Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2016 After Week 8 (10/23/2016)

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Michigan BIG10-E 7 - 0 4 - 0 30.25
2 Alabama SEC-W 8 - 0 5 - 0 30.01
3 Ohio St BIG10-E 6 - 1 3 - 1 24.32
4 Washington PAC12-N 7 - 0 4 - 0 22.15
5 Auburn SEC-W 5 - 2 3 - 1 21.61
6 Louisville ACC-A 6 - 1 4 - 1 20.8
7 Clemson ACC-A 7 - 0 4 - 0 20.51
8 LSU SEC-W 5 - 2 3 - 1 20.03
9 Wisconsin BIG10-W 5 - 2 2 - 2 17.26
10 Texas A&M SEC-W 6 - 1 4 - 1 15.92
11 West Virginia BIG12 6 - 0 3 - 0 14.92
12 Washington St PAC12-N 5 - 2 4 - 0 14.74
13 USC PAC12-S 4 - 3 3 - 2 13.79
14 Colorado PAC12-S 6 - 2 4 - 1 13.61
15 Mississippi SEC-W 3 - 4 1 - 3 13.37
16 Virginia Tech ACC-C 5 - 2 3 - 1 13.08
17 Florida SEC-E 5 - 1 3 - 1 12.23
18 Penn St BIG10-E 5 - 2 3 - 1 11.42
19 Baylor BIG12 6 - 0 3 - 0 11.38
20 Oklahoma BIG12 5 - 2 4 - 0 11.36
21 W Michigan MAC-W 8 - 0 4 - 0 10.96
22 Stanford PAC12-N 4 - 3 2 - 3 10.93
23 Florida St ACC-A 5 - 2 2 - 2 10.51
24 Boise St MWC-M 7 - 0 3 - 0 10.08
25 Tennessee SEC-E 5 - 2 2 - 2 9.93
26 Nebraska BIG10-W 7 - 0 4 - 0 9.5
27 Northwestern BIG10-W 4 - 3 3 - 1 8.15
28 North Carolina ACC-C 6 - 2 4 - 1 7.71
29 BYU IND 4 - 4 0 - 0 7.47
30 Utah PAC12-S 7 - 1 4 - 1 7.42
31 UCLA PAC12-S 3 - 5 1 - 4 7.18
32 Iowa BIG10-W 5 - 3 3 - 2 7.03
33 Miami FL ACC-C 4 - 3 1 - 3 6.63
34 Houston AAC-W 6 - 2 3 - 2 6.25
35 Kansas St BIG12 4 - 3 2 - 2 5.98
36 Memphis AAC-W 5 - 2 2 - 1 5.92
37 Arizona St PAC12-S 5 - 3 2 - 3 5.45
38 Oregon PAC12-N 2 - 5 0 - 4 5.41
39 Pittsburgh ACC-C 5 - 2 2 - 1 5.33
40 Georgia SEC-E 4 - 3 2 - 3 5.01
41 Arkansas SEC-W 5 - 3 1 - 3 4.79
42 Oklahoma St BIG12 5 - 2 3 - 1 4.67
43 Navy AAC-W 5 - 1 4 - 0 4.63
44 NC State ACC-A 4 - 3 1 - 2 4.46
45 Minnesota BIG10-W 5 - 2 2 - 2 4.37
46 Georgia Tech ACC-C 4 - 3 1 - 3 4.25
47 Temple AAC-E 5 - 3 3 - 1 4.25
48 South Florida AAC-E 6 - 2 3 - 1 4.1
49 TCU BIG12 4 - 3 2 - 2 4.08
50 Mississippi St SEC-W 2 - 5 1 - 3 3.42
51 WKU CUSA-E 5 - 3 3 - 1 3.35
52 Toledo MAC-W 6 - 1 3 - 0 3.28
53 Notre Dame IND 2 - 5 0 - 0 2.92
54 California PAC12-N 4 - 3 2 - 2 2.8
55 Texas BIG12 3 - 4 1 - 3 2.52
56 Maryland BIG10-E 5 - 2 2 - 2 1.47
57 Appalachian St SUN 5 - 2 3 - 0 1.34
58 Troy SUN 6 - 1 4 - 0 1.17
59 UCF AAC-E 4 - 3 2 - 1 0.87
60 Texas Tech BIG12 3 - 4 1 - 3 0.86
61 Michigan St BIG10-E 2 - 5 0 - 4 0.76
62 San Diego St MWC-W 6 - 1 3 - 0 0.66
63 Wake Forest ACC-A 5 - 2 2 - 2 0.49
64 Indiana BIG10-E 3 - 4 1 - 3 0.02
65 Duke ACC-C 3 - 4 0 - 3 -0.41
66 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 5 - 3 3 - 1 -0.43
67 Missouri SEC-E 2 - 5 0 - 3 -0.57
68 Arizona PAC12-S 2 - 5 0 - 4 -0.58
69 Vanderbilt SEC-E 4 - 4 1 - 3 -0.74
70 MTSU CUSA-E 5 - 2 2 - 1 -0.98
71 Kentucky SEC-E 4 - 3 3 - 2 -1.34
72 Syracuse ACC-A 4 - 4 2 - 2 -1.88
73 Oregon St PAC12-N 2 - 5 1 - 3 -1.95
74 Tulsa AAC-W 5 - 2 2 - 1 -2.14
75 South Carolina SEC-E 3 - 4 1 - 4 -2.61
76 Virginia ACC-C 2 - 5 1 - 2 -2.93
77 Air Force MWC-M 4 - 3 1 - 3 -3.22
78 Illinois BIG10-W 2 - 5 1 - 3 -3.67
79 Colorado St MWC-M 4 - 4 2 - 2 -4.32
80 Utah St MWC-M 3 - 4 1 - 3 -4.8
81 SMU AAC-W 3 - 4 1 - 2 -5.24
82 Wyoming MWC-M 5 - 2 3 - 0 -5.47
83 N Illinois MAC-W 2 - 6 2 - 2 -6.15
84 Cincinnati AAC-E 4 - 3 1 - 3 -6.4
85 Iowa St BIG12 1 - 6 0 - 4 -6.41
86 Arkansas St SUN 2 - 4 2 - 0 -6.43
87 Connecticut AAC-E 3 - 5 1 - 4 -6.53
88 C Michigan MAC-W 5 - 3 2 - 2 -6.76
89 Ga Southern SUN 4 - 3 3 - 1 -7.72
90 Boston College ACC-A 3 - 4 0 - 4 -7.83
91 Southern Miss CUSA-W 4 - 3 2 - 1 -7.85
92 Akron MAC-E 5 - 3 3 - 1 -8.38
93 New Mexico MWC-M 4 - 3 2 - 1 -8.48
94 South Alabama SUN 3 - 4 0 - 4 -8.6
95 East Carolina AAC-E 2 - 5 0 - 3 -9.3
96 Rutgers BIG10-E 2 - 6 0 - 5 -9.34
97 North Texas CUSA-W 4 - 3 2 - 1 -9.36
98 Army IND 4 - 3 1 - 0 -9.88
99 Ohio MAC-E 5 - 3 3 - 1 -10.04
100 Hawaii MWC-W 4 - 4 3 - 1 -10.21
101 Purdue BIG10-W 3 - 4 1 - 3 -10.5
102 Old Dominion CUSA-E 4 - 3 2 - 1 -10.68
103 Tulane AAC-W 3 - 4 0 - 3 -10.88
104 E Michigan MAC-W 5 - 3 2 - 2 -10.94
105 Georgia St SUN 2 - 5 1 - 2 -12.68
106 UT San Antonio CUSA-W 3 - 4 2 - 2 -12.86
107 Kent MAC-E 2 - 6 1 - 3 -13.42
108 Ball St MAC-W 4 - 4 1 - 3 -13.56
109 Miami OH MAC-E 2 - 6 2 - 2 -14.08
110 Idaho SUN 4 - 4 2 - 2 -14.09
111 Marshall CUSA-E 2 - 5 1 - 2 -14.22
112 UNLV MWC-W 3 - 5 2 - 2 -14.32
113 ULL SUN 3 - 4 2 - 2 -14.32
114 Nevada MWC-W 3 - 5 1 - 3 -16.47
115 Bowling Green MAC-E 1 - 7 0 - 4 -16.62
116 Rice CUSA-W 1 - 6 0 - 4 -17.08
117 Massachusetts IND 1 - 7 0 - 0 -17.85
118 Kansas BIG12 1 - 6 0 - 4 -18.49
119 Fresno St MWC-W 1 - 7 0 - 4 -18.92
120 San Jose St MWC-W 2 - 6 1 - 3 -19.67
121 Florida Intl CUSA-E 3 - 5 3 - 1 -19.87
122 ULM SUN 2 - 5 1 - 2 -22.22
123 New Mexico St SUN 2 - 5 1 - 3 -22.68
124 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 1 - 6 0 - 3 -22.86
125 Charlotte CUSA-E 3 - 5 2 - 2 -22.98
126 UTEP CUSA-W 2 - 5 1 - 3 -23.28
127 Buffalo MAC-E 1 - 6 0 - 3 -26.86
128 Texas St SUN 2 - 5 0 - 3 -28.8