Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2016 After Week 1 (9/7/2016)

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Alabama SEC-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 29.44
2 Ohio St BIG10-E 1 - 0 0 - 0 25.7
3 Florida St ACC-A 1 - 0 0 - 0 16.98
4 Oregon PAC12-N 1 - 0 0 - 0 16.27
5 Georgia SEC-E 1 - 0 0 - 0 15.72
6 Stanford PAC12-N 1 - 0 0 - 0 15.61
7 Clemson ACC-A 1 - 0 0 - 0 15.56
8 Michigan St BIG10-E 1 - 0 0 - 0 15.32
9 Baylor BIG12 1 - 0 0 - 0 14.41
10 Oklahoma BIG12 0 - 1 0 - 0 14.35
11 Michigan BIG10-E 1 - 0 0 - 0 13.73
12 LSU SEC-W 0 - 1 0 - 0 13.67
13 TCU BIG12 1 - 0 0 - 0 13.02
14 Wisconsin BIG10-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 12.6
15 Washington PAC12-N 1 - 0 0 - 0 11.55
16 Texas A&M SEC-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 11.03
17 Mississippi SEC-W 0 - 1 0 - 0 10.8
18 Arkansas SEC-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 10.46
19 Houston AAC-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 10.44
20 Auburn SEC-W 0 - 1 0 - 0 10.26
21 Tennessee SEC-E 1 - 0 0 - 0 9.46
22 Notre Dame IND 0 - 1 0 - 0 8.19
23 Boise St MWC-M 1 - 0 0 - 0 8.19
24 Oklahoma St BIG12 1 - 0 0 - 0 8.12
25 Louisville ACC-A 1 - 0 0 - 0 7.96
26 Florida SEC-E 1 - 0 0 - 0 7.82
27 USC PAC12-S 0 - 1 0 - 0 7.82
28 Arizona St PAC12-S 1 - 0 0 - 0 7.8
29 Mississippi St SEC-W 0 - 1 0 - 0 7.58
30 Nebraska BIG10-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 6.99
31 UCLA PAC12-S 0 - 1 0 - 0 6.76
32 Utah PAC12-S 1 - 0 0 - 0 6.73
33 West Virginia BIG12 1 - 0 0 - 0 6.68
34 Kansas St BIG12 0 - 1 0 - 0 6.58
35 Navy AAC-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 5.78
36 Texas BIG12 1 - 0 0 - 0 5.61
37 South Carolina SEC-E 1 - 0 1 - 0 5.58
38 North Carolina ACC-C 0 - 1 0 - 0 5.58
39 Georgia Tech ACC-C 1 - 0 1 - 0 5.39
40 Iowa BIG10-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 5.03
41 Virginia Tech ACC-C 1 - 0 0 - 0 4.04
42 WKU CUSA-E 1 - 0 1 - 0 3.9
43 Toledo MAC-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 3.82
44 BYU IND 1 - 0 0 - 0 3.75
45 Missouri SEC-E 0 - 1 0 - 0 3.55
46 Pittsburgh ACC-C 1 - 0 0 - 0 3.45
47 Penn St BIG10-E 1 - 0 0 - 0 3.43
48 Arizona PAC12-S 0 - 1 0 - 0 2.83
49 Miami FL ACC-C 1 - 0 0 - 0 2.7
50 San Diego St MWC-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 2.21
51 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 0 - 1 0 - 0 2.14
52 Washington St PAC12-N 0 - 1 0 - 0 1.97
53 Marshall CUSA-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 1.68
54 Northwestern BIG10-W 0 - 1 0 - 0 1.41
55 NC State ACC-A 1 - 0 0 - 0 1.33
56 Appalachian St SUN 0 - 1 0 - 0 1.33
57 Ga Southern SUN 1 - 0 0 - 0 1.28
58 Cincinnati AAC-E 1 - 0 0 - 0 1.22
59 Memphis AAC-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 0.95
60 Minnesota BIG10-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 0.64
61 Duke ACC-C 1 - 0 0 - 0 0.28
62 Texas Tech BIG12 1 - 0 0 - 0 0.07
63 California PAC12-N 1 - 0 0 - 0 -0.36
64 Utah St MWC-M 1 - 0 0 - 0 -0.47
65 South Florida AAC-E 1 - 0 0 - 0 -0.9
66 Vanderbilt SEC-E 0 - 1 0 - 1 -1.96
67 East Carolina AAC-E 1 - 0 0 - 0 -2.08
68 Virginia ACC-C 0 - 1 0 - 0 -2.08
69 W Michigan MAC-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 -2.13
70 Indiana BIG10-E 1 - 0 0 - 0 -2.24
71 Boston College ACC-A 0 - 1 0 - 1 -2.41
72 Syracuse ACC-A 1 - 0 0 - 0 -2.93
73 Tulsa AAC-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 -3.04
74 Colorado PAC12-S 1 - 0 0 - 0 -3.12
75 Illinois BIG10-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 -3.71
76 Air Force MWC-M 1 - 0 0 - 0 -3.75
77 Maryland BIG10-E 1 - 0 0 - 0 -3.88
78 Temple AAC-E 0 - 1 0 - 0 -3.91
79 Arkansas St SUN 0 - 1 0 - 0 -4.35
80 Rutgers BIG10-E 0 - 1 0 - 0 -4.53
81 Kentucky SEC-E 0 - 1 0 - 0 -4.62
82 Iowa St BIG12 0 - 1 0 - 0 -4.69
83 Southern Miss CUSA-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 -4.77
84 Oregon St PAC12-N 0 - 1 0 - 0 -4.78
85 N Illinois MAC-W 0 - 1 0 - 0 -5.09
86 Bowling Green MAC-E 0 - 1 0 - 0 -5.32
87 MTSU CUSA-E 1 - 0 0 - 0 -6.73
88 C Michigan MAC-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 -6.89
89 Army IND 1 - 0 0 - 0 -7.63
90 Wake Forest ACC-A 1 - 0 0 - 0 -7.73
91 Nevada MWC-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 -7.78
92 Connecticut AAC-E 1 - 0 0 - 0 -7.92
93 Purdue BIG10-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 -8.83
94 South Alabama SUN 1 - 0 0 - 0 -9.14
95 Ball St MAC-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 -10.11
96 Ohio MAC-E 0 - 1 0 - 0 -11.28
97 UCF AAC-E 1 - 0 0 - 0 -11.37
98 Rice CUSA-W 0 - 1 0 - 1 -11.39
99 Colorado St MWC-M 0 - 1 0 - 0 -11.73
100 Wyoming MWC-M 1 - 0 0 - 0 -12.28
101 Troy SUN 1 - 0 0 - 0 -12.69
102 ULL SUN 0 - 1 0 - 0 -12.69
103 SMU AAC-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 -12.74
104 Akron MAC-E 1 - 0 0 - 0 -12.91
105 San Jose St MWC-W 0 - 1 0 - 0 -12.91
106 New Mexico MWC-M 1 - 0 0 - 0 -13.07
107 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 1 - 0 0 - 0 -13.4
108 Buffalo MAC-E 0 - 1 0 - 0 -13.5
109 Fresno St MWC-W 0 - 1 0 - 0 -13.74
110 UTEP CUSA-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 -14.11
111 Tulane AAC-W 0 - 1 0 - 0 -15.12
112 Kent MAC-E 0 - 1 0 - 0 -15.24
113 Florida Intl CUSA-E 0 - 1 0 - 0 -15.49
114 Texas St SUN 1 - 0 0 - 0 -16.73
115 UT San Antonio CUSA-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 -16.93
116 Old Dominion CUSA-E 1 - 0 0 - 0 -17.05
117 Miami OH MAC-E 0 - 1 0 - 0 -17.06
118 North Texas CUSA-W 0 - 1 0 - 0 -17.22
119 Kansas BIG12 1 - 0 0 - 0 -17.54
120 UNLV MWC-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 -17.87
121 Massachusetts IND 0 - 1 0 - 0 -17.87
122 ULM SUN 1 - 0 0 - 0 -18.15
123 Hawaii MWC-W 0 - 2 0 - 0 -18.98
124 Georgia St SUN 0 - 1 0 - 0 -19.13
125 Idaho SUN 1 - 0 0 - 0 -19.67
126 E Michigan MAC-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 -22.79
127 New Mexico St SUN 0 - 1 0 - 0 -25.67
128 Charlotte CUSA-E 0 - 1 0 - 0 -32.68