Bryan Wilson Empirical Ratings
College Football Ratings
NOTE: The "Rk Points" Column provides a predictive value for each team in future games. To make a game prediction, subtract the values of the two teams involved to predict winner and margin of victory. Add 3.4 points to the home team, if there is one.

You can estimate chances of an upset by finding the point difference in this table:


PREVIOUS YEAR RANKINGS

Note: Conference affiliations and conference records on rankings before 2014 may be wrong because they were generated after-the-fact using conference standings in the 2014 season.
2023 Postseason
2022 Postseason
2021 Postseason
2020 Postseason
2019 Postseason
2018 Postseason
2017 Postseason
2016 Postseason
2015 Postseason
2014 Postseason
2013 Postseason
2012 Postseason
2011 Postseason
2010 Postseason
2009 Postseason
2008 Postseason
2007 Postseason
2006 Postseason
2005 Postseason

Archived Rankings by Week (2015-2019)

SYSTEM RANKINGS

Week 14 (Through Games of 11/28/15)

Rank Team Conf Record Conf Record Rk Points
1 Oklahoma BIG12 11 - 1 8 - 1 25.67
2 Alabama SEC-W 11 - 1 7 - 1 22.91
3 Ohio St BIG10-E 11 - 1 7 - 1 21.02
4 Clemson ACC-A 12 - 0 8 - 0 19
5 North Carolina ACC-C 11 - 1 8 - 0 18.86
6 Baylor BIG12 9 - 2 6 - 2 17.83
7 Michigan St BIG10-E 11 - 1 7 - 1 16.4
8 Florida St ACC-A 10 - 2 6 - 2 16.16
9 Mississippi SEC-W 9 - 3 6 - 2 16.06
10 Stanford PAC12-N 10 - 2 8 - 1 15.74
11 Notre Dame IND 10 - 2 0 - 0 15.23
12 TCU BIG12 10 - 2 7 - 2 14.01
13 Arkansas SEC-W 7 - 5 5 - 3 13.63
14 Iowa BIG10-W 12 - 0 8 - 0 13.18
15 Bowling Green MAC-E 9 - 3 7 - 1 13.08
16 Michigan BIG10-E 9 - 3 6 - 2 12.94
17 Houston AAC-W 11 - 1 7 - 1 12.93
18 Navy AAC-W 9 - 2 7 - 1 12.91
19 Tennessee SEC-E 8 - 4 5 - 3 12.71
20 West Virginia BIG12 7 - 4 4 - 4 12.61
21 Washington PAC12-N 6 - 6 4 - 5 12.33
22 Oklahoma St BIG12 10 - 2 7 - 2 12.05
23 LSU SEC-W 8 - 3 5 - 3 11.91
24 Memphis AAC-W 9 - 3 5 - 3 11.67
25 USC PAC12-S 8 - 4 6 - 3 11.52
26 South Florida AAC-E 8 - 4 6 - 2 11.04
27 Mississippi St SEC-W 8 - 4 4 - 4 10.91
28 Oregon PAC12-N 9 - 3 7 - 2 10.44
29 Wisconsin BIG10-W 9 - 3 6 - 2 9.64
30 Toledo MAC-W 9 - 2 6 - 2 9.31
31 Florida SEC-E 10 - 2 7 - 1 9.02
32 W Kentucky CUSA-E 10 - 2 8 - 0 8.63
33 Temple AAC-E 10 - 2 7 - 1 8.5
34 Pittsburgh ACC-C 8 - 4 6 - 2 8.28
35 Texas A&M SEC-W 8 - 4 4 - 4 7.95
36 Georgia SEC-E 9 - 3 5 - 3 7.81
37 UCLA PAC12-S 8 - 4 5 - 4 7.3
38 Utah PAC12-S 9 - 3 6 - 3 7.26
39 NC State ACC-A 7 - 5 3 - 5 6.93
40 BYU IND 9 - 3 1 - 0 6.8
41 W Michigan MAC-W 7 - 5 6 - 2 6.56
42 Virginia Tech ACC-C 6 - 6 4 - 4 6.3
43 Texas Tech BIG12 7 - 5 4 - 5 6.06
44 Louisville ACC-A 7 - 5 5 - 3 5.98
45 California PAC12-N 7 - 5 4 - 5 5.73
46 Nebraska BIG10-W 5 - 7 3 - 5 5.64
47 Washington St PAC12-N 8 - 4 6 - 3 5.63
48 Auburn SEC-W 6 - 6 2 - 6 5.53
49 Arizona St PAC12-S 6 - 6 4 - 5 5.46
50 Northwestern BIG10-W 10 - 2 6 - 2 5.21
51 Appalachian St SUN 9 - 2 6 - 1 4.8
52 San Diego St MWC-W 9 - 3 8 - 0 4.69
53 Penn St BIG10-E 7 - 5 4 - 4 4.13
54 Ga Southern SUN 8 - 3 6 - 1 3.94
55 Southern Miss CUSA-W 9 - 3 7 - 1 3.73
56 Miami FL ACC-C 8 - 4 5 - 3 3.44
57 N Illinois MAC-W 8 - 4 6 - 2 3.31
58 Cincinnati AAC-E 7 - 5 4 - 4 3.02
59 Indiana BIG10-E 6 - 6 2 - 6 2.82
60 Georgia Tech ACC-C 3 - 9 1 - 7 2.61
61 Boise St MWC-M 8 - 4 5 - 3 2.57
62 Minnesota BIG10-W 5 - 7 2 - 6 1.42
63 East Carolina AAC-E 5 - 7 3 - 5 1
64 Duke ACC-C 7 - 5 4 - 4 0.66
65 Virginia ACC-C 4 - 8 3 - 5 0.5
66 Texas BIG12 4 - 7 3 - 5 0.42
67 South Carolina SEC-E 3 - 9 1 - 7 0.42
68 Marshall CUSA-E 9 - 3 6 - 2 0.41
69 C Michigan MAC-W 7 - 5 6 - 2 0.28
70 Kansas St BIG12 5 - 6 2 - 6 -0.26
71 Air Force MWC-M 8 - 4 6 - 2 -0.61
72 Iowa St BIG12 3 - 9 2 - 7 -1.22
73 Boston College ACC-A 3 - 9 0 - 8 -1.35
74 Missouri SEC-E 5 - 7 1 - 7 -1.36
75 Syracuse ACC-A 4 - 8 2 - 6 -1.49
76 Illinois BIG10-W 5 - 7 2 - 6 -1.52
77 Arkansas St SUN 8 - 3 7 - 0 -1.59
78 Utah St MWC-M 6 - 6 5 - 3 -2.12
79 Arizona PAC12-S 6 - 6 3 - 6 -2.21
80 Connecticut AAC-E 6 - 6 4 - 4 -2.34
81 Maryland BIG10-E 3 - 9 1 - 7 -2.8
82 MTSU CUSA-E 7 - 5 6 - 2 -2.88
83 Ohio MAC-E 8 - 4 5 - 3 -3.47
84 Vanderbilt SEC-E 4 - 8 2 - 6 -4.04
85 Wake Forest ACC-A 3 - 9 1 - 7 -4.08
86 Louisiana Tech CUSA-W 8 - 4 6 - 2 -4.14
87 Kentucky SEC-E 5 - 7 2 - 6 -4.34
88 Akron MAC-E 7 - 5 5 - 3 -4.55
89 Colorado PAC12-S 4 - 9 1 - 8 -6.22
90 Tulsa AAC-W 6 - 6 3 - 5 -6.3
91 Purdue BIG10-W 2 - 10 1 - 7 -7.06
92 Rutgers BIG10-E 4 - 8 1 - 7 -8.21
93 Colorado St MWC-M 7 - 5 5 - 3 -8.23
94 New Mexico MWC-M 7 - 5 5 - 3 -8.66
95 San Jose St MWC-W 5 - 7 4 - 4 -8.97
96 Nevada MWC-W 6 - 6 4 - 4 -10.33
97 Buffalo MAC-E 5 - 7 3 - 5 -10.41
98 Georgia St SUN 5 - 6 4 - 3 -10.81
99 Troy SUN 3 - 8 2 - 5 -10.85
100 Massachusetts MAC-E 3 - 9 2 - 6 -12.9
101 FL Atlantic CUSA-E 3 - 9 3 - 5 -13.52
102 SMU AAC-W 2 - 10 1 - 7 -13.67
103 Ball St MAC-W 3 - 9 2 - 6 -13.99
104 Oregon St PAC12-N 2 - 10 0 - 9 -14.31
105 Miami OH MAC-E 3 - 9 2 - 6 -16.52
106 ULL SUN 4 - 7 3 - 4 -17.12
107 Idaho SUN 4 - 8 3 - 5 -17.28
108 Army IND 2 - 9 1 - 1 -17.44
109 Kent MAC-E 3 - 9 2 - 6 -17.47
110 UNLV MWC-W 3 - 9 2 - 6 -17.61
111 Wyoming MWC-M 2 - 10 2 - 6 -17.92
112 Florida Intl CUSA-E 5 - 7 3 - 5 -18.22
113 Tulane AAC-W 3 - 9 1 - 7 -18.22
114 South Alabama SUN 5 - 6 3 - 4 -18.55
115 Fresno St MWC-W 3 - 9 2 - 6 -19.01
116 Old Dominion CUSA-E 5 - 7 3 - 5 -19.77
117 UT San Antonio CUSA-W 3 - 9 3 - 5 -20.3
118 E Michigan MAC-W 1 - 11 0 - 8 -20.39
119 Kansas BIG12 0 - 12 0 - 9 -20.41
120 Texas St SUN 3 - 8 2 - 5 -20.51
121 New Mexico St SUN 3 - 8 3 - 4 -20.58
122 UTEP CUSA-W 5 - 7 3 - 5 -21.1
123 Rice CUSA-W 5 - 7 3 - 5 -21.43
124 UCF AAC-E 0 - 12 0 - 8 -23.28
125 North Texas CUSA-W 1 - 11 1 - 7 -23.36
126 Hawaii MWC-W 3 - 10 0 - 8 -25.84
127 ULM SUN 1 - 11 0 - 7 -27.3
128 Charlotte CUSA-E 2 - 10 0 - 8 -29.76