Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2024 Postseason

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Ohio St BIG10-E 14 - 2 8 - 2 28.39
2 Notre Dame IND 14 - 2 0 - 0 24.79
3 Texas SEC-W 13 - 3 7 - 2 21.01
4 Indiana BIG10-E 11 - 2 8 - 1 20.88
5 Penn St BIG10-E 13 - 3 8 - 2 20.67
6 Oregon BIG10-W 13 - 1 10 - 1 20.44
7 Mississippi SEC-W 10 - 3 5 - 3 20.1
8 Georgia SEC-E 11 - 3 7 - 2 17.07
9 Alabama SEC-W 9 - 4 5 - 3 16.7
10 South Carolina SEC-E 9 - 4 5 - 3 16
11 Tennessee SEC-E 10 - 3 6 - 2 15.45
12 LSU SEC-W 9 - 4 5 - 3 13.83
13 Florida SEC-E 8 - 5 4 - 4 13.74
14 Michigan BIG10-E 8 - 5 5 - 4 13.18
15 Arizona St BIG12 11 - 3 8 - 2 12.87
16 USC BIG10-W 7 - 6 4 - 5 12.01
17 Minnesota BIG10-W 8 - 5 5 - 4 11.9
18 SMU ACC-A 11 - 3 8 - 1 11.84
19 Miami FL ACC-C 10 - 3 6 - 2 11.39
20 Louisville ACC-A 9 - 4 5 - 3 11.16
21 BYU BIG12 11 - 2 8 - 2 10.92
22 Texas A&M SEC-W 8 - 5 5 - 3 10.82
23 Clemson ACC-A 10 - 4 8 - 1 10.54
24 Colorado BIG12 9 - 4 7 - 3 10.37
25 Iowa BIG10-W 8 - 5 6 - 3 10.23
26 Missouri SEC-E 10 - 3 5 - 3 9.54
27 Iowa St BIG12 11 - 3 7 - 3 8.76
28 Illinois BIG10-W 10 - 3 6 - 3 8.71
29 Baylor BIG12 8 - 5 6 - 4 7.91
30 TCU BIG12 9 - 4 6 - 3 7.42
31 Kansas St BIG12 9 - 4 6 - 4 7.32
32 Arkansas SEC-W 7 - 6 3 - 5 6.94
33 Kansas BIG12 5 - 7 4 - 5 6.81
34 Oklahoma SEC-W 6 - 7 2 - 6 6.75
35 Vanderbilt SEC-E 7 - 6 3 - 5 6.7
36 Nebraska BIG10-W 7 - 6 3 - 6 6.67
37 Virginia Tech ACC-C 6 - 7 4 - 4 6.4
38 Tulane AAC-W 9 - 5 7 - 2 6.27
39 Boise St MWC-M 12 - 2 8 - 0 6
40 Army AAC-E 12 - 2 9 - 1 5.89
41 Auburn SEC-W 5 - 7 2 - 6 5.21
42 Washington BIG10-W 6 - 7 4 - 5 5.15
43 Ohio MAC-E 11 - 3 8 - 1 5.04
44 Rutgers BIG10-E 7 - 6 4 - 5 4.82
45 Navy AAC-W 10 - 3 7 - 2 4.44
46 Texas Tech BIG12 8 - 5 6 - 3 4.04
47 Georgia Tech ACC-C 7 - 6 5 - 3 4
48 Syracuse ACC-A 10 - 3 5 - 3 3.84
49 Wisconsin BIG10-W 5 - 7 3 - 6 3.6
50 UCLA BIG10-W 5 - 7 3 - 6 3.37
51 Memphis AAC-W 11 - 2 6 - 2 2.52
52 UNLV MWC-W 11 - 3 6 - 2 2.4
53 Marshall SUN 10 - 3 8 - 1 2.21
54 Kentucky SEC-E 4 - 8 1 - 7 2.12
55 Boston College ACC-A 7 - 6 4 - 4 2.11
56 Texas St SUN 8 - 5 5 - 3 0.85
57 Utah BIG12 5 - 7 3 - 7 0.85
58 UCF BIG12 4 - 8 2 - 7 0.8
59 Cincinnati BIG12 5 - 7 3 - 6 0.55
60 Duke ACC-C 9 - 4 5 - 3 0.31
61 Miami OH MAC-E 9 - 5 7 - 2 -0.33
62 James Madison SUN 9 - 4 4 - 4 -0.53
63 Jacksonville St CUSA-E 9 - 5 8 - 1 -0.96
64 Pittsburgh ACC-C 7 - 6 3 - 5 -2.08
65 Mississippi St SEC-W 2 - 10 0 - 8 -2.4
66 Connecticut IND 9 - 4 2 - 0 -2.41
67 California ACC-C 6 - 7 2 - 6 -2.85
68 West Virginia BIG12 6 - 7 5 - 4 -2.85
69 Old Dominion SUN 5 - 7 4 - 4 -2.98
70 NC State ACC-A 6 - 7 3 - 5 -3.03
71 South Alabama SUN 7 - 6 5 - 3 -3.17
72 UT San Antonio AAC-W 7 - 6 4 - 4 -3.34
73 Maryland BIG10-E 4 - 8 1 - 8 -3.49
74 North Carolina ACC-C 6 - 7 3 - 5 -3.7
75 Louisiana SUN 10 - 4 7 - 2 -3.87
76 N Illinois MAC-W 8 - 5 4 - 4 -4.34
77 Michigan St BIG10-E 5 - 7 3 - 6 -4.44
78 Ga Southern SUN 8 - 5 6 - 2 -4.65
79 Bowling Green MAC-E 7 - 6 6 - 2 -4.68
80 Virginia ACC-C 5 - 7 3 - 5 -4.68
81 Houston BIG12 4 - 8 3 - 6 -5.07
82 Northwestern BIG10-W 4 - 8 2 - 7 -5.24
83 East Carolina AAC-E 8 - 5 5 - 3 -5.58
84 Buffalo MAC-E 9 - 4 6 - 2 -5.69
85 Washington St PAC12-N 8 - 5 0 - 1 -5.84
86 Toledo MAC-W 8 - 5 4 - 4 -5.99
87 South Florida AAC-E 7 - 6 4 - 4 -6.71
88 Sam Houston St CUSA-W 10 - 3 6 - 2 -7.44
89 Fresno St MWC-W 6 - 7 4 - 3 -7.89
90 North Texas AAC-W 6 - 7 3 - 5 -8.19
91 Wake Forest ACC-A 4 - 8 2 - 6 -8.4
92 Colorado St MWC-M 8 - 5 6 - 1 -8.59
93 Stanford ACC-C 3 - 9 2 - 6 -8.9
94 Arizona BIG12 4 - 8 2 - 8 -8.92
95 Appalachian St SUN 5 - 6 3 - 5 -9.2
96 San Jose St MWC-W 7 - 6 3 - 4 -9.2
97 Oklahoma St BIG12 3 - 9 0 - 9 -9.25
98 Rice AAC-W 4 - 8 3 - 5 -9.51
99 Florida St ACC-A 2 - 10 1 - 7 -9.66
100 Air Force MWC-M 5 - 7 3 - 4 -10.17
101 Troy SUN 4 - 8 3 - 5 -10.2
102 Liberty CUSA-E 8 - 4 5 - 3 -10.53
103 WKU CUSA-E 8 - 6 6 - 3 -10.6
104 W Michigan MAC-W 6 - 7 5 - 3 -10.83
105 Utah St MWC-M 4 - 8 3 - 4 -11.24
106 Arkansas St SUN 8 - 5 5 - 3 -11.28
107 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 5 - 8 4 - 4 -11.48
108 Coastal Car SUN 6 - 7 3 - 5 -11.92
109 Wyoming MWC-M 3 - 9 2 - 5 -12.29
110 Akron MAC-E 4 - 8 3 - 5 -12.59
111 Charlotte AAC-E 5 - 7 4 - 4 -12.79
112 Florida Intl CUSA-E 4 - 8 3 - 5 -12.98
113 UAB AAC-W 3 - 9 2 - 6 -13.26
114 New Mexico MWC-M 5 - 7 3 - 4 -13.54
115 Georgia St SUN 3 - 9 1 - 7 -13.68
116 ULM SUN 5 - 7 3 - 5 -13.83
117 Oregon St PAC12-S 5 - 7 1 - 0 -13.95
118 Nevada MWC-W 3 - 10 0 - 7 -14.08
119 E Michigan MAC-W 5 - 7 2 - 6 -14.68
120 Hawaii MWC-W 5 - 7 3 - 4 -15.1
121 Purdue BIG10-W 1 - 11 0 - 9 -16.53
122 FL Atlantic AAC-E 3 - 9 1 - 7 -16.79
123 Ball St MAC-W 3 - 9 2 - 6 -17.06
124 Massachusetts IND 2 - 10 2 - 1 -17.07
125 C Michigan MAC-W 4 - 8 2 - 6 -17.36
126 Temple AAC-E 3 - 9 2 - 6 -18.88
127 San Diego St MWC-W 3 - 9 2 - 5 -18.9
128 UTEP CUSA-W 3 - 9 3 - 5 -21.62
129 New Mexico St CUSA-W 3 - 9 2 - 6 -23.39
130 Kennesaw CUSA-E 2 - 10 2 - 6 -23.85
131 MTSU CUSA-E 3 - 9 2 - 6 -24.14
132 Southern Miss SUN 1 - 11 0 - 8 -28.16
133 Tulsa AAC-W 3 - 9 1 - 7 -28.82
134 Kent MAC-E 0 - 12 0 - 8 -30.13