Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2019 Week 15 (Through games of 11/30/19)

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Ohio St BIG10-E 12 - 0 9 - 0 36.04
2 Clemson ACC-A 12 - 0 8 - 0 28.2
3 LSU SEC-W 12 - 0 8 - 0 26.85
4 Alabama SEC-W 10 - 2 6 - 2 25.33
5 Georgia SEC-E 11 - 1 7 - 1 23.86
6 Wisconsin BIG10-W 10 - 2 7 - 2 23.12
7 Utah PAC12-S 11 - 1 8 - 1 23.01
8 Auburn SEC-W 9 - 3 5 - 3 21.13
9 Michigan BIG10-E 9 - 3 6 - 3 21.04
10 Florida SEC-E 10 - 2 6 - 2 20.88
11 Penn St BIG10-E 10 - 2 7 - 2 19.17
12 Notre Dame IND 10 - 2 0 - 0 17.7
13 Oregon PAC12-N 10 - 2 8 - 1 17.33
14 Oklahoma BIG12 11 - 1 8 - 1 17.24
15 Baylor BIG12 11 - 1 8 - 1 16.23
16 Iowa BIG10-W 9 - 3 6 - 3 15.25
17 Minnesota BIG10-W 10 - 2 7 - 2 14.6
18 Memphis AAC-W 11 - 1 7 - 1 14.26
19 Texas A&M SEC-W 7 - 5 4 - 4 11.66
20 Appalachian St SUN 11 - 1 7 - 1 10.9
21 Navy AAC-W 9 - 2 7 - 1 10.88
22 Washington PAC12-N 7 - 5 4 - 5 10.64
23 Iowa St BIG12 7 - 5 5 - 4 10.35
24 UCF AAC-E 9 - 3 6 - 2 9.58
25 USC PAC12-S 8 - 4 7 - 2 9.25
26 Texas BIG12 7 - 5 5 - 4 8.89
27 Louisiana SUN 10 - 2 7 - 1 8.83
28 Kansas St BIG12 8 - 4 5 - 4 8.46
29 Virginia Tech ACC-C 8 - 4 5 - 3 7.71
30 SMU AAC-W 10 - 2 6 - 2 7.66
31 Air Force MWC-M 10 - 2 7 - 1 7.6
32 Boise St MWC-M 11 - 1 8 - 0 7.45
33 Indiana BIG10-E 8 - 4 5 - 4 7.37
34 Oklahoma St BIG12 8 - 4 5 - 4 7.12
35 Kentucky SEC-E 7 - 5 3 - 5 6.7
36 Tennessee SEC-E 7 - 5 5 - 3 6.54
37 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 9 - 3 7 - 1 6.49
38 Cincinnati AAC-E 10 - 2 7 - 1 6.38
39 Nebraska BIG10-W 5 - 7 3 - 6 6.01
40 TCU BIG12 5 - 7 3 - 6 5.5
41 Virginia ACC-C 9 - 3 6 - 2 5.43
42 Mississippi SEC-W 4 - 8 2 - 6 5.03
43 Mississippi St SEC-W 6 - 6 3 - 5 5.03
44 Washington St PAC12-N 6 - 6 3 - 6 4.81
45 Arizona St PAC12-S 7 - 5 4 - 5 4.58
46 Michigan St BIG10-E 6 - 6 4 - 5 3.56
47 North Carolina ACC-C 6 - 6 4 - 5 3.53
48 Missouri SEC-E 6 - 6 3 - 5 2.38
49 Illinois BIG10-W 6 - 6 4 - 5 2.36
50 South Carolina SEC-E 4 - 8 3 - 5 2.25
51 WKU CUSA-E 8 - 4 6 - 2 2.01
52 Tulane AAC-W 6 - 6 3 - 5 1.79
53 California PAC12-N 7 - 5 4 - 5 1.77
54 Oregon St PAC12-N 5 - 7 4 - 5 1.35
55 Purdue BIG10-W 4 - 8 3 - 6 1.15
56 Miami FL ACC-C 6 - 6 4 - 4 0.39
57 Texas Tech BIG12 4 - 8 2 - 7 -0.06
58 Florida St ACC-A 6 - 6 4 - 4 -0.09
59 Temple AAC-E 8 - 4 5 - 3 -0.81
60 Tulsa AAC-W 4 - 8 2 - 6 -0.83
61 Wyoming MWC-M 7 - 5 4 - 4 -0.89
62 Ga Southern SUN 7 - 5 5 - 3 -0.99
63 Buffalo MAC-E 7 - 5 5 - 3 -1.37
64 Houston AAC-W 4 - 8 2 - 6 -1.54
65 Hawaii MWC-W 9 - 4 5 - 3 -1.6
66 Northwestern BIG10-W 3 - 9 1 - 8 -1.81
67 Pittsburgh ACC-C 7 - 5 4 - 4 -1.82
68 Wake Forest ACC-A 8 - 4 5 - 4 -1.85
69 Louisville ACC-A 7 - 5 5 - 3 -2.11
70 West Virginia BIG12 5 - 7 3 - 6 -2.15
71 San Diego St MWC-W 9 - 3 5 - 3 -2.32
72 Boston College ACC-A 6 - 6 4 - 4 -2.53
73 UCLA PAC12-S 4 - 8 4 - 5 -2.56
74 C Michigan MAC-W 8 - 4 6 - 2 -2.88
75 Marshall CUSA-E 8 - 4 6 - 2 -2.88
76 Colorado PAC12-S 5 - 7 3 - 6 -2.89
77 Ohio MAC-E 6 - 6 5 - 3 -2.95
78 BYU IND 7 - 5 3 - 0 -3.21
79 Stanford PAC12-N 4 - 8 3 - 6 -3.47
80 Southern Miss CUSA-W 7 - 5 5 - 3 -3.72
81 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 9 - 3 6 - 2 -4.31
82 W Michigan MAC-W 7 - 5 5 - 3 -4.55
83 Ball St MAC-W 5 - 7 4 - 4 -5.05
84 Duke ACC-C 5 - 7 3 - 5 -5.67
85 Army IND 5 - 7 3 - 0 -6.02
86 UAB CUSA-W 9 - 3 6 - 2 -6.26
87 Arizona PAC12-S 4 - 8 2 - 7 -6.49
88 Arkansas St SUN 7 - 5 5 - 3 -6.54
89 Syracuse ACC-A 5 - 7 2 - 6 -6.55
90 Utah St MWC-M 7 - 5 6 - 2 -6.88
91 MTSU CUSA-E 4 - 8 3 - 5 -7
92 Charlotte CUSA-E 7 - 5 5 - 3 -7.5
93 Fresno St MWC-W 4 - 8 2 - 6 -8.08
94 Kent MAC-E 6 - 6 5 - 3 -8.11
95 Arkansas SEC-W 2 - 10 0 - 8 -8.42
96 San Jose St MWC-W 5 - 7 2 - 6 -8.44
97 ULM SUN 5 - 7 4 - 4 -8.6
98 Kansas BIG12 3 - 9 1 - 8 -8.64
99 Colorado St MWC-M 4 - 8 3 - 5 -8.66
100 South Florida AAC-E 4 - 8 2 - 6 -8.84
101 Florida Intl CUSA-E 6 - 6 3 - 5 -9.12
102 Maryland BIG10-E 3 - 9 1 - 8 -9.44
103 Miami OH MAC-E 7 - 5 6 - 2 -9.57
104 Georgia St SUN 7 - 5 4 - 4 -9.61
105 E Michigan MAC-W 6 - 6 3 - 5 -9.86
106 Troy SUN 5 - 7 3 - 5 -10.17
107 Liberty IND 7 - 5 5 - 1 -11.36
108 Georgia Tech ACC-C 3 - 9 2 - 6 -12.11
109 Coastal Car SUN 5 - 7 2 - 6 -12.17
110 North Texas CUSA-W 4 - 8 3 - 5 -12.18
111 Rice CUSA-W 3 - 9 3 - 5 -12.19
112 Vanderbilt SEC-E 3 - 9 1 - 7 -12.77
113 N Illinois MAC-W 5 - 7 4 - 4 -13.1
114 East Carolina AAC-E 4 - 8 1 - 7 -13.77
115 NC State ACC-A 4 - 8 1 - 7 -14.37
116 Nevada MWC-W 7 - 5 4 - 4 -14.56
117 Rutgers BIG10-E 2 - 10 0 - 9 -14.65
118 UNLV MWC-W 4 - 8 2 - 6 -14.91
119 South Alabama SUN 2 - 10 1 - 7 -15.11
120 Toledo MAC-W 6 - 6 3 - 5 -16.82
121 Texas St SUN 3 - 9 2 - 6 -18.1
122 UT San Antonio CUSA-W 4 - 8 3 - 5 -18.2
123 New Mexico MWC-M 2 - 10 0 - 8 -18.62
124 Old Dominion CUSA-E 1 - 11 0 - 8 -19.39
125 New Mexico St IND 2 - 10 1 - 2 -23.22
126 Connecticut AAC-E 2 - 10 0 - 8 -23.93
127 UTEP CUSA-W 1 - 11 0 - 8 -26.76
128 Bowling Green MAC-E 3 - 9 2 - 6 -29.23
129 Akron MAC-E 0 - 12 0 - 8 -34.7
130 Massachusetts IND 1 - 11 0 - 4 -39.53