Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2016 After Week 5 (10/2/2016)

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Ohio St BIG10-E 4 - 0 1 - 0 30.28
2 Alabama SEC-W 5 - 0 2 - 0 28.15
3 Michigan BIG10-E 5 - 0 2 - 0 24
4 Mississippi SEC-W 3 - 2 1 - 1 21.42
5 Clemson ACC-A 5 - 0 2 - 0 21.12
6 Washington PAC12-N 5 - 0 2 - 0 20.65
7 Louisville ACC-A 4 - 1 2 - 1 18.9
8 Houston AAC-W 5 - 0 2 - 0 18.47
9 Texas A&M SEC-W 5 - 0 3 - 0 17.44
10 Wisconsin BIG10-W 4 - 1 1 - 1 16.67
11 LSU SEC-W 3 - 2 2 - 1 16.55
12 Oklahoma BIG12 2 - 2 1 - 0 15.57
13 Auburn SEC-W 3 - 2 1 - 1 15.55
14 Virginia Tech ACC-C 3 - 1 1 - 0 15.04
15 Stanford PAC12-N 3 - 1 2 - 1 14.54
16 Washington St PAC12-N 2 - 2 1 - 0 13.77
17 Miami FL ACC-C 4 - 0 1 - 0 13.72
18 Tennessee SEC-E 5 - 0 2 - 0 13.66
19 Florida St ACC-A 3 - 2 0 - 2 12.96
20 Oregon PAC12-N 2 - 3 0 - 2 11.35
21 Memphis AAC-W 3 - 1 0 - 0 11.3
22 Nebraska BIG10-W 5 - 0 2 - 0 10.95
23 TCU BIG12 3 - 2 1 - 1 10.69
24 W Michigan MAC-W 5 - 0 1 - 0 10.62
25 UCLA PAC12-S 3 - 2 1 - 1 10.02
26 Florida SEC-E 4 - 1 2 - 1 9.61
27 North Carolina ACC-C 4 - 1 2 - 0 9.44
28 Georgia SEC-E 3 - 2 1 - 2 9.19
29 USC PAC12-S 2 - 3 1 - 2 9.01
30 Baylor BIG12 5 - 0 2 - 0 8.74
31 Boise St MWC-M 4 - 0 1 - 0 8.68
32 Arkansas SEC-W 4 - 1 0 - 1 8.67
33 West Virginia BIG12 4 - 0 1 - 0 8.59
34 Kansas St BIG12 2 - 2 0 - 1 8.56
35 Georgia Tech ACC-C 3 - 2 1 - 2 8.33
36 Colorado PAC12-S 4 - 1 2 - 0 8.13
37 Mississippi St SEC-W 2 - 2 1 - 1 7.54
38 Iowa BIG10-W 3 - 2 1 - 1 7.39
39 Northwestern BIG10-W 2 - 3 1 - 1 6.63
40 South Florida AAC-E 4 - 1 1 - 0 6.14
41 Michigan St BIG10-E 2 - 2 0 - 2 6
42 Oklahoma St BIG12 3 - 2 1 - 1 5.55
43 NC State ACC-A 3 - 1 1 - 0 5.13
44 Air Force MWC-M 4 - 0 1 - 0 5.06
45 BYU IND 2 - 3 0 - 0 4.91
46 Maryland BIG10-E 4 - 0 1 - 0 4.74
47 Utah PAC12-S 4 - 1 1 - 1 4.15
48 Pittsburgh ACC-C 3 - 2 0 - 1 3.96
49 Toledo MAC-W 3 - 1 0 - 0 3.49
50 Troy SUN 4 - 1 2 - 0 3.25
51 Notre Dame IND 2 - 3 0 - 0 3.23
52 Arizona PAC12-S 2 - 3 0 - 2 2.93
53 Arizona St PAC12-S 4 - 1 1 - 1 2.56
54 South Carolina SEC-E 2 - 3 1 - 3 1.94
55 Penn St BIG10-E 3 - 2 1 - 1 1.36
56 Appalachian St SUN 3 - 2 1 - 0 1.2
57 Texas Tech BIG12 3 - 1 1 - 0 1.18
58 Missouri SEC-E 2 - 3 0 - 2 1.14
59 Virginia ACC-C 2 - 3 1 - 0 1.1
60 California PAC12-N 3 - 2 1 - 1 0.87
61 WKU CUSA-E 3 - 2 1 - 0 0.73
62 Navy AAC-W 3 - 1 2 - 0 0.73
63 UCF AAC-E 3 - 2 1 - 0 0.4
64 Vanderbilt SEC-E 2 - 3 0 - 2 -0.75
65 Texas BIG12 2 - 2 0 - 1 -1.27
66 Ga Southern SUN 3 - 1 2 - 0 -1.6
67 Indiana BIG10-E 3 - 1 1 - 0 -1.64
68 Boston College ACC-A 3 - 2 0 - 2 -2.1
69 Duke ACC-C 2 - 3 0 - 2 -2.68
70 Wake Forest ACC-A 4 - 1 1 - 1 -2.69
71 Minnesota BIG10-W 3 - 1 0 - 1 -2.71
72 San Diego St MWC-W 3 - 1 0 - 0 -3.13
73 Southern Miss CUSA-W 4 - 1 2 - 0 -3.35
74 Temple AAC-E 3 - 2 1 - 0 -3.76
75 Kentucky SEC-E 2 - 3 1 - 2 -3.8
76 Cincinnati AAC-E 3 - 2 0 - 2 -3.82
77 Utah St MWC-M 2 - 3 0 - 2 -3.98
78 Iowa St BIG12 1 - 4 0 - 2 -4.37
79 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 2 - 3 1 - 1 -4.91
80 Rutgers BIG10-E 2 - 3 0 - 2 -5.05
81 Connecticut AAC-E 2 - 3 0 - 2 -5.14
82 Syracuse ACC-A 2 - 3 0 - 1 -5.23
83 Illinois BIG10-W 1 - 3 0 - 1 -5.23
84 East Carolina AAC-E 2 - 3 0 - 1 -5.62
85 Tulsa AAC-W 3 - 1 0 - 0 -5.81
86 C Michigan MAC-W 3 - 2 0 - 1 -5.89
87 Army IND 3 - 1 0 - 0 -6.7
88 South Alabama SUN 3 - 2 0 - 2 -6.9
89 Ohio MAC-E 3 - 2 1 - 0 -7.14
90 MTSU CUSA-E 4 - 1 2 - 0 -7.49
91 Marshall CUSA-E 1 - 3 0 - 0 -8.61
92 Akron MAC-E 3 - 2 1 - 0 -8.75
93 N Illinois MAC-W 1 - 4 1 - 0 -9.77
94 Oregon St PAC12-N 1 - 3 0 - 1 -10.3
95 Tulane AAC-W 3 - 2 0 - 1 -10.68
96 Arkansas St SUN 0 - 4 0 - 0 -10.68
97 Wyoming MWC-M 3 - 2 1 - 0 -12.15
98 Georgia St SUN 0 - 4 0 - 1 -12.65
99 Old Dominion CUSA-E 3 - 2 2 - 0 -13.05
100 Ball St MAC-W 3 - 2 0 - 1 -13.2
101 ULL SUN 2 - 3 1 - 1 -14.02
102 Miami OH MAC-E 0 - 5 0 - 1 -14.05
103 Hawaii MWC-W 2 - 3 1 - 0 -14.54
104 UNLV MWC-W 2 - 3 1 - 0 -14.58
105 Massachusetts IND 1 - 4 0 - 0 -15.01
106 Colorado St MWC-M 2 - 3 0 - 1 -15.03
107 Kent MAC-E 1 - 4 0 - 1 -15.1
108 New Mexico MWC-M 2 - 2 1 - 0 -15.74
109 Idaho SUN 2 - 3 0 - 1 -15.85
110 SMU AAC-W 2 - 3 0 - 1 -16.66
111 Purdue BIG10-W 2 - 2 0 - 1 -16.75
112 ULM SUN 1 - 3 0 - 1 -17.16
113 Nevada MWC-W 2 - 3 0 - 1 -17.82
114 Bowling Green MAC-E 1 - 4 0 - 1 -17.94
115 UT San Antonio CUSA-W 1 - 3 0 - 1 -18.49
116 Rice CUSA-W 0 - 5 0 - 3 -18.71
117 E Michigan MAC-W 4 - 1 1 - 0 -19.36
118 Fresno St MWC-W 1 - 4 0 - 1 -19.62
119 San Jose St MWC-W 1 - 4 0 - 1 -19.66
120 North Texas CUSA-W 2 - 3 1 - 1 -20.03
121 Texas St SUN 2 - 2 0 - 0 -20.23
122 Kansas BIG12 1 - 3 0 - 1 -20.34
123 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 1 - 4 0 - 1 -20.48
124 Florida Intl CUSA-E 1 - 4 1 - 0 -20.73
125 Buffalo MAC-E 1 - 3 0 - 0 -20.77
126 New Mexico St SUN 2 - 3 1 - 1 -22.56
127 UTEP CUSA-W 1 - 4 0 - 2 -24.74
128 Charlotte CUSA-E 1 - 4 0 - 1 -32.72