Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2017 Preseason (8/1/2017)

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Alabama SEC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 27.75
2 Clemson ACC-A 0 - 0 0 - 0 22.23
3 Ohio St BIG10-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 19.83
4 Oklahoma BIG12 0 - 0 0 - 0 18.6
5 Florida St ACC-A 0 - 0 0 - 0 16.82
6 LSU SEC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 15.74
7 Michigan BIG10-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 14.85
8 Washington PAC12-N 0 - 0 0 - 0 14.3
9 USC PAC12-S 0 - 0 0 - 0 13.06
10 Auburn SEC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 12.43
11 Oklahoma St BIG12 0 - 0 0 - 0 11.74
12 Texas A&M SEC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 11.67
13 Wisconsin BIG10-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 11.45
14 Louisville ACC-A 0 - 0 0 - 0 11.24
15 Tennessee SEC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 11.2
16 Stanford PAC12-N 0 - 0 0 - 0 11.13
17 Mississippi SEC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 10.74
18 Oregon PAC12-N 0 - 0 0 - 0 10.58
19 Baylor BIG12 0 - 0 0 - 0 9.89
20 Penn St BIG10-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 9.84
21 Georgia SEC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 9.68
22 North Carolina ACC-C 0 - 0 0 - 0 9.14
23 Mississippi St SEC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 8.95
24 Notre Dame IND 0 - 0 0 - 0 8.75
25 Pittsburgh ACC-C 0 - 0 0 - 0 8.69
26 Arkansas SEC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 8.46
27 Florida SEC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 8.36
28 Kansas St BIG12 0 - 0 0 - 0 8.29
29 Miami FL ACC-C 0 - 0 0 - 0 7.9
30 Virginia Tech ACC-C 0 - 0 0 - 0 7.47
31 WKU CUSA-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 7.07
32 West Virginia BIG12 0 - 0 0 - 0 6.64
33 Georgia Tech ACC-C 0 - 0 0 - 0 6.64
34 Michigan St BIG10-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 6.47
35 TCU BIG12 0 - 0 0 - 0 6.47
36 Washington St PAC12-N 0 - 0 0 - 0 6.04
37 Iowa BIG10-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 5.23
38 Texas Tech BIG12 0 - 0 0 - 0 5.16
39 BYU IND 0 - 0 0 - 0 4.69
40 Utah PAC12-S 0 - 0 0 - 0 4.54
41 Nebraska BIG10-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 4.38
42 NC State ACC-A 0 - 0 0 - 0 4.03
43 Boise St MWC-M 0 - 0 0 - 0 3.89
44 Arizona St PAC12-S 0 - 0 0 - 0 3.88
45 Northwestern BIG10-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 3.83
46 Houston AAC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 3.83
47 UCLA PAC12-S 0 - 0 0 - 0 3.63
48 South Carolina SEC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 2.9
49 California PAC12-N 0 - 0 0 - 0 2.66
50 Minnesota BIG10-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 2.47
51 Navy AAC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 2.31
52 Memphis AAC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 2.29
53 Missouri SEC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 2.01
54 San Diego St MWC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 1.99
55 Texas BIG12 0 - 0 0 - 0 1.93
56 W Michigan MAC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 1.74
57 South Florida AAC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 1.56
58 Toledo MAC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 1.36
59 Vanderbilt SEC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 0.46
60 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 0.38
61 Indiana BIG10-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 0.32
62 Kentucky SEC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 0.3
63 Temple AAC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 0.26
64 Duke ACC-C 0 - 0 0 - 0 0.15
65 Tulsa AAC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -0.06
66 Appalachian St SUN 0 - 0 0 - 0 -0.54
67 Colorado PAC12-S 0 - 0 0 - 0 -0.82
68 Arizona PAC12-S 0 - 0 0 - 0 -0.94
69 Iowa St BIG12 0 - 0 0 - 0 -1.01
70 Syracuse ACC-A 0 - 0 0 - 0 -1.54
71 Colorado St MWC-M 0 - 0 0 - 0 -1.77
72 Oregon St PAC12-N 0 - 0 0 - 0 -1.8
73 Arkansas St SUN 0 - 0 0 - 0 -2.35
74 N Illinois MAC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -2.8
75 Air Force MWC-M 0 - 0 0 - 0 -3.27
76 Boston College ACC-A 0 - 0 0 - 0 -4.48
77 Virginia ACC-C 0 - 0 0 - 0 -4.53
78 Maryland BIG10-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -4.68
79 Wake Forest ACC-A 0 - 0 0 - 0 -5.05
80 Utah St MWC-M 0 - 0 0 - 0 -5.07
81 Bowling Green MAC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -5.58
82 Ga Southern SUN 0 - 0 0 - 0 -5.7
83 Cincinnati AAC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -6.22
84 UCF AAC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -6.7
85 East Carolina AAC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -7.14
86 Troy SUN 0 - 0 0 - 0 -7.14
87 New Mexico MWC-M 0 - 0 0 - 0 -7.28
88 Illinois BIG10-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -7.68
89 MTSU CUSA-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -7.73
90 Wyoming MWC-M 0 - 0 0 - 0 -7.91
91 Purdue BIG10-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -8.09
92 Nevada MWC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -9.05
93 Ohio MAC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -9.3
94 Marshall CUSA-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -9.87
95 SMU AAC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -9.98
96 Old Dominion CUSA-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -10
97 Southern Miss CUSA-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -10.18
98 Rutgers BIG10-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -10.34
99 San Jose St MWC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -10.37
100 C Michigan MAC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -10.67
101 ULL SUN 0 - 0 0 - 0 -11.2
102 Idaho SUN 0 - 0 0 - 0 -11.44
103 Ball St MAC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -12.09
104 Army IND 0 - 0 0 - 0 -12.61
105 Alabama Birmingham CUSA-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -13.51
106 UT San Antonio CUSA-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -13.51
107 UNLV MWC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -13.6
108 South Alabama SUN 0 - 0 0 - 0 -13.61
109 Fresno St MWC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -14.03
110 Akron MAC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -14.09
111 Kansas BIG12 0 - 0 0 - 0 -14.34
112 Tulane AAC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -14.92
113 Miami OH MAC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -15.17
114 Rice CUSA-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -15.68
115 Connecticut AAC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -15.77
116 Kent MAC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -15.78
117 Hawaii MWC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -15.82
118 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -16.14
119 E Michigan MAC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -16.4
120 North Texas CUSA-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -16.6
121 Georgia St SUN 0 - 0 0 - 0 -16.75
122 Buffalo MAC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -16.85
123 Massachusetts IND 0 - 0 0 - 0 -17.85
124 ULM SUN 0 - 0 0 - 0 -18.01
125 Florida Intl CUSA-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -18.35
126 UTEP CUSA-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -19.11
127 New Mexico St SUN 0 - 0 0 - 0 -19.3
128 Texas St SUN 0 - 0 0 - 0 -23.07
129 Charlotte CUSA-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -23.11
130 Coastal Carolina SUN 0 - 0 0 - 0 -24.01