Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2024 Bowl Season

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Notre Dame IND 11 - 1 0 - 0 23.35
2 Ohio St BIG10-E 10 - 2 7 - 2 22.31
3 Texas SEC-W 11 - 2 7 - 2 20.8
4 Alabama SEC-W 9 - 3 5 - 3 20.6
5 Georgia SEC-E 11 - 2 7 - 2 20.54
6 Oregon BIG10-W 13 - 0 10 - 0 18.7
7 Mississippi SEC-W 9 - 3 5 - 3 17.82
8 Tennessee SEC-E 10 - 2 6 - 2 17.27
9 Penn St BIG10-E 11 - 2 8 - 2 16.63
10 South Carolina SEC-E 9 - 3 5 - 3 16.21
11 Indiana BIG10-E 11 - 1 8 - 1 15.58
12 Clemson ACC-A 10 - 3 8 - 1 14.59
13 SMU ACC-A 11 - 2 8 - 1 14.15
14 LSU SEC-W 8 - 4 5 - 3 13.98
15 Louisville ACC-A 8 - 4 5 - 3 12.93
16 Florida SEC-E 7 - 5 4 - 4 11.84
17 Texas A&M SEC-W 8 - 4 5 - 3 11.81
18 Michigan BIG10-E 7 - 5 5 - 4 11.53
19 Miami FL ACC-C 10 - 2 6 - 2 11.53
20 Arizona St BIG12 11 - 2 8 - 2 10.3
21 USC BIG10-W 6 - 6 4 - 5 9.7
22 Colorado BIG12 9 - 3 7 - 2 9.4
23 Oklahoma SEC-W 6 - 6 2 - 6 9.29
24 Iowa BIG10-W 8 - 4 6 - 3 9.19
25 Missouri SEC-E 9 - 3 5 - 3 9.11
26 Minnesota BIG10-W 7 - 5 5 - 4 8.32
27 Iowa St BIG12 10 - 3 7 - 3 8.13
28 Baylor BIG12 8 - 4 6 - 4 8.08
29 Kansas St BIG12 8 - 4 6 - 4 8.02
30 Virginia Tech ACC-C 6 - 6 4 - 4 7.75
31 Tulane AAC-W 9 - 4 7 - 2 7.47
32 Boise St MWC-M 12 - 1 8 - 0 7.43
33 BYU BIG12 10 - 2 7 - 2 7.01
34 Auburn SEC-W 5 - 7 2 - 6 6.81
35 Army AAC-E 11 - 1 9 - 0 6.25
36 TCU BIG12 8 - 4 6 - 3 6.01
37 Arkansas SEC-W 6 - 6 3 - 5 5.64
38 Texas Tech BIG12 8 - 4 6 - 3 5.61
39 Georgia Tech ACC-C 7 - 5 5 - 3 5.32
40 Kansas BIG12 5 - 7 4 - 5 4.66
41 Illinois BIG10-W 9 - 3 6 - 3 4.59
42 Washington BIG10-W 6 - 6 4 - 5 4.33
43 Vanderbilt SEC-E 6 - 6 3 - 5 4.12
44 Nebraska BIG10-W 6 - 6 3 - 6 3.97
45 Kentucky SEC-E 4 - 8 1 - 7 3.87
46 Wisconsin BIG10-W 5 - 7 3 - 6 3.46
47 Syracuse ACC-A 9 - 3 5 - 3 3.14
48 Boston College ACC-A 7 - 5 4 - 4 3.12
49 Duke ACC-C 9 - 3 5 - 3 2.89
50 Memphis AAC-W 10 - 2 6 - 2 2.87
51 UCLA BIG10-W 5 - 7 3 - 6 2.72
52 Marshall SUN 10 - 3 8 - 1 2.7
53 Utah BIG12 5 - 7 3 - 7 2.69
54 Ohio MAC-E 10 - 3 8 - 1 2.42
55 Pittsburgh ACC-C 7 - 5 3 - 5 1.65
56 North Carolina ACC-C 6 - 6 3 - 5 1.54
57 Cincinnati BIG12 5 - 7 3 - 6 1.39
58 Rutgers BIG10-E 7 - 5 4 - 5 1.34
59 NC State ACC-A 6 - 6 3 - 5 1.27
60 UCF BIG12 4 - 8 2 - 7 1.17
61 James Madison SUN 8 - 4 4 - 4 1.04
62 UNLV MWC-W 10 - 3 6 - 2 0.62
63 Louisiana SUN 10 - 3 7 - 2 0.42
64 Navy AAC-W 8 - 3 6 - 2 0.35
65 California ACC-C 6 - 6 2 - 6 0.33
66 Texas St SUN 7 - 5 5 - 3 0.02
67 Mississippi St SEC-W 2 - 10 0 - 8 -0.76
68 Jacksonville St CUSA-E 9 - 4 8 - 1 -1.06
69 West Virginia BIG12 6 - 6 5 - 4 -1.62
70 Virginia ACC-C 5 - 7 3 - 5 -1.94
71 South Alabama SUN 6 - 6 5 - 3 -2.11
72 Washington St PAC12-N 8 - 4 0 - 1 -2.19
73 Ga Southern SUN 8 - 4 6 - 2 -2.33
74 Old Dominion SUN 5 - 7 4 - 4 -3.25
75 Miami OH MAC-E 8 - 5 7 - 2 -3.42
76 Maryland BIG10-E 4 - 8 1 - 8 -3.73
77 Wake Forest ACC-A 4 - 8 2 - 6 -4.01
78 Florida St ACC-A 2 - 10 1 - 7 -4.23
79 Houston BIG12 4 - 8 3 - 6 -4.41
80 Fresno St MWC-W 6 - 6 4 - 3 -4.44
81 UT San Antonio AAC-W 6 - 6 4 - 4 -4.46
82 Michigan St BIG10-E 5 - 7 3 - 6 -4.99
83 Appalachian St SUN 5 - 6 3 - 5 -5.15
84 Colorado St MWC-M 8 - 4 6 - 1 -5.63
85 Air Force MWC-M 5 - 7 3 - 4 -5.83
86 Oklahoma St BIG12 3 - 9 0 - 9 -5.99
87 Connecticut IND 8 - 4 2 - 0 -6.05
88 Bowling Green MAC-E 7 - 5 6 - 2 -6.31
89 Liberty CUSA-E 8 - 3 5 - 3 -6.32
90 Stanford ACC-C 3 - 9 2 - 6 -6.38
91 San Jose St MWC-W 7 - 5 3 - 4 -6.39
92 Coastal Car SUN 6 - 6 3 - 5 -6.43
93 Troy SUN 4 - 8 3 - 5 -6.46
94 Northwestern BIG10-W 4 - 8 2 - 7 -6.52
95 East Carolina AAC-E 7 - 5 5 - 3 -6.6
96 N Illinois MAC-W 7 - 5 4 - 4 -6.9
97 Toledo MAC-W 7 - 5 4 - 4 -7.25
98 South Florida AAC-E 6 - 6 4 - 4 -7.36
99 WKU CUSA-E 8 - 5 6 - 3 -7.39
100 Arizona BIG12 4 - 8 2 - 8 -7.74
101 Sam Houston St CUSA-W 9 - 3 6 - 2 -8.27
102 Oregon St PAC12-S 5 - 7 1 - 0 -8.4
103 Buffalo MAC-E 8 - 4 6 - 2 -8.5
104 North Texas AAC-W 6 - 6 3 - 5 -8.72
105 Wyoming MWC-M 3 - 9 2 - 5 -9.22
106 Utah St MWC-M 4 - 8 3 - 4 -9.43
107 Rice AAC-W 4 - 8 3 - 5 -10.19
108 Georgia St SUN 3 - 9 1 - 7 -10.73
109 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 5 - 7 4 - 4 -10.77
110 W Michigan MAC-W 6 - 6 5 - 3 -11.39
111 UAB AAC-W 3 - 9 2 - 6 -11.62
112 Arkansas St SUN 7 - 5 5 - 3 -11.79
113 Nevada MWC-W 3 - 10 0 - 7 -11.95
114 New Mexico MWC-M 5 - 7 3 - 4 -12.56
115 ULM SUN 5 - 7 3 - 5 -12.95
116 Hawaii MWC-W 5 - 7 3 - 4 -13.06
117 Florida Intl CUSA-E 4 - 8 3 - 5 -13.64
118 Charlotte AAC-E 5 - 7 4 - 4 -13.66
119 San Diego St MWC-W 3 - 9 2 - 5 -14.41
120 Purdue BIG10-W 1 - 11 0 - 9 -14.8
121 E Michigan MAC-W 5 - 7 2 - 6 -14.87
122 FL Atlantic AAC-E 3 - 9 1 - 7 -14.94
123 Akron MAC-E 4 - 8 3 - 5 -15.37
124 Ball St MAC-W 3 - 9 2 - 6 -15.83
125 C Michigan MAC-W 4 - 8 2 - 6 -16.47
126 Temple AAC-E 3 - 9 2 - 6 -18.14
127 Massachusetts IND 2 - 10 2 - 1 -19.1
128 UTEP CUSA-W 3 - 9 3 - 5 -19.11
129 MTSU CUSA-E 3 - 9 2 - 6 -19.85
130 New Mexico St CUSA-W 3 - 9 2 - 6 -20.22
131 Kennesaw CUSA-E 2 - 10 2 - 6 -21.83
132 Southern Miss SUN 1 - 11 0 - 8 -23.62
133 Tulsa AAC-W 3 - 9 1 - 7 -24.33
134 Kent MAC-E 0 - 12 0 - 8 -27.5