Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2018 Preseason (8/5/2018)

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Alabama SEC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 25.9
2 Ohio St BIG10-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 22.74
3 Clemson ACC-A 0 - 0 0 - 0 21.21
4 Oklahoma BIG12 0 - 0 0 - 0 20.74
5 Auburn SEC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 18
6 Georgia SEC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 17.39
7 Penn St BIG10-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 16.4
8 Wisconsin BIG10-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 15.75
9 Oklahoma St BIG12 0 - 0 0 - 0 14.6
10 Washington PAC12-N 0 - 0 0 - 0 14.52
11 LSU SEC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 13.16
12 Florida St ACC-A 0 - 0 0 - 0 13.07
13 Louisville ACC-A 0 - 0 0 - 0 12.84
14 Notre Dame IND 0 - 0 0 - 0 11.63
15 USC PAC12-S 0 - 0 0 - 0 10.98
16 Michigan BIG10-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 10.96
17 Mississippi St SEC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 10.64
18 Stanford PAC12-N 0 - 0 0 - 0 10.58
19 TCU BIG12 0 - 0 0 - 0 9.92
20 Iowa BIG10-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 9.83
21 Miami FL ACC-C 0 - 0 0 - 0 9.77
22 Texas A&M SEC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 9.4
23 Michigan St BIG10-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 8.93
24 Virginia Tech ACC-C 0 - 0 0 - 0 8.27
25 Memphis AAC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 8.02
26 Kansas St BIG12 0 - 0 0 - 0 7.95
27 Georgia Tech ACC-C 0 - 0 0 - 0 7.85
28 Oregon PAC12-N 0 - 0 0 - 0 7.78
29 NC State ACC-A 0 - 0 0 - 0 7.49
30 Mississippi SEC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 7.22
31 Missouri SEC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 7.15
32 Northwestern BIG10-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 7.13
33 UCF AAC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 6.12
34 Pittsburgh ACC-C 0 - 0 0 - 0 5.61
35 West Virginia BIG12 0 - 0 0 - 0 5.44
36 South Carolina SEC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 4.85
37 Arkansas SEC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 4.71
38 Texas Tech BIG12 0 - 0 0 - 0 4.71
39 Texas BIG12 0 - 0 0 - 0 4.67
40 Utah PAC12-S 0 - 0 0 - 0 4.66
41 Washington St PAC12-N 0 - 0 0 - 0 4.64
42 Boise St MWC-M 0 - 0 0 - 0 4.26
43 Baylor BIG12 0 - 0 0 - 0 4.15
44 Arizona St PAC12-S 0 - 0 0 - 0 3.91
45 Florida SEC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 3.75
46 Wake Forest ACC-A 0 - 0 0 - 0 3.52
47 Boston College ACC-A 0 - 0 0 - 0 3.22
48 Iowa St BIG12 0 - 0 0 - 0 3.03
49 Duke ACC-C 0 - 0 0 - 0 2.93
50 North Carolina ACC-C 0 - 0 0 - 0 2.83
51 Navy AAC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 2.77
52 UCLA PAC12-S 0 - 0 0 - 0 2.68
53 Indiana BIG10-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 2.62
54 South Florida AAC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 2.5
55 Nebraska BIG10-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 2.42
56 Arizona PAC12-S 0 - 0 0 - 0 2.19
57 Tennessee SEC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 2.06
58 Houston AAC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 1.8
59 Minnesota BIG10-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 1.5
60 Kentucky SEC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 1.08
61 California PAC12-N 0 - 0 0 - 0 0.47
62 Appalachian St SUN 0 - 0 0 - 0 0.18
63 San Diego St MWC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 0.18
64 Toledo MAC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -0.41
65 Temple AAC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -1.22
66 Syracuse ACC-A 0 - 0 0 - 0 -1.24
67 Colorado St MWC-M 0 - 0 0 - 0 -1.25
68 Purdue BIG10-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -1.84
69 Vanderbilt SEC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -2.06
70 Colorado PAC12-S 0 - 0 0 - 0 -2.75
71 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -2.77
72 W Michigan MAC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -3.66
73 Arkansas St SUN 0 - 0 0 - 0 -3.68
74 Virginia ACC-C 0 - 0 0 - 0 -3.71
75 WKU CUSA-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -3.75
76 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -3.78
77 Maryland BIG10-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -3.88
78 Troy SUN 0 - 0 0 - 0 -3.92
79 BYU IND 0 - 0 0 - 0 -3.93
80 N Illinois MAC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -4.62
81 Ohio MAC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -5.2
82 Air Force MWC-M 0 - 0 0 - 0 -5.59
83 Tulsa AAC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -5.95
84 Utah St MWC-M 0 - 0 0 - 0 -6.27
85 Army IND 0 - 0 0 - 0 -6.73
86 Marshall CUSA-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -7.24
87 Wyoming MWC-M 0 - 0 0 - 0 -7.3
88 SMU AAC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -7.35
89 Fresno St MWC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -7.54
90 Illinois BIG10-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -7.93
91 Oregon St PAC12-N 0 - 0 0 - 0 -8.25
92 East Carolina AAC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -8.48
93 MTSU CUSA-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -8.55
94 Nevada MWC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -8.82
95 C Michigan MAC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -9.51
96 Rutgers BIG10-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -9.7
97 Bowling Green MAC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -9.72
98 Cincinnati AAC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -9.97
99 North Texas CUSA-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -10.2
100 Southern Miss CUSA-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -10.28
101 Tulane AAC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -10.41
102 Ga Southern SUN 0 - 0 0 - 0 -10.7
103 UNLV MWC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -12
104 Massachusetts IND 0 - 0 0 - 0 -12.16
105 Buffalo MAC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -12.36
106 New Mexico MWC-M 0 - 0 0 - 0 -12.58
107 UAB CUSA-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -13.12
108 ULM SUN 0 - 0 0 - 0 -13.52
109 UT San Antonio CUSA-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -13.8
110 E Michigan MAC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -14.08
111 Old Dominion CUSA-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -14.21
112 Connecticut AAC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -14.25
113 Kansas BIG12 0 - 0 0 - 0 -14.44
114 ULL SUN 0 - 0 0 - 0 -14.61
115 Akron MAC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -14.63
116 Miami OH MAC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -14.86
117 Coastal Car SUN 0 - 0 0 - 0 -15.06
118 Florida Intl CUSA-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -15.09
119 New Mexico St IND 0 - 0 0 - 0 -15.57
120 South Alabama SUN 0 - 0 0 - 0 -16.09
121 Georgia St SUN 0 - 0 0 - 0 -16.52
122 Hawaii MWC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -17.4
123 Rice CUSA-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -18.5
124 San Jose St MWC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -18.73
125 Ball St MAC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -21.07
126 Kent MAC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -21.66
127 Texas St SUN 0 - 0 0 - 0 -22.77
128 Liberty IND 0 - 0 0 - 0 -23.59
129 UTEP CUSA-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -24.11
130 Charlotte CUSA-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -24.53