Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2019 Week 13 (Through games of 11/16/19)

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Ohio St BIG10-E 10 - 0 7 - 0 35.95
2 Clemson ACC-A 11 - 0 8 - 0 28.87
3 Alabama SEC-W 9 - 1 6 - 1 26.07
4 LSU SEC-W 10 - 0 6 - 0 25.1
5 Utah PAC12-S 9 - 1 6 - 1 24.67
6 Georgia SEC-E 9 - 1 6 - 1 23.32
7 Michigan BIG10-E 8 - 2 5 - 2 22.88
8 Penn St BIG10-E 9 - 1 6 - 1 22.86
9 Wisconsin BIG10-W 8 - 2 5 - 2 21.67
10 Oregon PAC12-N 9 - 1 7 - 0 20.61
11 Florida SEC-E 9 - 2 6 - 2 20.28
12 Auburn SEC-W 7 - 3 4 - 3 19.06
13 Minnesota BIG10-W 9 - 1 6 - 1 18
14 Oklahoma BIG12 9 - 1 6 - 1 17.88
15 Iowa BIG10-W 7 - 3 4 - 3 17.41
16 Notre Dame IND 8 - 2 0 - 0 16.99
17 Iowa St BIG12 6 - 4 4 - 3 14.5
18 Washington PAC12-N 6 - 4 3 - 4 13
19 Baylor BIG12 9 - 1 6 - 1 12.75
20 Texas A&M SEC-W 7 - 3 4 - 2 12.18
21 Memphis AAC-W 9 - 1 5 - 1 11.16
22 Navy AAC-W 7 - 2 5 - 1 10.52
23 UCF AAC-E 7 - 3 4 - 2 10.2
24 Oklahoma St BIG12 7 - 3 4 - 3 9.97
25 Indiana BIG10-E 7 - 3 4 - 3 9.53
26 Appalachian St SUN 9 - 1 5 - 1 9.19
27 Texas BIG12 6 - 4 4 - 3 9.19
28 USC PAC12-S 7 - 4 6 - 2 9.18
29 Cincinnati AAC-E 9 - 1 6 - 0 9.1
30 Virginia Tech ACC-C 7 - 3 4 - 2 8.28
31 Kansas St BIG12 6 - 4 3 - 4 7.91
32 Miami FL ACC-C 6 - 4 4 - 3 7.39
33 TCU BIG12 5 - 5 3 - 4 7.35
34 Washington St PAC12-N 5 - 5 2 - 5 7.06
35 Air Force MWC-M 8 - 2 5 - 1 6.95
36 SMU AAC-W 9 - 1 5 - 1 6.74
37 Tennessee SEC-E 5 - 5 3 - 3 6.23
38 Louisiana SUN 8 - 2 5 - 1 5.84
39 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 7 - 3 5 - 1 5.79
40 Illinois BIG10-W 6 - 4 4 - 3 5.61
41 Boise St MWC-M 9 - 1 6 - 0 5.55
42 Michigan St BIG10-E 4 - 6 2 - 5 5.02
43 Mississippi SEC-W 4 - 7 2 - 5 4.3
44 Pittsburgh ACC-C 7 - 3 4 - 2 4.18
45 Virginia ACC-C 7 - 3 5 - 2 3.94
46 Mississippi St SEC-W 4 - 6 2 - 5 3.89
47 North Carolina ACC-C 4 - 6 3 - 5 3.32
48 Kentucky SEC-E 5 - 5 3 - 5 2.74
49 Texas Tech BIG12 4 - 6 2 - 5 2.47
50 Arizona St PAC12-S 5 - 5 2 - 5 2.29
51 South Carolina SEC-E 4 - 7 3 - 5 2.26
52 Tulane AAC-W 6 - 4 3 - 3 2.16
53 Missouri SEC-E 5 - 5 2 - 4 1.92
54 Florida St ACC-A 6 - 5 4 - 4 1.79
55 BYU IND 6 - 4 2 - 0 1.67
56 California PAC12-N 5 - 5 2 - 5 1.66
57 Nebraska BIG10-W 4 - 6 2 - 5 1.18
58 Oregon St PAC12-N 5 - 5 4 - 3 1
59 Wake Forest ACC-A 7 - 3 4 - 3 0.77
60 Louisville ACC-A 6 - 4 4 - 3 0.75
61 Purdue BIG10-W 4 - 6 3 - 4 0.69
62 WKU CUSA-E 6 - 4 4 - 2 -0.25
63 Tulsa AAC-W 3 - 7 1 - 5 -0.4
64 Boston College ACC-A 5 - 5 3 - 4 -0.5
65 Marshall CUSA-E 7 - 3 5 - 1 -0.56
66 UCLA PAC12-S 4 - 6 4 - 3 -1.19
67 Southern Miss CUSA-W 7 - 3 5 - 1 -1.31
68 Temple AAC-E 7 - 3 4 - 2 -1.38
69 Wyoming MWC-M 6 - 4 3 - 3 -2.07
70 W Michigan MAC-W 7 - 4 5 - 2 -2.37
71 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 8 - 2 5 - 1 -2.74
72 Ga Southern SUN 6 - 4 4 - 2 -3
73 Houston AAC-W 3 - 7 1 - 5 -3.14
74 West Virginia BIG12 4 - 6 2 - 5 -3.4
75 Stanford PAC12-N 4 - 6 3 - 5 -3.58
76 Army IND 5 - 6 3 - 0 -4.29
77 Syracuse ACC-A 4 - 6 1 - 5 -4.52
78 Miami OH MAC-E 6 - 4 5 - 1 -4.61
79 Buffalo MAC-E 5 - 5 3 - 3 -4.69
80 South Florida AAC-E 4 - 6 2 - 4 -4.73
81 San Diego St MWC-W 8 - 2 5 - 2 -4.74
82 Utah St MWC-M 6 - 4 5 - 1 -4.92
83 Kansas BIG12 3 - 7 1 - 6 -5.38
84 Ohio MAC-E 4 - 6 3 - 3 -5.41
85 Maryland BIG10-E 3 - 7 1 - 6 -5.46
86 Hawaii MWC-W 7 - 4 4 - 3 -5.72
87 Ball St MAC-W 4 - 6 3 - 3 -5.82
88 Colorado PAC12-S 4 - 6 2 - 5 -5.98
89 Northwestern BIG10-W 2 - 8 0 - 7 -6.13
90 Troy SUN 5 - 5 3 - 3 -6.34
91 Duke ACC-C 4 - 6 2 - 4 -6.6
92 Arizona PAC12-S 4 - 6 2 - 5 -6.73
93 C Michigan MAC-W 7 - 4 5 - 2 -6.78
94 Fresno St MWC-W 4 - 6 2 - 4 -6.99
95 Arkansas St SUN 6 - 4 4 - 2 -7.4
96 Georgia St SUN 6 - 4 3 - 3 -8.38
97 UAB CUSA-W 7 - 3 4 - 2 -8.52
98 San Jose St MWC-W 4 - 6 1 - 5 -8.98
99 MTSU CUSA-E 3 - 7 2 - 4 -9.94
100 Georgia Tech ACC-C 2 - 8 1 - 6 -10.23
101 East Carolina AAC-E 3 - 7 0 - 6 -10.36
102 Arkansas SEC-W 2 - 8 0 - 6 -10.69
103 Kent MAC-E 4 - 6 3 - 3 -10.86
104 Colorado St MWC-M 4 - 6 3 - 3 -10.99
105 NC State ACC-A 4 - 6 1 - 5 -11.01
106 Liberty IND 6 - 4 4 - 1 -11.85
107 North Texas CUSA-W 4 - 6 3 - 3 -12.14
108 ULM SUN 4 - 6 3 - 3 -12.34
109 Coastal Car SUN 4 - 6 1 - 5 -12.41
110 Charlotte CUSA-E 5 - 5 3 - 3 -12.53
111 N Illinois MAC-W 4 - 6 3 - 3 -12.59
112 E Michigan MAC-W 5 - 5 2 - 4 -13.31
113 Toledo MAC-W 6 - 4 3 - 3 -13.35
114 Rice CUSA-W 1 - 9 1 - 5 -13.43
115 Florida Intl CUSA-E 5 - 5 3 - 4 -13.84
116 Rutgers BIG10-E 2 - 8 0 - 7 -14.03
117 Vanderbilt SEC-E 2 - 8 1 - 6 -14.49
118 Nevada MWC-W 6 - 4 3 - 3 -17.33
119 South Alabama SUN 1 - 9 0 - 6 -18.36
120 Old Dominion CUSA-E 1 - 9 0 - 6 -19
121 UNLV MWC-W 2 - 8 0 - 6 -19.5
122 UT San Antonio CUSA-W 4 - 6 3 - 3 -20.44
123 Texas St SUN 3 - 7 2 - 4 -20.98
124 New Mexico MWC-M 2 - 8 0 - 6 -21.62
125 Connecticut AAC-E 2 - 8 0 - 6 -22.94
126 New Mexico St IND 1 - 9 1 - 1 -24.79
127 Bowling Green MAC-E 3 - 7 2 - 4 -26.52
128 UTEP CUSA-W 1 - 9 0 - 7 -27.14
129 Akron MAC-E 0 - 10 0 - 6 -37.7
130 Massachusetts IND 1 - 10 0 - 3 -42.25