Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2018 Week 14 (through games of 11/24/2018)

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Alabama SEC-W 12 - 0 8 - 0 36.84
2 Clemson ACC-A 12 - 0 8 - 0 27.69
3 Georgia SEC-E 11 - 1 7 - 1 25.81
4 Missouri SEC-E 8 - 4 4 - 4 21.25
5 Mississippi St SEC-W 8 - 4 4 - 4 20.82
6 Michigan BIG10-E 10 - 2 8 - 1 18.77
7 Notre Dame IND 12 - 0 0 - 0 16.87
8 Oklahoma BIG12 11 - 1 8 - 1 16.86
9 Ohio St BIG10-E 11 - 1 8 - 1 15.99
10 LSU SEC-W 9 - 3 5 - 3 15.89
11 Florida SEC-E 9 - 3 5 - 3 15.74
12 UCF AAC-E 11 - 0 8 - 0 15.63
13 West Virginia BIG12 8 - 3 6 - 3 15.27
14 Texas A&M SEC-W 8 - 4 5 - 3 14.95
15 Kentucky SEC-E 9 - 3 5 - 3 14.18
16 Auburn SEC-W 7 - 5 3 - 5 13.46
17 Iowa BIG10-W 8 - 4 5 - 4 13.29
18 Penn St BIG10-E 9 - 3 6 - 3 12.96
19 Fresno St MWC-W 10 - 2 7 - 1 12.19
20 Washington St PAC12-N 10 - 2 7 - 2 11.73
21 Utah PAC12-S 9 - 3 6 - 3 11.57
22 South Carolina SEC-E 6 - 5 4 - 4 11.29
23 Vanderbilt SEC-E 6 - 6 3 - 5 10.94
24 Washington PAC12-N 9 - 3 7 - 2 10.42
25 Utah St MWC-M 10 - 2 7 - 1 10.29
26 Texas BIG12 9 - 3 7 - 2 9.89
27 Boise St MWC-M 10 - 2 7 - 1 9.86
28 Cincinnati AAC-E 10 - 2 6 - 2 9.65
29 Iowa St BIG12 7 - 4 6 - 3 8.55
30 Army IND 9 - 2 3 - 0 8.17
31 Temple AAC-E 8 - 4 7 - 1 7.46
32 Purdue BIG10-W 6 - 6 5 - 4 7.42
33 Ohio MAC-E 8 - 4 6 - 2 6.93
34 Stanford PAC12-N 7 - 4 5 - 3 6.85
35 Syracuse ACC-A 9 - 3 6 - 2 6.81
36 Appalachian St SUN 9 - 2 7 - 1 6.39
37 Northwestern BIG10-W 8 - 4 8 - 1 5.5
38 NC State ACC-A 8 - 3 5 - 3 5.41
39 Oregon PAC12-N 8 - 4 5 - 4 5.16
40 Miami FL ACC-C 7 - 5 4 - 4 4.99
41 Oklahoma St BIG12 6 - 6 3 - 6 4.95
42 Michigan St BIG10-E 7 - 5 5 - 4 4.76
43 Memphis AAC-W 8 - 4 5 - 3 3.95
44 Tennessee SEC-E 5 - 7 2 - 6 3.9
45 Arizona St PAC12-S 7 - 5 5 - 4 3.72
46 Pittsburgh ACC-C 7 - 5 6 - 2 3.6
47 Georgia Tech ACC-C 7 - 5 5 - 3 3.34
48 MTSU CUSA-E 8 - 4 7 - 1 3.2
49 Texas Tech BIG12 5 - 7 3 - 6 3.03
50 Wisconsin BIG10-W 7 - 5 5 - 4 3
51 Minnesota BIG10-W 6 - 6 3 - 6 2.51
52 Nebraska BIG10-W 4 - 8 3 - 6 2.44
53 Kansas St BIG12 5 - 7 3 - 6 2.24
54 Mississippi SEC-W 5 - 7 1 - 7 2.23
55 Boston College ACC-A 7 - 5 4 - 4 1.94
56 Buffalo MAC-E 10 - 2 7 - 1 1.7
57 TCU BIG12 6 - 6 4 - 5 1.45
58 California PAC12-N 7 - 4 4 - 4 1.02
59 BYU IND 6 - 6 3 - 0 1.01
60 Maryland BIG10-E 5 - 7 3 - 6 0.94
61 USC PAC12-S 5 - 7 4 - 5 0.6
62 Indiana BIG10-E 5 - 7 2 - 7 0.54
63 Houston AAC-W 8 - 4 5 - 3 0.5
64 Marshall CUSA-E 8 - 3 6 - 2 0.46
65 Virginia ACC-C 7 - 5 4 - 4 0.2
66 UAB CUSA-W 9 - 3 7 - 1 0.01
67 Miami OH MAC-E 6 - 6 6 - 2 -0.16
68 Toledo MAC-W 7 - 5 5 - 3 -0.91
69 Wyoming MWC-M 6 - 6 4 - 4 -0.95
70 Wake Forest ACC-A 6 - 6 3 - 5 -1.15
71 Baylor BIG12 6 - 6 4 - 5 -1.21
72 Arizona PAC12-S 5 - 7 4 - 5 -1.69
73 Arkansas St SUN 8 - 4 5 - 3 -2.02
74 Ga Southern SUN 9 - 3 6 - 2 -2.05
75 UCLA PAC12-S 3 - 9 3 - 6 -2.13
76 Air Force MWC-M 5 - 7 3 - 5 -2.16
77 Nevada MWC-W 7 - 5 5 - 3 -2.51
78 N Illinois MAC-W 7 - 5 6 - 2 -2.67
79 Troy SUN 9 - 3 7 - 1 -2.83
80 Florida Intl CUSA-E 8 - 4 6 - 2 -2.87
81 Duke ACC-C 7 - 5 3 - 5 -3.58
82 San Diego St MWC-W 7 - 5 4 - 4 -3.86
83 E Michigan MAC-W 7 - 5 5 - 3 -3.95
84 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 5 - 7 3 - 5 -3.97
85 Kansas BIG12 3 - 9 1 - 8 -4.13
86 North Texas CUSA-W 9 - 3 5 - 3 -4.23
87 Florida St ACC-A 5 - 7 3 - 5 -4.45
88 Arkansas SEC-W 2 - 10 0 - 8 -4.68
89 Colorado PAC12-S 5 - 7 2 - 7 -5.28
90 Southern Miss CUSA-W 6 - 5 5 - 3 -6.04
91 Tulane AAC-W 6 - 6 5 - 3 -6.06
92 ULL SUN 7 - 5 5 - 3 -6.31
93 SMU AAC-W 5 - 7 4 - 4 -6.74
94 Virginia Tech ACC-C 5 - 6 4 - 4 -8.05
95 North Carolina ACC-C 2 - 9 1 - 7 -8.47
96 Navy AAC-W 3 - 9 2 - 6 -8.57
97 Hawaii MWC-W 8 - 5 5 - 3 -9.09
98 Charlotte CUSA-E 5 - 7 4 - 4 -9.2
99 W Michigan MAC-W 7 - 5 5 - 3 -9.32
100 South Florida AAC-E 7 - 5 3 - 5 -9.4
101 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 7 - 5 5 - 3 -9.91
102 ULM SUN 6 - 6 4 - 4 -10.31
103 Tulsa AAC-W 3 - 9 2 - 6 -11.47
104 Rutgers BIG10-E 1 - 11 0 - 9 -11.99
105 Colorado St MWC-M 3 - 9 2 - 6 -12.77
106 Illinois BIG10-W 4 - 8 2 - 7 -13.04
107 San Jose St MWC-W 1 - 11 1 - 7 -13.74
108 WKU CUSA-E 3 - 9 2 - 6 -13.76
109 East Carolina AAC-E 3 - 8 1 - 7 -14.14
110 UNLV MWC-W 4 - 8 2 - 6 -14.15
111 Akron MAC-E 4 - 7 2 - 6 -15.53
112 Oregon St PAC12-N 2 - 10 1 - 8 -15.99
113 New Mexico MWC-M 3 - 9 1 - 7 -16.01
114 Ball St MAC-W 4 - 8 3 - 5 -16.07
115 Massachusetts IND 4 - 8 2 - 1 -16.37
116 Coastal Car SUN 5 - 7 2 - 6 -16.43
117 Liberty IND 5 - 6 2 - 3 -17.37
118 Georgia St SUN 2 - 10 1 - 7 -17.64
119 Old Dominion CUSA-E 4 - 8 2 - 6 -17.75
120 Texas St SUN 3 - 9 1 - 7 -17.84
121 Bowling Green MAC-E 3 - 9 2 - 6 -17.93
122 Kent MAC-E 2 - 10 1 - 7 -18.44
123 Louisville ACC-A 2 - 10 0 - 8 -19.11
124 C Michigan MAC-W 1 - 11 0 - 8 -20.33
125 South Alabama SUN 3 - 9 2 - 6 -21.4
126 UT San Antonio CUSA-W 3 - 9 2 - 6 -21.8
127 Rice CUSA-W 2 - 11 1 - 7 -22.48
128 UTEP CUSA-W 1 - 11 1 - 7 -22.95
129 New Mexico St IND 3 - 9 2 - 2 -23.51
130 Connecticut AAC-E 1 - 11 0 - 8 -27.83