Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

Week 11 (Through Games of 11/7/15)

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Clemson ACC-A 9 - 0 6 - 0 25.12
2 Oklahoma BIG12 8 - 1 5 - 1 25.06
3 Baylor BIG12 8 - 0 5 - 0 21.35
4 Alabama SEC-W 8 - 1 5 - 1 20.42
5 Notre Dame IND 8 - 1 0 - 0 20.08
6 North Carolina ACC-C 8 - 1 5 - 0 19.78
7 Ohio St BIG10-E 9 - 0 5 - 0 19.35
8 Oklahoma St BIG12 9 - 0 6 - 0 18.86
9 Stanford PAC12-N 8 - 1 7 - 0 17.07
10 TCU BIG12 8 - 1 5 - 1 16.91
11 Michigan BIG10-E 7 - 2 4 - 1 16.56
12 USC PAC12-S 6 - 3 4 - 2 15.45
13 Iowa BIG10-W 9 - 0 5 - 0 15.1
14 Houston AAC-W 9 - 0 5 - 0 15
15 Navy AAC-W 7 - 1 5 - 0 14.94
16 LSU SEC-W 7 - 1 4 - 1 14.68
17 Florida SEC-E 8 - 1 6 - 1 14.36
18 Mississippi St SEC-W 7 - 2 3 - 2 13.95
19 Tennessee SEC-E 5 - 4 3 - 3 13.62
20 Utah PAC12-S 8 - 1 5 - 1 13.17
21 Bowling Green MAC-E 7 - 2 5 - 0 12.96
22 Florida St ACC-A 7 - 2 5 - 2 12.59
23 Wisconsin BIG10-W 8 - 2 5 - 1 12.23
24 Michigan St BIG10-E 8 - 1 4 - 1 11.08
25 Mississippi SEC-W 7 - 3 4 - 2 11.08
26 Washington PAC12-N 4 - 5 2 - 4 10.6
27 Memphis AAC-W 8 - 1 4 - 1 10.39
28 West Virginia BIG12 4 - 4 1 - 4 9.86
29 UCLA PAC12-S 7 - 2 4 - 2 9.68
30 Boise St MWC-M 7 - 2 4 - 1 8.94
31 Pittsburgh ACC-C 6 - 3 4 - 1 8.44
32 Penn St BIG10-E 7 - 3 4 - 2 8.31
33 NC State ACC-A 6 - 3 2 - 3 8.19
34 Arkansas SEC-W 5 - 4 3 - 2 7.92
35 Georgia Tech ACC-C 3 - 6 1 - 5 7.68
36 Temple AAC-E 8 - 1 5 - 0 7.64
37 Oregon PAC12-N 6 - 3 4 - 2 7.38
38 Toledo MAC-W 7 - 1 4 - 1 7.22
39 Cincinnati AAC-E 5 - 4 2 - 3 6.89
40 Washington St PAC12-N 6 - 3 4 - 2 6.76
41 Louisville ACC-A 5 - 4 4 - 2 6.6
42 Georgia SEC-E 6 - 3 4 - 3 6.42
43 BYU IND 7 - 2 1 - 0 6.42
44 California PAC12-N 5 - 4 2 - 4 6.14
45 Texas Tech BIG12 5 - 5 2 - 5 6.14
46 Virginia Tech ACC-C 4 - 5 2 - 3 5.71
47 Texas A&M SEC-W 6 - 3 3 - 3 5.6
48 W Michigan MAC-W 6 - 3 5 - 0 5.48
49 Auburn SEC-W 5 - 4 2 - 4 5.39
50 Duke ACC-C 6 - 3 3 - 2 4.86
51 Northwestern BIG10-W 7 - 2 3 - 2 4.66
52 Nebraska BIG10-W 4 - 6 2 - 4 4.15
53 South Florida AAC-E 5 - 4 3 - 2 3.54
54 Appalachian St SUN 7 - 2 4 - 1 3.52
55 N Illinois MAC-W 6 - 3 4 - 1 3.36
56 Texas BIG12 4 - 5 3 - 3 3.17
57 W Kentucky CUSA-E 8 - 2 6 - 0 2.93
58 Miami FL ACC-C 6 - 3 3 - 2 2.66
59 C Michigan MAC-W 5 - 4 4 - 1 2.59
60 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 7 - 3 5 - 1 2.55
61 Kansas St BIG12 3 - 5 0 - 5 2.49
62 Arizona St PAC12-S 4 - 5 2 - 4 2.07
63 San Diego St MWC-W 6 - 3 5 - 0 1.96
64 Illinois BIG10-W 5 - 4 2 - 3 1.62
65 Utah St MWC-M 5 - 4 4 - 2 0.96
66 Iowa St BIG12 3 - 6 2 - 4 0.94
67 Virginia ACC-C 3 - 6 2 - 3 0.75
68 Air Force MWC-M 6 - 3 4 - 1 0.4
69 Maryland BIG10-E 2 - 7 0 - 5 -0.37
70 East Carolina AAC-E 4 - 6 2 - 4 -0.5
71 Minnesota BIG10-W 4 - 5 1 - 4 -0.76
72 Indiana BIG10-E 4 - 5 0 - 5 -1.22
73 South Carolina SEC-E 3 - 6 1 - 6 -1.28
74 Boston College ACC-A 3 - 7 0 - 7 -1.63
75 Missouri SEC-E 4 - 5 1 - 5 -1.81
76 Vanderbilt SEC-E 3 - 6 1 - 4 -2.1
77 Ga Southern SUN 6 - 2 4 - 1 -2.87
78 Connecticut AAC-E 5 - 5 3 - 3 -2.94
79 Arizona PAC12-S 5 - 5 2 - 5 -3
80 Syracuse ACC-A 3 - 6 1 - 4 -4.23
81 Arkansas St SUN 6 - 3 5 - 0 -4.57
82 Wake Forest ACC-A 3 - 6 1 - 5 -4.73
83 Marshall CUSA-E 8 - 2 5 - 1 -4.79
84 Kentucky SEC-E 4 - 5 2 - 5 -4.94
85 Southern Miss CUSA-W 6 - 3 4 - 1 -5.11
86 Tulsa AAC-W 5 - 4 2 - 3 -5.54
87 Troy SUN 3 - 6 2 - 3 -6.31
88 MTSU CUSA-E 4 - 5 3 - 2 -6.4
89 Colorado PAC12-S 4 - 6 1 - 5 -7.58
90 Purdue BIG10-W 2 - 7 1 - 4 -7.64
91 Rutgers BIG10-E 3 - 6 1 - 5 -7.77
92 Colorado St MWC-M 4 - 5 2 - 3 -7.98
93 Buffalo MAC-E 5 - 4 3 - 2 -8.16
94 San Jose St MWC-W 4 - 5 3 - 2 -8.18
95 Akron MAC-E 4 - 5 2 - 3 -8.96
96 Ohio MAC-E 5 - 4 2 - 3 -11.08
97 SMU AAC-W 1 - 8 0 - 5 -11.16
98 UNLV MWC-W 3 - 6 2 - 3 -11.94
99 Florida Intl CUSA-E 5 - 5 3 - 3 -12.01
100 Nevada MWC-W 5 - 4 3 - 2 -12.22
101 Oregon St PAC12-N 2 - 7 0 - 6 -12.54
102 Massachusetts MAC-E 1 - 8 0 - 5 -12.91
103 Ball St MAC-W 3 - 7 2 - 4 -13.75
104 Tulane AAC-W 2 - 7 1 - 5 -14.41
105 Army IND 2 - 7 1 - 1 -14.68
106 New Mexico MWC-M 5 - 4 3 - 2 -15.3
107 Kent MAC-E 3 - 6 2 - 3 -15.79
108 ULL SUN 4 - 4 3 - 1 -16.08
109 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 2 - 7 2 - 4 -16.74
110 Wyoming MWC-M 1 - 9 1 - 5 -17.78
111 South Alabama SUN 4 - 4 2 - 2 -18.08
112 Rice CUSA-W 4 - 5 2 - 3 -18.21
113 Georgia St SUN 2 - 6 1 - 3 -18.26
114 UT San Antonio CUSA-W 1 - 8 1 - 4 -19.27
115 Idaho SUN 3 - 6 2 - 4 -19.85
116 Miami OH MAC-E 2 - 8 1 - 5 -19.94
117 Kansas BIG12 0 - 9 0 - 6 -20.17
118 UCF AAC-E 0 - 10 0 - 6 -20.21
119 Fresno St MWC-W 2 - 7 1 - 5 -21.22
120 Texas St SUN 2 - 6 1 - 3 -21.98
121 Hawaii MWC-W 2 - 8 0 - 6 -23.04
122 E Michigan MAC-W 1 - 9 0 - 6 -23.21
123 Old Dominion CUSA-E 4 - 5 2 - 3 -23.24
124 UTEP CUSA-W 4 - 5 2 - 3 -24.1
125 North Texas CUSA-W 1 - 8 1 - 5 -24.33
126 New Mexico St SUN 2 - 7 2 - 3 -24.35
127 ULM SUN 1 - 8 0 - 5 -25.64
128 Charlotte CUSA-E 2 - 7 0 - 6 -28.86