Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2016 After Week 12 (11/20/2016)

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Alabama SEC-W 11 - 0 7 - 0 31.11
2 Ohio St BIG10-E 10 - 1 7 - 1 29.01
3 Michigan BIG10-E 10 - 1 7 - 1 26.8
4 Washington PAC12-N 10 - 1 7 - 1 20.73
5 Wisconsin BIG10-W 9 - 2 6 - 2 18.84
6 Colorado PAC12-S 9 - 2 7 - 1 18.6
7 Clemson ACC-A 10 - 1 7 - 1 18.44
8 USC PAC12-S 8 - 3 7 - 2 17.9
9 Auburn SEC-W 8 - 3 5 - 2 17.7
10 Washington St PAC12-N 8 - 3 7 - 1 17.55
11 Penn St BIG10-E 9 - 2 7 - 1 17.55
12 LSU SEC-W 6 - 4 4 - 3 16.84
13 Oklahoma BIG12 9 - 2 8 - 0 16.43
14 Louisville ACC-A 9 - 2 7 - 1 16.2
15 W Michigan MAC-W 11 - 0 7 - 0 11.65
16 Stanford PAC12-N 8 - 3 6 - 3 11.34
17 Florida St ACC-A 8 - 3 5 - 3 11.19
18 Florida SEC-E 8 - 2 6 - 2 11.04
19 Miami FL ACC-C 7 - 4 4 - 3 10.83
20 Iowa BIG10-W 7 - 4 5 - 3 10.71
21 Houston AAC-W 9 - 2 5 - 2 10.62
22 Texas A&M SEC-W 8 - 3 4 - 3 10.2
23 Oklahoma St BIG12 9 - 2 7 - 1 10.09
24 Pittsburgh ACC-C 7 - 4 4 - 3 9.74
25 WKU CUSA-E 8 - 3 6 - 1 9.47
26 Northwestern BIG10-W 5 - 6 4 - 4 9.09
27 Virginia Tech ACC-C 8 - 3 5 - 2 9.07
28 Boise St MWC-M 10 - 1 6 - 1 8.54
29 Tennessee SEC-E 8 - 3 4 - 3 8.38
30 Temple AAC-E 8 - 3 6 - 1 8.35
31 North Carolina ACC-C 8 - 3 5 - 2 8.33
32 San Diego St MWC-W 9 - 2 6 - 1 8.27
33 BYU IND 7 - 4 2 - 0 8.19
34 Tulsa AAC-W 8 - 3 5 - 2 8.16
35 Nebraska BIG10-W 9 - 2 6 - 2 8.15
36 Memphis AAC-W 7 - 4 4 - 3 7.94
37 West Virginia BIG12 8 - 2 5 - 2 7.62
38 Utah PAC12-S 8 - 3 5 - 3 7.41
39 Kansas St BIG12 6 - 4 4 - 3 7.4
40 Minnesota BIG10-W 8 - 3 5 - 3 7.3
41 Navy AAC-W 8 - 2 6 - 1 6.65
42 South Florida AAC-E 9 - 2 6 - 1 6.25
43 Mississippi SEC-W 5 - 6 2 - 5 6.25
44 Notre Dame IND 4 - 7 1 - 0 5.33
45 Michigan St BIG10-E 3 - 8 1 - 7 5.14
46 UCLA PAC12-S 4 - 7 2 - 6 4.89
47 Arkansas SEC-W 7 - 4 3 - 4 4.62
48 Toledo MAC-W 9 - 2 6 - 1 4.41
49 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 8 - 3 6 - 1 4.27
50 Georgia SEC-E 7 - 4 4 - 4 4.11
51 Georgia Tech ACC-C 7 - 4 4 - 4 3.89
52 UCF AAC-E 6 - 5 4 - 3 3.2
53 TCU BIG12 5 - 5 3 - 4 2.86
54 Iowa St BIG12 3 - 8 2 - 6 2.77
55 Indiana BIG10-E 5 - 6 3 - 5 2.72
56 Vanderbilt SEC-E 5 - 6 2 - 5 2.71
57 Arkansas St SUN 6 - 4 6 - 0 2.36
58 Wyoming MWC-M 8 - 3 6 - 1 2.15
59 Texas BIG12 5 - 6 3 - 5 1.4
60 Colorado St MWC-M 6 - 5 4 - 3 1.15
61 Oregon PAC12-N 4 - 7 2 - 6 0.93
62 Appalachian St SUN 8 - 3 6 - 1 0.77
63 NC State ACC-A 5 - 6 2 - 5 0.54
64 Oregon St PAC12-N 3 - 8 2 - 6 0.21
65 Kentucky SEC-E 6 - 5 4 - 4 0.04
66 Baylor BIG12 6 - 4 3 - 4 -0.17
67 Mississippi St SEC-W 4 - 7 2 - 5 -0.53
68 Troy SUN 8 - 2 5 - 1 -0.89
69 Arizona St PAC12-S 5 - 6 2 - 6 -1.6
70 South Carolina SEC-E 6 - 5 3 - 5 -1.91
71 N Illinois MAC-W 4 - 7 4 - 3 -1.94
72 California PAC12-N 4 - 7 2 - 6 -2.06
73 Air Force MWC-M 8 - 3 4 - 3 -2.73
74 Duke ACC-C 4 - 7 1 - 6 -3.24
75 Maryland BIG10-E 5 - 6 2 - 6 -3.82
76 Wake Forest ACC-A 6 - 5 3 - 4 -3.9
77 Texas Tech BIG12 4 - 7 2 - 6 -4.09
78 SMU AAC-W 5 - 6 3 - 4 -4.24
79 Old Dominion CUSA-E 8 - 3 6 - 1 -5.2
80 Virginia ACC-C 2 - 9 1 - 6 -5.34
81 Ohio MAC-E 7 - 4 5 - 2 -5.68
82 Missouri SEC-E 3 - 8 1 - 6 -6.17
83 Miami OH MAC-E 5 - 6 5 - 2 -6.9
84 New Mexico MWC-M 7 - 4 5 - 2 -6.9
85 E Michigan MAC-W 6 - 5 3 - 4 -7.84
86 C Michigan MAC-W 6 - 5 3 - 4 -7.9
87 UT San Antonio CUSA-W 5 - 6 4 - 3 -8.44
88 Illinois BIG10-W 3 - 8 2 - 6 -8.57
89 Boston College ACC-A 5 - 6 1 - 6 -8.69
90 Idaho SUN 6 - 4 4 - 2 -9.2
91 South Alabama SUN 5 - 5 1 - 5 -9.45
92 Utah St MWC-M 3 - 8 1 - 7 -9.47
93 MTSU CUSA-E 7 - 4 4 - 3 -9.72
94 UNLV MWC-W 4 - 7 3 - 4 -9.88
95 Arizona PAC12-S 2 - 9 0 - 8 -10.49
96 Syracuse ACC-A 4 - 7 2 - 5 -10.56
97 Tulane AAC-W 3 - 8 0 - 7 -10.73
98 Purdue BIG10-W 3 - 8 1 - 7 -11.32
99 Ga Southern SUN 4 - 7 3 - 4 -11.45
100 Cincinnati AAC-E 4 - 7 1 - 6 -11.57
101 East Carolina AAC-E 3 - 8 1 - 6 -11.91
102 Army IND 6 - 5 2 - 1 -11.93
103 Bowling Green MAC-E 3 - 8 2 - 5 -12.51
104 Kent MAC-E 3 - 8 2 - 5 -12.95
105 Ball St MAC-W 4 - 7 1 - 6 -13.4
106 ULL SUN 4 - 6 3 - 3 -13.4
107 North Texas CUSA-W 5 - 6 3 - 4 -13.46
108 San Jose St MWC-W 3 - 8 2 - 5 -13.75
109 Georgia St SUN 3 - 8 2 - 5 -14.07
110 Akron MAC-E 5 - 6 3 - 4 -14.42
111 Southern Miss CUSA-W 5 - 6 3 - 4 -14.45
112 Hawaii MWC-W 5 - 7 4 - 4 -14.87
113 Nevada MWC-W 4 - 7 2 - 5 -14.98
114 Kansas BIG12 2 - 9 1 - 7 -14.98
115 Rutgers BIG10-E 2 - 9 0 - 8 -15.33
116 Florida Intl CUSA-E 4 - 7 4 - 3 -15.61
117 Connecticut AAC-E 3 - 8 1 - 6 -16.33
118 Massachusetts IND 2 - 9 1 - 1 -17.54
119 Charlotte CUSA-E 4 - 7 3 - 4 -17.92
120 New Mexico St SUN 3 - 7 2 - 4 -17.96
121 Marshall CUSA-E 3 - 8 2 - 5 -18.04
122 ULM SUN 4 - 7 3 - 4 -18.76
123 Fresno St MWC-W 1 - 10 0 - 7 -19.07
124 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 3 - 8 2 - 5 -21.01
125 Rice CUSA-W 3 - 8 2 - 6 -21.5
126 Buffalo MAC-E 2 - 9 1 - 6 -22.49
127 UTEP CUSA-W 3 - 8 1 - 6 -25.14
128 Texas St SUN 2 - 8 0 - 6 -32.77