Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2018 Week 7 (through games of 10/6/2018)

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Alabama SEC-W 6 - 0 3 - 0 27.6
2 Georgia SEC-E 6 - 0 4 - 0 25.54
3 Clemson ACC-A 6 - 0 3 - 0 24.12
4 Ohio St BIG10-E 6 - 0 3 - 0 23.66
5 Penn St BIG10-E 4 - 1 1 - 1 21.87
6 Oklahoma BIG12 5 - 1 2 - 1 20.63
7 Michigan BIG10-E 5 - 1 3 - 0 18.17
8 Florida SEC-E 5 - 1 3 - 1 16.54
9 LSU SEC-W 5 - 1 2 - 1 15.38
10 Notre Dame IND 6 - 0 0 - 0 15.32
11 West Virginia BIG12 5 - 0 3 - 0 14.87
12 Kentucky SEC-E 5 - 1 3 - 1 14.09
13 Wisconsin BIG10-W 4 - 1 2 - 0 13.73
14 Washington PAC12-N 5 - 1 3 - 0 13.72
15 Mississippi St SEC-W 4 - 2 1 - 2 13.17
16 Texas BIG12 5 - 1 3 - 0 12.67
17 UCF AAC-E 5 - 0 2 - 0 12.35
18 Iowa BIG10-W 4 - 1 1 - 1 12.08
19 Auburn SEC-W 4 - 2 1 - 2 12.02
20 South Carolina SEC-E 3 - 2 2 - 2 11.7
21 TCU BIG12 3 - 2 1 - 1 10.9
22 Missouri SEC-E 3 - 2 0 - 2 10.81
23 Texas A&M SEC-W 4 - 2 2 - 1 10.48
24 NC State ACC-A 5 - 0 2 - 0 10.01
25 Oklahoma St BIG12 4 - 2 1 - 2 9.86
26 Miami FL ACC-C 5 - 1 2 - 0 9.05
27 Texas Tech BIG12 3 - 2 1 - 1 8.82
28 Appalachian St SUN 3 - 1 1 - 0 8.73
29 Utah PAC12-S 3 - 2 1 - 2 8.01
30 Colorado PAC12-S 5 - 0 2 - 0 7.34
31 Iowa St BIG12 2 - 3 1 - 2 7.24
32 Duke ACC-C 4 - 1 0 - 1 6.94
33 Stanford PAC12-N 4 - 2 2 - 1 6.93
34 Boise St MWC-M 3 - 2 1 - 1 6.79
35 Temple AAC-E 3 - 3 2 - 0 6.76
36 Northwestern BIG10-W 2 - 3 2 - 1 6.49
37 Michigan St BIG10-E 3 - 2 1 - 1 6.49
38 Utah St MWC-M 4 - 1 1 - 0 6.49
39 Fresno St MWC-W 4 - 1 1 - 0 6.36
40 Army IND 3 - 2 1 - 0 5.35
41 Washington St PAC12-N 5 - 1 2 - 1 5.31
42 Georgia Tech ACC-C 3 - 3 1 - 2 5.21
43 San Diego St MWC-W 4 - 1 1 - 0 4.9
44 Arizona St PAC12-S 3 - 3 1 - 2 4.86
45 Boston College ACC-A 4 - 2 1 - 1 4.53
46 Vanderbilt SEC-E 3 - 3 0 - 2 4.37
47 Virginia Tech ACC-C 3 - 2 2 - 0 4.26
48 Purdue BIG10-W 2 - 3 1 - 1 4.12
49 Maryland BIG10-E 3 - 2 1 - 1 3.68
50 USC PAC12-S 3 - 2 2 - 1 3.46
51 Houston AAC-W 4 - 1 1 - 0 3.08
52 Syracuse ACC-A 4 - 2 1 - 2 2.81
53 Baylor BIG12 4 - 2 2 - 1 2.77
54 Oregon PAC12-N 4 - 1 1 - 1 2.72
55 Mississippi SEC-W 4 - 2 0 - 2 2.64
56 Minnesota BIG10-W 3 - 2 0 - 2 2.62
57 Kansas St BIG12 2 - 4 0 - 3 2.23
58 Florida St ACC-A 3 - 3 1 - 3 2.13
59 Cincinnati AAC-E 6 - 0 2 - 0 2.12
60 South Florida AAC-E 5 - 0 1 - 0 1.76
61 Indiana BIG10-E 4 - 2 1 - 2 1.12
62 Tennessee SEC-E 2 - 3 0 - 2 0.04
63 Virginia ACC-C 3 - 2 1 - 1 -0.2
64 Memphis AAC-W 4 - 2 1 - 2 -1.51
65 Pittsburgh ACC-C 3 - 3 2 - 1 -1.67
66 Ga Southern SUN 4 - 1 2 - 0 -1.8
67 Buffalo MAC-E 5 - 1 2 - 0 -2.46
68 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 3 - 3 1 - 1 -2.7
69 UCLA PAC12-S 0 - 5 0 - 2 -2.77
70 Air Force MWC-M 2 - 3 0 - 2 -3.01
71 North Texas CUSA-W 5 - 1 1 - 1 -3.23
72 BYU IND 3 - 3 1 - 0 -3.77
73 MTSU CUSA-E 3 - 2 2 - 0 -3.85
74 Arizona PAC12-S 3 - 3 2 - 1 -3.92
75 N Illinois MAC-W 3 - 3 3 - 0 -4.08
76 Kansas BIG12 2 - 4 0 - 3 -4.12
77 Toledo MAC-W 3 - 2 1 - 0 -4.14
78 Troy SUN 5 - 1 3 - 0 -4.6
79 W Michigan MAC-W 4 - 2 2 - 0 -4.69
80 Wake Forest ACC-A 3 - 3 0 - 2 -4.88
81 Nebraska BIG10-W 0 - 5 0 - 3 -4.92
82 Florida Intl CUSA-E 3 - 2 1 - 0 -5.2
83 UAB CUSA-W 4 - 1 2 - 0 -5.51
84 Arkansas SEC-W 1 - 5 0 - 3 -5.88
85 Marshall CUSA-E 3 - 2 1 - 1 -6.19
86 Louisville ACC-A 2 - 4 0 - 3 -6.29
87 E Michigan MAC-W 2 - 4 0 - 3 -6.33
88 Illinois BIG10-W 3 - 2 1 - 1 -6.49
89 Arkansas St SUN 3 - 2 0 - 1 -6.75
90 Ohio MAC-E 3 - 2 1 - 0 -6.96
91 Tulane AAC-W 2 - 4 1 - 1 -6.98
92 New Mexico MWC-M 3 - 2 1 - 0 -7.13
93 Colorado St MWC-M 2 - 4 1 - 1 -7.36
94 California PAC12-N 3 - 2 0 - 2 -7.42
95 Hawaii MWC-W 6 - 1 3 - 0 -7.77
96 Tulsa AAC-W 1 - 4 0 - 2 -7.79
97 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 3 - 2 1 - 1 -7.81
98 WKU CUSA-E 1 - 4 0 - 1 -7.94
99 Wyoming MWC-M 2 - 4 0 - 2 -8.12
100 Miami OH MAC-E 2 - 4 2 - 1 -8.71
101 C Michigan MAC-W 1 - 5 0 - 2 -9.37
102 Navy AAC-W 2 - 3 1 - 1 -9.62
103 SMU AAC-W 2 - 4 1 - 1 -10.61
104 Akron MAC-E 2 - 2 0 - 1 -10.66
105 Nevada MWC-W 3 - 3 1 - 1 -10.73
106 Southern Miss CUSA-W 2 - 2 1 - 0 -10.92
107 East Carolina AAC-E 2 - 3 0 - 2 -11.81
108 Ball St MAC-W 2 - 4 1 - 1 -11.91
109 North Carolina ACC-C 1 - 3 1 - 1 -12.01
110 Coastal Car SUN 3 - 2 1 - 1 -12.3
111 Liberty IND 2 - 3 0 - 2 -13.05
112 Oregon St PAC12-N 1 - 5 0 - 3 -14.2
113 Old Dominion CUSA-E 1 - 5 0 - 3 -15.05
114 ULL SUN 2 - 3 1 - 1 -15.21
115 Georgia St SUN 2 - 4 1 - 1 -16.06
116 UT San Antonio CUSA-W 3 - 3 2 - 0 -16.08
117 San Jose St MWC-W 0 - 5 0 - 2 -16.59
118 UNLV MWC-W 2 - 3 0 - 1 -16.84
119 Massachusetts IND 2 - 5 1 - 0 -17.17
120 Rutgers BIG10-E 1 - 5 0 - 3 -17.38
121 New Mexico St IND 2 - 4 1 - 0 -19
122 Kent MAC-E 1 - 5 0 - 2 -19.48
123 Bowling Green MAC-E 1 - 5 0 - 2 -20.35
124 South Alabama SUN 1 - 5 1 - 2 -21.15
125 UTEP CUSA-W 0 - 6 0 - 2 -22.85
126 Charlotte CUSA-E 2 - 3 1 - 1 -22.91
127 Rice CUSA-W 1 - 5 0 - 2 -24.13
128 Connecticut AAC-E 1 - 5 0 - 3 -25
129 ULM SUN 2 - 4 0 - 2 -25.2
130 Texas St SUN 1 - 4 0 - 2 -28.95