleans 72 - Lindenwood 69	0.605	New Orleans 82 - Lindenwood 74	-5
North Dakota 66 - Utah Valley 76	0.725	North Dakota 77 - Utah Valley 71	-16
Northern Kentucky 73 - Nicholls State 68	0.665	Northern Kentucky 59 - Nicholls State 61	7
Oklahoma State 77 - Southern Illinois 68	0.807	Oklahoma State 85 - Southern Illinois 78	2
Pacific 76 - Northern Arizona 71	0.591	Pacific 57 - Northern Arizona 60	8
Robert Morris 73 - Stonehill 67	0.678	Robert Morris 63 - Stonehill 51	-6
South Dakota 93 - Unranked 59		South Dakota 92 - Unranked 69
South Dakota State 80 - Northern Colorado 74	0.658	South Dakota State 69 - Northern Colorado 78	15
Tarleton State 87 - Unranked 57		Tarleton State 88 - Unranked 57
The Citadel 87 - Unranked 59		The Citadel 79 - Unranked 54
UC Riverside 96 - Unranked 55		UC Riverside 79 - Unranked 51
UL Monroe 85 - Unranked 59		UL Monroe 110 - Unranked 48
UMBC 73 - Coppin State 64	0.714	UMBC 92 - Coppin State 67	-16
Wichita State 79 - Northern Iowa 69	0.769	Wichita State 79 - Northern Iowa 73	4

GAMES OF 11-15

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 69 - Belmont 74	0.646	Air Force 71 - Belmont 79	3
Boston College 72 - Temple 74	0.569	Boston College 72 - Temple 69	-5
Brown 72 - New Hampshire 67	0.628	Brown 76 - New Hampshire 58	-13
Butler 72 - Southern Methodist 76	0.611	Butler 81 - Southern Methodist 70	-15
Cal Baptist 78 - LIU Brooklyn 64	0.85	Cal Baptist 90 - LIU Brooklyn 77	1
Charleston Southern 71 - UT Rio Grande Valley 72	0.531	Charleston Southern 76 - UT Rio Grande Valley 86	9
Cincinnati 84 - Nicholls State 63	0.925	Cincinnati 86 - Nicholls State 49	-16
College of Charleston 74 - Florida Atlantic 79	0.643	College of Charleston 119 - Florida Atlantic 116	-8
DePaul 70 - Duquesne 73	0.602	DePaul 84 - Duquesne 58	-29
Fairfield 84 - Unranked 57		Fairfield 93 - Unranked 44
Florida State 74 - Florida 80	0.686	Florida State 74 - Florida 87	7
Furman 76 - Tulane 74	0.584	Furman 75 - Tulane 67	-6
Gardner Webb 78 - Elon 68	0.762	Gardner Webb 80 - Elon 79	9
Georgia Tech 75 - Georgia 78	0.582	Georgia Tech 69 - Georgia 77	5
Gonzaga 94 - UMass Lowell 65	0.945	Gonzaga 113 - UMass Lowell 54	-30
High Point 74 - Alabama Birmingham 77	0.58	High Point 68 - Alabama Birmingham 65	-6
Holy Cross 70 - Sacred Heart 73	0.601	Holy Cross 82 - Sacred Heart 75	-10
Iona 68 - Vermont 71	0.571	Iona 62 - Vermont 59	-6
Iowa 76 - Washington State 79	0.594	Iowa 76 - Washington State 66	-13
Manhattan 62 - Fordham 75	0.829	Manhattan 78 - Fordham 76	-15
Marist 70 - Army 65	0.632	Marist 91 - Army 88	2
Maryland 71 - Marquette 77	0.669	Maryland 74 - Marquette 78	-2
Memphis 84 - Ohio 66	0.937	Memphis 94 - Ohio 70	-6
Michigan 74 - Texas Christian 77	0.554	Michigan 76 - Texas Christian 64	-15
North Alabama 74 - Samford 75	0.526	North Alabama 96 - Samford 97	0
North Carolina 83 - American 61	0.936	North Carolina 107 - American 55	-30
North Carolina Central 71 - Georgia Southern 74	0.637	North Carolina Central 75 - Georgia Southern 80	2
Northwestern 87 - Eastern Illinois 57	0.964	Northwestern 67 - Eastern Illinois 58	21
Old Dominion 72 - Maryland Eastern Shore 66	0.672	Old Dominion 73 - Maryland Eastern Shore 71	4
Oregon State 79 - Cal State Fullerton 65	0.853	Oregon State 70 - Cal State Fullerton 51	-5
Pennsylvania 68 - Saint Josephs 74	0.687	Pennsylvania 69 - Saint Josephs 86	11
Pittsburgh 77 - West Virginia 70	0.685	Pittsburgh 86 - West Virginia 62	-17
Princeton 73 - Loyola Ill 70	0.579	Princeton 68 - Loyola Ill 73	8
Purdue 79 - Alabama 78	0.537	Purdue 87 - Alabama 78	-8
Quinnipiac 72 - Maine 69	0.601	Quinnipiac 58 - Maine 55	0
Robert Morris 74 - Lindenwood 67	0.707	Robert Morris 67 - Lindenwood 53	-7
Rutgers 81 - Monmouth 61	0.893	Rutgers 98 - Monmouth 81	3
Saint Thomas 92 - Unranked 54		Saint Thomas 102 - Unranked 54
South Carolina Upstate 67 - UNC Wilmington 79	0.809	South Carolina Upstate 85 - UNC Wilmington 89	-8
South Florida 81 - West Georgia 61	0.952	South Florida 74 - West Georgia 55	1
Stonehill 69 - New Orleans 71	0.574	Stonehill 80 - New Orleans 54	-28
Tennessee Tech 73 - Virginia Military Institute 71	0.554	Tennessee Tech 72 - Virginia Military Institute 71	1
Texas AM 73 - Ohio State 75	0.571	Texas AM 78 - Ohio State 64	-16
Texas Arlington 92 - Unranked 57		Texas Arlington 95 - Unranked 69
UCLA 86 - Lehigh 58	0.958	UCLA 85 - Lehigh 45	-12
Villanova 67 - Virginia 68	0.541	Villanova 60 - Virginia 70	9
Virginia Tech 74 - Penn State 79	0.637	Virginia Tech 64 - Penn State 86	17
Western Michigan 66 - SIU Edwardsville 69	0.578	Western Michigan 60 - SIU Edwardsville 79	16
Winthrop 80 - William and Mary 62	0.902	Winthrop 86 - William and Mary 85	17
Wisconsin 73 - Arizona 79	0.667	Wisconsin 103 - Arizona 88	-21

GAMES OF 11-16

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 64 - Texas State 71	0.68	Abilene Christian 72 - Texas State 60	-19
Albany 69 - Siena 72	0.589	Albany 70 - Siena 60	-13
Arkansas State 75 - Stephen F Austin 68	0.686	Arkansas State 59 - Stephen F Austin 49	-3
Ball State 66 - Indiana State 80	0.811	Ball State 84 - Indiana State 94	-4
Bethune Cookman 73 - South Carolina State 68	0.643	Bethune Cookman 75 - South Carolina State 62	-8
Binghamton 85 - Unranked 59		Binghamton 77 - Unranked 48
Boston 68 - Dartmouth 69	0.557	Boston 78 - Dartmouth 50	-29
Bradley 82 - Northern Illinois 59	0.943	Bradley 76 - Northern Illinois 60	7
Brigham Young 88 - Idaho 61	0.961	Brigham Young 95 - Idaho 71	3
Brown 73 - Holy Cross 66	0.713	Brown 65 - Holy Cross 73	15
Bucknell 70 - Richmond 71	0.525	Bucknell 80 - Richmond 76	-5
Cal State Bakersfield 69 - Fresno State 71	0.558	Cal State Bakersfield 74 - Fresno State 56	-20
Canisius 72 - SIU Edwardsville 69	0.595	Canisius 58 - SIU Edwardsville 76	21
Cleveland State 73 - Eastern Michigan 63	0.728	Cleveland State 71 - Eastern Michigan 63	2
Columbia 77 - Mercyhurst 64	0.857	Columbia 77 - Mercyhurst 63	-1
Cornell 81 - Lafayette 63	0.928	Cornell 81 - Lafayette 71	8
Creighton 82 - UMKC 63	0.875	Creighton 79 - UMKC 56	-4
Davidson 76 - East Tennessee State 67	0.77	Davidson 76 - East Tennessee State 70	3
Dayton 101 - Unranked 46		Dayton 76 - Unranked 55
Delaware State 82 - Unranked 59		Delaware State 93 - Unranked 51
Detroit 68 - Toledo 79	0.805	Detroit 67 - Toledo 82	4
Drake 78 - Florida Gulf Coast 61	0.891	Drake 63 - Florida Gulf Coast 61	15
Drexel 72 - La Salle 68	0.616	Drexel 68 - La Salle 71	7
Duke 87 - Wofford 61	0.959	Duke 86 - Wofford 35	-25
East Carolina 66 - George Mason 69	0.604	East Carolina 78 - George Mason 77	-4
Evansville 70 - Radford 71	0.51	Evansville 81 - Radford 92	10
Florida Atlantic 79 - Liberty 65	0.804	Florida Atlantic 77 - Liberty 74	11
Georgetown 71 - Notre Dame 74	0.596	Georgetown 63 - Notre Dame 84	18
Hampton 59 - Norfolk State 78	0.869	Hampton 58 - Norfolk State 67	-10
Houston Christian 85 - Unranked 65		Houston Christian 84 - Unranked 64
Illinois Chicago 94 - Unranked 55		Illinois Chicago 117 - Unranked 59
Incarnate Word 74 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 69	0.651	Incarnate Word 92 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 64	-23
Indiana 76 - South Carolina 70	0.672	Indiana 87 - South Carolina 71	-10
IPFW 78 - Southern Indiana 66	0.837	IPFW 93 - Southern Indiana 74	-7
Kansas 87 - Oakland 61	0.926	Kansas 78 - Oakland 57	5
Kennesaw St 75 - Presbyterian 73	0.602	Kennesaw St 85 - Presbyterian 67	-16
Long Beach State 83 - Portland 67	0.835	Long Beach State 61 - Portland 63	18
Longwood 72 - Tennessee Martin 68	0.616	Longwood 64 - Tennessee Martin 62	2
Marshall 75 - Bellarmine 69	0.657	Marshall 83 - Bellarmine 62	-15
Massachusetts 75 - Hofstra 74	0.519	Massachusetts 71 - Hofstra 75	5
Michigan State 86 - Bowling Green 59	0.964	Michigan State 86 - Bowling Green 72	13
Middle Tennessee 72 - Murray State 68	0.599	Middle Tennessee 67 - Murray State 88	25
Minnesota 75 - Yale 70	0.639	Minnesota 59 - Yale 56	2
Mississippi 73 - Colorado State 74	0.542	Mississippi 84 - Colorado State 69	-16
Missouri State 74 - Tulsa 73	0.533	Missouri State 111 - Tulsa 106	-4
Morgan State 69 - NJ Tech 65	0.648	Morgan State 81 - NJ Tech 69	-8
Mt St Marys 71 - Saint Francis Penn 70	0.55	Mt St Marys 66 - Saint Francis Penn 58	-7
Nevada 83 - Santa Clara 69	0.859	Nevada 85 - Santa Clara 59	-12
New Hampshire 71 - Sacred Heart 72	0.515	New Hampshire 63 - Sacred Heart 80	16
North Carolina Central 74 - William and Mary 70	0.636	North Carolina Central 78 - William and Mary 76	2
Northeastern 68 - Central Connecticut State 71	0.589	Northeastern 80 - Central Connecticut State 62	-21
Oklahoma 83 - Stetson 66	0.883	Oklahoma 85 - Stetson 64	-4
Oral Roberts 90 - Unranked 57		Oral Roberts 87 - Unranked 52
Providence 83 - Green Bay 59	0.96	Providence 79 - Green Bay 65	10
Rice 76 - Northwestern State 67	0.777	Rice 77 - Northwestern State 75	7
Sacramento State 67 - Cal State Northridge 73	0.69	Sacramento State 69 - Cal State Northridge 79	4
Saint Bonaventure 83 - Le Moyne 62	0.903	Saint Bonaventure 71 - Le Moyne 52	2
Saint Louis 75 - Loyola Marymount 72	0.585	Saint Louis 77 - Loyola Marymount 71	-3
San Diego 72 - Idaho State 70	0.549	San Diego 66 - Idaho State 78	14
San Francisco 86 - Chicago State 59	0.954	San Francisco 82 - Chicago State 37	-18
Seton Hall 76 - Wagner 59	0.871	Seton Hall 54 - Wagner 28	-9
South Alabama 71 - Mercer 68	0.574	South Alabama 75 - Mercer 66	-6
Southern Utah 74 - Omaha 72	0.547	Southern Utah 79 - Omaha 73	-4
Stony Brook 91 - Unranked 56		Stony Brook 93 - Unranked 45
Syracuse 77 - Youngstown State 72	0.61	Syracuse 104 - Youngstown State 95	-4
Tennessee State 73 - Alabama AM 67	0.659	Tennessee State 81 - Alabama AM 71	-4
Tennessee Tech 74 - UT Rio Grande Valley 73	0.521	Tennessee Tech 58 - UT Rio Grande Valley 83	26
Texas 90 - Mississippi Valley State 53	0.995	Texas 89 - Mississippi Valley State 43	-9
Texas San Antonio 76 - Arkansas Little Rock 70	0.647	Texas San Antonio 64 - Arkansas Little Rock 81	23
Towson 71 - James Madison 69	0.537	Towson 67 - James Madison 63	-2
UC Irvine 83 - Pepperdine 66	0.896	UC Irvine 80 - Pepperdine 62	-1
UC San Diego 78 - Seattle 69	0.759	UC San Diego 71 - Seattle 84	22
UMBC 67 - Saint Peters 71	0.641	UMBC 61 - Saint Peters 69	4
UNC Greensboro 94 - Unranked 52		UNC Greensboro 99 - Unranked 54
Vanderbilt 81 - Jackson State 64	0.875	Vanderbilt 94 - Jackson State 81	4
Virginia Commonwealth 83 - Loyola MD 57	0.95	Virginia Commonwealth 83 - Loyola MD 57	0
Virginia Military Institute 70 - Charleston Southern 71	0.519	Virginia Military Institute 80 - Charleston Southern 69	-12
Western Illinois 72 - Central Arkansas 66	0.701	Western Illinois 63 - Central Arkansas 61	4
Winthrop 76 - Georgia Southern 67	0.79	Winthrop 87 - Georgia Southern 89	11
Wright State 94 - Unranked 56		Wright State 92 - Unranked 56
Wyoming 82 - Utah Tech 64	0.906	Wyoming 86 - Utah Tech 69	1
Xavier 75 - Wake Forest 74	0.502	Xavier 75 - Wake Forest 60	-14

GAMES OF 11-17

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arizona State 80 - Saint Thomas 65	0.861	Arizona State 81 - Saint Thomas 66	0
Baylor 86 - Tarleton State 61	0.908	Baylor 104 - Tarleton State 41	-38
Boise State 75 - Clemson 73	0.565	Boise State 84 - Clemson 71	-11
Brown 71 - Sacred Heart 67	0.627	Brown 89 - Sacred Heart 70	-15
Coastal Carolina 70 - Jacksonville State 68	0.538	Coastal Carolina 53 - Jacksonville State 71	20
College of Charleston 77 - Liberty 68	0.743	College of Charleston 47 - Liberty 68	30
Colorado 85 - Harvard 60	0.95	Colorado 88 - Harvard 66	3
Denver 73 - Montana State 76	0.587	Denver 79 - Montana State 78	-4
Eastern Washington 82 - Cal Poly 68	0.859	Eastern Washington 78 - Cal Poly 82	18
Fairleigh Dickinson 73 - Manhattan 69	0.618	Fairleigh Dickinson 85 - Manhattan 82	1
Hawaii 75 - Weber State 66	0.731	Hawaii 73 - Weber State 68	4
Illinois State 89 - Unranked 54		Illinois State 107 - Unranked 52
Lamar 66 - Sam Houston State 78	0.801	Lamar 72 - Sam Houston State 85	1
Lindenwood 69 - Stonehill 70	0.53	Lindenwood 75 - Stonehill 74	-2
Merrimack 68 - Princeton 70	0.541	Merrimack 57 - Princeton 68	9
Miami 86 - Coppin State 55	0.958	Miami 93 - Coppin State 63	1
Mississippi State 78 - Utah 75	0.578	Mississippi State 78 - Utah 73	-2
Navy 73 - Campbell 67	0.715	Navy 66 - Campbell 86	26
Nebraska 70 - Saint Marys 77	0.67	Nebraska 74 - Saint Marys 77	-4
New Hampshire 73 - Holy Cross 71	0.577	New Hampshire 72 - Holy Cross 74	4
Oregon 81 - Troy 65	0.909	Oregon 82 - Troy 61	-5
Robert Morris 72 - New Orleans 69	0.616	Robert Morris 73 - New Orleans 62	-8
Saint Johns 82 - New Mexico 78	0.615	Saint Johns 85 - New Mexico 71	-10
Samford 81 - Texas Southern 65	0.891	Samford 97 - Texas Southern 82	1
San Jose State 63 - UC Santa Barbara 81	0.866	San Jose State 59 - UC Santa Barbara 64	-13
SE Missouri State 67 - Chattanooga 78	0.778	SE Missouri State 82 - Chattanooga 87	-6
Southern 85 - Unranked 58		Southern 131 - Unranked 42
Southern California 81 - California 72	0.753	Southern California 66 - California 71	14
Stanford 82 - UC Davis 68	0.838	Stanford 79 - UC Davis 65	0
Tennessee 83 - Austin Peay 60	0.934	Tennessee 103 - Austin Peay 68	-12
The Citadel 74 - North Carolina AT 69	0.649	The Citadel 73 - North Carolina AT 82	14
Washington 82 - UMass Lowell 69	0.836	Washington 74 - UMass Lowell 69	8
Western Kentucky 75 - Lipscomb 74	0.569	Western Kentucky 66 - Lipscomb 61	-4
Western Michigan 67 - Canisius 73	0.652	Western Michigan 92 - Canisius 69	-29
William and Mary 68 - Georgia Southern 76	0.742	William and Mary 102 - Georgia Southern 87	-23
Winthrop 79 - North Carolina Central 65	0.867	Winthrop 77 - North Carolina Central 75	12

Number of DI Games: 301
Number Correct: 224 = 74.4%
Expected Number Correct: 222.23 = 73.8%
Average Error: 9.84
Average Signed Error: -1.31

GAMES OF 11-18

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 96 - Unranked 53		Alabama Birmingham 109 - Unranked 64
Alabama State 87 - Unranked 59		Alabama State 115 - Unranked 64
Arkansas 84 - Pacific 59	0.948	Arkansas 91 - Pacific 72	6
Auburn 90 - North Alabama 62	0.958	Auburn 102 - North Alabama 69	-5
Cal State Fullerton 68 - Idaho State 70	0.604	Cal State Fullerton 62 - Idaho State 61	-3
Delaware 74 - Bryant 70	0.62	Delaware 84 - Bryant 85	5
Florida International 72 - Howard 73	0.532	Florida International 70 - Howard 75	4
George Washington 85 - NJ Tech 55	0.974	George Washington 84 - NJ Tech 64	10
Georgia State 89 - Unranked 58		Georgia State 106 - Unranked 66
High Point 76 - American 61	0.857	High Point 80 - American 73	8
Iowa State 92 - IUPUI 55	0.974	Iowa State 87 - IUPUI 52	2
Louisiana Tech 99 - Unranked 48		Louisiana Tech 105 - Unranked 67
Maryland Eastern Shore 81 - Unranked 62		Maryland Eastern Shore 113 - Unranked 58
Mcneese State 64 - North Texas 72	0.767	Mcneese State 68 - North Texas 61	-15
Michigan 82 - Miami OH 62	0.862	Michigan 94 - Miami OH 67	-7
NC State 79 - Colgate 65	0.837	NC State 72 - Colgate 49	-9
North Florida 83 - UNC Asheville 69	0.794	North Florida 75 - UNC Asheville 89	28
Pittsburgh 90 - Virginia Military Institute 55	0.979	Pittsburgh 93 - Virginia Military Institute 48	-10
Radford 92 - Unranked 55		Radford 96 - Unranked 50
San Diego State 69 - Gonzaga 82	0.744	San Diego State 67 - Gonzaga 80	0
South Alabama 91 - Unranked 54		South Alabama 95 - Unranked 61
South Dakota State 95 - Unranked 54		South Dakota State 89 - Unranked 41
Southern Illinois 76 - North Dakota State 72	0.638	Southern Illinois 69 - North Dakota State 44	-21
Southern Methodist 87 - Prairie View 60	0.962	Southern Methodist 110 - Prairie View 69	-14
Texas Tech 94 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 52	0.991	Texas Tech 98 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 64	8
UL Monroe 68 - Southeast Louisiana 71	0.614	UL Monroe 67 - Southeast Louisiana 70	0
UMKC 87 - Unranked 55		UMKC 119 - Unranked 19
Utah State 87 - Montana 64	0.899	Utah State 95 - Montana 83	11
Washington State 81 - Northern Colorado 72	0.759	Washington State 83 - Northern Colorado 69	-5
Wichita State 87 - Monmouth 64	0.944	Wichita State 70 - Monmouth 66	19
Wisconsin 87 - UT Rio Grande Valley 62	0.937	Wisconsin 87 - UT Rio Grande Valley 84	22

GAMES OF 11-19

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Appalachian State 72 - Queens 68	0.614	Appalachian State 65 - Queens 53	-8
Belmont 80 - Oral Roberts 66	0.875	Belmont 90 - Oral Roberts 80	4
Binghamton 62 - Longwood 75	0.889	Binghamton 60 - Longwood 66	-7
Boston 65 - Wagner 62	0.603	Boston 58 - Wagner 60	5
Boston College 77 - Loyola MD 61	0.888	Boston College 82 - Loyola MD 61	-5
Bowling Green 76 - Niagara 69	0.721	Bowling Green 76 - Niagara 68	-1
Central Florida 86 - Tennessee Tech 55	0.963	Central Florida 80 - Tennessee Tech 69	20
Charlotte 74 - Gardner Webb 69	0.653	Charlotte 60 - Gardner Webb 54	-1
Chicago State 65 - Eastern Kentucky 78	0.838	Chicago State 66 - Eastern Kentucky 86	7
Connecticut 87 - Texas AM Commerce 55	0.993	Connecticut 81 - Texas AM Commerce 46	-3
Connecticut 103 - Unranked 44		Connecticut 81 - Unranked 46
DePaul 81 - Eastern Illinois 66	0.814	DePaul 78 - Eastern Illinois 69	6
Duquesne 76 - Milwaukee 68	0.714	Duquesne 74 - Milwaukee 80	14
Fairfield 61 - Drexel 71	0.753	Fairfield 61 - Drexel 67	-4
Florida 96 - Florida AM 57	0.997	Florida 84 - Florida AM 60	15
Florida State 74 - Hofstra 73	0.513	Florida State 79 - Hofstra 61	-17
Fordham 91 - Unranked 55		Fordham 101 - Unranked 61
Georgia 85 - Alabama AM 57	0.963	Georgia 93 - Alabama AM 45	-20
Green Bay 69 - SIU Edwardsville 75	0.687	Green Bay 82 - SIU Edwardsville 57	-31
Idaho 89 - Unranked 60		Idaho 101 - Unranked 58
Iowa 84 - Rider 63	0.946	Iowa 83 - Rider 58	-4
Kansas 86 - UNC Wilmington 66	0.94	Kansas 84 - UNC Wilmington 66	2
Kansas State 87 - Mississippi Valley State 52	0.963	Kansas State 74 - Mississippi Valley State 56	17
Kentucky 91 - Lipscomb 63	0.978	Kentucky 97 - Lipscomb 68	-1
Louisiana State 88 - Charleston Southern 57	0.991	Louisiana State 77 - Charleston Southern 68	22
Louisville 82 - Bellarmine 59	0.904	Louisville 100 - Bellarmine 68	-9
Loyola Ill 78 - Southern Utah 68	0.773	Loyola Ill 76 - Southern Utah 72	6
Marist 77 - Dartmouth 63	0.81	Marist 75 - Dartmouth 62	1
Marquette 76 - Purdue 77	0.512	Marquette 76 - Purdue 58	-19
Maryland 85 - Canisius 55	0.971	Maryland 108 - Canisius 37	-41
Mercyhurst 84 - Unranked 55		Mercyhurst 98 - Unranked 45
Michigan State 82 - Samford 71	0.821	Michigan State 83 - Samford 75	3
Minnesota 77 - Cleveland State 63	0.866	Minnesota 58 - Cleveland State 47	3
Missouri State 80 - Texas Arlington 75	0.649	Missouri State 78 - Texas Arlington 68	-5
Navy 70 - Quinnipiac 75	0.663	Navy 63 - Quinnipiac 74	6
Northern Arizona 88 - Unranked 56		Northern Arizona 82 - Unranked 47
Northern Iowa 77 - Western Illinois 63	0.886	Northern Iowa 82 - Western Illinois 56	-12
Northern Kentucky 61 - Cincinnati 80	0.919	Northern Kentucky 60 - Cincinnati 76	-3
Northwestern 82 - Montana State 65	0.874	Northwestern 72 - Montana State 69	14
Northwestern State 88 - Unranked 58		Northwestern State 121 - Unranked 49
Notre Dame 77 - North Dakota 66	0.763	Notre Dame 75 - North Dakota 58	-6
Ohio State 88 - Evansville 58	0.967	Ohio State 80 - Evansville 30	-20
Old Dominion 84 - Unranked 60		Old Dominion 71 - Unranked 55
Providence 81 - Delaware State 55	0.959	Providence 78 - Delaware State 48	-4
Santa Clara 74 - UC Riverside 75	0.512	Santa Clara 96 - UC Riverside 54	-43
South Carolina Upstate 90 - Unranked 61		South Carolina Upstate 95 - Unranked 63
Tennessee State 88 - Unranked 60		Tennessee State 110 - Unranked 33
Texas Christian 86 - Alcorn State 59	0.96	Texas Christian 71 - Alcorn State 48	4
Tulane 78 - Bethune Cookman 66	0.837	Tulane 72 - Bethune Cookman 57	-3
UL Lafayette 73 - Rice 74	0.534	UL Lafayette 61 - Rice 83	21
UMBC 73 - Hampton 67	0.674	UMBC 68 - Hampton 78	16
Vermont 76 - Buffalo 63	0.806	Vermont 78 - Buffalo 67	2
Villanova 79 - Pennsylvania 62	0.887	Villanova 93 - Pennsylvania 49	-27
Wake Forest 78 - Western Carolina 62	0.817	Wake Forest 82 - Western Carolina 69	3
West Georgia 61 - Troy 77	0.95	West Georgia 65 - Troy 84	3

GAMES OF 11-20

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 81 - Illinois 80	0.523	Alabama 100 - Illinois 87	-12
Arizona State 83 - Cal Poly 65	0.889	Arizona State 93 - Cal Poly 89	14
Army 75 - Fairleigh Dickinson 71	0.616	Army 84 - Fairleigh Dickinson 70	-10
Ball State 75 - Detroit 69	0.71	Ball State 59 - Detroit 70	17
Cal Baptist 73 - Northern Colorado 76	0.613	Cal Baptist 68 - Northern Colorado 79	8
Central Michigan 91 - Unranked 54		Central Michigan 86 - Unranked 52
Dayton 79 - New Mexico State 64	0.874	Dayton 74 - New Mexico State 53	-6
Fresno State 77 - Prairie View 62	0.874	Fresno State 94 - Prairie View 83	4
Furman 95 - Unranked 52		Furman 124 - Unranked 48
George Mason 82 - Coppin State 56	0.946	George Mason 93 - Coppin State 55	-12
Georgetown 74 - Mt St Marys 71	0.585	Georgetown 79 - Mt St Marys 51	-25
Gonzaga 96 - Long Beach State 60	0.952	Gonzaga 84 - Long Beach State 41	-7
Grand Canyon 80 - UC Davis 72	0.777	Grand Canyon 68 - UC Davis 75	15
Holy Cross 88 - Unranked 58		Holy Cross 88 - Unranked 49
Kennesaw St 75 - Abilene Christian 71	0.599	Kennesaw St 84 - Abilene Christian 78	-2
Lehigh 86 - Unranked 60		Lehigh 100 - Unranked 53
LIU Brooklyn 70 - Columbia 77	0.708	LIU Brooklyn 72 - Columbia 80	1
Morehead State 66 - Austin Peay 74	0.691	Morehead State 63 - Austin Peay 58	-13
Murray State 85 - Maryland Eastern Shore 57	0.956	Murray State 79 - Maryland Eastern Shore 61	10
Nevada Las Vegas 82 - Pepperdine 70	0.831	Nevada Las Vegas 80 - Pepperdine 59	-9
New Hampshire 81 - Unranked 61		New Hampshire 78 - Unranked 64
Nicholls State 67 - Towson 71	0.623	Nicholls State 64 - Towson 70	2
North Carolina AT 77 - Morgan State 68	0.79	North Carolina AT 86 - Morgan State 83	6
Northern Illinois 69 - Elon 72	0.593	Northern Illinois 48 - Elon 75	24
Penn State 85 - IPFW 69	0.871	Penn State 102 - IPFW 89	3
Rhode Island 79 - Lafayette 61	0.887	Rhode Island 86 - Lafayette 72	4
Richmond 69 - Maine 64	0.663	Richmond 70 - Maine 66	1
Rutgers 77 - Merrimack 63	0.885	Rutgers 74 - Merrimack 63	3
Saint Bonaventure 95 - Unranked 50		Saint Bonaventure 76 - Unranked 54
Saint Francis Penn 86 - Unranked 58		Saint Francis Penn 96 - Unranked 57
Saint Marys 102 - Unranked 47		Saint Marys 78 - Unranked 38
Saint Peters 88 - Unranked 54		Saint Peters 116 - Unranked 51
South Dakota State 80 - Southern Miss 70	0.768	South Dakota State 101 - Southern Miss 76	-15
Southern California 84 - San Jose State 59	0.952	Southern California 82 - San Jose State 68	11
Stanford 81 - Norfolk State 64	0.887	Stanford 70 - Norfolk State 63	10
Stony Brook 71 - Yale 79	0.674	Stony Brook 64 - Yale 86	14
Texas AM 87 - Southern 57	0.978	Texas AM 71 - Southern 54	13
The Citadel 66 - College of Charleston 82	0.844	The Citadel 61 - College of Charleston 76	-1
Tulsa 78 - Arkansas Little Rock 73	0.669	Tulsa 57 - Arkansas Little Rock 71	19
UC Santa Barbara 80 - Texas El Paso 65	0.772	UC Santa Barbara 76 - Texas El Paso 79	18
UCLA 77 - Idaho State 59	0.916	UCLA 84 - Idaho State 70	4
UMass Lowell 94 - Unranked 57		UMass Lowell 121 - Unranked 66
Virginia Tech 76 - Jacksonville 62	0.884	Virginia Tech 64 - Jacksonville 74	24
West Virginia 80 - Iona 67	0.859	West Virginia 86 - Iona 43	-30
Western Kentucky 81 - Jackson State 64	0.9	Western Kentucky 79 - Jackson State 62	0
Western Michigan 72 - South Dakota 78	0.658	Western Michigan 76 - South Dakota 80	-2
Xavier 82 - Siena 60	0.908	Xavier 80 - Siena 55	-3

GAMES OF 11-21

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Bucknell 82 - NJ Tech 58	0.958	Bucknell 81 - NJ Tech 64	7
California 80 - Air Force 60	0.898	California 78 - Air Force 69	11
Central Arkansas 72 - SE Missouri State 71	0.52	Central Arkansas 73 - SE Missouri State 77	5
Chattanooga 92 - Unranked 56		Chattanooga 72 - Unranked 52
Clemson 81 - Radford 67	0.861	Clemson 79 - Radford 51	-14
Cornell 77 - Robert Morris 66	0.848	Cornell 76 - Robert Morris 86	21
Drake 75 - Miami 76	0.539	Drake 80 - Miami 69	-12
Florida Atlantic 82 - Oklahoma State 78	0.624	Florida Atlantic 86 - Oklahoma State 78	-4
Illinois Chicago 76 - James Madison 75	0.523	Illinois Chicago 81 - James Madison 99	19
Indiana 83 - UNC Greensboro 63	0.926	Indiana 69 - UNC Greensboro 58	9
Jacksonville State 67 - East Carolina 71	0.621	Jacksonville State 86 - East Carolina 78	-12
Kent State 81 - Niagara 63	0.924	Kent State 76 - Niagara 73	15
Michigan 86 - Tarleton State 59	0.896	Michigan 72 - Tarleton State 49	4
Middle Tennessee 76 - Ohio 71	0.621	Middle Tennessee 83 - Ohio 81	3
Mississippi 83 - Oral Roberts 60	0.95	Mississippi 100 - Oral Roberts 68	-9
Monmouth 72 - Youngstown State 80	0.736	Monmouth 62 - Youngstown State 72	2
Nevada 80 - Vanderbilt 71	0.744	Nevada 71 - Vanderbilt 73	11
New Mexico 82 - Grambling State 66	0.851	New Mexico 80 - Grambling State 58	-6
North Dakota State 93 - Unranked 57		North Dakota State 67 - Unranked 60
North Florida 98 - Unranked 56		North Florida 108 - Unranked 59
North Texas 95 - Unranked 46		North Texas 73 - Unranked 66
Oakland 76 - Eastern Michigan 60	0.855	Oakland 64 - Eastern Michigan 68	20
Oklahoma 83 - Texas AM Commerce 61	0.965	Oklahoma 84 - Texas AM Commerce 56	-6
Oklahoma 98 - Unranked 50		Oklahoma 84 - Unranked 56
Oregon State 71 - Oregon 77	0.67	Oregon State 75 - Oregon 78	-3
Portland 69 - South Florida 76	0.653	Portland 68 - South Florida 74	-1
Sacred Heart 67 - Central Connecticut State 73	0.699	Sacred Heart 67 - Central Connecticut State 54	-19
Saint Johns 76 - Baylor 81	0.613	Saint Johns 98 - Baylor 99	-4
Saint Josephs 65 - Texas Tech 84	0.882	Saint Josephs 78 - Texas Tech 77	-20
Sam Houston State 97 - Unranked 54		Sam Houston State 105 - Unranked 78
San Francisco 77 - Memphis 74	0.575	San Francisco 64 - Memphis 68	7
South Carolina 83 - Mercer 61	0.914	South Carolina 84 - Mercer 72	10
Stephen F Austin 72 - Presbyterian 65	0.73	Stephen F Austin 55 - Presbyterian 58	10
Stetson 65 - Toledo 81	0.864	Stetson 78 - Toledo 103	9
Stonehill 65 - Bryant 75	0.747	Stonehill 67 - Bryant 66	-11
Texas 84 - Syracuse 76	0.713	Texas 70 - Syracuse 66	4
Texas AM CC 75 - Tennessee Martin 70	0.672	Texas AM CC 81 - Tennessee Martin 77	1
Texas State 64 - Bradley 74	0.752	Texas State 68 - Bradley 82	4
UC San Diego 69 - La Salle 76	0.69	UC San Diego 72 - La Salle 67	-12
Valparaiso 75 - Lindenwood 65	0.812	Valparaiso 77 - Lindenwood 64	-3
Virginia 62 - Tennessee 78	0.865	Virginia 42 - Tennessee 64	6
Virginia Commonwealth 70 - Seton Hall 64	0.653	Virginia Commonwealth 66 - Seton Hall 69	9
Washington State 82 - Eastern Washington 70	0.837	Washington State 96 - Eastern Washington 81	-3
Western Illinois 85 - Unranked 58		Western Illinois 73 - Unranked 46
Wright State 71 - Princeton 77	0.683	Wright State 80 - Princeton 62	-24

GAMES OF 11-22

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 80 - Lamar 69	0.842	Akron 79 - Lamar 72	4
Alabama AM 70 - South Carolina State 69	0.538	Alabama AM 70 - South Carolina State 82	13
Alabama Birmingham 72 - Longwood 69	0.607	Alabama Birmingham 81 - Longwood 89	11
Alabama State 71 - Omaha 74	0.603	Alabama State 85 - Omaha 67	-21
American 64 - UMKC 68	0.624	American 64 - UMKC 60	-8
Arizona 76 - Duke 78	0.537	Arizona 55 - Duke 69	12
Arkansas 83 - Arkansas Little Rock 60	0.941	Arkansas 79 - Arkansas Little Rock 67	11
Arkansas State 95 - Unranked 53		Arkansas State 103 - Unranked 60
Buffalo 73 - Morgan State 69	0.625	Buffalo 82 - Morgan State 73	-5
Butler 74 - Merrimack 60	0.871	Butler 78 - Merrimack 39	-25
Central Florida 73 - Wisconsin 75	0.547	Central Florida 70 - Wisconsin 86	14
Coastal Carolina 75 - IUPUI 66	0.741	Coastal Carolina 71 - IUPUI 57	-5
Colorado State 76 - UC Riverside 69	0.696	Colorado State 75 - UC Riverside 77	9
Creighton 78 - Nebraska 71	0.706	Creighton 63 - Nebraska 74	18
Davidson 81 - Virginia Military Institute 63	0.919	Davidson 93 - Virginia Military Institute 66	-9
East Tennessee State 75 - South Carolina Upstate 70	0.666	East Tennessee State 87 - South Carolina Upstate 76	-6
Evansville 73 - Green Bay 75	0.548	Evansville 98 - Green Bay 81	-19
Fairleigh Dickinson 89 - Unranked 62		Fairleigh Dickinson 107 - Unranked 58
Florida 87 - Southern Illinois 65	0.959	Florida 93 - Southern Illinois 68	-3
Florida AM 84 - Unranked 64		Florida AM 110 - Unranked 68
Florida Atlantic 81 - Drake 75	0.655	Florida Atlantic 63 - Drake 75	18
Florida Gulf Coast 67 - Cal State Bakersfield 72	0.663	Florida Gulf Coast 74 - Cal State Bakersfield 54	-25
Florida International 67 - Northeastern 78	0.8	Florida International 58 - Northeastern 60	-9
Fordham 68 - Drexel 70	0.546	Fordham 71 - Drexel 73	0
Georgia State 73 - North Carolina Central 69	0.648	Georgia State 93 - North Carolina Central 79	-10
Grand Canyon 79 - Norfolk State 68	0.778	Grand Canyon 91 - Norfolk State 73	-7
Harvard 65 - Colgate 71	0.684	Harvard 78 - Colgate 67	-17
Hawaii 71 - North Carolina 84	0.853	Hawaii 69 - North Carolina 87	5
Houston 82 - Hofstra 64	0.91	Houston 80 - Hofstra 44	-18
Houston Christian 64 - Rice 77	0.884	Houston Christian 58 - Rice 61	-10
Indiana State 83 - Chicago State 62	0.885	Indiana State 97 - Chicago State 61	-15
Iowa 77 - Utah State 80	0.582	Iowa 69 - Utah State 77	5
Kansas State 76 - George Washington 72	0.619	Kansas State 83 - George Washington 71	-8
Kentucky 94 - Jackson State 57	0.988	Kentucky 108 - Jackson State 59	-12
La Salle 77 - Illinois Chicago 71	0.664	La Salle 83 - Illinois Chicago 96	19
Le Moyne 66 - Tennessee Martin 72	0.66	Le Moyne 65 - Tennessee Martin 53	-18
Liberty 78 - UL Lafayette 62	0.846	Liberty 89 - UL Lafayette 69	-4
Louisiana State 71 - Pittsburgh 79	0.713	Louisiana State 63 - Pittsburgh 74	3
Louisville 77 - Winthrop 68	0.711	Louisville 76 - Winthrop 61	-6
Loyola Marymount 71 - North Dakota 70	0.519	Loyola Marymount 73 - North Dakota 77	5
Manhattan 72 - Army 71	0.507	Manhattan 80 - Army 79	0
Mcneese State 70 - Illinois State 69	0.539	Mcneese State 76 - Illinois State 68	-7
Milwaukee 73 - Portland State 80	0.714	Milwaukee 91 - Portland State 74	-24
Missouri 84 - Pacific 63	0.889	Missouri 91 - Pacific 56	-14
Murray State 76 - Utah Valley 69	0.662	Murray State 75 - Utah Valley 77	9
NC State 84 - William and Mary 66	0.875	NC State 84 - William and Mary 61	-5
Nevada 74 - Virginia Commonwealth 70	0.625	Nevada 64 - Virginia Commonwealth 61	1
Northern Arizona 74 - Incarnate Word 67	0.698	Northern Arizona 75 - Incarnate Word 74	6
Northwestern 83 - Pepperdine 66	0.874	Northwestern 68 - Pepperdine 50	-1
Northwestern State 74 - UL Monroe 66	0.761	Northwestern State 63 - UL Monroe 65	10
Notre Dame 79 - Elon 67	0.817	Notre Dame 77 - Elon 84	19
Ohio State 83 - Campbell 59	0.944	Ohio State 104 - Campbell 60	-20
Oklahoma State 78 - Miami 77	0.518	Oklahoma State 80 - Miami 74	-5
Portland 72 - Ohio 74	0.547	Portland 73 - Ohio 85	10
Presbyterian 70 - Youngstown State 78	0.729	Presbyterian 67 - Youngstown State 42	-33
Princeton 75 - Texas State 65	0.788	Princeton 80 - Texas State 83	13
Saint Josephs 70 - Texas 82	0.848	Saint Josephs 58 - Texas 67	-3
San Diego 72 - Southern Utah 76	0.641	San Diego 67 - Southern Utah 72	1
SE Missouri State 70 - UNC Asheville 76	0.627	SE Missouri State 64 - UNC Asheville 72	2
Seattle 94 - Unranked 54		Seattle 80 - Unranked 52
South Florida 73 - Middle Tennessee 72	0.515	South Florida 88 - Middle Tennessee 95	8
Southern Indiana 70 - South Dakota 77	0.704	Southern Indiana 92 - South Dakota 83	-16
Southern Methodist 73 - Mississippi State 80	0.72	Southern Methodist 79 - Mississippi State 84	-2
Stephen F Austin 75 - Monmouth 66	0.737	Stephen F Austin 72 - Monmouth 67	4
Stetson 64 - East Carolina 78	0.821	Stetson 64 - East Carolina 71	-7
Temple 72 - Florida State 75	0.619	Temple 69 - Florida State 78	6
Tennessee 79 - Baylor 76	0.571	Tennessee 77 - Baylor 62	-12
Texas Tech 85 - Syracuse 72	0.795	Texas Tech 79 - Syracuse 74	8
Toledo 75 - Jacksonville State 69	0.697	Toledo 82 - Jacksonville State 80	4
Tulane 85 - New Orleans 61	0.947	Tulane 87 - New Orleans 93	30
UC San Diego 75 - James Madison 74	0.506	UC San Diego 73 - James Madison 67	-5
UCLA 80 - Cal State Fullerton 57	0.955	UCLA 80 - Cal State Fullerton 47	-10
Unranked 59 - Albany 85		Unranked 50 - Albany 93
Utah 89 - Utah Tech 61	0.963	Utah 84 - Utah Tech 53	-3
Vanderbilt 72 - Seton Hall 71	0.515	Vanderbilt 76 - Seton Hall 60	-15
Virginia 67 - Saint Johns 75	0.713	Virginia 55 - Saint Johns 80	17
Washington 85 - Alcorn State 58	0.961	Washington 77 - Alcorn State 60	10
Weber State 63 - UC Irvine 78	0.885	Weber State 87 - UC Irvine 93	-9
Wichita State 82 - Saint Louis 71	0.807	Wichita State 88 - Saint Louis 63	-14
Wofford 65 - Saint Thomas 76	0.81	Wofford 81 - Saint Thomas 73	-19
Wright State 70 - Bradley 76	0.652	Wright State 74 - Bradley 77	-3
Wyoming 76 - Southeast Louisiana 67	0.746	Wyoming 64 - Southeast Louisiana 61	6

GAMES OF 11-23

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 78 - Omaha 68	0.816	Akron 92 - Omaha 84	2
Alabama AM 66 - Coastal Carolina 70	0.638	Alabama AM 77 - Coastal Carolina 70	-11
Alabama State 72 - Lamar 74	0.569	Alabama State 77 - Lamar 75	-4
Bellarmine 69 - Bowling Green 74	0.672	Bellarmine 80 - Bowling Green 68	-17
Brigham Young 95 - Mississippi Valley State 50	0.989	Brigham Young 87 - Mississippi Valley State 43	1
Bucknell 74 - Rider 71	0.602	Bucknell 53 - Rider 57	7
Cal Baptist 75 - Eastern Washington 74	0.534	Cal Baptist 79 - Eastern Washington 68	-10
Canisius 67 - Brown 72	0.656	Canisius 76 - Brown 83	2
Charleston Southern 60 - Furman 82	0.955	Charleston Southern 46 - Furman 67	-1
Charlotte 79 - LIU Brooklyn 63	0.895	Charlotte 76 - LIU Brooklyn 79	19
Cleveland State 69 - Kent State 76	0.702	Cleveland State 52 - Kent State 68	9
Columbia 78 - Stony Brook 72	0.637	Columbia 82 - Stony Brook 63	-13
Delaware 69 - Vermont 68	0.515	Delaware 71 - Vermont 75	5
DePaul 79 - Northern Illinois 63	0.831	DePaul 98 - Northern Illinois 52	-30
East Carolina 74 - Illinois Chicago 73	0.542	East Carolina 72 - Illinois Chicago 55	-16
Fairfield 63 - Yale 78	0.831	Fairfield 66 - Yale 91	10
Florida Gulf Coast 67 - Northeastern 73	0.691	Florida Gulf Coast 55 - Northeastern 59	-2
Florida International 67 - Cal State Bakersfield 77	0.777	Florida International 76 - Cal State Bakersfield 73	-13
George Mason 95 - Unranked 52		George Mason 100 - Unranked 55
George Washington 78 - UL Lafayette 71	0.695	George Washington 83 - UL Lafayette 74	-2
Georgetown 76 - Saint Francis Penn 66	0.8	Georgetown 82 - Saint Francis Penn 65	-7
Georgia 71 - Marquette 80	0.755	Georgia 69 - Marquette 80	2
Georgia Southern 78 - West Georgia 64	0.922	Georgia Southern 64 - West Georgia 54	4
Georgia Tech 68 - Cincinnati 80	0.816	Georgia Tech 58 - Cincinnati 81	11
Illinois 95 - Maryland Eastern Shore 53	0.997	Illinois 87 - Maryland Eastern Shore 40	-5
Illinois State 69 - Alabama Birmingham 74	0.651	Illinois State 84 - Alabama Birmingham 83	-6
Jacksonville State 70 - James Madison 72	0.546	Jacksonville State 65 - James Madison 71	4
Long Beach State 73 - Fresno State 71	0.57	Long Beach State 69 - Fresno State 72	5
Loyola Ill 81 - Tulsa 70	0.829	Loyola Ill 89 - Tulsa 53	-25
Marist 76 - New Hampshire 63	0.818	Marist 54 - New Hampshire 49	8
Massachusetts 73 - Temple 76	0.601	Massachusetts 80 - Temple 87	4
Milwaukee 73 - Wofford 70	0.594	Milwaukee 76 - Wofford 74	1
Mt St Marys 76 - Delaware State 63	0.845	Mt St Marys 76 - Delaware State 66	3
Nevada Las Vegas 78 - New Mexico State 69	0.764	Nevada Las Vegas 72 - New Mexico State 65	2
North Alabama 79 - UL Monroe 64	0.891	North Alabama 74 - UL Monroe 62	3
Northern Colorado 86 - Prairie View 61	0.953	Northern Colorado 114 - Prairie View 98	9
Northern Kentucky 88 - Unranked 54		Northern Kentucky 85 - Unranked 59
Presbyterian 74 - Monmouth 73	0.546	Presbyterian 71 - Monmouth 61	-9
Purdue 88 - Marshall 61	0.955	Purdue 80 - Marshall 45	-8
Queens 75 - South Carolina Upstate 73	0.554	Queens 98 - South Carolina Upstate 74	-22
Saint Marys 84 - Cal Poly 64	0.92	Saint Marys 80 - Cal Poly 66	6
Saint Thomas 77 - Portland State 76	0.523	Saint Thomas 91 - Portland State 65	-25
Santa Clara 71 - Stanford 82	0.8	Santa Clara 69 - Stanford 71	-9
SIU Edwardsville 91 - Unranked 53		SIU Edwardsville 83 - Unranked 49
South Carolina State 74 - IUPUI 70	0.611	South Carolina State 72 - IUPUI 62	-6
Southern Utah 79 - Idaho 70	0.778	Southern Utah 82 - Idaho 67	-6
Stephen F Austin 72 - Youngstown State 71	0.505	Stephen F Austin 64 - Youngstown State 57	-6
Stetson 63 - La Salle 80	0.887	Stetson 77 - La Salle 92	-2
Texas AM CC 78 - Le Moyne 68	0.8	Texas AM CC 82 - Le Moyne 61	-11
Toledo 77 - UC San Diego 72	0.642	Toledo 45 - UC San Diego 80	40
UMass Lowell 77 - Quinnipiac 72	0.627	UMass Lowell 80 - Quinnipiac 70	-5
UMBC 71 - Boston 70	0.533	UMBC 71 - Boston 75	5
UMKC 69 - Albany 67	0.59	UMKC 65 - Albany 67	4
Unranked 58 - American 82		Unranked 56 - American 73
Wagner 82 - Unranked 54		Wagner 81 - Unranked 46
Wake Forest 82 - Detroit 61	0.925	Wake Forest 67 - Detroit 57	11

GAMES OF 11-24

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 66 - Mercyhurst 64	0.573	Air Force 82 - Mercyhurst 48	-32
Akron 78 - Alabama State 65	0.857	Akron 97 - Alabama State 78	-6
Albany 68 - American 67	0.545	Albany 77 - American 81	5
Appalachian State 73 - William and Mary 70	0.573	Appalachian State 79 - William and Mary 76	0
Boise State 87 - Hampton 54	0.961	Boise State 83 - Hampton 69	19
Boston College 78 - Old Dominion 61	0.884	Boston College 82 - Old Dominion 52	-13
Bradley 74 - Middle Tennessee 69	0.617	Bradley 80 - Middle Tennessee 69	-6
Cal State Bakersfield 72 - Northeastern 73	0.527	Cal State Bakersfield 68 - Northeastern 60	-9
California 81 - Sacramento State 59	0.943	California 83 - Sacramento State 77	16
Central Arkansas 69 - UNC Asheville 74	0.624	Central Arkansas 92 - UNC Asheville 83	-14
Central Connecticut State 75 - Binghamton 64	0.823	Central Connecticut State 64 - Binghamton 56	3
Central Florida 76 - Louisiana State 72	0.631	Central Florida 102 - Louisiana State 109	11
Delaware 69 - Yale 75	0.673	Delaware 100 - Yale 94	-12
Duquesne 69 - South Dakota State 75	0.663	Duquesne 60 - South Dakota State 71	5
East Tennessee State 72 - Queens 69	0.592	East Tennessee State 82 - Queens 67	-12
Evansville 70 - Campbell 74	0.62	Evansville 66 - Campbell 53	-17
Fairfield 62 - Vermont 70	0.699	Fairfield 67 - Vermont 66	-9
Florida Gulf Coast 72 - Florida International 68	0.652	Florida Gulf Coast 60 - Florida International 59	3
Florida State 78 - Massachusetts 72	0.753	Florida State 92 - Massachusetts 59	-27
High Point 74 - Missouri State 72	0.551	High Point 61 - Missouri State 71	12
Howard 71 - Boston 67	0.618	Howard 62 - Boston 69	11
Kansas State 66 - Liberty 71	0.63	Kansas State 65 - Liberty 67	-3
Kennesaw St 71 - Rutgers 81	0.771	Kennesaw St 79 - Rutgers 77	-12
Lafayette 84 - Unranked 57		Lafayette 91 - Unranked 45
Lipscomb 79 - Jackson State 67	0.827	Lipscomb 77 - Jackson State 53	-12
Maine 69 - Holy Cross 67	0.567	Maine 80 - Holy Cross 55	-23
Mcneese State 68 - Longwood 69	0.516	Mcneese State 84 - Longwood 69	-16
Milwaukee 69 - Saint Thomas 77	0.746	Milwaukee 69 - Saint Thomas 65	-12
Missouri 90 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 56	0.965	Missouri 112 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 63	-15
Montana 76 - Denver 70	0.658	Montana 83 - Denver 73	-4
Montana State 77 - Southern Miss 73	0.616	Montana State 79 - Southern Miss 59	-16
Morgan State 62 - Towson 76	0.867	Morgan State 60 - Towson 64	-10
Nevada 79 - Oklahoma State 71	0.77	Nevada 90 - Oklahoma State 78	-4
New Mexico 87 - Texas Southern 63	0.949	New Mexico 99 - Texas Southern 68	-7
Northwestern State 69 - North Alabama 76	0.714	Northwestern State 71 - North Alabama 58	-20
Omaha 76 - Lamar 73	0.615	Omaha 65 - Lamar 59	-3
Princeton 78 - Portland 67	0.754	Princeton 94 - Portland 67	-16
Rhode Island 75 - College of Charleston 77	0.552	Rhode Island 91 - College of Charleston 53	-40
Saint Bonaventure 79 - Bryant 66	0.817	Saint Bonaventure 85 - Bryant 70	-2
Saint Johns 80 - Georgia 74	0.692	Saint Johns 63 - Georgia 66	9
San Diego 76 - Idaho 71	0.66	San Diego 68 - Idaho 61	-2
Seton Hall 71 - Florida Atlantic 77	0.653	Seton Hall 63 - Florida Atlantic 61	-8
Southern California 79 - Grambling State 64	0.858	Southern California 80 - Grambling State 69	4
Texas State 70 - Ohio 71	0.521	Texas State 74 - Ohio 65	-10
UC Riverside 81 - Alcorn State 60	0.935	UC Riverside 69 - Alcorn State 52	4
Unranked 56 - UMKC 86		Unranked 55 - UMKC 88
Utah Tech 68 - Cal State Northridge 79	0.824	Utah Tech 79 - Cal State Northridge 89	-1
Valparaiso 71 - Eastern Illinois 72	0.523	Valparaiso 81 - Eastern Illinois 53	-29
Vanderbilt 76 - Drake 75	0.512	Vanderbilt 70 - Drake 81	12
Villanova 65 - Maryland 77	0.804	Villanova 75 - Maryland 76	-11
Virginia Commonwealth 77 - Miami 72	0.615	Virginia Commonwealth 77 - Miami 70	-2
Wisconsin 74 - Pittsburgh 76	0.553	Wisconsin 81 - Pittsburgh 75	-8
Wofford 69 - Portland State 79	0.781	Wofford 74 - Portland State 79	-5
Wright State 73 - South Florida 74	0.541	Wright State 72 - South Florida 73	0

Number of DI Games: 323
Number Correct: 237 = 73.3%
Expected Number Correct: 242.913 = 75.2%
Average Error: 10
Average Signed Error: -1.76

GAMES OF 11-25

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama AM 69 - IUPUI 63	0.66	Alabama AM 83 - IUPUI 88	11
Arkansas 85 - Maryland Eastern Shore 55	0.966	Arkansas 109 - Maryland Eastern Shore 35	-44
Boston College 69 - Missouri State 72	0.582	Boston College 76 - Missouri State 74	-5
Buffalo 76 - North Carolina AT 67	0.727	Buffalo 82 - North Carolina AT 81	8
Chattanooga 77 - Tennessee State 64	0.819	Chattanooga 85 - Tennessee State 78	6
Chicago State 61 - Radford 76	0.858	Chicago State 48 - Radford 63	0
Columbia 69 - New Hampshire 67	0.565	Columbia 83 - New Hampshire 57	-24
Connecticut 75 - Memphis 72	0.586	Connecticut 97 - Memphis 99	5
Denver 70 - Cal State Northridge 72	0.579	Denver 60 - Cal State Northridge 89	27
Duquesne 76 - Hampton 64	0.776	Duquesne 59 - Hampton 64	17
Eastern Kentucky 74 - Ball State 70	0.615	Eastern Kentucky 61 - Ball State 63	6
Fordham 65 - Penn State 79	0.854	Fordham 66 - Penn State 85	5
George Washington 74 - Illinois State 72	0.56	George Washington 72 - Illinois State 64	-6
Houston Christian 69 - Eastern Michigan 72	0.575	Houston Christian 73 - Eastern Michigan 74	-2
Idaho State 85 - Unranked 56		Idaho State 97 - Unranked 46
Illinois 86 - Arkansas Little Rock 61	0.948	Illinois 92 - Arkansas Little Rock 34	-33
Iona 76 - Cornell 68	0.691	Iona 68 - Cornell 84	24
Iowa State 70 - Auburn 77	0.686	Iowa State 81 - Auburn 83	-5
IPFW 67 - Drexel 70	0.594	IPFW 87 - Drexel 81	-9
Kansas State 76 - Longwood 65	0.785	Kansas State 80 - Longwood 64	-5
Liberty 75 - Mcneese State 59	0.898	Liberty 62 - Mcneese State 58	12
Louisiana Tech 71 - Southern Illinois 66	0.664	Louisiana Tech 85 - Southern Illinois 79	-1
Mercer 65 - Jacksonville 66	0.514	Mercer 90 - Jacksonville 89	-2
Michigan State 74 - Colorado 73	0.507	Michigan State 72 - Colorado 56	-15
Minnesota 77 - Central Michigan 63	0.82	Minnesota 68 - Central Michigan 65	11
Montana 75 - Utah Tech 66	0.736	Montana 69 - Utah Tech 66	6
Navy 86 - Unranked 54		Navy 94 - Unranked 43
Nicholls State 86 - Unranked 55		Nicholls State 79 - Unranked 35
North Carolina 75 - Dayton 71	0.604	North Carolina 92 - Dayton 90	2
North Carolina Central 84 - Unranked 55		North Carolina Central 91 - Unranked 36
North Texas 73 - Oregon State 63	0.782	North Texas 58 - Oregon State 55	7
Ohio State 87 - Green Bay 57	0.958	Ohio State 102 - Green Bay 69	-3
Old Dominion 70 - High Point 68	0.565	Old Dominion 67 - High Point 73	8
Oral Roberts 92 - Unranked 55		Oral Roberts 68 - Unranked 69
Richmond 90 - Unranked 53		Richmond 67 - Unranked 57
Saint Louis 78 - Quinnipiac 67	0.777	Saint Louis 81 - Quinnipiac 67	-3
San Francisco 72 - Clemson 73	0.536	San Francisco 55 - Clemson 70	14
Siena 70 - Miami OH 67	0.563	Siena 58 - Miami OH 70	15
South Alabama 77 - Incarnate Word 58	0.909	South Alabama 84 - Incarnate Word 63	-2
South Dakota 88 - Unranked 57		South Dakota 112 - Unranked 50
South Dakota State 67 - Boise State 77	0.746	South Dakota State 82 - Boise State 83	-9
Southern 84 - Unranked 56		Southern 121 - Unranked 58
Southern Indiana 66 - Indiana State 76	0.727	Southern Indiana 87 - Indiana State 77	-20
Southern Miss 68 - Abilene Christian 73	0.641	Southern Miss 74 - Abilene Christian 82	3
Stonehill 67 - East Texas AM 66	0.546	Stonehill 67 - East Texas AM 65	-1
Texas El Paso 73 - San Jose State 67	0.656	Texas El Paso 65 - San Jose State 71	12
Troy 76 - Texas San Antonio 68	0.722	Troy 86 - Texas San Antonio 72	-6
UC Davis 70 - Norfolk State 68	0.582	UC Davis 55 - Norfolk State 76	23
UL Lafayette 69 - Alabama Birmingham 77	0.735	UL Lafayette 86 - Alabama Birmingham 98	4
UMass Lowell 70 - Merrimack 62	0.704	UMass Lowell 81 - Merrimack 74	1
UMBC 72 - Howard 70	0.561	UMBC 95 - Howard 77	-16
UNC Greensboro 74 - Long Beach State 66	0.724	UNC Greensboro 71 - Long Beach State 48	-15
UT Rio Grande Valley 74 - Le Moyne 68	0.636	UT Rio Grande Valley 97 - Le Moyne 77	-14
Virginia Tech 70 - Michigan 77	0.669	Virginia Tech 63 - Michigan 75	5
Weber State 88 - Unranked 54		Weber State 93 - Unranked 45
Winthrop 78 - LIU Brooklyn 65	0.858	Winthrop 87 - LIU Brooklyn 65	-9
Xavier 80 - South Carolina 70	0.728	Xavier 75 - South Carolina 66	1

GAMES OF 11-26

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 74 - Houston 76	0.566	Alabama 85 - Houston 80	-7
Army 86 - Unranked 56		Army 91 - Unranked 52
Bellarmine 85 - Unranked 55		Bellarmine 101 - Unranked 60
Belmont 75 - Loyola Marymount 69	0.665	Belmont 63 - Loyola Marymount 77	20
Boston College 67 - Boise State 78	0.767	Boston College 63 - Boise State 61	-13
Cal Baptist 69 - Southern Methodist 76	0.698	Cal Baptist 77 - Southern Methodist 79	-5
Cal Poly 65 - Grambling State 67	0.542	Cal Poly 82 - Grambling State 79	-5
Clemson 73 - Penn State 75	0.552	Clemson 75 - Penn State 67	-10
Cleveland State 75 - NJ Tech 60	0.863	Cleveland State 56 - NJ Tech 53	12
Colorado 70 - Connecticut 76	0.679	Colorado 73 - Connecticut 72	-7
Creighton 71 - San Diego State 72	0.543	Creighton 53 - San Diego State 71	17
Dayton 71 - Iowa State 69	0.53	Dayton 84 - Iowa State 89	7
Delaware State 79 - Unranked 61		Delaware State 111 - Unranked 43
Drexel 76 - Chicago State 59	0.883	Drexel 83 - Chicago State 71	5
Fairleigh Dickinson 67 - Saint Peters 71	0.627	Fairleigh Dickinson 76 - Saint Peters 78	-2
Florida State 81 - Western Carolina 65	0.843	Florida State 91 - Western Carolina 57	-18
Gardner Webb 72 - Southeast Louisiana 65	0.724	Gardner Webb 73 - Southeast Louisiana 69	3
Georgetown 74 - Wagner 63	0.771	Georgetown 66 - Wagner 41	-14
Georgia State 71 - Austin Peay 68	0.585	Georgia State 50 - Austin Peay 62	15
Hawaii 89 - Unranked 52		Hawaii 67 - Unranked 63
High Point 72 - Hampton 67	0.656	High Point 76 - Hampton 73	2
Iowa 88 - South Carolina Upstate 62	0.945	Iowa 110 - South Carolina Upstate 77	-7
IPFW 68 - Radford 69	0.527	IPFW 56 - Radford 69	12
Jacksonville 64 - Siena 65	0.51	Jacksonville 75 - Siena 64	-12
Kansas 75 - Duke 73	0.551	Kansas 75 - Duke 72	-1
Kentucky 82 - Western Kentucky 66	0.881	Kentucky 87 - Western Kentucky 68	-3
Long Beach State 69 - Texas El Paso 74	0.634	Long Beach State 44 - Texas El Paso 70	21
Louisiana Tech 73 - Richmond 68	0.626	Louisiana Tech 65 - Richmond 62	2
Loyola MD 71 - Virginia Military Institute 68	0.586	Loyola MD 70 - Virginia Military Institute 67	0
Mercer 70 - Miami OH 68	0.537	Mercer 72 - Miami OH 75	5
Michigan State 72 - Memphis 76	0.604	Michigan State 63 - Memphis 71	4
Missouri State 71 - South Dakota State 70	0.546	Missouri State 55 - South Dakota State 75	21
Montana State 71 - Abilene Christian 68	0.588	Montana State 85 - Abilene Christian 59	-23
Murray State 73 - Texas Arlington 68	0.651	Murray State 79 - Texas Arlington 66	-8
North Carolina 75 - Auburn 78	0.565	North Carolina 72 - Auburn 85	10
North Dakota 70 - Bethune Cookman 67	0.6	North Dakota 67 - Bethune Cookman 79	15
Northern Arizona 71 - Eastern Michigan 67	0.608	Northern Arizona 68 - Eastern Michigan 72	8
Northern Colorado 91 - Unranked 55		Northern Colorado 92 - Unranked 50
Notre Dame 70 - Rutgers 75	0.637	Notre Dame 84 - Rutgers 85	-4
Old Dominion 68 - Duquesne 71	0.588	Old Dominion 54 - Duquesne 67	10
Pepperdine 73 - Cal State Fullerton 72	0.54	Pepperdine 63 - Cal State Fullerton 72	10
Saint Francis Penn 70 - Lehigh 69	0.512	Saint Francis Penn 88 - Lehigh 78	-9
Saint Josephs 80 - Coppin State 63	0.863	Saint Josephs 83 - Coppin State 54	-12
Samford 74 - North Dakota State 70	0.596	Samford 103 - North Dakota State 98	-1
San Francisco 76 - Fordham 65	0.794	San Francisco 85 - Fordham 64	-10
Seattle 67 - Furman 74	0.674	Seattle 56 - Furman 61	-2
South Alabama 76 - Western Illinois 62	0.842	South Alabama 63 - Western Illinois 64	15
Southern Illinois 71 - Eastern Kentucky 69	0.556	Southern Illinois 72 - Eastern Kentucky 77	7
Stanford 75 - Grand Canyon 71	0.615	Stanford 71 - Grand Canyon 78	11
Tennessee State 68 - Bryant 75	0.689	Tennessee State 85 - Bryant 97	5
Texas AM 72 - Oregon 74	0.547	Texas AM 70 - Oregon 80	8
Texas AM CC 87 - Unranked 55		Texas AM CC 94 - Unranked 45
The Citadel 85 - Unranked 59		The Citadel 100 - Unranked 85
Tulane 75 - Wyoming 72	0.577	Tulane 63 - Wyoming 64	4
Tulsa 72 - Detroit 71	0.518	Tulsa 63 - Detroit 44	-18
UC Santa Barbara 74 - Eastern Washington 70	0.633	UC Santa Barbara 67 - Eastern Washington 51	-12
UCLA 81 - Southern Utah 64	0.905	UCLA 88 - Southern Utah 43	-28
UNC Greensboro 73 - San Jose State 64	0.735	UNC Greensboro 64 - San Jose State 69	14
Unranked 57 - Ball State 87		Unranked 57 - Ball State 94
Utah 87 - Mississippi Valley State 54	0.966	Utah 94 - Mississippi Valley State 48	-13
Utah Tech 73 - Denver 70	0.583	Utah Tech 68 - Denver 54	-11
Virginia 77 - Manhattan 56	0.929	Virginia 74 - Manhattan 65	12
Washington State 76 - Fresno State 66	0.77	Washington State 84 - Fresno State 73	-1
West Georgia 61 - Utah Valley 77	0.851	West Georgia 74 - Utah Valley 77	-13

GAMES OF 11-27

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 69 - Sacramento State 64	0.647	Air Force 61 - Sacramento State 63	7
Alabama 81 - Rutgers 71	0.731	Alabama 95 - Rutgers 90	5
Arizona 80 - Davidson 69	0.766	Arizona 104 - Davidson 71	-22
Arkansas Little Rock 71 - Maryland Eastern Shore 64	0.707	Arkansas Little Rock 78 - Maryland Eastern Shore 59	-12
Auburn 76 - Memphis 75	0.533	Auburn 90 - Memphis 76	-13
Austin Peay 68 - Texas Arlington 71	0.58	Austin Peay 58 - Texas Arlington 68	7
Ball State 66 - Richmond 73	0.676	Ball State 60 - Richmond 73	6
Baylor 91 - New Orleans 57	0.965	Baylor 91 - New Orleans 60	3
Belmont 76 - Tulane 74	0.557	Belmont 89 - Tulane 66	-21
Bethune Cookman 62 - Gardner Webb 73	0.754	Bethune Cookman 64 - Gardner Webb 79	4
Brown 71 - Stony Brook 65	0.659	Brown 77 - Stony Brook 54	-17
California 75 - Mercyhurst 62	0.793	California 81 - Mercyhurst 55	-13
Central Florida 80 - Milwaukee 65	0.853	Central Florida 84 - Milwaukee 76	7
Charlotte 70 - East Tennessee State 65	0.671	Charlotte 55 - East Tennessee State 75	25
Chattanooga 75 - Bryant 69	0.661	Chattanooga 84 - Bryant 76	-2
Cincinnati 84 - Alabama State 56	0.964	Cincinnati 77 - Alabama State 59	10
College of Charleston 72 - Northern Kentucky 65	0.701	College of Charleston 79 - Northern Kentucky 64	-8
Creighton 74 - Texas AM 72	0.574	Creighton 73 - Texas AM 77	6
Dayton 67 - Connecticut 75	0.715	Dayton 85 - Connecticut 67	-26
Fresno State 69 - Cal Baptist 68	0.528	Fresno State 81 - Cal Baptist 86	6
Georgia State 72 - Tulsa 71	0.535	Georgia State 74 - Tulsa 71	-2
Georgia Tech 80 - Charleston Southern 61	0.902	Georgia Tech 91 - Charleston Southern 67	-5
Gonzaga 84 - West Virginia 72	0.764	Gonzaga 78 - West Virginia 86	20
Harvard 70 - Massachusetts 72	0.531	Harvard 54 - Massachusetts 62	6
Houston 80 - Notre Dame 62	0.886	Houston 65 - Notre Dame 54	7
Houston Christian 67 - Northern Arizona 73	0.692	Houston Christian 71 - Northern Arizona 74	-3
Indiana 78 - Louisville 68	0.746	Indiana 61 - Louisville 89	38
Iowa State 71 - Colorado 73	0.562	Iowa State 99 - Colorado 71	-30
Louisiana Tech 76 - Eastern Kentucky 69	0.723	Louisiana Tech 78 - Eastern Kentucky 69	-2
Loyola Marymount 71 - Wyoming 72	0.522	Loyola Marymount 73 - Wyoming 70	-4
Marquette 85 - Stonehill 56	0.961	Marquette 94 - Stonehill 59	-6
Marshall 82 - South Carolina State 62	0.917	Marshall 82 - South Carolina State 53	-9
Maryland 83 - Bucknell 59	0.935	Maryland 91 - Bucknell 67	0
Merrimack 67 - Texas San Antonio 68	0.508	Merrimack 74 - Texas San Antonio 76	1
Missouri 85 - Lindenwood 59	0.941	Missouri 81 - Lindenwood 61	6
Montana 75 - Cal State Northridge 65	0.751	Montana 83 - Cal State Northridge 75	2
Morehead State 72 - NJ Tech 59	0.834	Morehead State 69 - NJ Tech 78	22
Nebraska 81 - South Dakota 66	0.814	Nebraska 96 - South Dakota 79	-2
North Alabama 87 - Unranked 57		North Alabama 100 - Unranked 69
North Carolina 76 - Michigan State 74	0.566	North Carolina 91 - Michigan State 94	5
North Dakota 70 - Southeast Louisiana 69	0.535	North Dakota 60 - Southeast Louisiana 76	17
North Dakota State 72 - West Georgia 63	0.735	North Dakota State 73 - West Georgia 61	-3
Pacific 78 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 61	0.893	Pacific 83 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 71	5
Princeton 92 - Unranked 53		Princeton 99 - Unranked 63
Providence 74 - Oklahoma 73	0.504	Providence 77 - Oklahoma 79	3
Rhode Island 75 - Detroit 67	0.689	Rhode Island 81 - Detroit 75	2
Robert Morris 71 - Canisius 66	0.635	Robert Morris 72 - Canisius 64	-3
Saint Louis 77 - UMass Lowell 68	0.705	Saint Louis 93 - UMass Lowell 90	6
Sam Houston State 71 - Appalachian State 65	0.656	Sam Houston State 63 - Appalachian State 66	9
Samford 71 - Utah Valley 75	0.602	Samford 84 - Utah Valley 76	-12
San Diego 88 - Unranked 57		San Diego 69 - Unranked 64
San Diego State 73 - Oregon 70	0.571	San Diego State 68 - Oregon 78	13
San Jose State 71 - Long Beach State 73	0.541	San Jose State 82 - Long Beach State 66	-18
South Carolina 71 - Virginia Tech 75	0.596	South Carolina 70 - Virginia Tech 60	-14
Syracuse 81 - Cornell 69	0.787	Syracuse 82 - Cornell 72	2
Tennessee 87 - Tennessee Martin 54	0.965	Tennessee 78 - Tennessee Martin 35	-10
Tennessee Tech 69 - Presbyterian 66	0.582	Tennessee Tech 90 - Presbyterian 75	-12
Texas El Paso 66 - UNC Greensboro 69	0.589	Texas El Paso 64 - UNC Greensboro 58	-9
Texas Southern 85 - Unranked 57		Texas Southern 80 - Unranked 72
UMBC 73 - Morgan State 66	0.676	UMBC 92 - Morgan State 69	-16
UNC Wilmington 70 - Colgate 71	0.515	UNC Wilmington 59 - Colgate 72	12
Unranked 52 - Southern Illinois 87		Unranked 54 - Southern Illinois 81
Valparaiso 72 - Northern Illinois 66	0.662	Valparaiso 87 - Northern Illinois 82	1
Vermont 90 - Unranked 50		Vermont 78 - Unranked 55
Villanova 79 - Rider 61	0.889	Villanova 72 - Rider 48	-6
Washington State 76 - Southern Methodist 72	0.616	Washington State 60 - Southern Methodist 77	21
Western Illinois 70 - Incarnate Word 64	0.673	Western Illinois 75 - Incarnate Word 86	17
Winthrop 90 - Unranked 55		Winthrop 99 - Unranked 56
Xavier 75 - Michigan 76	0.535	Xavier 53 - Michigan 78	24
Youngstown State 75 - Western Michigan 64	0.786	Youngstown State 62 - Western Michigan 73	22

GAMES OF 11-28

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arizona 79 - Oklahoma 73	0.636	Arizona 77 - Oklahoma 82	11
Brigham Young 75 - Mississippi 70	0.651	Brigham Young 85 - Mississippi 96	16
Davidson 69 - Providence 74	0.656	Davidson 69 - Providence 58	-16
Gonzaga 83 - Indiana 71	0.768	Gonzaga 89 - Indiana 73	-4
Illinois 77 - Arkansas 76	0.504	Illinois 90 - Arkansas 77	-12
Kennesaw St 67 - UC Irvine 75	0.718	Kennesaw St 59 - UC Irvine 76	9
Kent State 70 - Towson 66	0.616	Kent State 65 - Towson 54	-7
Mississippi State 75 - Nevada Las Vegas 69	0.692	Mississippi State 80 - Nevada Las Vegas 58	-16
NC State 70 - Purdue 78	0.714	NC State 61 - Purdue 71	2
New Mexico 74 - Arizona State 79	0.634	New Mexico 82 - Arizona State 85	-2
North Dakota State 66 - Utah Valley 74	0.682	North Dakota State 83 - Utah Valley 63	-28
North Texas 73 - Northern Iowa 63	0.773	North Texas 68 - Northern Iowa 48	-10
Northwestern 72 - Butler 69	0.561	Northwestern 69 - Butler 71	5
Rhode Island 74 - Texas Arlington 68	0.653	Rhode Island 83 - Texas Arlington 78	1
Saint Bonaventure 67 - Utah State 77	0.733	Saint Bonaventure 67 - Utah State 72	-5
Saint Marys 72 - Southern California 69	0.594	Saint Marys 71 - Southern California 36	-32
Texas Christian 77 - Santa Clara 72	0.637	Texas Christian 52 - Santa Clara 69	22
Wake Forest 71 - Florida 78	0.691	Wake Forest 58 - Florida 75	10
Washington 74 - Colorado State 75	0.526	Washington 73 - Colorado State 67	-7
West Virginia 79 - Louisville 69	0.727	West Virginia 70 - Louisville 79	19
Wichita State 74 - Minnesota 69	0.657	Wichita State 68 - Minnesota 66	3

GAMES OF 11-29

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arizona 79 - West Virginia 75	0.594	Arizona 76 - West Virginia 83	11
Arizona State 68 - Saint Marys 74	0.649	Arizona State 68 - Saint Marys 64	-10
Belmont 75 - Gardner Webb 66	0.76	Belmont 83 - Gardner Webb 74	0
Binghamton 65 - Niagara 70	0.631	Binghamton 62 - Niagara 65	-2
Boston College 77 - Dartmouth 63	0.819	Boston College 83 - Dartmouth 88	19
Bowling Green 68 - Weber State 74	0.645	Bowling Green 70 - Weber State 73	-3
Bradley 93 - Unranked 50		Bradley 107 - Unranked 41
Brigham Young 75 - NC State 73	0.576	Brigham Young 72 - NC State 61	-9
Clemson 82 - Florida AM 55	0.948	Clemson 86 - Florida AM 58	-1
Cleveland State 67 - Morehead State 65	0.534	Cleveland State 69 - Morehead State 71	4
Colgate 70 - Appalachian State 67	0.601	Colgate 50 - Appalachian State 72	25
Colorado State 71 - Texas Christian 76	0.622	Colorado State 76 - Texas Christian 72	-9
Davidson 66 - Gonzaga 85	0.886	Davidson 65 - Gonzaga 90	6
DePaul 78 - Valparaiso 68	0.766	DePaul 89 - Valparaiso 70	-9
Duke 82 - Seattle 62	0.881	Duke 70 - Seattle 48	-2
East Carolina 76 - North Carolina AT 64	0.804	East Carolina 93 - North Carolina AT 69	-12
Eastern Illinois 65 - Northern Illinois 68	0.561	Eastern Illinois 72 - Northern Illinois 59	-16
Florida 76 - Wichita State 71	0.639	Florida 88 - Wichita State 51	-32
George Washington 78 - Virginia Military Institute 68	0.753	George Washington 77 - Virginia Military Institute 64	-3
Indiana State 73 - Arkansas State 69	0.614	Indiana State 81 - Arkansas State 86	9
James Madison 73 - George Mason 72	0.509	James Madison 61 - George Mason 66	6
Kentucky 86 - Georgia State 62	0.935	Kentucky 105 - Georgia State 76	-5
Lafayette 71 - LIU Brooklyn 66	0.657	Lafayette 75 - LIU Brooklyn 56	-14
Liberty 92 - Unranked 47		Liberty 93 - Unranked 36
Louisiana State 81 - Northwestern State 63	0.904	Louisiana State 77 - Northwestern State 53	-6
Maine 64 - Elon 69	0.617	Maine 69 - Elon 56	-18
Manhattan 70 - Le Moyne 67	0.573	Manhattan 77 - Le Moyne 81	7
Mississippi 67 - Purdue 78	0.779	Mississippi 78 - Purdue 80	-9
Mississippi State 73 - Butler 67	0.654	Mississippi State 77 - Butler 87	16
Nevada Las Vegas 71 - Northwestern 74	0.587	Nevada Las Vegas 61 - Northwestern 66	2
New Mexico 73 - Southern California 80	0.7	New Mexico 83 - Southern California 73	-17
New Mexico State 74 - Pepperdine 70	0.605	New Mexico State 70 - Pepperdine 82	16
North Texas 68 - Utah State 71	0.59	North Texas 57 - Utah State 61	1
Northern Iowa 68 - Saint Bonaventure 72	0.593	Northern Iowa 56 - Saint Bonaventure 68	8
Ohio State 76 - Pittsburgh 71	0.641	Ohio State 90 - Pittsburgh 91	6
Oklahoma 77 - Louisville 69	0.697	Oklahoma 69 - Louisville 64	3
Pennsylvania 69 - Navy 68	0.548	Pennsylvania 78 - Navy 86	9
Providence 72 - Indiana 74	0.553	Providence 73 - Indiana 89	14
Rice 70 - Hofstra 75	0.634	Rice 63 - Hofstra 68	0
Samford 77 - West Georgia 65	0.811	Samford 86 - West Georgia 65	-9
SIU Edwardsville 69 - North Florida 72	0.572	SIU Edwardsville 73 - North Florida 78	2
South Alabama 75 - Alcorn State 61	0.85	South Alabama 74 - Alcorn State 65	5
Tarleton State 65 - Iona 73	0.686	Tarleton State 51 - Iona 62	3
Texas 90 - Delaware State 52	0.994	Texas 90 - Delaware State 68	16
Texas Tech 82 - Northern Colorado 65	0.872	Texas Tech 89 - Northern Colorado 64	-8
Towson 71 - Kennesaw St 68	0.588	Towson 63 - Kennesaw St 67	7
Troy 69 - Merrimack 61	0.746	Troy 68 - Merrimack 72	12
UC Irvine 70 - Kent State 69	0.53	UC Irvine 51 - Kent State 39	-11
UC Santa Barbara 83 - Mississippi Valley State 54	0.957	UC Santa Barbara 81 - Mississippi Valley State 48	-4
UL Monroe 64 - Stephen F Austin 73	0.752	UL Monroe 60 - Stephen F Austin 68	-1
UNC Wilmington 68 - Sam Houston State 71	0.575	UNC Wilmington 69 - Sam Houston State 60	-12
Vanderbilt 83 - Tennessee Tech 62	0.912	Vanderbilt 87 - Tennessee Tech 56	-10
Virginia 79 - Holy Cross 54	0.944	Virginia 67 - Holy Cross 41	-1
Virginia Commonwealth 95 - Unranked 47		Virginia Commonwealth 103 - Unranked 58
Wake Forest 74 - Minnesota 71	0.579	Wake Forest 57 - Minnesota 51	-3
Washington 74 - Santa Clara 75	0.508	Washington 76 - Santa Clara 69	-8

GAMES OF 11-30

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama AM 62 - Lipscomb 73	0.774	Alabama AM 44 - Lipscomb 82	27
Arkansas State 71 - Rice 73	0.548	Arkansas State 67 - Rice 75	6
Binghamton 70 - LIU Brooklyn 69	0.53	Binghamton 75 - LIU Brooklyn 70	-4
Bucknell 66 - Siena 71	0.65	Bucknell 58 - Siena 71	8
Coastal Carolina 73 - South Carolina Upstate 68	0.637	Coastal Carolina 73 - South Carolina Upstate 51	-17
Colgate 69 - Sam Houston State 71	0.561	Colgate 78 - Sam Houston State 82	2
Connecticut 86 - Maryland Eastern Shore 52	0.986	Connecticut 99 - Maryland Eastern Shore 45	-20
Creighton 79 - Notre Dame 69	0.756	Creighton 80 - Notre Dame 76	6
Drake 79 - Georgia Southern 61	0.89	Drake 61 - Georgia Southern 47	4
East Tennessee State 72 - Austin Peay 65	0.702	East Tennessee State 79 - Austin Peay 57	-15
East Texas AM 67 - IPFW 72	0.64	East Texas AM 57 - IPFW 77	15
Eastern Michigan 68 - Detroit 72	0.598	Eastern Michigan 89 - Detroit 98	5
Florida Atlantic 79 - Florida Gulf Coast 63	0.85	Florida Atlantic 78 - Florida Gulf Coast 80	18
Georgetown 78 - Albany 65	0.827	Georgetown 100 - Albany 68	-19
Georgia 75 - Jacksonville 64	0.768	Georgia 102 - Jacksonville 56	-35
Georgia Tech 82 - Central Arkansas 64	0.893	Georgia Tech 87 - Central Arkansas 68	-1
Green Bay 66 - Campbell 71	0.629	Green Bay 66 - Campbell 72	1
High Point 86 - Unranked 57		High Point 81 - Unranked 50
Hofstra 75 - Tarleton State 64	0.742	Hofstra 59 - Tarleton State 61	13
Howard 69 - Mt St Marys 67	0.557	Howard 75 - Mt St Marys 79	6
Idaho 63 - UC Riverside 75	0.798	Idaho 80 - UC Riverside 68	-24
Iona 73 - Indiana State 72	0.502	Iona 80 - Indiana State 83	4
IUPUI 80 - Unranked 62		IUPUI 106 - Unranked 49
Kansas 81 - Furman 66	0.86	Kansas 86 - Furman 51	-20
Kennesaw St 66 - Kent State 73	0.702	Kennesaw St 60 - Kent State 67	0
La Salle 70 - Temple 74	0.599	La Salle 83 - Temple 75	-12
Lafayette 68 - Niagara 67	0.501	Lafayette 59 - Niagara 47	-11
Lamar 81 - Unranked 58		Lamar 88 - Unranked 54
Lehigh 66 - Marist 68	0.535	Lehigh 74 - Marist 69	-7
Louisiana Tech 78 - Southern 60	0.898	Louisiana Tech 70 - Southern 73	21
Marquette 86 - Western Carolina 61	0.94	Marquette 94 - Western Carolina 62	-7
Miami 85 - Charleston Southern 60	0.949	Miami 79 - Charleston Southern 83	29
Montana State 75 - Cal State Northridge 64	0.81	Montana State 69 - Cal State Northridge 72	14
Navy 68 - Elon 67	0.515	Navy 63 - Elon 69	7
New Mexico State 75 - Bowling Green 67	0.712	New Mexico State 60 - Bowling Green 61	9
North Carolina Central 84 - Unranked 55		North Carolina Central 131 - Unranked 51
Northern Kentucky 70 - Bellarmine 62	0.732	Northern Kentucky 86 - Bellarmine 70	-8
Ohio 74 - Robert Morris 64	0.769	Ohio 84 - Robert Morris 68	-6
Omaha 66 - Abilene Christian 75	0.735	Omaha 55 - Abilene Christian 71	7
Oregon 75 - Alabama 80	0.635	Oregon 83 - Alabama 81	-7
Oregon State 75 - UC Davis 68	0.702	Oregon State 90 - UC Davis 57	-26
Pacific 71 - Cal State Fullerton 70	0.516	Pacific 64 - Cal State Fullerton 55	-8
Pennsylvania 71 - Maine 64	0.672	Pennsylvania 77 - Maine 64	-6
Pepperdine 72 - Weber State 73	0.526	Pepperdine 53 - Weber State 68	14
Portland State 74 - Utah Tech 71	0.599	Portland State 71 - Utah Tech 68	0
Rider 70 - Delaware 69	0.531	Rider 66 - Delaware 72	7
Sacramento State 68 - Mercyhurst 63	0.652	Sacramento State 60 - Mercyhurst 66	11
Saint Johns 82 - Harvard 65	0.89	Saint Johns 77 - Harvard 64	4
San Diego State 66 - Houston 72	0.674	San Diego State 73 - Houston 70	-9
SE Missouri State 68 - UMKC 66	0.565	SE Missouri State 80 - UMKC 59	-19
Seton Hall 80 - Monmouth 60	0.897	Seton Hall 51 - Monmouth 63	32
Southern Miss 72 - Milwaukee 71	0.539	Southern Miss 66 - Milwaukee 65	0
Southern Utah 76 - Cal State Bakersfield 64	0.805	Southern Utah 74 - Cal State Bakersfield 64	2
Stanford 81 - Cal Poly 61	0.914	Stanford 90 - Cal Poly 97	27
Texas AM 73 - Rutgers 70	0.567	Texas AM 81 - Rutgers 77	-1
Texas AM CC 73 - Prairie View 65	0.742	Texas AM CC 109 - Prairie View 74	-27
Texas San Antonio 78 - Houston Christian 67	0.787	Texas San Antonio 78 - Houston Christian 71	4
Toledo 80 - Oakland 66	0.798	Toledo 52 - Oakland 85	47
Towson 66 - UC Irvine 71	0.638	Towson 60 - UC Irvine 67	2
UC San Diego 88 - Unranked 56		UC San Diego 109 - Unranked 33
UL Lafayette 74 - Nicholls State 67	0.7	UL Lafayette 75 - Nicholls State 76	8
UNC Wilmington 69 - Appalachian State 67	0.587	UNC Wilmington 76 - Appalachian State 61	-13
Utah 78 - Eastern Washington 70	0.746	Utah 88 - Eastern Washington 80	0
Vermont 72 - Northeastern 62	0.759	Vermont 68 - Northeastern 64	6
Western Kentucky 75 - Marshall 71	0.617	Western Kentucky 90 - Marshall 82	-4
Wisconsin 88 - Chicago State 54	0.984	Wisconsin 74 - Chicago State 53	13
Wright State 74 - Air Force 66	0.689	Wright State 70 - Air Force 57	-5
Youngstown State 89 - Unranked 56		Youngstown State 128 - Unranked 60

GAMES OF 12-1

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 76 - Middle Tennessee 68	0.725	Alabama Birmingham 69 - Middle Tennessee 76	15
American 84 - Unranked 55		American 97 - Unranked 52
Arkansas State 67 - Hofstra 74	0.693	Arkansas State 66 - Hofstra 68	-5
Boston 71 - Sacred Heart 65	0.681	Boston 65 - Sacred Heart 73	14
Central Connecticut State 64 - UMass Lowell 73	0.739	Central Connecticut State 69 - UMass Lowell 67	-11
Central Florida 77 - Cal Baptist 66	0.788	Central Florida 74 - Cal Baptist 59	-4
Central Michigan 85 - Unranked 57		Central Michigan 115 - Unranked 69
Fairfield 72 - Fairleigh Dickinson 67	0.634	Fairfield 78 - Fairleigh Dickinson 74	1
Fordham 71 - New Hampshire 61	0.763	Fordham 83 - New Hampshire 61	-12
Kansas State 86 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 56	0.972	Kansas State 120 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 73	-17
Lafayette 69 - Binghamton 65	0.627	Lafayette 81 - Binghamton 82	5
Longwood 87 - Unranked 52		Longwood 108 - Unranked 55
Maine 63 - Navy 68	0.637	Maine 71 - Navy 66	-10
Maryland 83 - Alcorn State 57	0.946	Maryland 96 - Alcorn State 58	-12
Massachusetts 79 - NJ Tech 62	0.874	Massachusetts 80 - NJ Tech 68	5
Minnesota 78 - Bethune Cookman 60	0.875	Minnesota 79 - Bethune Cookman 62	1
Morgan State 83 - Unranked 58		Morgan State 123 - Unranked 70
Nebraska 81 - North Florida 69	0.782	Nebraska 103 - North Florida 72	-19
Niagara 72 - LIU Brooklyn 66	0.663	Niagara 60 - LIU Brooklyn 52	-2
Oral Roberts 71 - Missouri State 73	0.55	Oral Roberts 67 - Missouri State 72	3
Penn State 84 - Buffalo 65	0.884	Penn State 87 - Buffalo 64	-4
Pennsylvania 71 - Elon 68	0.559	Pennsylvania 53 - Elon 68	18
Portland 76 - Denver 69	0.666	Portland 101 - Denver 90	-4
Rice 71 - Iona 74	0.567	Rice 70 - Iona 66	-7
Saint Francis Penn 65 - Radford 71	0.693	Saint Francis Penn 70 - Radford 79	3
San Francisco 81 - Mercyhurst 58	0.919	San Francisco 87 - Mercyhurst 59	-5
Stonehill 66 - Quinnipiac 70	0.625	Stonehill 88 - Quinnipiac 74	-18
Stony Brook 65 - Norfolk State 69	0.613	Stony Brook 66 - Norfolk State 77	7
Tarleton State 67 - Indiana State 74	0.679	Tarleton State 71 - Indiana State 87	9
Tennessee State 68 - UNC Asheville 73	0.65	Tennessee State 74 - UNC Asheville 92	13
Texas Southern 65 - Texas State 71	0.701	Texas Southern 59 - Texas State 72	7
Troy 72 - Eastern Kentucky 70	0.553	Troy 84 - Eastern Kentucky 74	-8
Wofford 73 - North Alabama 67	0.661	Wofford 74 - North Alabama 54	-14
Xavier 88 - South Carolina State 58	0.97	Xavier 71 - South Carolina State 68	27

Number of DI Games: 333
Number Correct: 223 = 66.9%
Expected Number Correct: 231.202 = 69.4%
Average Error: 10.06
Average Signed Error: -0.06

GAMES OF 12-2

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Colorado 82 - Pacific 62	0.895	Colorado 75 - Pacific 66	11
Coppin State 62 - Loyola MD 73	0.792	Coppin State 57 - Loyola MD 68	0
Drexel 75 - Bryant 69	0.699	Drexel 73 - Bryant 78	11
Georgetown 82 - UMBC 65	0.851	Georgetown 86 - UMBC 62	-7
Jacksonville State 91 - Unranked 54		Jacksonville State 89 - Unranked 59
Miami OH 74 - Air Force 65	0.736	Miami OH 73 - Air Force 60	-4
Mississippi Valley State 77 - Unranked 61		Mississippi Valley State 91 - Unranked 71
Nevada 78 - Washington State 69	0.766	Nevada 57 - Washington State 68	20
Old Dominion 69 - William and Mary 77	0.715	Old Dominion 88 - William and Mary 83	-13
Rhode Island 79 - Yale 72	0.646	Rhode Island 84 - Yale 78	1
Saint Louis 83 - Jackson State 66	0.876	Saint Louis 74 - Jackson State 66	9
Saint Thomas 78 - Chicago State 61	0.86	Saint Thomas 98 - Chicago State 76	-5
South Dakota State 97 - Unranked 52		South Dakota State 78 - Unranked 62
Southern Indiana 88 - Unranked 57		Southern Indiana 104 - Unranked 46
Tulane 74 - Southeast Louisiana 70	0.629	Tulane 67 - Southeast Louisiana 71	8
UL Monroe 67 - Texas Arlington 76	0.796	UL Monroe 70 - Texas Arlington 84	5

GAMES OF 12-3

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 76 - Northern Kentucky 68	0.767	Akron 86 - Northern Kentucky 73	-5
Appalachian State 90 - Unranked 51		Appalachian State 85 - Unranked 43
Arizona State 87 - San Diego 61	0.97	Arizona State 90 - San Diego 53	-11
Boise State 86 - Utah Tech 59	0.939	Boise State 87 - Utah Tech 64	4
Boston College 71 - South Carolina 73	0.537	Boston College 51 - South Carolina 73	20
Buffalo 87 - Unranked 60		Buffalo 100 - Unranked 65
Butler 85 - Eastern Illinois 56	0.938	Butler 73 - Eastern Illinois 58	14
Charleston Southern 70 - Tennessee Martin 69	0.512	Charleston Southern 83 - Tennessee Martin 68	-14
Chattanooga 71 - Lipscomb 72	0.526	Chattanooga 62 - Lipscomb 80	17
Clemson 75 - Kentucky 80	0.634	Clemson 70 - Kentucky 66	-9
College of Charleston 97 - Unranked 53		College of Charleston 94 - Unranked 71
Dayton 86 - Western Michigan 60	0.947	Dayton 77 - Western Michigan 69	18
Delaware 80 - Delaware State 63	0.905	Delaware 93 - Delaware State 80	4
Duquesne 67 - Saint Peters 66	0.526	Duquesne 59 - Saint Peters 62	4
East Carolina 73 - UNC Wilmington 70	0.573	East Carolina 53 - UNC Wilmington 67	17
Florida AM 69 - Presbyterian 74	0.631	Florida AM 66 - Presbyterian 63	-8
George Mason 77 - UNC Asheville 67	0.731	George Mason 74 - UNC Asheville 52	-12
Georgia 80 - Notre Dame 68	0.766	Georgia 69 - Notre Dame 48	-9
Grambling State 90 - Unranked 55		Grambling State 82 - Unranked 56
Grand Canyon 77 - Hawaii 72	0.689	Grand Canyon 78 - Hawaii 72	-1
Hampton 73 - North Carolina AT 68	0.673	Hampton 82 - North Carolina AT 71	-6
Indiana 83 - Sam Houston State 69	0.843	Indiana 97 - Sam Houston State 71	-12
Iowa 77 - Northwestern 73	0.642	Iowa 80 - Northwestern 79	3
James Madison 73 - East Tennessee State 72	0.529	James Madison 71 - East Tennessee State 61	-9
Le Moyne 72 - Army 70	0.548	Le Moyne 100 - Army 103	5
Louisiana State 76 - Florida State 75	0.541	Louisiana State 85 - Florida State 75	-9
Louisville 77 - Mississippi 74	0.572	Louisville 63 - Mississippi 86	26
Loyola Ill 82 - Eastern Michigan 60	0.91	Loyola Ill 76 - Eastern Michigan 54	0
Maine 86 - Unranked 54		Maine 103 - Unranked 51
Mcneese State 74 - Santa Clara 71	0.579	Mcneese State 67 - Santa Clara 74	10
Miami 70 - Arkansas 82	0.759	Miami 73 - Arkansas 76	-9
Missouri 79 - California 73	0.67	Missouri 98 - California 93	1
Murray State 78 - Evansville 65	0.775	Murray State 63 - Evansville 61	11
New Hampshire 66 - Dartmouth 70	0.595	New Hampshire 65 - Dartmouth 69	0
Northeastern 70 - La Salle 73	0.597	Northeastern 82 - La Salle 68	-17
Northern Illinois 83 - Unranked 60		Northern Illinois 89 - Unranked 70
Oklahoma 82 - Georgia Tech 68	0.881	Oklahoma 76 - Georgia Tech 61	-1
Providence 70 - Brigham Young 77	0.666	Providence 83 - Brigham Young 64	-26
Queens 71 - Winthrop 74	0.611	Queens 78 - Winthrop 86	5
Saint Josephs 75 - Princeton 71	0.606	Saint Josephs 69 - Princeton 77	12
Saint Marys 87 - Texas San Antonio 58	0.963	Saint Marys 82 - Texas San Antonio 74	21
South Florida 81 - Stetson 65	0.873	South Florida 74 - Stetson 72	14
Southern Illinois 67 - Bradley 75	0.728	Southern Illinois 60 - Bradley 83	15
Southern Methodist 85 - Alabama State 64	0.931	Southern Methodist 101 - Alabama State 72	-8
Southern Utah 93 - Unranked 54		Southern Utah 90 - Unranked 55
Stanford 79 - Utah Valley 67	0.767	Stanford 77 - Utah Valley 63	-2
Tarleton State 85 - Unranked 57		Tarleton State 90 - Unranked 50
Tennessee 87 - Syracuse 62	0.95	Tennessee 96 - Syracuse 70	-1
Texas AM 78 - Wake Forest 66	0.785	Texas AM 57 - Wake Forest 44	-1
The Citadel 84 - Unranked 57		The Citadel 94 - Unranked 57
UCLA 77 - Washington 65	0.798	UCLA 69 - Washington 58	1
UNC Greensboro 71 - High Point 69	0.551	UNC Greensboro 72 - High Point 68	-2
Vermont 70 - Brown 65	0.652	Vermont 53 - Brown 60	12
Villanova 67 - Cincinnati 75	0.698	Villanova 68 - Cincinnati 60	-16
Virginia Military Institute 86 - Unranked 60		Virginia Military Institute 113 - Unranked 51
Wisconsin 77 - Michigan 73	0.604	Wisconsin 64 - Michigan 67	7

GAMES OF 12-4

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Albany 69 - Columbia 77	0.745	Albany 88 - Columbia 73	-23
American 66 - George Washington 74	0.741	American 81 - George Washington 71	-18
Arkansas Little Rock 74 - Central Arkansas 64	0.74	Arkansas Little Rock 63 - Central Arkansas 57	4
Belmont 77 - Illinois State 70	0.72	Belmont 99 - Illinois State 97	5
Bucknell 63 - Saint Bonaventure 77	0.855	Bucknell 47 - Saint Bonaventure 64	3
Campbell 69 - Coastal Carolina 66	0.588	Campbell 57 - Coastal Carolina 58	4
Charlotte 90 - Unranked 53		Charlotte 83 - Unranked 61
Colgate 70 - Cornell 73	0.562	Colgate 57 - Cornell 84	24
Colorado State 74 - Loyola Marymount 68	0.668	Colorado State 83 - Loyola Marymount 54	-23
Connecticut 77 - Baylor 79	0.533	Connecticut 76 - Baylor 72	-6
Creighton 69 - Kansas 82	0.849	Creighton 76 - Kansas 63	-26
Denver 68 - Sacramento State 71	0.57	Denver 80 - Sacramento State 59	-24
Duke 73 - Auburn 77	0.628	Duke 84 - Auburn 78	-10
Eastern Washington 77 - North Dakota 68	0.76	Eastern Washington 87 - North Dakota 81	3
Fairfield 65 - Rider 66	0.516	Fairfield 78 - Rider 75	-4
Florida 79 - Virginia 62	0.873	Florida 87 - Virginia 69	-1
Florida Gulf Coast 66 - Furman 72	0.688	Florida Gulf Coast 73 - Furman 76	-3
Florida International 70 - Florida Atlantic 83	0.845	Florida International 77 - Florida Atlantic 88	-2
Fordham 80 - Fairleigh Dickinson 67	0.857	Fordham 84 - Fairleigh Dickinson 75	4
Fresno State 61 - San Diego State 83	0.946	Fresno State 62 - San Diego State 84	0
Holy Cross 71 - Harvard 70	0.501	Holy Cross 68 - Harvard 67	0
Illinois Chicago 73 - Northern Iowa 74	0.504	Illinois Chicago 56 - Northern Iowa 83	26
Iowa State 76 - Marquette 77	0.537	Iowa State 81 - Marquette 70	-12
IUPUI 70 - Green Bay 77	0.681	IUPUI 84 - Green Bay 75	-16
Lehigh 73 - Monmouth 72	0.538	Lehigh 90 - Monmouth 63	-26
Lindenwood 82 - Unranked 60		Lindenwood 102 - Unranked 45
LIU Brooklyn 84 - Unranked 60		LIU Brooklyn 103 - Unranked 53
Marshall 75 - Morehead State 66	0.723	Marshall 80 - Morehead State 77	6
Maryland 74 - Ohio State 75	0.521	Maryland 83 - Ohio State 59	-25
Massachusetts 73 - Central Connecticut State 67	0.669	Massachusetts 69 - Central Connecticut State 73	10
Memphis 83 - Louisiana Tech 67	0.923	Memphis 81 - Louisiana Tech 71	6
Mercer 75 - West Georgia 64	0.854	Mercer 86 - West Georgia 72	-3
Middle Tennessee 94 - Unranked 52		Middle Tennessee 103 - Unranked 55
Minnesota 66 - Michigan State 75	0.804	Minnesota 72 - Michigan State 90	9
Mississippi State 74 - Pittsburgh 77	0.58	Mississippi State 90 - Pittsburgh 57	-36
Montana 73 - South Dakota State 76	0.574	Montana 71 - South Dakota State 67	-7
Morgan State 83 - Unranked 63		Morgan State 124 - Unranked 57
NC State 72 - Texas 74	0.558	NC State 59 - Texas 63	2
New Mexico 85 - San Jose State 66	0.916	New Mexico 83 - San Jose State 77	13
New Mexico State 68 - Abilene Christian 70	0.541	New Mexico State 70 - Abilene Christian 78	6
North Alabama 75 - Tennessee Tech 71	0.587	North Alabama 82 - Tennessee Tech 59	-19
North Carolina 83 - Alabama 86	0.567	North Carolina 79 - Alabama 94	12
Northern Colorado 77 - Saint Thomas 71	0.672	Northern Colorado 75 - Saint Thomas 87	18
Omaha 66 - Montana State 76	0.751	Omaha 65 - Montana State 76	1
Oral Roberts 71 - Northern Arizona 70	0.537	Oral Roberts 83 - Northern Arizona 76	-6
Pepperdine 90 - Unranked 59		Pepperdine 119 - Unranked 57
Robert Morris 72 - Youngstown State 66	0.668	Robert Morris 58 - Youngstown State 72	20
Saint Francis Penn 87 - Unranked 58		Saint Francis Penn 107 - Unranked 55
Seattle 79 - Portland State 69	0.748	Seattle 91 - Portland State 74	-7
Seton Hall 78 - NJ Tech 54	0.93	Seton Hall 67 - NJ Tech 56	13
South Carolina Upstate 88 - Unranked 64		South Carolina Upstate 91 - Unranked 60
South Dakota 74 - Idaho State 75	0.509	South Dakota 94 - Idaho State 80	-15
Southern California 69 - Oregon 82	0.809	Southern California 60 - Oregon 68	-5
Texas State 91 - Unranked 51		Texas State 97 - Unranked 49
Texas Tech 79 - DePaul 69	0.723	Texas Tech 76 - DePaul 62	-4
Tulsa 69 - Oklahoma State 80	0.804	Tulsa 55 - Oklahoma State 76	10
UMKC 68 - Idaho 69	0.554	UMKC 77 - Idaho 82	4
Utah State 85 - Wyoming 61	0.937	Utah State 70 - Wyoming 67	21
Virginia Commonwealth 79 - Georgia Southern 62	0.919	Virginia Commonwealth 89 - Georgia Southern 54	-18
Virginia Tech 69 - Vanderbilt 78	0.74	Virginia Tech 64 - Vanderbilt 80	7
Wagner 70 - Coppin State 57	0.831	Wagner 65 - Coppin State 52	0
Weber State 75 - North Dakota State 70	0.637	Weber State 73 - North Dakota State 77	9
Western Carolina 77 - Bellarmine 70	0.678	Western Carolina 86 - Bellarmine 74	-5
Western Illinois 84 - Unranked 58		Western Illinois 97 - Unranked 64
Wichita State 85 - Alcorn State 58	0.948	Wichita State 78 - Alcorn State 54	3
William and Mary 91 - Unranked 59		William and Mary 109 - Unranked 55
Wofford 69 - Gardner Webb 72	0.577	Wofford 88 - Gardner Webb 64	-27

GAMES OF 12-5

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arkansas State 81 - Jackson State 63	0.906	Arkansas State 66 - Jackson State 64	16
Cal State Fullerton 73 - Long Beach State 65	0.736	Cal State Fullerton 56 - Long Beach State 73	25
Cal State Northridge 77 - UC Riverside 70	0.648	Cal State Northridge 64 - UC Riverside 68	11
Detroit 68 - IPFW 76	0.72	Detroit 79 - IPFW 78	-9
Houston Christian 67 - East Texas AM 70	0.634	Houston Christian 83 - East Texas AM 79	-7
Incarnate Word 69 - Northwestern State 70	0.563	Incarnate Word 70 - Northwestern State 72	1
Jacksonville 91 - Unranked 56		Jacksonville 88 - Unranked 67
Lipscomb 77 - SE Missouri State 64	0.828	Lipscomb 78 - SE Missouri State 60	-5
Longwood 81 - Maryland Eastern Shore 58	0.929	Longwood 80 - Maryland Eastern Shore 76	19
Milwaukee 73 - Cleveland State 67	0.677	Milwaukee 79 - Cleveland State 67	-6
Nicholls State 71 - Southeast Louisiana 69	0.584	Nicholls State 67 - Southeast Louisiana 64	-1
North Carolina Central 65 - Radford 77	0.829	North Carolina Central 67 - Radford 70	-9
North Florida 96 - Unranked 57		North Florida 115 - Unranked 83
Oakland 71 - Wright State 70	0.518	Oakland 66 - Wright State 64	-1
Penn State 72 - Purdue 77	0.648	Penn State 81 - Purdue 70	-16
San Francisco 82 - Saint Louis 69	0.857	San Francisco 78 - Saint Louis 61	-4
South Carolina State 68 - Samford 82	0.877	South Carolina State 81 - Samford 88	-7
Southern Miss 73 - Alabama State 72	0.504	Southern Miss 81 - Alabama State 64	-16
Texas AM CC 81 - Lamar 67	0.897	Texas AM CC 61 - Lamar 65	18
Texas Christian 74 - Xavier 73	0.502	Texas Christian 76 - Xavier 72	-3
UC Davis 75 - Cal Poly 77	0.57	UC Davis 77 - Cal Poly 66	-13
UC Irvine 82 - Cal State Bakersfield 60	0.941	UC Irvine 82 - Cal State Bakersfield 66	6
UC Santa Barbara 73 - UC San Diego 72	0.527	UC Santa Barbara 76 - UC San Diego 84	9
Unranked 56 - Central Michigan 89		Unranked 69 - Central Michigan 93
UT Rio Grande Valley 75 - Stephen F Austin 69	0.675	UT Rio Grande Valley 68 - Stephen F Austin 65	3
Valparaiso 61 - Drake 80	0.913	Valparaiso 60 - Drake 66	-13

GAMES OF 12-6

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 87 - Prairie View 67	0.947	Alabama Birmingham 95 - Prairie View 66	-9
Bryant 74 - Brown 71	0.58	Bryant 75 - Brown 76	4
Canisius 63 - Merrimack 72	0.726	Canisius 52 - Merrimack 60	-1
Davidson 83 - Charleston Southern 63	0.889	Davidson 73 - Charleston Southern 72	19
Duquesne 69 - Delaware 71	0.57	Duquesne 80 - Delaware 66	-16
Eastern Illinois 85 - Unranked 58		Eastern Illinois 87 - Unranked 57
Eastern Kentucky 92 - Unranked 55		Eastern Kentucky 98 - Unranked 62
Florida AM 87 - Unranked 61		Florida AM 130 - Unranked 58
Florida International 88 - Unranked 58		Florida International 70 - Unranked 63
Georgia State 72 - Kennesaw St 76	0.651	Georgia State 77 - Kennesaw St 81	0
High Point 63 - North Texas 74	0.826	High Point 76 - North Texas 71	-16
Hofstra 93 - Unranked 52		Hofstra 114 - Unranked 46
Indiana 83 - Miami OH 66	0.873	Indiana 76 - Miami OH 57	-2
Kent State 79 - Portland 62	0.876	Kent State 76 - Portland 57	-2
Marist 68 - Mt St Marys 69	0.505	Marist 53 - Mt St Marys 50	-4
Niagara 68 - Siena 67	0.502	Niagara 69 - Siena 68	0
Northwestern 70 - Illinois 78	0.702	Northwestern 70 - Illinois 66	-12
Rider 71 - Quinnipiac 66	0.652	Rider 67 - Quinnipiac 72	10
Sacred Heart 69 - Iona 70	0.507	Sacred Heart 83 - Iona 59	-25
Saint Peters 74 - Manhattan 65	0.782	Saint Peters 67 - Manhattan 70	12
West Virginia 81 - Georgetown 68	0.77	West Virginia 73 - Georgetown 60	0
Western Illinois 84 - Unranked 58		Western Illinois 96 - Unranked 49

GAMES OF 12-7

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 70 - Stony Brook 66	0.588	Air Force 69 - Stony Brook 61	-4
Akron 96 - Unranked 55		Akron 101 - Unranked 48
Arizona 85 - Southern Utah 69	0.824	Arizona 102 - Southern Utah 66	-20
Arkansas 88 - Texas San Antonio 62	0.939	Arkansas 75 - Texas San Antonio 60	11
Arkansas Pine Bluff 70 - Central Arkansas 77	0.704	Arkansas Pine Bluff 84 - Central Arkansas 78	-13
Bellarmine 87 - Unranked 61		Bellarmine 94 - Unranked 66
Belmont 75 - Middle Tennessee 73	0.557	Belmont 82 - Middle Tennessee 79	-1
Boise State 77 - Washington State 71	0.645	Boise State 69 - Washington State 74	11
Boston 70 - Albany 67	0.598	Boston 80 - Albany 74	-3
Bowling Green 79 - Morgan State 67	0.818	Bowling Green 102 - Morgan State 81	-9
Cal Poly 78 - Cal State Northridge 76	0.56	Cal Poly 91 - Cal State Northridge 102	13
California 76 - Stanford 75	0.53	California 81 - Stanford 89	9
Colorado 79 - Colorado State 69	0.757	Colorado 72 - Colorado State 55	-7
Columbia 94 - Unranked 55		Columbia 98 - Unranked 49
Creighton 78 - Nevada Las Vegas 71	0.733	Creighton 83 - Nevada Las Vegas 65	-11
Dayton 87 - Lehigh 60	0.949	Dayton 86 - Lehigh 62	3
Delaware State 66 - Loyola MD 71	0.667	Delaware State 80 - Loyola MD 77	-8
Detroit 67 - Wright State 75	0.709	Detroit 72 - Wright State 80	0
Elon 72 - Wofford 67	0.624	Elon 79 - Wofford 56	-18
Evansville 68 - Western Kentucky 78	0.769	Evansville 65 - Western Kentucky 79	4
Fairleigh Dickinson 87 - Unranked 63		Fairleigh Dickinson 98 - Unranked 54
Furman 75 - Princeton 68	0.727	Furman 69 - Princeton 63	1
Gardner Webb 79 - North Carolina Central 65	0.892	Gardner Webb 77 - North Carolina Central 78	15
George Mason 79 - Tulane 67	0.789	George Mason 76 - Tulane 64	0
Georgia Southern 74 - North Florida 76	0.583	Georgia Southern 93 - North Florida 91	-4
Gonzaga 85 - Kentucky 80	0.624	Gonzaga 89 - Kentucky 90	6
Grand Canyon 99 - Unranked 52		Grand Canyon 100 - Unranked 52
Green Bay 71 - Cleveland State 72	0.502	Green Bay 61 - Cleveland State 83	21
Holy Cross 66 - Central Connecticut State 69	0.561	Holy Cross 56 - Central Connecticut State 69	10
Houston 77 - Butler 68	0.709	Houston 79 - Butler 51	-19
Houston Christian 65 - Northwestern State 73	0.762	Houston Christian 57 - Northwestern State 64	-1
Idaho State 77 - Oral Roberts 68	0.797	Idaho State 71 - Oral Roberts 55	-7
Illinois State 74 - Pacific 67	0.708	Illinois State 72 - Pacific 61	-4
Incarnate Word 71 - East Texas AM 68	0.608	Incarnate Word 65 - East Texas AM 53	-9
IUPUI 64 - Northern Kentucky 76	0.869	IUPUI 64 - Northern Kentucky 66	-10
James Madison 76 - Utah Valley 68	0.673	James Madison 78 - Utah Valley 61	-9
Le Moyne 73 - Binghamton 67	0.676	Le Moyne 62 - Binghamton 72	16
Liberty 84 - Mississippi Valley State 47	0.985	Liberty 89 - Mississippi Valley State 52	0
Long Beach State 64 - Hawaii 79	0.886	Long Beach State 76 - Hawaii 68	-23
Loyola Ill 77 - South Florida 66	0.76	Loyola Ill 74 - South Florida 72	9
Loyola Marymount 64 - Nevada 79	0.864	Loyola Marymount 68 - Nevada 64	-19
Marquette 79 - Wisconsin 73	0.647	Marquette 88 - Wisconsin 74	-8
Massachusetts 76 - UMass Lowell 74	0.572	Massachusetts 83 - UMass Lowell 96	15
Mcneese State 96 - Unranked 50		Mcneese State 103 - Unranked 69
Mercyhurst 65 - Lafayette 67	0.581	Mercyhurst 73 - Lafayette 77	2
Miami 68 - Clemson 82	0.815	Miami 55 - Clemson 65	-4
Michigan 79 - Iowa 73	0.658	Michigan 85 - Iowa 83	4
Michigan State 76 - Nebraska 72	0.617	Michigan State 89 - Nebraska 52	-33
Mississippi 87 - Lindenwood 56	0.989	Mississippi 86 - Lindenwood 53	-2
Missouri State 78 - Indiana State 73	0.629	Missouri State 77 - Indiana State 80	8
Montana State 76 - UMKC 60	0.857	Montana State 74 - UMKC 62	4
NC State 72 - Florida State 74	0.563	NC State 84 - Florida State 74	-12
New Mexico 85 - New Mexico State 64	0.94	New Mexico 83 - New Mexico State 89	27
Nicholls State 77 - New Orleans 68	0.742	Nicholls State 73 - New Orleans 70	6
NJ Tech 67 - Navy 72	0.636	NJ Tech 69 - Navy 64	-10
North Carolina 88 - Georgia Tech 70	0.909	North Carolina 68 - Georgia Tech 65	15
North Carolina AT 67 - UNC Greensboro 75	0.755	North Carolina AT 55 - UNC Greensboro 67	4
North Dakota 67 - Weber State 76	0.729	North Dakota 80 - Weber State 75	-14
North Dakota State 73 - Northern Colorado 76	0.588	North Dakota State 82 - Northern Colorado 70	-15
Northern Arizona 72 - South Dakota 74	0.57	Northern Arizona 95 - South Dakota 82	-15
Northern Iowa 79 - Northern Illinois 61	0.879	Northern Iowa 101 - Northern Illinois 57	-26
Notre Dame 76 - Syracuse 75	0.537	Notre Dame 69 - Syracuse 64	-4
Ohio 76 - Morehead State 67	0.765	Ohio 88 - Morehead State 76	-3
Ohio State 84 - Rutgers 71	0.807	Ohio State 80 - Rutgers 66	-1
Oklahoma 88 - Alcorn State 55	0.99	Oklahoma 94 - Alcorn State 78	17
Old Dominion 63 - George Washington 79	0.876	Old Dominion 70 - George Washington 78	-8
Oregon State 84 - Idaho 60	0.952	Oregon State 78 - Idaho 62	8
Pennsylvania 64 - Drexel 77	0.818	Pennsylvania 47 - Drexel 60	0
Pepperdine 71 - Grambling State 73	0.543	Pepperdine 85 - Grambling State 57	-30
Portland State 79 - Denver 69	0.747	Portland State 67 - Denver 68	11
Rhode Island 75 - Providence 71	0.599	Rhode Island 69 - Providence 63	-2
Sacramento State 70 - Omaha 67	0.599	Sacramento State 60 - Omaha 70	13
Saint Bonaventure 82 - Buffalo 60	0.945	Saint Bonaventure 65 - Buffalo 55	12
Saint Johns 80 - Kansas State 72	0.726	Saint Johns 88 - Kansas State 71	-9
Saint Josephs 72 - La Salle 73	0.511	Saint Josephs 82 - La Salle 68	-15
Saint Thomas 71 - Montana 73	0.556	Saint Thomas 88 - Montana 81	-9
Sam Houston State 80 - Texas Southern 66	0.896	Sam Houston State 87 - Texas Southern 71	-2
San Diego State 86 - San Diego 58	0.972	San Diego State 74 - San Diego 57	11
Santa Clara 80 - Fresno State 66	0.815	Santa Clara 81 - Fresno State 66	-1
South Carolina 74 - East Carolina 68	0.652	South Carolina 75 - East Carolina 68	-1
South Dakota State 80 - Eastern Washington 69	0.786	South Dakota State 74 - Eastern Washington 53	-10
Southern Illinois 75 - Southern Indiana 67	0.708	Southern Illinois 73 - Southern Indiana 70	5
Southern Methodist 74 - Virginia 67	0.676	Southern Methodist 63 - Virginia 51	-5
Tennessee Martin 85 - Unranked 57		Tennessee Martin 112 - Unranked 60
Texas AM CC 73 - Stephen F Austin 69	0.672	Texas AM CC 67 - Stephen F Austin 48	-15
Texas El Paso 71 - Seattle 70	0.512	Texas El Paso 88 - Seattle 72	-15
Toledo 95 - Unranked 57		Toledo 111 - Unranked 49
Towson 76 - UMBC 65	0.759	Towson 71 - UMBC 84	24
Tulsa 72 - Southern 71	0.536	Tulsa 66 - Southern 70	5
UC Davis 68 - UC Santa Barbara 75	0.669	UC Davis 71 - UC Santa Barbara 60	-18
UC Riverside 74 - Cal State Fullerton 68	0.634	UC Riverside 75 - Cal State Fullerton 68	-1
UC San Diego 78 - Cal State Bakersfield 64	0.808	UC San Diego 81 - Cal State Bakersfield 60	-7
UNC Asheville 92 - Unranked 55		UNC Asheville 120 - Unranked 64
UNC Wilmington 75 - Marshall 71	0.612	UNC Wilmington 78 - Marshall 69	-5
UT Rio Grande Valley 83 - Lamar 67	0.872	UT Rio Grande Valley 52 - Lamar 84	48
Utah 71 - Saint Marys 76	0.628	Utah 63 - Saint Marys 72	4
Utah State 90 - Utah Tech 57	0.99	Utah State 92 - Utah Tech 62	3
Villanova 76 - Temple 70	0.652	Villanova 94 - Temple 65	-23
Virginia Military Institute 70 - Queens 73	0.577	Virginia Military Institute 78 - Queens 81	0
Virginia Tech 63 - Pittsburgh 82	0.896	Virginia Tech 59 - Pittsburgh 64	-14
Wake Forest 73 - Boston College 68	0.622	Wake Forest 72 - Boston College 66	-1
Washington 75 - Southern California 71	0.616	Washington 61 - Southern California 85	28
West Georgia 65 - Tennessee Tech 72	0.69	West Georgia 78 - Tennessee Tech 73	-12
Western Carolina 80 - South Carolina Upstate 71	0.728	Western Carolina 68 - South Carolina Upstate 74	15
Wichita State 76 - East Tennessee State 70	0.67	Wichita State 96 - East Tennessee State 87	-3
Winthrop 74 - Coastal Carolina 65	0.759	Winthrop 96 - Coastal Carolina 89	2
Yale 74 - Vermont 67	0.702	Yale 65 - Vermont 50	-8
Youngstown State 65 - Oakland 73	0.645	Youngstown State 66 - Oakland 50	-24

GAMES OF 12-8

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Army 70 - Cornell 76	0.685	Army 84 - Cornell 103	13
Auburn 90 - Richmond 57	0.985	Auburn 98 - Richmond 54	-11
Bryant 92 - Unranked 57		Bryant 122 - Unranked 63
Canisius 64 - Siena 72	0.677	Canisius 53 - Siena 66	5
Central Florida 83 - Tarleton State 60	0.92	Central Florida 66 - Tarleton State 51	8
Cincinnati 86 - Howard 56	0.978	Cincinnati 84 - Howard 67	13
Fordham 70 - Maine 66	0.616	Fordham 87 - Maine 72	-11
Illinois Chicago 80 - Dartmouth 67	0.762	Illinois Chicago 69 - Dartmouth 68	12
Iona 68 - Saint Peters 67	0.512	Iona 72 - Saint Peters 63	-8
Iowa State 92 - Jackson State 57	0.982	Iowa State 100 - Jackson State 58	-7
IPFW 75 - Robert Morris 67	0.753	IPFW 82 - Robert Morris 77	3
Longwood 91 - Unranked 53		Longwood 97 - Unranked 40
Louisiana State 80 - Florida Gulf Coast 64	0.896	Louisiana State 80 - Florida Gulf Coast 71	7
Louisville 70 - Duke 76	0.644	Louisville 65 - Duke 76	5
Manhattan 69 - Marist 71	0.568	Manhattan 75 - Marist 82	5
Maryland Eastern Shore 61 - Wagner 68	0.674	Maryland Eastern Shore 61 - Wagner 63	-5
Memphis 85 - Arkansas State 65	0.946	Memphis 72 - Arkansas State 85	33
Mississippi State 95 - Prairie View 57	0.996	Mississippi State 91 - Prairie View 84	31
Missouri 70 - Kansas 82	0.772	Missouri 76 - Kansas 67	-21
Mt St Marys 71 - Fairfield 65	0.673	Mt St Marys 101 - Fairfield 94	-1
Murray State 78 - SE Missouri State 64	0.816	Murray State 73 - SE Missouri State 53	-6
New Hampshire 63 - Harvard 72	0.738	New Hampshire 62 - Harvard 72	1
Niagara 65 - Merrimack 67	0.568	Niagara 62 - Merrimack 80	16
Northeastern 72 - Colgate 66	0.665	Northeastern 78 - Colgate 75	3
Oregon 76 - UCLA 71	0.629	Oregon 71 - UCLA 73	7
Purdue 78 - Maryland 69	0.711	Purdue 83 - Maryland 78	4
Quinnipiac 72 - Sacred Heart 70	0.552	Quinnipiac 83 - Sacred Heart 73	-8
Radford 76 - Bucknell 65	0.791	Radford 74 - Bucknell 70	7
Saint Louis 83 - Chicago State 62	0.902	Saint Louis 85 - Chicago State 62	-2
Samford 79 - Austin Peay 70	0.742	Samford 72 - Austin Peay 47	-16
Seton Hall 70 - Oklahoma State 71	0.538	Seton Hall 76 - Oklahoma State 85	8
SIU Edwardsville 71 - Ball State 66	0.646	SIU Edwardsville 82 - Ball State 69	-8
South Alabama 69 - Jacksonville State 68	0.543	South Alabama 76 - Jacksonville State 74	-1
Stetson 71 - Mercer 75	0.616	Stetson 83 - Mercer 89	2
Texas 74 - Connecticut 75	0.513	Texas 65 - Connecticut 76	10
Texas Christian 74 - Vanderbilt 77	0.585	Texas Christian 74 - Vanderbilt 83	6
Texas State 70 - Rice 68	0.559	Texas State 75 - Rice 66	-7
Texas Tech 73 - Texas AM 74	0.503	Texas Tech 67 - Texas AM 72	4
UL Lafayette 68 - Louisiana Tech 81	0.882	UL Lafayette 58 - Louisiana Tech 69	-2

Number of DI Games: 289
Number Correct: 202 = 69.8%
Expected Number Correct: 207.109 = 71.6%
Average Error: 9.71
Average Signed Error: -0.55

GAMES OF 12-9

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Baylor 85 - Abilene Christian 64	0.863	Baylor 88 - Abilene Christian 57	-10
Boston 86 - Unranked 54		Boston 113 - Unranked 75
Columbia 92 - Unranked 56		Columbia 92 - Unranked 46
Indiana 79 - Minnesota 66	0.834	Indiana 82 - Minnesota 67	-2
Norfolk State 71 - Hofstra 68	0.564	Norfolk State 67 - Hofstra 80	16
San Jose State 91 - Unranked 55		San Jose State 117 - Unranked 80
South Carolina State 72 - Charleston Southern 71	0.502	South Carolina State 82 - Charleston Southern 63	-18
Virginia Commonwealth 82 - Pennsylvania 55	0.954	Virginia Commonwealth 66 - Pennsylvania 47	8

GAMES OF 12-10

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arkansas Little Rock 88 - Unranked 54		Arkansas Little Rock 80 - Unranked 57
Brown 67 - Rhode Island 77	0.746	Brown 84 - Rhode Island 80	-14
Butler 80 - North Dakota State 65	0.806	Butler 68 - North Dakota State 71	18
Cal State Fullerton 87 - Unranked 57		Cal State Fullerton 61 - Unranked 55
California 79 - Cornell 74	0.627	California 80 - Cornell 88	13
Davidson 76 - Charlotte 66	0.741	Davidson 75 - Charlotte 71	6
Delaware 92 - Unranked 58		Delaware 78 - Unranked 51
Denver 87 - Unranked 59		Denver 94 - Unranked 87
DePaul 72 - Providence 71	0.519	DePaul 63 - Providence 70	8
Duke 89 - Incarnate Word 53	0.994	Duke 72 - Incarnate Word 46	10
Florida Atlantic 82 - Jacksonville 71	0.771	Florida Atlantic 85 - Jacksonville 63	-11
Hampton 87 - Unranked 55		Hampton 86 - Unranked 68
Houston 84 - Troy 61	0.954	Houston 62 - Troy 42	3
Illinois 80 - Wisconsin 74	0.636	Illinois 86 - Wisconsin 80	0
Lindenwood 83 - Unranked 59		Lindenwood 99 - Unranked 53
Mercyhurst 82 - Unranked 58		Mercyhurst 77 - Unranked 51
Miami 63 - Tennessee 87	0.947	Miami 62 - Tennessee 75	-11
Michigan 76 - Arkansas 72	0.589	Michigan 87 - Arkansas 89	6
Montana 94 - Unranked 53		Montana 89 - Unranked 60
NC State 87 - Coppin State 52	0.996	NC State 66 - Coppin State 56	25
Nicholls State 89 - Unranked 56		Nicholls State 110 - Unranked 66
Portland 74 - UMKC 68	0.657	Portland 64 - UMKC 69	11
Princeton 82 - Monmouth 64	0.848	Princeton 71 - Monmouth 67	14
Queens 88 - Unranked 58		Queens 91 - Unranked 53
Rutgers 74 - Penn State 83	0.739	Rutgers 80 - Penn State 76	-13
Saint Josephs 75 - College of Charleston 73	0.534	Saint Josephs 75 - College of Charleston 78	5
San Diego 72 - Long Beach State 70	0.546	San Diego 70 - Long Beach State 76	8
South Dakota 73 - Wyoming 77	0.578	South Dakota 82 - Wyoming 81	-5
Southern 89 - Unranked 54		Southern 94 - Unranked 69
Syracuse 82 - Albany 68	0.835	Syracuse 102 - Albany 85	-3
Temple 94 - Unranked 56		Temple 110 - Unranked 81
Tulane 74 - Southern Miss 71	0.571	Tulane 86 - Southern Miss 58	-25
UMBC 91 - Unranked 59		UMBC 103 - Unranked 57
Washington 80 - Eastern Washington 68	0.812	Washington 87 - Eastern Washington 69	-6
West Virginia 86 - North Carolina Central 59	0.942	West Virginia 79 - North Carolina Central 45	-7
Western Kentucky 87 - Tennessee State 63	0.984	Western Kentucky 84 - Tennessee State 60	0
Xavier 89 - Morgan State 59	0.963	Xavier 119 - Morgan State 58	-31

GAMES OF 12-11

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama State 73 - Tennessee Martin 67	0.662	Alabama State 103 - Tennessee Martin 93	-4
Baylor 83 - Norfolk State 66	0.833	Baylor 94 - Norfolk State 69	-8
Brigham Young 85 - Fresno State 66	0.901	Brigham Young 95 - Fresno State 67	-9
Coastal Carolina 86 - Unranked 55		Coastal Carolina 82 - Unranked 57
Delaware State 71 - NJ Tech 67	0.64	Delaware State 71 - NJ Tech 59	-8
Duquesne 69 - Maine 65	0.607	Duquesne 56 - Maine 61	9
East Carolina 74 - North Alabama 68	0.66	East Carolina 67 - North Alabama 74	13
Green Bay 69 - Milwaukee 79	0.742	Green Bay 67 - Milwaukee 88	11
Howard 88 - Unranked 59		Howard 124 - Unranked 50
IPFW 81 - IUPUI 64	0.907	IPFW 78 - IUPUI 76	15
Kentucky 92 - Colgate 59	0.967	Kentucky 78 - Colgate 67	22
Louisville 77 - Texas El Paso 68	0.682	Louisville 77 - Texas El Paso 74	6
Nevada 76 - South Dakota State 68	0.687	Nevada 77 - South Dakota State 63	-6
Northern Kentucky 88 - Unranked 54		Northern Kentucky 98 - Unranked 79
Notre Dame 81 - Dartmouth 62	0.881	Notre Dame 77 - Dartmouth 65	7
Pittsburgh 84 - Eastern Kentucky 64	0.89	Pittsburgh 96 - Eastern Kentucky 56	-20
Presbyterian 88 - Unranked 57		Presbyterian 97 - Unranked 57
Saint Johns 87 - Bryant 65	0.948	Saint Johns 99 - Bryant 77	0
San Diego State 82 - Cal Baptist 62	0.934	San Diego State 81 - Cal Baptist 75	14
San Francisco 99 - Unranked 47		San Francisco 68 - Unranked 52
Stonehill 86 - Unranked 57		Stonehill 97 - Unranked 53
UL Lafayette 69 - Southeast Louisiana 72	0.585	UL Lafayette 68 - Southeast Louisiana 61	-10
UL Monroe 77 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 69	0.73	UL Monroe 89 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 73	-8
UMass Lowell 81 - LIU Brooklyn 65	0.878	UMass Lowell 69 - LIU Brooklyn 62	9
UNC Asheville 90 - Unranked 56		UNC Asheville 92 - Unranked 46
Utah Valley 76 - North Dakota 68	0.689	Utah Valley 80 - North Dakota 57	-15
Villanova 88 - Fairleigh Dickinson 60	0.946	Villanova 86 - Fairleigh Dickinson 72	14
Wright State 76 - Marshall 70	0.649	Wright State 88 - Marshall 79	-3

GAMES OF 12-12

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arkansas State 79 - Texas Arlington 70	0.746	Arkansas State 83 - Texas Arlington 79	5
Drake 97 - Unranked 44		Drake 90 - Unranked 35
Evansville 70 - Chattanooga 73	0.589	Evansville 67 - Chattanooga 75	5
Iowa 76 - Iowa State 82	0.693	Iowa 80 - Iowa State 89	3
Texas 81 - New Mexico State 63	0.926	Texas 91 - New Mexico State 67	-6
The Citadel 67 - Campbell 68	0.507	The Citadel 58 - Campbell 86	27
Virginia 76 - Bethune Cookman 58	0.888	Virginia 59 - Bethune Cookman 41	0
Virginia Military Institute 85 - Unranked 60		Virginia Military Institute 100 - Unranked 61
Virginia Tech 81 - North Carolina AT 63	0.918	Virginia Tech 95 - North Carolina AT 67	-10
Winthrop 94 - Unranked 56		Winthrop 103 - Unranked 55

GAMES OF 12-13

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Colorado 77 - South Dakota State 69	0.707	Colorado 81 - South Dakota State 70	-3
George Washington 79 - Army 69	0.783	George Washington 75 - Army 60	-5
Louisiana Tech 79 - Georgia Southern 67	0.857	Louisiana Tech 77 - Georgia Southern 63	-2
Merrimack 68 - Boston 64	0.626	Merrimack 64 - Boston 61	1
Nebraska 74 - Indiana 76	0.549	Nebraska 85 - Indiana 68	-19
North Dakota State 93 - Unranked 54		North Dakota State 91 - Unranked 62
Northern Iowa 79 - Omaha 63	0.85	Northern Iowa 78 - Omaha 58	-4
Saint Thomas 78 - Western Michigan 67	0.782	Saint Thomas 77 - Western Michigan 71	5
Texas San Antonio 78 - North Dakota 72	0.678	Texas San Antonio 80 - North Dakota 76	2
Utah Tech 69 - Weber State 73	0.62	Utah Tech 71 - Weber State 73	-2

GAMES OF 12-14

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 91 - Unranked 53		Abilene Christian 93 - Unranked 62
Alabama 87 - Creighton 75	0.78	Alabama 83 - Creighton 75	4
Albany 68 - Drexel 71	0.583	Albany 70 - Drexel 77	4
Arizona 74 - UCLA 77	0.572	Arizona 54 - UCLA 57	0
Arizona State 74 - Florida 79	0.652	Arizona State 66 - Florida 83	12
Arkansas 88 - Central Arkansas 57	0.958	Arkansas 82 - Central Arkansas 57	6
Austin Peay 66 - Southern Illinois 68	0.57	Austin Peay 60 - Southern Illinois 65	3
Bellarmine 70 - Ball State 72	0.553	Bellarmine 82 - Ball State 86	2
Boise State 70 - Saint Marys 74	0.606	Boise State 67 - Saint Marys 65	-6
Brigham Young 80 - Wyoming 66	0.788	Brigham Young 68 - Wyoming 49	-5
Butler 74 - Wisconsin 75	0.521	Butler 74 - Wisconsin 83	8
California 78 - Northwestern State 66	0.844	California 84 - Northwestern State 66	-6
Canisius 63 - Maine 73	0.721	Canisius 79 - Maine 84	-5
Central Florida 82 - Tulsa 64	0.896	Central Florida 88 - Tulsa 75	5
Cincinnati 76 - Xavier 69	0.673	Cincinnati 68 - Xavier 65	4
Clemson 76 - Memphis 72	0.606	Clemson 82 - Memphis 87	9
Cleveland State 87 - Unranked 55		Cleveland State 103 - Unranked 37
Connecticut 75 - Gonzaga 82	0.649	Connecticut 77 - Gonzaga 71	-13
Davidson 79 - Detroit 66	0.826	Davidson 86 - Detroit 51	-22
Dayton 73 - Marquette 79	0.663	Dayton 71 - Marquette 63	-14
DePaul 73 - Wichita State 74	0.514	DePaul 91 - Wichita State 72	-20
Duquesne 66 - Towson 67	0.535	Duquesne 65 - Towson 47	-19
Eastern Kentucky 77 - Eastern Illinois 66	0.773	Eastern Kentucky 81 - Eastern Illinois 66	-4
Elon 91 - Unranked 53		Elon 114 - Unranked 52
Florida Atlantic 77 - Texas State 72	0.663	Florida Atlantic 89 - Texas State 80	-4
Florida State 82 - Tulane 67	0.854	Florida State 77 - Tulane 64	2
Fordham 74 - Bryant 72	0.561	Fordham 86 - Bryant 84	0
Fresno State 75 - San Diego 71	0.635	Fresno State 73 - San Diego 65	-4
Furman 80 - South Carolina State 59	0.931	Furman 68 - South Carolina State 64	17
Gardner Webb 75 - Queens 68	0.666	Gardner Webb 83 - Queens 85	9
Georgia 79 - Grand Canyon 70	0.712	Georgia 73 - Grand Canyon 68	4
Georgia State 70 - Charlotte 71	0.523	Georgia State 63 - Charlotte 77	13
Hawaii 74 - Texas AM CC 72	0.547	Hawaii 71 - Texas AM CC 62	-7
High Point 70 - Appalachian State 69	0.513	High Point 65 - Appalachian State 59	-5
Howard 65 - UNC Wilmington 77	0.802	Howard 88 - UNC Wilmington 83	-17
Idaho State 89 - Unranked 55		Idaho State 97 - Unranked 43
Illinois 73 - Tennessee 78	0.619	Illinois 64 - Tennessee 66	-3
Jacksonville 71 - East Tennessee State 73	0.553	Jacksonville 60 - East Tennessee State 52	-10
Jacksonville State 72 - Utah Valley 69	0.576	Jacksonville State 70 - Utah Valley 66	-1
Kansas 79 - NC State 67	0.811	Kansas 75 - NC State 60	-3
Kentucky 86 - Louisville 71	0.813	Kentucky 93 - Louisville 85	7
Le Moyne 86 - Unranked 60		Le Moyne 106 - Unranked 51
Liberty 85 - North Carolina AT 58	0.985	Liberty 83 - North Carolina AT 74	18
Lindenwood 70 - IUPUI 69	0.562	Lindenwood 81 - IUPUI 63	-17
Longwood 75 - North Carolina Central 65	0.802	Longwood 70 - North Carolina Central 77	17
Loyola Marymount 84 - Prairie View 65	0.836	Loyola Marymount 76 - Prairie View 75	18
Marshall 75 - Ohio 74	0.505	Marshall 79 - Ohio 70	-8
Maryland Eastern Shore 82 - Unranked 63		Maryland Eastern Shore 91 - Unranked 65
Massachusetts 91 - Unranked 58		Massachusetts 86 - Unranked 52
Mississippi 85 - Southern Miss 63	0.913	Mississippi 77 - Southern Miss 46	-9
Mississippi State 80 - Mcneese State 66	0.793	Mississippi State 66 - Mcneese State 63	11
Missouri 89 - LIU Brooklyn 58	0.959	Missouri 88 - LIU Brooklyn 61	4
Mt St Marys 74 - Loyola MD 65	0.806	Mt St Marys 69 - Loyola MD 77	17
Nevada 85 - Texas Southern 60	0.959	Nevada 105 - Texas Southern 73	-7
Nevada Las Vegas 78 - Pacific 65	0.841	Nevada Las Vegas 72 - Pacific 65	6
New Mexico 101 - Unranked 54		New Mexico 122 - Unranked 70
Niagara 70 - Saint Francis Penn 69	0.526	Niagara 69 - Saint Francis Penn 66	-2
NJ Tech 61 - Wagner 66	0.665	NJ Tech 43 - Wagner 50	2
North Carolina 87 - La Salle 69	0.881	North Carolina 93 - La Salle 67	-8
North Florida 72 - UNC Greensboro 74	0.541	North Florida 89 - UNC Greensboro 77	-14
Ohio State 73 - Auburn 84	0.773	Ohio State 53 - Auburn 91	27
Oklahoma State 73 - Oklahoma 79	0.708	Oklahoma State 65 - Oklahoma 80	9
Oregon State 71 - UC Irvine 72	0.542	Oregon State 67 - UC Irvine 55	-13
Penn State 95 - Coppin State 51	0.997	Penn State 99 - Coppin State 51	-4
Pepperdine 74 - Northern Arizona 69	0.625	Pepperdine 86 - Northern Arizona 76	-5
Portland State 90 - Unranked 60		Portland State 110 - Unranked 48
Providence 66 - Saint Bonaventure 68	0.539	Providence 70 - Saint Bonaventure 74	2
Purdue 76 - Texas AM 71	0.657	Purdue 66 - Texas AM 70	9
Richmond 70 - Belmont 77	0.677	Richmond 86 - Belmont 93	0
Rider 72 - Stony Brook 65	0.709	Rider 55 - Stony Brook 72	24
Rutgers 76 - Seton Hall 67	0.72	Rutgers 66 - Seton Hall 63	6
Sacramento State 60 - UC Davis 75	0.814	Sacramento State 62 - UC Davis 69	-8
San Jose State 76 - Cal Poly 75	0.519	San Jose State 107 - Cal Poly 100	-6
Santa Clara 72 - Bradley 75	0.575	Santa Clara 84 - Bradley 74	-13
Seattle 93 - Unranked 54		Seattle 111 - Unranked 44
South Carolina 87 - South Carolina Upstate 62	0.938	South Carolina 73 - South Carolina Upstate 53	5
South Dakota 78 - Western Illinois 69	0.718	South Dakota 89 - Western Illinois 66	-14
Southern Methodist 78 - Louisiana State 77	0.558	Southern Methodist 74 - Louisiana State 64	-9
Stetson 71 - Florida International 75	0.634	Stetson 72 - Florida International 81	5
Syracuse 76 - Georgetown 75	0.504	Syracuse 71 - Georgetown 75	5
Tennessee State 87 - Unranked 63		Tennessee State 89 - Unranked 58
Texas Arlington 80 - UL Monroe 65	0.906	Texas Arlington 77 - UL Monroe 68	6
Troy 94 - Unranked 53		Troy 87 - Unranked 53
UC Santa Barbara 83 - Green Bay 65	0.857	UC Santa Barbara 83 - Green Bay 66	1
UL Lafayette 69 - Lamar 74	0.615	UL Lafayette 45 - Lamar 74	24
UMass Lowell 80 - Dartmouth 67	0.792	UMass Lowell 92 - Dartmouth 83	4
UMKC 68 - Bowling Green 72	0.623	UMKC 85 - Bowling Green 77	-12
UNC Asheville 76 - Western Carolina 68	0.69	UNC Asheville 78 - Western Carolina 61	-9
UT Rio Grande Valley 93 - Unranked 58		UT Rio Grande Valley 72 - Unranked 60
Utah 79 - Radford 67	0.818	Utah 81 - Radford 63	-6
Utah State 84 - South Florida 65	0.919	Utah State 88 - South Florida 67	-2
Valparaiso 71 - Central Michigan 73	0.564	Valparaiso 93 - Central Michigan 77	-18
Virginia Commonwealth 74 - Colorado State 68	0.654	Virginia Commonwealth 76 - Colorado State 68	-2
Washington State 80 - Missouri State 66	0.874	Washington State 91 - Missouri State 78	1
West Virginia 86 - Bethune Cookman 58	0.928	West Virginia 84 - Bethune Cookman 61	5
Western Kentucky 75 - Murray State 70	0.669	Western Kentucky 81 - Murray State 76	0
Youngstown State 72 - Toledo 74	0.535	Youngstown State 93 - Toledo 87	-8

GAMES OF 12-15

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 73 - Arkansas State 75	0.57	Alabama Birmingham 89 - Arkansas State 98	7
Arkansas Little Rock 72 - Illinois Chicago 70	0.56	Arkansas Little Rock 69 - Illinois Chicago 77	10
Binghamton 86 - Unranked 58		Binghamton 85 - Unranked 60
Boston College 75 - Stonehill 64	0.761	Boston College 73 - Stonehill 69	7
Cal State Bakersfield 89 - Unranked 56		Cal State Bakersfield 96 - Unranked 47
Cal State Fullerton 72 - Denver 68	0.607	Cal State Fullerton 74 - Denver 59	-11
Chattanooga 80 - Alabama AM 61	0.894	Chattanooga 85 - Alabama AM 63	-3
Colgate 65 - Vermont 67	0.553	Colgate 65 - Vermont 60	-7
East Texas AM 62 - South Alabama 74	0.861	East Texas AM 72 - South Alabama 81	-3
Eastern Michigan 68 - IPFW 75	0.734	Eastern Michigan 76 - IPFW 99	16
Hofstra 74 - Temple 70	0.644	Hofstra 42 - Temple 60	22
Idaho 66 - UC San Diego 80	0.842	Idaho 56 - UC San Diego 80	10
Illinois State 73 - Saint Louis 74	0.529	Illinois State 81 - Saint Louis 77	-5
Incarnate Word 87 - Unranked 57		Incarnate Word 93 - Unranked 69
Iowa 91 - New Orleans 62	0.984	Iowa 104 - New Orleans 57	-18
Iowa State 91 - Omaha 58	0.985	Iowa State 83 - Omaha 51	1
Kent State 77 - Mercyhurst 54	0.953	Kent State 82 - Mercyhurst 57	-2
Loyola Ill 69 - San Francisco 72	0.601	Loyola Ill 66 - San Francisco 76	7
Mercer 80 - Chicago State 65	0.871	Mercer 75 - Chicago State 63	3
Miami 79 - Presbyterian 68	0.768	Miami 94 - Presbyterian 75	-8
Miami OH 92 - Unranked 54		Miami OH 112 - Unranked 70
Milwaukee 73 - Akron 77	0.655	Milwaukee 100 - Akron 81	-23
Morehead State 87 - Unranked 58		Morehead State 86 - Unranked 63
Morgan State 67 - Campbell 75	0.72	Morgan State 86 - Campbell 76	-18
North Dakota 74 - Texas San Antonio 76	0.569	North Dakota 85 - Texas San Antonio 95	8
North Dakota State 76 - Western Michigan 67	0.715	North Dakota State 98 - Western Michigan 62	-27
Northern Kentucky 66 - Norfolk State 71	0.657	Northern Kentucky 71 - Norfolk State 62	-14
Northwestern 77 - Georgia Tech 66	0.783	Northwestern 71 - Georgia Tech 60	0
Old Dominion 64 - Northeastern 77	0.797	Old Dominion 71 - Northeastern 75	-9
Oregon 84 - Stephen F Austin 55	0.983	Oregon 79 - Stephen F Austin 61	11
Rhode Island 77 - Central Connecticut State 62	0.816	Rhode Island 77 - Central Connecticut State 69	7
Saint Thomas 94 - Unranked 54		Saint Thomas 100 - Unranked 61
SE Missouri State 86 - Unranked 58		SE Missouri State 93 - Unranked 56
SIU Edwardsville 88 - Unranked 55		SIU Edwardsville 100 - Unranked 52
Southern California 76 - Montana State 68	0.695	Southern California 89 - Montana State 63	-18
Southern Indiana 88 - Unranked 57		Southern Indiana 91 - Unranked 56
Tennessee Martin 84 - Unranked 58		Tennessee Martin 123 - Unranked 56
Texas 93 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 57	0.993	Texas 121 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 57	-28
UC Riverside 93 - Unranked 54		UC Riverside 78 - Unranked 55
Virginia Tech 79 - Navy 62	0.906	Virginia Tech 80 - Navy 72	9

Number of DI Games: 179
Number Correct: 137 = 76.5%
Expected Number Correct: 131.482 = 73.4%
Average Error: 9.08
Average Signed Error: -0.46

GAMES OF 12-16

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Central Arkansas 71 - The Citadel 66	0.601	Central Arkansas 73 - The Citadel 71	3
College of Charleston 77 - Wofford 67	0.695	College of Charleston 77 - Wofford 67	0
Grambling State 69 - Southeast Louisiana 67	0.56	Grambling State 65 - Southeast Louisiana 75	12
Lipscomb 94 - Unranked 50		Lipscomb 99 - Unranked 67
Louisiana Tech 72 - Grand Canyon 73	0.504	Louisiana Tech 74 - Grand Canyon 66	-9
Marshall 92 - Unranked 55		Marshall 93 - Unranked 63
Maryland Eastern Shore 83 - Unranked 63		Maryland Eastern Shore 81 - Unranked 64
Middle Tennessee 75 - Cal Baptist 71	0.641	Middle Tennessee 75 - Cal Baptist 64	-7
New Mexico State 73 - Southern Utah 74	0.524	New Mexico State 72 - Southern Utah 69	-4
Northern Colorado 76 - Air Force 66	0.77	Northern Colorado 81 - Air Force 76	5
Northern Iowa 75 - Montana 69	0.656	Northern Iowa 104 - Montana 76	-22
Portland 88 - Unranked 60		Portland 100 - Unranked 69
Rice 78 - Alcorn State 62	0.882	Rice 77 - Alcorn State 75	14
Sam Houston State 95 - Unranked 56		Sam Houston State 80 - Unranked 54
Texas Christian 77 - South Alabama 67	0.768	Texas Christian 58 - South Alabama 49	1
Texas El Paso 77 - Tarleton State 61	0.813	Texas El Paso 67 - Tarleton State 62	11
Texas Tech 87 - Oral Roberts 60	0.96	Texas Tech 86 - Oral Roberts 50	-9
Utah Tech 87 - Unranked 59		Utah Tech 100 - Unranked 66

GAMES OF 12-17

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arkansas Pine Bluff 85 - Unranked 68		Arkansas Pine Bluff 120 - Unranked 61
Auburn 97 - Georgia State 57	0.996	Auburn 100 - Georgia State 59	-1
Boise State 88 - Texas Southern 62	0.96	Boise State 82 - Texas Southern 51	-5
Cal Poly 82 - Denver 71	0.772	Cal Poly 95 - Denver 94	10
Charlotte 76 - West Georgia 61	0.89	Charlotte 75 - West Georgia 70	10
Colorado State 74 - Radford 68	0.683	Colorado State 78 - Radford 68	-4
Dayton 81 - Nevada Las Vegas 67	0.842	Dayton 66 - Nevada Las Vegas 65	13
Delaware 92 - Unranked 58		Delaware 92 - Unranked 75
Duke 80 - George Mason 61	0.908	Duke 68 - George Mason 47	-2
East Carolina 74 - Florida International 67	0.728	East Carolina 75 - Florida International 64	-4
Florida State 81 - Winthrop 69	0.873	Florida State 82 - Winthrop 64	-6
Georgia Southern 74 - Gardner Webb 71	0.588	Georgia Southern 86 - Gardner Webb 81	-2
High Point 93 - Unranked 53		High Point 99 - Unranked 31
Howard 68 - Drexel 72	0.645	Howard 65 - Drexel 68	-1
Kansas State 67 - Drake 74	0.701	Kansas State 70 - Drake 73	-4
Liberty 96 - Unranked 48		Liberty 124 - Unranked 50
Louisiana State 89 - Stetson 59	0.974	Louisiana State 99 - Stetson 53	-16
Maryland 89 - Saint Francis Penn 58	0.965	Maryland 111 - Saint Francis Penn 57	-23
Michigan State 82 - Oakland 60	0.854	Michigan State 77 - Oakland 58	3
Mississippi 83 - Southern 61	0.932	Mississippi 74 - Southern 61	9
Mississippi State 86 - Central Michigan 62	0.882	Mississippi State 83 - Central Michigan 59	0
Missouri 83 - Jacksonville State 65	0.901	Missouri 83 - Jacksonville State 72	7
North Carolina 79 - Florida 83	0.626	North Carolina 84 - Florida 90	2
North Carolina AT 69 - Coastal Carolina 72	0.611	North Carolina AT 68 - Coastal Carolina 73	2
North Carolina Central 87 - Unranked 57		North Carolina Central 112 - Unranked 67
Ohio State 85 - Valparaiso 66	0.856	Ohio State 95 - Valparaiso 73	-3
Oregon State 84 - Sacramento State 53	0.968	Oregon State 82 - Sacramento State 45	-6
Quinnipiac 74 - Holy Cross 67	0.67	Quinnipiac 69 - Holy Cross 70	8
Robert Morris 68 - Towson 66	0.558	Robert Morris 68 - Towson 67	1
Saint Johns 81 - DePaul 70	0.765	Saint Johns 89 - DePaul 61	-17
Siena 59 - Saint Bonaventure 75	0.888	Siena 48 - Saint Bonaventure 65	1
South Carolina 68 - Clemson 74	0.689	South Carolina 91 - Clemson 88	-9
Southern Miss 66 - Lamar 72	0.625	Southern Miss 65 - Lamar 69	-2
Stanford 77 - Merrimack 62	0.875	Stanford 74 - Merrimack 68	9
Stony Brook 65 - Marist 70	0.641	Stony Brook 66 - Marist 68	-3
Tennessee 91 - Western Carolina 51	0.996	Tennessee 84 - Western Carolina 36	-8
Troy 93 - Unranked 52		Troy 105 - Unranked 60
UCLA 93 - Prairie View 55	0.976	UCLA 111 - Prairie View 75	2
UL Monroe 71 - Houston Christian 67	0.688	UL Monroe 68 - Houston Christian 74	10
UNC Asheville 75 - North Florida 77	0.546	UNC Asheville 95 - North Florida 81	-16
UNC Greensboro 90 - Unranked 51		UNC Greensboro 86 - Unranked 37
Utah 86 - Florida AM 63	0.942	Utah 89 - Florida AM 59	-7
Utah State 79 - UC San Diego 68	0.775	Utah State 73 - UC San Diego 75	13
Villanova 74 - Seton Hall 64	0.719	Villanova 79 - Seton Hall 67	-2
Wake Forest 72 - James Madison 69	0.598	Wake Forest 75 - James Madison 58	-14
Western Illinois 69 - Tennessee Tech 68	0.512	Western Illinois 71 - Tennessee Tech 68	-2
Western Kentucky 77 - Seattle 68	0.774	Western Kentucky 86 - Seattle 73	-4
Wichita State 81 - UMKC 62	0.908	Wichita State 64 - UMKC 74	29

GAMES OF 12-18

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama Birmingham 84 - Alabama AM 63	0.93	Alabama Birmingham 96 - Alabama AM 67	-8
Arizona 85 - Samford 75	0.744	Arizona 96 - Samford 64	-22
Binghamton 71 - Mercyhurst 64	0.721	Binghamton 62 - Mercyhurst 60	5
Bradley 71 - San Francisco 73	0.579	Bradley 66 - San Francisco 64	-4
Campbell 66 - Longwood 71	0.621	Campbell 55 - Longwood 77	17
Chattanooga 92 - Unranked 55		Chattanooga 99 - Unranked 52
Connecticut 81 - Xavier 68	0.77	Connecticut 94 - Xavier 89	8
Dartmouth 74 - Le Moyne 70	0.616	Dartmouth 76 - Le Moyne 80	8
East Tennessee State 71 - Elon 70	0.526	East Tennessee State 84 - Elon 58	-25
East Texas AM 65 - Abilene Christian 75	0.757	East Texas AM 68 - Abilene Christian 67	-11
Fairfield 66 - Central Connecticut State 71	0.67	Fairfield 63 - Central Connecticut State 64	-4
Furman 94 - Unranked 49		Furman 100 - Unranked 75
George Washington 74 - Lafayette 65	0.757	George Washington 82 - Lafayette 62	-11
Georgetown 72 - Creighton 76	0.631	Georgetown 81 - Creighton 57	-28
Georgia Tech 80 - UMBC 69	0.777	Georgia Tech 91 - UMBC 82	2
Gonzaga 92 - Nicholls State 59	0.964	Gonzaga 102 - Nicholls State 72	3
Green Bay 86 - Unranked 62		Green Bay 70 - Unranked 72
Hampton 88 - Unranked 56		Hampton 108 - Unranked 65
Houston 89 - Toledo 60	0.935	Houston 78 - Toledo 49	0
Idaho State 70 - Utah Valley 69	0.516	Idaho State 56 - Utah Valley 70	15
Illinois State 81 - Northern Illinois 62	0.898	Illinois State 81 - Northern Illinois 60	-2
Indiana State 73 - Murray State 74	0.517	Indiana State 84 - Murray State 74	-11
La Salle 83 - Fairleigh Dickinson 68	0.861	La Salle 77 - Fairleigh Dickinson 72	10
LIU Brooklyn 66 - Mt St Marys 71	0.667	LIU Brooklyn 72 - Mt St Marys 80	3
Loyola Ill 84 - Canisius 56	0.946	Loyola Ill 72 - Canisius 60	16
Loyola Marymount 69 - UC Santa Barbara 72	0.568	Loyola Marymount 60 - UC Santa Barbara 58	-5
Marquette 81 - Butler 68	0.786	Marquette 80 - Butler 70	3
Massachusetts 71 - Northeastern 75	0.603	Massachusetts 77 - Northeastern 72	-9
Michigan 77 - Oklahoma 75	0.563	Michigan 86 - Oklahoma 87	3
Missouri State 93 - Unranked 54		Missouri State 61 - Unranked 49
New Mexico 74 - Virginia Commonwealth 75	0.522	New Mexico 78 - Virginia Commonwealth 71	-8
North Dakota 63 - Alabama 98	0.971	North Dakota 90 - Alabama 97	-28
North Texas 83 - Mississippi Valley State 48	0.975	North Texas 83 - Mississippi Valley State 42	-6
Northern Kentucky 72 - Detroit 65	0.706	Northern Kentucky 73 - Detroit 60	-6
Ohio 73 - Austin Peay 66	0.735	Ohio 78 - Austin Peay 58	-13
Oklahoma State 81 - Tarleton State 61	0.914	Oklahoma State 66 - Tarleton State 61	15
Pacific 74 - Portland State 70	0.62	Pacific 75 - Portland State 81	10
Portland 70 - Cal State Bakersfield 74	0.618	Portland 64 - Cal State Bakersfield 81	13
Presbyterian 88 - Unranked 58		Presbyterian 116 - Unranked 53
Queens 73 - Mercer 74	0.511	Queens 73 - Mercer 66	-8
Sacred Heart 75 - Albany 71	0.604	Sacred Heart 66 - Albany 74	12
Saint Josephs 75 - American 65	0.746	Saint Josephs 84 - American 57	-17
Saint Louis 75 - Wofford 69	0.637	Saint Louis 71 - Wofford 74	9
Santa Clara 81 - Kennesaw St 69	0.791	Santa Clara 94 - Kennesaw St 74	-8
South Carolina Upstate 71 - South Carolina State 74	0.581	South Carolina Upstate 70 - South Carolina State 85	12
South Florida 77 - Bethune Cookman 65	0.814	South Florida 69 - Bethune Cookman 77	20
Southern California 79 - Cal State Northridge 68	0.75	Southern California 90 - Cal State Northridge 69	-10
Temple 73 - Davidson 74	0.533	Temple 62 - Davidson 61	-2
Texas AM CC 92 - Unranked 55		Texas AM CC 117 - Unranked 63
Texas Arlington 77 - Evansville 67	0.77	Texas Arlington 80 - Evansville 54	-16
UC Davis 77 - Idaho 66	0.776	UC Davis 74 - Idaho 66	3
UC Riverside 74 - Montana State 71	0.57	UC Riverside 83 - Montana State 80	0
UL Lafayette 64 - Appalachian State 72	0.731	UL Lafayette 68 - Appalachian State 62	-14
UMass Lowell 78 - Stonehill 68	0.764	UMass Lowell 78 - Stonehill 67	-1
UNC Wilmington 73 - Florida Gulf Coast 68	0.627	UNC Wilmington 79 - Florida Gulf Coast 66	-8
UT Rio Grande Valley 77 - Southern Utah 76	0.507	UT Rio Grande Valley 78 - Southern Utah 73	-4
Vanderbilt 89 - The Citadel 56	0.955	Vanderbilt 105 - The Citadel 53	-19
Vermont 66 - Miami OH 68	0.571	Vermont 75 - Miami OH 67	-10
Virginia 66 - Memphis 76	0.769	Virginia 62 - Memphis 64	-8
Wagner 67 - Manhattan 64	0.624	Wagner 66 - Manhattan 80	17
Washington 72 - Washington State 76	0.623	Washington 89 - Washington State 73	-20
Weber State 90 - Unranked 56		Weber State 128 - Unranked 58
William and Mary 72 - Richmond 75	0.606	William and Mary 93 - Richmond 87	-9
Wright State 76 - Youngstown State 68	0.68	Wright State 70 - Youngstown State 80	18

GAMES OF 12-19

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama State 71 - Norfolk State 77	0.659	Alabama State 54 - Norfolk State 71	11
Arkansas Little Rock 69 - SIU Edwardsville 67	0.53	Arkansas Little Rock 60 - SIU Edwardsville 56	-2
Belmont 72 - UC Irvine 77	0.669	Belmont 84 - UC Irvine 92	3
Cleveland State 65 - Oakland 68	0.544	Cleveland State 92 - Oakland 75	-20
Georgia 87 - Buffalo 59	0.956	Georgia 100 - Buffalo 49	-23
Grambling State 74 - Delaware State 66	0.69	Grambling State 60 - Delaware State 73	21
Grand Canyon 86 - Chicago State 57	0.972	Grand Canyon 74 - Chicago State 51	6
Incarnate Word 87 - Unranked 57		Incarnate Word 101 - Unranked 57
Lindenwood 70 - Tennessee Tech 69	0.544	Lindenwood 73 - Tennessee Tech 79	7
Middle Tennessee 70 - Lipscomb 71	0.527	Middle Tennessee 67 - Lipscomb 65	-3
Morehead State 73 - Tennessee Martin 67	0.661	Morehead State 70 - Tennessee Martin 69	5
New Mexico State 90 - Unranked 56		New Mexico State 87 - Unranked 50
North Alabama 78 - Charleston Southern 67	0.749	North Alabama 86 - Charleston Southern 69	-6
Pepperdine 74 - Long Beach State 69	0.613	Pepperdine 76 - Long Beach State 79	8
Rice 91 - Unranked 53		Rice 68 - Unranked 69
Saint Francis Penn 87 - Unranked 59		Saint Francis Penn 104 - Unranked 47
Saint Marys 79 - Merrimack 56	0.925	Saint Marys 73 - Merrimack 68	18
SE Missouri State 72 - Eastern Illinois 68	0.601	SE Missouri State 79 - Eastern Illinois 72	-3
South Dakota State 95 - Unranked 52		South Dakota State 87 - Unranked 72
Southern Indiana 77 - Tennessee State 68	0.763	Southern Indiana 77 - Tennessee State 75	7
Texas 89 - New Orleans 59	0.963	Texas 98 - New Orleans 62	-6
Texas San Antonio 93 - Unranked 58		Texas San Antonio 117 - Unranked 58
UNC Asheville 91 - Unranked 55		UNC Asheville 114 - Unranked 60
Utah Tech 73 - South Dakota 78	0.666	Utah Tech 92 - South Dakota 87	-10
Western Carolina 86 - Unranked 59		Western Carolina 78 - Unranked 69
Wyoming 78 - Bellarmine 63	0.871	Wyoming 92 - Bellarmine 55	-22

GAMES OF 12-20

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama State 76 - Delaware State 71	0.649	Alabama State 80 - Delaware State 83	8
Brigham Young 86 - Florida AM 62	0.931	Brigham Young 103 - Florida AM 57	-22
Cincinnati 71 - Dayton 72	0.514	Cincinnati 66 - Dayton 59	-8
Grambling State 68 - Norfolk State 74	0.63	Grambling State 70 - Norfolk State 76	0
IPFW 94 - Unranked 55		IPFW 103 - Unranked 52
Loyola Marymount 71 - Southern 67	0.594	Loyola Marymount 89 - Southern 73	-12
North Carolina Central 68 - Longwood 71	0.584	North Carolina Central 67 - Longwood 82	12
North Dakota 87 - Unranked 61		North Dakota 80 - Unranked 48
North Texas 72 - Appalachian State 60	0.799	North Texas 68 - Appalachian State 64	8
Northwestern State 87 - Unranked 55		Northwestern State 89 - Unranked 79
Pennsylvania 68 - Rider 67	0.514	Pennsylvania 79 - Rider 66	-12
Providence 70 - Saint Johns 76	0.665	Providence 70 - Saint Johns 72	-4
Radford 91 - Unranked 52		Radford 122 - Unranked 63
Saint Peters 70 - Delaware 71	0.509	Saint Peters 72 - Delaware 64	-9
Seattle 76 - Illinois Chicago 70	0.641	Seattle 68 - Illinois Chicago 79	17
Siena 71 - Holy Cross 66	0.641	Siena 70 - Holy Cross 78	13
Southeast Louisiana 86 - Unranked 55		Southeast Louisiana 96 - Unranked 62
Stephen F Austin 86 - Unranked 52		Stephen F Austin 82 - Unranked 56
Texas AM 90 - Houston Christian 53	0.997	Texas AM 77 - Houston Christian 45	5
Texas El Paso 80 - Jackson State 63	0.836	Texas El Paso 67 - Jackson State 61	11
Tulane 91 - Unranked 56		Tulane 99 - Unranked 56
Western Michigan 70 - Valparaiso 75	0.608	Western Michigan 73 - Valparaiso 76	-2
Yale 77 - Akron 75	0.55	Yale 74 - Akron 58	-14

GAMES OF 12-21

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 79 - Texas Southern 67	0.797	Abilene Christian 69 - Texas Southern 65	8
Alabama AM 62 - Samford 87	0.96	Alabama AM 90 - Samford 97	-18
Arizona 87 - Central Michigan 66	0.879	Arizona 94 - Central Michigan 41	-32
Arkansas 91 - North Carolina AT 59	0.971	Arkansas 95 - North Carolina AT 67	4
Arkansas State 79 - Coastal Carolina 62	0.864	Arkansas State 97 - Coastal Carolina 67	-13
Auburn 83 - Purdue 71	0.802	Auburn 87 - Purdue 69	-6
Ball State 70 - Evansville 69	0.526	Ball State 80 - Evansville 43	-36
Boise State 82 - Air Force 58	0.926	Boise State 77 - Air Force 59	6
Boston College 68 - Southern Methodist 80	0.793	Boston College 77 - Southern Methodist 103	14
Bowling Green 69 - Saint Thomas 78	0.748	Bowling Green 68 - Saint Thomas 93	16
Bradley 87 - Canisius 57	0.959	Bradley 92 - Canisius 59	-3
Butler 70 - Connecticut 78	0.697	Butler 74 - Connecticut 78	-4
Cal State Bakersfield 76 - Portland State 70	0.663	Cal State Bakersfield 58 - Portland State 59	7
Cal State Northridge 82 - Chicago State 61	0.937	Cal State Northridge 81 - Chicago State 57	-3
California 69 - San Diego State 80	0.797	California 50 - San Diego State 71	10
Central Connecticut State 71 - Quinnipiac 65	0.68	Central Connecticut State 84 - Quinnipiac 80	2
Central Florida 79 - Jacksonville 66	0.822	Central Florida 86 - Jacksonville 66	-7
Clemson 78 - Wake Forest 64	0.847	Clemson 73 - Wake Forest 62	3
Colorado 90 - Bellarmine 58	0.977	Colorado 79 - Bellarmine 55	8
Coppin State 68 - Navy 73	0.646	Coppin State 68 - Navy 60	-13
Creighton 77 - Villanova 71	0.64	Creighton 86 - Villanova 79	-1
Dartmouth 65 - Vermont 69	0.62	Dartmouth 84 - Vermont 54	-34
Davidson 81 - Bethune Cookman 62	0.879	Davidson 76 - Bethune Cookman 63	6
Denver 70 - Northern Colorado 79	0.751	Denver 75 - Northern Colorado 82	-2
Drake 86 - Green Bay 55	0.964	Drake 72 - Green Bay 62	21
Duquesne 60 - UC Irvine 75	0.873	Duquesne 70 - UC Irvine 54	-31
East Carolina 73 - Gardner Webb 68	0.662	East Carolina 79 - Gardner Webb 84	10
Eastern Kentucky 73 - Jacksonville State 71	0.555	Eastern Kentucky 80 - Jacksonville State 91	13
Eastern Michigan 66 - Wright State 78	0.817	Eastern Michigan 86 - Wright State 82	-16
Eastern Washington 91 - Unranked 58		Eastern Washington 107 - Unranked 63
Elon 69 - UNC Greensboro 67	0.543	Elon 73 - UNC Greensboro 69	-2
Florida 92 - North Florida 68	0.932	Florida 99 - North Florida 45	-30
Florida International 76 - IUPUI 66	0.818	Florida International 75 - IUPUI 69	4
Florida State 76 - Louisville 75	0.521	Florida State 76 - Louisville 90	15
Fordham 77 - Albany 68	0.766	Fordham 87 - Albany 83	5
Fresno State 73 - Cal Baptist 76	0.616	Fresno State 69 - Cal Baptist 86	14
Georgia Tech 62 - Duke 82	0.922	Georgia Tech 56 - Duke 82	6
Gonzaga 92 - Bucknell 58	0.964	Gonzaga 86 - Bucknell 65	13
Harvard 63 - Furman 76	0.848	Harvard 63 - Furman 77	1
Houston 85 - Texas AM CC 58	0.958	Houston 87 - Texas AM CC 51	-9
Indiana 83 - Chattanooga 66	0.883	Indiana 74 - Chattanooga 65	8
Indiana State 95 - Unranked 57		Indiana State 101 - Unranked 53
Iowa 79 - Utah 77	0.565	Iowa 95 - Utah 88	-5
Jackson State 68 - Akron 81	0.821	Jackson State 50 - Akron 68	5
Kentucky 83 - Ohio State 76	0.674	Kentucky 65 - Ohio State 85	27
La Salle 93 - Unranked 55		La Salle 108 - Unranked 48
Liberty 79 - Texas Arlington 65	0.888	Liberty 79 - Texas Arlington 56	-9
Lindenwood 69 - Western Illinois 66	0.593	Lindenwood 71 - Western Illinois 65	-3
LIU Brooklyn 68 - Lehigh 73	0.637	LIU Brooklyn 59 - Lehigh 60	-4
Louisiana Tech 95 - Unranked 50		Louisiana Tech 108 - Unranked 60
Loyola MD 70 - Hampton 69	0.501	Loyola MD 68 - Hampton 76	9
Marist 73 - UMBC 68	0.632	Marist 76 - UMBC 73	2
Massachusetts 66 - Arizona State 84	0.895	Massachusetts 62 - Arizona State 78	-2
Memphis 79 - Mississippi State 75	0.592	Memphis 66 - Mississippi State 79	17
Miami 80 - Mt St Marys 67	0.838	Miami 74 - Mt St Marys 78	17
Michigan State 85 - Florida Atlantic 72	0.799	Michigan State 86 - Florida Atlantic 69	-4
Minnesota 82 - Fairleigh Dickinson 64	0.94	Minnesota 74 - Fairleigh Dickinson 60	4
Mississippi 87 - Queens 61	0.95	Mississippi 80 - Queens 62	8
Monmouth 71 - Fairfield 72	0.501	Monmouth 88 - Fairfield 74	-15
Morehead State 75 - Tennessee State 69	0.691	Morehead State 74 - Tennessee State 68	0
Nevada 78 - Colorado State 67	0.76	Nevada 64 - Colorado State 66	13
Nevada Las Vegas 76 - UC Riverside 70	0.661	Nevada Las Vegas 66 - UC Riverside 53	-7
North Carolina 74 - UCLA 77	0.599	North Carolina 76 - UCLA 74	-5
Northern Kentucky 72 - South Carolina State 65	0.68	Northern Kentucky 58 - South Carolina State 47	-4
Northwestern 76 - DePaul 69	0.672	Northwestern 84 - DePaul 64	-13
Omaha 73 - Cal Poly 78	0.645	Omaha 86 - Cal Poly 82	-9
Pacific 73 - Idaho 69	0.632	Pacific 72 - Idaho 95	27
Penn State 81 - Drexel 64	0.908	Penn State 75 - Drexel 64	6
Pepperdine 70 - UC Davis 73	0.559	Pepperdine 85 - UC Davis 46	-42
Pittsburgh 85 - Sam Houston State 66	0.849	Pittsburgh 110 - Sam Houston State 78	-13
Portland 70 - Lafayette 72	0.574	Portland 74 - Lafayette 64	-12
Presbyterian 74 - Manhattan 70	0.631	Presbyterian 81 - Manhattan 86	9
Richmond 77 - Virginia Military Institute 64	0.843	Richmond 78 - Virginia Military Institute 71	6
Robert Morris 72 - Saint Francis Penn 66	0.695	Robert Morris 90 - Saint Francis Penn 77	-7
Rutgers 79 - Princeton 72	0.722	Rutgers 82 - Princeton 83	8
Saint Bonaventure 79 - Niagara 56	0.958	Saint Bonaventure 71 - Niagara 52	4
Saint Josephs 73 - Virginia Tech 70	0.593	Saint Josephs 82 - Virginia Tech 62	-17
San Diego 63 - UC San Diego 80	0.892	San Diego 71 - UC San Diego 77	-11
San Francisco 80 - Montana 65	0.894	San Francisco 71 - Montana 67	11
San Jose State 74 - Kennesaw St 75	0.513	San Jose State 89 - Kennesaw St 65	-25
Santa Clara 85 - South Dakota 70	0.816	Santa Clara 98 - South Dakota 81	-2
SE Missouri State 67 - SIU Edwardsville 70	0.568	SE Missouri State 80 - SIU Edwardsville 64	-19
South Alabama 69 - James Madison 72	0.585	South Alabama 77 - James Madison 49	-31
South Carolina Upstate 69 - Youngstown State 77	0.694	South Carolina Upstate 64 - Youngstown State 72	0
South Florida 78 - East Texas AM 63	0.917	South Florida 88 - East Texas AM 62	-11
Southern Illinois 70 - High Point 71	0.515	Southern Illinois 81 - High Point 94	12
Southern Indiana 75 - Tennessee Martin 66	0.731	Southern Indiana 46 - Tennessee Martin 77	40
Southern Miss 68 - Marshall 74	0.64	Southern Miss 68 - Marshall 66	-8
Southern Utah 78 - Northern Arizona 69	0.75	Southern Utah 75 - Northern Arizona 83	17
Stanford 71 - Oregon 81	0.781	Stanford 61 - Oregon 76	5
Stony Brook 67 - Maine 71	0.603	Stony Brook 74 - Maine 72	-6
Syracuse 70 - Maryland 83	0.813	Syracuse 60 - Maryland 87	14
Tarleton State 84 - Unranked 57		Tarleton State 100 - Unranked 83
Temple 71 - Rhode Island 77	0.648	Temple 79 - Rhode Island 85	0
Texas El Paso 74 - Yale 72	0.547	Texas El Paso 75 - Yale 74	1
Texas State 75 - Georgia Southern 67	0.767	Texas State 83 - Georgia Southern 61	-14
Texas Tech 81 - Lamar 62	0.849	Texas Tech 101 - Lamar 57	-25
Troy 79 - Georgia State 66	0.894	Troy 77 - Georgia State 57	-7
Tulsa 76 - Mississippi Valley State 60	0.848	Tulsa 93 - Mississippi Valley State 48	-29
UL Monroe 71 - Old Dominion 70	0.555	UL Monroe 75 - Old Dominion 80	6
UMass Lowell 76 - Boston 68	0.73	UMass Lowell 83 - Boston 71	-4
UMKC 65 - East Tennessee State 73	0.728	UMKC 73 - East Tennessee State 66	-15
UNC Wilmington 75 - UNC Asheville 69	0.661	UNC Wilmington 85 - UNC Asheville 74	-5
UT Rio Grande Valley 93 - Unranked 58		UT Rio Grande Valley 106 - Unranked 56
Vanderbilt 82 - Austin Peay 60	0.936	Vanderbilt 85 - Austin Peay 55	-8
Wagner 82 - Unranked 52		Wagner 83 - Unranked 52
Washington State 77 - Northern Iowa 69	0.702	Washington State 76 - Northern Iowa 68	0
Weber State 71 - Utah Valley 70	0.508	Weber State 62 - Utah Valley 64	3
West Georgia 83 - Unranked 59		West Georgia 107 - Unranked 61
Western Kentucky 97 - Unranked 51		Western Kentucky 91 - Unranked 71
Wichita State 76 - Kansas State 73	0.569	Wichita State 84 - Kansas State 65	-16
Winthrop 78 - Mercer 72	0.75	Winthrop 102 - Mercer 97	1
Xavier 71 - Marquette 79	0.701	Xavier 70 - Marquette 72	-6

GAMES OF 12-22

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 87 - Kent State 66	0.925	Alabama 81 - Kent State 54	-6
Alabama Birmingham 82 - Alcorn State 66	0.871	Alabama Birmingham 91 - Alcorn State 74	-1
Army 73 - Binghamton 70	0.63	Army 68 - Binghamton 78	13
Cal State Fullerton 67 - Wyoming 69	0.582	Cal State Fullerton 69 - Wyoming 73	2
Cincinnati 82 - Grambling State 57	0.924	Cincinnati 84 - Grambling State 49	-10
Cleveland State 87 - Unranked 55		Cleveland State 116 - Unranked 60
Colgate 71 - Iona 67	0.609	Colgate 73 - Iona 79	10
College of Charleston 69 - Oregon State 78	0.709	College of Charleston 65 - Oregon State 74	0
Cornell 77 - Illinois State 71	0.669	Cornell 77 - Illinois State 80	9
Florida Gulf Coast 91 - Unranked 52		Florida Gulf Coast 79 - Unranked 62
George Mason 80 - Pennsylvania 58	0.937	George Mason 85 - Pennsylvania 53	-10
George Washington 92 - Unranked 53		George Washington 102 - Unranked 62
Georgia 87 - Charleston Southern 58	0.942	Georgia 81 - Charleston Southern 65	13
Grand Canyon 80 - Saint Louis 70	0.804	Grand Canyon 73 - Saint Louis 72	9
Hawaii 72 - Charlotte 68	0.647	Hawaii 78 - Charlotte 61	-13
Iowa State 98 - Morgan State 55	0.992	Iowa State 99 - Morgan State 72	16
Kansas 83 - Brown 61	0.926	Kansas 87 - Brown 53	-12
Long Beach State 88 - Unranked 56		Long Beach State 83 - Unranked 57
Louisiana State 88 - New Orleans 61	0.962	Louisiana State 86 - New Orleans 70	11
Loyola Marymount 71 - North Alabama 69	0.549	Loyola Marymount 85 - North Alabama 70	-13
Miami OH 75 - Sacred Heart 68	0.695	Miami OH 94 - Sacred Heart 76	-11
Michigan 85 - IPFW 66	0.898	Michigan 89 - IPFW 58	-12
Milwaukee 94 - Unranked 54		Milwaukee 92 - Unranked 57
Missouri 75 - Illinois 81	0.646	Missouri 77 - Illinois 80	-3
Missouri State 72 - UC Santa Barbara 73	0.537	Missouri State 68 - UC Santa Barbara 56	-13
Murray State 67 - Nebraska 78	0.734	Murray State 49 - Nebraska 66	6
NC State 80 - Rider 59	0.934	NC State 89 - Rider 63	-5
North Texas 82 - Houston Christian 54	0.981	North Texas 62 - Houston Christian 46	12
Notre Dame 82 - Le Moyne 62	0.922	Notre Dame 91 - Le Moyne 62	-9
Oakland 63 - Loyola Ill 73	0.693	Oakland 72 - Loyola Ill 71	-11
Oklahoma 90 - Central Arkansas 57	0.985	Oklahoma 89 - Central Arkansas 66	10
Oklahoma State 84 - Oral Roberts 64	0.96	Oklahoma State 86 - Oral Roberts 74	8
Rice 83 - Prairie View 66	0.862	Rice 64 - Prairie View 46	-1
Sacramento State 81 - Unranked 58		Sacramento State 98 - Unranked 47
Saint Marys 73 - Utah State 72	0.53	Saint Marys 68 - Utah State 75	8
Seton Hall 67 - Georgetown 70	0.586	Seton Hall 60 - Georgetown 61	-2
South Carolina 75 - Radford 64	0.809	South Carolina 74 - Radford 48	-15
Southern California 79 - Southern 63	0.827	Southern California 82 - Southern 51	-15
Stetson 85 - Unranked 62		Stetson 103 - Unranked 77
Stonehill 74 - New Hampshire 61	0.828	Stonehill 90 - New Hampshire 83	6
Texas Christian 78 - Montana State 67	0.753	Texas Christian 82 - Montana State 48	-23
Towson 71 - Bryant 72	0.533	Towson 70 - Bryant 65	-6
UL Lafayette 63 - Mcneese State 77	0.886	UL Lafayette 56 - Mcneese State 64	-6
Valparaiso 92 - Unranked 56		Valparaiso 107 - Unranked 57
Virginia 72 - American 58	0.823	Virginia 63 - American 58	9
Virginia Commonwealth 84 - William and Mary 62	0.942	Virginia Commonwealth 90 - William and Mary 70	2
West Virginia 87 - Mercyhurst 54	0.962	West Virginia 67 - Mercyhurst 46	12
Wisconsin 88 - Detroit 61	0.951	Wisconsin 76 - Detroit 53	4

Number of DI Games: 287
Number Correct: 207 = 72.1%
Expected Number Correct: 213.144 = 74.2%
Average Error: 9.74
Average Signed Error: -1.51

GAMES OF 12-23

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Bowling Green 89 - Unranked 60		Bowling Green 87 - Unranked 62
Charlotte 66 - Murray State 71	0.629	Charlotte 94 - Murray State 90	-9
Hawaii 67 - Nebraska 77	0.736	Hawaii 55 - Nebraska 69	4
Loyola Ill 72 - College of Charleston 73	0.521	Loyola Ill 68 - College of Charleston 77	8
North Dakota State 77 - Cal State Bakersfield 65	0.748	North Dakota State 94 - Cal State Bakersfield 60	-22
Oakland 61 - Oregon State 78	0.835	Oakland 74 - Oregon State 80	-11
Tennessee 83 - Middle Tennessee 59	0.952	Tennessee 82 - Middle Tennessee 64	6
Wagner 81 - Unranked 54		Wagner 120 - Unranked 30
Washington 80 - Seattle 66	0.823	Washington 70 - Seattle 79	23

GAMES OF 12-25

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Charlotte 67 - College of Charleston 76	0.726	Charlotte 81 - College of Charleston 84	-6
Hawaii 74 - Oakland 66	0.669	Hawaii 73 - Oakland 70	5
Murray State 68 - Loyola Ill 71	0.599	Murray State 71 - Loyola Ill 68	-6
Nebraska 72 - Oregon State 71	0.514	Nebraska 78 - Oregon State 66	-11

GAMES OF 12-27

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Baylor 105 - Unranked 48		Baylor 107 - Unranked 53
Duquesne 89 - Unranked 52		Duquesne 93 - Unranked 45

GAMES OF 12-28

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Boston College 81 - Fairleigh Dickinson 66	0.854	Boston College 78 - Fairleigh Dickinson 70	7
Cal Baptist 78 - Jackson State 65	0.848	Cal Baptist 79 - Jackson State 73	7
Cal State Fullerton 86 - Unranked 56		Cal State Fullerton 93 - Unranked 60
Cal State Northridge 94 - Unranked 56		Cal State Northridge 87 - Unranked 52
Charleston Southern 87 - Unranked 60		Charleston Southern 95 - Unranked 89
Colorado State 76 - New Mexico 77	0.531	Colorado State 68 - New Mexico 76	7
Columbia 79 - Fairfield 66	0.802	Columbia 85 - Fairfield 72	0
Davidson 80 - Eastern Michigan 64	0.883	Davidson 86 - Eastern Michigan 64	-6
DePaul 80 - Loyola MD 64	0.852	DePaul 84 - Loyola MD 65	-3
Eastern Illinois 86 - Unranked 60		Eastern Illinois 99 - Unranked 55
Elon 73 - Marshall 69	0.59	Elon 73 - Marshall 59	-10
George Mason 77 - Mt St Marys 64	0.848	George Mason 64 - Mt St Marys 56	5
Georgetown 86 - Coppin State 54	0.955	Georgetown 83 - Coppin State 53	2
Georgia State 75 - Mercer 74	0.513	Georgia State 68 - Mercer 71	4
Georgia Tech 84 - Alabama AM 61	0.947	Georgia Tech 92 - Alabama AM 49	-20
Hampton 73 - Howard 68	0.643	Hampton 83 - Howard 67	-11
Louisville 85 - Eastern Kentucky 66	0.887	Louisville 78 - Eastern Kentucky 76	17
Maryland 95 - Maryland Eastern Shore 53	0.977	Maryland 81 - Maryland Eastern Shore 66	27
Mcneese State 81 - New Orleans 60	0.935	Mcneese State 86 - New Orleans 61	-4
Memphis 78 - Mississippi 74	0.595	Memphis 87 - Mississippi 70	-13
Morehead State 86 - Unranked 57		Morehead State 94 - Unranked 63
Nevada Las Vegas 80 - Fresno State 66	0.899	Nevada Las Vegas 87 - Fresno State 77	4
New Mexico State 90 - Unranked 56		New Mexico State 85 - Unranked 52
North Carolina AT 71 - North Carolina Central 74	0.615	North Carolina AT 85 - North Carolina Central 72	-16
Old Dominion 87 - Unranked 60		Old Dominion 82 - Unranked 44
Omaha 87 - Unranked 58		Omaha 81 - Unranked 51
Portland 64 - Washington State 85	0.907	Portland 73 - Washington State 89	-5
Richmond 69 - Florida Gulf Coast 70	0.513	Richmond 57 - Florida Gulf Coast 75	17
Saint Johns 89 - Delaware 64	0.955	Saint Johns 97 - Delaware 76	4
Saint Josephs 81 - Delaware State 63	0.901	Saint Josephs 76 - Delaware State 58	0
Saint Louis 94 - Unranked 56		Saint Louis 78 - Unranked 57
Saint Marys 83 - Pacific 57	0.935	Saint Marys 70 - Pacific 60	16
Sam Houston State 95 - Unranked 58		Sam Houston State 111 - Unranked 65
San Diego 64 - Grand Canyon 80	0.894	San Diego 55 - Grand Canyon 68	-3
San Diego State 74 - Utah State 72	0.572	San Diego State 66 - Utah State 67	3
San Francisco 76 - Loyola Marymount 64	0.788	San Francisco 70 - Loyola Marymount 55	-3
San Jose State 68 - Boise State 79	0.759	San Jose State 71 - Boise State 73	-9
Santa Clara 82 - Pepperdine 67	0.79	Santa Clara 91 - Pepperdine 80	4
South Florida 92 - Unranked 56		South Florida 106 - Unranked 49
Syracuse 81 - Bucknell 67	0.869	Syracuse 75 - Bucknell 63	2
Texas AM 84 - Abilene Christian 59	0.95	Texas AM 92 - Abilene Christian 54	-13
Texas El Paso 94 - Unranked 52		Texas El Paso 79 - Unranked 60
Texas Southern 87 - Unranked 62		Texas Southern 103 - Unranked 68
Tulsa 90 - Unranked 59		Tulsa 96 - Unranked 63
UC Davis 90 - Unranked 55		UC Davis 109 - Unranked 46
UC San Diego 97 - Unranked 50		UC San Diego 109 - Unranked 50
UC Santa Barbara 91 - Unranked 53		UC Santa Barbara 89 - Unranked 72
UCLA 75 - Gonzaga 77	0.548	UCLA 65 - Gonzaga 62	-5
UNC Greensboro 90 - Unranked 52		UNC Greensboro 105 - Unranked 50
UNC Wilmington 94 - Unranked 53		UNC Wilmington 99 - Unranked 47
Utah Valley 91 - Unranked 53		Utah Valley 119 - Unranked 59
Wofford 90 - Unranked 54		Wofford 100 - Unranked 55
Wyoming 66 - Nevada 75	0.744	Wyoming 66 - Nevada 63	-12

GAMES OF 12-29

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama 90 - South Dakota State 70	0.886	Alabama 105 - South Dakota State 82	-3
Albany 75 - Stony Brook 69	0.666	Albany 77 - Stony Brook 70	-1
American 74 - UMBC 71	0.584	American 93 - UMBC 96	6
Army 73 - Texas San Antonio 78	0.679	Army 78 - Texas San Antonio 75	-8
Austin Peay 84 - Unranked 56		Austin Peay 93 - Unranked 46
Bradley 82 - Valparaiso 66	0.877	Bradley 81 - Valparaiso 75	10
Central Arkansas 85 - Unranked 61		Central Arkansas 87 - Unranked 69
Central Connecticut State 88 - Unranked 52		Central Connecticut State 100 - Unranked 51
Cleveland State 73 - Wright State 72	0.504	Cleveland State 78 - Wright State 64	-13
Coastal Carolina 85 - Unranked 56		Coastal Carolina 75 - Unranked 53
Drake 78 - Belmont 68	0.787	Drake 65 - Belmont 46	-9
Evansville 63 - Missouri State 77	0.808	Evansville 57 - Missouri State 40	-31
Florida 97 - Stetson 53	0.991	Florida 85 - Stetson 45	4
Georgia 84 - South Carolina State 58	0.927	Georgia 79 - South Carolina State 72	19
Green Bay 69 - IPFW 80	0.766	Green Bay 67 - IPFW 83	5
High Point 75 - Norfolk State 69	0.688	High Point 74 - Norfolk State 77	9
Holy Cross 87 - Unranked 57		Holy Cross 82 - Unranked 46
Illinois 92 - Chicago State 51	0.995	Illinois 117 - Chicago State 64	-12
Illinois State 75 - Illinois Chicago 70	0.653	Illinois State 67 - Illinois Chicago 73	11
Incarnate Word 88 - Unranked 57		Incarnate Word 99 - Unranked 48
Indiana 84 - Winthrop 68	0.888	Indiana 77 - Winthrop 68	7
Iona 72 - Harvard 67	0.618	Iona 61 - Harvard 67	11
James Madison 93 - Unranked 54		James Madison 96 - Unranked 64
Kennesaw St 92 - Unranked 58		Kennesaw St 112 - Unranked 77
Kent State 92 - Unranked 49		Kent State 84 - Unranked 80
Lafayette 70 - Stonehill 68	0.539	Lafayette 65 - Stonehill 70	7
Lehigh 89 - Unranked 57		Lehigh 87 - Unranked 67
Lipscomb 93 - Unranked 50		Lipscomb 112 - Unranked 54
Louisiana State 90 - Mississippi Valley State 50	0.99	Louisiana State 110 - Mississippi Valley State 45	-25
Maine 70 - Boston 66	0.588	Maine 56 - Boston 59	7
Marist 71 - Binghamton 63	0.777	Marist 69 - Binghamton 51	-10
Michigan 82 - Western Kentucky 68	0.867	Michigan 112 - Western Kentucky 64	-34
Milwaukee 82 - IUPUI 62	0.919	Milwaukee 88 - IUPUI 81	13
Minnesota 84 - Morgan State 61	0.93	Minnesota 90 - Morgan State 68	1
Niagara 72 - Le Moyne 69	0.613	Niagara 88 - Le Moyne 69	-16
North Carolina 91 - Campbell 59	0.962	North Carolina 97 - Campbell 81	16
North Dakota 90 - Unranked 61		North Dakota 97 - Unranked 57
Northern Iowa 78 - Southern Illinois 66	0.745	Northern Iowa 78 - Southern Illinois 67	1
Northwestern 79 - Northeastern 62	0.887	Northwestern 85 - Northeastern 60	-8
Ohio State 85 - Indiana State 68	0.828	Ohio State 103 - Indiana State 83	-3
Oklahoma 94 - Prairie View 62	0.967	Oklahoma 89 - Prairie View 67	10
Oregon 87 - Weber State 59	0.974	Oregon 89 - Weber State 49	-12
Penn State 88 - Pennsylvania 58	0.959	Penn State 86 - Pennsylvania 66	10
Purdue 88 - Toledo 64	0.915	Purdue 83 - Toledo 64	5
Quinnipiac 66 - Hofstra 74	0.726	Quinnipiac 75 - Hofstra 69	-14
Robert Morris 68 - Northern Kentucky 69	0.535	Robert Morris 97 - Northern Kentucky 93	-5
Sacred Heart 88 - Unranked 59		Sacred Heart 100 - Unranked 60
SE Missouri State 88 - Unranked 57		SE Missouri State 88 - Unranked 39
Southern Methodist 83 - Longwood 65	0.895	Southern Methodist 98 - Longwood 82	2
Tarleton State 71 - Florida AM 67	0.605	Tarleton State 70 - Florida AM 60	-6
Temple 81 - Buffalo 64	0.864	Temple 91 - Buffalo 71	-3
Tennessee Tech 86 - Unranked 59		Tennessee Tech 95 - Unranked 75
Texas 83 - Northwestern State 60	0.959	Texas 77 - Northwestern State 53	-1
Texas AM CC 93 - Unranked 56		Texas AM CC 103 - Unranked 44
Texas State 75 - Texas Arlington 67	0.744	Texas State 72 - Texas Arlington 80	16
UC Riverside 73 - Saint Thomas 74	0.529	UC Riverside 81 - Saint Thomas 79	-3
Washington 85 - NJ Tech 55	0.966	Washington 90 - NJ Tech 53	-7
Wichita State 97 - Unranked 52		Wichita State 87 - Unranked 72
William and Mary 80 - Navy 70	0.782	William and Mary 82 - Navy 76	4
Youngstown State 75 - Detroit 65	0.743	Youngstown State 73 - Detroit 64	1

Number of DI Games: 86
Number Correct: 66 = 76.7%
Expected Number Correct: 67.176 = 78.1%
Average Error: 8.94
Average Signed Error: -0.88

GAMES OF 12-30

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arizona 79 - Texas Christian 70	0.697	Arizona 90 - Texas Christian 81	0
Arkansas 83 - Oakland 62	0.87	Arkansas 92 - Oakland 62	-9
Auburn 96 - Monmouth 56	0.977	Auburn 87 - Monmouth 58	11
Cal Baptist 68 - UC Irvine 76	0.704	Cal Baptist 63 - UC Irvine 71	0
Central Michigan 89 - Unranked 58		Central Michigan 85 - Unranked 39
Colorado 72 - Iowa State 77	0.653	Colorado 69 - Iowa State 79	5
Cornell 78 - Siena 66	0.816	Cornell 77 - Siena 83	18
Eastern Washington 91 - Unranked 58		Eastern Washington 89 - Unranked 63
Florida International 73 - Utah Tech 70	0.631	Florida International 80 - Utah Tech 66	-11
Grambling State 85 - Unranked 59		Grambling State 100 - Unranked 55
Grand Canyon 80 - Bryant 68	0.876	Grand Canyon 112 - Bryant 66	-34
Iowa 91 - New Hampshire 57	0.996	Iowa 112 - New Hampshire 70	-8
Jacksonville State 92 - Unranked 55		Jacksonville State 111 - Unranked 70
Kansas State 68 - Cincinnati 76	0.715	Kansas State 70 - Cincinnati 67	-11
Lamar 89 - Unranked 55		Lamar 82 - Unranked 65
Mcneese State 75 - Southeast Louisiana 62	0.891	Mcneese State 79 - Southeast Louisiana 51	-15
Miami OH 91 - Unranked 56		Miami OH 141 - Unranked 58
Michigan State 88 - Western Michigan 57	0.953	Michigan State 80 - Western Michigan 62	13
Mississippi State 87 - Bethune Cookman 58	0.94	Mississippi State 87 - Bethune Cookman 73	15
Missouri 89 - Alabama State 63	0.949	Missouri 82 - Alabama State 65	9
Nebraska 84 - Southern 59	0.925	Nebraska 77 - Southern 43	-9
Northern Arizona 89 - Unranked 58		Northern Arizona 110 - Unranked 74
Northern Illinois 83 - Unranked 62		Northern Illinois 117 - Unranked 50
Ohio 93 - Unranked 56		Ohio 103 - Unranked 52
Oklahoma State 65 - Houston 81	0.907	Oklahoma State 47 - Houston 60	-3
Oral Roberts 88 - Unranked 60		Oral Roberts 92 - Unranked 54
Oregon State 85 - Portland 61	0.937	Oregon State 89 - Portland 79	14
Pepperdine 66 - Gonzaga 88	0.875	Pepperdine 82 - Gonzaga 89	-15
Princeton 76 - Akron 72	0.622	Princeton 76 - Akron 75	3
Rutgers 81 - Columbia 70	0.791	Rutgers 91 - Columbia 64	-16
Sacramento State 81 - Unranked 59		Sacramento State 78 - Unranked 38
San Diego 72 - Pacific 71	0.501	San Diego 75 - Pacific 65	-9
San Francisco 75 - Santa Clara 71	0.602	San Francisco 97 - Santa Clara 94	1
Seattle 76 - Nicholls State 70	0.679	Seattle 69 - Nicholls State 71	8
South Alabama 92 - Unranked 52		South Alabama 106 - Unranked 41
South Carolina 82 - Presbyterian 60	0.918	South Carolina 69 - Presbyterian 59	12
Southern Miss 86 - Unranked 57		Southern Miss 80 - Unranked 70
UMass Lowell 95 - Unranked 56		UMass Lowell 101 - Unranked 39
UNC Asheville 92 - Unranked 56		UNC Asheville 95 - Unranked 53
UT Rio Grande Valley 93 - Unranked 58		UT Rio Grande Valley 88 - Unranked 44
Vanderbilt 90 - New Orleans 62	0.956	Vanderbilt 100 - New Orleans 56	-16
Vermont 86 - Unranked 53		Vermont 121 - Unranked 37
Washington State 79 - Loyola Marymount 67	0.79	Washington State 73 - Loyola Marymount 59	-2

GAMES OF 12-31

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 68 - Stephen F Austin 67	0.536	Abilene Christian 57 - Stephen F Austin 62	6
Air Force 63 - Nevada Las Vegas 77	0.846	Air Force 58 - Nevada Las Vegas 77	5
Ball State 88 - Unranked 58		Ball State 89 - Unranked 76
Baylor 83 - Utah 72	0.751	Baylor 81 - Utah 56	-14
Brigham Young 76 - Arizona State 74	0.552	Brigham Young 76 - Arizona State 56	-18
Charlotte 74 - Tulane 72	0.552	Charlotte 68 - Tulane 83	17
Creighton 77 - Saint Johns 78	0.541	Creighton 57 - Saint Johns 56	-2
Dayton 82 - La Salle 65	0.88	Dayton 84 - La Salle 70	3
Duke 83 - Virginia Tech 58	0.946	Duke 88 - Virginia Tech 65	2
Duquesne 67 - Rhode Island 75	0.672	Duquesne 67 - Rhode Island 55	-20
Fordham 74 - Saint Louis 73	0.547	Fordham 63 - Saint Louis 88	26
Fresno State 70 - New Mexico 85	0.885	Fresno State 89 - New Mexico 103	-1
George Mason 73 - Davidson 69	0.612	George Mason 69 - Davidson 57	-8
Georgia Tech 72 - Notre Dame 73	0.536	Georgia Tech 86 - Notre Dame 75	-12
Kansas 77 - West Virginia 69	0.687	Kansas 61 - West Virginia 62	9
Kentucky 87 - Brown 66	0.908	Kentucky 88 - Brown 54	-13
Nevada 70 - Utah State 77	0.669	Nevada 64 - Utah State 69	-2
North Carolina Central 86 - Unranked 59		North Carolina Central 121 - Unranked 61
North Texas 77 - Alabama Birmingham 67	0.791	North Texas 78 - Alabama Birmingham 75	7
Portland State 90 - Unranked 58		Portland State 96 - Unranked 39
Providence 69 - Marquette 77	0.716	Providence 50 - Marquette 78	20
Richmond 69 - George Washington 74	0.639	Richmond 66 - George Washington 61	-10
Saint Bonaventure 69 - Virginia Commonwealth 67	0.551	Saint Bonaventure 77 - Virginia Commonwealth 75	0
Saint Josephs 79 - Massachusetts 68	0.799	Saint Josephs 81 - Massachusetts 72	2
San Jose State 71 - Colorado State 75	0.611	San Jose State 50 - Colorado State 72	18
South Florida 73 - East Carolina 71	0.557	South Florida 75 - East Carolina 69	-4
Southern Indiana 68 - Morehead State 69	0.534	Southern Indiana 68 - Morehead State 70	1
Syracuse 72 - Wake Forest 73	0.503	Syracuse 71 - Wake Forest 81	9
Tennessee 84 - Norfolk State 57	0.962	Tennessee 67 - Norfolk State 52	12
Texas Tech 79 - Central Florida 70	0.742	Texas Tech 83 - Central Florida 87	13
Virginia 68 - NC State 66	0.563	Virginia 70 - NC State 67	-1
Wyoming 67 - Boise State 75	0.706	Wyoming 58 - Boise State 67	1
Xavier 77 - Seton Hall 66	0.752	Xavier 94 - Seton Hall 72	-11

GAMES OF 1-1

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Boston College 73 - Miami 74	0.511	Boston College 78 - Miami 68	-11
Butler 75 - Villanova 74	0.522	Butler 65 - Villanova 73	9
Clemson 78 - Stanford 69	0.766	Clemson 85 - Stanford 71	-5
Dartmouth 88 - Unranked 58		Dartmouth 108 - Unranked 55
DePaul 70 - Connecticut 82	0.78	DePaul 68 - Connecticut 81	1
East Tennessee State 79 - Virginia Military Institute 63	0.855	East Tennessee State 84 - Virginia Military Institute 69	1
Illinois Chicago 64 - Drake 75	0.784	Illinois Chicago 74 - Drake 70	-15
Indiana State 73 - Bradley 79	0.667	Indiana State 89 - Bradley 90	-5
IUPUI 64 - Youngstown State 76	0.786	IUPUI 61 - Youngstown State 77	4
Louisville 77 - North Carolina 81	0.588	Louisville 83 - North Carolina 70	-17
Mercer 72 - Chattanooga 74	0.585	Mercer 99 - Chattanooga 94	-7
Missouri State 74 - Valparaiso 71	0.577	Missouri State 72 - Valparaiso 73	4
Northern Iowa 78 - Belmont 73	0.631	Northern Iowa 76 - Belmont 70	-1
Northern Kentucky 70 - IPFW 71	0.506	Northern Kentucky 69 - IPFW 68	-2
Pittsburgh 84 - California 67	0.852	Pittsburgh 86 - California 74	5
Samford 86 - The Citadel 63	0.915	Samford 86 - The Citadel 56	-7
Southern Illinois 74 - Evansville 63	0.72	Southern Illinois 53 - Evansville 68	26
Tulsa 69 - Rice 75	0.659	Tulsa 64 - Rice 70	0
Western Carolina 62 - Furman 79	0.914	Western Carolina 61 - Furman 90	12
Wofford 67 - UNC Greensboro 68	0.506	Wofford 66 - UNC Greensboro 68	1
Yale 80 - Howard 65	0.87	Yale 93 - Howard 65	-13

GAMES OF 1-2

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Appalachian State 67 - Troy 70	0.631	Appalachian State 61 - Troy 69	5
Cal Poly 69 - UC Irvine 82	0.831	Cal Poly 89 - UC Irvine 98	-4
Cal State Bakersfield 68 - UC Davis 70	0.541	Cal State Bakersfield 75 - UC Davis 64	-13
Cal State Fullerton 69 - Cal State Northridge 73	0.635	Cal State Fullerton 65 - Cal State Northridge 95	26
Campbell 64 - Drexel 72	0.72	Campbell 57 - Drexel 54	-11
Central Arkansas 69 - Eastern Kentucky 77	0.752	Central Arkansas 83 - Eastern Kentucky 89	-2
Charleston Southern 70 - Gardner Webb 75	0.611	Charleston Southern 72 - Gardner Webb 63	-14
Coastal Carolina 70 - UL Lafayette 69	0.522	Coastal Carolina 68 - UL Lafayette 71	4
Colgate 73 - Army 70	0.605	Colgate 71 - Army 59	-9
College of Charleston 78 - Hampton 66	0.785	College of Charleston 94 - Hampton 67	-15
Detroit 69 - Robert Morris 73	0.621	Detroit 78 - Robert Morris 76	-6
Eastern Illinois 70 - Lindenwood 68	0.544	Eastern Illinois 78 - Lindenwood 74	-2
Eastern Washington 72 - Montana 75	0.597	Eastern Washington 81 - Montana 92	8
Florida Atlantic 75 - Memphis 83	0.726	Florida Atlantic 62 - Memphis 90	20
Florida International 66 - Middle Tennessee 76	0.825	Florida International 69 - Middle Tennessee 73	-6
Georgia Southern 77 - UL Monroe 66	0.852	Georgia Southern 90 - UL Monroe 82	3
Georgia State 65 - South Alabama 75	0.763	Georgia State 51 - South Alabama 77	16
Gonzaga 94 - Portland 60	0.958	Gonzaga 81 - Portland 50	3
Hawaii 72 - UC Santa Barbara 68	0.627	Hawaii 61 - UC Santa Barbara 64	7
High Point 73 - Radford 68	0.671	High Point 76 - Radford 58	-13
Hofstra 78 - William and Mary 67	0.786	Hofstra 56 - William and Mary 74	29
Holy Cross 71 - Loyola MD 68	0.603	Holy Cross 74 - Loyola MD 72	1
Idaho 71 - Montana State 75	0.597	Idaho 69 - Montana State 64	-9
Indiana 79 - Rutgers 73	0.669	Indiana 84 - Rutgers 74	-4
Jacksonville 67 - Lipscomb 72	0.642	Jacksonville 65 - Lipscomb 70	0
James Madison 76 - Southern Miss 64	0.759	James Madison 83 - Southern Miss 72	1
Lafayette 66 - Boston 68	0.576	Lafayette 60 - Boston 46	-16
Lehigh 74 - Bucknell 69	0.618	Lehigh 66 - Bucknell 64	3
Liberty 77 - Western Kentucky 68	0.738	Liberty 70 - Western Kentucky 71	10
Long Beach State 69 - UC Riverside 74	0.612	Long Beach State 60 - UC Riverside 76	11
Loyola Marymount 67 - Oregon State 75	0.721	Loyola Marymount 82 - Oregon State 61	-29
Marshall 69 - Texas State 73	0.607	Marshall 77 - Texas State 71	-10
Minnesota 66 - Purdue 78	0.865	Minnesota 61 - Purdue 81	8
Monmouth 72 - Stony Brook 69	0.572	Monmouth 78 - Stony Brook 56	-19
Murray State 72 - Illinois State 70	0.588	Murray State 68 - Illinois State 74	8
Navy 68 - American 74	0.663	Navy 81 - American 58	-29
New Mexico State 74 - Sam Houston State 75	0.528	New Mexico State 75 - Sam Houston State 71	-5
North Alabama 80 - Bellarmine 65	0.839	North Alabama 82 - Bellarmine 66	-1
North Carolina AT 66 - Elon 76	0.732	North Carolina AT 67 - Elon 75	-2
North Dakota 74 - Omaha 71	0.567	North Dakota 85 - Omaha 95	13
North Dakota State 76 - Saint Thomas 71	0.626	North Dakota State 85 - Saint Thomas 89	9
North Florida 76 - Austin Peay 67	0.697	North Florida 89 - Austin Peay 97	17
Northeastern 75 - Delaware 71	0.647	Northeastern 80 - Delaware 77	1
Northern Arizona 71 - Idaho State 70	0.543	Northern Arizona 67 - Idaho State 72	6
Northern Colorado 76 - Weber State 70	0.694	Northern Colorado 89 - Weber State 72	-11
Oakland 71 - Milwaukee 74	0.568	Oakland 65 - Milwaukee 49	-19
Old Dominion 65 - Arkansas State 81	0.852	Old Dominion 59 - Arkansas State 78	3
Oregon 78 - Illinois 75	0.598	Oregon 77 - Illinois 109	35
Pacific 61 - San Francisco 79	0.901	Pacific 81 - San Francisco 89	-10
Penn State 75 - Northwestern 73	0.547	Penn State 84 - Northwestern 80	-2
Presbyterian 67 - Longwood 74	0.675	Presbyterian 68 - Longwood 60	-15
Queens 77 - Stetson 66	0.781	Queens 96 - Stetson 87	2
Saint Marys 81 - Pepperdine 62	0.841	Saint Marys 71 - Pepperdine 41	-11
San Diego 64 - Santa Clara 83	0.895	San Diego 80 - Santa Clara 81	-18
SIU Edwardsville 70 - Western Illinois 64	0.653	SIU Edwardsville 77 - Western Illinois 66	-5
South Dakota State 83 - Denver 65	0.901	South Dakota State 91 - Denver 70	-3
Tennessee Martin 65 - Arkansas Little Rock 70	0.6	Tennessee Martin 56 - Arkansas Little Rock 57	-4
Tennessee State 68 - SE Missouri State 75	0.697	Tennessee State 65 - SE Missouri State 67	-5
Tennessee Tech 71 - Southern Indiana 68	0.56	Tennessee Tech 68 - Southern Indiana 64	-1
Texas El Paso 71 - Louisiana Tech 72	0.545	Texas El Paso 70 - Louisiana Tech 60	-11
UMKC 75 - South Dakota 73	0.532	UMKC 68 - South Dakota 54	-12
UNC Wilmington 74 - Towson 64	0.772	UNC Wilmington 61 - Towson 65	14
Washington 71 - Maryland 80	0.69	Washington 75 - Maryland 69	-15
West Georgia 62 - Florida Gulf Coast 74	0.847	West Georgia 68 - Florida Gulf Coast 79	-1
Winthrop 83 - South Carolina Upstate 67	0.896	Winthrop 95 - South Carolina Upstate 76	-3
Wright State 79 - Green Bay 67	0.782	Wright State 74 - Green Bay 51	-11

GAMES OF 1-3

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Bowling Green 69 - Akron 78	0.736	Bowling Green 68 - Akron 71	-6
Georgetown 76 - Xavier 75	0.508	Georgetown 69 - Xavier 63	-5
Iona 66 - Marist 69	0.598	Iona 65 - Marist 70	2
LIU Brooklyn 71 - Le Moyne 70	0.518	LIU Brooklyn 78 - Le Moyne 62	-15
Marquette 81 - Creighton 73	0.703	Marquette 79 - Creighton 71	0
Mercyhurst 66 - Stonehill 70	0.641	Mercyhurst 76 - Stonehill 69	-11
Merrimack 73 - Fairfield 64	0.772	Merrimack 67 - Fairfield 54	-4
New Mexico 78 - Nevada 74	0.588	New Mexico 82 - Nevada 81	3
Ohio State 75 - Michigan State 76	0.512	Ohio State 62 - Michigan State 69	6
Saint Francis Penn 65 - Central Connecticut State 73	0.736	Saint Francis Penn 59 - Central Connecticut State 74	7
Saint Louis 71 - Saint Josephs 76	0.625	Saint Louis 73 - Saint Josephs 57	-21
Saint Peters 71 - Quinnipiac 67	0.618	Saint Peters 46 - Quinnipiac 59	17
Siena 70 - Manhattan 71	0.504	Siena 103 - Manhattan 95	-9
Temple 73 - Wichita State 74	0.527	Temple 91 - Wichita State 85	-7
Wagner 70 - Chicago State 60	0.824	Wagner 52 - Chicago State 64	22
Wisconsin 80 - Iowa 77	0.601	Wisconsin 116 - Iowa 85	-28

GAMES OF 1-4

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 63 - Wyoming 73	0.736	Air Force 65 - Wyoming 70	-5
Alabama 85 - Oklahoma 76	0.741	Alabama 107 - Oklahoma 79	-19
Alabama AM 76 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 72	0.596	Alabama AM 89 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 79	-6
Alabama Birmingham 82 - Tulsa 70	0.792	Alabama Birmingham 83 - Tulsa 51	-20
Alabama State 79 - Mississippi Valley State 61	0.857	Alabama State 84 - Mississippi Valley State 55	-11
Albany 72 - UMass Lowell 77	0.651	Albany 69 - UMass Lowell 73	-1
Alcorn State 71 - Jackson State 70	0.509	Alcorn State 69 - Jackson State 72	4
Appalachian State 67 - Texas State 69	0.553	Appalachian State 72 - Texas State 61	-13
Arizona State 75 - Colorado 72	0.599	Arizona State 81 - Colorado 61	-17
Auburn 87 - Missouri 70	0.884	Auburn 84 - Missouri 68	1
Belmont 78 - Illinois Chicago 73	0.642	Belmont 92 - Illinois Chicago 87	0
Binghamton 71 - UMBC 73	0.581	Binghamton 87 - UMBC 82	-7
Boise State 70 - San Diego State 73	0.586	Boise State 68 - San Diego State 76	5
Bradley 78 - Missouri State 64	0.815	Bradley 69 - Missouri State 60	5
Bryant 75 - Maine 70	0.649	Bryant 81 - Maine 55	-21
Cal Baptist 74 - Seattle 72	0.55	Cal Baptist 61 - Seattle 59	0
Cal State Bakersfield 71 - Long Beach State 70	0.513	Cal State Bakersfield 80 - Long Beach State 65	-14
Cal State Fullerton 64 - UC San Diego 77	0.824	Cal State Fullerton 51 - UC San Diego 90	26
Cal State Northridge 74 - UC Davis 70	0.602	Cal State Northridge 73 - UC Davis 61	-8
Central Arkansas 74 - Bellarmine 69	0.631	Central Arkansas 71 - Bellarmine 65	-1
Central Michigan 71 - Ohio 76	0.62	Central Michigan 55 - Ohio 57	-3
Cincinnati 73 - Arizona 74	0.511	Cincinnati 67 - Arizona 72	4
Clemson 83 - California 67	0.885	Clemson 80 - California 68	4
Cleveland State 77 - IUPUI 62	0.841	Cleveland State 67 - IUPUI 61	9
Coastal Carolina 73 - UL Monroe 65	0.756	Coastal Carolina 70 - UL Monroe 51	-11
College of Charleston 77 - Towson 63	0.832	College of Charleston 77 - Towson 69	6
Coppin State 66 - North Carolina Central 72	0.66	Coppin State 63 - North Carolina Central 61	-8
Davidson 73 - Duquesne 65	0.712	Davidson 77 - Duquesne 71	2
Delaware 77 - Monmouth 71	0.661	Delaware 84 - Monmouth 64	-14
Detroit 67 - Milwaukee 77	0.753	Detroit 56 - Milwaukee 64	-2
East Tennessee State 71 - Wofford 68	0.579	East Tennessee State 78 - Wofford 81	6
East Texas AM 61 - Mcneese State 77	0.934	East Texas AM 56 - Mcneese State 75	3
Eastern Illinois 70 - Western Illinois 68	0.546	Eastern Illinois 67 - Western Illinois 75	10
Eastern Michigan 75 - Northern Illinois 67	0.707	Eastern Michigan 75 - Northern Illinois 71	4
Eastern Washington 72 - Montana State 74	0.54	Eastern Washington 68 - Montana State 63	-7
Elon 71 - Hampton 67	0.611	Elon 70 - Hampton 62	-4
Evansville 68 - Indiana State 78	0.713	Evansville 62 - Indiana State 66	-6
Florida AM 68 - Bethune Cookman 71	0.592	Florida AM 55 - Bethune Cookman 62	4
Florida International 68 - Western Kentucky 79	0.806	Florida International 85 - Western Kentucky 66	-30
Florida State 79 - Syracuse 72	0.704	Florida State 90 - Syracuse 74	-9
Fordham 65 - Saint Bonaventure 74	0.798	Fordham 66 - Saint Bonaventure 86	11
Gardner Webb 76 - Presbyterian 69	0.673	Gardner Webb 63 - Presbyterian 61	5
George Washington 66 - Dayton 78	0.792	George Washington 82 - Dayton 62	-32
Georgia Southern 67 - South Alabama 74	0.669	Georgia Southern 47 - South Alabama 76	22
Georgia State 70 - UL Lafayette 71	0.502	Georgia State 94 - UL Lafayette 70	-25
Georgia Tech 75 - Boston College 70	0.646	Georgia Tech 85 - Boston College 64	-16
Grand Canyon 79 - Southern Utah 66	0.862	Grand Canyon 82 - Southern Utah 71	2
Hawaii 81 - Cal Poly 70	0.808	Hawaii 68 - Cal Poly 55	-2
Houston 79 - Brigham Young 67	0.797	Houston 86 - Brigham Young 55	-19
Howard 74 - Delaware State 70	0.653	Howard 100 - Delaware State 94	-2
Idaho 71 - Montana 76	0.648	Idaho 71 - Montana 73	-3
Iowa State 79 - Baylor 76	0.568	Iowa State 74 - Baylor 55	-16
IPFW 74 - Youngstown State 70	0.587	IPFW 90 - Youngstown State 81	-5
Jacksonville 71 - Austin Peay 63	0.712	Jacksonville 68 - Austin Peay 44	-16
James Madison 72 - Arkansas State 75	0.571	James Madison 67 - Arkansas State 62	-8
Kennesaw St 73 - Jacksonville State 74	0.555	Kennesaw St 83 - Jacksonville State 71	-13
Kent State 76 - Ball State 61	0.809	Kent State 67 - Ball State 75	23
Kentucky 78 - Florida 80	0.563	Kentucky 106 - Florida 100	-8
Lamar 75 - Houston Christian 63	0.779	Lamar 63 - Houston Christian 61	10
Liberty 75 - Middle Tennessee 66	0.745	Liberty 73 - Middle Tennessee 63	-1
Longwood 77 - Charleston Southern 64	0.786	Longwood 83 - Charleston Southern 78	8
Louisiana State 78 - Vanderbilt 77	0.523	Louisiana State 72 - Vanderbilt 80	9
Loyola Ill 66 - Virginia Commonwealth 73	0.701	Loyola Ill 65 - Virginia Commonwealth 84	12
Loyola Marymount 66 - Gonzaga 84	0.858	Loyola Marymount 68 - Gonzaga 96	10
Marshall 68 - Troy 74	0.682	Marshall 57 - Troy 58	-5
Massachusetts 75 - Richmond 71	0.626	Massachusetts 64 - Richmond 72	12
Miami OH 78 - Buffalo 67	0.776	Miami OH 93 - Buffalo 79	-3
Mississippi 75 - Georgia 73	0.546	Mississippi 63 - Georgia 51	-10
Mississippi State 78 - South Carolina 68	0.722	Mississippi State 85 - South Carolina 50	-25
Morgan State 70 - South Carolina State 76	0.645	Morgan State 72 - South Carolina State 86	8
Nebraska 70 - UCLA 73	0.567	Nebraska 66 - UCLA 58	-11
Nevada Las Vegas 77 - San Jose State 69	0.73	Nevada Las Vegas 79 - San Jose State 73	2
New Hampshire 61 - Vermont 70	0.761	New Hampshire 40 - Vermont 60	11
New Mexico State 67 - Louisiana Tech 76	0.756	New Mexico State 78 - Louisiana Tech 48	-39
New Orleans 72 - UT Rio Grande Valley 79	0.67	New Orleans 64 - UT Rio Grande Valley 76	5
NJ Tech 81 - Unranked 61		NJ Tech 107 - Unranked 51
Norfolk State 80 - Maryland Eastern Shore 62	0.847	Norfolk State 81 - Maryland Eastern Shore 59	-4
North Alabama 75 - Eastern Kentucky 73	0.55	North Alabama 88 - Eastern Kentucky 67	-19
North Carolina AT 65 - Drexel 75	0.816	North Carolina AT 59 - Drexel 68	-1
North Dakota 70 - Saint Thomas 79	0.734	North Dakota 80 - Saint Thomas 88	-1
North Dakota State 80 - Omaha 63	0.837	North Dakota State 80 - Omaha 85	22
North Florida 72 - Lipscomb 77	0.616	North Florida 64 - Lipscomb 96	27
Northeastern 68 - Hofstra 69	0.507	Northeastern 37 - Hofstra 55	17
Northern Arizona 71 - Weber State 72	0.504	Northern Arizona 80 - Weber State 77	-4
Northern Colorado 76 - Idaho State 68	0.735	Northern Colorado 93 - Idaho State 92	7
Northern Kentucky 77 - Green Bay 64	0.842	Northern Kentucky 78 - Green Bay 60	-5
Northwestern State 71 - Nicholls State 70	0.501	Northwestern State 68 - Nicholls State 66	-1
Notre Dame 73 - North Carolina 81	0.705	Notre Dame 73 - North Carolina 74	-7
Oakland 72 - Robert Morris 70	0.568	Oakland 71 - Robert Morris 79	10
Old Dominion 70 - Southern Miss 71	0.516	Old Dominion 74 - Southern Miss 71	-4
Oregon State 83 - San Diego 59	0.956	Oregon State 81 - San Diego 54	-3
Pacific 70 - Pepperdine 74	0.587	Pacific 70 - Pepperdine 87	13
Pittsburgh 80 - Stanford 69	0.753	Pittsburgh 83 - Stanford 68	-4
Portland 60 - Saint Marys 82	0.903	Portland 58 - Saint Marys 81	1
Prairie View 74 - Grambling State 73	0.523	Prairie View 73 - Grambling State 55	-17
Princeton 95 - Unranked 53		Princeton 92 - Unranked 71
Queens 68 - Florida Gulf Coast 72	0.617	Queens 92 - Florida Gulf Coast 83	-13
Radford 73 - Winthrop 72	0.541	Radford 87 - Winthrop 67	-19
Rhode Island 74 - George Mason 71	0.588	Rhode Island 62 - George Mason 59	0
Rice 73 - Charlotte 68	0.639	Rice 68 - Charlotte 55	-8
Sacramento State 65 - Portland State 73	0.726	Sacramento State 56 - Portland State 53	-11
Saint Johns 81 - Butler 71	0.739	Saint Johns 70 - Butler 62	2
SIU Edwardsville 71 - Lindenwood 65	0.656	SIU Edwardsville 58 - Lindenwood 47	-5
South Dakota 82 - Denver 72	0.744	South Dakota 91 - Denver 84	3
Southeast Louisiana 70 - Texas AM CC 72	0.577	Southeast Louisiana 71 - Texas AM CC 80	7
Southern California 71 - Michigan 78	0.634	Southern California 74 - Michigan 85	4
Southern Methodist 70 - Duke 78	0.725	Southern Methodist 62 - Duke 89	19
Stephen F Austin 70 - Incarnate Word 64	0.724	Stephen F Austin 49 - Incarnate Word 55	12
Stony Brook 72 - William and Mary 73	0.513	Stony Brook 76 - William and Mary 83	6
Tarleton State 67 - Texas Arlington 73	0.641	Tarleton State 77 - Texas Arlington 74	-9
Tennessee 79 - Arkansas 67	0.788	Tennessee 76 - Arkansas 52	-12
Tennessee Martin 68 - SE Missouri State 71	0.553	Tennessee Martin 66 - SE Missouri State 63	-6
Tennessee State 65 - Arkansas Little Rock 74	0.748	Tennessee State 95 - Arkansas Little Rock 86	-18
Tennessee Tech 69 - Morehead State 70	0.521	Tennessee Tech 74 - Morehead State 55	-20
Texas AM 76 - Texas 71	0.697	Texas AM 80 - Texas 60	-15
Texas Christian 76 - Kansas State 68	0.688	Texas Christian 63 - Kansas State 62	7
Texas El Paso 77 - Sam Houston State 71	0.653	Texas El Paso 81 - Sam Houston State 72	-3
Texas Southern 70 - Southern 74	0.632	Texas Southern 58 - Southern 67	5
The Citadel 63 - Chattanooga 78	0.815	The Citadel 68 - Chattanooga 81	-2
Tulane 77 - Texas San Antonio 73	0.621	Tulane 92 - Texas San Antonio 63	-25
UC Irvine 76 - UC Riverside 66	0.754	UC Irvine 81 - UC Riverside 57	-14
UMKC 73 - Oral Roberts 67	0.68	UMKC 90 - Oral Roberts 67	-17
UNC Asheville 73 - High Point 74	0.529	UNC Asheville 103 - High Point 99	-5
UNC Greensboro 66 - Furman 71	0.675	UNC Greensboro 84 - Furman 67	-22
UNC Wilmington 79 - Campbell 63	0.832	UNC Wilmington 77 - Campbell 69	8
Utah 73 - Texas Tech 78	0.631	Utah 65 - Texas Tech 93	23
Utah State 88 - Fresno State 62	0.969	Utah State 89 - Fresno State 83	20
Utah Valley 73 - Abilene Christian 67	0.653	Utah Valley 64 - Abilene Christian 53	-5
Valparaiso 70 - Northern Iowa 77	0.677	Valparaiso 80 - Northern Iowa 73	-14
Villanova 78 - DePaul 71	0.659	Villanova 100 - DePaul 56	-37
Virginia 68 - Louisville 69	0.516	Virginia 50 - Louisville 70	19
Virginia Military Institute 70 - Mercer 76	0.709	Virginia Military Institute 67 - Mercer 70	-3
Virginia Tech 74 - Miami 73	0.525	Virginia Tech 86 - Miami 85	0
Wake Forest 71 - NC State 70	0.528	Wake Forest 77 - NC State 59	-17
Washington State 73 - San Francisco 72	0.54	Washington State 91 - San Francisco 82	-8
West Georgia 71 - Stetson 68	0.604	West Georgia 62 - Stetson 78	19
West Virginia 79 - Oklahoma State 68	0.783	West Virginia 69 - Oklahoma State 50	-8
Western Carolina 69 - Samford 82	0.841	Western Carolina 69 - Samford 88	6
Western Michigan 71 - Toledo 77	0.625	Western Michigan 70 - Toledo 76	0

GAMES OF 1-5

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
American 72 - Holy Cross 68	0.588	American 75 - Holy Cross 64	-7
Boston 72 - Army 68	0.643	Boston 71 - Army 63	-4
Brown 91 - Unranked 54		Brown 98 - Unranked 57
Bucknell 71 - Colgate 70	0.516	Bucknell 66 - Colgate 60	-5
Central Florida 70 - Kansas 78	0.748	Central Florida 48 - Kansas 99	43
Connecticut 79 - Providence 67	0.799	Connecticut 87 - Providence 84	9
Cornell 95 - Unranked 56		Cornell 123 - Unranked 71
Drake 76 - Murray State 61	0.86	Drake 59 - Murray State 66	22
East Carolina 71 - Florida Atlantic 79	0.727	East Carolina 76 - Florida Atlantic 78	-6
Harvard 87 - Unranked 56		Harvard 71 - Unranked 65
Illinois State 73 - Southern Illinois 68	0.654	Illinois State 85 - Southern Illinois 54	-26
LIU Brooklyn 72 - Chicago State 65	0.714	LIU Brooklyn 53 - Chicago State 39	-7
Loyola MD 70 - Lehigh 71	0.537	Loyola MD 80 - Lehigh 74	-7
Marist 72 - Quinnipiac 66	0.696	Marist 69 - Quinnipiac 62	-1
Memphis 77 - North Texas 66	0.795	Memphis 68 - North Texas 64	7
Mercyhurst 61 - Central Connecticut State 71	0.789	Mercyhurst 50 - Central Connecticut State 62	2
Mt St Marys 72 - Niagara 66	0.713	Mt St Marys 68 - Niagara 62	0
Navy 68 - Lafayette 71	0.572	Navy 71 - Lafayette 70	-4
Oregon 79 - Maryland 73	0.625	Oregon 83 - Maryland 79	2
Penn State 78 - Indiana 74	0.6	Penn State 71 - Indiana 77	10
Purdue 75 - Northwestern 70	0.65	Purdue 79 - Northwestern 61	-13
Rider 69 - Manhattan 73	0.634	Rider 79 - Manhattan 80	-3
Sacred Heart 76 - Canisius 66	0.753	Sacred Heart 99 - Canisius 82	-7
Saint Francis Penn 70 - Stonehill 72	0.565	Saint Francis Penn 60 - Stonehill 64	2
Siena 69 - Iona 68	0.512	Siena 73 - Iona 74	2
Wagner 70 - Fairleigh Dickinson 66	0.642	Wagner 59 - Fairleigh Dickinson 71	16
Washington 70 - Illinois 81	0.756	Washington 77 - Illinois 81	-7

Number of DI Games: 319
Number Correct: 229 = 71.7%
Expected Number Correct: 220.119 = 69%
Average Error: 9.64
Average Signed Error: -1.76

GAMES OF 1-6

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alabama AM 74 - Mississippi Valley State 63	0.755	Alabama AM 79 - Mississippi Valley State 67	-1
Alabama State 85 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 69	0.859	Alabama State 93 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 91	14
Coppin State 63 - South Carolina State 73	0.739	Coppin State 77 - South Carolina State 85	-2
Delaware State 67 - Norfolk State 77	0.802	Delaware State 64 - Norfolk State 73	-1
East Texas AM 68 - Nicholls State 75	0.763	East Texas AM 61 - Nicholls State 83	15
Houston 79 - Texas Christian 61	0.884	Houston 65 - Texas Christian 46	-1
Lamar 72 - Incarnate Word 67	0.617	Lamar 72 - Incarnate Word 58	-9
Minnesota 67 - Ohio State 78	0.783	Minnesota 88 - Ohio State 89	-10
New Orleans 68 - Texas AM CC 80	0.8	New Orleans 83 - Texas AM CC 97	2
Northwestern State 62 - Mcneese State 73	0.841	Northwestern State 69 - Mcneese State 92	12
Prairie View 73 - Southern 75	0.57	Prairie View 80 - Southern 84	2
Rutgers 74 - Wisconsin 81	0.684	Rutgers 63 - Wisconsin 75	5
Southeast Louisiana 70 - UT Rio Grande Valley 75	0.618	Southeast Louisiana 79 - UT Rio Grande Valley 75	-9
Stephen F Austin 70 - Houston Christian 61	0.861	Stephen F Austin 73 - Houston Christian 83	19
Texas Southern 72 - Grambling State 70	0.563	Texas Southern 71 - Grambling State 66	-3
Wichita State 79 - South Florida 70	0.698	Wichita State 72 - South Florida 91	28

GAMES OF 1-7

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 76 - Central Michigan 67	0.731	Akron 87 - Central Michigan 71	-7
Alabama Birmingham 78 - Tulane 73	0.603	Alabama Birmingham 81 - Tulane 69	-7
Ball State 71 - Miami OH 73	0.542	Ball State 72 - Miami OH 80	6
Baylor 76 - Cincinnati 70	0.668	Baylor 68 - Cincinnati 48	-14
Boise State 76 - Nevada Las Vegas 70	0.696	Boise State 81 - Nevada Las Vegas 59	-16
Brigham Young 76 - Texas Tech 77	0.52	Brigham Young 67 - Texas Tech 72	4
Buffalo 69 - Ohio 80	0.804	Buffalo 79 - Ohio 88	-2
Colorado State 82 - Fresno State 67	0.864	Colorado State 91 - Fresno State 64	-12
Duke 79 - Pittsburgh 69	0.747	Duke 76 - Pittsburgh 47	-19
Eastern Illinois 66 - SIU Edwardsville 71	0.641	Eastern Illinois 57 - SIU Edwardsville 60	-2
Florida 73 - Tennessee 75	0.566	Florida 73 - Tennessee 43	-32
Georgia 74 - Kentucky 80	0.627	Georgia 82 - Kentucky 69	-19
Iowa 76 - Nebraska 80	0.601	Iowa 97 - Nebraska 87	-14
Iowa State 84 - Utah 67	0.876	Iowa State 82 - Utah 59	-6
Louisville 76 - Clemson 75	0.517	Louisville 74 - Clemson 64	-9
Marquette 81 - Georgetown 68	0.8	Marquette 74 - Georgetown 66	5
Missouri 78 - Louisiana State 75	0.594	Missouri 83 - Louisiana State 67	-13
Missouri State 71 - Illinois Chicago 73	0.563	Missouri State 63 - Illinois Chicago 80	15
Morgan State 73 - North Carolina Central 75	0.571	Morgan State 102 - North Carolina Central 98	-6
North Carolina 82 - Southern Methodist 80	0.57	North Carolina 82 - Southern Methodist 67	-13
Northern Illinois 59 - Kent State 77	0.884	Northern Illinois 50 - Kent State 68	0
Oklahoma State 74 - Kansas State 73	0.517	Oklahoma State 79 - Kansas State 66	-12
Saint Marys 76 - Loyola Marymount 63	0.778	Saint Marys 81 - Loyola Marymount 56	-12
San Jose State 66 - Utah State 83	0.88	San Jose State 78 - Utah State 85	-10
Syracuse 75 - Georgia Tech 76	0.532	Syracuse 62 - Georgia Tech 55	-8
Texas 70 - Auburn 83	0.842	Texas 82 - Auburn 87	-8
Texas San Antonio 76 - Tulsa 71	0.628	Texas San Antonio 77 - Tulsa 82	10
Toledo 80 - Eastern Michigan 69	0.775	Toledo 90 - Eastern Michigan 87	8
UCLA 72 - Michigan 73	0.504	UCLA 75 - Michigan 94	18
Vanderbilt 75 - Mississippi State 78	0.563	Vanderbilt 64 - Mississippi State 76	9
West Virginia 76 - Arizona 75	0.512	West Virginia 56 - Arizona 75	20
Western Michigan 73 - Bowling Green 71	0.549	Western Michigan 79 - Bowling Green 83	6
Wyoming 71 - New Mexico 80	0.742	Wyoming 53 - New Mexico 61	-1
Xavier 75 - Saint Johns 79	0.605	Xavier 72 - Saint Johns 82	6

GAMES OF 1-8

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Appalachian State 71 - Coastal Carolina 62	0.755	Appalachian State 74 - Coastal Carolina 51	-14
Arkansas 75 - Mississippi 74	0.52	Arkansas 66 - Mississippi 73	8
Army 71 - Loyola MD 72	0.532	Army 74 - Loyola MD 72	-3
Belmont 81 - Southern Illinois 67	0.821	Belmont 90 - Southern Illinois 86	10
Boston 68 - American 65	0.554	Boston 60 - American 54	-3
Bradley 70 - Drake 68	0.549	Bradley 57 - Drake 64	9
Bucknell 70 - Lafayette 66	0.625	Bucknell 65 - Lafayette 62	1
California 69 - Virginia 72	0.576	California 75 - Virginia 61	-17
Central Florida 75 - Colorado 74	0.536	Central Florida 75 - Colorado 74	0
Charleston Southern 68 - High Point 77	0.752	Charleston Southern 79 - High Point 93	5
Charlotte 71 - Florida Atlantic 80	0.744	Charlotte 64 - Florida Atlantic 75	2
Colgate 70 - Lehigh 69	0.525	Colgate 67 - Lehigh 62	-4
Duquesne 67 - Saint Josephs 70	0.562	Duquesne 85 - Saint Josephs 81	-7
East Carolina 69 - Temple 74	0.644	East Carolina 80 - Temple 79	-6
Evansville 63 - Illinois State 74	0.739	Evansville 69 - Illinois State 51	-29
Gardner Webb 73 - Winthrop 75	0.583	Gardner Webb 89 - Winthrop 83	-8
George Mason 76 - Richmond 62	0.857	George Mason 64 - Richmond 58	8
Georgia State 74 - Georgia Southern 72	0.563	Georgia State 82 - Georgia Southern 78	-2
Gonzaga 92 - San Diego 59	0.961	Gonzaga 93 - San Diego 80	20
Holy Cross 73 - Navy 68	0.635	Holy Cross 70 - Navy 59	-6
Illinois 84 - Penn State 74	0.742	Illinois 91 - Penn State 52	-29
Indiana 77 - Southern California 70	0.665	Indiana 82 - Southern California 69	-6
IPFW 75 - Milwaukee 73	0.572	IPFW 78 - Milwaukee 73	-3
Kansas 79 - Arizona State 68	0.729	Kansas 74 - Arizona State 55	-8
La Salle 73 - Loyola Ill 72	0.513	La Salle 68 - Loyola Ill 79	12
Longwood 74 - UNC Asheville 73	0.52	Longwood 85 - UNC Asheville 76	-8
Massachusetts 66 - Dayton 82	0.847	Massachusetts 76 - Dayton 72	-20
Mercer 72 - East Tennessee State 74	0.554	Mercer 68 - East Tennessee State 70	0
Miami 72 - Florida State 81	0.738	Miami 65 - Florida State 80	6
NC State 75 - Notre Dame 71	0.591	NC State 66 - Notre Dame 65	3
North Texas 72 - Rice 62	0.802	North Texas 81 - Rice 59	-12
Northern Iowa 74 - Murray State 68	0.656	Northern Iowa 68 - Murray State 71	9
Oklahoma 73 - Texas AM 77	0.635	Oklahoma 78 - Texas AM 80	-2
Omaha 68 - UMKC 70	0.548	Omaha 77 - UMKC 58	-21
Providence 73 - Butler 71	0.533	Providence 84 - Butler 65	-17
Rhode Island 77 - George Washington 70	0.654	Rhode Island 67 - George Washington 75	15
Robert Morris 71 - Cleveland State 70	0.537	Robert Morris 69 - Cleveland State 80	12
Saint Louis 68 - Saint Bonaventure 73	0.659	Saint Louis 73 - Saint Bonaventure 68	-10
Saint Thomas 75 - South Dakota State 74	0.527	Saint Thomas 73 - South Dakota State 72	0
San Diego State 84 - Air Force 54	0.977	San Diego State 67 - Air Force 38	1
Seton Hall 71 - DePaul 72	0.524	Seton Hall 85 - DePaul 80	-6
South Carolina 71 - Alabama 84	0.775	South Carolina 68 - Alabama 88	7
South Carolina Upstate 69 - Presbyterian 74	0.651	South Carolina Upstate 77 - Presbyterian 67	-15
Stanford 77 - Virginia Tech 70	0.707	Stanford 70 - Virginia Tech 59	-4
The Citadel 57 - Furman 80	0.923	The Citadel 63 - Furman 67	-19
Valparaiso 77 - Indiana State 78	0.511	Valparaiso 98 - Indiana State 95	-4
Villanova 75 - Connecticut 79	0.588	Villanova 68 - Connecticut 66	-6
Virginia Commonwealth 80 - Fordham 63	0.929	Virginia Commonwealth 73 - Fordham 61	5
Wofford 77 - Western Carolina 63	0.827	Wofford 77 - Western Carolina 69	6
Youngstown State 70 - Northern Kentucky 68	0.555	Youngstown State 72 - Northern Kentucky 61	-9

GAMES OF 1-9

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arkansas Little Rock 70 - Morehead State 64	0.657	Arkansas Little Rock 53 - Morehead State 59	12
Austin Peay 71 - West Georgia 63	0.746	Austin Peay 68 - West Georgia 72	12
Bellarmine 63 - Jacksonville 77	0.812	Bellarmine 59 - Jacksonville 74	1
Cal State Northridge 69 - UC Irvine 76	0.706	Cal State Northridge 67 - UC Irvine 77	3
Chattanooga 69 - UNC Greensboro 72	0.592	Chattanooga 75 - UNC Greensboro 78	0
Denver 74 - North Dakota 75	0.51	Denver 70 - North Dakota 95	24
Eastern Illinois 69 - Tennessee Tech 71	0.576	Eastern Illinois 64 - Tennessee Tech 69	3
Eastern Kentucky 80 - North Florida 76	0.584	Eastern Kentucky 79 - North Florida 74	-1
Florida Gulf Coast 72 - North Alabama 71	0.515	Florida Gulf Coast 75 - North Alabama 70	-4
Hampton 72 - Campbell 66	0.673	Hampton 55 - Campbell 66	17
Hofstra 68 - College of Charleston 73	0.618	Hofstra 61 - College of Charleston 67	1
IUPUI 67 - Detroit 71	0.613	IUPUI 95 - Detroit 61	-38
Lindenwood 71 - Tennessee State 69	0.569	Lindenwood 72 - Tennessee State 62	-8
Lipscomb 79 - Queens 65	0.848	Lipscomb 73 - Queens 75	16
Louisiana Tech 75 - Florida International 67	0.707	Louisiana Tech 81 - Florida International 64	-9
Maine 69 - Binghamton 66	0.565	Maine 82 - Binghamton 71	-8
Marshall 69 - James Madison 74	0.635	Marshall 80 - James Madison 78	-7
Michigan State 81 - Washington 68	0.787	Michigan State 88 - Washington 54	-21
Middle Tennessee 78 - Kennesaw St 69	0.738	Middle Tennessee 84 - Kennesaw St 79	4
Monmouth 68 - UNC Wilmington 76	0.676	Monmouth 55 - UNC Wilmington 64	1
Montana 79 - Northern Arizona 68	0.787	Montana 81 - Northern Arizona 76	6
Montana State 73 - Northern Colorado 76	0.587	Montana State 82 - Northern Colorado 83	-2
New Hampshire 64 - Albany 76	0.828	New Hampshire 57 - Albany 61	-8
NJ Tech 67 - UMBC 77	0.765	NJ Tech 64 - UMBC 87	13
North Carolina AT 71 - Delaware 78	0.719	North Carolina AT 88 - Delaware 98	3
Ohio State 76 - Oregon 77	0.517	Ohio State 71 - Oregon 73	1
Oral Roberts 67 - North Dakota State 80	0.769	Oral Roberts 96 - North Dakota State 110	1
Portland State 74 - Eastern Washington 73	0.51	Portland State 64 - Eastern Washington 59	-4
Rutgers 72 - Purdue 81	0.771	Rutgers 50 - Purdue 68	9
Sacramento State 65 - Idaho 71	0.663	Sacramento State 67 - Idaho 80	7
Sam Houston State 69 - Liberty 79	0.786	Sam Houston State 68 - Liberty 76	-2
Samford 85 - Virginia Military Institute 64	0.948	Samford 81 - Virginia Military Institute 68	8
San Francisco 85 - Portland 62	0.944	San Francisco 81 - Portland 72	14
Santa Clara 76 - Oregon State 74	0.555	Santa Clara 82 - Oregon State 81	1
SE Missouri State 73 - Southern Indiana 64	0.711	SE Missouri State 77 - Southern Indiana 66	-2
South Alabama 71 - Arkansas State 70	0.543	South Alabama 76 - Arkansas State 62	-13
Southern Miss 75 - UL Monroe 65	0.785	Southern Miss 84 - UL Monroe 67	-7
Southern Utah 73 - Tarleton State 68	0.628	Southern Utah 66 - Tarleton State 74	13
Stetson 72 - Central Arkansas 70	0.547	Stetson 75 - Central Arkansas 65	-8
Stony Brook 63 - Drexel 72	0.773	Stony Brook 51 - Drexel 67	7
Towson 68 - Northeastern 66	0.542	Towson 80 - Northeastern 73	-5
Troy 74 - Texas State 65	0.784	Troy 73 - Texas State 74	10
UC Davis 72 - Cal State Fullerton 64	0.673	UC Davis 63 - Cal State Fullerton 53	-2
UC Riverside 71 - Hawaii 70	0.536	UC Riverside 76 - Hawaii 83	8
UC San Diego 87 - Cal Poly 67	0.911	UC San Diego 95 - Cal Poly 68	-7
UC Santa Barbara 73 - Cal State Bakersfield 66	0.675	UC Santa Barbara 78 - Cal State Bakersfield 66	-5
UL Lafayette 73 - Old Dominion 70	0.602	UL Lafayette 60 - Old Dominion 71	14
UMass Lowell 74 - Vermont 64	0.735	UMass Lowell 63 - Vermont 67	14
Utah Tech 70 - Texas Arlington 76	0.704	Utah Tech 74 - Texas Arlington 62	-18
Utah Valley 67 - Grand Canyon 74	0.647	Utah Valley 72 - Grand Canyon 64	-15
Washington State 87 - Pacific 62	0.953	Washington State 94 - Pacific 95	26
Western Illinois 66 - Tennessee Martin 67	0.502	Western Illinois 83 - Tennessee Martin 85	1
Western Kentucky 77 - Jacksonville State 70	0.693	Western Kentucky 67 - Jacksonville State 73	13
William and Mary 72 - Elon 75	0.574	William and Mary 78 - Elon 65	-16
Wright State 72 - Oakland 70	0.562	Wright State 66 - Oakland 62	-2

GAMES OF 1-10

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Buffalo 64 - Kent State 77	0.842	Buffalo 49 - Kent State 68	6
Canisius 68 - Rider 72	0.602	Canisius 85 - Rider 67	-22
Central Connecticut State 71 - Wagner 55	0.906	Central Connecticut State 57 - Wagner 62	21
Fairfield 69 - Iona 71	0.568	Fairfield 68 - Iona 64	-6
Le Moyne 74 - Fairleigh Dickinson 75	0.533	Le Moyne 86 - Fairleigh Dickinson 91	4
Manhattan 72 - Mt St Marys 75	0.613	Manhattan 66 - Mt St Marys 75	6
Maryland 72 - UCLA 73	0.51	Maryland 79 - UCLA 61	-19
Niagara 65 - Saint Peters 66	0.517	Niagara 70 - Saint Peters 60	-11
Quinnipiac 72 - Siena 67	0.647	Quinnipiac 72 - Siena 53	-14
Sacred Heart 68 - Merrimack 71	0.59	Sacred Heart 65 - Merrimack 66	-2
Saint Francis Penn 69 - Mercyhurst 68	0.554	Saint Francis Penn 73 - Mercyhurst 59	-13
Stonehill 71 - LIU Brooklyn 66	0.654	Stonehill 60 - LIU Brooklyn 70	15
Toledo 77 - Central Michigan 70	0.651	Toledo 69 - Central Michigan 67	5
Wisconsin 82 - Minnesota 66	0.882	Wisconsin 80 - Minnesota 59	-5

GAMES OF 1-11

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Air Force 67 - San Jose State 74	0.675	Air Force 62 - San Jose State 69	0
Alcorn State 74 - Alabama AM 68	0.68	Alcorn State 62 - Alabama AM 52	-4
American 70 - Bucknell 69	0.54	American 68 - Bucknell 58	-9
Appalachian State 67 - James Madison 70	0.587	Appalachian State 86 - James Madison 66	-23
Arizona 84 - Central Florida 72	0.739	Arizona 88 - Central Florida 80	4
Arizona State 73 - Baylor 76	0.564	Arizona State 66 - Baylor 72	3
Arkansas 74 - Florida 79	0.629	Arkansas 63 - Florida 71	3
Austin Peay 69 - Queens 72	0.599	Austin Peay 60 - Queens 67	4
Ball State 76 - Bowling Green 69	0.651	Ball State 91 - Bowling Green 69	-15
Bellarmine 72 - North Florida 81	0.699	Bellarmine 83 - North Florida 98	6
Boston College 74 - Syracuse 75	0.512	Boston College 71 - Syracuse 79	7
Bryant 71 - Vermont 68	0.566	Bryant 73 - Vermont 53	-17
Butler 72 - Creighton 77	0.606	Butler 76 - Creighton 80	-1
Cal Poly 72 - UC Santa Barbara 78	0.664	Cal Poly 72 - UC Santa Barbara 75	-3
Cal State Bakersfield 70 - Cal State Northridge 74	0.613	Cal State Bakersfield 94 - Cal State Northridge 90	-8
Cal State Fullerton 63 - Hawaii 74	0.78	Cal State Fullerton 86 - Hawaii 95	-2
California 76 - Virginia Tech 73	0.585	California 68 - Virginia Tech 71	6
Cincinnati 68 - Kansas 75	0.665	Cincinnati 40 - Kansas 54	7
Clemson 79 - Florida State 71	0.744	Clemson 77 - Florida State 57	-12
Colgate 67 - Boston 65	0.553	Colgate 87 - Boston 50	-35
Colorado State 73 - Nevada Las Vegas 71	0.577	Colorado State 84 - Nevada Las Vegas 62	-20
Columbia 76 - Cornell 75	0.519	Columbia 83 - Cornell 94	12
Dartmouth 72 - Pennsylvania 68	0.606	Dartmouth 73 - Pennsylvania 70	1
Davidson 79 - Fordham 67	0.823	Davidson 74 - Fordham 64	2
Denver 67 - North Dakota State 81	0.772	Denver 50 - North Dakota State 69	5
DePaul 73 - Xavier 79	0.614	DePaul 63 - Xavier 77	8
Drake 76 - Evansville 55	0.871	Drake 63 - Evansville 40	-2
Drexel 67 - Towson 63	0.639	Drexel 82 - Towson 93	15
Duke 84 - Notre Dame 60	0.943	Duke 86 - Notre Dame 78	16
East Tennessee State 79 - The Citadel 59	0.885	East Tennessee State 70 - The Citadel 52	2
Eastern Kentucky 71 - Jacksonville 72	0.522	Eastern Kentucky 75 - Jacksonville 82	6
Eastern Michigan 67 - Akron 78	0.792	Eastern Michigan 81 - Akron 105	13
Florida Gulf Coast 77 - Central Arkansas 63	0.861	Florida Gulf Coast 77 - Central Arkansas 71	8
Fresno State 69 - Nevada 81	0.842	Fresno State 66 - Nevada 77	-1
George Mason 79 - Massachusetts 63	0.899	George Mason 77 - Massachusetts 70	9
Georgetown 72 - Connecticut 79	0.673	Georgetown 60 - Connecticut 68	1
Georgia 75 - Oklahoma 74	0.523	Georgia 72 - Oklahoma 62	-9
Georgia State 71 - Coastal Carolina 69	0.567	Georgia State 79 - Coastal Carolina 74	-3
Gonzaga 84 - Washington State 73	0.768	Gonzaga 88 - Washington State 75	-2
Grambling State 65 - Bethune Cookman 72	0.673	Grambling State 59 - Bethune Cookman 65	-1
Hampton 73 - Delaware 72	0.533	Hampton 83 - Delaware 77	-5
Harvard 66 - Princeton 76	0.766	Harvard 64 - Princeton 68	-6
High Point 78 - Gardner Webb 68	0.792	High Point 96 - Gardner Webb 55	-31
Hofstra 69 - UNC Wilmington 68	0.517	Hofstra 66 - UNC Wilmington 63	-2
Houston Christian 66 - Incarnate Word 72	0.746	Houston Christian 81 - Incarnate Word 76	-11
Howard 82 - Morgan State 71	0.752	Howard 100 - Morgan State 95	6
Idaho State 72 - Weber State 67	0.631	Idaho State 69 - Weber State 77	13
Illinois 84 - Southern California 70	0.79	Illinois 72 - Southern California 82	24
Illinois Chicago 71 - Bradley 76	0.658	Illinois Chicago 60 - Bradley 61	-4
Illinois State 71 - Northern Iowa 72	0.515	Illinois State 84 - Northern Iowa 85	0
Indiana State 79 - Belmont 80	0.51	Indiana State 79 - Belmont 84	4
Iowa 78 - Indiana 80	0.531	Iowa 85 - Indiana 60	-27
IPFW 78 - Detroit 66	0.815	IPFW 90 - Detroit 67	-11
Jackson State 73 - Alabama State 72	0.543	Jackson State 77 - Alabama State 70	-6
Kansas State 62 - Houston 80	0.882	Kansas State 57 - Houston 87	12
Lafayette 69 - Holy Cross 67	0.539	Lafayette 82 - Holy Cross 65	-15
Lamar 68 - Stephen F Austin 63	0.615	Lamar 63 - Stephen F Austin 72	14
Lehigh 75 - Army 69	0.689	Lehigh 69 - Army 74	11
Lindenwood 66 - Tennessee Martin 68	0.556	Lindenwood 82 - Tennessee Martin 81	-3
Lipscomb 82 - West Georgia 56	0.966	Lipscomb 86 - West Georgia 67	7
Louisiana Tech 67 - Liberty 73	0.662	Louisiana Tech 79 - Liberty 74	-11
Loyola MD 73 - Navy 69	0.638	Loyola MD 75 - Navy 74	3
Maine 71 - Albany 70	0.505	Maine 87 - Albany 66	-20
Marshall 76 - Georgia Southern 68	0.71	Marshall 81 - Georgia Southern 69	-4
Mcneese State 77 - Nicholls State 64	0.9	Mcneese State 80 - Nicholls State 71	4
Memphis 86 - East Carolina 62	0.939	Memphis 74 - East Carolina 70	20
Miami 70 - Wake Forest 78	0.693	Miami 78 - Wake Forest 88	2
Miami OH 77 - Western Michigan 66	0.769	Miami OH 91 - Western Michigan 71	-9
Middle Tennessee 76 - Jacksonville State 68	0.751	Middle Tennessee 81 - Jacksonville State 64	-9
Milwaukee 81 - Green Bay 64	0.874	Milwaukee 70 - Green Bay 59	6
Mississippi 78 - Louisiana State 71	0.667	Mississippi 77 - Louisiana State 65	-5
Mississippi State 80 - Kentucky 79	0.522	Mississippi State 90 - Kentucky 95	6
Mississippi Valley State 65 - Prairie View 80	0.792	Mississippi Valley State 65 - Prairie View 74	-6
Missouri 76 - Vanderbilt 77	0.515	Missouri 75 - Vanderbilt 66	-10
Monmouth 67 - College of Charleston 81	0.769	Monmouth 84 - College of Charleston 73	-25
Montana 77 - Northern Colorado 75	0.575	Montana 57 - Northern Colorado 81	26
Montana State 74 - Northern Arizona 69	0.642	Montana State 58 - Northern Arizona 53	0
Murray State 76 - Valparaiso 71	0.635	Murray State 58 - Valparaiso 47	-6
NC State 74 - North Carolina 81	0.684	NC State 61 - North Carolina 63	-5
New Hampshire 63 - Binghamton 72	0.795	New Hampshire 79 - Binghamton 72	-16
New Mexico 75 - San Diego State 79	0.641	New Mexico 62 - San Diego State 48	-18
New Orleans 69 - Southeast Louisiana 73	0.609	New Orleans 71 - Southeast Louisiana 91	16
Norfolk State 79 - Coppin State 58	0.917	Norfolk State 92 - Coppin State 69	-2
North Carolina Central 74 - Maryland Eastern Shore 67	0.669	North Carolina Central 88 - Maryland Eastern Shore 69	-12
Northern Kentucky 71 - Oakland 66	0.609	Northern Kentucky 53 - Oakland 68	20
Northwestern State 73 - East Texas AM 64	0.822	Northwestern State 75 - East Texas AM 67	1
Ohio 82 - Northern Illinois 62	0.906	Ohio 108 - Northern Illinois 70	-18
Omaha 69 - South Dakota State 77	0.752	Omaha 87 - South Dakota State 80	-15
Oral Roberts 76 - North Dakota 75	0.516	Oral Roberts 83 - North Dakota 79	-3
Pacific 63 - Oregon State 81	0.872	Pacific 55 - Oregon State 91	18
Pittsburgh 79 - Louisville 73	0.626	Pittsburgh 78 - Louisville 82	10
Portland State 73 - Idaho 72	0.52	Portland State 75 - Idaho 63	-11
Presbyterian 70 - UNC Asheville 75	0.627	Presbyterian 87 - UNC Asheville 96	4
Providence 74 - Seton Hall 64	0.739	Providence 91 - Seton Hall 85	4
Rice 70 - Temple 71	0.53	Rice 70 - Temple 73	2
Richmond 68 - Rhode Island 77	0.721	Richmond 64 - Rhode Island 67	-6
Sacramento State 66 - Eastern Washington 72	0.69	Sacramento State 54 - Eastern Washington 65	5
Saint Bonaventure 78 - La Salle 63	0.874	Saint Bonaventure 82 - La Salle 83	16
Saint Johns 79 - Villanova 74	0.625	Saint Johns 80 - Villanova 68	-7
Saint Josephs 74 - Loyola Ill 68	0.674	Saint Josephs 93 - Loyola Ill 57	-30
Saint Thomas 83 - South Dakota 72	0.795	Saint Thomas 119 - South Dakota 104	-4
Sam Houston State 76 - Florida International 72	0.628	Sam Houston State 81 - Florida International 74	-3
Samford 75 - UNC Greensboro 72	0.613	Samford 76 - UNC Greensboro 69	-4
San Diego 59 - Saint Marys 80	0.906	San Diego 56 - Saint Marys 103	26
Santa Clara 77 - San Francisco 76	0.506	Santa Clara 77 - San Francisco 54	-22
SE Missouri State 70 - Morehead State 65	0.644	SE Missouri State 56 - Morehead State 67	16
Seattle 75 - Abilene Christian 67	0.685	Seattle 66 - Abilene Christian 64	6
SIU Edwardsville 70 - Tennessee Tech 65	0.615	SIU Edwardsville 67 - Tennessee Tech 59	-3
South Alabama 79 - Old Dominion 60	0.89	South Alabama 63 - Old Dominion 71	27
South Carolina 65 - Auburn 83	0.877	South Carolina 63 - Auburn 66	-15
South Carolina State 74 - Delaware State 67	0.704	South Carolina State 75 - Delaware State 76	8
South Carolina Upstate 66 - Radford 78	0.806	South Carolina Upstate 67 - Radford 80	1
Southern 75 - Florida AM 66	0.775	Southern 91 - Florida AM 57	-25
Southern Illinois 68 - Missouri State 71	0.583	Southern Illinois 88 - Missouri State 78	-13
Southern Methodist 82 - Georgia Tech 71	0.787	Southern Methodist 93 - Georgia Tech 71	-11
Southern Miss 68 - Texas State 73	0.662	Southern Miss 92 - Texas State 88	-9
Southern Utah 75 - Texas Arlington 74	0.506	Southern Utah 73 - Texas Arlington 68	-4
Stanford 70 - Virginia 68	0.558	Stanford 88 - Virginia 65	-21
Stetson 66 - North Alabama 78	0.772	Stetson 64 - North Alabama 92	16
Stony Brook 65 - Northeastern 73	0.713	Stony Brook 66 - Northeastern 70	-4
Texas 67 - Tennessee 77	0.788	Texas 70 - Tennessee 74	-6
Texas AM 79 - Alabama 80	0.533	Texas AM 88 - Alabama 94	5
Texas AM CC 77 - UT Rio Grande Valley 74	0.588	Texas AM CC 79 - UT Rio Grande Valley 74	-2
Texas Christian 73 - Brigham Young 75	0.544	Texas Christian 71 - Brigham Young 67	-6
Texas El Paso 75 - New Mexico State 67	0.678	Texas El Paso 57 - New Mexico State 85	36
Texas San Antonio 70 - Wichita State 81	0.741	Texas San Antonio 88 - Wichita State 75	-24
Texas Tech 74 - Iowa State 77	0.583	Texas Tech 84 - Iowa State 85	-2
Troy 70 - Arkansas State 71	0.502	Troy 78 - Arkansas State 84	5
Tulane 75 - South Florida 72	0.59	Tulane 73 - South Florida 70	0
UC Davis 72 - Long Beach State 67	0.608	UC Davis 73 - Long Beach State 84	16
UC San Diego 73 - UC Irvine 71	0.556	UC San Diego 52 - UC Irvine 60	10
UL Lafayette 75 - UL Monroe 66	0.765	UL Lafayette 71 - UL Monroe 68	6
UMass Lowell 82 - NJ Tech 60	0.946	UMass Lowell 70 - NJ Tech 62	14
Utah 77 - Oklahoma State 72	0.652	Utah 83 - Oklahoma State 62	-16
Utah State 78 - Boise State 70	0.736	Utah State 81 - Boise State 79	6
Utah Tech 69 - Tarleton State 70	0.55	Utah Tech 58 - Tarleton State 54	-5
Utah Valley 71 - Cal Baptist 70	0.52	Utah Valley 75 - Cal Baptist 69	-5
Western Illinois 73 - Tennessee State 69	0.619	Western Illinois 52 - Tennessee State 72	24
Western Kentucky 79 - Kennesaw St 72	0.691	Western Kentucky 85 - Kennesaw St 69	-9
William and Mary 81 - North Carolina AT 70	0.811	William and Mary 81 - North Carolina AT 78	8
Winthrop 75 - Longwood 72	0.58	Winthrop 95 - Longwood 76	-16
Yale 77 - Brown 67	0.774	Yale 79 - Brown 58	-11
Youngstown State 71 - Cleveland State 68	0.591	Youngstown State 72 - Cleveland State 80	11

GAMES OF 1-12

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Arkansas Little Rock 72 - Southern Indiana 63	0.722	Arkansas Little Rock 78 - Southern Indiana 58	-11
Canisius 62 - Saint Peters 72	0.761	Canisius 49 - Saint Peters 62	3
Central Connecticut State 73 - LIU Brooklyn 59	0.865	Central Connecticut State 52 - LIU Brooklyn 54	16
Chattanooga 78 - Virginia Military Institute 64	0.887	Chattanooga 91 - Virginia Military Institute 66	-11
Chicago State 65 - Stonehill 72	0.693	Chicago State 52 - Stonehill 68	9
Colorado 69 - West Virginia 75	0.649	Colorado 70 - West Virginia 78	2
Fairleigh Dickinson 76 - Saint Francis Penn 71	0.641	Fairleigh Dickinson 71 - Saint Francis Penn 75	9
Florida Atlantic 82 - Alabama Birmingham 76	0.662	Florida Atlantic 76 - Alabama Birmingham 81	11
Iona 69 - Quinnipiac 70	0.531	Iona 62 - Quinnipiac 63	0
Le Moyne 70 - Mercyhurst 69	0.524	Le Moyne 79 - Mercyhurst 63	-15
Marist 74 - Fairfield 62	0.867	Marist 61 - Fairfield 51	2
Merrimack 75 - Manhattan 67	0.753	Merrimack 69 - Manhattan 62	1
Michigan 82 - Washington 68	0.784	Michigan 91 - Washington 75	-2
Mt St Marys 75 - Sacred Heart 69	0.684	Mt St Marys 73 - Sacred Heart 71	4
Niagara 71 - Rider 65	0.707	Niagara 65 - Rider 68	9
Northwestern 71 - Michigan State 76	0.636	Northwestern 68 - Michigan State 78	5
Penn State 76 - Oregon 79	0.591	Penn State 81 - Oregon 82	-2
Purdue 76 - Nebraska 72	0.623	Purdue 104 - Nebraska 68	-32
Robert Morris 73 - Wright State 72	0.529	Robert Morris 75 - Wright State 72	-2
Tulsa 70 - Charlotte 74	0.602	Tulsa 69 - Charlotte 63	-10
Western Carolina 69 - Mercer 76	0.719	Western Carolina 85 - Mercer 82	-10

Number of DI Games: 333
Number Correct: 239 = 71.7%
Expected Number Correct: 225.439 = 67.6%
Average Error: 9.36
Average Signed Error: -1.16

GAMES OF 1-13

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Alcorn State 72 - Alabama State 73	0.519	Alcorn State 67 - Alabama State 65	-3
Arkansas Pine Bluff 75 - Prairie View 84	0.7	Arkansas Pine Bluff 64 - Prairie View 75	2
Elon 72 - Campbell 63	0.704	Elon 81 - Campbell 68	-4
Furman 74 - Wofford 65	0.71	Furman 62 - Wofford 81	28
Grambling State 72 - Florida AM 69	0.577	Grambling State 79 - Florida AM 72	-4
Houston Christian 62 - Mcneese State 78	0.932	Houston Christian 59 - Mcneese State 75	0
Howard 78 - Coppin State 66	0.817	Howard 90 - Coppin State 75	-3
Incarnate Word 70 - Nicholls State 73	0.633	Incarnate Word 82 - Nicholls State 88	3
Jackson State 76 - Alabama AM 64	0.81	Jackson State 103 - Alabama AM 93	2
Lamar 79 - New Orleans 64	0.808	Lamar 62 - New Orleans 68	21
Loyola MD 68 - American 69	0.501	Loyola MD 54 - American 73	18
Maryland 81 - Minnesota 66	0.834	Maryland 77 - Minnesota 71	9
Mississippi Valley State 63 - Texas Southern 77	0.84	Mississippi Valley State 53 - Texas Southern 82	15
Morgan State 68 - Norfolk State 83	0.845	Morgan State 78 - Norfolk State 74	-19
North Carolina Central 72 - Delaware State 71	0.507	North Carolina Central 75 - Delaware State 72	-2
Notre Dame 78 - Boston College 69	0.731	Notre Dame 78 - Boston College 60	-9
Rutgers 70 - UCLA 76	0.666	Rutgers 75 - UCLA 68	-13
South Carolina State 77 - Maryland Eastern Shore 63	0.789	South Carolina State 78 - Maryland Eastern Shore 64	0
Southern 72 - Bethune Cookman 68	0.603	Southern 69 - Bethune Cookman 53	-12
Stephen F Austin 67 - Southeast Louisiana 65	0.56	Stephen F Austin 59 - Southeast Louisiana 66	9
Texas AM CC 77 - Northwestern State 67	0.81	Texas AM CC 73 - Northwestern State 64	1
UT Rio Grande Valley 79 - East Texas AM 66	0.817	UT Rio Grande Valley 57 - East Texas AM 55	11

GAMES OF 1-14

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 79 - Toledo 72	0.683	Akron 85 - Toledo 78	0
Alabama 84 - Mississippi 75	0.723	Alabama 64 - Mississippi 74	19
Arizona 80 - Baylor 77	0.556	Arizona 81 - Baylor 70	-8
Arizona State 78 - Central Florida 74	0.606	Arizona State 89 - Central Florida 95	10
Auburn 84 - Mississippi State 72	0.746	Auburn 88 - Mississippi State 66	-10
Belmont 81 - Valparaiso 73	0.749	Belmont 71 - Valparaiso 64	1
Boise State 78 - Wyoming 65	0.821	Boise State 96 - Wyoming 55	-28
Bowling Green 76 - Buffalo 70	0.652	Bowling Green 79 - Buffalo 61	-12
Brigham Young 80 - Oklahoma State 70	0.759	Brigham Young 85 - Oklahoma State 69	-6
Central Michigan 74 - Eastern Michigan 69	0.657	Central Michigan 82 - Eastern Michigan 63	-14
Creighton 80 - Providence 71	0.696	Creighton 84 - Providence 64	-11
DePaul 67 - Marquette 86	0.861	DePaul 83 - Marquette 85	-17
Duke 91 - Miami 60	0.965	Duke 89 - Miami 54	-4
East Carolina 63 - North Texas 73	0.798	East Carolina 60 - North Texas 69	-1
Florida 82 - Missouri 71	0.762	Florida 82 - Missouri 83	12
Georgia Tech 68 - Clemson 79	0.782	Georgia Tech 59 - Clemson 70	0
Indiana 74 - Illinois 80	0.625	Indiana 69 - Illinois 94	19
Kansas State 69 - Texas Tech 82	0.779	Kansas State 57 - Texas Tech 61	-9
Kent State 76 - Western Michigan 59	0.889	Kent State 83 - Western Michigan 94	28
Kentucky 80 - Texas AM 78	0.542	Kentucky 81 - Texas AM 69	-10
Louisiana State 74 - Arkansas 76	0.56	Louisiana State 78 - Arkansas 74	-6
Nevada 81 - Air Force 59	0.945	Nevada 68 - Air Force 62	16
Northern Illinois 62 - Miami OH 81	0.877	Northern Illinois 69 - Miami OH 84	-4
Northern Iowa 75 - Evansville 61	0.769	Northern Iowa 73 - Evansville 56	-3
Ohio 77 - Ball State 70	0.66	Ohio 86 - Ball State 71	-8
Rice 76 - Texas San Antonio 68	0.71	Rice 84 - Texas San Antonio 90	14
Saint Johns 80 - Georgetown 70	0.778	Saint Johns 63 - Georgetown 58	5
San Diego State 75 - Colorado State 67	0.713	San Diego State 75 - Colorado State 60	-7
San Jose State 70 - New Mexico 83	0.831	San Jose State 71 - New Mexico 70	-14
SE Missouri State 67 - Arkansas Little Rock 66	0.506	SE Missouri State 71 - Arkansas Little Rock 73	3
Southern California 78 - Iowa 80	0.543	Southern California 99 - Iowa 89	-12
Syracuse 71 - Louisville 82	0.761	Syracuse 61 - Louisville 85	13
Virginia Commonwealth 76 - Saint Louis 67	0.73	Virginia Commonwealth 78 - Saint Louis 62	-7
Wichita State 77 - Charlotte 68	0.701	Wichita State 68 - Charlotte 59	0
Wisconsin 81 - Ohio State 75	0.614	Wisconsin 70 - Ohio State 68	4
Xavier 77 - Villanova 76	0.507	Xavier 69 - Villanova 63	-5

GAMES OF 1-15

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Army 70 - Lafayette 69	0.534	Army 70 - Lafayette 68	-1
Boston 68 - Lehigh 66	0.554	Boston 63 - Lehigh 58	-3
Bradley 81 - Indiana State 71	0.781	Bradley 118 - Indiana State 65	-43
Bucknell 71 - Holy Cross 67	0.611	Bucknell 86 - Holy Cross 82	0
Butler 77 - Seton Hall 69	0.701	Butler 82 - Seton Hall 77	3
Chattanooga 72 - Wofford 71	0.542	Chattanooga 83 - Wofford 81	-1
Cleveland State 71 - Northern Kentucky 65	0.681	Cleveland State 76 - Northern Kentucky 58	-12
Colorado 72 - Cincinnati 71	0.501	Colorado 62 - Cincinnati 68	7
Dayton 73 - George Mason 68	0.606	Dayton 59 - George Mason 67	13
Denver 67 - Omaha 77	0.743	Denver 62 - Omaha 80	8
Drake 74 - Illinois State 62	0.789	Drake 66 - Illinois State 62	8
Florida State 74 - Pittsburgh 78	0.606	Florida State 82 - Pittsburgh 70	-16
Fordham 75 - Massachusetts 74	0.532	Fordham 118 - Massachusetts 120	3
Furman 74 - East Tennessee State 65	0.728	Furman 73 - East Tennessee State 70	6
George Washington 71 - Duquesne 67	0.595	George Washington 65 - Duquesne 73	12
Houston 77 - West Virginia 65	0.793	Houston 70 - West Virginia 54	-4
Howard 90 - Unranked 60		Howard 73 - Unranked 76
Illinois Chicago 72 - Murray State 71	0.539	Illinois Chicago 97 - Murray State 93	-3
Iowa State 75 - Kansas 74	0.54	Iowa State 74 - Kansas 57	-16
La Salle 71 - Davidson 75	0.621	La Salle 79 - Davidson 76	-7
Loyola Ill 70 - Rhode Island 74	0.586	Loyola Ill 81 - Rhode Island 77	-8
Mercer 72 - Samford 81	0.804	Mercer 74 - Samford 75	-8
Michigan State 82 - Penn State 71	0.755	Michigan State 90 - Penn State 85	6
Missouri State 73 - Southern Illinois 70	0.574	Missouri State 51 - Southern Illinois 73	25
Navy 67 - Colgate 72	0.637	Navy 66 - Colgate 73	2
Nevada Las Vegas 70 - Utah State 80	0.804	Nevada Las Vegas 65 - Utah State 62	-13
North Carolina 87 - California 72	0.892	North Carolina 79 - California 53	-11
Oakland 76 - IUPUI 63	0.754	Oakland 72 - IUPUI 59	0
Oklahoma 77 - Texas 76	0.552	Oklahoma 73 - Texas 77	5
Radford 74 - Gardner Webb 66	0.716	Radford 79 - Gardner Webb 75	4
Saint Bonaventure 76 - Richmond 62	0.858	Saint Bonaventure 63 - Richmond 49	0
South Alabama 76 - Southern Miss 62	0.805	South Alabama 75 - Southern Miss 62	1
South Florida 74 - Alabama Birmingham 76	0.578	South Florida 83 - Alabama Birmingham 92	7
Tennessee 75 - Georgia 65	0.706	Tennessee 74 - Georgia 56	-8
Texas Christian 76 - Utah 72	0.617	Texas Christian 65 - Utah 73	12
Texas State 76 - Georgia State 68	0.73	Texas State 94 - Georgia State 80	-6
Tulane 74 - Florida Atlantic 77	0.583	Tulane 80 - Florida Atlantic 65	-18
UL Monroe 60 - Troy 79	0.961	UL Monroe 58 - Troy 77	0
UNC Asheville 82 - South Carolina Upstate 68	0.837	UNC Asheville 93 - South Carolina Upstate 92	13
UNC Greensboro 78 - The Citadel 56	0.919	UNC Greensboro 70 - The Citadel 57	9
Vanderbilt 76 - South Carolina 71	0.635	Vanderbilt 66 - South Carolina 63	2
Virginia 68 - Southern Methodist 76	0.697	Virginia 52 - Southern Methodist 54	-6
Virginia Military Institute 70 - Western Carolina 71	0.527	Virginia Military Institute 66 - Western Carolina 50	-17
Virginia Tech 71 - NC State 74	0.589	Virginia Tech 79 - NC State 76	-6
Wake Forest 75 - Stanford 72	0.61	Wake Forest 80 - Stanford 67	-10
Washington 69 - Purdue 82	0.79	Washington 58 - Purdue 69	-2
Winthrop 80 - Charleston Southern 68	0.778	Winthrop 102 - Charleston Southern 97	7
Wright State 73 - IPFW 75	0.55	Wright State 113 - IPFW 120	5

GAMES OF 1-16

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Albany 72 - Bryant 76	0.598	Albany 79 - Bryant 89	6
Arkansas State 81 - UL Lafayette 63	0.863	Arkansas State 83 - UL Lafayette 63	-2
Austin Peay 68 - Eastern Kentucky 73	0.649	Austin Peay 97 - Eastern Kentucky 90	-12
Bellarmine 60 - Lipscomb 82	0.943	Bellarmine 53 - Lipscomb 87	12
Cal Poly 75 - UC Davis 74	0.53	Cal Poly 54 - UC Davis 65	12
Campbell 66 - College of Charleston 77	0.738	Campbell 61 - College of Charleston 67	-5
Coastal Carolina 71 - Georgia Southern 69	0.547	Coastal Carolina 87 - Georgia Southern 88	3
Coppin State 81 - Unranked 61		Coppin State 88 - Unranked 62
Delaware 79 - Stony Brook 67	0.809	Delaware 84 - Stony Brook 74	2
Drexel 68 - Elon 67	0.501	Drexel 54 - Elon 65	12
Fairfield 67 - Niagara 68	0.501	Fairfield 70 - Niagara 66	-5
Florida Gulf Coast 77 - West Georgia 61	0.912	Florida Gulf Coast 82 - West Georgia 60	-6
Florida International 68 - New Mexico State 75	0.65	Florida International 52 - New Mexico State 59	0
Grand Canyon 79 - Abilene Christian 64	0.813	Grand Canyon 88 - Abilene Christian 58	-15
Hampton 72 - William and Mary 73	0.547	Hampton 64 - William and Mary 67	2
Hawaii 76 - Cal State Northridge 71	0.671	Hawaii 60 - Cal State Northridge 83	28
Idaho State 69 - Montana State 70	0.519	Idaho State 70 - Montana State 67	-4
Iona 75 - Canisius 64	0.777	Iona 82 - Canisius 61	-10
Jacksonville 71 - North Alabama 69	0.54	Jacksonville 64 - North Alabama 60	-2
Jacksonville State 70 - Louisiana Tech 73	0.586	Jacksonville State 63 - Louisiana Tech 61	-5
James Madison 74 - Marshall 69	0.636	James Madison 67 - Marshall 64	2
Kennesaw St 78 - Sam Houston State 77	0.507	Kennesaw St 75 - Sam Houston State 69	-5
Liberty 73 - Texas El Paso 67	0.664	Liberty 70 - Texas El Paso 72	8
Long Beach State 64 - UC San Diego 79	0.826	Long Beach State 54 - UC San Diego 80	11
Longwood 69 - High Point 74	0.643	Longwood 82 - High Point 80	-7
Loyola Marymount 70 - Santa Clara 77	0.653	Loyola Marymount 57 - Santa Clara 54	-10
Minnesota 66 - Michigan 83	0.879	Minnesota 84 - Michigan 81	-20
Morehead State 72 - Western Illinois 62	0.756	Morehead State 51 - Western Illinois 47	6
Nebraska 79 - Rutgers 70	0.724	Nebraska 82 - Rutgers 85	12
NJ Tech 62 - Maine 72	0.744	NJ Tech 44 - Maine 57	3
North Carolina AT 71 - Monmouth 75	0.601	North Carolina AT 63 - Monmouth 72	5
North Dakota State 75 - UMKC 64	0.721	North Dakota State 71 - UMKC 64	4
North Florida 81 - Central Arkansas 70	0.745	North Florida 92 - Central Arkansas 80	-1
Northern Arizona 72 - Sacramento State 62	0.801	Northern Arizona 77 - Sacramento State 53	-14
Northern Colorado 78 - Portland State 68	0.782	Northern Colorado 72 - Portland State 69	7
Northwestern 73 - Maryland 77	0.589	Northwestern 76 - Maryland 74	-6
Old Dominion 65 - Appalachian State 72	0.678	Old Dominion 43 - Appalachian State 62	12
Oregon State 73 - Gonzaga 81	0.7	Oregon State 97 - Gonzaga 89	-16
Pepperdine 69 - San Francisco 78	0.698	Pepperdine 63 - San Francisco 80	8
Portland 75 - Pacific 72	0.565	Portland 84 - Pacific 81	0
Quinnipiac 68 - Merrimack 67	0.525	Quinnipiac 81 - Merrimack 76	-4
Rider 65 - Mt St Marys 74	0.779	Rider 66 - Mt St Marys 60	-15
Saint Peters 61 - Marist 66	0.666	Saint Peters 51 - Marist 56	0
San Diego 67 - Washington State 83	0.865	San Diego 61 - Washington State 65	-12
Seattle 75 - Utah Tech 66	0.746	Seattle 82 - Utah Tech 62	-11
Siena 72 - Sacred Heart 70	0.559	Siena 93 - Sacred Heart 75	-16
South Dakota 81 - Oral Roberts 75	0.694	South Dakota 92 - Oral Roberts 82	-4
South Dakota State 81 - North Dakota 68	0.816	South Dakota State 109 - North Dakota 73	-23
Southern Indiana 68 - Lindenwood 69	0.545	Southern Indiana 80 - Lindenwood 73	-8
Stetson 68 - Queens 78	0.741	Stetson 60 - Queens 95	25
Tarleton State 68 - Cal Baptist 73	0.658	Tarleton State 67 - Cal Baptist 57	-15
Temple 69 - Memphis 83	0.825	Temple 88 - Memphis 81	-21
Tennessee Martin 72 - Eastern Illinois 65	0.698	Tennessee Martin 68 - Eastern Illinois 63	2
Tennessee State 66 - SIU Edwardsville 71	0.633	Tennessee State 80 - SIU Edwardsville 87	2
Tennessee Tech 68 - SE Missouri State 67	0.528	Tennessee Tech 70 - SE Missouri State 77	8
Texas Arlington 68 - Utah Valley 74	0.654	Texas Arlington 83 - Utah Valley 85	-4
Towson 67 - Hofstra 66	0.516	Towson 65 - Hofstra 60	-4
UC Irvine 83 - Cal State Fullerton 55	0.956	UC Irvine 82 - Cal State Fullerton 62	8
UC Santa Barbara 72 - UC Riverside 68	0.603	UC Santa Barbara 66 - UC Riverside 63	1
UMBC 79 - New Hampshire 65	0.848	UMBC 76 - New Hampshire 79	17
UNC Wilmington 74 - Northeastern 66	0.727	UNC Wilmington 80 - Northeastern 72	0
Vermont 70 - Binghamton 61	0.728	Vermont 72 - Binghamton 64	1
Weber State 70 - Montana 72	0.545	Weber State 59 - Montana 63	2

GAMES OF 1-17

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Akron 77 - Ohio 73	0.638	Akron 92 - Ohio 80	-8
Fresno State 76 - Air Force 70	0.711	Fresno State 74 - Air Force 65	-3
Georgetown 79 - DePaul 69	0.733	Georgetown 68 - DePaul 73	15
Green Bay 68 - Robert Morris 77	0.758	Green Bay 67 - Robert Morris 89	13
Milwaukee 72 - Youngstown State 69	0.592	Milwaukee 79 - Youngstown State 64	-12
New Mexico 79 - Boise State 74	0.622	New Mexico 84 - Boise State 65	-14
Ohio State 78 - Indiana 74	0.598	Ohio State 76 - Indiana 77	5
Saint Josephs 70 - Virginia Commonwealth 73	0.586	Saint Josephs 69 - Virginia Commonwealth 78	6
UCLA 78 - Iowa 76	0.548	UCLA 94 - Iowa 70	-22
Villanova 78 - Providence 71	0.639	Villanova 75 - Providence 73	5

GAMES OF 1-18

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Abilene Christian 70 - Cal Baptist 74	0.623	Abilene Christian 54 - Cal Baptist 60	2
Alabama AM 69 - Alabama State 75	0.666	Alabama AM 65 - Alabama State 69	-2
Arkansas State 81 - Georgia State 65	0.859	Arkansas State 85 - Georgia State 59	-10
Army 68 - Boston 67	0.541	Army 68 - Boston 62	-5
Ball State 73 - Toledo 74	0.512	Ball State 75 - Toledo 93	17
Bethune Cookman 80 - Mississippi Valley State 56	0.931	Bethune Cookman 83 - Mississippi Valley State 58	-1
Binghamton 70 - Albany 71	0.531	Binghamton 65 - Albany 70	4
Boston College 59 - Duke 86	0.949	Boston College 63 - Duke 88	-2
Bowling Green 75 - Eastern Michigan 71	0.608	Bowling Green 62 - Eastern Michigan 68	10
Brown 73 - Harvard 66	0.708	Brown 67 - Harvard 80	20
Bryant 74 - UMass Lowell 75	0.51	Bryant 85 - UMass Lowell 62	-24
Bucknell 73 - Navy 66	0.683	Bucknell 73 - Navy 69	3
Campbell 70 - Monmouth 69	0.537	Campbell 81 - Monmouth 58	-22
Central Florida 67 - Houston 81	0.822	Central Florida 68 - Houston 69	-13
Charleston Southern 66 - Radford 74	0.714	Charleston Southern 58 - Radford 54	-12
Chicago State 69 - Le Moyne 71	0.561	Chicago State 88 - Le Moyne 72	-18
Cincinnati 72 - Arizona State 71	0.522	Cincinnati 67 - Arizona State 60	-6
Coastal Carolina 66 - Marshall 73	0.685	Coastal Carolina 64 - Marshall 77	6
College of Charleston 78 - Northeastern 68	0.756	College of Charleston 87 - Northeastern 85	8
Columbia 69 - Yale 79	0.727	Columbia 88 - Yale 92	-6
Connecticut 80 - Creighton 74	0.65	Connecticut 63 - Creighton 68	11
Dartmouth 67 - Princeton 78	0.735	Dartmouth 80 - Princeton 81	-10
Dayton 78 - Loyola Ill 66	0.755	Dayton 83 - Loyola Ill 81	10
Delaware 71 - Elon 73	0.543	Delaware 79 - Elon 77	-4
Delaware State 87 - Unranked 59		Delaware State 126 - Unranked 38
Detroit 65 - Oakland 73	0.668	Detroit 59 - Oakland 65	-2
Duquesne 65 - Saint Bonaventure 70	0.63	Duquesne 75 - Saint Bonaventure 57	-23
East Texas AM 74 - New Orleans 71	0.585	East Texas AM 73 - New Orleans 82	12
Eastern Kentucky 82 - Bellarmine 66	0.884	Eastern Kentucky 72 - Bellarmine 69	13
Evansville 67 - Belmont 76	0.711	Evansville 82 - Belmont 85	-6
Fairfield 74 - Canisius 65	0.735	Fairfield 67 - Canisius 78	20
Fairleigh Dickinson 68 - Central Connecticut State 73	0.672	Fairleigh Dickinson 60 - Central Connecticut State 71	6
Florida 82 - Texas 71	0.785	Florida 84 - Texas 60	-13
Florida AM 80 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 72	0.703	Florida AM 86 - Arkansas Pine Bluff 76	-2
Florida Gulf Coast 73 - Queens 70	0.589	Florida Gulf Coast 60 - Queens 47	-10
Florida International 67 - Texas El Paso 75	0.677	Florida International 73 - Texas El Paso 81	0
Florida State 79 - Georgia Tech 70	0.738	Florida State 91 - Georgia Tech 78	-4
Furman 76 - Chattanooga 67	0.757	Furman 71 - Chattanooga 75	13
Gardner Webb 77 - South Carolina Upstate 68	0.72	Gardner Webb 97 - South Carolina Upstate 68	-20
George Mason 73 - George Washington 67	0.66	George Mason 80 - George Washington 77	3
Georgia 70 - Auburn 80	0.739	Georgia 68 - Auburn 70	-8
Gonzaga 85 - Santa Clara 74	0.749	Gonzaga 99 - Santa Clara 103	15
Grand Canyon 78 - Tarleton State 62	0.83	Grand Canyon 88 - Tarleton State 64	-8
Hawaii 75 - Cal State Bakersfield 66	0.741	Hawaii 81 - Cal State Bakersfield 70	-2
High Point 80 - Presbyterian 63	0.855	High Point 77 - Presbyterian 66	6
Holy Cross 70 - American 69	0.512	Holy Cross 65 - American 74	10
Houston Christian 71 - UT Rio Grande Valley 75	0.621	Houston Christian 66 - UT Rio Grande Valley 57	-13
Idaho 73 - Eastern Washington 72	0.523	Idaho 83 - Eastern Washington 76	-6
Idaho State 69 - Montana 72	0.589	Idaho State 86 - Montana 61	-28
Illinois State 75 - Missouri State 66	0.727	Illinois State 74 - Missouri State 68	3
Incarnate Word 68 - Texas AM CC 76	0.776	Incarnate Word 63 - Texas AM CC 69	-2
Indiana State 68 - Drake 78	0.742	Indiana State 53 - Drake 71	8
Jacksonville 78 - Central Arkansas 61	0.883	Jacksonville 72 - Central Arkansas 62	7
Jacksonville State 76 - Sam Houston State 74	0.579	Jacksonville State 70 - Sam Houston State 62	-6
James Madison 70 - Appalachian State 69	0.525	James Madison 50 - Appalachian State 58	9
Kansas 86 - Kansas State 63	0.899	Kansas 84 - Kansas State 74	13
Kennesaw St 71 - Louisiana Tech 76	0.642	Kennesaw St 78 - Louisiana Tech 76	-7
Kent State 71 - Miami OH 66	0.648	Kent State 61 - Miami OH 70	14
Kentucky 83 - Alabama 87	0.579	Kentucky 97 - Alabama 102	1
Lafayette 67 - Colgate 69	0.554	Lafayette 67 - Colgate 90	21
Lehigh 71 - Loyola MD 69	0.586	Lehigh 60 - Loyola MD 76	18
Liberty 74 - New Mexico State 67	0.654	Liberty 68 - New Mexico State 60	-1
Lipscomb 77 - Austin Peay 58	0.914	Lipscomb 88 - Austin Peay 60	-9
LIU Brooklyn 70 - Saint Francis Penn 66	0.657	LIU Brooklyn 64 - Saint Francis Penn 51	-9
Long Beach State 74 - Cal State Fullerton 66	0.69	Long Beach State 67 - Cal State Fullerton 83	24
Louisville 79 - Virginia 64	0.818	Louisville 81 - Virginia 67	1
Loyola Marymount 78 - San Diego 65	0.78	Loyola Marymount 77 - San Diego 70	6
Manhattan 71 - Niagara 70	0.541	Manhattan 72 - Niagara 65	-6
Marist 75 - Rider 59	0.886	Marist 57 - Rider 64	23
Marquette 83 - Xavier 71	0.8	Marquette 57 - Xavier 59	14
Mcneese State 75 - Lamar 62	0.809	Mcneese State 75 - Lamar 64	2
Merrimack 71 - Siena 63	0.738	Merrimack 64 - Siena 58	2
Miami 72 - Southern Methodist 85	0.813	Miami 74 - Southern Methodist 117	30
Middle Tennessee 76 - Western Kentucky 71	0.616	Middle Tennessee 71 - Western Kentucky 57	-9
Mississippi State 76 - Mississippi 73	0.573	Mississippi State 84 - Mississippi 81	0
Missouri 77 - Arkansas 73	0.593	Missouri 83 - Arkansas 65	-14
Morehead State 70 - Lindenwood 63	0.7	Morehead State 82 - Lindenwood 65	-10
Mt St Marys 71 - Quinnipiac 68	0.599	Mt St Marys 57 - Quinnipiac 91	37
Murray State 69 - Bradley 72	0.599	Murray State 61 - Bradley 74	10
NC State 78 - California 72	0.696	NC State 62 - California 65	9
Nevada 79 - San Jose State 67	0.811	Nevada 75 - San Jose State 64	1
Nicholls State 71 - Stephen F Austin 66	0.653	Nicholls State 73 - Stephen F Austin 61	-7
NJ Tech 67 - New Hampshire 65	0.569	NJ Tech 64 - New Hampshire 59	-3
North Carolina 83 - Stanford 74	0.772	North Carolina 71 - Stanford 72	10
North Dakota 70 - UMKC 72	0.551	North Dakota 76 - UMKC 72	-6
North Florida 74 - North Alabama 79	0.599	North Florida 84 - North Alabama 90	1
Northern Arizona 70 - Portland State 71	0.524	Northern Arizona 69 - Portland State 80	10
Northern Colorado 81 - Sacramento State 60	0.934	Northern Colorado 68 - Sacramento State 64	17
Northern Illinois 64 - Central Michigan 75	0.728	Northern Illinois 66 - Central Michigan 71	-6
Northern Kentucky 70 - Wright State 69	0.518	Northern Kentucky 70 - Wright State 78	9
Northwestern State 70 - Southeast Louisiana 68	0.54	Northwestern State 64 - Southeast Louisiana 65	3
Oklahoma 77 - South Carolina 71	0.663	Oklahoma 82 - South Carolina 62	-14
Oklahoma State 73 - Colorado 76	0.595	Oklahoma State 83 - Colorado 73	-13
Old Dominion 74 - Georgia Southern 69	0.648	Old Dominion 63 - Georgia Southern 67	9
Oregon 76 - Purdue 77	0.525	Oregon 58 - Purdue 65	6
Pennsylvania 68 - Cornell 79	0.789	Pennsylvania 76 - Cornell 86	-1
Pepperdine 63 - Saint Marys 80	0.807	Pepperdine 50 - Saint Marys 74	7
Pittsburgh 77 - Clemson 74	0.555	Pittsburgh 75 - Clemson 78	6
Prairie View 73 - Jackson State 75	0.535	Prairie View 70 - Jackson State 79	7
Rhode Island 74 - Davidson 71	0.567	Rhode Island 92 - Davidson 90	1
Richmond 69 - Saint Louis 75	0.642	Richmond 59 - Saint Louis 63	-2
Sacred Heart 69 - Saint Peters 67	0.534	Sacred Heart 61 - Saint Peters 66	7
Saint Thomas 85 - Denver 63	0.934	Saint Thomas 74 - Denver 62	10
Samford 78 - East Tennessee State 69	0.752	Samford 60 - East Tennessee State 65	14
San Diego State 78 - Nevada Las Vegas 64	0.851	San Diego State 68 - Nevada Las Vegas 76	22
San Francisco 73 - Oregon State 72	0.526	San Francisco 81 - Oregon State 70	-10
Seattle 75 - Southern Utah 69	0.663	Seattle 75 - Southern Utah 52	-17
Seton Hall 67 - Saint Johns 82	0.892	Seton Hall 51 - Saint Johns 79	13
South Alabama 70 - Troy 66	0.608	South Alabama 64 - Troy 63	3
South Dakota 73 - North Dakota State 81	0.691	South Dakota 77 - North Dakota State 103	18
South Dakota State 82 - Oral Roberts 66	0.893	South Dakota State 84 - Oral Roberts 70	2
South Florida 78 - Tulsa 67	0.758	South Florida 63 - Tulsa 56	4
Southern 76 - Grambling State 63	0.797	Southern 67 - Grambling State 60	6
Southern California 73 - Wisconsin 79	0.624	Southern California 69 - Wisconsin 84	9
Southern Illinois 67 - Northern Iowa 77	0.715	Southern Illinois 73 - Northern Iowa 49	-34
Southern Indiana 69 - Western Illinois 67	0.541	Southern Indiana 78 - Western Illinois 66	-10
Stetson 72 - West Georgia 69	0.601	Stetson 82 - West Georgia 78	-1
Syracuse 77 - Notre Dame 76	0.507	Syracuse 77 - Notre Dame 69	-7
Tennessee Martin 65 - SIU Edwardsville 68	0.571	Tennessee Martin 85 - SIU Edwardsville 82	-6
Tennessee State 73 - Eastern Illinois 68	0.65	Tennessee State 84 - Eastern Illinois 65	-14
Tennessee Tech 66 - Arkansas Little Rock 67	0.521	Tennessee Tech 71 - Arkansas Little Rock 77	5
Texas AM 82 - Louisiana State 68	0.848	Texas AM 68 - Louisiana State 57	3
Texas San Antonio 63 - North Texas 78	0.866	Texas San Antonio 57 - North Texas 72	0
Texas Southern 73 - Alcorn State 71	0.581	Texas Southern 66 - Alcorn State 57	-7
Texas State 76 - Southern Miss 68	0.711	Texas State 85 - Southern Miss 82	5
Texas Tech 77 - Arizona 78	0.519	Texas Tech 70 - Arizona 54	-17
The Citadel 68 - Virginia Military Institute 69	0.529	The Citadel 70 - Virginia Military Institute 75	4
Towson 75 - Stony Brook 61	0.869	Towson 53 - Stony Brook 49	10
UC Irvine 86 - Cal Poly 63	0.944	UC Irvine 101 - Cal Poly 71	-7
UC Riverside 67 - UC San Diego 76	0.708	UC Riverside 85 - UC San Diego 81	-13
UC Santa Barbara 74 - UC Davis 64	0.729	UC Santa Barbara 60 - UC Davis 64	14
UL Monroe 67 - UL Lafayette 73	0.675	UL Monroe 60 - UL Lafayette 65	-1
UMBC 74 - Maine 72	0.557	UMBC 62 - Maine 87	27
UNC Asheville 77 - Winthrop 75	0.547	UNC Asheville 93 - Winthrop 84	-7
Utah 76 - Brigham Young 77	0.54	Utah 73 - Brigham Young 72	-2
Utah Valley 75 - Utah Tech 62	0.822	Utah Valley 96 - Utah Tech 80	-3
Valparaiso 73 - Illinois Chicago 75	0.563	Valparaiso 74 - Illinois Chicago 81	5
Vanderbilt 68 - Tennessee 77	0.718	Vanderbilt 76 - Tennessee 75	-10
Virginia Tech 69 - Wake Forest 75	0.681	Virginia Tech 63 - Wake Forest 72	3
Wagner 66 - Mercyhurst 60	0.658	Wagner 65 - Mercyhurst 69	10
Washington State 86 - Portland 65	0.923	Washington State 92 - Portland 70	-1
Weber State 70 - Montana State 69	0.522	Weber State 71 - Montana State 80	10
West Virginia 71 - Iowa State 77	0.642	West Virginia 64 - Iowa State 57	-13
Western Carolina 63 - UNC Greensboro 75	0.819	Western Carolina 55 - UNC Greensboro 83	16
Western Michigan 74 - Buffalo 70	0.602	Western Michigan 76 - Buffalo 85	13
Wichita State 75 - East Carolina 72	0.575	Wichita State 72 - East Carolina 75	6
Wofford 75 - Mercer 69	0.688	Wofford 69 - Mercer 49	-14
Wyoming 67 - Colorado State 74	0.681	Wyoming 63 - Colorado State 79	9

GAMES OF 1-19

Prediction	Favorite Win Prob.	Actual	Error
Baylor 80 - Texas Christian 68	0.761	Baylor 71 - Texas Christian 74	15
Charlotte 62 - Memphis 85	0.93	Charlotte 68 - Memphis 77	-14
Florida Atlantic 77 - Rice 69	0.74	Florida Atlantic 75 - Rice 73	6
Green Bay 65 - Youngstown State 77	0.78	Green Bay 69 - Youngstown State 73	-8
IUPUI 64 - Cleveland State 75	0.753	IUPUI 62 - Cleveland State 73	0
Maryland 78 - Nebraska 73	0.596	Maryland 69 - Nebraska 66	2
Massachusetts 75 - La Salle 76	0.532	Massachusetts 82 - La Salle 60	-23
Michigan 82 - Northwestern 69	0.799	Michigan 80 - Northwestern 76	9
Michigan State 79 - Illinois 77	0.543	Michigan State 80 - Illinois 78	0
Milwaukee 75 - Robert Morris 69	0.673	Milwaukee 79 - Robert Morris 81	8
Temple 76 - Tulane 71	0.631	Temple 80 - Tulane 77	2

Number of DI Games: 335
Number Correct: 233 = 69.5%
Expected Number Correct: 230.122 = 68.6%
Average Error: 8.87
Average Signed Error: 0.1