Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2017 Week 15

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Georgia SEC-E 12 - 1 8 - 1 26.28
2 Clemson ACC-A 12 - 1 8 - 1 25.71
3 Penn St BIG10-E 10 - 2 7 - 2 24.61
4 Ohio St BIG10-E 11 - 2 9 - 1 24.31
5 Alabama SEC-W 11 - 1 7 - 1 24.01
6 Auburn SEC-W 10 - 3 7 - 2 23.46
7 Wisconsin BIG10-W 12 - 1 9 - 1 22
8 Oklahoma BIG12 12 - 1 9 - 1 21.04
9 Washington PAC12-N 10 - 2 7 - 2 18.03
10 UCF AAC-E 12 - 0 9 - 0 16.66
11 Notre Dame IND 9 - 3 0 - 0 16.26
12 Iowa BIG10-W 7 - 5 4 - 5 14.83
13 Northwestern BIG10-W 9 - 3 7 - 2 14.8
14 Virginia Tech ACC-C 9 - 3 5 - 3 14.5
15 TCU BIG12 10 - 3 7 - 3 14.19
16 Louisville ACC-A 8 - 4 4 - 4 13.85
17 Oklahoma St BIG12 9 - 3 6 - 3 13.78
18 Miami FL ACC-C 10 - 2 7 - 2 13.53
19 Memphis AAC-W 10 - 2 7 - 2 13.03
20 Boston College ACC-A 7 - 5 4 - 4 13.01
21 Stanford PAC12-N 9 - 4 7 - 3 12.73
22 LSU SEC-W 9 - 3 6 - 2 12.17
23 NC State ACC-A 8 - 4 6 - 2 11.55
24 Mississippi St SEC-W 8 - 4 4 - 4 11.29
25 Michigan BIG10-E 8 - 4 5 - 4 11.29
26 USC PAC12-S 11 - 2 9 - 1 10.82
27 Iowa St BIG12 7 - 5 5 - 4 10.5
28 Wake Forest ACC-A 7 - 5 4 - 4 10.35
29 Michigan St BIG10-E 9 - 3 7 - 2 9.45
30 Missouri SEC-E 7 - 5 4 - 4 9.14
31 Purdue BIG10-W 6 - 6 4 - 5 8.88
32 Florida St ACC-A 6 - 6 3 - 5 8.02
33 Texas BIG12 6 - 6 5 - 4 7.83
34 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 10 - 3 9 - 0 7.13
35 Georgia Tech ACC-C 5 - 6 4 - 4 7.02
36 Washington St PAC12-N 9 - 3 6 - 3 6.36
37 South Florida AAC-E 9 - 2 6 - 2 6.27
38 Oregon PAC12-N 7 - 5 4 - 5 6.23
39 Utah PAC12-S 6 - 6 3 - 6 5.65
40 South Carolina SEC-E 8 - 4 5 - 3 5.63
41 Duke ACC-C 6 - 6 3 - 5 5.56
42 Toledo MAC-W 11 - 2 8 - 1 5.37
43 Kansas St BIG12 7 - 5 5 - 4 5.06
44 Boise St MWC-M 9 - 4 7 - 2 4.65
45 Texas A&M SEC-W 7 - 5 4 - 4 4.61
46 West Virginia BIG12 7 - 5 5 - 4 4.45
47 Pittsburgh ACC-C 5 - 7 3 - 5 4.18
48 Arizona St PAC12-S 7 - 5 6 - 3 4.02
49 Indiana BIG10-E 5 - 7 2 - 7 3.97
50 San Diego St MWC-W 10 - 2 6 - 2 3
51 Texas Tech BIG12 6 - 6 3 - 6 2.83
52 Houston AAC-W 7 - 4 5 - 3 2.42
53 Arizona PAC12-S 7 - 5 5 - 4 2.02
54 UCLA PAC12-S 6 - 6 4 - 5 1.65
55 Ohio MAC-E 8 - 4 5 - 3 1.57
56 Fresno St MWC-W 9 - 4 7 - 2 1.4
57 Troy SUN 10 - 2 5 - 1 1.26
58 Virginia ACC-C 6 - 6 3 - 5 1.05
59 Navy AAC-W 6 - 6 4 - 4 0.99
60 California PAC12-N 5 - 7 2 - 7 0.77
61 Mississippi SEC-W 6 - 6 3 - 5 0.35
62 Army IND 9 - 3 1 - 0 0.34
63 N Illinois MAC-W 8 - 4 6 - 2 0.1
64 SMU AAC-W 7 - 5 4 - 4 0.04
65 Minnesota BIG10-W 5 - 7 2 - 7 -0.07
66 Florida SEC-E 4 - 7 3 - 5 -0.2
67 Kentucky SEC-E 7 - 5 4 - 4 -0.42
68 Syracuse ACC-A 4 - 8 2 - 6 -0.68
69 Appalachian St SUN 8 - 4 5 - 1 -1.43
70 C Michigan MAC-W 8 - 4 6 - 2 -1.97
71 Nebraska BIG10-W 4 - 8 3 - 6 -2.35
72 Temple AAC-E 6 - 6 4 - 4 -2.43
73 Arkansas St SUN 7 - 4 5 - 2 -3.15
74 Arkansas SEC-W 4 - 8 1 - 7 -3.32
75 Colorado St MWC-M 8 - 4 6 - 2 -3.43
76 North Carolina ACC-C 3 - 9 1 - 7 -3.7
77 Tulane AAC-W 5 - 7 3 - 5 -4.12
78 Marshall CUSA-E 7 - 5 4 - 4 -4.38
79 Colorado PAC12-S 5 - 7 2 - 7 -4.45
80 Utah St MWC-M 6 - 6 4 - 4 -4.65
81 W Michigan MAC-W 6 - 6 4 - 4 -4.81
82 Wyoming MWC-M 7 - 5 5 - 3 -4.97
83 E Michigan MAC-W 5 - 7 3 - 5 -5.1
84 Buffalo MAC-E 6 - 6 4 - 4 -5.4
85 Baylor BIG12 1 - 11 1 - 8 -6.2
86 Vanderbilt SEC-E 5 - 7 1 - 7 -6.5
87 Maryland BIG10-E 4 - 8 2 - 7 -6.52
88 North Texas CUSA-W 9 - 4 7 - 2 -6.81
89 Tennessee SEC-E 4 - 8 0 - 8 -7.69
90 Florida Intl CUSA-E 8 - 4 5 - 3 -7.99
91 Akron MAC-E 7 - 6 6 - 3 -8.18
92 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 6 - 6 4 - 4 -8.25
93 Massachusetts IND 4 - 8 2 - 0 -8.44
94 Southern Miss CUSA-W 8 - 4 6 - 2 -8.52
95 MTSU CUSA-E 6 - 6 4 - 4 -8.77
96 Nevada MWC-W 3 - 9 3 - 5 -8.77
97 Miami OH MAC-E 5 - 7 4 - 4 -8.8
98 Air Force MWC-M 5 - 7 4 - 4 -8.96
99 Tulsa AAC-W 2 - 10 1 - 7 -9.04
100 Rutgers BIG10-E 4 - 8 3 - 6 -9.3
101 Illinois BIG10-W 2 - 10 0 - 9 -10.1
102 UAB CUSA-W 8 - 4 6 - 2 -10.49
103 UT San Antonio CUSA-W 6 - 5 3 - 5 -10.78
104 BYU IND 4 - 9 1 - 1 -11.3
105 UNLV MWC-W 5 - 7 4 - 4 -11.43
106 Connecticut AAC-E 3 - 9 2 - 6 -11.47
107 ULM SUN 4 - 8 4 - 3 -13.25
108 Cincinnati AAC-E 4 - 8 2 - 6 -13.28
109 Bowling Green MAC-E 2 - 10 2 - 6 -13.37
110 New Mexico St IND 6 - 6 1 - 0 -13.63
111 East Carolina AAC-E 3 - 9 2 - 6 -14.01
112 WKU CUSA-E 6 - 6 4 - 4 -14.64
113 Georgia St SUN 6 - 5 5 - 2 -15.15
114 Ga Southern SUN 2 - 10 2 - 5 -15.83
115 Oregon St PAC12-N 1 - 11 0 - 9 -15.91
116 Coastal Car SUN 3 - 9 1 - 6 -16.12
117 New Mexico MWC-M 3 - 9 1 - 7 -18.17
118 Kansas BIG12 1 - 11 0 - 9 -18.54
119 South Alabama SUN 4 - 8 3 - 3 -18.83
120 Old Dominion CUSA-E 5 - 7 3 - 5 -18.85
121 Hawaii MWC-W 3 - 9 1 - 7 -20.29
122 Louisiana SUN 5 - 7 2 - 4 -21.54
123 Kent MAC-E 2 - 10 1 - 7 -22.93
124 Rice CUSA-W 1 - 11 1 - 7 -23.64
125 Texas St SUN 2 - 10 1 - 6 -24.27
126 Charlotte CUSA-E 1 - 11 1 - 7 -24.44
127 Liberty IND 0 - 0 0 - 0 -25.54
128 San Jose St MWC-W 2 - 11 1 - 7 -27.97
129 UTEP CUSA-W 0 - 12 0 - 8 -28.92
130 Ball St MAC-W 2 - 10 0 - 8 -29.88