Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2016 After Week 4 (9/25/2016)

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Alabama SEC-W 4 - 0 1 - 0 28.2
2 Ohio St BIG10-E 3 - 0 0 - 0 27.89
3 Michigan BIG10-E 4 - 0 1 - 0 21.52
4 Louisville ACC-A 4 - 0 2 - 0 20.32
5 Stanford PAC12-N 3 - 0 2 - 0 19.96
6 Houston AAC-W 4 - 0 1 - 0 19.96
7 Texas A&M SEC-W 4 - 0 2 - 0 18.68
8 Clemson ACC-A 4 - 0 1 - 0 18.37
9 Mississippi SEC-W 2 - 2 1 - 1 17.87
10 Wisconsin BIG10-W 4 - 0 1 - 0 15.97
11 Oklahoma BIG12 1 - 2 0 - 0 15.81
12 Memphis AAC-W 3 - 0 0 - 0 15.54
13 Virginia Tech ACC-C 3 - 1 1 - 0 13.89
14 Florida St ACC-A 3 - 1 0 - 1 13.77
15 Tennessee SEC-E 4 - 0 1 - 0 13.75
16 Washington PAC12-N 4 - 0 1 - 0 13.57
17 Oregon PAC12-N 2 - 2 0 - 1 13.22
18 TCU BIG12 3 - 1 1 - 0 12.37
19 Auburn SEC-W 2 - 2 1 - 1 12.27
20 Baylor BIG12 4 - 0 1 - 0 11.59
21 Nebraska BIG10-W 4 - 0 1 - 0 11.56
22 LSU SEC-W 2 - 2 1 - 1 11.25
23 Kansas St BIG12 2 - 1 0 - 0 10.95
24 Miami FL ACC-C 3 - 0 0 - 0 10.94
25 Iowa BIG10-W 3 - 1 1 - 0 10.7
26 Boise St MWC-M 3 - 0 0 - 0 10.03
27 West Virginia BIG12 3 - 0 0 - 0 9.65
28 Washington St PAC12-N 1 - 2 0 - 0 9.51
29 Florida SEC-E 3 - 1 1 - 1 9.41
30 Arkansas SEC-W 3 - 1 0 - 1 9.29
31 Michigan St BIG10-E 2 - 1 0 - 1 9.07
32 UCLA PAC12-S 2 - 2 0 - 1 8.72
33 USC PAC12-S 1 - 3 0 - 2 8.22
34 Georgia Tech ACC-C 3 - 1 1 - 1 7.98
35 Georgia SEC-E 3 - 1 1 - 1 7.62
36 North Carolina ACC-C 3 - 1 1 - 0 6.57
37 Utah PAC12-S 4 - 0 1 - 0 6.16
38 Colorado PAC12-S 3 - 1 1 - 0 6
39 Arizona St PAC12-S 4 - 0 1 - 0 5.59
40 Toledo MAC-W 3 - 0 0 - 0 5.41
41 BYU IND 1 - 3 0 - 0 5.07
42 Notre Dame IND 1 - 3 0 - 0 5.04
43 Oklahoma St BIG12 2 - 2 0 - 1 4.88
44 Missouri SEC-E 2 - 2 0 - 1 4.52
45 W Michigan MAC-W 4 - 0 0 - 0 4.48
46 South Florida AAC-E 3 - 1 0 - 0 4.45
47 Navy AAC-W 3 - 0 2 - 0 4.4
48 Northwestern BIG10-W 1 - 3 0 - 1 4.27
49 Mississippi St SEC-W 2 - 2 1 - 1 4.24
50 San Diego St MWC-W 3 - 0 0 - 0 3.32
51 Pittsburgh ACC-C 2 - 2 0 - 1 3.17
52 Arizona PAC12-S 2 - 2 0 - 1 2.99
53 Texas BIG12 2 - 1 0 - 0 2.13
54 Air Force MWC-M 3 - 0 1 - 0 2.11
55 Cincinnati AAC-E 3 - 1 0 - 1 1.77
56 California PAC12-N 2 - 2 0 - 1 1.21
57 Troy SUN 3 - 1 1 - 0 1.19
58 WKU CUSA-E 2 - 2 1 - 0 0.65
59 Minnesota BIG10-W 3 - 0 0 - 0 0.55
60 Penn St BIG10-E 2 - 2 0 - 1 0.51
61 NC State ACC-A 2 - 1 0 - 0 0.33
62 Virginia ACC-C 1 - 3 0 - 0 0.24
63 Texas Tech BIG12 2 - 1 0 - 0 0.1
64 Duke ACC-C 2 - 2 0 - 1 -0.26
65 Wake Forest ACC-A 4 - 0 1 - 0 -0.51
66 Appalachian St SUN 2 - 2 0 - 0 -0.95
67 South Carolina SEC-E 2 - 2 1 - 2 -1.66
68 Vanderbilt SEC-E 2 - 2 0 - 1 -2.1
69 Syracuse ACC-A 2 - 2 0 - 1 -2.96
70 Maryland BIG10-E 3 - 0 0 - 0 -3.06
71 Rutgers BIG10-E 2 - 2 0 - 1 -3.28
72 Southern Miss CUSA-W 3 - 1 1 - 0 -3.54
73 Indiana BIG10-E 2 - 1 0 - 0 -3.68
74 C Michigan MAC-W 3 - 1 0 - 0 -4.14
75 Tulsa AAC-W 3 - 1 0 - 0 -4.36
76 Connecticut AAC-E 2 - 2 0 - 1 -4.47
77 Temple AAC-E 2 - 2 0 - 0 -4.61
78 Iowa St BIG12 1 - 3 0 - 1 -4.66
79 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 1 - 3 0 - 1 -4.72
80 Oregon St PAC12-N 1 - 2 0 - 0 -4.98
81 Boston College ACC-A 2 - 2 0 - 2 -5.05
82 East Carolina AAC-E 2 - 2 0 - 0 -5.1
83 Utah St MWC-M 2 - 2 0 - 1 -5.19
84 Ga Southern SUN 3 - 1 2 - 0 -5.21
85 UCF AAC-E 2 - 2 0 - 0 -5.47
86 Army IND 3 - 1 0 - 0 -5.56
87 Ohio MAC-E 2 - 2 0 - 0 -6.9
88 Kentucky SEC-E 2 - 2 1 - 1 -7.09
89 Marshall CUSA-E 1 - 2 0 - 0 -7.33
90 Purdue BIG10-W 2 - 1 0 - 0 -7.86
91 MTSU CUSA-E 3 - 1 1 - 0 -8.16
92 Akron MAC-E 2 - 2 0 - 0 -8.29
93 Illinois BIG10-W 1 - 2 0 - 0 -8.83
94 Nevada MWC-W 2 - 2 0 - 0 -9.45
95 Tulane AAC-W 2 - 2 0 - 1 -9.47
96 N Illinois MAC-W 0 - 4 0 - 0 -9.79
97 Colorado St MWC-M 2 - 2 0 - 0 -9.89
98 Miami OH MAC-E 0 - 4 0 - 0 -10.9
99 Arkansas St SUN 0 - 4 0 - 0 -11.33
100 ULL SUN 2 - 2 1 - 0 -11.83
101 Ball St MAC-W 3 - 1 0 - 0 -11.85
102 SMU AAC-W 2 - 2 0 - 0 -12.77
103 Georgia St SUN 0 - 3 0 - 0 -13.27
104 South Alabama SUN 2 - 2 0 - 2 -13.95
105 Buffalo MAC-E 1 - 2 0 - 0 -14.15
106 Fresno St MWC-W 1 - 3 0 - 0 -14.3
107 Kansas BIG12 1 - 2 0 - 0 -15.57
108 Wyoming MWC-M 2 - 2 0 - 0 -16.01
109 ULM SUN 1 - 2 0 - 1 -16.03
110 Bowling Green MAC-E 1 - 3 0 - 0 -16.14
111 Kent MAC-E 1 - 3 0 - 0 -16.35
112 New Mexico MWC-M 1 - 2 0 - 0 -16.53
113 Massachusetts IND 1 - 3 0 - 0 -16.71
114 Old Dominion CUSA-E 2 - 2 1 - 0 -17.24
115 UT San Antonio CUSA-W 1 - 3 0 - 1 -17.57
116 San Jose St MWC-W 1 - 3 0 - 0 -18.14
117 Rice CUSA-W 0 - 4 0 - 2 -18.18
118 Hawaii MWC-W 1 - 3 0 - 0 -18.23
119 UNLV MWC-W 1 - 3 0 - 0 -18.72
120 North Texas CUSA-W 2 - 2 1 - 0 -18.8
121 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 1 - 3 0 - 0 -19.15
122 Texas St SUN 1 - 2 0 - 0 -19.58
123 E Michigan MAC-W 3 - 1 0 - 0 -19.89
124 Idaho SUN 2 - 2 0 - 0 -20.92
125 UTEP CUSA-W 1 - 3 0 - 1 -24.23
126 Florida Intl CUSA-E 0 - 4 0 - 0 -24.71
127 New Mexico St SUN 1 - 3 0 - 1 -26.67
128 Charlotte CUSA-E 1 - 3 0 - 0 -29.86