Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2016 Preseason

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Alabama SEC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 27
2 Ohio St BIG10-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 19.12
3 Oregon PAC12-N 0 - 0 0 - 0 17.31
4 Stanford PAC12-N 0 - 0 0 - 0 17.23
5 Oklahoma BIG12 0 - 0 0 - 0 16.14
6 Clemson ACC-A 0 - 0 0 - 0 15.95
7 LSU SEC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 15.78
8 Florida St ACC-A 0 - 0 0 - 0 14.49
9 Baylor BIG12 0 - 0 0 - 0 14.39
10 Michigan St BIG10-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 14.19
11 Georgia SEC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 13.98
12 Mississippi SEC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 13.9
13 Arkansas SEC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 13.54
14 Mississippi St SEC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 13.21
15 TCU BIG12 0 - 0 0 - 0 13.06
16 Wisconsin BIG10-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 11.87
17 USC PAC12-S 0 - 0 0 - 0 11.65
18 Texas A&M SEC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 11.01
19 Michigan BIG10-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 10.46
20 Notre Dame IND 0 - 0 0 - 0 10.39
21 Auburn SEC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 10.32
22 Tennessee SEC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 10.23
23 Washington PAC12-N 0 - 0 0 - 0 9.81
24 Oklahoma St BIG12 0 - 0 0 - 0 8.67
25 Boise St MWC-M 0 - 0 0 - 0 8.66
26 Florida SEC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 8.47
27 UCLA PAC12-S 0 - 0 0 - 0 8.24
28 Arizona St PAC12-S 0 - 0 0 - 0 8.09
29 North Carolina ACC-C 0 - 0 0 - 0 7.18
30 Utah PAC12-S 0 - 0 0 - 0 6.69
31 South Carolina SEC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 6.67
32 Louisville ACC-A 0 - 0 0 - 0 6.6
33 Nebraska BIG10-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 6.52
34 Houston AAC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 6.4
35 Kansas St BIG12 0 - 0 0 - 0 6.37
36 Missouri SEC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 6.21
37 West Virginia BIG12 0 - 0 0 - 0 5.84
38 Georgia Tech ACC-C 0 - 0 0 - 0 5.63
39 Iowa BIG10-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 5.54
40 BYU IND 0 - 0 0 - 0 4.97
41 Texas BIG12 0 - 0 0 - 0 3.22
42 W Kentucky CUSA-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 3.2
43 Virginia Tech ACC-C 0 - 0 0 - 0 3.15
44 Pittsburgh ACC-C 0 - 0 0 - 0 3.14
45 Penn St BIG10-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 2.99
46 Navy AAC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 2.96
47 Arizona PAC12-S 0 - 0 0 - 0 2.89
48 Toledo MAC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 2.73
49 Miami FL ACC-C 0 - 0 0 - 0 2.59
50 California PAC12-N 0 - 0 0 - 0 2.56
51 San Diego St MWC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 2.5
52 Marshall CUSA-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 1.74
53 NC State ACC-A 0 - 0 0 - 0 1.54
54 Ga Southern SUN 0 - 0 0 - 0 1.52
55 Minnesota BIG10-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 1.15
56 Washington St PAC12-N 0 - 0 0 - 0 1.09
57 Northwestern BIG10-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 0.91
58 Utah St MWC-M 0 - 0 0 - 0 0.52
59 Cincinnati AAC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 0.5
60 Appalachian St SUN 0 - 0 0 - 0 0.44
61 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 0.25
62 Texas Tech BIG12 0 - 0 0 - 0 -0.03
63 Bowling Green MAC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -0.1
64 Duke ACC-C 0 - 0 0 - 0 -0.36
65 Memphis AAC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -0.39
66 Temple AAC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -1.06
67 Vanderbilt SEC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -1.38
68 N Illinois MAC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -1.6
69 Virginia ACC-C 0 - 0 0 - 0 -2.24
70 Boston College ACC-A 0 - 0 0 - 0 -2.26
71 W Michigan MAC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -2.34
72 South Florida AAC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -2.35
73 Arkansas St SUN 0 - 0 0 - 0 -2.74
74 East Carolina AAC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -3.01
75 Syracuse ACC-A 0 - 0 0 - 0 -3.12
76 Indiana BIG10-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -3.58
77 Air Force MWC-M 0 - 0 0 - 0 -3.67
78 Kentucky SEC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -3.94
79 Rutgers BIG10-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -4.45
80 Illinois BIG10-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -4.68
81 Maryland BIG10-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -4.81
82 Iowa St BIG12 0 - 0 0 - 0 -4.92
83 Oregon St PAC12-N 0 - 0 0 - 0 -5.2
84 Nevada MWC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -6.01
85 Southern Miss CUSA-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -6.3
86 Colorado St MWC-M 0 - 0 0 - 0 -6.57
87 Wake Forest ACC-A 0 - 0 0 - 0 -7.23
88 C Michigan MAC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -7.25
89 MTSU CUSA-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -7.37
90 San Jose St MWC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -7.5
91 Colorado PAC12-S 0 - 0 0 - 0 -7.55
92 Ohio MAC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -8.08
93 Tulsa AAC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -8.69
94 Purdue BIG10-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -8.87
95 Connecticut AAC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -9.15
96 Fresno St MWC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -10.98
97 ULL SUN 0 - 0 0 - 0 -11.09
98 UCF AAC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -11.31
99 Ball St MAC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -12.09
100 Troy SUN 0 - 0 0 - 0 -12.19
101 Buffalo MAC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -12.43
102 Rice CUSA-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -12.49
103 New Mexico MWC-M 0 - 0 0 - 0 -12.52
104 Akron MAC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -12.7
105 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -13.95
106 South Alabama SUN 0 - 0 0 - 0 -14.28
107 Wyoming MWC-M 0 - 0 0 - 0 -14.75
108 SMU AAC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -14.79
109 Army IND 0 - 0 0 - 0 -15.06
110 Kent MAC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -15.51
111 Florida Intl CUSA-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -15.96
112 Georgia St SUN 0 - 0 0 - 0 -16.28
113 UTEP CUSA-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -16.37
114 North Texas CUSA-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -16.65
115 UNLV MWC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -16.77
116 UT San Antonio CUSA-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -16.8
117 Old Dominion CUSA-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -17.27
118 Kansas BIG12 0 - 0 0 - 0 -17.28
119 ULM SUN 0 - 0 0 - 0 -17.78
120 Miami OH MAC-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -18
121 Tulane AAC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -18.21
122 Hawaii MWC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -18.84
123 Massachusetts IND 0 - 0 0 - 0 -19.08
124 Texas St SUN 0 - 0 0 - 0 -19.48
125 Idaho SUN 0 - 0 0 - 0 -20.1
126 E Michigan MAC-W 0 - 0 0 - 0 -23.34
127 New Mexico St SUN 0 - 0 0 - 0 -23.51
128 Charlotte CUSA-E 0 - 0 0 - 0 -30.17