Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2016 After Week 10 (11/6/2016)

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Michigan BIG10-E 9 - 0 6 - 0 33.87
2 Alabama SEC-W 9 - 0 6 - 0 30.56
3 Ohio St BIG10-E 8 - 1 5 - 1 29.86
4 Washington PAC12-N 9 - 0 6 - 0 24.95
5 Clemson ACC-A 9 - 0 6 - 0 22.79
6 Auburn SEC-W 7 - 2 5 - 1 22.54
7 Louisville ACC-A 8 - 1 6 - 1 21.65
8 Washington St PAC12-N 7 - 2 6 - 0 18.91
9 LSU SEC-W 5 - 3 3 - 2 18.84
10 Colorado PAC12-S 7 - 2 5 - 1 18.6
11 Wisconsin BIG10-W 7 - 2 4 - 2 18.18
12 Penn St BIG10-E 7 - 2 5 - 1 17.99
13 USC PAC12-S 6 - 3 5 - 2 15.28
14 W Michigan MAC-W 9 - 0 5 - 0 13.59
15 Texas A&M SEC-W 7 - 2 4 - 2 12.86
16 Virginia Tech ACC-C 7 - 2 5 - 1 12.11
17 Oklahoma BIG12 7 - 2 6 - 0 12.05
18 Northwestern BIG10-W 4 - 5 3 - 3 10.85
19 Mississippi SEC-W 4 - 5 1 - 4 10.59
20 North Carolina ACC-C 7 - 2 5 - 1 9.96
21 West Virginia BIG12 7 - 1 4 - 1 9.9
22 Stanford PAC12-N 6 - 3 4 - 3 9.86
23 Florida St ACC-A 6 - 3 3 - 3 9.83
24 San Diego St MWC-W 8 - 1 5 - 0 8.27
25 Miami FL ACC-C 5 - 4 2 - 3 8.13
26 Utah PAC12-S 7 - 2 4 - 2 8.1
27 Temple AAC-E 7 - 3 5 - 1 7.59
28 Florida SEC-E 6 - 2 4 - 2 7.39
29 Boise St MWC-M 8 - 1 4 - 1 7.1
30 Oklahoma St BIG12 7 - 2 5 - 1 7.06
31 Arkansas SEC-W 6 - 3 2 - 3 6.75
32 BYU IND 5 - 4 0 - 0 6.73
33 Minnesota BIG10-W 7 - 2 4 - 2 6.72
34 WKU CUSA-E 7 - 3 5 - 1 6.7
35 Houston AAC-W 7 - 2 4 - 2 6.34
36 Tulsa AAC-W 7 - 2 4 - 1 6.28
37 Nebraska BIG10-W 7 - 2 4 - 2 6.27
38 Iowa BIG10-W 5 - 4 3 - 3 6.11
39 Memphis AAC-W 6 - 3 3 - 2 5.99
40 South Florida AAC-E 7 - 2 4 - 1 5.89
41 Tennessee SEC-E 6 - 3 2 - 3 5.88
42 UCLA PAC12-S 3 - 6 1 - 5 5.24
43 TCU BIG12 5 - 4 3 - 3 5.21
44 UCF AAC-E 5 - 4 3 - 2 5.13
45 Mississippi St SEC-W 4 - 5 2 - 3 4.42
46 Troy SUN 7 - 1 4 - 0 4.06
47 Kansas St BIG12 5 - 4 3 - 3 3.98
48 Texas BIG12 5 - 4 3 - 3 3.83
49 Pittsburgh ACC-C 5 - 4 2 - 3 3.07
50 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 7 - 3 5 - 1 2.82
51 Oregon PAC12-N 3 - 6 1 - 5 2.59
52 Wyoming MWC-M 7 - 2 5 - 0 2.37
53 Navy AAC-W 6 - 2 4 - 1 2.35
54 Toledo MAC-W 7 - 2 4 - 1 2.28
55 NC State ACC-A 4 - 5 1 - 4 2.17
56 Arizona St PAC12-S 5 - 4 2 - 4 1.81
57 Notre Dame IND 3 - 6 0 - 0 1.79
58 Appalachian St SUN 7 - 2 5 - 0 1.46
59 Indiana BIG10-E 5 - 4 3 - 3 1.31
60 Vanderbilt SEC-E 4 - 5 1 - 4 1.05
61 California PAC12-N 4 - 5 2 - 4 0.9
62 Baylor BIG12 6 - 2 3 - 2 0.76
63 Maryland BIG10-E 5 - 4 2 - 4 0.68
64 Oregon St PAC12-N 2 - 7 1 - 5 0.63
65 Texas Tech BIG12 4 - 5 2 - 4 0.57
66 Georgia Tech ACC-C 5 - 4 2 - 4 0.57
67 Georgia SEC-E 5 - 4 3 - 4 0.25
68 Duke ACC-C 3 - 6 0 - 5 0.16
69 Colorado St MWC-M 5 - 4 3 - 2 -0.21
70 Kentucky SEC-E 5 - 4 4 - 3 -0.31
71 Michigan St BIG10-E 2 - 7 0 - 6 -0.53
72 Wake Forest ACC-A 6 - 3 3 - 2 -1.26
73 South Carolina SEC-E 5 - 4 3 - 4 -1.72
74 Air Force MWC-M 6 - 3 2 - 3 -2.49
75 Arkansas St SUN 4 - 4 4 - 0 -2.52
76 Virginia ACC-C 2 - 7 1 - 4 -2.73
77 N Illinois MAC-W 3 - 6 3 - 2 -3.93
78 Illinois BIG10-W 3 - 6 2 - 4 -4.36
79 Iowa St BIG12 1 - 8 0 - 6 -4.44
80 Ohio MAC-E 7 - 3 5 - 1 -5.37
81 MTSU CUSA-E 6 - 3 3 - 2 -5.96
82 Old Dominion CUSA-E 6 - 3 4 - 1 -6.22
83 East Carolina AAC-E 3 - 6 1 - 4 -6.32
84 New Mexico MWC-M 6 - 3 4 - 1 -6.58
85 Syracuse ACC-A 4 - 5 2 - 3 -6.82
86 UT San Antonio CUSA-W 5 - 4 4 - 2 -6.93
87 Miami OH MAC-E 4 - 6 4 - 2 -7.43
88 Boston College ACC-A 4 - 5 1 - 5 -7.7
89 Army IND 5 - 4 1 - 0 -8.16
90 SMU AAC-W 4 - 5 2 - 3 -8.21
91 Missouri SEC-E 2 - 7 0 - 5 -8.27
92 Kent MAC-E 3 - 6 2 - 3 -8.74
93 Ga Southern SUN 4 - 5 3 - 2 -8.99
94 Utah St MWC-M 3 - 6 1 - 5 -9.08
95 Cincinnati AAC-E 4 - 5 1 - 4 -9.09
96 E Michigan MAC-W 5 - 4 2 - 3 -9.18
97 Arizona PAC12-S 2 - 7 0 - 6 -9.26
98 South Alabama SUN 4 - 5 1 - 5 -9.41
99 Rutgers BIG10-E 2 - 7 0 - 6 -9.64
100 C Michigan MAC-W 5 - 5 2 - 4 -9.9
101 Idaho SUN 5 - 4 3 - 2 -11.01
102 Purdue BIG10-W 3 - 6 1 - 5 -11.42
103 Tulane AAC-W 3 - 6 0 - 5 -11.8
104 Connecticut AAC-E 3 - 7 1 - 6 -11.9
105 Georgia St SUN 2 - 7 1 - 4 -12.25
106 Southern Miss CUSA-W 5 - 4 3 - 2 -12.37
107 Akron MAC-E 5 - 5 3 - 3 -13.33
108 North Texas CUSA-W 4 - 5 2 - 3 -13.4
109 Hawaii MWC-W 4 - 6 3 - 3 -13.73
110 Ball St MAC-W 4 - 5 1 - 4 -13.87
111 UNLV MWC-W 3 - 6 2 - 3 -14.67
112 Massachusetts IND 2 - 8 1 - 0 -15.19
113 San Jose St MWC-W 3 - 7 2 - 4 -16.75
114 ULL SUN 3 - 5 2 - 3 -16.82
115 Nevada MWC-W 3 - 6 1 - 4 -16.83
116 Florida Intl CUSA-E 3 - 7 3 - 3 -17.36
117 Charlotte CUSA-E 4 - 5 3 - 2 -17.94
118 Kansas BIG12 1 - 8 0 - 6 -20.48
119 Fresno St MWC-W 1 - 9 0 - 6 -20.79
120 Bowling Green MAC-E 1 - 8 0 - 5 -20.89
121 Marshall CUSA-E 2 - 7 1 - 4 -21.27
122 ULM SUN 3 - 6 2 - 3 -21.58
123 New Mexico St SUN 2 - 6 1 - 3 -21.89
124 UTEP CUSA-W 3 - 6 1 - 4 -21.97
125 Buffalo MAC-E 2 - 7 1 - 4 -22.87
126 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 2 - 7 1 - 4 -23.69
127 Rice CUSA-W 1 - 8 0 - 6 -25.77
128 Texas St SUN 2 - 6 0 - 4 -28.48