Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2014 Postseason

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Ohio State BIG10-E 14 - 1 9 - 0 31.37
2 Alabama SEC-W 12 - 2 8 - 1 29.29
3 Oregon PAC12-N 13 - 2 9 - 1 28.61
4 Texas Christian BIG12 12 - 1 8 - 1 27.67
5 Georgia SEC-E 10 - 3 6 - 2 25.05
6 Michigan State BIG10-E 11 - 2 7 - 1 23.68
7 Georgia Tech ACC-C 11 - 3 6 - 3 21.58
8 Arkansas SEC-W 7 - 6 2 - 6 20.86
9 Miss State SEC-W 10 - 3 6 - 2 19.66
10 Baylor BIG12 11 - 2 8 - 1 19.39
11 Mississippi SEC-W 9 - 4 5 - 3 17.68
12 Missouri SEC-E 11 - 3 7 - 2 17.53
13 Florida State ACC-A 13 - 1 9 - 0 17.46
14 UCLA PAC12-S 10 - 3 6 - 3 17.1
15 Wisconsin BIG10-W 11 - 3 7 - 2 16.76
16 Auburn SEC-W 8 - 5 4 - 4 16.51
17 Clemson ACC-A 10 - 3 6 - 2 16.44
18 Marshall CUSA-E 13 - 1 8 - 1 15.8
19 Southern California PAC12-S 9 - 4 6 - 3 15.62
20 Stanford PAC12-N 8 - 5 5 - 4 15.45
21 Kansas State BIG12 9 - 4 7 - 2 15.24
22 Boise State MWC-M 12 - 2 8 - 1 14.44
23 Arizona State PAC12-S 10 - 3 6 - 3 14.23
24 Arizona PAC12-S 10 - 4 7 - 3 13.4
25 Utah PAC12-S 9 - 4 5 - 4 12.31
26 Louisiana State SEC-W 8 - 5 4 - 4 12.22
27 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 9 - 5 7 - 2 11.98
28 Nebraska BIG10-W 9 - 4 5 - 3 11.38
29 Louisville ACC-A 9 - 4 5 - 3 10.95
30 Florida SEC-E 7 - 5 4 - 4 10.71
31 Tennessee SEC-E 7 - 6 3 - 5 10.04
32 Texas AM SEC-W 8 - 5 3 - 5 9.35
33 Oklahoma BIG12 8 - 5 5 - 4 8.81
34 Minnesota BIG10-W 8 - 5 5 - 3 8.53
35 South Carolina SEC-E 7 - 6 3 - 5 7.26
36 West Virginia BIG12 7 - 6 5 - 4 7.15
37 Notre Dame IND 8 - 5 1 - 0 6.93
38 Washington PAC12-N 8 - 6 4 - 5 6.51
39 Memphis AAC 10 - 3 7 - 1 5.01
40 Boston College ACC-A 7 - 6 4 - 4 5.01
41 Miami FL ACC-C 6 - 7 3 - 5 4.68
42 Duke ACC-C 9 - 4 5 - 3 4.45
43 Utah State MWC-M 10 - 4 6 - 2 4.37
44 NC State ACC-A 8 - 5 3 - 5 4.35
45 Virginia Tech ACC-C 7 - 6 3 - 5 4.07
46 Texas BIG12 6 - 7 5 - 4 3.54
47 Rutgers BIG10-E 8 - 5 3 - 5 3.27
48 Iowa BIG10-W 7 - 6 4 - 4 2.59
49 Colorado State MWC-M 10 - 3 6 - 2 2.53
50 Air Force MWC-M 10 - 3 5 - 3 2.51
51 Penn State BIG10-E 7 - 6 2 - 6 2.36
52 Cincinnati AAC 9 - 4 7 - 1 2.35
53 Michigan BIG10-E 5 - 7 3 - 5 2.13
54 Virginia ACC-C 5 - 7 3 - 5 1.85
55 Maryland BIG10-E 7 - 6 4 - 4 1.72
56 Western Kentucky CUSA-E 8 - 5 4 - 4 1.26
57 Brigham Young IND 8 - 5 1 - 0 0.95
58 Oklahoma State BIG12 7 - 6 4 - 5 0.9
59 Navy IND 8 - 5 2 - 1 0.47
60 Rice CUSA-W 8 - 5 5 - 3 0.06
61 Northern Illinois MAC-W 11 - 3 8 - 1 -0.22
62 Pittsburgh ACC-C 6 - 7 4 - 4 -0.32
63 California PAC12-N 5 - 7 3 - 6 -0.36
64 Central Florida AAC 9 - 4 7 - 1 -0.39
65 Georgia Southern SUN 9 - 3 8 - 0 -0.63
66 Kentucky SEC-E 5 - 7 2 - 6 -0.84
67 Louisiana Lafayette SUN 9 - 4 7 - 1 -0.98
68 Northwestern BIG10-W 5 - 7 3 - 5 -1.42
69 Illinois BIG10-W 6 - 7 3 - 5 -1.48
70 Toledo MAC-W 9 - 4 7 - 1 -1.68
71 Western Michigan MAC-W 8 - 5 6 - 2 -2.46
72 Alabama Birmingham CUSA-E 6 - 6 4 - 4 -2.52
73 North Carolina ACC-C 6 - 7 4 - 4 -2.68
74 Appalachian State SUN 7 - 5 6 - 2 -3.01
75 Houston AAC 8 - 5 5 - 3 -3.19
76 Oregon State PAC12-N 5 - 7 2 - 7 -3.22
77 East Carolina AAC 8 - 5 5 - 3 -3.32
78 San Diego State MWC-W 7 - 6 5 - 3 -3.53
79 Washington State PAC12-N 3 - 9 2 - 7 -4.58
80 Texas Tech BIG12 4 - 8 2 - 7 -4.65
81 Nevada MWC-W 7 - 6 4 - 4 -4.68
82 Colorado PAC12-S 2 - 10 0 - 9 -5.97
83 Texas El Paso CUSA-W 7 - 6 5 - 3 -6.26
84 Indiana BIG10-E 4 - 8 1 - 7 -6.58
85 Arkansas State SUN 7 - 6 5 - 3 -7.14
86 Central Michigan MAC-W 7 - 6 5 - 3 -7.88
87 Temple AAC 6 - 6 4 - 4 -8.1
88 Old Dominion CUSA-E 6 - 6 4 - 4 -8.26
89 Fresno State MWC-W 6 - 8 5 - 4 -8.73
90 Middle Tennessee CUSA-E 6 - 6 5 - 3 -8.83
91 Syracuse ACC-A 3 - 9 1 - 7 -9.75
92 Purdue BIG10-W 3 - 9 1 - 7 -9.91
93 Vanderbilt SEC-E 3 - 9 0 - 8 -10.38
94 Texas State SUN 7 - 5 5 - 3 -10.4
95 Kansas BIG12 3 - 9 1 - 8 -10.88
96 Florida International CUSA-E 4 - 8 3 - 5 -11.65
97 Bowling Green MAC-E 8 - 6 5 - 4 -12.01
98 New Mexico MWC-M 4 - 8 2 - 6 -12.08
99 Ball State MAC-W 5 - 7 4 - 4 -12.2
100 Iowa State BIG12 2 - 10 0 - 9 -12.22
101 Wake Forest ACC-A 3 - 9 1 - 7 -12.28
102 South Alabama SUN 6 - 7 5 - 3 -12.38
103 Ohio MAC-E 6 - 6 4 - 4 -14.06
104 Louisiana Monroe SUN 4 - 8 3 - 5 -14.13
105 Wyoming MWC-M 4 - 8 2 - 6 -14.15
106 Hawaii MWC-W 4 - 9 3 - 5 -14.78
107 Florida Atlantic CUSA-E 3 - 9 2 - 6 -15.29
108 Buffalo MAC-E 5 - 6 3 - 4 -15.61
109 Texas San Antonio CUSA-W 4 - 8 3 - 5 -15.81
110 Southern Miss CUSA-W 3 - 9 1 - 7 -16.76
111 Akron MAC-E 5 - 7 3 - 5 -17.46
112 North Texas CUSA-W 4 - 8 2 - 6 -18.1
113 Army IND 4 - 8 1 - 2 -18.25
114 South Florida AAC 4 - 8 3 - 5 -18.34
115 Tulane AAC 3 - 9 2 - 6 -18.57
116 Massachusetts MAC-E 3 - 9 3 - 5 -19.53
117 Miami OH MAC-E 2 - 10 2 - 6 -19.83
118 San Jose State MWC-W 3 - 9 2 - 6 -19.92
119 Kent State MAC-E 2 - 9 1 - 6 -20.44
120 Troy SUN 3 - 9 3 - 5 -20.46
121 Nevada Las Vegas MWC-W 2 - 11 1 - 7 -22.31
122 Tulsa AAC 2 - 10 2 - 6 -22.51
123 Idaho SUN 1 - 10 1 - 7 -25.72
124 Connecticut AAC 2 - 10 1 - 7 -26.38
125 Southern Methodist AAC 1 - 11 1 - 7 -29.17
126 Georgia State SUN 1 - 11 0 - 8 -29.24
127 New Mexico St SUN 2 - 10 1 - 7 -29.62
128 Eastern Michigan MAC-W 2 - 10 1 - 7 -30.42