Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2017 Week 4 (9/17/2017)

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Alabama SEC-W 3 - 0 0 - 0 25.2
2 Clemson ACC-A 3 - 0 1 - 0 24.79
3 Oklahoma BIG12 3 - 0 0 - 0 21.93
4 Oklahoma St BIG12 3 - 0 0 - 0 21.18
5 Ohio St BIG10-E 2 - 1 1 - 0 19.4
6 Mississippi St SEC-W 3 - 0 1 - 0 19.22
7 Penn St BIG10-E 3 - 0 0 - 0 17.66
8 USC PAC12-S 3 - 0 1 - 0 16.85
9 Michigan BIG10-E 3 - 0 0 - 0 16.53
10 Washington PAC12-N 3 - 0 0 - 0 15.45
11 Notre Dame IND 2 - 1 0 - 0 14.51
12 Auburn SEC-W 2 - 1 0 - 0 14.25
13 Wisconsin BIG10-W 3 - 0 0 - 0 13.99
14 Virginia Tech ACC-C 3 - 0 0 - 0 13.35
15 Oregon PAC12-N 3 - 0 0 - 0 13.04
16 Florida St ACC-A 0 - 1 0 - 0 12.87
17 Louisville ACC-A 2 - 1 1 - 1 12.73
18 Miami FL ACC-C 1 - 0 0 - 0 11.43
19 Washington St PAC12-N 3 - 0 1 - 0 10.75
20 Georgia SEC-E 3 - 0 0 - 0 10.71
21 TCU BIG12 3 - 0 0 - 0 10.7
22 Stanford PAC12-N 1 - 2 0 - 1 10.49
23 Tennessee SEC-E 2 - 1 0 - 1 9.55
24 Duke ACC-C 3 - 0 0 - 0 9.5
25 North Carolina ACC-C 1 - 2 0 - 1 9.46
26 LSU SEC-W 2 - 1 0 - 1 9.23
27 Texas BIG12 1 - 2 0 - 0 8.91
28 Georgia Tech ACC-C 1 - 1 0 - 0 8.91
29 Texas A&M SEC-W 2 - 1 0 - 0 8.64
30 West Virginia BIG12 2 - 1 0 - 0 8.47
31 Kansas St BIG12 2 - 1 0 - 0 7.9
32 Florida SEC-E 1 - 1 1 - 0 7.87
33 California PAC12-N 3 - 0 0 - 0 6.91
34 Texas Tech BIG12 2 - 0 0 - 0 6.79
35 Michigan St BIG10-E 2 - 0 0 - 0 6.73
36 Minnesota BIG10-W 3 - 0 0 - 0 6.64
37 Mississippi SEC-W 2 - 1 0 - 0 6.56
38 Utah PAC12-S 3 - 0 0 - 0 6.51
39 UCLA PAC12-S 2 - 1 0 - 0 5.8
40 South Florida AAC-E 3 - 0 0 - 0 5.68
41 Maryland BIG10-E 2 - 0 0 - 0 5.42
42 Colorado PAC12-S 3 - 0 0 - 0 5.25
43 Vanderbilt SEC-E 3 - 0 0 - 0 4.47
44 Pittsburgh ACC-C 1 - 2 0 - 0 4.36
45 Northwestern BIG10-W 2 - 1 0 - 0 4.14
46 San Diego St MWC-W 3 - 0 0 - 0 4.09
47 Colorado St MWC-M 2 - 2 0 - 0 4.07
48 Wake Forest ACC-A 3 - 0 1 - 0 3.94
49 NC State ACC-A 2 - 1 0 - 0 3.88
50 Iowa BIG10-W 3 - 0 0 - 0 3.56
51 Boise St MWC-M 2 - 1 1 - 0 3.34
52 Indiana BIG10-E 1 - 1 0 - 1 3.16
53 Toledo MAC-W 3 - 0 0 - 0 2.9
54 South Carolina SEC-E 2 - 1 1 - 1 2.73
55 Iowa St BIG12 2 - 1 0 - 0 2.37
56 Tulsa AAC-W 1 - 2 0 - 0 2.22
57 Houston AAC-W 2 - 0 0 - 0 2.06
58 Kentucky SEC-E 3 - 0 1 - 0 1.99
59 Nebraska BIG10-W 1 - 2 0 - 0 1.94
60 Baylor BIG12 0 - 3 0 - 0 1.83
61 Memphis AAC-W 2 - 0 0 - 0 1.48
62 Purdue BIG10-W 2 - 1 0 - 0 1.47
63 Arizona PAC12-S 2 - 1 0 - 0 1.17
64 Arizona St PAC12-S 1 - 2 0 - 0 1.15
65 Navy AAC-W 2 - 0 1 - 0 1.02
66 Arkansas SEC-W 1 - 1 0 - 0 0.31
67 Air Force MWC-M 1 - 1 0 - 0 -0.05
68 W Michigan MAC-W 1 - 2 0 - 0 -0.18
69 UCF AAC-E 1 - 0 0 - 0 -1.48
70 Arkansas St SUN 1 - 1 0 - 0 -1.99
71 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 2 - 1 1 - 0 -2.86
72 N Illinois MAC-W 2 - 1 0 - 0 -3.31
73 SMU AAC-W 2 - 1 0 - 0 -4.05
74 WKU CUSA-E 1 - 2 0 - 1 -4.18
75 Syracuse ACC-A 2 - 1 0 - 0 -4.2
76 BYU IND 1 - 3 1 - 0 -4.53
77 UNLV MWC-W 1 - 1 0 - 0 -4.9
78 Temple AAC-E 2 - 1 0 - 0 -5.09
79 Appalachian St SUN 2 - 1 1 - 0 -5.39
80 Boston College ACC-A 1 - 2 0 - 1 -5.76
81 Virginia ACC-C 2 - 1 0 - 0 -5.87
82 Illinois BIG10-W 2 - 1 0 - 0 -5.98
83 Cincinnati AAC-E 2 - 1 0 - 0 -6.54
84 Oregon St PAC12-N 1 - 3 0 - 1 -7.28
85 Ball St MAC-W 2 - 1 0 - 0 -7.61
86 Ga Southern SUN 0 - 2 0 - 0 -7.66
87 UT San Antonio CUSA-W 2 - 0 0 - 0 -7.69
88 Army IND 2 - 1 1 - 0 -9
89 Troy SUN 2 - 1 1 - 0 -9.01
90 Southern Miss CUSA-W 2 - 1 0 - 0 -9.15
91 Missouri SEC-E 1 - 2 0 - 1 -9.25
92 MTSU CUSA-E 1 - 2 0 - 0 -9.29
93 Fresno St MWC-W 1 - 2 0 - 0 -9.3
94 Nevada MWC-W 0 - 3 0 - 0 -9.47
95 Rutgers BIG10-E 1 - 2 0 - 0 -9.83
96 New Mexico MWC-M 1 - 2 0 - 1 -10.03
97 Marshall CUSA-E 2 - 1 0 - 0 -10.04
98 Ohio MAC-E 2 - 1 0 - 0 -11.05
99 South Alabama SUN 1 - 2 0 - 0 -11.63
100 ULL SUN 1 - 2 0 - 0 -11.97
101 Tulane AAC-W 1 - 2 0 - 1 -12.38
102 East Carolina AAC-E 0 - 3 0 - 0 -12.4
103 Utah St MWC-M 1 - 2 0 - 0 -12.78
104 Old Dominion CUSA-E 2 - 1 0 - 0 -12.9
105 Idaho SUN 1 - 2 0 - 0 -13.12
106 Wyoming MWC-M 1 - 2 0 - 0 -13.15
107 E Michigan MAC-W 2 - 0 0 - 0 -13.36
108 Buffalo MAC-E 1 - 2 0 - 0 -13.45
109 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 1 - 2 0 - 0 -14.03
110 New Mexico St SUN 1 - 2 0 - 1 -14.12
111 Miami OH MAC-E 1 - 2 0 - 0 -14.31
112 C Michigan MAC-W 2 - 1 0 - 0 -14.39
113 Bowling Green MAC-E 0 - 3 0 - 0 -14.42
114 Hawaii MWC-W 2 - 1 0 - 0 -15.5
115 UAB CUSA-E 2 - 1 0 - 0 -16.16
116 North Texas CUSA-W 1 - 2 0 - 0 -16.55
117 San Jose St MWC-W 1 - 3 0 - 0 -16.86
118 ULM SUN 0 - 2 0 - 0 -17.34
119 Akron MAC-E 1 - 2 0 - 0 -18.25
120 Coastal Car SUN 1 - 1 0 - 0 -19.63
121 Kansas BIG12 1 - 2 0 - 0 -19.71
122 Georgia St SUN 0 - 2 0 - 0 -19.74
123 Rice CUSA-W 1 - 2 1 - 0 -20.01
124 Connecticut AAC-E 1 - 1 0 - 0 -20.24
125 Texas St SUN 1 - 2 0 - 1 -20.26
126 Massachusetts IND 0 - 4 0 - 0 -20.71
127 Kent MAC-E 1 - 2 0 - 0 -22.03
128 Florida Intl CUSA-E 1 - 1 0 - 0 -23.22
129 Charlotte CUSA-E 0 - 3 0 - 0 -24.51
130 UTEP CUSA-W 0 - 3 0 - 1 -24.89