Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

Week 6 (Through Games of 10/3/15)

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Alabama SEC-W 4 - 1 1 - 1 22.97
2 Baylor BIG12 4 - 0 1 - 0 22.52
3 Oklahoma BIG12 4 - 0 1 - 0 19.82
4 USC PAC12-S 3 - 1 1 - 1 18.51
5 Stanford PAC12-N 4 - 1 3 - 0 17.86
6 Clemson ACC-A 4 - 0 1 - 0 17.07
7 TCU BIG12 5 - 0 2 - 0 16.49
8 Texas A&M SEC-W 5 - 0 2 - 0 16.03
9 Florida SEC-E 5 - 0 3 - 0 15.52
10 Ohio St BIG10-E 5 - 0 1 - 0 15.27
11 Michigan BIG10-E 4 - 1 1 - 0 14.64
12 West Virginia BIG12 3 - 1 0 - 1 14.4
13 Georgia SEC-E 4 - 1 2 - 1 14.08
14 Boise St MWC-M 4 - 1 1 - 0 14
15 Notre Dame IND 4 - 1 0 - 0 13.96
16 LSU SEC-W 4 - 0 2 - 0 13.46
17 Utah PAC12-S 4 - 0 1 - 0 12.96
18 Florida St ACC-A 4 - 0 2 - 0 12.92
19 Northwestern BIG10-W 5 - 0 1 - 0 12.37
20 Oklahoma St BIG12 5 - 0 2 - 0 12.02
21 Kansas St BIG12 3 - 1 0 - 1 10.81
22 Wisconsin BIG10-W 3 - 2 0 - 1 10.67
23 Tennessee SEC-E 2 - 3 0 - 2 10.27
24 Mississippi SEC-W 4 - 1 2 - 1 10.05
25 North Carolina ACC-C 4 - 1 1 - 0 9.98
26 Michigan St BIG10-E 5 - 0 1 - 0 9.86
27 Navy AAC-W 4 - 0 2 - 0 9.6
28 Iowa BIG10-W 5 - 0 1 - 0 9.57
29 Mississippi St SEC-W 3 - 2 1 - 2 9.36
30 UCLA PAC12-S 4 - 1 1 - 1 9.27
31 Georgia Tech ACC-C 2 - 3 0 - 2 9.15
32 Houston AAC-W 4 - 0 1 - 0 8.86
33 Louisville ACC-A 2 - 3 1 - 1 8.79
34 Duke ACC-C 4 - 1 2 - 0 8.68
35 Arizona St PAC12-S 3 - 2 1 - 1 8.56
36 Texas Tech BIG12 3 - 2 0 - 2 8.34
37 Arkansas SEC-W 2 - 3 1 - 1 8.33
38 Toledo MAC-W 4 - 0 1 - 0 7.45
39 Oregon PAC12-N 3 - 2 1 - 1 7.35
40 Washington PAC12-N 2 - 2 0 - 1 6.9
41 Pittsburgh ACC-C 3 - 1 1 - 0 6.86
42 BYU IND 3 - 2 0 - 0 6.57
43 Missouri SEC-E 4 - 1 1 - 1 5.79
44 Auburn SEC-W 3 - 2 0 - 2 5.18
45 NC State ACC-A 4 - 1 0 - 1 4.89
46 Virginia Tech ACC-C 2 - 3 0 - 1 4.35
47 W Kentucky CUSA-E 4 - 1 2 - 0 3.8
48 East Carolina AAC-E 3 - 2 1 - 1 3.7
49 California PAC12-N 5 - 0 2 - 0 3.5
50 Nebraska BIG10-W 2 - 3 0 - 1 3.47
51 Kentucky SEC-E 4 - 1 2 - 1 2.61
52 South Carolina SEC-E 2 - 3 0 - 3 2.53
53 Penn St BIG10-E 4 - 1 1 - 0 2.49
54 Boston College ACC-A 3 - 2 0 - 2 2.37
55 Syracuse ACC-A 3 - 1 1 - 0 1.99
56 Indiana BIG10-E 4 - 1 0 - 1 1.58
57 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 3 - 2 1 - 1 1.32
58 Memphis AAC-W 5 - 0 2 - 0 0.96
59 Appalachian St SUN 3 - 1 0 - 0 0.66
60 Utah St MWC-M 2 - 2 1 - 0 0.66
61 Miami FL ACC-C 3 - 1 0 - 0 0.45
62 Illinois BIG10-W 4 - 1 1 - 0 0.08
63 Vanderbilt SEC-E 2 - 3 0 - 2 0.04
64 Temple AAC-E 4 - 0 1 - 0 0
65 Cincinnati AAC-E 3 - 2 0 - 2 -0.29
66 Iowa St BIG12 2 - 2 1 - 0 -0.54
67 Ga Southern SUN 4 - 1 2 - 0 -0.61
68 N Illinois MAC-W 2 - 3 0 - 1 -0.95
69 Oregon St PAC12-N 2 - 2 0 - 1 -1
70 Arizona PAC12-S 3 - 2 0 - 2 -1.59
71 Texas BIG12 1 - 4 0 - 2 -1.68
72 Minnesota BIG10-W 3 - 2 0 - 1 -1.82
73 Marshall CUSA-E 4 - 1 1 - 0 -2.08
74 Bowling Green MAC-E 3 - 2 1 - 0 -2.25
75 C Michigan MAC-W 2 - 3 1 - 0 -3.32
76 MTSU CUSA-E 2 - 3 1 - 0 -3.63
77 Ball St MAC-W 2 - 3 1 - 1 -3.64
78 Washington St PAC12-N 2 - 2 0 - 1 -3.72
79 Wake Forest ACC-A 2 - 3 0 - 2 -4.21
80 Air Force MWC-M 2 - 2 1 - 0 -4.27
81 Tulsa AAC-W 2 - 2 0 - 1 -4.27
82 Ohio MAC-E 4 - 1 1 - 0 -4.85
83 Connecticut AAC-E 2 - 3 0 - 1 -5.16
84 Virginia ACC-C 1 - 3 0 - 0 -5.41
85 Army IND 1 - 4 0 - 1 -7.07
86 Colorado PAC12-S 3 - 2 0 - 1 -7.13
87 Maryland BIG10-E 2 - 3 0 - 1 -7.21
88 Rutgers BIG10-E 2 - 2 0 - 1 -7.4
89 Purdue BIG10-W 1 - 4 0 - 1 -7.7
90 UCF AAC-E 0 - 5 0 - 1 -8.72
91 Akron MAC-E 2 - 3 0 - 1 -8.81
92 Colorado St MWC-M 2 - 3 0 - 1 -8.85
93 W Michigan MAC-W 1 - 3 0 - 0 -8.98
94 Buffalo MAC-E 2 - 3 0 - 1 -9.33
95 Nevada MWC-W 2 - 3 0 - 1 -9.36
96 Southern Miss CUSA-W 3 - 2 1 - 0 -9.81
97 SMU AAC-W 1 - 4 0 - 1 -9.96
98 Arkansas St SUN 2 - 3 1 - 0 -10.11
99 South Florida AAC-E 1 - 3 0 - 1 -10.4
100 San Diego St MWC-W 2 - 3 1 - 0 -11.06
101 UNLV MWC-W 2 - 3 1 - 0 -11.78
102 San Jose St MWC-W 2 - 3 1 - 1 -11.85
103 ULM SUN 1 - 3 0 - 1 -13.56
104 Tulane AAC-W 2 - 2 1 - 0 -13.64
105 Massachusetts MAC-E 1 - 3 0 - 0 -13.88
106 Kent MAC-E 2 - 3 1 - 0 -14.29
107 ULL SUN 1 - 3 0 - 0 -14.41
108 Florida Intl CUSA-E 2 - 3 0 - 1 -14.41
109 UT San Antonio CUSA-W 1 - 4 1 - 0 -14.67
110 Rice CUSA-W 2 - 3 1 - 1 -15.39
111 Hawaii MWC-W 2 - 3 0 - 1 -16.53
112 Kansas BIG12 0 - 4 0 - 1 -17.01
113 New Mexico MWC-M 3 - 2 1 - 0 -17.1
114 South Alabama SUN 3 - 2 1 - 0 -17.56
115 Fresno St MWC-W 1 - 4 0 - 2 -17.92
116 E Michigan MAC-W 1 - 4 0 - 1 -18.16
117 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 1 - 3 1 - 0 -18.36
118 Troy SUN 1 - 3 0 - 1 -18.55
119 Texas St SUN 1 - 3 0 - 0 -20.09
120 Wyoming MWC-M 0 - 5 0 - 1 -20.72
121 Old Dominion CUSA-E 2 - 3 0 - 1 -21.18
122 Miami OH MAC-E 1 - 4 0 - 1 -21.2
123 Idaho SUN 1 - 4 0 - 2 -22.13
124 UTEP CUSA-W 2 - 3 0 - 1 -22.58
125 North Texas CUSA-W 0 - 4 0 - 2 -25.21
126 New Mexico St SUN 0 - 4 0 - 1 -26.64
127 Georgia St SUN 1 - 3 1 - 0 -27.13
128 Charlotte CUSA-E 2 - 3 0 - 2 -32.68