Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2018 Week 9 (through games of 10/20/2018)

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Alabama SEC-W 8 - 0 5 - 0 32.01
2 Clemson ACC-A 7 - 0 4 - 0 25.89
3 Georgia SEC-E 6 - 1 4 - 1 23.18
4 LSU SEC-W 7 - 1 4 - 1 22.61
5 Oklahoma BIG12 6 - 1 3 - 1 21.75
6 Michigan BIG10-E 7 - 1 5 - 0 20.5
7 Florida SEC-E 6 - 1 4 - 1 18.21
8 Ohio St BIG10-E 7 - 1 4 - 1 16.37
9 Iowa BIG10-W 6 - 1 3 - 1 15.62
10 Penn St BIG10-E 5 - 2 2 - 2 14.74
11 Kentucky SEC-E 6 - 1 4 - 1 14.49
12 Texas A&M SEC-W 5 - 2 3 - 1 14.02
13 Mississippi St SEC-W 4 - 3 1 - 3 13.7
14 Notre Dame IND 7 - 0 0 - 0 13.32
15 Washington PAC12-N 6 - 2 4 - 1 13.28
16 Purdue BIG10-W 4 - 3 3 - 1 13.14
17 Missouri SEC-E 4 - 3 0 - 3 13.01
18 Wisconsin BIG10-W 5 - 2 3 - 1 12.32
19 Auburn SEC-W 5 - 3 2 - 3 12.22
20 Texas BIG12 6 - 1 4 - 0 11.88
21 Utah PAC12-S 5 - 2 3 - 2 11.87
22 South Carolina SEC-E 3 - 3 2 - 3 11.62
23 West Virginia BIG12 5 - 1 3 - 1 11.32
24 Fresno St MWC-W 6 - 1 3 - 0 9.76
25 Miami FL ACC-C 5 - 2 2 - 1 9.75
26 Texas Tech BIG12 5 - 2 3 - 1 9.7
27 UCF AAC-E 7 - 0 4 - 0 9.57
28 Iowa St BIG12 3 - 3 2 - 2 9.34
29 NC State ACC-A 5 - 1 2 - 1 9.22
30 Appalachian St SUN 5 - 1 3 - 0 8.66
31 TCU BIG12 3 - 4 1 - 3 7.86
32 Stanford PAC12-N 5 - 2 3 - 1 7.65
33 Washington St PAC12-N 6 - 1 3 - 1 7.3
34 Michigan St BIG10-E 4 - 3 2 - 2 7.18
35 Army IND 5 - 2 1 - 0 6.36
36 Utah St MWC-M 6 - 1 3 - 0 5.73
37 Boise St MWC-M 5 - 2 3 - 1 5.69
38 Temple AAC-E 5 - 3 4 - 0 5.5
39 Oklahoma St BIG12 4 - 3 1 - 3 5.46
40 Virginia ACC-C 5 - 2 3 - 1 5.46
41 Boston College ACC-A 5 - 2 2 - 1 5.43
42 Duke ACC-C 5 - 2 1 - 2 5.22
43 Vanderbilt SEC-E 3 - 5 0 - 4 5.17
44 USC PAC12-S 4 - 3 3 - 2 4.8
45 Kansas St BIG12 3 - 4 1 - 3 4.58
46 Mississippi SEC-W 5 - 3 1 - 3 4.4
47 Colorado PAC12-S 5 - 2 2 - 2 3.96
48 Oregon PAC12-N 5 - 2 2 - 2 3.93
49 Florida St ACC-A 4 - 3 2 - 3 3.77
50 Northwestern BIG10-W 4 - 3 4 - 1 3.61
51 Tennessee SEC-E 3 - 4 1 - 3 3.4
52 Georgia Tech ACC-C 3 - 4 1 - 3 2.81
53 Baylor BIG12 4 - 3 2 - 2 2.75
54 Cincinnati AAC-E 6 - 1 2 - 1 2.56
55 Syracuse ACC-A 5 - 2 2 - 2 2.52
56 Houston AAC-W 6 - 1 3 - 0 2.45
57 Arizona St PAC12-S 3 - 4 1 - 3 2.08
58 Maryland BIG10-E 4 - 3 2 - 2 2.08
59 Virginia Tech ACC-C 4 - 2 3 - 0 1.71
60 UAB CUSA-W 6 - 1 4 - 0 1.31
61 San Diego St MWC-W 6 - 1 3 - 0 0.92
62 Indiana BIG10-E 4 - 4 1 - 4 0.74
63 UCLA PAC12-S 2 - 5 2 - 2 0.2
64 Nebraska BIG10-W 1 - 6 1 - 4 0.08
65 North Texas CUSA-W 6 - 2 2 - 2 0.02
66 Buffalo MAC-E 7 - 1 4 - 0 -0.13
67 Minnesota BIG10-W 3 - 4 0 - 4 -0.68
68 Memphis AAC-W 4 - 4 1 - 3 -1.26
69 Arkansas SEC-W 2 - 6 0 - 4 -1.27
70 Pittsburgh ACC-C 3 - 4 2 - 1 -1.31
71 BYU IND 4 - 3 1 - 0 -1.84
72 Marshall CUSA-E 5 - 2 3 - 1 -2.07
73 N Illinois MAC-W 4 - 3 4 - 0 -2.81
74 W Michigan MAC-W 6 - 2 4 - 0 -2.95
75 E Michigan MAC-W 4 - 4 2 - 3 -3.18
76 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 5 - 2 3 - 1 -3.85
77 Air Force MWC-M 3 - 4 1 - 3 -4.1
78 Toledo MAC-W 3 - 4 1 - 2 -4.24
79 Ohio MAC-E 4 - 3 2 - 1 -4.37
80 South Florida AAC-E 7 - 0 3 - 0 -4.7
81 Arizona PAC12-S 3 - 5 2 - 3 -5.15
82 MTSU CUSA-E 4 - 3 3 - 1 -5.22
83 Troy SUN 5 - 2 3 - 0 -5.23
84 Miami OH MAC-E 3 - 5 3 - 1 -5.27
85 Ga Southern SUN 6 - 1 3 - 0 -5.34
86 Florida Intl CUSA-E 5 - 2 3 - 0 -6.05
87 California PAC12-N 4 - 3 1 - 3 -6.19
88 Louisville ACC-A 2 - 5 0 - 4 -6.53
89 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 3 - 4 1 - 2 -7.01
90 Arkansas St SUN 4 - 3 1 - 2 -7.05
91 Nevada MWC-W 4 - 4 2 - 2 -7.14
92 Wake Forest ACC-A 3 - 4 0 - 3 -7.31
93 North Carolina ACC-C 1 - 5 1 - 3 -7.75
94 Kansas BIG12 2 - 5 0 - 4 -7.87
95 Wyoming MWC-M 2 - 6 0 - 4 -8.05
96 Navy AAC-W 2 - 5 1 - 3 -8.58
97 ULL SUN 3 - 4 1 - 2 -8.77
98 Tulane AAC-W 2 - 5 1 - 2 -8.78
99 Colorado St MWC-M 3 - 5 2 - 2 -8.88
100 New Mexico MWC-M 3 - 4 1 - 2 -9.15
101 SMU AAC-W 3 - 4 2 - 1 -9.51
102 Liberty IND 4 - 3 1 - 2 -10.04
103 Southern Miss CUSA-W 3 - 3 2 - 1 -10.77
104 Tulsa AAC-W 1 - 6 0 - 3 -10.94
105 Illinois BIG10-W 3 - 4 1 - 3 -11.08
106 Hawaii MWC-W 6 - 3 3 - 1 -12.4
107 C Michigan MAC-W 1 - 7 0 - 4 -12.7
108 Akron MAC-E 3 - 3 1 - 2 -12.71
109 East Carolina AAC-E 2 - 5 0 - 4 -13.46
110 Ball St MAC-W 3 - 5 2 - 2 -13.89
111 WKU CUSA-E 1 - 6 0 - 3 -14.16
112 Coastal Car SUN 4 - 3 1 - 2 -14.81
113 Charlotte CUSA-E 3 - 4 2 - 2 -15.69
114 Old Dominion CUSA-E 2 - 6 1 - 4 -15.71
115 UNLV MWC-W 2 - 5 0 - 3 -15.84
116 Georgia St SUN 2 - 5 1 - 2 -16
117 Rutgers BIG10-E 1 - 7 0 - 5 -16.67
118 San Jose St MWC-W 0 - 7 0 - 3 -17.3
119 UT San Antonio CUSA-W 3 - 5 2 - 2 -17.35
120 Massachusetts IND 2 - 6 1 - 0 -18.76
121 ULM SUN 4 - 4 2 - 2 -18.84
122 Oregon St PAC12-N 1 - 6 0 - 4 -19.9
123 UTEP CUSA-W 0 - 7 0 - 3 -20.21
124 Kent MAC-E 1 - 7 0 - 4 -20.46
125 New Mexico St IND 2 - 6 1 - 0 -20.53
126 Bowling Green MAC-E 1 - 7 0 - 4 -20.67
127 South Alabama SUN 2 - 5 1 - 2 -21.51
128 Connecticut AAC-E 1 - 6 0 - 4 -23.58
129 Texas St SUN 1 - 6 0 - 4 -23.8
130 Rice CUSA-W 1 - 7 0 - 4 -25.91