Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2019 Week 11 (Through games of 11/2/19)

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Ohio St BIG10-E 8 - 0 5 - 0 40.51
2 Penn St BIG10-E 8 - 0 5 - 0 26.95
3 Alabama SEC-W 8 - 0 5 - 0 26.63
4 Clemson ACC-A 9 - 0 6 - 0 26.32
5 LSU SEC-W 8 - 0 4 - 0 24.62
6 Wisconsin BIG10-W 6 - 2 3 - 2 24.31
7 Utah PAC12-S 8 - 1 5 - 1 22.31
8 Oregon PAC12-N 8 - 1 6 - 0 21.18
9 Georgia SEC-E 7 - 1 4 - 1 21.18
10 Oklahoma BIG12 7 - 1 4 - 1 20.52
11 Michigan BIG10-E 7 - 2 4 - 2 19.92
12 Auburn SEC-W 7 - 2 4 - 2 19.61
13 Florida SEC-E 7 - 2 4 - 2 17.92
14 Navy AAC-W 7 - 1 5 - 1 16.44
15 Minnesota BIG10-W 8 - 0 5 - 0 16.33
16 Iowa BIG10-W 6 - 2 3 - 2 16.24
17 Iowa St BIG12 5 - 3 3 - 2 14.68
18 UCF AAC-E 7 - 2 4 - 1 13.86
19 Kansas St BIG12 6 - 2 3 - 2 13.74
20 Washington PAC12-N 5 - 4 2 - 4 13.1
21 Baylor BIG12 8 - 0 5 - 0 12.52
22 Memphis AAC-W 8 - 1 4 - 1 11.58
23 Oklahoma St BIG12 6 - 3 3 - 3 10.68
24 Cincinnati AAC-E 7 - 1 4 - 0 10.56
25 Michigan St BIG10-E 4 - 4 2 - 3 10.34
26 Notre Dame IND 6 - 2 0 - 0 10.19
27 TCU BIG12 4 - 4 2 - 3 9.95
28 Texas A&M SEC-W 6 - 3 3 - 2 9.82
29 SMU AAC-W 8 - 1 4 - 1 9.48
30 Washington St PAC12-N 4 - 4 1 - 4 9.29
31 Indiana BIG10-E 7 - 2 4 - 2 9.22
32 Texas BIG12 5 - 3 3 - 2 9.12
33 Appalachian St SUN 7 - 1 4 - 1 8.16
34 Air Force MWC-M 7 - 2 4 - 1 7.72
35 Tennessee SEC-E 4 - 5 2 - 3 6.78
36 USC PAC12-S 5 - 4 4 - 2 6.62
37 Tulane AAC-W 6 - 3 3 - 2 6.34
38 Virginia ACC-C 6 - 3 4 - 2 6.27
39 Louisiana SUN 6 - 2 3 - 1 6.01
40 Wake Forest ACC-A 7 - 1 4 - 1 5.74
41 Boise St MWC-M 7 - 1 4 - 0 5.64
42 North Carolina ACC-C 4 - 5 3 - 4 5.58
43 Mississippi St SEC-W 4 - 5 2 - 4 4.91
44 South Carolina SEC-E 4 - 5 3 - 4 4.69
45 Illinois BIG10-W 5 - 4 3 - 3 4.41
46 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 6 - 3 4 - 1 4.34
47 Miami FL ACC-C 5 - 4 3 - 3 4.16
48 Arizona St PAC12-S 5 - 3 2 - 3 4.03
49 Pittsburgh ACC-C 6 - 3 3 - 2 3.94
50 Mississippi SEC-W 3 - 6 2 - 4 3.35
51 Louisville ACC-A 5 - 3 3 - 2 3.28
52 UCLA PAC12-S 4 - 5 4 - 2 3.07
53 Duke ACC-C 4 - 4 2 - 3 2.73
54 BYU IND 4 - 4 0 - 0 2.3
55 Kentucky SEC-E 4 - 4 2 - 4 2.3
56 Missouri SEC-E 5 - 3 2 - 2 2.09
57 Stanford PAC12-N 4 - 4 3 - 3 1.72
58 Oregon St PAC12-N 4 - 4 3 - 2 1.47
59 Purdue BIG10-W 3 - 6 2 - 4 1.41
60 California PAC12-N 4 - 4 1 - 4 1.22
61 Nebraska BIG10-W 4 - 5 2 - 4 0.25
62 Houston AAC-W 3 - 6 1 - 4 0.21
63 Texas Tech BIG12 3 - 5 1 - 4 0.16
64 Florida St ACC-A 4 - 5 3 - 4 -0.15
65 Virginia Tech ACC-C 5 - 3 2 - 2 -0.18
66 Tulsa AAC-W 2 - 7 0 - 5 -0.4
67 Ga Southern SUN 5 - 3 3 - 1 -0.94
68 Wyoming MWC-M 6 - 2 3 - 1 -1
69 Boston College ACC-A 5 - 4 3 - 3 -1.49
70 San Diego St MWC-W 7 - 1 4 - 1 -2.25
71 WKU CUSA-E 5 - 4 4 - 2 -2.73
72 South Florida AAC-E 4 - 4 2 - 2 -2.91
73 W Michigan MAC-W 5 - 4 3 - 2 -3.42
74 West Virginia BIG12 3 - 5 1 - 4 -3.47
75 Kansas BIG12 3 - 6 1 - 5 -3.57
76 Buffalo MAC-E 5 - 4 3 - 2 -3.67
77 Temple AAC-E 5 - 3 2 - 2 -3.91
78 Georgia St SUN 6 - 2 3 - 1 -4.18
79 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 7 - 1 4 - 0 -4.54
80 Northwestern BIG10-W 1 - 7 0 - 6 -4.59
81 Marshall CUSA-E 6 - 3 4 - 1 -4.65
82 Fresno St MWC-W 4 - 4 2 - 2 -4.9
83 Ohio MAC-E 4 - 4 3 - 1 -5.43
84 Army IND 3 - 6 1 - 0 -5.46
85 Ball St MAC-W 4 - 4 3 - 1 -5.66
86 Hawaii MWC-W 5 - 4 2 - 3 -5.86
87 Colorado PAC12-S 3 - 6 1 - 5 -6.13
88 Maryland BIG10-E 3 - 6 1 - 5 -6.2
89 Arizona PAC12-S 4 - 5 2 - 4 -6.28
90 UAB CUSA-W 6 - 2 3 - 1 -6.38
91 Georgia Tech ACC-C 2 - 6 1 - 4 -6.5
92 Utah St MWC-M 4 - 4 3 - 1 -6.82
93 Arkansas St SUN 5 - 4 3 - 2 -6.91
94 C Michigan MAC-W 6 - 4 4 - 2 -7.3
95 Southern Miss CUSA-W 5 - 3 3 - 1 -7.48
96 MTSU CUSA-E 3 - 6 2 - 3 -7.8
97 Miami OH MAC-E 4 - 4 3 - 1 -8.53
98 Arkansas SEC-W 2 - 7 0 - 6 -8.62
99 North Texas CUSA-W 4 - 5 3 - 2 -8.79
100 San Jose St MWC-W 4 - 5 1 - 4 -9.29
101 Coastal Car SUN 4 - 4 1 - 3 -9.93
102 Colorado St MWC-M 4 - 5 3 - 2 -10.86
103 East Carolina AAC-E 3 - 6 0 - 5 -10.99
104 Charlotte CUSA-E 4 - 5 2 - 3 -11
105 Vanderbilt SEC-E 2 - 6 1 - 4 -11.01
106 NC State ACC-A 4 - 4 1 - 3 -11.94
107 Kent MAC-E 3 - 5 2 - 2 -12.28
108 Florida Intl CUSA-E 5 - 4 3 - 3 -12.36
109 Syracuse ACC-A 3 - 6 0 - 5 -12.67
110 E Michigan MAC-W 4 - 5 1 - 4 -13.48
111 Toledo MAC-W 5 - 3 2 - 2 -13.8
112 Troy SUN 3 - 5 1 - 3 -13.83
113 N Illinois MAC-W 3 - 6 2 - 3 -13.89
114 ULM SUN 3 - 5 2 - 2 -14.04
115 Liberty IND 6 - 3 4 - 0 -14.45
116 Rice CUSA-W 0 - 9 0 - 5 -16.33
117 UNLV MWC-W 2 - 7 0 - 5 -18.05
118 Texas St SUN 2 - 6 1 - 3 -18.33
119 Rutgers BIG10-E 2 - 7 0 - 6 -18.95
120 Connecticut AAC-E 2 - 7 0 - 5 -19.19
121 Old Dominion CUSA-E 1 - 8 0 - 5 -19.47
122 Nevada MWC-W 5 - 4 2 - 3 -21.11
123 South Alabama SUN 1 - 7 0 - 4 -21.93
124 UT San Antonio CUSA-W 3 - 5 2 - 2 -22.26
125 New Mexico MWC-M 2 - 7 0 - 5 -22.66
126 New Mexico St IND 0 - 8 0 - 1 -23.37
127 Bowling Green MAC-E 3 - 6 2 - 3 -25.11
128 UTEP CUSA-W 1 - 7 0 - 5 -28.65
129 Akron MAC-E 0 - 9 0 - 5 -38.34
130 Massachusetts IND 1 - 8 0 - 2 -41.3