Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2017 Week 12 (11/12/2017)

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Alabama SEC-W 10 - 0 7 - 0 26.19
2 Ohio St BIG10-E 8 - 2 6 - 1 25.39
3 Auburn SEC-W 8 - 2 6 - 1 25.34
4 Penn St BIG10-E 8 - 2 5 - 2 24.6
5 Clemson ACC-A 9 - 1 7 - 1 23.64
6 Miami FL ACC-C 9 - 0 6 - 0 22.69
7 Notre Dame IND 8 - 2 0 - 0 22.6
8 Georgia SEC-E 9 - 1 6 - 1 22.47
9 Wisconsin BIG10-W 10 - 0 7 - 0 20.96
10 Oklahoma BIG12 9 - 1 6 - 1 19.46
11 Virginia Tech ACC-C 7 - 3 3 - 3 17.48
12 Oklahoma St BIG12 8 - 2 5 - 2 17.19
13 UCF AAC-E 9 - 0 6 - 0 16.38
14 Washington PAC12-N 8 - 2 5 - 2 16.36
15 TCU BIG12 8 - 2 5 - 2 15.98
16 Mississippi St SEC-W 7 - 3 3 - 3 15.57
17 Iowa BIG10-W 6 - 4 3 - 4 15.26
18 Iowa St BIG12 6 - 4 4 - 3 14.15
19 Georgia Tech ACC-C 5 - 4 4 - 3 13.9
20 NC State ACC-A 7 - 3 5 - 1 13.48
21 Michigan BIG10-E 8 - 2 5 - 2 13.41
22 Wake Forest ACC-A 6 - 4 3 - 3 12.14
23 USC PAC12-S 9 - 2 7 - 1 12.11
24 Boston College ACC-A 5 - 5 3 - 4 11.69
25 Northwestern BIG10-W 7 - 3 5 - 2 10.86
26 Stanford PAC12-N 7 - 3 6 - 2 10.61
27 LSU SEC-W 7 - 3 4 - 2 10.05
28 Michigan St BIG10-E 7 - 3 5 - 2 9.49
29 Missouri SEC-E 5 - 5 2 - 4 9.03
30 Memphis AAC-W 8 - 1 5 - 1 8.76
31 Texas BIG12 5 - 5 4 - 3 8.46
32 West Virginia BIG12 7 - 3 5 - 2 8.4
33 Washington St PAC12-N 9 - 2 6 - 2 8.07
34 Louisville ACC-A 6 - 4 3 - 4 7.52
35 Purdue BIG10-W 4 - 6 2 - 5 7.26
36 Texas A&M SEC-W 6 - 4 3 - 3 7.19
37 South Florida AAC-E 8 - 1 5 - 1 6.88
38 Arizona PAC12-S 7 - 3 5 - 2 6.72
39 Florida St ACC-A 3 - 6 3 - 5 6.05
40 Ohio MAC-E 8 - 2 5 - 1 5.91
41 Syracuse ACC-A 4 - 6 2 - 4 5.72
42 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 7 - 3 6 - 0 5.3
43 South Carolina SEC-E 7 - 3 5 - 3 5.25
44 Boise St MWC-M 7 - 3 5 - 1 5.24
45 Minnesota BIG10-W 5 - 5 2 - 5 5.04
46 Texas Tech BIG12 5 - 5 2 - 5 3.55
47 Toledo MAC-W 8 - 2 5 - 1 2.69
48 Kansas St BIG12 5 - 5 3 - 4 2.43
49 Houston AAC-W 6 - 3 4 - 2 2.42
50 Arizona St PAC12-S 5 - 5 4 - 3 1.98
51 Navy AAC-W 6 - 3 4 - 3 1.71
52 SMU AAC-W 6 - 4 3 - 3 1.59
53 Utah PAC12-S 5 - 5 2 - 5 1.32
54 California PAC12-N 5 - 5 2 - 5 1.18
55 Kentucky SEC-E 7 - 3 4 - 3 1.11
56 Pittsburgh ACC-C 4 - 6 2 - 4 1.03
57 Indiana BIG10-E 4 - 6 1 - 6 0.93
58 San Diego St MWC-W 8 - 2 4 - 2 0.55
59 N Illinois MAC-W 7 - 3 5 - 1 0.49
60 Army IND 8 - 2 1 - 0 0.31
61 Duke ACC-C 4 - 6 1 - 5 -0.06
62 Virginia ACC-C 6 - 4 3 - 3 -0.14
63 Wyoming MWC-M 7 - 3 5 - 1 -0.2
64 UCLA PAC12-S 5 - 5 3 - 4 -0.68
65 Mississippi SEC-W 5 - 5 2 - 4 -1.12
66 Oregon PAC12-N 5 - 5 2 - 5 -1.35
67 Nebraska BIG10-W 4 - 6 3 - 4 -1.54
68 Florida SEC-E 3 - 6 3 - 5 -1.85
69 Marshall CUSA-E 7 - 3 4 - 2 -1.86
70 Colorado PAC12-S 5 - 6 2 - 6 -1.88
71 Fresno St MWC-W 7 - 3 5 - 1 -1.93
72 Colorado St MWC-M 7 - 4 5 - 2 -2.14
73 C Michigan MAC-W 6 - 4 4 - 2 -2.36
74 Rutgers BIG10-E 4 - 6 3 - 4 -2.62
75 North Carolina ACC-C 2 - 8 1 - 6 -2.63
76 Arkansas St SUN 5 - 3 4 - 1 -2.82
77 Temple AAC-E 5 - 5 3 - 3 -2.82
78 Maryland BIG10-E 4 - 6 2 - 5 -2.9
79 W Michigan MAC-W 6 - 4 4 - 2 -3.14
80 Troy SUN 8 - 2 5 - 1 -3.8
81 E Michigan MAC-W 3 - 7 1 - 5 -3.96
82 Tennessee SEC-E 4 - 6 0 - 6 -5.44
83 Utah St MWC-M 5 - 5 3 - 3 -6.1
84 Tulane AAC-W 4 - 6 2 - 4 -6.29
85 Arkansas SEC-W 4 - 6 1 - 5 -6.37
86 Buffalo MAC-E 4 - 6 2 - 4 -6.48
87 Massachusetts IND 3 - 7 1 - 0 -6.83
88 Baylor BIG12 1 - 9 1 - 6 -6.87
89 Miami OH MAC-E 4 - 6 3 - 3 -7.65
90 Appalachian St SUN 6 - 4 5 - 1 -7.88
91 North Texas CUSA-W 7 - 3 6 - 1 -7.89
92 Vanderbilt SEC-E 4 - 6 0 - 6 -8.17
93 Air Force MWC-M 4 - 6 3 - 3 -8.31
94 Tulsa AAC-W 2 - 8 1 - 5 -8.64
95 Illinois BIG10-W 2 - 8 0 - 7 -8.82
96 Cincinnati AAC-E 3 - 7 1 - 5 -9.33
97 MTSU CUSA-E 5 - 5 3 - 3 -9.67
98 Nevada MWC-W 2 - 8 2 - 4 -9.89
99 Akron MAC-E 5 - 5 4 - 2 -10.12
100 UAB CUSA-W 7 - 3 5 - 2 -10.23
101 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 4 - 6 2 - 4 -10.5
102 Oregon St PAC12-N 1 - 9 0 - 7 -10.75
103 Florida Intl CUSA-E 6 - 3 4 - 2 -10.81
104 UNLV MWC-W 4 - 6 3 - 3 -11.4
105 Connecticut AAC-E 3 - 7 2 - 5 -11.8
106 UT San Antonio CUSA-W 5 - 4 2 - 4 -11.86
107 South Alabama SUN 4 - 6 3 - 3 -12.21
108 BYU IND 3 - 8 1 - 0 -12.29
109 Georgia St SUN 6 - 3 5 - 1 -12.81
110 Southern Miss CUSA-W 6 - 4 4 - 2 -13.5
111 Bowling Green MAC-E 2 - 8 2 - 4 -13.77
112 WKU CUSA-E 5 - 5 3 - 3 -13.81
113 ULM SUN 4 - 5 4 - 3 -14.06
114 New Mexico St SUN 4 - 5 2 - 3 -14.09
115 East Carolina AAC-E 2 - 8 1 - 5 -14.91
116 Idaho SUN 3 - 6 2 - 3 -15.24
117 Old Dominion CUSA-E 4 - 6 2 - 4 -15.7
118 New Mexico MWC-M 3 - 7 1 - 5 -17.81
119 Kansas BIG12 1 - 9 0 - 7 -18.19
120 Hawaii MWC-W 3 - 7 1 - 6 -18.32
121 ULL SUN 4 - 5 3 - 2 -19.39
122 Coastal Car SUN 1 - 9 0 - 6 -21.15
123 Texas St SUN 2 - 8 1 - 5 -22.24
124 Charlotte CUSA-E 1 - 9 1 - 5 -23.15
125 Ga Southern SUN 0 - 9 0 - 5 -23.32
126 Kent MAC-E 2 - 8 1 - 5 -24.22
127 Rice CUSA-W 1 - 9 1 - 5 -25.98
128 UTEP CUSA-W 0 - 10 0 - 6 -29.99
129 Ball St MAC-W 2 - 8 0 - 6 -32.01
130 San Jose St MWC-W 1 - 10 0 - 6 -33.69