Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2016 After Week 14 (12/4/2016)

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Alabama SEC-W 13 - 0 9 - 0 32.49
2 Ohio St BIG10-E 11 - 1 8 - 1 28.19
3 Michigan BIG10-E 10 - 2 7 - 2 25.9
4 Washington PAC12-N 12 - 1 9 - 1 25.23
5 Clemson ACC-A 12 - 1 8 - 1 20.45
6 Penn St BIG10-E 11 - 2 9 - 1 19.9
7 USC PAC12-S 9 - 3 7 - 2 17.9
8 Wisconsin BIG10-W 10 - 3 7 - 3 17.78
9 LSU SEC-W 7 - 4 5 - 3 17
10 Oklahoma BIG12 10 - 2 9 - 0 16.91
11 Auburn SEC-W 8 - 4 5 - 3 16.76
12 Washington St PAC12-N 8 - 4 7 - 2 14.62
13 Colorado PAC12-S 10 - 3 8 - 2 14.43
14 Louisville ACC-A 9 - 3 7 - 1 13.83
15 Iowa BIG10-W 8 - 4 6 - 3 13.21
16 Florida St ACC-A 9 - 3 5 - 3 13.18
17 W Michigan MAC-W 13 - 0 9 - 0 11.83
18 WKU CUSA-E 10 - 3 8 - 1 11.78
19 Temple AAC-E 10 - 3 8 - 1 11.52
20 Virginia Tech ACC-C 9 - 4 6 - 3 11.13
21 Miami FL ACC-C 8 - 4 5 - 3 10.99
22 Stanford PAC12-N 9 - 3 6 - 3 9.98
23 Houston AAC-W 9 - 3 5 - 3 9.24
24 West Virginia BIG12 10 - 2 7 - 2 8.79
25 Texas A&M SEC-W 8 - 4 4 - 4 8.75
26 Memphis AAC-W 8 - 4 5 - 3 8.72
27 Pittsburgh ACC-C 8 - 4 5 - 3 8.64
28 Northwestern BIG10-W 6 - 6 5 - 4 8.49
29 Oklahoma St BIG12 9 - 3 7 - 2 8.39
30 BYU IND 8 - 4 2 - 0 8.04
31 Kansas St BIG12 8 - 4 6 - 3 7.91
32 South Florida AAC-E 10 - 2 7 - 1 7.88
33 Florida SEC-E 8 - 4 6 - 3 7.35
34 Utah PAC12-S 8 - 4 5 - 4 7.25
35 Minnesota BIG10-W 8 - 4 5 - 4 7.01
36 Navy AAC-W 9 - 3 7 - 2 6.94
37 Boise St MWC-M 10 - 2 6 - 2 6.45
38 Tennessee SEC-E 8 - 4 4 - 4 6.44
39 Tulsa AAC-W 9 - 3 6 - 2 5.97
40 North Carolina ACC-C 8 - 4 5 - 3 5.9
41 Notre Dame IND 4 - 8 1 - 0 5.2
42 Colorado St MWC-M 7 - 5 5 - 3 4.89
43 Nebraska BIG10-W 9 - 3 6 - 3 4.8
44 San Diego St MWC-W 10 - 3 7 - 2 4.11
45 Vanderbilt SEC-E 6 - 6 3 - 5 4.1
46 Georgia Tech ACC-C 8 - 4 4 - 4 3.81
47 Georgia SEC-E 7 - 5 4 - 4 3.7
48 Mississippi St SEC-W 5 - 7 3 - 5 3.35
49 Toledo MAC-W 9 - 3 6 - 2 3.21
50 Michigan St BIG10-E 3 - 9 1 - 8 2.73
51 Kentucky SEC-E 7 - 5 4 - 4 2.7
52 NC State ACC-A 6 - 6 3 - 5 2.59
53 Appalachian St SUN 9 - 3 7 - 1 2.54
54 Arkansas SEC-W 7 - 5 3 - 5 2.25
55 Mississippi SEC-W 5 - 7 2 - 6 2.12
56 TCU BIG12 6 - 6 4 - 5 2.04
57 UCF AAC-E 6 - 6 4 - 4 1.88
58 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 8 - 5 6 - 3 1.51
59 Indiana BIG10-E 6 - 6 4 - 5 0.92
60 Oregon St PAC12-N 4 - 8 3 - 6 0.75
61 California PAC12-N 5 - 7 3 - 6 0.44
62 UCLA PAC12-S 4 - 8 2 - 7 0.2
63 Iowa St BIG12 3 - 9 2 - 7 0.05
64 Air Force MWC-M 9 - 3 5 - 3 -0.14
65 Texas BIG12 5 - 7 3 - 6 -0.82
66 Wyoming MWC-M 8 - 5 6 - 3 -1.2
67 Oregon PAC12-N 4 - 8 2 - 7 -1.21
68 Arkansas St SUN 7 - 5 7 - 1 -1.9
69 N Illinois MAC-W 5 - 7 5 - 3 -2.27
70 Baylor BIG12 6 - 6 3 - 6 -2.41
71 Texas Tech BIG12 5 - 7 3 - 6 -2.75
72 Troy SUN 9 - 3 6 - 2 -2.83
73 New Mexico MWC-M 8 - 4 6 - 2 -3.05
74 Old Dominion CUSA-E 9 - 3 7 - 1 -3.71
75 Maryland BIG10-E 6 - 6 3 - 6 -4.11
76 Ohio MAC-E 8 - 5 6 - 3 -4.35
77 Duke ACC-C 4 - 8 1 - 7 -4.41
78 Missouri SEC-E 4 - 8 2 - 6 -4.8
79 South Carolina SEC-E 6 - 6 3 - 5 -4.86
80 Wake Forest ACC-A 6 - 6 3 - 5 -4.96
81 Arizona St PAC12-S 5 - 7 2 - 7 -5.3
82 Idaho SUN 8 - 4 6 - 2 -5.65
83 Miami OH MAC-E 6 - 6 6 - 2 -6.75
84 E Michigan MAC-W 7 - 5 4 - 4 -7.25
85 UT San Antonio CUSA-W 6 - 6 5 - 3 -7.27
86 Boston College ACC-A 6 - 6 2 - 6 -7.27
87 SMU AAC-W 5 - 7 3 - 5 -7.32
88 ULL SUN 6 - 6 5 - 3 -7.86
89 Arizona PAC12-S 3 - 9 1 - 8 -8.35
90 Virginia ACC-C 2 - 10 1 - 7 -8.82
91 Tulane AAC-W 4 - 8 1 - 7 -8.86
92 Syracuse ACC-A 4 - 8 2 - 6 -8.98
93 C Michigan MAC-W 6 - 6 3 - 5 -8.99
94 MTSU CUSA-E 8 - 4 5 - 3 -9
95 Utah St MWC-M 3 - 9 1 - 7 -9.16
96 Illinois BIG10-W 3 - 9 2 - 7 -9.34
97 Cincinnati AAC-E 4 - 8 1 - 7 -9.59
98 Ga Southern SUN 5 - 7 4 - 4 -9.91
99 Purdue BIG10-W 3 - 9 1 - 8 -10.04
100 South Alabama SUN 6 - 6 2 - 6 -10.73
101 Nevada MWC-W 5 - 7 3 - 5 -11.15
102 Southern Miss CUSA-W 6 - 6 4 - 4 -11.48
103 Army IND 6 - 5 2 - 1 -11.57
104 Bowling Green MAC-E 4 - 8 3 - 5 -12.33
105 Kent MAC-E 3 - 9 2 - 6 -12.39
106 East Carolina AAC-E 3 - 9 1 - 7 -12.45
107 Ball St MAC-W 4 - 8 1 - 7 -12.91
108 Akron MAC-E 5 - 7 3 - 5 -13.92
109 San Jose St MWC-W 4 - 8 3 - 5 -14.42
110 Kansas BIG12 2 - 10 1 - 8 -14.5
111 Hawaii MWC-W 6 - 7 4 - 4 -14.5
112 UNLV MWC-W 4 - 8 3 - 5 -14.72
113 Florida Intl CUSA-E 4 - 8 4 - 4 -15.68
114 Rutgers BIG10-E 2 - 10 0 - 9 -15.98
115 Georgia St SUN 3 - 9 2 - 6 -16.29
116 North Texas CUSA-W 5 - 7 3 - 5 -17.26
117 New Mexico St SUN 3 - 9 2 - 6 -17.73
118 Connecticut AAC-E 3 - 9 1 - 7 -17.88
119 Charlotte CUSA-E 4 - 8 3 - 5 -18.08
120 Massachusetts IND 2 - 10 1 - 1 -18.36
121 Fresno St MWC-W 1 - 11 0 - 8 -18.82
122 Rice CUSA-W 3 - 9 2 - 6 -19.71
123 Marshall CUSA-E 3 - 9 2 - 6 -19.76
124 UTEP CUSA-W 4 - 8 2 - 6 -20.24
125 ULM SUN 4 - 8 3 - 5 -20.26
126 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 3 - 9 2 - 6 -20.57
127 Buffalo MAC-E 2 - 10 1 - 7 -21.61
128 Texas St SUN 2 - 10 0 - 8 -30.41