Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2019 Week 4

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Clemson ACC-A 3 - 0 2 - 0 27.9
2 Alabama SEC-W 3 - 0 1 - 0 27.84
3 Ohio St BIG10-E 3 - 0 1 - 0 25.18
4 Georgia SEC-E 3 - 0 1 - 0 24.47
5 LSU SEC-W 3 - 0 0 - 0 22.5
6 Oklahoma BIG12 3 - 0 0 - 0 19.74
7 Wisconsin BIG10-W 2 - 0 0 - 0 18.61
8 Auburn SEC-W 3 - 0 0 - 0 18.31
9 Oregon PAC12-N 2 - 1 0 - 0 16.84
10 UCF AAC-E 3 - 0 0 - 0 15.29
11 Iowa BIG10-W 3 - 0 1 - 0 14.1
12 Texas BIG12 2 - 1 0 - 0 14.02
13 Notre Dame IND 2 - 0 0 - 0 13.85
14 Washington PAC12-N 2 - 1 0 - 1 13.6
15 Texas A&M SEC-W 2 - 1 0 - 0 13.42
16 Missouri SEC-E 2 - 1 0 - 0 13.05
17 TCU BIG12 2 - 0 0 - 0 13.02
18 Mississippi St SEC-W 2 - 1 0 - 0 12.82
19 Penn St BIG10-E 3 - 0 0 - 0 12.71
20 Kansas St BIG12 3 - 0 0 - 0 12.13
21 Washington St PAC12-N 3 - 0 0 - 0 11.67
22 Michigan BIG10-E 2 - 0 0 - 0 11.47
23 Florida SEC-E 3 - 0 1 - 0 11.19
24 Michigan St BIG10-E 2 - 1 0 - 0 11.1
25 Oklahoma St BIG12 3 - 0 0 - 0 9.26
26 Memphis AAC-W 3 - 0 0 - 0 9.21
27 USC PAC12-S 2 - 1 1 - 0 8.88
28 Maryland BIG10-E 2 - 1 0 - 0 8.82
29 Utah PAC12-S 3 - 0 0 - 0 8.56
30 Iowa St BIG12 1 - 1 0 - 0 8.19
31 Temple AAC-E 2 - 0 0 - 0 8.08
32 Baylor BIG12 2 - 0 0 - 0 7.78
33 Arizona St PAC12-S 3 - 0 0 - 0 6.73
34 West Virginia BIG12 2 - 1 0 - 0 6.56
35 Kentucky SEC-E 2 - 1 0 - 1 6.37
36 Appalachian St SUN 2 - 0 0 - 0 6.16
37 Virginia ACC-C 3 - 0 2 - 0 5.07
38 Boise St MWC-M 3 - 0 0 - 0 5.01
39 Stanford PAC12-N 1 - 2 0 - 1 4.95
40 California PAC12-N 3 - 0 1 - 0 4.54
41 Wake Forest ACC-A 3 - 0 1 - 0 4.52
42 Mississippi SEC-W 2 - 1 1 - 0 4.43
43 Miami FL ACC-C 1 - 2 0 - 1 4.16
44 Utah St MWC-M 1 - 1 0 - 0 3.62
45 Duke ACC-C 2 - 1 0 - 0 3.54
46 Minnesota BIG10-W 3 - 0 0 - 0 3.35
47 Houston AAC-W 1 - 2 0 - 0 3.17
48 Nebraska BIG10-W 2 - 1 0 - 0 3.01
49 Pittsburgh ACC-C 1 - 2 0 - 1 3.01
50 South Carolina SEC-E 1 - 2 0 - 1 2.97
51 NC State ACC-A 2 - 1 0 - 0 1.79
52 Northwestern BIG10-W 1 - 1 0 - 0 1.49
53 Fresno St MWC-W 0 - 2 0 - 0 1.12
54 SMU AAC-W 3 - 0 0 - 0 1.03
55 Arizona PAC12-S 2 - 1 0 - 0 0.98
56 North Carolina ACC-C 2 - 1 1 - 1 0.81
57 Wyoming MWC-M 3 - 0 0 - 0 0.75
58 Florida St ACC-A 1 - 2 0 - 1 0.73
59 Navy AAC-W 2 - 0 1 - 0 0.48
60 Georgia Tech ACC-C 1 - 2 0 - 1 0.3
61 Cincinnati AAC-E 2 - 1 0 - 0 -0.13
62 Army IND 2 - 1 0 - 0 -0.25
63 BYU IND 2 - 1 0 - 0 -0.29
64 Air Force MWC-M 2 - 0 0 - 0 -0.51
65 Texas Tech BIG12 2 - 1 0 - 0 -0.63
66 Purdue BIG10-W 1 - 2 0 - 0 -0.8
67 Tulane AAC-W 2 - 1 0 - 0 -1.24
68 Syracuse ACC-A 1 - 2 0 - 1 -1.55
69 Colorado PAC12-S 2 - 1 0 - 0 -1.62
70 San Diego St MWC-W 3 - 0 0 - 0 -2.41
71 Vanderbilt SEC-E 0 - 2 0 - 1 -2.94
72 Arkansas SEC-W 2 - 1 0 - 1 -3.12
73 Marshall CUSA-E 2 - 1 0 - 0 -3.17
74 Louisville ACC-A 2 - 1 0 - 0 -3.21
75 Indiana BIG10-E 2 - 1 0 - 1 -3.36
76 Ohio MAC-E 1 - 2 0 - 0 -3.93
77 Virginia Tech ACC-C 2 - 1 0 - 1 -4.1
78 Kansas BIG12 2 - 1 0 - 0 -4.19
79 Louisiana SUN 2 - 1 0 - 0 -4.4
80 UCLA PAC12-S 0 - 3 0 - 0 -4.61
81 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 1 - 2 0 - 0 -4.63
82 Toledo MAC-W 1 - 1 0 - 0 -4.82
83 Boston College ACC-A 2 - 1 1 - 0 -4.83
84 W Michigan MAC-W 2 - 1 0 - 0 -4.9
85 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 2 - 1 0 - 0 -5.06
86 Arkansas St SUN 1 - 2 0 - 0 -5.29
87 Troy SUN 1 - 1 0 - 0 -5.73
88 Southern Miss CUSA-W 2 - 1 0 - 0 -5.8
89 Ga Southern SUN 1 - 2 0 - 0 -6.29
90 Tulsa AAC-W 1 - 2 0 - 0 -7.21
91 Tennessee SEC-E 1 - 2 0 - 0 -7.57
92 E Michigan MAC-W 2 - 1 0 - 0 -8.53
93 Illinois BIG10-W 2 - 1 0 - 0 -8.57
94 North Texas CUSA-W 1 - 2 0 - 0 -8.58
95 South Florida AAC-E 1 - 2 0 - 0 -8.9
96 MTSU CUSA-E 1 - 2 0 - 0 -8.91
97 UAB CUSA-W 2 - 0 0 - 0 -9.02
98 Coastal Car SUN 2 - 1 0 - 0 -9.48
99 Rutgers BIG10-E 1 - 1 0 - 1 -9.56
100 ULM SUN 1 - 1 0 - 0 -9.58
101 Hawaii MWC-W 2 - 1 0 - 0 -10.12
102 Oregon St PAC12-N 1 - 2 0 - 0 -10.12
103 Charlotte CUSA-E 2 - 1 0 - 0 -10.58
104 Miami OH MAC-E 1 - 2 0 - 0 -11.25
105 Nevada MWC-W 2 - 1 0 - 0 -12.04
106 N Illinois MAC-W 1 - 2 0 - 0 -12.29
107 WKU CUSA-E 1 - 2 1 - 0 -13.13
108 Liberty IND 1 - 2 0 - 0 -14.94
109 Florida Intl CUSA-E 1 - 2 0 - 1 -15.16
110 Rice CUSA-W 0 - 3 0 - 0 -15.24
111 Colorado St MWC-M 1 - 2 0 - 0 -15.56
112 Buffalo MAC-E 1 - 2 0 - 0 -16.37
113 Texas St SUN 0 - 3 0 - 0 -16.67
114 South Alabama SUN 1 - 2 0 - 0 -16.78
115 Ball St MAC-W 1 - 2 0 - 0 -18.28
116 Kent MAC-E 1 - 2 0 - 0 -18.44
117 C Michigan MAC-W 2 - 1 1 - 0 -18.75
118 UNLV MWC-W 1 - 2 0 - 0 -19.04
119 Old Dominion CUSA-E 1 - 1 0 - 0 -19.59
120 New Mexico MWC-M 1 - 1 0 - 0 -19.68
121 UT San Antonio CUSA-W 1 - 2 0 - 0 -19.77
122 San Jose St MWC-W 1 - 1 0 - 0 -19.96
123 East Carolina AAC-E 1 - 2 0 - 1 -20
124 New Mexico St IND 0 - 3 0 - 0 -20.48
125 Connecticut AAC-E 1 - 1 0 - 0 -20.61
126 Georgia St SUN 2 - 1 0 - 0 -21.01
127 Bowling Green MAC-E 1 - 2 0 - 0 -24.18
128 Massachusetts IND 0 - 3 0 - 1 -24.83
129 Akron MAC-E 0 - 3 0 - 1 -26.5
130 UTEP CUSA-W 1 - 1 0 - 0 -27.07