Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2024 Week 11 (through games of 11/2/24)

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Alabama SEC-W 6 - 2 3 - 2 24
2 Ohio St BIG10-E 7 - 1 4 - 1 23.88
3 Georgia SEC-E 7 - 1 5 - 1 23
4 Texas SEC-W 7 - 1 3 - 1 20.03
5 Oregon BIG10-W 9 - 0 6 - 0 20.02
6 Notre Dame IND 7 - 1 0 - 0 19.95
7 Mississippi SEC-W 7 - 2 3 - 2 19.64
8 Tennessee SEC-E 7 - 1 4 - 1 18.54
9 LSU SEC-W 6 - 2 3 - 1 17.85
10 Indiana BIG10-E 9 - 0 6 - 0 16.78
11 Penn St BIG10-E 7 - 1 4 - 1 16.33
12 South Carolina SEC-E 5 - 3 3 - 3 15.91
13 Miami FL ACC-C 9 - 0 5 - 0 14.38
14 Clemson ACC-A 6 - 2 5 - 1 13.74
15 Texas A&M SEC-W 7 - 2 5 - 1 13.36
16 Iowa BIG10-W 6 - 3 4 - 2 13.11
17 Iowa St BIG12 7 - 1 4 - 1 12.74
18 SMU ACC-A 8 - 1 5 - 0 12.09
19 Florida SEC-E 4 - 4 2 - 3 11.64
20 Louisville ACC-A 6 - 3 4 - 2 11.3
21 Boise St MWC-M 7 - 1 4 - 0 10.54
22 BYU BIG12 8 - 0 5 - 0 10.12
23 Kansas St BIG12 7 - 2 5 - 2 9.46
24 USC BIG10-W 4 - 5 2 - 5 9.15
25 Minnesota BIG10-W 6 - 3 4 - 2 8.79
26 Cincinnati BIG12 5 - 3 3 - 2 8.64
27 Oklahoma SEC-W 5 - 4 1 - 4 8.56
28 Tulane AAC-W 7 - 2 5 - 0 8.07
29 Michigan BIG10-E 5 - 4 3 - 3 8.03
30 Pittsburgh ACC-C 7 - 1 3 - 1 7.34
31 Wisconsin BIG10-W 5 - 4 3 - 3 7.33
32 Washington BIG10-W 5 - 4 3 - 3 6.94
33 Colorado BIG12 6 - 2 4 - 1 6.6
34 UCF BIG12 4 - 5 2 - 4 6.35
35 Virginia Tech ACC-C 5 - 4 3 - 2 6.12
36 North Carolina ACC-C 5 - 4 2 - 3 5.82
37 Arkansas SEC-W 5 - 4 3 - 3 5.7
38 Kentucky SEC-E 3 - 6 1 - 6 5.69
39 California ACC-C 4 - 4 0 - 4 5.67
40 Missouri SEC-E 6 - 2 2 - 2 4.89
41 Auburn SEC-W 3 - 6 1 - 5 4.73
42 Baylor BIG12 5 - 4 3 - 4 4.58
43 Texas Tech BIG12 6 - 3 4 - 2 4.57
44 Vanderbilt SEC-E 6 - 3 3 - 2 4.38
45 Arizona St BIG12 6 - 2 3 - 2 4.04
46 Army AAC-E 8 - 0 6 - 0 3.61
47 Washington St PAC12-N 7 - 1 0 - 0 3.51
48 James Madison SUN 6 - 2 2 - 2 3.23
49 TCU BIG12 5 - 4 3 - 3 3.22
50 UCLA BIG10-W 3 - 5 2 - 4 3.1
51 Illinois BIG10-W 6 - 3 3 - 3 2.82
52 Kansas BIG12 2 - 6 1 - 4 2.27
53 Nebraska BIG10-W 5 - 4 2 - 4 2.25
54 Duke ACC-C 6 - 3 2 - 3 2.12
55 UNLV MWC-W 6 - 2 2 - 1 2.05
56 Georgia Tech ACC-C 5 - 4 3 - 3 1.95
57 West Virginia BIG12 4 - 4 3 - 2 1.81
58 Maryland BIG10-E 4 - 4 1 - 4 0.71
59 Michigan St BIG10-E 4 - 5 2 - 4 0.49
60 Louisiana SUN 7 - 1 4 - 0 0.3
61 Syracuse ACC-A 6 - 2 3 - 2 0.27
62 Utah BIG12 4 - 4 2 - 4 0.17
63 NC State ACC-A 5 - 4 2 - 3 0.03
64 Houston BIG12 4 - 5 3 - 3 -0.62
65 Navy AAC-W 6 - 2 4 - 1 -0.95
66 Memphis AAC-W 7 - 2 3 - 2 -0.99
67 WKU CUSA-E 6 - 2 4 - 0 -1.31
68 Florida St ACC-A 1 - 8 1 - 7 -1.34
69 Oklahoma St BIG12 3 - 6 0 - 6 -1.61
70 Boston College ACC-A 4 - 4 1 - 3 -1.72
71 Northwestern BIG10-W 4 - 5 2 - 4 -1.83
72 South Alabama SUN 4 - 5 3 - 2 -1.9
73 Mississippi St SEC-W 2 - 7 0 - 5 -2.06
74 Virginia ACC-C 4 - 4 2 - 3 -2.22
75 Texas St SUN 4 - 4 2 - 2 -2.42
76 Marshall SUN 5 - 3 3 - 1 -2.52
77 Wake Forest ACC-A 4 - 4 2 - 2 -3
78 Miami OH MAC-E 4 - 4 3 - 1 -3.03
79 Jacksonville St CUSA-E 5 - 3 4 - 0 -3.4
80 Ga Southern SUN 6 - 3 4 - 1 -3.52
81 Oregon St PAC12-S 4 - 4 0 - 0 -3.64
82 Fresno St MWC-W 5 - 4 3 - 2 -3.86
83 Rutgers BIG10-E 4 - 4 1 - 4 -4
84 Old Dominion SUN 4 - 5 3 - 2 -4.45
85 Connecticut IND 6 - 3 1 - 0 -5.76
86 Ohio MAC-E 5 - 3 3 - 1 -5.87
87 North Texas AAC-W 5 - 3 2 - 2 -5.93
88 Appalachian St SUN 4 - 4 2 - 3 -6.65
89 Arizona BIG12 3 - 6 1 - 6 -7.02
90 Toledo MAC-W 6 - 3 3 - 2 -7.06
91 Bowling Green MAC-E 4 - 4 3 - 1 -7.55
92 Sam Houston St CUSA-W 7 - 2 4 - 1 -7.9
93 Troy SUN 2 - 7 1 - 4 -8.03
94 Colorado St MWC-M 6 - 3 4 - 0 -8.15
95 South Florida AAC-E 4 - 4 2 - 2 -8.33
96 San Jose St MWC-W 5 - 3 3 - 2 -8.4
97 Liberty CUSA-E 5 - 2 3 - 2 -8.59
98 Coastal Car SUN 4 - 4 1 - 3 -8.75
99 N Illinois MAC-W 4 - 4 1 - 3 -9.02
100 Rice AAC-W 3 - 6 2 - 3 -9.3
101 UT San Antonio AAC-W 4 - 5 2 - 3 -9.44
102 W Michigan MAC-W 5 - 3 4 - 0 -9.53
103 East Carolina AAC-E 4 - 4 2 - 2 -9.73
104 San Diego St MWC-W 3 - 5 2 - 1 -9.75
105 Georgia St SUN 2 - 6 0 - 4 -9.87
106 Hawaii MWC-W 4 - 5 2 - 2 -10.06
107 Purdue BIG10-W 1 - 7 0 - 5 -10.16
108 ULM SUN 5 - 3 3 - 2 -10.21
109 Stanford ACC-C 2 - 7 1 - 5 -10.58
110 Arkansas St SUN 5 - 3 3 - 1 -11.53
111 Nevada MWC-W 3 - 7 0 - 4 -12.64
112 Charlotte AAC-E 3 - 6 2 - 3 -12.69
113 Buffalo MAC-E 5 - 4 3 - 2 -12.99
114 Air Force MWC-M 1 - 7 0 - 4 -13.14
115 E Michigan MAC-W 5 - 4 2 - 3 -13.14
116 UAB AAC-W 2 - 6 1 - 4 -13.22
117 Wyoming MWC-M 2 - 7 2 - 3 -13.29
118 FL Atlantic AAC-E 2 - 6 0 - 4 -14.36
119 Florida Intl CUSA-E 3 - 6 2 - 3 -15.37
120 Ball St MAC-W 3 - 5 2 - 2 -15.58
121 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 3 - 5 2 - 3 -15.79
122 Utah St MWC-M 2 - 6 1 - 3 -16.09
123 New Mexico MWC-M 3 - 6 2 - 3 -16.8
124 MTSU CUSA-E 3 - 6 2 - 3 -17.49
125 C Michigan MAC-W 3 - 5 1 - 3 -17.63
126 Temple AAC-E 2 - 6 1 - 3 -18.27
127 Southern Miss SUN 1 - 7 0 - 4 -18.7
128 Akron MAC-E 2 - 7 1 - 4 -19.61
129 UTEP CUSA-W 1 - 8 1 - 5 -19.66
130 Kennesaw CUSA-E 1 - 7 1 - 3 -21.04
131 Tulsa AAC-W 3 - 6 1 - 4 -21.28
132 New Mexico St CUSA-W 2 - 6 1 - 4 -23.48
133 Kent MAC-E 0 - 8 0 - 4 -24.04
134 Massachusetts IND 2 - 7 2 - 0 -25.69