Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

2018 Week 13 (through games of 11/17/2018)

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Alabama SEC-W 11 - 0 7 - 0 36.17
2 Clemson ACC-A 11 - 0 8 - 0 28.44
3 Georgia SEC-E 10 - 1 7 - 1 25.19
4 Michigan BIG10-E 10 - 1 8 - 0 22.75
5 Mississippi St SEC-W 7 - 4 3 - 4 19.41
6 Missouri SEC-E 7 - 4 3 - 4 19.12
7 Notre Dame IND 11 - 0 0 - 0 18.25
8 Oklahoma BIG12 10 - 1 7 - 1 17.21
9 West Virginia BIG12 8 - 2 6 - 2 16.31
10 LSU SEC-W 9 - 2 5 - 2 16.07
11 UCF AAC-E 10 - 0 7 - 0 15.85
12 Iowa BIG10-W 7 - 4 4 - 4 14.86
13 Texas A&M SEC-W 7 - 4 4 - 3 14.7
14 Florida SEC-E 8 - 3 5 - 3 14.34
15 Auburn SEC-W 7 - 4 3 - 4 13.9
16 Washington St PAC12-N 10 - 1 7 - 1 13.49
17 Ohio St BIG10-E 10 - 1 7 - 1 13.07
18 Fresno St MWC-W 9 - 2 6 - 1 12.7
19 Kentucky SEC-E 8 - 3 5 - 3 12.4
20 Utah PAC12-S 8 - 3 6 - 3 11.67
21 Texas BIG12 8 - 3 6 - 2 11.56
22 Penn St BIG10-E 8 - 3 5 - 3 11.21
23 South Carolina SEC-E 6 - 4 4 - 4 11.06
24 Utah St MWC-M 10 - 1 7 - 0 10.99
25 Iowa St BIG12 6 - 4 5 - 3 9.52
26 Boise St MWC-M 9 - 2 6 - 1 8.98
27 Army IND 9 - 2 3 - 0 8.22
28 Washington PAC12-N 8 - 3 6 - 2 8.2
29 Vanderbilt SEC-E 5 - 6 2 - 5 8.15
30 Northwestern BIG10-W 7 - 4 7 - 1 8.01
31 Purdue BIG10-W 5 - 6 4 - 4 7.57
32 Stanford PAC12-N 6 - 4 4 - 3 7.36
33 Temple AAC-E 7 - 4 6 - 1 7.04
34 Ohio MAC-E 7 - 4 5 - 2 7.03
35 Oklahoma St BIG12 6 - 5 3 - 5 7
36 Cincinnati AAC-E 9 - 2 5 - 2 7
37 Pittsburgh ACC-C 7 - 4 6 - 1 7
38 Michigan St BIG10-E 6 - 5 4 - 4 6.99
39 NC State ACC-A 7 - 3 4 - 3 6.3
40 Wisconsin BIG10-W 7 - 4 5 - 3 6.09
41 Texas Tech BIG12 5 - 6 3 - 5 6.05
42 Tennessee SEC-E 5 - 6 2 - 5 5.34
43 Appalachian St SUN 8 - 2 6 - 1 5.14
44 Syracuse ACC-A 8 - 3 5 - 2 4.92
45 Georgia Tech ACC-C 7 - 4 5 - 3 4.69
46 Arizona St PAC12-S 6 - 5 4 - 4 3.93
47 Boston College ACC-A 7 - 4 4 - 3 3.89
48 Maryland BIG10-E 5 - 6 3 - 5 3.78
49 Miami FL ACC-C 6 - 5 3 - 4 3.73
50 Virginia ACC-C 7 - 4 4 - 3 3.64
51 Duke ACC-C 7 - 4 3 - 4 3.62
52 Mississippi SEC-W 5 - 6 1 - 6 3.45
53 Oregon PAC12-N 7 - 4 4 - 4 3.11
54 Houston AAC-W 8 - 3 5 - 2 3.04
55 UAB CUSA-W 9 - 2 7 - 0 2.52
56 Kansas St BIG12 5 - 6 3 - 5 2.39
57 Memphis AAC-W 7 - 4 4 - 3 1.79
58 Nebraska BIG10-W 4 - 7 3 - 5 1.79
59 Indiana BIG10-E 5 - 6 2 - 6 1.22
60 BYU IND 6 - 5 3 - 0 0.58
61 Buffalo MAC-E 9 - 2 6 - 1 0.26
62 TCU BIG12 5 - 6 3 - 5 0.24
63 Minnesota BIG10-W 5 - 6 2 - 6 -0.09
64 California PAC12-N 6 - 4 3 - 4 -0.22
65 MTSU CUSA-E 7 - 4 6 - 1 -0.41
66 Nevada MWC-W 7 - 4 5 - 2 -0.48
67 USC PAC12-S 5 - 6 4 - 5 -0.49
68 Marshall CUSA-E 7 - 3 5 - 2 -0.75
69 N Illinois MAC-W 7 - 4 6 - 1 -0.82
70 Miami OH MAC-E 5 - 6 5 - 2 -1.2
71 North Texas CUSA-W 8 - 3 4 - 3 -1.29
72 Air Force MWC-M 4 - 7 2 - 5 -1.97
73 Arizona PAC12-S 5 - 6 4 - 4 -2.17
74 Baylor BIG12 5 - 6 3 - 5 -2.54
75 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 5 - 6 3 - 4 -2.65
76 San Diego St MWC-W 7 - 4 4 - 3 -2.82
77 Toledo MAC-W 6 - 5 4 - 3 -2.86
78 UCLA PAC12-S 3 - 8 3 - 5 -3.07
79 E Michigan MAC-W 6 - 5 4 - 3 -3.08
80 Troy SUN 9 - 2 7 - 0 -3.09
81 Wyoming MWC-M 5 - 6 3 - 4 -3.1
82 Ga Southern SUN 8 - 3 5 - 2 -3.12
83 Florida St ACC-A 5 - 6 3 - 5 -3.81
84 Arkansas SEC-W 2 - 9 0 - 7 -3.81
85 Florida Intl CUSA-E 8 - 3 6 - 1 -4.2
86 Arkansas St SUN 7 - 4 4 - 3 -4.22
87 Kansas BIG12 3 - 8 1 - 7 -4.43
88 Colorado PAC12-S 5 - 6 2 - 6 -4.54
89 SMU AAC-W 5 - 6 4 - 3 -5.29
90 Tulane AAC-W 5 - 6 4 - 3 -5.95
91 Wake Forest ACC-A 5 - 6 2 - 5 -6.55
92 ULL SUN 6 - 5 4 - 3 -7.15
93 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 7 - 4 5 - 2 -7.61
94 Southern Miss CUSA-W 5 - 5 4 - 3 -7.77
95 North Carolina ACC-C 2 - 8 1 - 6 -7.84
96 Virginia Tech ACC-C 4 - 6 3 - 4 -8.11
97 Navy AAC-W 3 - 8 2 - 5 -8.88
98 South Florida AAC-E 7 - 4 3 - 4 -9.4
99 Hawaii MWC-W 7 - 5 4 - 3 -10.77
100 East Carolina AAC-E 3 - 7 1 - 6 -10.92
101 ULM SUN 6 - 5 4 - 3 -11.1
102 Charlotte CUSA-E 4 - 7 3 - 4 -11.35
103 W Michigan MAC-W 6 - 5 4 - 3 -11.44
104 Tulsa AAC-W 2 - 9 1 - 6 -12.75
105 Rutgers BIG10-E 1 - 10 0 - 8 -12.81
106 Colorado St MWC-M 3 - 8 2 - 5 -13.21
107 Illinois BIG10-W 4 - 7 2 - 6 -14.3
108 New Mexico MWC-M 3 - 8 1 - 6 -14.36
109 Oregon St PAC12-N 2 - 9 1 - 7 -14.44
110 Old Dominion CUSA-E 4 - 7 2 - 5 -14.98
111 San Jose St MWC-W 1 - 10 1 - 6 -15.38
112 Akron MAC-E 4 - 6 2 - 5 -15.74
113 Coastal Car SUN 5 - 6 2 - 5 -15.84
114 Ball St MAC-W 4 - 7 3 - 4 -16.01
115 Massachusetts IND 4 - 8 2 - 1 -16.47
116 Liberty IND 4 - 6 1 - 3 -16.5
117 WKU CUSA-E 2 - 9 1 - 6 -16.66
118 UNLV MWC-W 3 - 8 1 - 6 -16.91
119 Bowling Green MAC-E 3 - 8 2 - 5 -17.27
120 Texas St SUN 3 - 8 1 - 6 -17.59
121 Georgia St SUN 2 - 9 1 - 6 -17.94
122 C Michigan MAC-W 1 - 10 0 - 7 -18.37
123 Louisville ACC-A 2 - 9 0 - 8 -18.56
124 Kent MAC-E 2 - 9 1 - 6 -20.04
125 UTEP CUSA-W 1 - 10 1 - 6 -21.95
126 New Mexico St IND 3 - 8 2 - 1 -23.49
127 South Alabama SUN 2 - 9 1 - 6 -23.55
128 UT San Antonio CUSA-W 3 - 8 2 - 5 -24
129 Rice CUSA-W 1 - 11 0 - 7 -24.93
130 Connecticut AAC-E 1 - 10 0 - 7 -27.09