Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2019 Week 14 (Through games of 11/23/19)

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Ohio St BIG10-E 11 - 0 8 - 0 34.66
2 Clemson ACC-A 11 - 0 8 - 0 28.91
3 Alabama SEC-W 10 - 1 6 - 1 26.26
4 LSU SEC-W 11 - 0 7 - 0 24.07
5 Michigan BIG10-E 9 - 2 6 - 2 23.53
6 Georgia SEC-E 10 - 1 7 - 1 23.13
7 Utah PAC12-S 10 - 1 7 - 1 22.92
8 Penn St BIG10-E 9 - 2 6 - 2 22.07
9 Wisconsin BIG10-W 9 - 2 6 - 2 21.89
10 Florida SEC-E 9 - 2 6 - 2 19.93
11 Auburn SEC-W 8 - 3 4 - 3 19.17
12 Notre Dame IND 9 - 2 0 - 0 18.74
13 Oregon PAC12-N 9 - 2 7 - 1 17.48
14 Iowa BIG10-W 8 - 3 5 - 3 16.94
15 Oklahoma BIG12 10 - 1 7 - 1 16.69
16 Minnesota BIG10-W 10 - 1 7 - 1 16.2
17 Memphis AAC-W 10 - 1 6 - 1 13.73
18 Baylor BIG12 10 - 1 7 - 1 13.6
19 Texas A&M SEC-W 7 - 4 4 - 3 13.38
20 Iowa St BIG12 7 - 4 5 - 3 12.66
21 Navy AAC-W 8 - 2 6 - 1 11.12
22 Virginia Tech ACC-C 8 - 3 5 - 2 10.97
23 Louisiana SUN 9 - 2 6 - 1 10.77
24 Appalachian St SUN 10 - 1 6 - 1 9.28
25 USC PAC12-S 8 - 4 7 - 2 9.26
26 UCF AAC-E 8 - 3 5 - 2 9.21
27 Oklahoma St BIG12 8 - 3 5 - 3 8.7
28 Washington PAC12-N 6 - 5 3 - 5 8.66
29 Indiana BIG10-E 7 - 4 4 - 4 8.01
30 Boise St MWC-M 10 - 1 7 - 0 7.93
31 TCU BIG12 5 - 6 3 - 5 7.46
32 Texas BIG12 6 - 5 4 - 4 7.33
33 Kansas St BIG12 7 - 4 4 - 4 7.21
34 Cincinnati AAC-E 10 - 1 7 - 0 7.16
35 SMU AAC-W 9 - 2 5 - 2 6.61
36 Tennessee SEC-E 6 - 5 4 - 3 6.46
37 Washington St PAC12-N 6 - 5 3 - 5 6.44
38 Illinois BIG10-W 6 - 5 4 - 4 6.38
39 Air Force MWC-M 9 - 2 6 - 1 6.04
40 Michigan St BIG10-E 5 - 6 3 - 5 5.67
41 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 8 - 3 6 - 1 5.43
42 Arizona St PAC12-S 6 - 5 3 - 5 4.99
43 Nebraska BIG10-W 5 - 6 3 - 5 4.84
44 Mississippi SEC-W 4 - 7 2 - 5 4.62
45 Virginia ACC-C 8 - 3 5 - 2 4.58
46 Mississippi St SEC-W 5 - 6 2 - 5 4.28
47 Miami FL ACC-C 6 - 5 4 - 3 3.92
48 Tulane AAC-W 6 - 5 3 - 4 3.38
49 Kentucky SEC-E 6 - 5 3 - 5 3.03
50 WKU CUSA-E 7 - 4 5 - 2 2.92
51 North Carolina ACC-C 5 - 6 3 - 5 2.92
52 South Carolina SEC-E 4 - 7 3 - 5 2.37
53 Texas Tech BIG12 4 - 7 2 - 6 2.29
54 Louisville ACC-A 7 - 4 5 - 3 1.97
55 Missouri SEC-E 5 - 6 2 - 5 1.66
56 Wake Forest ACC-A 8 - 3 5 - 3 1.41
57 Florida St ACC-A 6 - 5 4 - 4 1.11
58 Purdue BIG10-W 4 - 7 3 - 5 1.08
59 Oregon St PAC12-N 5 - 6 4 - 4 0.95
60 California PAC12-N 6 - 5 3 - 5 0.93
61 Pittsburgh ACC-C 7 - 4 4 - 3 0.35
62 Temple AAC-E 7 - 4 4 - 3 -0.97
63 Wyoming MWC-M 7 - 4 4 - 3 -1.17
64 Houston AAC-W 4 - 7 2 - 5 -1.38
65 BYU IND 7 - 4 3 - 0 -1.55
66 UCLA PAC12-S 4 - 7 4 - 4 -1.75
67 Tulsa AAC-W 3 - 8 1 - 6 -1.88
68 Boston College ACC-A 5 - 6 3 - 4 -2.27
69 W Michigan MAC-W 7 - 4 5 - 2 -2.62
70 Southern Miss CUSA-W 7 - 4 5 - 2 -2.62
71 Marshall CUSA-E 7 - 4 5 - 2 -2.64
72 Buffalo MAC-E 6 - 5 4 - 3 -2.68
73 Army IND 5 - 6 3 - 0 -3.12
74 Colorado PAC12-S 5 - 6 3 - 5 -3.16
75 West Virginia BIG12 4 - 7 2 - 6 -3.36
76 Ga Southern SUN 6 - 5 4 - 3 -3.52
77 Stanford PAC12-N 4 - 7 3 - 6 -4.04
78 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 8 - 3 5 - 2 -4.07
79 Ohio MAC-E 5 - 6 4 - 3 -4.33
80 Northwestern BIG10-W 2 - 9 0 - 8 -4.66
81 Arkansas St SUN 7 - 4 5 - 2 -4.77
82 Hawaii MWC-W 8 - 4 5 - 3 -4.86
83 Kansas BIG12 3 - 8 1 - 7 -4.88
84 San Diego St MWC-W 8 - 3 5 - 3 -5.17
85 UAB CUSA-W 8 - 3 5 - 2 -6.09
86 C Michigan MAC-W 7 - 4 5 - 2 -6.61
87 Arizona PAC12-S 4 - 7 2 - 6 -6.78
88 Ball St MAC-W 4 - 7 3 - 4 -6.8
89 Duke ACC-C 4 - 7 2 - 5 -7.22
90 Georgia St SUN 7 - 4 4 - 3 -7.22
91 South Florida AAC-E 4 - 7 2 - 5 -7.42
92 MTSU CUSA-E 4 - 7 3 - 4 -7.49
93 Syracuse ACC-A 4 - 7 1 - 6 -7.57
94 Utah St MWC-M 6 - 5 5 - 2 -7.59
95 Charlotte CUSA-E 6 - 5 4 - 3 -8.11
96 Miami OH MAC-E 7 - 4 6 - 1 -8.48
97 Troy SUN 5 - 6 3 - 4 -8.71
98 Florida Intl CUSA-E 6 - 5 3 - 4 -9.09
99 E Michigan MAC-W 6 - 5 3 - 4 -9.22
100 Fresno St MWC-W 4 - 7 2 - 5 -9.23
101 Kent MAC-E 5 - 6 4 - 3 -9.37
102 Arkansas SEC-W 2 - 9 0 - 7 -9.42
103 San Jose St MWC-W 4 - 7 1 - 6 -9.84
104 Maryland BIG10-E 3 - 8 1 - 7 -10.48
105 Georgia Tech ACC-C 3 - 8 2 - 6 -10.58
106 ULM SUN 5 - 6 4 - 3 -10.89
107 Colorado St MWC-M 4 - 7 3 - 4 -11.05
108 Coastal Car SUN 4 - 7 1 - 6 -11.49
109 NC State ACC-A 4 - 7 1 - 6 -11.75
110 East Carolina AAC-E 4 - 7 1 - 6 -11.78
111 Rice CUSA-W 2 - 9 2 - 5 -11.98
112 North Texas CUSA-W 4 - 7 3 - 4 -12.35
113 Liberty IND 6 - 5 4 - 1 -12.67
114 Toledo MAC-W 6 - 5 3 - 4 -14.37
115 Vanderbilt SEC-E 3 - 8 1 - 6 -14.56
116 Nevada MWC-W 7 - 4 4 - 3 -15.1
117 N Illinois MAC-W 4 - 7 3 - 4 -15.4
118 Rutgers BIG10-E 2 - 9 0 - 8 -15.73
119 UNLV MWC-W 3 - 8 1 - 6 -17.16
120 South Alabama SUN 1 - 10 0 - 7 -17.19
121 UT San Antonio CUSA-W 4 - 7 3 - 4 -18.09
122 Texas St SUN 3 - 8 2 - 5 -18.39
123 Old Dominion CUSA-E 1 - 10 0 - 7 -18.8
124 New Mexico MWC-M 2 - 9 0 - 7 -19.55
125 Connecticut AAC-E 2 - 9 0 - 7 -22.35
126 New Mexico St IND 2 - 9 1 - 1 -23.31
127 UTEP CUSA-W 1 - 10 0 - 7 -26.85
128 Bowling Green MAC-E 3 - 8 2 - 5 -28.06
129 Akron MAC-E 0 - 11 0 - 7 -33.47
130 Massachusetts IND 1 - 11 0 - 4 -39.26