Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2018 Week 5 (through games of 9/22/2018)

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Alabama SEC-W 4 - 0 2 - 0 33.6
2 Georgia SEC-E 4 - 0 2 - 0 25
3 Ohio St BIG10-E 4 - 0 1 - 0 22.26
4 Oklahoma BIG12 4 - 0 1 - 0 21.05
5 Penn St BIG10-E 4 - 0 1 - 0 19.87
6 Auburn SEC-W 3 - 1 1 - 1 18.81
7 Clemson ACC-A 4 - 0 1 - 0 18.66
8 LSU SEC-W 4 - 0 1 - 0 17.25
9 Michigan BIG10-E 3 - 1 1 - 0 16.9
10 Washington PAC12-N 3 - 1 2 - 0 16.11
11 Wisconsin BIG10-W 3 - 1 1 - 0 14.78
12 Stanford PAC12-N 4 - 0 2 - 0 14.52
13 West Virginia BIG12 3 - 0 1 - 0 13.07
14 Oklahoma St BIG12 3 - 1 0 - 1 12.95
15 Texas BIG12 3 - 1 1 - 0 12.74
16 Texas A&M SEC-W 2 - 2 0 - 1 12.62
17 South Carolina SEC-E 2 - 1 1 - 1 12.61
18 UCF AAC-E 3 - 0 1 - 0 11.89
19 TCU BIG12 2 - 2 0 - 1 11.33
20 Duke ACC-C 4 - 0 0 - 0 11.33
21 Kentucky SEC-E 4 - 0 2 - 0 11.25
22 Notre Dame IND 4 - 0 0 - 0 10.93
23 Missouri SEC-E 3 - 1 0 - 1 10.85
24 Texas Tech BIG12 3 - 1 1 - 0 10.62
25 Michigan St BIG10-E 2 - 1 1 - 0 10.56
26 Florida SEC-E 3 - 1 1 - 1 10.19
27 Iowa BIG10-W 3 - 1 0 - 1 9.96
28 Boise St MWC-M 2 - 1 0 - 0 9.62
29 Miami FL ACC-C 3 - 1 0 - 0 9.43
30 Mississippi St SEC-W 3 - 1 0 - 1 9.41
31 Temple AAC-E 2 - 2 1 - 0 7.49
32 Iowa St BIG12 1 - 2 0 - 1 6.77
33 USC PAC12-S 2 - 2 1 - 1 6.73
34 NC State ACC-A 3 - 0 0 - 0 6.58
35 Arizona St PAC12-S 2 - 2 0 - 1 5.88
36 Washington St PAC12-N 3 - 1 0 - 1 5.62
37 Mississippi SEC-W 3 - 1 0 - 1 5.32
38 Baylor BIG12 3 - 1 1 - 0 5.29
39 Utah PAC12-S 2 - 1 0 - 1 4.95
40 San Diego St MWC-W 3 - 1 0 - 0 4.85
41 Appalachian St SUN 2 - 1 0 - 0 4.74
42 Fresno St MWC-W 2 - 1 0 - 0 4.67
43 Houston AAC-W 3 - 1 0 - 0 4.54
44 Maryland BIG10-E 3 - 1 1 - 0 4.52
45 North Texas CUSA-W 4 - 0 0 - 0 4.34
46 Northwestern BIG10-W 1 - 2 1 - 0 3.84
47 Oregon PAC12-N 3 - 1 0 - 1 3.61
48 Indiana BIG10-E 3 - 1 0 - 1 3.54
49 BYU IND 3 - 1 1 - 0 3.43
50 South Florida AAC-E 4 - 0 1 - 0 3.01
51 Army IND 2 - 2 1 - 0 2.96
52 Memphis AAC-W 3 - 1 0 - 1 2.88
53 Virginia ACC-C 3 - 1 1 - 0 2.7
54 Purdue BIG10-W 1 - 3 0 - 1 2.53
55 Vanderbilt SEC-E 2 - 2 0 - 1 2.16
56 Syracuse ACC-A 4 - 0 1 - 0 2.1
57 Minnesota BIG10-W 3 - 1 0 - 1 1.93
58 Buffalo MAC-E 4 - 0 1 - 0 1.78
59 Utah St MWC-M 3 - 1 1 - 0 1.7
60 California PAC12-N 3 - 0 0 - 0 0.73
61 Kansas St BIG12 2 - 2 0 - 1 0.29
62 Boston College ACC-A 3 - 1 1 - 0 0.22
63 Colorado PAC12-S 3 - 0 0 - 0 0.05
64 Florida St ACC-A 2 - 2 0 - 2 0.03
65 Louisville ACC-A 2 - 2 0 - 1 -0.46
66 Virginia Tech ACC-C 2 - 1 1 - 0 -1.57
67 Cincinnati AAC-E 4 - 0 0 - 0 -1.75
68 Navy AAC-W 2 - 2 1 - 1 -2.03
69 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 2 - 2 0 - 0 -2.64
70 Toledo MAC-W 2 - 1 0 - 0 -2.81
71 Arkansas St SUN 3 - 1 0 - 0 -2.84
72 Georgia Tech ACC-C 1 - 3 0 - 2 -3.05
73 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 2 - 1 0 - 0 -3.16
74 East Carolina AAC-E 1 - 2 0 - 1 -3.41
75 UCLA PAC12-S 0 - 3 0 - 0 -3.69
76 E Michigan MAC-W 2 - 2 0 - 1 -3.85
77 Arizona PAC12-S 2 - 2 1 - 0 -4.1
78 Kansas BIG12 2 - 2 0 - 1 -4.17
79 Wake Forest ACC-A 2 - 2 0 - 1 -4.26
80 Pittsburgh ACC-C 2 - 2 1 - 1 -4.46
81 Ohio MAC-E 1 - 2 0 - 0 -4.63
82 Tennessee SEC-E 2 - 2 0 - 1 -4.77
83 Tulsa AAC-W 1 - 3 0 - 1 -5.19
84 Akron MAC-E 2 - 1 0 - 0 -5.22
85 Hawaii MWC-W 4 - 1 1 - 0 -6.14
86 North Carolina ACC-C 1 - 2 1 - 0 -6.4
87 Air Force MWC-M 1 - 2 0 - 1 -6.49
88 Troy SUN 3 - 1 1 - 0 -6.62
89 Marshall CUSA-E 2 - 1 0 - 0 -6.63
90 Arkansas SEC-W 1 - 3 0 - 1 -6.7
91 Florida Intl CUSA-E 2 - 2 1 - 0 -6.75
92 N Illinois MAC-W 1 - 3 1 - 0 -7.04
93 WKU CUSA-E 1 - 3 0 - 0 -7.44
94 Wyoming MWC-M 2 - 2 0 - 0 -7.67
95 W Michigan MAC-W 2 - 2 0 - 0 -7.79
96 SMU AAC-W 1 - 3 1 - 0 -8.02
97 Nebraska BIG10-W 0 - 3 0 - 1 -8.32
98 Illinois BIG10-W 2 - 2 0 - 1 -8.51
99 MTSU CUSA-E 1 - 2 0 - 0 -9.02
100 Ga Southern SUN 2 - 1 0 - 0 -9.08
101 Liberty IND 1 - 2 0 - 1 -10.02
102 Colorado St MWC-M 1 - 4 0 - 1 -10.22
103 Southern Miss CUSA-W 2 - 1 1 - 0 -10.34
104 UNLV MWC-W 2 - 2 0 - 0 -10.9
105 C Michigan MAC-W 1 - 3 0 - 1 -11.58
106 New Mexico MWC-M 2 - 1 0 - 0 -11.76
107 Coastal Car SUN 3 - 1 1 - 0 -12.58
108 Tulane AAC-W 1 - 3 0 - 0 -13.1
109 Miami OH MAC-E 1 - 3 1 - 0 -14.23
110 Nevada MWC-W 2 - 2 0 - 0 -15.32
111 South Alabama SUN 1 - 3 1 - 0 -15.49
112 ULM SUN 2 - 2 0 - 1 -15.5
113 Oregon St PAC12-N 1 - 3 0 - 1 -15.65
114 UAB CUSA-W 2 - 1 0 - 0 -15.85
115 Ball St MAC-W 1 - 3 0 - 0 -16.03
116 Old Dominion CUSA-E 1 - 3 0 - 2 -16.05
117 Rutgers BIG10-E 1 - 3 0 - 1 -16.65
118 San Jose St MWC-W 0 - 3 0 - 0 -17.66
119 UT San Antonio CUSA-W 1 - 3 0 - 0 -17.96
120 Kent MAC-E 1 - 3 0 - 0 -18.52
121 Rice CUSA-W 1 - 3 0 - 1 -18.66
122 Bowling Green MAC-E 1 - 3 0 - 1 -18.83
123 ULL SUN 1 - 2 0 - 1 -19.07
124 Connecticut AAC-E 1 - 3 0 - 1 -19.37
125 Massachusetts IND 2 - 3 1 - 0 -20.48
126 Georgia St SUN 1 - 3 0 - 0 -21.87
127 New Mexico St IND 1 - 4 0 - 0 -24.95
128 Charlotte CUSA-E 2 - 2 1 - 0 -25.26
129 Texas St SUN 1 - 3 0 - 1 -28.2
130 UTEP CUSA-W 0 - 4 0 - 0 -29.08