Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2016 After Week 2 (9/11/2016)

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Alabama SEC-W 2 - 0 0 - 0 32.49
2 Ohio St BIG10-E 2 - 0 0 - 0 29.08
3 Florida St ACC-A 2 - 0 0 - 0 18.01
4 Stanford PAC12-N 1 - 0 0 - 0 16.64
5 Georgia SEC-E 2 - 0 0 - 0 16.23
6 Michigan St BIG10-E 1 - 0 0 - 0 16.22
7 Oregon PAC12-N 2 - 0 0 - 0 15.68
8 Wisconsin BIG10-W 2 - 0 0 - 0 15.49
9 Clemson ACC-A 2 - 0 0 - 0 15.13
10 Michigan BIG10-E 2 - 0 0 - 0 14.66
11 LSU SEC-W 1 - 1 0 - 0 14.53
12 Washington PAC12-N 2 - 0 0 - 0 14.17
13 Oklahoma BIG12 1 - 1 0 - 0 13.41
14 Houston AAC-W 2 - 0 0 - 0 13.39
15 Baylor BIG12 2 - 0 0 - 0 12.97
16 Auburn SEC-W 1 - 1 0 - 0 12.41
17 Tennessee SEC-E 2 - 0 0 - 0 12.35
18 Mississippi SEC-W 1 - 1 0 - 0 12.3
19 Texas A&M SEC-W 2 - 0 0 - 0 11.48
20 Arkansas SEC-W 2 - 0 0 - 0 11.11
21 USC PAC12-S 1 - 1 0 - 0 10.92
22 Florida SEC-E 2 - 0 1 - 0 10.7
23 TCU BIG12 1 - 1 0 - 0 10.69
24 Louisville ACC-A 2 - 0 1 - 0 10.27
25 Notre Dame IND 1 - 1 0 - 0 10.03
26 Mississippi St SEC-W 1 - 1 1 - 0 8.87
27 Arizona St PAC12-S 2 - 0 0 - 0 8.86
28 Nebraska BIG10-W 2 - 0 0 - 0 8.8
29 Iowa BIG10-W 2 - 0 0 - 0 8.68
30 North Carolina ACC-C 1 - 1 0 - 0 8.31
31 Boise St MWC-M 2 - 0 0 - 0 8.12
32 West Virginia BIG12 2 - 0 0 - 0 8.08
33 Texas BIG12 2 - 0 0 - 0 7.16
34 Utah PAC12-S 2 - 0 0 - 0 7.08
35 Navy AAC-W 2 - 0 1 - 0 6.66
36 UCLA PAC12-S 1 - 1 0 - 0 6.25
37 WKU CUSA-E 1 - 1 1 - 0 5.43
38 Georgia Tech ACC-C 2 - 0 1 - 0 5.06
39 BYU IND 1 - 1 0 - 0 4.47
40 Ga Southern SUN 2 - 0 1 - 0 4.43
41 Kansas St BIG12 0 - 1 0 - 0 4.27
42 Pittsburgh ACC-C 2 - 0 0 - 0 4.11
43 South Carolina SEC-E 1 - 1 1 - 1 4.05
44 Missouri SEC-E 1 - 1 0 - 0 3.98
45 South Florida AAC-E 2 - 0 0 - 0 3.95
46 Miami FL ACC-C 2 - 0 0 - 0 3.92
47 San Diego St MWC-W 2 - 0 0 - 0 3.82
48 Memphis AAC-W 1 - 0 0 - 0 3.67
49 Oklahoma St BIG12 1 - 1 0 - 0 3.45
50 Toledo MAC-W 2 - 0 0 - 0 3.29
51 Cincinnati AAC-E 2 - 0 0 - 0 3.2
52 Washington St PAC12-N 0 - 2 0 - 0 2.99
53 Penn St BIG10-E 1 - 1 0 - 0 2.73
54 Appalachian St SUN 1 - 1 0 - 0 2.35
55 Arizona PAC12-S 1 - 1 0 - 0 2.15
56 Virginia Tech ACC-C 1 - 1 0 - 0 1.97
57 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 1 - 1 0 - 0 1.69
58 East Carolina AAC-E 2 - 0 0 - 0 1.31
59 NC State ACC-A 1 - 1 0 - 0 1.29
60 Northwestern BIG10-W 0 - 2 0 - 0 1.27
61 Minnesota BIG10-W 2 - 0 0 - 0 0.83
62 California PAC12-N 1 - 1 0 - 0 0.78
63 Vanderbilt SEC-E 1 - 1 0 - 1 0.47
64 Marshall CUSA-E 1 - 0 0 - 0 0.26
65 Air Force MWC-M 2 - 0 0 - 0 0.07
66 Colorado PAC12-S 2 - 0 0 - 0 -0.75
67 Boston College ACC-A 1 - 1 0 - 1 -0.93
68 Maryland BIG10-E 2 - 0 0 - 0 -1.15
69 Texas Tech BIG12 1 - 1 0 - 0 -1.28
70 W Michigan MAC-W 2 - 0 0 - 0 -1.3
71 Indiana BIG10-E 2 - 0 0 - 0 -2.66
72 Connecticut AAC-E 1 - 1 0 - 1 -2.78
73 Tulsa AAC-W 1 - 1 0 - 0 -2.78
74 Temple AAC-E 1 - 1 0 - 0 -2.85
75 Virginia ACC-C 0 - 2 0 - 0 -2.98
76 Duke ACC-C 1 - 1 0 - 1 -3.48
77 Southern Miss CUSA-W 2 - 0 0 - 0 -3.89
78 Wake Forest ACC-A 2 - 0 1 - 0 -4.21
79 C Michigan MAC-W 2 - 0 0 - 0 -4.57
80 Bowling Green MAC-E 1 - 1 0 - 0 -4.77
81 Rutgers BIG10-E 1 - 1 0 - 0 -4.78
82 Troy SUN 1 - 1 0 - 0 -4.95
83 Illinois BIG10-W 1 - 1 0 - 0 -5.51
84 Army IND 2 - 0 0 - 0 -5.7
85 Oregon St PAC12-N 0 - 1 0 - 0 -6.15
86 Syracuse ACC-A 1 - 1 0 - 1 -6.76
87 Utah St MWC-M 1 - 1 0 - 0 -7.9
88 Arkansas St SUN 0 - 2 0 - 0 -7.92
89 South Alabama SUN 1 - 1 0 - 1 -7.96
90 Kentucky SEC-E 0 - 2 0 - 1 -8.53
91 N Illinois MAC-W 0 - 2 0 - 0 -8.77
92 Purdue BIG10-W 1 - 1 0 - 0 -10.12
93 UCF AAC-E 1 - 1 0 - 0 -10.55
94 Nevada MWC-W 1 - 1 0 - 0 -10.59
95 Iowa St BIG12 0 - 2 0 - 0 -10.8
96 MTSU CUSA-E 1 - 1 0 - 0 -11.31
97 Ball St MAC-W 1 - 1 0 - 0 -11.43
98 Ohio MAC-E 1 - 1 0 - 0 -11.7
99 SMU AAC-W 1 - 1 0 - 0 -12.7
100 Colorado St MWC-M 1 - 1 0 - 0 -13.08
101 Tulane AAC-W 1 - 1 0 - 0 -13.11
102 Rice CUSA-W 0 - 2 0 - 1 -13.68
103 ULL SUN 1 - 1 0 - 0 -14.78
104 San Jose St MWC-W 1 - 1 0 - 0 -14.79
105 Wyoming MWC-M 1 - 1 0 - 0 -15.13
106 Buffalo MAC-E 0 - 1 0 - 0 -15.16
107 Fresno St MWC-W 1 - 1 0 - 0 -15.31
108 UTEP CUSA-W 1 - 1 0 - 0 -15.74
109 Akron MAC-E 1 - 1 0 - 0 -16.16
110 Miami OH MAC-E 0 - 2 0 - 0 -16.31
111 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 1 - 1 0 - 0 -16.36
112 Texas St SUN 1 - 0 0 - 0 -16.79
113 UNLV MWC-W 1 - 1 0 - 0 -16.88
114 New Mexico MWC-M 1 - 1 0 - 0 -16.92
115 Kent MAC-E 0 - 2 0 - 0 -17.18
116 Massachusetts IND 0 - 2 0 - 0 -17.24
117 Old Dominion CUSA-E 1 - 1 0 - 0 -18.3
118 Florida Intl CUSA-E 0 - 2 0 - 0 -18.42
119 ULM SUN 1 - 1 0 - 0 -18.44
120 Idaho SUN 1 - 1 0 - 0 -18.63
121 North Texas CUSA-W 1 - 1 0 - 0 -19.73
122 Georgia St SUN 0 - 2 0 - 0 -20.01
123 Hawaii MWC-W 1 - 2 0 - 0 -20.34
124 UT San Antonio CUSA-W 1 - 1 0 - 0 -20.85
125 Kansas BIG12 1 - 1 0 - 0 -20.96
126 New Mexico St SUN 1 - 1 0 - 0 -23.53
127 E Michigan MAC-W 1 - 1 0 - 0 -26.58
128 Charlotte CUSA-E 1 - 1 0 - 0 -32.8