Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

Week 13 (Through Games of 11/21/15)

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Oklahoma BIG12 10 - 1 7 - 1 24.2
2 Alabama SEC-W 10 - 1 6 - 1 22.89
3 Baylor BIG12 9 - 1 6 - 1 20.59
4 Clemson ACC-A 11 - 0 8 - 0 20.54
5 North Carolina ACC-C 10 - 1 7 - 0 19.23
6 Ohio St BIG10-E 10 - 1 6 - 1 18.62
7 Navy AAC-W 9 - 1 7 - 0 16.47
8 Notre Dame IND 10 - 1 0 - 0 15.98
9 Stanford PAC12-N 9 - 2 8 - 1 15.74
10 Michigan BIG10-E 9 - 2 6 - 1 15.63
11 Oklahoma St BIG12 10 - 1 7 - 1 15.4
12 Mississippi SEC-W 8 - 3 5 - 2 14.53
13 Michigan St BIG10-E 10 - 1 6 - 1 13.82
14 Florida St ACC-A 9 - 2 6 - 2 13.56
15 Iowa BIG10-W 11 - 0 7 - 0 13.52
16 TCU BIG12 9 - 2 6 - 2 13.26
17 Oregon PAC12-N 8 - 3 6 - 2 12.41
18 Tennessee SEC-E 7 - 4 4 - 3 12.16
19 Arkansas SEC-W 6 - 5 4 - 3 12.12
20 Mississippi St SEC-W 8 - 3 4 - 3 12.08
21 West Virginia BIG12 6 - 4 3 - 4 11.91
22 Bowling Green MAC-E 8 - 3 6 - 1 11.61
23 Florida SEC-E 10 - 1 7 - 1 11.26
24 South Florida AAC-E 7 - 4 5 - 2 11.17
25 Toledo MAC-W 9 - 1 6 - 1 10.54
26 Houston AAC-W 10 - 1 6 - 1 10.3
27 LSU SEC-W 7 - 3 4 - 3 9.89
28 Pittsburgh ACC-C 8 - 3 6 - 1 9.85
29 USC PAC12-S 7 - 4 5 - 3 9.81
30 Wisconsin BIG10-W 8 - 3 5 - 2 9.67
31 UCLA PAC12-S 8 - 3 5 - 3 9.58
32 Washington St PAC12-N 8 - 3 6 - 2 9.42
33 Texas A&M SEC-W 8 - 3 4 - 3 9.09
34 Washington PAC12-N 5 - 6 3 - 5 8.98
35 Utah PAC12-S 8 - 3 5 - 3 8.15
36 Georgia SEC-E 8 - 3 5 - 3 7.71
37 Memphis AAC-W 8 - 3 4 - 3 7.48
38 Penn St BIG10-E 7 - 4 4 - 3 7.4
39 Temple AAC-E 9 - 2 6 - 1 7.12
40 Texas Tech BIG12 6 - 5 3 - 5 6.97
41 Virginia Tech ACC-C 5 - 6 3 - 4 6.84
42 NC State ACC-A 7 - 4 3 - 4 6.74
43 W Kentucky CUSA-E 9 - 2 7 - 0 6.57
44 Arizona St PAC12-S 6 - 5 4 - 4 6.17
45 BYU IND 8 - 3 1 - 0 5.66
46 California PAC12-N 6 - 5 3 - 5 5.64
47 Northwestern BIG10-W 9 - 2 5 - 2 5.57
48 Louisville ACC-A 6 - 5 5 - 3 5.48
49 Nebraska BIG10-W 5 - 6 3 - 4 5.45
50 San Diego St MWC-W 8 - 3 7 - 0 5.17
51 N Illinois MAC-W 8 - 3 6 - 1 5.07
52 Auburn SEC-W 6 - 5 2 - 5 4.96
53 W Michigan MAC-W 6 - 5 5 - 2 4.52
54 Appalachian St SUN 8 - 2 5 - 1 4.51
55 Georgia Tech ACC-C 3 - 8 1 - 7 2.84
56 C Michigan MAC-W 6 - 5 5 - 2 2.51
57 Air Force MWC-M 8 - 3 6 - 1 2.42
58 Indiana BIG10-E 5 - 6 1 - 6 2.08
59 East Carolina AAC-E 5 - 6 3 - 4 2.07
60 Boise St MWC-M 7 - 4 4 - 3 2.05
61 Ga Southern SUN 7 - 3 5 - 1 2.05
62 Cincinnati AAC-E 6 - 5 3 - 4 1.93
63 Minnesota BIG10-W 5 - 6 2 - 5 1.91
64 Miami FL ACC-C 7 - 4 4 - 3 1.89
65 Marshall CUSA-E 9 - 2 6 - 1 1.49
66 Iowa St BIG12 3 - 8 2 - 6 0.85
67 Duke ACC-C 6 - 5 3 - 4 0.71
68 Southern Miss CUSA-W 8 - 3 6 - 1 0.58
69 Texas BIG12 4 - 6 3 - 4 0.51
70 Virginia ACC-C 4 - 7 3 - 4 0.29
71 Missouri SEC-E 5 - 6 1 - 6 0.2
72 Kansas St BIG12 4 - 6 1 - 6 -0.05
73 Boston College ACC-A 3 - 8 0 - 7 -0.36
74 Connecticut AAC-E 6 - 5 4 - 3 -0.55
75 Utah St MWC-M 6 - 5 5 - 3 -0.7
76 Illinois BIG10-W 5 - 6 2 - 5 -0.72
77 South Carolina SEC-E 3 - 8 1 - 7 -1.14
78 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 8 - 3 6 - 1 -1.4
79 Syracuse ACC-A 3 - 8 1 - 6 -2.05
80 Arizona PAC12-S 6 - 6 3 - 6 -2.09
81 Arkansas St SUN 7 - 3 6 - 0 -2.2
82 Maryland BIG10-E 2 - 9 0 - 7 -2.95
83 Vanderbilt SEC-E 4 - 7 2 - 5 -3.36
84 Kentucky SEC-E 5 - 6 2 - 6 -3.37
85 Wake Forest ACC-A 3 - 8 1 - 6 -3.64
86 MTSU CUSA-E 6 - 5 5 - 2 -4.44
87 Ohio MAC-E 7 - 4 4 - 3 -5.69
88 Tulsa AAC-W 5 - 6 2 - 5 -6.08
89 Akron MAC-E 6 - 5 4 - 3 -6.12
90 Purdue BIG10-W 2 - 9 1 - 6 -6.15
91 Colorado PAC12-S 4 - 8 1 - 7 -6.55
92 Colorado St MWC-M 6 - 5 4 - 3 -6.94
93 Rutgers BIG10-E 4 - 7 1 - 6 -7.81
94 San Jose St MWC-W 5 - 6 4 - 3 -8.72
95 Buffalo MAC-E 5 - 6 3 - 4 -9.11
96 SMU AAC-W 2 - 9 1 - 6 -9.31
97 Troy SUN 3 - 7 2 - 4 -9.56
98 Nevada MWC-W 6 - 5 4 - 3 -10.12
99 New Mexico MWC-M 6 - 5 4 - 3 -11.39
100 Georgia St SUN 4 - 6 3 - 3 -12.51
101 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 2 - 9 2 - 5 -13.26
102 Ball St MAC-W 3 - 8 2 - 5 -13.74
103 Massachusetts MAC-E 2 - 9 1 - 6 -14.62
104 UNLV MWC-W 3 - 8 2 - 5 -15.95
105 Oregon St PAC12-N 2 - 9 0 - 8 -16.09
106 Kent MAC-E 3 - 8 2 - 5 -16.42
107 Army IND 2 - 9 1 - 1 -16.87
108 Miami OH MAC-E 3 - 9 2 - 6 -17.45
109 South Alabama SUN 5 - 5 3 - 3 -17.63
110 ULL SUN 4 - 6 3 - 3 -17.72
111 Tulane AAC-W 3 - 8 1 - 6 -18.02
112 Idaho SUN 3 - 8 2 - 5 -18.33
113 UT San Antonio CUSA-W 3 - 8 3 - 4 -18.43
114 Florida Intl CUSA-E 5 - 7 3 - 5 -18.5
115 Wyoming MWC-M 1 - 10 1 - 6 -18.67
116 Kansas BIG12 0 - 11 0 - 8 -19.13
117 Fresno St MWC-W 3 - 8 2 - 5 -19.65
118 Old Dominion CUSA-E 5 - 6 3 - 4 -20.86
119 Texas St SUN 3 - 7 2 - 4 -21.07
120 New Mexico St SUN 3 - 7 3 - 3 -21.19
121 UTEP CUSA-W 4 - 7 2 - 5 -21.66
122 Rice CUSA-W 4 - 7 2 - 5 -22.87
123 E Michigan MAC-W 1 - 10 0 - 7 -23
124 North Texas CUSA-W 1 - 10 1 - 6 -23.08
125 UCF AAC-E 0 - 11 0 - 7 -23.43
126 Hawaii MWC-W 2 - 10 0 - 8 -26.02
127 ULM SUN 1 - 10 0 - 7 -27.49
128 Charlotte CUSA-E 2 - 9 0 - 7 -28.48