Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2015 Postseason

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Alabama SEC-W 14 - 1 8 - 1 27.13
2 Ohio St BIG10-E 12 - 1 7 - 1 20.35
3 Clemson ACC-A 14 - 1 9 - 0 20.3
4 Oklahoma BIG12 11 - 2 8 - 1 19.97
5 Stanford PAC12-N 12 - 2 9 - 1 19.11
6 Mississippi SEC-W 10 - 3 6 - 2 19.08
7 Tennessee SEC-E 9 - 4 5 - 3 15.89
8 Arkansas SEC-W 8 - 5 5 - 3 15.81
9 LSU SEC-W 9 - 3 5 - 3 14.9
10 Michigan BIG10-E 10 - 3 6 - 2 14.81
11 Mississippi St SEC-W 9 - 4 4 - 4 14.55
12 North Carolina ACC-C 11 - 3 8 - 1 14.33
13 Washington PAC12-N 7 - 6 4 - 5 13.92
14 Baylor BIG12 10 - 3 6 - 3 13.02
15 Notre Dame IND 10 - 3 0 - 0 12.8
16 Houston AAC-W 13 - 1 8 - 1 12.54
17 Florida St ACC-A 10 - 3 6 - 2 12.48
18 Michigan St BIG10-E 12 - 2 8 - 1 12.45
19 TCU BIG12 11 - 2 7 - 2 11.05
20 Oregon PAC12-N 9 - 4 7 - 2 10.71
21 USC PAC12-S 8 - 6 6 - 4 10.48
22 W Kentucky CUSA-E 12 - 2 9 - 0 10.46
23 Auburn SEC-W 7 - 6 2 - 6 10.02
24 Navy AAC-W 11 - 2 7 - 1 9.17
25 Georgia SEC-E 10 - 3 5 - 3 8.93
26 Wisconsin BIG10-W 10 - 3 6 - 2 8.9
27 Iowa BIG10-W 12 - 2 8 - 1 8.82
28 Utah PAC12-S 10 - 3 6 - 3 8.81
29 San Diego St MWC-W 11 - 3 9 - 0 8.67
30 Texas A&M SEC-W 8 - 5 4 - 4 8.65
31 Boise St MWC-M 9 - 4 5 - 3 8.24
32 California PAC12-N 8 - 5 4 - 5 8.1
33 Toledo MAC-W 10 - 2 6 - 2 8.04
34 Bowling Green MAC-E 10 - 4 8 - 1 7.82
35 West Virginia BIG12 8 - 5 4 - 5 7.55
36 Florida SEC-E 10 - 4 7 - 2 6.93
37 Washington St PAC12-N 9 - 4 6 - 3 6.89
38 UCLA PAC12-S 8 - 5 5 - 4 6.87
39 South Florida AAC-E 8 - 5 6 - 2 6.76
40 Oklahoma St BIG12 10 - 3 7 - 2 6.67
41 Memphis AAC-W 9 - 4 5 - 3 6.62
42 Arizona St PAC12-S 6 - 7 4 - 5 6.36
43 BYU IND 9 - 4 1 - 0 6.22
44 Louisville ACC-A 8 - 5 5 - 3 6.1
45 Nebraska BIG10-W 6 - 7 3 - 5 4.97
46 Pittsburgh ACC-C 8 - 5 6 - 2 4.63
47 W Michigan MAC-W 8 - 5 6 - 2 4.52
48 NC State ACC-A 7 - 6 3 - 5 4.04
49 Temple AAC-E 10 - 4 7 - 2 3.83
50 Ga Southern SUN 9 - 4 6 - 2 3.81
51 Appalachian St SUN 11 - 2 7 - 1 2.94
52 Virginia Tech ACC-C 7 - 6 4 - 4 2.73
53 Southern Miss CUSA-W 9 - 5 7 - 2 2.67
54 Penn St BIG10-E 7 - 6 4 - 4 2.59
55 Texas Tech BIG12 7 - 6 4 - 5 1.37
56 Northwestern BIG10-W 10 - 3 6 - 2 0.99
57 South Carolina SEC-E 3 - 9 1 - 7 0.92
58 Miami FL ACC-C 8 - 5 5 - 3 0.88
59 Georgia Tech ACC-C 3 - 9 1 - 7 0.63
60 Minnesota BIG10-W 6 - 7 2 - 6 0.5
61 Indiana BIG10-E 6 - 7 2 - 6 0.47
62 Marshall CUSA-E 10 - 3 6 - 2 0.22
63 Air Force MWC-M 8 - 6 6 - 3 0.1
64 Texas BIG12 5 - 7 4 - 5 0.01
65 Missouri SEC-E 5 - 7 1 - 7 -0.46
66 Duke ACC-C 8 - 5 4 - 4 -0.86
67 Arizona PAC12-S 7 - 6 3 - 6 -0.9
68 Virginia ACC-C 4 - 8 3 - 5 -1.19
69 Utah St MWC-M 6 - 7 5 - 3 -1.47
70 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 9 - 4 6 - 2 -1.65
71 Kansas St BIG12 6 - 7 3 - 6 -2.07
72 Arkansas St SUN 9 - 4 8 - 0 -2.17
73 East Carolina AAC-E 5 - 7 3 - 5 -2.17
74 Cincinnati AAC-E 7 - 6 4 - 4 -2.4
75 C Michigan MAC-W 7 - 6 6 - 2 -2.86
76 Syracuse ACC-A 4 - 8 2 - 6 -3.13
77 Kentucky SEC-E 5 - 7 2 - 6 -3.21
78 Vanderbilt SEC-E 4 - 8 2 - 6 -3.29
79 MTSU CUSA-E 7 - 6 6 - 2 -3.34
80 Boston College ACC-A 3 - 9 0 - 8 -3.42
81 Illinois BIG10-W 5 - 7 2 - 6 -3.57
82 N Illinois MAC-W 8 - 6 6 - 3 -3.68
83 Iowa St BIG12 3 - 9 2 - 7 -4.89
84 Connecticut AAC-E 6 - 7 4 - 4 -4.97
85 Maryland BIG10-E 3 - 9 1 - 7 -5.07
86 San Jose St MWC-W 6 - 7 4 - 4 -5.17
87 Ohio MAC-E 8 - 5 5 - 3 -5.33
88 Colorado PAC12-S 4 - 9 1 - 8 -5.36
89 Wake Forest ACC-A 3 - 9 1 - 7 -5.56
90 Akron MAC-E 8 - 5 5 - 3 -5.96
91 Georgia St SUN 6 - 7 5 - 3 -7.04
92 New Mexico MWC-M 7 - 6 5 - 3 -7.35
93 Colorado St MWC-M 7 - 6 5 - 4 -7.5
94 Nevada MWC-W 7 - 6 5 - 4 -7.72
95 Tulsa AAC-W 6 - 7 3 - 5 -7.98
96 Troy SUN 4 - 8 3 - 5 -8.3
97 Rutgers BIG10-E 4 - 8 1 - 7 -8.99
98 Purdue BIG10-W 2 - 10 1 - 7 -9.7
99 Buffalo MAC-E 5 - 7 3 - 5 -12.81
100 Oregon St PAC12-N 2 - 10 0 - 9 -12.88
101 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 3 - 9 3 - 5 -14.16
102 Army IND 2 - 10 1 - 1 -14.91
103 Massachusetts MAC-E 3 - 9 2 - 6 -14.95
104 UNLV MWC-W 3 - 9 2 - 6 -15.65
105 South Alabama SUN 5 - 7 3 - 5 -16.27
106 Ball St MAC-W 3 - 9 2 - 6 -16.3
107 Wyoming MWC-M 2 - 10 2 - 6 -16.33
108 SMU AAC-W 2 - 10 1 - 7 -16.76
109 Idaho SUN 4 - 8 3 - 5 -16.78
110 Fresno St MWC-W 3 - 9 2 - 6 -17.47
111 ULL SUN 4 - 8 3 - 5 -18.27
112 Florida Intl CUSA-E 5 - 7 3 - 5 -18.5
113 Miami OH MAC-E 3 - 9 2 - 6 -18.73
114 Kent MAC-E 3 - 9 2 - 6 -19.59
115 Tulane AAC-W 3 - 9 1 - 7 -20.35
116 Old Dominion CUSA-E 5 - 7 3 - 5 -20.36
117 UT San Antonio CUSA-W 3 - 9 3 - 5 -20.72
118 UTEP CUSA-W 5 - 7 3 - 5 -21.35
119 Rice CUSA-W 5 - 7 3 - 5 -21.49
120 Texas St SUN 3 - 9 2 - 6 -21.76
121 New Mexico St SUN 3 - 9 3 - 5 -21.8
122 E Michigan MAC-W 1 - 11 0 - 8 -22
123 North Texas CUSA-W 1 - 11 1 - 7 -23.29
124 Hawaii MWC-W 3 - 10 0 - 8 -23.87
125 Kansas BIG12 0 - 12 0 - 9 -23.96
126 ULM SUN 2 - 11 1 - 7 -25.55
127 UCF AAC-E 0 - 12 0 - 8 -25.63
128 Charlotte CUSA-E 2 - 10 0 - 8 -30.17