Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2023 Postseason

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Georgia SEC-E 13 - 1 8 - 1 27.61
2 Michigan BIG10-E 15 - 0 10 - 0 24.76
3 Alabama SEC-W 12 - 2 9 - 0 21.71
4 Ohio St BIG10-E 11 - 2 8 - 1 21.54
5 Oregon PAC12-N 12 - 2 8 - 2 21.32
6 Notre Dame IND 10 - 3 1 - 0 19.09
7 Texas BIG12 12 - 2 9 - 1 18.46
8 Penn St BIG10-E 10 - 3 7 - 2 18.2
9 LSU SEC-W 10 - 3 6 - 2 17.42
10 Missouri SEC-E 11 - 2 6 - 2 17.21
11 Kansas St BIG12 9 - 4 6 - 3 15.54
12 Oklahoma BIG12 10 - 3 7 - 2 15.02
13 Tennessee SEC-E 9 - 4 4 - 4 14.16
14 Washington PAC12-N 14 - 1 10 - 0 13.9
15 Mississippi SEC-W 11 - 2 6 - 2 12.39
16 Clemson ACC-A 9 - 4 4 - 4 11.48
17 Texas A&M SEC-W 7 - 6 4 - 4 11.32
18 Arizona PAC12-S 10 - 3 7 - 2 11.17
19 Florida St ACC-A 13 - 1 9 - 0 10.59
20 Utah PAC12-S 8 - 5 5 - 4 7.53
21 Iowa St BIG12 7 - 6 6 - 3 7.52
22 USC PAC12-S 8 - 5 5 - 4 7.51
23 Oregon St PAC12-N 8 - 5 5 - 4 7.46
24 Kentucky SEC-E 7 - 6 3 - 5 7.4
25 NC State ACC-A 9 - 4 6 - 2 6.83
26 Louisville ACC-A 10 - 4 7 - 2 6.76
27 Oklahoma St BIG12 10 - 4 7 - 3 6.53
28 Kansas BIG12 9 - 4 5 - 4 6.43
29 Troy SUN 11 - 3 8 - 1 6.31
30 SMU AAC-W 11 - 3 9 - 0 6.15
31 Maryland BIG10-E 8 - 5 4 - 5 6.13
32 Florida SEC-E 5 - 7 3 - 5 5.77
33 Auburn SEC-W 6 - 7 3 - 5 5.26
34 James Madison SUN 11 - 2 7 - 1 5.22
35 South Carolina SEC-E 5 - 7 3 - 5 5
36 TCU BIG12 5 - 7 3 - 6 4.96
37 Boise St MWC-M 8 - 6 7 - 2 4.69
38 Wisconsin BIG10-W 7 - 6 5 - 4 4.63
39 West Virginia BIG12 9 - 4 6 - 3 4.6
40 UCLA PAC12-S 8 - 5 4 - 5 4.38
41 Texas Tech BIG12 7 - 6 5 - 4 3.99
42 Iowa BIG10-W 10 - 4 7 - 3 3.78
43 Virginia Tech ACC-C 7 - 6 5 - 3 3.57
44 Miami FL ACC-C 7 - 6 3 - 5 3.41
45 UCF BIG12 6 - 7 3 - 6 3.11
46 Liberty CUSA-E 13 - 1 9 - 0 2.91
47 Duke ACC-C 8 - 5 4 - 4 2.88
48 Washington St PAC12-N 5 - 7 2 - 7 2.7
49 Northwestern BIG10-W 8 - 5 5 - 4 2.43
50 Memphis AAC-W 10 - 3 6 - 2 2.04
51 South Alabama SUN 7 - 6 4 - 4 1.58
52 North Carolina ACC-C 8 - 5 4 - 4 1.44
53 Georgia Tech ACC-C 7 - 6 5 - 3 1.38
54 Appalachian St SUN 9 - 5 6 - 3 1.37
55 California PAC12-N 6 - 7 4 - 5 0.54
56 Nebraska BIG10-W 5 - 7 3 - 6 0.44
57 Air Force MWC-M 9 - 4 5 - 3 0.41
58 UT San Antonio AAC-W 9 - 4 7 - 1 0.3
59 San Jose St MWC-W 7 - 6 6 - 2 -0.93
60 Rutgers BIG10-E 7 - 6 3 - 6 -1.03
61 Tulane AAC-W 11 - 3 8 - 1 -1.23
62 Arkansas SEC-W 4 - 8 1 - 7 -1.4
63 Mississippi St SEC-W 5 - 7 1 - 7 -1.58
64 Wyoming MWC-M 9 - 4 5 - 3 -1.62
65 Fresno St MWC-W 9 - 4 4 - 4 -1.69
66 Purdue BIG10-W 4 - 8 3 - 6 -1.9
67 Minnesota BIG10-W 6 - 7 3 - 6 -2.22
68 Miami OH MAC-E 11 - 3 8 - 1 -2.27
69 Illinois BIG10-W 5 - 7 3 - 6 -2.38
70 Toledo MAC-W 11 - 3 8 - 1 -2.52
71 UNLV MWC-W 9 - 5 6 - 3 -2.57
72 Jacksonville St CUSA-E 9 - 4 6 - 2 -3.22
73 BYU BIG12 5 - 7 2 - 7 -3.47
74 Wake Forest ACC-A 4 - 8 1 - 7 -3.69
75 Louisiana SUN 6 - 7 3 - 5 -3.76
76 Coastal Car SUN 8 - 5 5 - 3 -3.8
77 Ohio MAC-E 10 - 3 6 - 2 -4.47
78 Boston College ACC-A 7 - 6 3 - 5 -4.55
79 Colorado PAC12-S 4 - 8 1 - 8 -4.56
80 Baylor BIG12 3 - 9 2 - 7 -4.69
81 Arizona St PAC12-S 3 - 9 2 - 7 -4.82
82 WKU CUSA-E 8 - 5 5 - 3 -4.85
83 Virginia ACC-C 3 - 9 2 - 6 -4.89
84 Houston BIG12 4 - 8 2 - 7 -5.19
85 Indiana BIG10-E 3 - 9 1 - 8 -5.61
86 Pittsburgh ACC-C 3 - 9 2 - 6 -6.07
87 Cincinnati BIG12 3 - 9 1 - 8 -6.31
88 Army IND 6 - 6 2 - 1 -6.79
89 Michigan St BIG10-E 4 - 8 2 - 7 -6.82
90 New Mexico St CUSA-W 10 - 5 7 - 2 -6.86
91 Texas St SUN 8 - 5 4 - 4 -7.17
92 Georgia St SUN 7 - 6 3 - 5 -7.38
93 Arkansas St SUN 6 - 7 4 - 4 -7.45
94 Stanford PAC12-N 3 - 9 2 - 7 -7.75
95 Old Dominion SUN 6 - 7 5 - 3 -7.79
96 South Florida AAC-E 7 - 6 4 - 4 -7.87
97 Marshall SUN 6 - 7 3 - 5 -7.95
98 Bowling Green MAC-E 7 - 6 5 - 3 -8.15
99 N Illinois MAC-W 7 - 6 5 - 3 -8.45
100 San Diego St MWC-W 4 - 8 2 - 6 -8.86
101 MTSU CUSA-E 4 - 8 3 - 5 -9.13
102 Vanderbilt SEC-E 2 - 10 0 - 8 -9.38
103 North Texas AAC-W 5 - 7 3 - 5 -9.56
104 Rice AAC-W 6 - 7 4 - 4 -9.89
105 Syracuse ACC-A 6 - 7 2 - 6 -10
106 Ga Southern SUN 6 - 7 3 - 5 -10.27
107 Utah St MWC-M 6 - 7 4 - 4 -10.43
108 FL Atlantic AAC-E 4 - 8 3 - 5 -10.5
109 Navy AAC-W 5 - 7 4 - 4 -10.66
110 Colorado St MWC-M 5 - 7 3 - 5 -10.67
111 UAB AAC-W 4 - 8 3 - 5 -11.18
112 Ball St MAC-W 4 - 8 3 - 5 -11.67
113 East Carolina AAC-E 2 - 10 1 - 7 -11.93
114 Southern Miss SUN 3 - 9 2 - 6 -13.74
115 Hawaii MWC-W 5 - 8 3 - 5 -13.77
116 W Michigan MAC-W 4 - 8 3 - 5 -14.17
117 Buffalo MAC-E 3 - 9 3 - 5 -14.2
118 Sam Houston St CUSA-W 3 - 9 2 - 6 -14.3
119 C Michigan MAC-W 5 - 7 3 - 5 -14.59
120 UTEP CUSA-W 3 - 9 2 - 6 -14.61
121 Tulsa AAC-W 4 - 8 2 - 6 -15
122 New Mexico MWC-M 4 - 8 2 - 6 -16
123 Nevada MWC-W 2 - 10 2 - 6 -16.6
124 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 3 - 9 2 - 6 -16.6
125 Connecticut IND 3 - 9 2 - 0 -17.46
126 E Michigan MAC-W 6 - 7 4 - 4 -17.92
127 Charlotte AAC-E 3 - 9 2 - 6 -18.43
128 ULM SUN 2 - 10 0 - 8 -18.82
129 Temple AAC-E 3 - 9 1 - 7 -20.25
130 Massachusetts IND 3 - 9 2 - 1 -20.91
131 Florida Intl CUSA-E 4 - 8 1 - 7 -21.09
132 Akron MAC-E 2 - 10 1 - 7 -22.82
133 Kent MAC-E 1 - 11 0 - 8 -25.98