Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2020 Postseason

SYSTEM RANKINGS

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Alabama SEC-W 13 - 0 11 - 0 30.15
2 Oklahoma BIG12 9 - 2 7 - 2 23
3 Clemson ACC-A 10 - 2 9 - 1 20.57
4 Ohio St BIG10-E 7 - 1 6 - 0 20.11
5 Iowa St BIG12 9 - 3 8 - 2 16.65
6 BYU IND 11 - 1 1 - 0 15.75
7 Texas BIG12 7 - 3 5 - 3 15.31
8 Georgia SEC-E 8 - 2 7 - 2 14.22
9 Texas A&M SEC-W 9 - 1 8 - 1 12.82
10 Iowa BIG10-W 6 - 2 6 - 2 12.71
11 Notre Dame ACC-A 10 - 2 9 - 1 12.35
12 Cincinnati AAC-E 9 - 1 7 - 0 11.75
13 Oklahoma St BIG12 8 - 3 6 - 3 10.87
14 Coastal Car SUN 10 - 1 8 - 0 10.6
15 Florida SEC-E 8 - 4 8 - 3 10.41
16 TCU BIG12 6 - 4 5 - 4 9.27
17 Buffalo MAC-E 6 - 1 5 - 1 8.66
18 Ball St MAC-W 7 - 1 6 - 1 8.33
19 Arizona St PAC12-S 2 - 2 2 - 2 8.14
20 Northwestern BIG10-W 7 - 2 6 - 2 7.81
21 Appalachian St SUN 9 - 3 6 - 2 7.12
22 Wisconsin BIG10-W 4 - 3 3 - 3 7.04
23 Indiana BIG10-E 6 - 2 6 - 1 6.84
24 Auburn SEC-W 6 - 5 6 - 4 6.18
25 USC PAC12-S 5 - 1 5 - 1 5.83
26 West Virginia BIG12 6 - 4 4 - 4 5.8
27 Louisiana SUN 10 - 1 7 - 1 5.76
28 Boise St MWC-M 5 - 2 5 - 1 5.51
29 North Carolina ACC-C 8 - 4 7 - 3 5.45
30 Toledo MAC-W 4 - 2 4 - 2 5.32
31 Miami FL ACC-C 8 - 3 7 - 2 4.55
32 San Jose St MWC-W 7 - 1 7 - 0 4.21
33 Penn St BIG10-E 4 - 5 4 - 5 4.1
34 Utah PAC12-S 3 - 2 3 - 2 4.02
35 Oregon PAC12-N 4 - 3 4 - 2 3.99
36 LSU SEC-W 5 - 5 5 - 5 3.98
37 UCF AAC-E 6 - 4 5 - 3 3.73
38 W Michigan MAC-W 4 - 2 4 - 2 3.48
39 Air Force MWC-M 3 - 3 2 - 2 2.96
40 Mississippi SEC-W 5 - 5 4 - 5 2.73
41 Washington PAC12-N 3 - 1 3 - 1 2.57
42 San Diego St MWC-W 4 - 4 4 - 2 2.25
43 UCLA PAC12-S 3 - 4 3 - 4 1.93
44 Liberty IND 10 - 1 3 - 0 1.7
45 Tulsa AAC-W 6 - 3 6 - 1 1.4
46 C Michigan MAC-W 3 - 3 3 - 3 1.33
47 Baylor BIG12 2 - 7 2 - 7 1.22
48 Army IND 9 - 3 3 - 0 0.99
49 UAB CUSA-W 6 - 3 4 - 1 0.91
50 Miami OH MAC-E 2 - 1 2 - 1 0.75
51 Pittsburgh ACC-C 6 - 5 5 - 5 0.46
52 Nevada MWC-W 7 - 2 6 - 2 0.41
53 Ga Southern SUN 8 - 5 4 - 4 0.35
54 Ohio MAC-E 2 - 1 2 - 1 0.29
55 Kansas St BIG12 4 - 6 4 - 5 -0.05
56 Mississippi St SEC-W 4 - 7 3 - 7 -0.07
57 Virginia Tech ACC-C 5 - 6 5 - 5 -0.27
58 Texas Tech BIG12 4 - 6 3 - 6 -0.44
59 Stanford PAC12-N 4 - 2 4 - 2 -0.56
60 E Michigan MAC-W 2 - 4 2 - 4 -0.59
61 Louisville ACC-A 4 - 7 3 - 7 -0.76
62 Tulane AAC-W 6 - 6 3 - 5 -0.88
63 Troy SUN 5 - 6 3 - 4 -1.17
64 Minnesota BIG10-W 3 - 4 3 - 4 -1.39
65 Marshall CUSA-E 7 - 3 4 - 2 -1.5
66 Kentucky SEC-E 5 - 6 4 - 6 -1.57
67 NC State ACC-A 8 - 4 7 - 3 -1.65
68 Virginia ACC-C 5 - 5 4 - 5 -1.66
69 Boston College ACC-A 6 - 5 5 - 5 -1.74
70 Wyoming MWC-M 2 - 4 2 - 4 -2.17
71 Nebraska BIG10-W 3 - 5 3 - 5 -2.21
72 Michigan BIG10-E 2 - 4 2 - 4 -2.24
73 Wake Forest ACC-A 4 - 5 3 - 4 -2.28
74 Colorado PAC12-S 4 - 2 3 - 1 -2.42
75 Arkansas SEC-W 3 - 7 3 - 7 -2.63
76 Missouri SEC-E 5 - 5 5 - 5 -2.65
77 Georgia St SUN 6 - 4 4 - 4 -3.05
78 Kent MAC-E 3 - 1 3 - 1 -3.05
79 Houston AAC-W 3 - 5 3 - 3 -3.64
80 Tennessee SEC-E 3 - 7 3 - 7 -3.66
81 Memphis AAC-W 8 - 3 5 - 3 -3.87
82 Purdue BIG10-W 2 - 4 2 - 4 -3.91
83 California PAC12-N 1 - 3 1 - 3 -4.22
84 Hawaii MWC-W 5 - 4 4 - 4 -4.35
85 SMU AAC-W 7 - 3 4 - 3 -4.64
86 Oregon St PAC12-N 2 - 5 2 - 5 -5.1
87 Washington St PAC12-N 1 - 3 1 - 3 -5.75
88 N Illinois MAC-W 0 - 6 0 - 6 -5.95
89 Michigan St BIG10-E 2 - 5 2 - 5 -6.5
90 Maryland BIG10-E 2 - 3 2 - 3 -6.51
91 Fresno St MWC-W 3 - 3 3 - 3 -6.74
92 UT San Antonio CUSA-W 7 - 5 5 - 2 -7.06
93 Rice CUSA-W 2 - 3 2 - 3 -7.16
94 Arkansas St SUN 4 - 7 2 - 6 -7.61
95 Rutgers BIG10-E 3 - 6 3 - 6 -7.84
96 East Carolina AAC-E 3 - 6 3 - 5 -8.47
97 South Carolina SEC-E 2 - 8 2 - 8 -9.14
98 Florida St ACC-A 3 - 6 2 - 6 -9.35
99 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 5 - 4 4 - 2 -9.63
100 WKU CUSA-E 5 - 7 4 - 3 -9.78
101 Georgia Tech ACC-C 3 - 7 3 - 6 -9.88
102 Navy AAC-W 3 - 7 3 - 4 -10.39
103 Illinois BIG10-W 2 - 6 2 - 6 -10.6
104 New Mexico MWC-M 2 - 5 2 - 5 -10.8
105 Colorado St MWC-M 1 - 3 1 - 3 -10.8
106 Syracuse ACC-A 1 - 10 1 - 9 -11.38
107 South Alabama SUN 4 - 7 3 - 5 -11.58
108 Texas St SUN 2 - 10 2 - 6 -11.61
109 Southern Miss CUSA-W 3 - 7 2 - 4 -12.03
110 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 5 - 5 4 - 2 -12.61
111 MTSU CUSA-E 3 - 6 2 - 4 -13.7
112 Utah St MWC-M 1 - 5 1 - 5 -14.17
113 Arizona PAC12-S 0 - 5 0 - 5 -15.2
114 Duke ACC-C 2 - 9 1 - 9 -15.31
115 Kansas BIG12 0 - 9 0 - 8 -15.7
116 South Florida AAC-E 1 - 8 0 - 7 -16.31
117 North Texas CUSA-W 4 - 6 3 - 4 -17.77
118 UNLV MWC-W 0 - 6 0 - 6 -17.79
119 Temple AAC-E 1 - 6 1 - 6 -17.81
120 Vanderbilt SEC-E 0 - 9 0 - 9 -17.88
121 Florida Intl CUSA-E 0 - 5 0 - 3 -18.04
122 New Mexico St IND 0 - 0 0 - 0 -18.47
123 Charlotte CUSA-E 2 - 4 2 - 2 -18.72
124 Akron MAC-E 1 - 5 1 - 5 -21.14
125 Old Dominion CUSA-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -22.7
126 UTEP CUSA-W 3 - 5 0 - 4 -23
127 ULM SUN 0 - 10 0 - 7 -23.32
128 Bowling Green MAC-E 0 - 5 0 - 5 -27.65
129 Connecticut IND 0 - 0 0 - 0 -27.68
130 Massachusetts IND 0 - 4 0 - 1 -31.45