Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2016 After Week 9 (10/30/2016)

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Alabama SEC-W 8 - 0 5 - 0 30.23
2 Michigan BIG10-E 8 - 0 5 - 0 26.82
3 Ohio St BIG10-E 7 - 1 4 - 1 23.72
4 Auburn SEC-W 6 - 2 4 - 1 21.41
5 Washington PAC12-N 8 - 0 5 - 0 21.18
6 LSU SEC-W 5 - 2 3 - 1 19.48
7 Clemson ACC-A 8 - 0 5 - 0 18.89
8 Louisville ACC-A 7 - 1 5 - 1 17.9
9 Wisconsin BIG10-W 6 - 2 3 - 2 16.74
10 Texas A&M SEC-W 7 - 1 4 - 1 15.47
11 USC PAC12-S 5 - 3 4 - 2 14.16
12 Colorado PAC12-S 6 - 2 4 - 1 13.57
13 Virginia Tech ACC-C 6 - 2 4 - 1 13.24
14 Penn St BIG10-E 6 - 2 4 - 1 12.45
15 Oklahoma BIG12 6 - 2 5 - 0 12.32
16 Mississippi SEC-W 3 - 5 1 - 4 12.32
17 Washington St PAC12-N 6 - 2 5 - 0 12.28
18 Florida SEC-E 6 - 1 4 - 1 12.21
19 Stanford PAC12-N 5 - 3 3 - 3 11.37
20 Northwestern BIG10-W 4 - 4 3 - 2 10.62
21 Florida St ACC-A 5 - 3 2 - 3 10.35
22 Nebraska BIG10-W 7 - 1 4 - 1 10.03
23 W Michigan MAC-W 8 - 0 4 - 0 9.99
24 West Virginia BIG12 6 - 1 3 - 1 9.87
25 Baylor BIG12 6 - 1 3 - 1 9.72
26 Utah PAC12-S 7 - 2 4 - 2 8.33
27 Oklahoma St BIG12 6 - 2 4 - 1 7.91
28 Tennessee SEC-E 5 - 3 2 - 3 7.88
29 North Carolina ACC-C 6 - 2 4 - 1 7.65
30 Iowa BIG10-W 5 - 3 3 - 2 7.59
31 Boise St MWC-M 7 - 1 3 - 1 7.55
32 Oregon PAC12-N 3 - 5 1 - 4 6.99
33 Pittsburgh ACC-C 5 - 3 2 - 2 6.56
34 BYU IND 4 - 4 0 - 0 6.55
35 Houston AAC-W 7 - 2 4 - 2 6.17
36 UCLA PAC12-S 3 - 5 1 - 4 6.08
37 Minnesota BIG10-W 6 - 2 3 - 2 5.83
38 Miami FL ACC-C 4 - 4 1 - 3 5.43
39 WKU CUSA-E 6 - 3 4 - 1 5.31
40 South Florida AAC-E 7 - 2 4 - 1 4.98
41 Kansas St BIG12 5 - 3 3 - 2 4.8
42 Temple AAC-E 6 - 3 4 - 1 4.8
43 Arkansas SEC-W 5 - 3 1 - 3 4.41
44 Texas BIG12 4 - 4 2 - 3 4.37
45 Notre Dame IND 3 - 5 0 - 0 4.17
46 Michigan St BIG10-E 2 - 6 0 - 5 4.05
47 Georgia Tech ACC-C 5 - 3 2 - 3 4.05
48 Georgia SEC-E 4 - 4 2 - 4 3.93
49 Mississippi St SEC-W 3 - 5 1 - 3 3.89
50 San Diego St MWC-W 7 - 1 4 - 0 3.52
51 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 6 - 3 4 - 1 2.58
52 Arizona St PAC12-S 5 - 4 2 - 4 2.55
53 Tulsa AAC-W 6 - 2 3 - 1 2.4
54 California PAC12-N 4 - 4 2 - 3 2.3
55 Navy AAC-W 5 - 2 4 - 1 2.26
56 Appalachian St SUN 6 - 2 4 - 0 2.19
57 TCU BIG12 4 - 4 2 - 3 2.09
58 Indiana BIG10-E 4 - 4 2 - 3 1.72
59 Maryland BIG10-E 5 - 3 2 - 3 1.52
60 NC State ACC-A 4 - 4 1 - 3 1.41
61 Troy SUN 6 - 1 4 - 0 1.28
62 Memphis AAC-W 5 - 3 2 - 2 1.26
63 UCF AAC-E 4 - 4 2 - 2 0.69
64 Kentucky SEC-E 5 - 3 4 - 2 0.53
65 South Carolina SEC-E 4 - 4 2 - 4 0.48
66 Texas Tech BIG12 4 - 4 2 - 3 0.42
67 Toledo MAC-W 6 - 2 3 - 1 0.41
68 Duke ACC-C 3 - 5 0 - 4 -0.03
69 Vanderbilt SEC-E 4 - 4 1 - 3 -0.33
70 Oregon St PAC12-N 2 - 6 1 - 4 -0.65
71 Virginia ACC-C 2 - 6 1 - 3 -0.88
72 Syracuse ACC-A 4 - 4 2 - 2 -2.26
73 Wake Forest ACC-A 5 - 3 2 - 2 -2.26
74 Arizona PAC12-S 2 - 6 0 - 5 -2.59
75 MTSU CUSA-E 6 - 2 3 - 1 -2.72
76 Wyoming MWC-M 6 - 2 4 - 0 -3.05
77 Missouri SEC-E 2 - 6 0 - 4 -3.46
78 East Carolina AAC-E 3 - 5 1 - 3 -4.1
79 Boston College ACC-A 4 - 4 1 - 4 -4.23
80 Arkansas St SUN 3 - 4 3 - 0 -4.37
81 Air Force MWC-M 5 - 3 2 - 3 -4.49
82 Colorado St MWC-M 4 - 4 2 - 2 -4.57
83 N Illinois MAC-W 2 - 6 2 - 2 -4.7
84 Iowa St BIG12 1 - 7 0 - 5 -5.07
85 SMU AAC-W 4 - 4 2 - 2 -5.27
86 Illinois BIG10-W 2 - 6 1 - 4 -6.23
87 Army IND 5 - 3 1 - 0 -6.6
88 Cincinnati AAC-E 4 - 4 1 - 4 -6.79
89 Utah St MWC-M 3 - 5 1 - 4 -7.08
90 Southern Miss CUSA-W 5 - 3 3 - 1 -7.49
91 Ohio MAC-E 6 - 3 4 - 1 -7.69
92 C Michigan MAC-W 5 - 4 2 - 3 -7.7
93 South Alabama SUN 4 - 4 1 - 4 -7.78
94 New Mexico MWC-M 5 - 3 3 - 1 -8.44
95 Ga Southern SUN 4 - 4 3 - 2 -9.58
96 Rutgers BIG10-E 2 - 6 0 - 5 -10.35
97 Old Dominion CUSA-E 5 - 3 3 - 1 -10.4
98 Kent MAC-E 3 - 6 2 - 3 -10.51
99 UT San Antonio CUSA-W 4 - 4 3 - 2 -10.77
100 Connecticut AAC-E 3 - 6 1 - 5 -10.8
101 Tulane AAC-W 3 - 5 0 - 4 -10.92
102 Hawaii MWC-W 4 - 5 3 - 2 -11.23
103 Purdue BIG10-W 3 - 5 1 - 4 -11.55
104 Miami OH MAC-E 3 - 6 3 - 2 -11.64
105 North Texas CUSA-W 4 - 4 2 - 2 -11.81
106 Akron MAC-E 5 - 4 3 - 2 -12.12
107 Georgia St SUN 2 - 6 1 - 3 -12.57
108 E Michigan MAC-W 5 - 4 2 - 3 -13.06
109 Ball St MAC-W 4 - 4 1 - 3 -13.14
110 ULL SUN 3 - 4 2 - 2 -14.43
111 Idaho SUN 4 - 4 2 - 2 -14.72
112 Nevada MWC-W 3 - 5 1 - 3 -14.97
113 UNLV MWC-W 3 - 6 2 - 3 -15.63
114 Marshall CUSA-E 2 - 6 1 - 3 -15.72
115 Massachusetts IND 2 - 7 1 - 0 -16.15
116 San Jose St MWC-W 3 - 6 2 - 3 -17.13
117 Bowling Green MAC-E 1 - 7 0 - 4 -17.57
118 Florida Intl CUSA-E 3 - 6 3 - 2 -17.74
119 Fresno St MWC-W 1 - 8 0 - 5 -17.85
120 Rice CUSA-W 1 - 7 0 - 5 -19.34
121 Buffalo MAC-E 2 - 6 1 - 3 -19.95
122 Kansas BIG12 1 - 7 0 - 5 -20.84
123 UTEP CUSA-W 2 - 6 1 - 4 -21.24
124 New Mexico St SUN 2 - 6 1 - 3 -22.29
125 Charlotte CUSA-E 3 - 5 2 - 2 -23.52
126 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 1 - 7 0 - 4 -24.75
127 ULM SUN 2 - 6 1 - 3 -24.86
128 Texas St SUN 2 - 5 0 - 3 -29.26