Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2019 Week 7 (Through games of 10/5/19)

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Ohio St BIG10-E 6 - 0 3 - 0 33.77
2 Alabama SEC-W 5 - 0 2 - 0 28.67
3 Penn St BIG10-E 5 - 0 2 - 0 24.39
4 Oklahoma BIG12 5 - 0 2 - 0 22.97
5 Wisconsin BIG10-W 5 - 0 2 - 0 22.61
6 LSU SEC-W 5 - 0 1 - 0 22.38
7 Clemson ACC-A 5 - 0 3 - 0 22.34
8 Georgia SEC-E 5 - 0 2 - 0 20.64
9 Auburn SEC-W 5 - 1 2 - 1 19.55
10 Oregon PAC12-N 4 - 1 2 - 0 17.49
11 Iowa St BIG12 3 - 2 1 - 1 16.56
12 Iowa BIG10-W 4 - 1 1 - 1 16.21
13 Missouri SEC-E 4 - 1 1 - 0 15.85
14 Michigan BIG10-E 4 - 1 2 - 1 15.56
15 Florida SEC-E 6 - 0 3 - 0 15.42
16 Texas BIG12 4 - 1 2 - 0 15.19
17 Notre Dame IND 4 - 1 0 - 0 14.52
18 Washington PAC12-N 4 - 2 1 - 2 14.48
19 Michigan St BIG10-E 4 - 2 2 - 1 13.59
20 UCF AAC-E 4 - 2 1 - 1 11.65
21 TCU BIG12 3 - 2 1 - 1 10.83
22 Baylor BIG12 5 - 0 2 - 0 10.66
23 Utah PAC12-S 4 - 1 1 - 1 10.51
24 Memphis AAC-W 5 - 0 1 - 0 9.68
25 Oklahoma St BIG12 4 - 2 1 - 2 9.38
26 Texas A&M SEC-W 3 - 2 1 - 1 8.89
27 USC PAC12-S 3 - 2 2 - 1 8.85
28 Cincinnati AAC-E 4 - 1 1 - 0 8.81
29 Arizona St PAC12-S 4 - 1 1 - 1 8.17
30 Mississippi St SEC-W 3 - 2 1 - 1 7.78
31 Stanford PAC12-N 3 - 3 2 - 2 7.64
32 Pittsburgh ACC-C 4 - 2 1 - 1 7.48
33 Duke ACC-C 3 - 2 1 - 1 7.24
34 California PAC12-N 4 - 2 1 - 2 6.74
35 Mississippi SEC-W 3 - 3 2 - 1 6.08
36 Tulane AAC-W 4 - 1 1 - 0 5.74
37 South Carolina SEC-E 2 - 3 1 - 2 5.71
38 West Virginia BIG12 3 - 2 1 - 1 5.47
39 Appalachian St SUN 4 - 0 1 - 0 5.45
40 SMU AAC-W 6 - 0 2 - 0 4.96
41 Washington St PAC12-N 3 - 2 0 - 2 4.31
42 North Carolina ACC-C 3 - 3 2 - 2 4.17
43 Arizona PAC12-S 4 - 1 2 - 0 4.16
44 Houston AAC-W 2 - 3 0 - 1 4.11
45 Boise St MWC-M 5 - 0 2 - 0 3.72
46 Minnesota BIG10-W 5 - 0 2 - 0 3.7
47 Wake Forest ACC-A 5 - 0 2 - 0 3.62
48 Virginia ACC-C 4 - 1 2 - 0 3.57
49 Kansas St BIG12 3 - 2 0 - 2 3.57
50 Navy AAC-W 3 - 1 1 - 1 3.17
51 Indiana BIG10-E 3 - 2 0 - 2 2.52
52 Florida St ACC-A 3 - 2 2 - 1 2.45
53 Texas Tech BIG12 3 - 2 1 - 1 2.4
54 Northwestern BIG10-W 1 - 4 0 - 3 2.38
55 Maryland BIG10-E 3 - 2 1 - 1 2.33
56 Nebraska BIG10-W 4 - 2 2 - 1 1.92
57 Wyoming MWC-M 4 - 1 1 - 0 1.65
58 Kentucky SEC-E 2 - 3 0 - 3 1.24
59 Army IND 3 - 2 1 - 0 1.13
60 Colorado PAC12-S 3 - 2 1 - 1 1.06
61 Hawaii MWC-W 4 - 1 1 - 0 -0.4
62 Fresno St MWC-W 2 - 2 0 - 0 -0.57
63 Utah St MWC-M 3 - 2 2 - 0 -0.66
64 Louisiana SUN 4 - 1 1 - 0 -0.78
65 Oregon St PAC12-N 2 - 3 1 - 1 -0.86
66 Miami FL ACC-C 2 - 3 0 - 2 -0.97
67 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 3 - 2 1 - 0 -1.32
68 Syracuse ACC-A 3 - 2 0 - 1 -1.48
69 Tulsa AAC-W 2 - 3 0 - 1 -1.69
70 Air Force MWC-M 3 - 2 1 - 1 -1.7
71 Temple AAC-E 4 - 1 1 - 0 -1.7
72 NC State ACC-A 3 - 2 0 - 1 -1.91
73 UCLA PAC12-S 1 - 5 1 - 2 -2.07
74 Purdue BIG10-W 1 - 4 0 - 2 -2.18
75 San Diego St MWC-W 4 - 1 1 - 1 -2.21
76 Toledo MAC-W 4 - 1 1 - 0 -2.58
77 BYU IND 2 - 3 0 - 0 -2.89
78 Louisville ACC-A 3 - 2 1 - 1 -3.14
79 Arkansas SEC-W 2 - 3 0 - 2 -3.36
80 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 4 - 1 2 - 0 -4.62
81 UAB CUSA-W 4 - 1 1 - 1 -4.81
82 Virginia Tech ACC-C 3 - 2 1 - 2 -5.14
83 W Michigan MAC-W 3 - 3 1 - 1 -5.18
84 Boston College ACC-A 3 - 3 1 - 2 -5.25
85 North Texas CUSA-W 2 - 3 1 - 0 -5.5
86 WKU CUSA-E 3 - 2 3 - 0 -5.51
87 Kansas BIG12 2 - 4 0 - 3 -5.72
88 Vanderbilt SEC-E 1 - 4 0 - 3 -6.73
89 Tennessee SEC-E 1 - 4 0 - 2 -7.03
90 Ohio MAC-E 2 - 3 1 - 0 -7.22
91 Georgia Tech ACC-C 1 - 4 0 - 2 -7.67
92 Miami OH MAC-E 2 - 3 1 - 0 -7.93
93 MTSU CUSA-E 2 - 3 1 - 0 -8.08
94 Florida Intl CUSA-E 2 - 3 0 - 2 -9.11
95 Southern Miss CUSA-W 3 - 2 1 - 0 -9.24
96 Troy SUN 2 - 3 0 - 1 -9.8
97 South Florida AAC-E 2 - 3 1 - 1 -9.88
98 Buffalo MAC-E 2 - 4 0 - 2 -9.95
99 Ga Southern SUN 2 - 3 1 - 1 -10.03
100 Arkansas St SUN 3 - 3 1 - 1 -10.18
101 Marshall CUSA-E 2 - 3 0 - 1 -10.4
102 ULM SUN 2 - 3 1 - 0 -10.85
103 Illinois BIG10-W 2 - 3 0 - 2 -11.2
104 Coastal Car SUN 3 - 2 0 - 1 -11.81
105 Rice CUSA-W 0 - 6 0 - 2 -12.39
106 Liberty IND 4 - 2 2 - 0 -12.56
107 C Michigan MAC-W 3 - 3 2 - 1 -12.6
108 San Jose St MWC-W 3 - 2 1 - 1 -12.69
109 Colorado St MWC-M 1 - 5 0 - 2 -13.14
110 Ball St MAC-W 2 - 3 1 - 0 -13.28
111 Charlotte CUSA-E 2 - 3 0 - 1 -13.47
112 N Illinois MAC-W 1 - 4 0 - 1 -13.83
113 Kent MAC-E 2 - 3 1 - 0 -14.41
114 Georgia St SUN 3 - 2 1 - 1 -15.54
115 Texas St SUN 2 - 3 1 - 0 -16.04
116 E Michigan MAC-W 3 - 2 0 - 1 -16.39
117 East Carolina AAC-E 3 - 3 0 - 2 -16.83
118 Old Dominion CUSA-E 1 - 4 0 - 1 -17.64
119 Rutgers BIG10-E 1 - 4 0 - 3 -18.38
120 Nevada MWC-W 3 - 2 0 - 1 -18.84
121 New Mexico MWC-M 2 - 3 0 - 1 -19.61
122 South Alabama SUN 1 - 5 0 - 2 -19.98
123 New Mexico St IND 0 - 6 0 - 1 -20.45
124 UNLV MWC-W 1 - 4 0 - 2 -20.97
125 UT San Antonio CUSA-W 2 - 3 1 - 1 -23.14
126 Connecticut AAC-E 1 - 4 0 - 2 -23.96
127 UTEP CUSA-W 1 - 4 0 - 2 -29.17
128 Akron MAC-E 0 - 5 0 - 1 -29.79
129 Bowling Green MAC-E 1 - 4 0 - 1 -30.61
130 Massachusetts IND 1 - 5 0 - 1 -32.53