Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

Week 9 (Through Games of 10/24/15)

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Clemson ACC-A 7 - 0 4 - 0 24.92
2 Baylor BIG12 7 - 0 4 - 0 23.7
3 Oklahoma BIG12 6 - 1 3 - 1 22.84
4 Alabama SEC-W 7 - 1 4 - 1 21.19
5 Ohio St BIG10-E 8 - 0 4 - 0 19.59
6 Notre Dame IND 6 - 1 0 - 0 19.36
7 Stanford PAC12-N 6 - 1 5 - 0 18.88
8 USC PAC12-S 4 - 3 2 - 2 17.72
9 Michigan BIG10-E 5 - 2 2 - 1 16.91
10 TCU BIG12 7 - 0 4 - 0 16.58
11 LSU SEC-W 7 - 0 4 - 0 16.32
12 Oklahoma St BIG12 7 - 0 4 - 0 15.73
13 Florida SEC-E 6 - 1 4 - 1 13.88
14 Iowa BIG10-W 7 - 0 3 - 0 13.54
15 Florida St ACC-A 6 - 1 4 - 1 13.1
16 Utah PAC12-S 6 - 1 3 - 1 13.07
17 Mississippi St SEC-W 6 - 2 2 - 2 13.03
18 Michigan St BIG10-E 8 - 0 4 - 0 12.82
19 North Carolina ACC-C 6 - 1 3 - 0 12.8
20 Tennessee SEC-E 3 - 4 1 - 3 12.71
21 West Virginia BIG12 3 - 3 0 - 3 12.5
22 Houston AAC-W 7 - 0 4 - 0 11.42
23 Wisconsin BIG10-W 6 - 2 3 - 1 11.11
24 Mississippi SEC-W 6 - 2 3 - 1 10.94
25 UCLA PAC12-S 5 - 2 2 - 2 10.69
26 Georgia Tech ACC-C 3 - 5 1 - 4 10.39
27 Memphis AAC-W 7 - 0 3 - 0 10.23
28 Texas A&M SEC-W 5 - 2 2 - 2 10.08
29 Georgia SEC-E 5 - 2 3 - 2 10
30 Boise St MWC-M 6 - 2 3 - 1 9.15
31 Appalachian St SUN 6 - 1 3 - 0 9.13
32 Duke ACC-C 6 - 1 3 - 0 8.9
33 BYU IND 6 - 2 1 - 0 8.12
34 Oregon PAC12-N 4 - 3 2 - 2 8.06
35 Arkansas SEC-W 3 - 4 2 - 2 7.75
36 Washington PAC12-N 3 - 4 1 - 3 7.74
37 Bowling Green MAC-E 6 - 2 4 - 0 7.59
38 Pittsburgh ACC-C 6 - 1 4 - 0 7.26
39 Arizona St PAC12-S 4 - 3 2 - 2 7.14
40 Toledo MAC-W 7 - 0 4 - 0 6.86
41 Texas BIG12 3 - 4 2 - 2 6.68
42 Louisville ACC-A 3 - 4 2 - 2 6.57
43 California PAC12-N 5 - 2 2 - 2 6.31
44 Texas Tech BIG12 5 - 3 2 - 3 6.16
45 Navy AAC-W 5 - 1 3 - 0 5.96
46 Nebraska BIG10-W 3 - 5 1 - 3 5.55
47 Virginia Tech ACC-C 3 - 5 1 - 3 4.55
48 Auburn SEC-W 4 - 3 1 - 3 4.44
49 Temple AAC-E 7 - 0 4 - 0 4.14
50 Penn St BIG10-E 6 - 2 3 - 1 4.02
51 Northwestern BIG10-W 6 - 2 2 - 2 3.7
52 Washington St PAC12-N 5 - 2 3 - 1 3.37
53 Kansas St BIG12 3 - 4 0 - 4 3.31
54 NC State ACC-A 5 - 2 1 - 2 2.85
55 Cincinnati AAC-E 4 - 3 1 - 2 2.68
56 Arizona PAC12-S 5 - 3 2 - 3 2.25
57 Utah St MWC-M 4 - 3 3 - 1 2.13
58 W Kentucky CUSA-E 6 - 2 4 - 0 1.98
59 Boston College ACC-A 3 - 5 0 - 5 1.78
60 East Carolina AAC-E 4 - 4 2 - 2 1.7
61 Missouri SEC-E 4 - 4 1 - 4 1.49
62 N Illinois MAC-W 5 - 3 3 - 1 1.29
63 South Florida AAC-E 4 - 3 2 - 1 0.65
64 South Carolina SEC-E 3 - 4 1 - 4 0.53
65 Miami FL ACC-C 4 - 3 1 - 2 0.44
66 Illinois BIG10-W 4 - 3 1 - 2 0.26
67 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 5 - 3 3 - 1 0.11
68 C Michigan MAC-W 4 - 4 3 - 1 0.05
69 Kentucky SEC-E 4 - 3 2 - 3 -1.15
70 San Diego St MWC-W 5 - 3 4 - 0 -1.42
71 W Michigan MAC-W 4 - 3 3 - 0 -1.48
72 Syracuse ACC-A 3 - 4 1 - 2 -1.56
73 Maryland BIG10-E 2 - 5 0 - 3 -1.73
74 Iowa St BIG12 2 - 5 1 - 3 -1.91
75 Virginia ACC-C 2 - 5 1 - 2 -2.02
76 Vanderbilt SEC-E 3 - 4 1 - 3 -2.09
77 Ga Southern SUN 5 - 2 3 - 1 -2.76
78 Marshall CUSA-E 7 - 1 4 - 0 -3.1
79 Indiana BIG10-E 4 - 4 0 - 4 -3.31
80 Minnesota BIG10-W 4 - 3 1 - 2 -3.71
81 Rutgers BIG10-E 3 - 4 1 - 3 -4.27
82 Air Force MWC-M 4 - 3 3 - 1 -5.82
83 Tulsa AAC-W 3 - 4 0 - 3 -5.94
84 Southern Miss CUSA-W 5 - 3 3 - 1 -6.94
85 Connecticut AAC-E 3 - 5 1 - 3 -7.17
86 Colorado St MWC-M 3 - 4 1 - 2 -7.35
87 Colorado PAC12-S 4 - 4 1 - 3 -7.38
88 Wake Forest ACC-A 3 - 5 1 - 4 -7.61
89 Buffalo MAC-E 3 - 4 1 - 2 -7.91
90 Arkansas St SUN 4 - 3 3 - 0 -7.92
91 Oregon St PAC12-N 2 - 5 0 - 4 -8.45
92 Purdue BIG10-W 1 - 6 0 - 3 -8.9
93 MTSU CUSA-E 3 - 5 2 - 2 -8.91
94 Nevada MWC-W 4 - 4 2 - 2 -10.53
95 Florida Intl CUSA-E 4 - 4 2 - 2 -10.65
96 Ball St MAC-W 2 - 6 1 - 3 -10.76
97 SMU AAC-W 1 - 6 0 - 3 -10.89
98 Ohio MAC-E 5 - 3 2 - 2 -11.34
99 Akron MAC-E 3 - 4 1 - 2 -11.91
100 Massachusetts MAC-E 1 - 6 0 - 3 -12.7
101 San Jose St MWC-W 4 - 4 3 - 2 -13.14
102 Rice CUSA-W 4 - 3 2 - 1 -13.38
103 Troy SUN 2 - 5 1 - 2 -13.53
104 ULL SUN 2 - 4 1 - 1 -13.63
105 Army IND 2 - 6 1 - 1 -13.77
106 UCF AAC-E 0 - 8 0 - 4 -14.01
107 UT San Antonio CUSA-W 1 - 6 1 - 2 -14.56
108 UNLV MWC-W 2 - 5 1 - 2 -14.91
109 Wyoming MWC-M 1 - 7 1 - 3 -15.46
110 Kansas BIG12 0 - 7 0 - 4 -15.82
111 Tulane AAC-W 2 - 5 1 - 3 -16.04
112 Kent MAC-E 3 - 5 2 - 2 -16.93
113 Idaho SUN 3 - 4 2 - 2 -17.73
114 Hawaii MWC-W 2 - 6 0 - 4 -17.8
115 Texas St SUN 2 - 4 1 - 1 -18.16
116 Fresno St MWC-W 2 - 6 1 - 4 -18.98
117 South Alabama SUN 3 - 4 1 - 2 -19.13
118 New Mexico MWC-M 4 - 4 2 - 2 -19.55
119 ULM SUN 1 - 6 0 - 3 -19.67
120 Georgia St SUN 2 - 4 1 - 1 -19.83
121 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 1 - 6 1 - 3 -20.44
122 North Texas CUSA-W 0 - 7 0 - 4 -21.85
123 E Michigan MAC-W 1 - 7 0 - 4 -22.5
124 Miami OH MAC-E 1 - 7 0 - 4 -24.29
125 UTEP CUSA-W 3 - 4 1 - 2 -24.46
126 Old Dominion CUSA-E 3 - 4 1 - 2 -25.05
127 New Mexico St SUN 0 - 7 0 - 3 -30.9
128 Charlotte CUSA-E 2 - 5 0 - 4 -32.18